Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamageadult
spotted wing Drosophila [fruit]
invasive insect model of OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0


Output from uspest.org/wea invasive insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: spotted wing Drosophila [fruit] Type: invasive insect Model source/other links: OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated-has been compared to 2 years of field data in PNW Region of known use: potential for use in US ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 261 DDs after Jan 1: 1st egg laying by ow females 2. 510 DDs after Jan 1: Peak (ca. 50%) egg laying by ow females; 1st adult emerge 1st gen 3. 565 DDs after Jan 1: 1st egg laying by 1st gen females 4. 755 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 1st gen 5. 995 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 1st gen females; max 2+ gens. 6. 1249 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 2nd gen; max 3+ gens. 7. 1489 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 2nd gen females; max 4+ gens. 8. 1743 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 3rd gen; max 5 gens. 9. 1983 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 3rd gen females; max 6+ gens. 10. 2237 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 4th gen; max 6+ gens. 11. 2477 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 4th gen females; max 7+ gens. 12. 2731 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 5th gen; max 8+ gens. 13. 2971 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 5th gen females; max 9+ gens. ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2018 KLAF METAR Lafayette Purdue Univ IN Lat:40.4125 Long:-86.9475 Elev:604 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 -4.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 3.90 -18.90 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 18.00 -0.90 0.02 0.00 0.0 1 4 6.80 -9.90 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 6.80 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 6 10.40 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 7 35.60 -2.20 0.11 0.00 0.0 1 8 34.00 28.40 0.37 0.00 0.0 1 9 32.00 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 10 55.40 32.00 0.02 1.13 1.1 1 11 59.00 30.20 0.39 2.21 3.3 1 12 28.40 19.40 0.04 0.00 3.3 1 13 19.40 3.20 0.01 0.00 3.3 1 14 19.90 -2.90 0.05 0.00 3.3 1 15 24.80 3.20 0.01 0.00 3.3 1 16 8.60 -2.20 0.02 0.00 3.3 1 17 16.00 -2.20 0.00 0.00 3.3 1 18 28.90 12.20 0.00 0.00 3.3 1 19 37.40 21.20 0.00 0.00 3.3 1 20 41.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 3.3 1 21 48.20 37.40 0.16 0.00 3.3 1 22 54.00 35.10 0.40 0.80 4.1 1 23 39.20 30.00 0.02 0.00 4.1 1 24 30.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 4.1 1 25 46.40 21.00 0.00 0.00 4.1 1 26 55.40 37.00 0.00 1.28 5.4 1 27 52.00 26.60 0.01 0.24 5.7 1 28 51.80 21.20 0.00 0.19 5.8 1 29 30.20 23.00 0.01 0.00 5.8 1 30 30.90 10.40 0.00 0.00 5.8 1 31 46.40 28.40 0.00 0.00 5.8 2 1 37.40 10.40 0.00 0.00 5.8 2 2 19.90 5.00 0.00 0.00 5.8 2 3 37.90 19.40 0.03 0.00 5.8 2 4 37.40 10.00 0.03 0.00 5.8 2 5 19.90 -2.90 0.10 0.00 5.8 2 6 19.40 3.00 0.29 0.00 5.8 2 7 24.80 10.00 0.00 0.00 5.8 2 8 26.60 3.00 0.00 0.00 5.8 2 9 46.40 26.10 0.00 0.00 5.8 2 10 26.60 23.00 0.15 0.00 5.8 2 11 26.60 16.00 1.23 0.00 5.8 2 12 30.90 8.10 0.00 0.00 5.8 2 13 43.00 17.10 0.00 0.00 5.8 2 14 51.80 28.00 0.00 0.21 6.1 2 15 60.80 44.10 0.21 4.00 10.1 2 16 44.60 23.00 0.00 0.00 10.1 2 17 34.00 19.40 0.09 0.00 10.1 2 18 44.60 23.00 0.16 0.00 10.1 2 19 62.60 42.80 1.35 4.62 14.7 2 20 69.80 44.60 2.39 8.29 23.0 2 21 41.00 33.10 0.08 0.00 23.0 2 22 45.00 33.10 0.10 0.00 23.0 2 23 48.90 37.40 0.19 0.00 23.0 2 24 53.60 35.60 0.05 0.70 23.7 2 25 55.90 30.00 0.11 1.22 24.9 2 26 54.00 26.60 0.00 0.66 25.5 2 27 61.00 28.40 0.03 2.82 28.4 2 28 63.00 44.60 0.28 5.08 33.4 3 1 52.00 28.40 0.45 0.25 33.7 3 2 46.90 26.60 0.00 0.00 33.7 3 3 48.20 26.10 0.00 0.00 33.7 3 4 48.90 26.60 0.00 0.00 33.7 3 5 44.10 30.20 0.18 0.00 33.7 3 6 46.90 26.60 0.03 0.00 33.7 3 7 35.60 28.00 0.02 0.00 33.7 3 8 30.20 23.00 0.00 0.00 33.7 3 9 39.20 17.60 0.00 0.00 33.7 3 10 43.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 33.7 3 11 42.80 28.00 0.00 0.00 33.7 3 12 42.80 21.20 0.00 0.00 33.7 3 13 39.90 21.20 0.02 0.00 33.7 3 14 44.60 18.00 0.00 0.00 33.7 3 15 53.60 26.60 0.00 0.57 34.3 3 16 42.80 23.00 0.24 0.00 34.3 3 17 37.90 26.60 0.01 0.00 34.3 3 18 54.00 19.40 0.00 0.58 34.8 3 19 55.40 33.10 0.00 1.16 36.0 3 20 42.80 26.10 0.00 0.00 36.0 3 21 45.00 24.80 0.00 0.00 36.0 3 22 48.20 19.00 0.00 0.00 36.0 3 23 48.20 23.00 0.00 0.00 36.0 3 24 37.90 28.40 0.08 0.00 36.0 3 25 46.90 24.10 0.00 0.00 36.0 3 26 53.60 26.10 0.67 0.56 36.6 3 27 54.00 44.10 0.47 1.13 37.7 3 28 50.00 41.00 0.19 0.00 37.7 3 29 48.90 39.00 0.45 0.00 37.7 3 30 48.90 33.10 0.00 0.00 37.7 3 31 53.60 30.00 0.01 0.61 38.3 4 1 41.00 26.10 0.30 0.00 38.3 4 2 45.00 19.00 0.43 0.00 38.3 4 3 66.90 37.00 0.73 5.77 44.1 4 4 37.40 26.60 0.02 0.00 44.1 4 5 45.00 21.20 0.00 0.00 44.1 4 6 44.60 28.00 0.00 0.00 44.1 4 7 39.20 21.20 0.00 0.00 44.1 4 8 41.00 19.00 0.10 0.00 44.1 4 9 39.20 30.20 0.01 0.00 44.1 4 10 42.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 44.1 4 11 63.00 33.10 0.00 3.82 47.9 4 12 77.00 53.60 0.00 15.30 63.2 4 13 71.60 60.10 0.39 15.85 79.0 4 14 69.80 42.10 0.53 7.80 86.8 4 15 48.00 33.10 0.42 0.00 86.8 4 16 33.80 28.00 0.02 0.00 86.8 4 17 43.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 86.8 4 18 48.90 30.00 0.00 0.00 86.8 4 19 54.00 30.20 0.00 0.71 87.5 4 20 60.80 24.10 0.00 2.57 90.1 4 21 60.80 37.00 0.00 3.25 93.4 4 22 66.20 44.10 0.00 6.48 99.8 4 23 64.40 44.60 0.04 5.73 105.6 4 24 60.80 50.00 0.00 5.40 111.0 4 25 63.00 39.00 0.00 4.33 115.3 4 26 64.90 28.90 0.00 4.26 119.6 4 27 66.20 37.40 0.00 5.52 125.1 4 28 54.00 35.10 0.00 0.80 125.9 4 29 61.00 26.60 0.00 2.73 128.6 4 30 73.90 32.00 0.00 8.21 136.8 5 1 82.40 44.10 0.00 14.25 151.1 5 2 86.00 64.00 0.14 25.00 176.1 5 3 75.20 64.00 0.06 19.60 195.7 5 4 73.40 53.10 0.00 13.25 208.9 5 5 79.00 48.20 0.00 13.79 222.7 5 6 78.80 48.90 0.00 13.94 236.7 5 7 73.40 46.00 0.00 10.36 247.0 5 8 78.80 44.60 0.00 12.63 259.6 5 9 82.40 50.00 0.18 16.20 275.8 1st egg laying by ow females 5 10 80.60 53.60 0.00 17.10 292.9 5 11 82.40 57.00 0.00 19.70 312.6 5 12 73.40 53.60 0.00 13.50 326.1 5 13 84.20 53.60 0.00 18.90 345.0 5 14 89.60 60.80 0.15 25.04 370.1 5 15 75.20 60.10 1.20 17.65 387.7 5 16 77.00 60.10 0.00 18.55 406.3 5 17 80.60 54.00 0.00 17.30 423.6 5 18 71.60 57.20 0.38 14.40 438.0 5 19 79.00 57.20 0.11 18.10 456.1 5 20 73.90 59.00 0.00 16.45 472.5 5 21 78.80 59.00 0.02 18.90 491.4 5 22 81.00 60.10 0.00 20.55 512.0 Peak (ca. 50%) egg laying by ow females; 1st adult emerge 1st gen 5 23 80.60 51.80 0.00 16.20 528.2 5 24 84.90 53.60 0.00 19.25 547.4 5 25 89.60 53.60 0.04 21.46 568.9 1st egg laying by 1st gen females 5 26 86.00 66.20 0.16 26.10 595.0 5 27 93.90 62.60 0.00 27.14 622.1 5 28 96.80 64.00 0.00 28.41 650.5 5 29 91.90 66.20 0.00 28.39 678.9 5 30 84.20 71.10 1.70 27.65 706.6 5 31 89.90 68.00 0.00 28.71 735.3 Px 6 1 86.60 61.70 0.00 24.15 759.4 Px Pn Peak adult emerge 1st gen 6 2 84.30 54.20 0.00 19.25 778.7 Px Pn 6 3 83.10 63.70 0.00 23.40 802.1 Px Pn 6 4 77.00 53.20 0.00 15.10 817.2 Pn 6 5 86.00 55.00 0.00 20.50 837.7 6 6 78.80 51.80 0.00 15.30 853.0 6 7 90.00 62.60 0.80 26.07 879.1 6 8 84.90 66.00 0.03 25.45 904.5 6 9 82.40 66.20 0.83 24.30 928.8 6 10 68.00 62.60 1.04 15.30 944.1 6 11 77.00 64.00 0.03 20.50 964.6 6 12 79.00 68.00 0.00 23.50 988.1 6 13 82.90 59.00 0.10 20.95 1009.1 Peak egg laying by 1st gen females; max 2+ gens. 6 14 81.00 53.10 0.00 17.05 1026.1 6 15 89.60 60.10 0.00 24.69 1050.8 6 16 91.40 69.10 0.00 29.68 1080.5 6 17 91.90 71.60 0.00 31.01 1111.5 6 18 91.40 73.40 0.00 31.76 1143.3 6 19 90.00 69.80 0.22 29.63 1172.9 6 20 84.20 69.80 0.10 27.00 1199.9 6 21 73.90 68.00 0.90 20.95 1220.8 6 22 75.90 64.40 0.64 20.15 1241.0 6 23 72.00 62.10 0.01 17.05 1258.0 Peak adult emerge 2nd gen; max 3+ gens. 6 24 82.90 62.60 0.00 22.75 1280.8 6 25 81.00 62.10 0.00 21.55 1302.3 6 26 78.20 66.00 6.47 22.10 1324.4 Px 6 27 111.40 59.50 0.00 28.43 1352.9 Px Pn 6 28 85.10 64.60 0.00 24.85 1377.7 Px Pn 6 29 90.00 78.80 0.00 34.03 1411.7 6 30 90.00 73.00 0.00 31.21 1442.9 7 1 91.40 71.60 0.00 30.89 1473.8 7 2 87.80 71.60 0.00 29.70 1503.5 Peak egg laying by 2nd gen females; max 4+ gens. 7 3 91.00 69.80 0.00 29.91 1533.5 7 4 91.90 71.10 0.00 30.77 1564.2 7 5 84.90 69.80 1.02 27.35 1591.6 7 6 79.00 62.60 0.00 20.80 1612.4 7 7 79.00 55.40 0.00 17.20 1629.6 7 8 84.20 55.00 0.00 19.60 1649.2 7 9 88.00 62.10 0.00 25.05 1674.2 7 10 91.40 64.00 0.93 27.19 1701.4 7 11 82.90 60.80 0.00 21.85 1723.3 7 12 84.20 62.10 0.00 23.15 1746.4 Peak adult emerge 3rd gen; max 5 gens. 7 13 87.10 62.10 0.00 24.60 1771.0 7 14 86.00 64.40 0.03 25.20 1796.2 7 15 88.00 71.10 0.10 29.55 1825.8 7 16 88.00 71.10 0.00 29.55 1855.3 7 17 86.00 64.00 0.00 25.00 1880.3 7 18 82.40 53.60 0.00 18.00 1898.3 7 19 86.00 57.20 0.00 21.60 1919.9 7 20 86.00 68.00 0.08 27.00 1946.9 7 21 79.00 66.20 0.12 22.60 1969.5 7 22 80.60 66.00 0.20 23.30 1992.8 Peak egg laying by 3rd gen females; max 6+ gens. 7 23 79.00 60.80 0.00 19.90 2012.7 7 24 86.00 66.00 0.00 26.00 2038.7 7 25 86.00 62.60 0.00 24.30 2063.0 7 26 84.00 60.80 0.00 22.40 2085.4 7 27 79.00 55.00 0.00 17.00 2102.4 7 28 79.00 53.60 0.00 16.30 2118.7 7 29 70.00 55.00 0.16 12.50 2131.2 7 30 73.90 62.10 0.15 18.00 2149.2 7 31 71.60 60.80 0.36 16.20 2165.4 8 1 81.00 57.90 0.00 19.45 2184.9 8 2 84.90 57.20 0.57 21.05 2205.9 8 3 87.80 62.10 0.00 24.95 2230.9 8 4 89.60 66.20 0.00 27.72 2258.6 Peak adult emerge 4th gen; max 6+ gens. 8 5 90.00 68.00 0.00 28.74 2287.3 8 6 88.00 69.80 0.78 28.90 2316.2 8 7 86.00 66.00 0.00 26.00 2342.2 8 8 84.90 68.00 0.00 26.45 2368.7 8 9 86.00 62.10 0.00 24.05 2392.7 8 10 87.80 66.20 0.10 27.00 2419.7 8 11 84.90 64.00 0.00 24.45 2444.2 8 12 86.00 60.10 0.00 23.05 2467.2 8 13 86.00 60.80 0.00 23.40 2490.6 Peak egg laying by 4th gen females; max 7+ gens. 8 14 86.00 60.80 0.00 23.40 2514.0 8 15 75.90 68.00 0.53 21.95 2536.0 8 16 81.00 69.80 0.55 25.40 2561.4 8 17 81.00 69.10 0.72 25.05 2586.4 8 18 82.90 66.00 0.00 24.45 2610.9 8 19 84.90 62.60 0.00 23.75 2634.6 8 20 82.90 66.20 0.96 24.55 2659.2 8 21 79.00 64.00 1.42 21.50 2680.7 8 22 77.00 57.00 0.00 17.00 2697.7 8 23 78.80 53.10 0.00 15.95 2713.6 8 24 73.90 55.00 0.05 14.45 2728.1 8 25 81.00 64.40 0.23 22.70 2750.8 Peak adult emerge 5th gen; max 8+ gens. 8 26 90.00 73.00 0.00 31.21 2782.0 8 27 89.60 73.00 0.00 31.09 2813.1 8 28 90.00 71.60 0.15 30.52 2843.6 8 29 80.60 64.40 0.06 22.50 2866.1 8 30 78.80 60.10 0.00 19.45 2885.5 8 31 87.80 57.20 0.00 22.50 2908.0 9 1 87.80 69.10 0.00 28.45 2936.5 9 2 90.00 68.00 0.00 28.74 2965.2 9 3 93.00 69.10 0.00 30.06 2995.3 Peak egg laying by 5th gen females; max 9+ gens. 9 4 91.90 69.10 0.00 29.80 3025.1 9 5 93.20 69.10 0.00 30.10 3055.2 9 6 86.00 69.80 0.24 27.90 3083.1 9 7 71.60 62.10 1.17 16.85 3099.9 9 8 63.00 59.00 0.67 11.00 3110.9 9 9 64.90 55.40 0.02 10.15 3121.1 9 10 73.90 55.00 0.00 14.45 3135.5 9 11 77.00 51.10 0.00 14.05 3149.6 9 12 78.80 51.80 0.00 15.30 3164.9 9 13 82.40 53.60 0.00 18.00 3182.9 9 14 86.00 60.10 0.00 23.05 3205.9 9 15 87.80 60.10 0.00 23.95 3229.9 Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 KLAF PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
spotted wing Drosophila model - OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0
Location: 2018 KLAF Lafayette Purdue Univ
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME
DateDDsEvent
 5-9-18 2761st egg laying by ow females
 5-22-18 512Peak (ca. 50%) egg laying by ow females; 1st adult emerge 1st gen
 5-25-18 5691st egg laying by 1st gen females
 6-1-18 759Peak adult emerge 1st gen
 6-13-18 1009Peak egg laying by 1st gen females; max 2+ gens.
 6-23-18 1258Peak adult emerge 2nd gen; max 3+ gens.
 7-2-18 1504Peak egg laying by 2nd gen females; max 4+ gens.
 7-12-18 1746Peak adult emerge 3rd gen; max 5 gens.
 7-22-18 1993Peak egg laying by 3rd gen females; max 6+ gens.
 8-4-18 2259Peak adult emerge 4th gen; max 6+ gens.
 8-13-18 2491Peak egg laying by 4th gen females; max 7+ gens.
 8-25-18 2751Peak adult emerge 5th gen; max 8+ gens.
 9-3-18 2995Peak egg laying by 5th gen females; max 9+ gens.
degree-day graph of spotted wing Drosophila [fruit] OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0