Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamageadult
spotted wing Drosophila [fruit]
invasive insect model of OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0


Output from uspest.org/wea invasive insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: spotted wing Drosophila [fruit] Type: invasive insect Model source/other links: OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated-has been compared to 2 years of field data in PNW Region of known use: potential for use in US ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 261 DDs after Jan 1: 1st egg laying by ow females 2. 510 DDs after Jan 1: Peak (ca. 50%) egg laying by ow females; 1st adult emerge 1st gen 3. 565 DDs after Jan 1: 1st egg laying by 1st gen females 4. 755 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 1st gen 5. 995 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 1st gen females; max 2+ gens. 6. 1249 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 2nd gen; max 3+ gens. 7. 1489 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 2nd gen females; max 4+ gens. 8. 1743 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 3rd gen; max 5 gens. 9. 1983 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 3rd gen females; max 6+ gens. 10. 2237 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 4th gen; max 6+ gens. 11. 2477 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 4th gen females; max 7+ gens. 12. 2731 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 5th gen; max 8+ gens. 13. 2971 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 5th gen females; max 9+ gens. ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2018 KJVL METAR Janesville-Rock County WI Lat42.6211 Long:-89.0417 Elev:801 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 1.40 -11.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 8.60 -11.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 15.80 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 4 10.40 -9.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 10.40 -7.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 6 12.20 -9.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 7 33.80 10.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 8 41.00 28.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 9 41.00 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 10 50.00 30.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 11 53.60 19.40 0.00 0.50 0.5 1 12 19.40 10.40 0.00 0.00 0.5 1 13 12.20 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.5 1 14 21.20 -2.20 0.00 0.00 0.5 1 15 21.20 12.20 0.00 0.00 0.5 1 16 21.20 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.5 1 17 21.20 -2.20 0.00 0.00 0.5 1 18 32.00 15.80 0.00 0.00 0.5 1 19 41.00 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.5 1 20 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.5 1 21 39.20 32.00 0.09 0.00 0.5 1 22 44.60 33.80 1.04 0.00 0.5 1 23 33.80 28.40 0.08 0.00 0.5 1 24 28.40 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.5 1 25 39.20 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.5 1 26 48.20 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.5 1 27 48.20 33.80 0.02 0.00 0.5 1 28 32.00 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.5 1 29 26.60 17.60 0.00 0.00 0.5 1 30 32.00 10.40 0.00 0.00 0.5 1 31 42.80 30.20 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 1 33.80 6.80 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 2 21.20 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 3 37.40 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 4 33.80 -0.40 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 5 12.20 -7.60 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 6 14.00 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 7 17.60 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 8 19.40 -0.40 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 9 21.20 8.60 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 10 19.40 10.40 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 11 21.20 10.40 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 12 19.40 -7.60 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 13 33.80 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 14 42.80 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 15 41.00 35.60 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 16 37.40 15.80 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 17 32.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 18 39.20 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 19 39.20 35.60 0.06 0.00 0.5 2 20 44.60 30.20 0.62 0.00 0.5 2 21 30.20 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 22 37.40 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 23 39.20 30.20 0.10 0.00 0.5 2 24 39.20 30.20 0.18 0.00 0.5 2 25 42.80 30.20 0.12 0.00 0.5 2 26 51.80 26.60 0.00 0.21 0.7 2 27 60.80 33.80 0.00 3.03 3.7 2 28 54.90 34.30 0.00 1.04 4.8 Px Pn 3 1 46.40 33.60 0.00 0.00 4.8 Pn 3 2 46.40 26.60 0.00 0.00 4.8 3 3 48.20 28.40 0.00 0.00 4.8 3 4 48.20 30.20 0.00 0.00 4.8 3 5 37.40 32.00 0.00 0.00 4.8 3 6 37.40 30.20 0.00 0.00 4.8 3 7 30.20 21.20 0.00 0.00 4.8 3 8 33.80 19.40 0.00 0.00 4.8 3 9 37.40 17.60 0.00 0.00 4.8 3 10 42.80 19.40 0.00 0.00 4.8 3 11 44.60 26.60 0.00 0.00 4.8 3 12 46.40 28.40 0.00 0.00 4.8 3 13 35.60 23.00 0.00 0.00 4.8 3 14 48.20 21.20 0.00 0.00 4.8 3 15 48.20 26.60 0.00 0.00 4.8 3 16 39.20 21.20 0.00 0.00 4.8 3 17 51.80 30.20 0.00 0.22 5.0 3 18 57.20 24.80 0.00 1.48 6.5 3 19 50.00 30.20 0.00 0.00 6.5 3 20 39.20 28.40 0.00 0.00 6.5 3 21 42.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 6.5 3 22 50.00 21.20 0.00 0.00 6.5 3 23 46.40 23.00 0.00 0.00 6.5 3 24 39.20 30.20 0.00 0.00 6.5 3 25 44.60 24.80 0.00 0.00 6.5 3 26 51.80 24.80 0.21 0.20 6.7 3 27 48.20 32.00 0.32 0.00 6.7 3 28 55.40 30.20 0.00 1.09 7.8 3 29 53.60 39.20 0.00 0.78 8.5 3 30 48.20 32.00 0.00 0.00 8.5 3 31 51.80 28.40 0.00 0.21 8.8 4 1 33.80 19.40 0.00 0.00 8.8 4 2 41.00 19.40 0.00 0.00 8.8 4 3 35.60 32.00 0.00 0.00 8.8 4 4 33.80 23.00 0.00 0.00 8.8 4 5 42.80 21.20 0.00 0.00 8.8 4 6 35.60 21.20 0.00 0.00 8.8 4 7 37.40 15.80 0.00 0.00 8.8 4 8 39.20 17.60 0.00 0.00 8.8 4 9 39.20 28.40 0.00 0.00 8.8 4 10 42.80 21.20 0.00 0.00 8.8 4 11 62.60 35.60 0.28 3.86 12.6 4 12 66.20 42.80 0.02 6.25 18.9 4 13 42.80 37.40 0.05 0.00 18.9 4 14 37.40 32.00 0.27 0.00 18.9 4 15 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 18.9 4 16 35.60 26.60 0.00 0.00 18.9 4 17 39.20 26.60 0.00 0.00 18.9 4 18 35.60 28.40 0.00 0.00 18.9 4 19 51.80 28.40 0.00 0.21 19.1 4 20 62.60 26.60 0.00 3.29 22.4 4 21 55.40 33.80 0.00 1.18 23.5 4 22 64.40 35.60 0.00 4.58 28.1 4 23 71.60 37.40 0.00 7.88 36.0 4 24 73.40 41.00 0.00 9.27 45.3 4 25 60.80 37.40 0.00 3.29 48.6 4 26 69.80 33.80 0.00 6.66 55.2 4 27 62.60 39.20 0.00 4.19 59.4 4 28 55.40 33.80 0.00 1.18 60.6 4 29 64.40 28.40 0.00 4.04 64.6 4 30 82.40 37.40 0.00 12.82 77.5 5 1 84.20 59.00 0.00 21.60 99.1 5 2 84.20 59.00 0.12 21.60 120.7 5 3 69.80 59.00 0.66 14.40 135.1 5 4 75.20 55.40 0.00 15.30 150.4 5 5 82.40 48.20 0.00 15.48 165.8 5 6 73.40 53.60 0.03 13.50 179.3 5 7 78.80 44.60 0.00 12.63 192.0 5 8 82.40 55.40 0.00 18.90 210.9 5 9 78.80 57.20 0.00 18.00 228.9 5 10 71.60 51.80 0.00 11.70 240.6 5 11 48.20 39.20 0.02 0.00 240.6 5 12 55.40 42.80 0.21 1.58 242.1 5 13 60.80 44.60 0.33 4.07 246.2 5 14 75.20 55.40 0.29 15.30 261.5 1st egg laying by ow females 5 15 77.00 53.60 0.00 15.30 276.8 5 16 80.60 46.40 0.00 14.00 290.8 5 17 78.80 53.60 0.00 16.20 307.0 5 18 78.80 51.80 0.02 15.30 322.3 5 19 73.40 55.40 0.02 14.40 336.7 5 20 64.40 48.20 0.00 6.56 343.3 5 21 62.60 50.00 0.00 6.30 349.6 5 22 69.80 53.60 0.00 11.70 361.3 5 23 80.60 51.80 0.00 16.20 377.5 5 24 87.80 55.40 0.00 21.60 399.1 5 25 87.80 62.60 0.00 25.20 424.3 5 26 91.40 62.60 0.00 26.50 450.8 5 27 96.80 62.60 0.00 27.75 478.5 5 28 93.20 64.40 0.00 27.84 506.4 5 29 91.40 68.00 0.00 29.14 535.5 Peak (ca. 50%) egg laying by ow females; 1st adult emerge 1st gen 5 30 80.60 69.80 0.00 25.20 560.7 5 31 89.60 66.20 0.00 27.72 588.4 1st egg laying by 1st gen females 6 1 80.60 53.60 0.00 17.10 605.5 6 2 73.40 51.80 0.20 12.60 618.1 6 3 71.60 55.40 0.00 13.50 631.6 6 4 82.40 50.00 0.00 16.20 647.8 6 5 75.20 51.80 0.18 13.50 661.3 6 6 78.80 50.00 0.00 14.40 675.7 6 7 86.00 59.00 0.00 22.50 698.2 6 8 75.20 60.80 0.00 18.00 716.2 6 9 80.60 60.80 0.67 20.70 736.9 6 10 66.20 62.60 0.91 14.40 751.3 6 11 71.60 60.80 0.00 16.20 767.5 Peak adult emerge 1st gen 6 12 80.60 64.40 0.00 22.50 790.0 6 13 80.60 59.00 0.00 19.80 809.8 6 14 77.00 57.20 0.00 17.10 826.9 6 15 86.00 60.80 0.00 23.40 850.3 6 16 91.40 68.00 1.65 29.14 879.5 6 17 93.20 75.20 0.00 32.98 912.4 6 18 91.40 68.00 0.77 29.14 941.6 6 19 73.40 64.40 0.14 18.90 960.5 6 20 75.20 62.60 0.04 18.90 979.4 6 21 66.20 60.80 0.00 13.50 992.9 6 22 73.40 60.80 0.00 17.10 1010.0 Peak egg laying by 1st gen females; max 2+ gens. 6 23 80.60 57.20 0.00 18.90 1028.9 6 24 84.20 60.80 0.00 22.50 1051.4 6 25 76.90 57.20 0.00 17.05 1068.4 Px 6 26 81.50 64.40 0.00 22.95 1091.4 Px 6 27 113.40 56.40 0.00 27.32 1118.7 Px Pn 6 28 82.00 61.20 0.00 21.60 1140.3 Px Pn 6 29 93.20 72.20 0.00 31.57 1171.9 Pn 6 30 93.20 71.60 0.81 31.29 1203.2 7 1 89.60 69.80 0.04 29.51 1232.7 7 2 84.20 60.80 0.00 22.50 1255.2 Peak adult emerge 2nd gen; max 3+ gens. 7 3 89.60 59.00 0.00 24.14 1279.3 7 4 91.40 69.80 0.00 30.02 1309.3 7 5 87.80 69.80 0.00 28.80 1338.1 7 6 78.80 57.20 0.00 18.00 1356.1 7 7 82.40 50.00 0.00 16.20 1372.3 7 8 84.20 53.60 0.00 18.90 1391.2 7 9 89.60 59.00 0.00 24.14 1415.4 7 10 87.80 66.20 0.00 27.00 1442.4 7 11 87.80 60.80 0.00 24.30 1466.7 7 12 87.80 62.60 0.00 25.20 1491.9 Peak egg laying by 2nd gen females; max 4+ gens. 7 13 93.20 68.00 0.49 29.58 1521.5 7 14 82.40 69.80 0.30 26.10 1547.6 7 15 87.80 69.80 0.00 28.80 1576.4 7 16 84.20 64.40 0.00 24.30 1600.7 7 17 80.60 62.60 0.00 21.60 1622.3 7 18 80.60 57.20 0.00 18.90 1641.2 7 19 80.60 57.20 1.79 18.90 1660.1 7 20 73.40 68.00 0.14 20.70 1680.8 7 21 78.80 68.00 0.21 23.40 1704.2 7 22 80.60 64.40 0.09 22.50 1726.7 7 23 82.40 60.80 0.00 21.60 1748.3 Peak adult emerge 3rd gen; max 5 gens. 7 24 86.00 62.60 0.00 24.30 1772.6 7 25 84.20 59.00 0.00 21.60 1794.2 7 26 84.20 59.00 0.00 21.60 1815.8 7 27 77.00 55.40 0.00 16.20 1832.0 7 28 80.60 53.60 0.00 17.10 1849.1 7 29 82.40 55.40 0.01 18.90 1868.0 7 30 82.40 59.00 0.00 20.70 1888.7 7 31 80.60 55.40 0.00 18.00 1906.7 8 1 87.80 55.40 0.00 21.60 1928.3 8 2 80.60 62.60 0.99 21.60 1949.9 8 3 82.40 60.80 0.00 21.60 1971.5 8 4 89.60 69.80 0.00 29.51 2001.0 Peak egg laying by 3rd gen females; max 6+ gens. 8 5 89.60 69.80 0.33 29.51 2030.5 8 6 80.60 66.20 1.15 23.40 2053.9 8 7 77.00 64.40 0.00 20.70 2074.6 8 8 82.40 64.40 0.00 23.40 2098.0 8 9 87.30 66.20 0.00 26.75 2124.7 Px 8 10 84.20 61.80 0.00 23.00 2147.7 Pn 8 11 87.80 60.80 0.00 24.30 2172.0 8 12 87.80 64.40 0.00 26.10 2198.1 8 13 87.80 62.60 0.00 25.20 2223.3 8 14 87.80 64.40 0.00 26.10 2249.4 Peak adult emerge 4th gen; max 6+ gens. 8 15 87.80 68.00 0.06 27.90 2277.3 8 16 84.20 69.80 2.04 27.00 2304.3 8 17 80.60 66.20 0.20 23.40 2327.7 8 18 82.40 64.40 0.01 23.40 2351.1 8 19 84.20 64.40 0.00 24.30 2375.4 8 20 77.00 68.00 0.34 22.50 2397.9 8 21 78.80 59.00 0.01 18.90 2416.8 8 22 78.80 53.60 0.00 16.20 2433.0 8 23 80.60 53.60 0.00 17.10 2450.1 8 24 68.00 62.60 0.00 15.30 2465.4 8 25 86.00 66.20 0.01 26.10 2491.5 Peak egg laying by 4th gen females; max 7+ gens. 8 26 91.40 64.40 0.36 27.38 2518.9 8 27 87.80 75.20 0.00 31.50 2550.4 8 28 86.00 68.00 1.50 27.00 2577.4 8 29 73.40 57.20 0.22 15.30 2592.7 8 30 75.20 53.60 0.00 14.40 2607.1 8 31 84.20 55.40 0.00 19.80 2626.9 9 1 80.60 68.00 0.00 24.30 2651.2 9 2 87.80 68.00 1.07 27.90 2679.1 9 3 75.20 68.00 0.00 21.60 2700.7 9 4 89.60 71.60 0.00 30.40 2731.1 Peak adult emerge 5th gen; max 8+ gens. 9 5 82.40 68.00 0.05 25.20 2756.3 9 6 73.40 55.40 0.00 14.40 2770.7 9 7 71.60 54.90 0.00 13.25 2783.9 Pn 9 8 73.40 59.00 0.00 16.20 2800.1 9 9 71.60 53.60 0.00 12.60 2812.7 9 10 73.40 50.00 0.00 11.70 2824.4 9 11 80.60 50.00 0.00 15.30 2839.7 9 12 82.40 55.40 0.00 18.90 2858.6 9 13 80.60 55.40 0.00 18.00 2876.6 9 14 87.80 57.20 0.00 22.50 2899.1 9 15 87.80 60.80 0.00 24.30 2923.4 Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 KJVL PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
spotted wing Drosophila model - OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0
Location: 2018 KJVL Janesville-Rock County WI
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME
DateDDsEvent
 5-14-18 2621st egg laying by ow females
 5-29-18 536Peak (ca. 50%) egg laying by ow females; 1st adult emerge 1st gen
 5-31-18 5881st egg laying by 1st gen females
 6-11-18 768Peak adult emerge 1st gen
 6-22-18 1010Peak egg laying by 1st gen females; max 2+ gens.
 7-2-18 1255Peak adult emerge 2nd gen; max 3+ gens.
 7-12-18 1492Peak egg laying by 2nd gen females; max 4+ gens.
 7-23-18 1748Peak adult emerge 3rd gen; max 5 gens.
 8-4-18 2001Peak egg laying by 3rd gen females; max 6+ gens.
 8-14-18 2249Peak adult emerge 4th gen; max 6+ gens.
 8-25-18 2492Peak egg laying by 4th gen females; max 7+ gens.
 9-4-18 2731Peak adult emerge 5th gen; max 8+ gens.
degree-day graph of spotted wing Drosophila [fruit] OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0