Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamageadult
spotted wing Drosophila [fruit]
invasive insect model of OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0


Output from uspest.org/wea invasive insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: spotted wing Drosophila [fruit] Type: invasive insect Model source/other links: OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated-has been compared to 2 years of field data in PNW Region of known use: potential for use in US ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 261 DDs after Jan 1: 1st egg laying by ow females 2. 510 DDs after Jan 1: Peak (ca. 50%) egg laying by ow females; 1st adult emerge 1st gen 3. 565 DDs after Jan 1: 1st egg laying by 1st gen females 4. 755 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 1st gen 5. 995 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 1st gen females; max 2+ gens. 6. 1249 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 2nd gen; max 3+ gens. 7. 1489 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 2nd gen females; max 4+ gens. 8. 1743 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 3rd gen; max 5 gens. 9. 1983 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 3rd gen females; max 6+ gens. 10. 2237 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 4th gen; max 6+ gens. 11. 2477 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 4th gen females; max 7+ gens. 12. 2731 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 5th gen; max 8+ gens. 13. 2971 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 5th gen females; max 9+ gens. ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2018 KCMI METAR Champaign Urbana Univ IL Lat:40.0319 Long:-88.2731 Elev:751 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 -4.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 7.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 19.90 -4.00 0.03 0.00 0.0 1 4 14.00 -11.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 8.60 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 6 9.00 -14.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 7 34.00 1.40 0.09 0.00 0.0 1 8 34.00 28.00 0.09 0.00 0.0 1 9 35.60 28.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 10 53.60 37.00 0.00 0.73 0.7 1 11 59.00 19.00 0.23 1.86 2.6 1 12 23.00 15.10 0.10 0.00 2.6 1 13 19.90 6.80 0.00 0.00 2.6 1 14 23.00 1.40 0.03 0.00 2.6 1 15 26.60 -0.90 0.21 0.00 2.6 1 16 8.60 -5.80 0.02 0.00 2.6 1 17 17.60 -5.80 0.00 0.00 2.6 1 18 30.90 12.00 0.00 0.00 2.6 1 19 37.90 19.00 0.00 0.00 2.6 1 20 42.80 28.00 0.00 0.00 2.6 1 21 51.80 37.00 0.40 0.27 2.9 1 22 55.40 35.60 0.08 1.23 4.1 1 23 37.90 28.90 0.01 0.00 4.1 1 24 30.20 23.00 0.00 0.00 4.1 1 25 46.90 24.80 0.00 0.00 4.1 1 26 53.60 33.80 0.00 0.66 4.8 1 27 52.00 28.40 0.00 0.25 5.0 1 28 50.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 5.0 1 29 32.00 19.00 0.01 0.00 5.0 1 30 32.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 5.0 1 31 46.90 30.00 0.00 0.00 5.0 2 1 34.00 10.90 0.00 0.00 5.0 2 2 21.90 3.20 0.00 0.00 5.0 2 3 39.90 21.20 0.03 0.00 5.0 2 4 37.40 3.00 0.22 0.00 5.0 2 5 19.90 -9.90 0.09 0.00 5.0 2 6 19.40 -2.20 0.00 0.00 5.0 2 7 21.20 6.10 0.00 0.00 5.0 2 8 30.90 1.40 0.00 0.00 5.0 2 9 46.90 28.00 0.00 0.00 5.0 2 10 28.40 21.00 0.05 0.00 5.0 2 11 25.00 15.80 0.47 0.00 5.0 2 12 32.00 8.60 0.00 0.00 5.0 2 13 41.00 17.60 0.00 0.00 5.0 2 14 51.80 30.00 0.00 0.22 5.2 2 15 62.60 41.00 0.14 4.39 9.6 2 16 42.80 21.20 0.10 0.00 9.6 2 17 35.60 21.20 0.04 0.00 9.6 2 18 46.40 21.00 0.21 0.00 9.6 2 19 62.60 42.80 1.52 4.62 14.2 2 20 64.90 35.10 3.38 4.74 19.0 2 21 35.60 30.20 0.05 0.00 19.0 2 22 44.60 32.00 0.08 0.00 19.0 2 23 46.40 37.00 0.13 0.00 19.0 2 24 55.40 37.00 0.12 1.28 20.3 2 25 53.60 32.00 0.14 0.63 20.9 2 26 54.00 28.40 0.00 0.68 21.6 2 27 63.00 33.80 0.04 3.88 25.4 2 28 54.00 44.60 0.33 1.16 26.6 3 1 52.00 32.00 0.11 0.27 26.9 3 2 48.20 28.40 0.00 0.00 26.9 3 3 50.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 26.9 3 4 54.00 28.40 0.00 0.68 27.6 3 5 41.00 32.00 0.13 0.00 27.6 3 6 46.40 26.60 0.04 0.00 27.6 3 7 37.40 27.00 0.01 0.00 27.6 3 8 34.00 21.20 0.00 0.00 27.6 3 9 42.80 21.00 0.00 0.00 27.6 3 10 46.90 28.00 0.00 0.00 27.6 3 11 42.80 25.00 0.00 0.00 27.6 3 12 46.40 24.10 0.01 0.00 27.6 3 13 42.80 19.90 0.00 0.00 27.6 3 14 48.90 17.10 0.00 0.00 27.6 3 15 55.90 26.10 0.00 1.14 28.7 3 16 48.20 24.80 0.15 0.00 28.7 3 17 37.90 32.00 0.01 0.00 28.7 3 18 53.60 24.80 0.00 0.55 29.2 3 19 57.90 35.10 0.00 2.05 31.3 3 20 42.80 28.40 0.00 0.00 31.3 3 21 46.90 26.10 0.00 0.00 31.3 3 22 52.00 19.90 0.00 0.21 31.5 3 23 51.80 30.20 0.00 0.22 31.7 3 24 39.20 30.00 0.57 0.00 31.7 3 25 39.90 23.00 0.00 0.00 31.7 3 26 51.80 28.00 0.59 0.21 31.9 3 27 55.90 39.20 0.19 1.55 33.5 3 28 51.80 39.20 0.53 0.29 33.8 3 29 48.90 42.80 0.26 0.00 33.8 3 30 51.80 33.10 0.01 0.24 34.0 3 31 54.00 35.10 0.01 0.80 34.8 4 1 37.40 21.90 0.17 0.00 34.8 4 2 42.80 12.00 0.35 0.00 34.8 4 3 66.90 35.10 0.17 5.57 40.4 4 4 35.60 26.60 0.00 0.00 40.4 4 5 50.00 24.10 0.00 0.00 40.4 4 6 44.60 26.10 0.01 0.00 40.4 4 7 39.90 21.00 0.00 0.00 40.4 4 8 42.80 19.00 0.11 0.00 40.4 4 9 39.90 30.20 0.25 0.00 40.4 4 10 44.60 28.00 0.00 0.00 40.4 4 11 68.00 33.10 0.00 5.83 46.2 4 12 80.60 53.10 0.00 16.85 63.1 4 13 73.90 57.20 0.80 15.55 78.6 4 14 66.90 50.00 0.21 8.45 87.1 4 15 51.80 33.10 0.01 0.24 87.3 4 16 35.60 28.00 0.01 0.00 87.3 4 17 50.00 28.40 0.00 0.00 87.3 4 18 57.20 32.00 0.00 1.68 89.0 4 19 55.90 33.10 0.01 1.31 90.3 4 20 63.00 28.00 0.00 3.51 93.8 4 21 64.90 39.00 0.00 5.14 99.0 4 22 69.80 46.40 0.00 8.71 107.7 4 23 64.40 46.40 0.24 6.10 113.8 4 24 63.00 46.90 0.83 5.54 119.3 4 25 64.90 42.10 0.00 5.55 124.9 4 26 68.00 35.10 0.00 6.03 130.9 4 27 70.00 41.00 0.00 7.70 138.6 4 28 60.80 36.00 0.00 3.18 141.8 4 29 64.90 30.00 0.00 4.34 146.1 4 30 78.80 33.10 0.00 10.50 156.6 5 1 86.00 50.00 0.00 18.00 174.6 5 2 90.00 62.10 0.30 25.82 200.4 5 3 73.90 62.60 0.17 18.25 218.7 5 4 73.90 57.20 0.00 15.55 234.2 5 5 82.00 51.80 0.00 16.90 251.1 5 6 82.40 53.10 0.00 17.75 268.9 1st egg laying by ow females 5 7 77.00 48.20 0.00 12.79 281.7 5 8 82.90 50.00 0.00 16.45 298.1 5 9 84.90 53.60 1.00 19.25 317.4 5 10 81.00 55.40 0.00 18.20 335.6 5 11 88.00 59.00 0.00 23.50 359.1 5 12 77.00 60.10 0.00 18.55 377.6 5 13 88.00 59.00 0.00 23.50 401.1 5 14 93.90 64.00 0.04 27.81 428.9 5 15 79.00 57.90 0.79 18.45 447.4 5 16 82.90 57.20 0.00 20.05 467.4 5 17 84.90 62.10 0.00 23.50 490.9 5 18 77.00 64.00 0.03 20.50 511.4 Peak (ca. 50%) egg laying by ow females; 1st adult emerge 1st gen 5 19 86.00 64.00 0.32 25.00 536.4 5 20 80.60 60.10 0.01 20.35 556.8 5 21 78.80 60.10 0.04 19.45 576.2 1st egg laying by 1st gen females 5 22 84.90 62.10 0.00 23.50 599.7 5 23 84.90 57.00 0.00 20.95 620.7 5 24 89.10 59.00 0.00 23.96 644.6 5 25 91.90 62.60 0.64 26.64 671.3 5 26 89.10 68.00 0.27 28.44 699.7 5 27 95.00 68.00 0.00 29.94 729.7 5 28 97.00 66.20 0.00 29.47 759.1 Peak adult emerge 1st gen 5 29 89.60 71.10 0.12 30.15 789.3 5 30 81.00 71.10 1.17 26.05 815.3 5 31 90.00 68.00 0.15 28.74 844.1 6 1 91.00 62.10 0.00 26.14 870.2 6 2 84.90 55.40 0.67 20.15 890.4 6 3 82.40 57.00 0.00 19.70 910.1 6 4 79.00 53.10 0.00 16.05 926.1 6 5 87.80 55.00 0.00 21.40 947.5 6 6 84.90 53.60 0.00 19.25 966.8 6 7 91.40 66.00 0.29 28.16 994.9 6 8 87.80 68.00 0.00 27.90 1022.8 Peak egg laying by 1st gen females; max 2+ gens. 6 9 81.00 66.20 0.46 23.60 1046.4 6 10 75.20 64.40 1.15 19.80 1066.2 6 11 77.00 66.00 0.88 21.50 1087.7 6 12 82.90 68.00 0.19 25.45 1113.2 6 13 84.20 61.00 0.00 22.60 1135.8 6 14 81.00 60.10 0.04 20.55 1156.3 6 15 89.60 66.00 0.30 27.62 1183.9 6 16 90.00 69.80 0.00 29.63 1213.6 6 17 90.00 73.00 0.00 31.21 1244.8 6 18 91.40 73.40 0.00 31.76 1276.5 Peak adult emerge 2nd gen; max 3+ gens. 6 19 90.00 71.10 0.76 30.27 1306.8 6 20 84.90 69.80 0.04 27.35 1334.2 6 21 82.40 64.40 1.83 23.40 1357.6 6 22 75.20 64.00 0.09 19.60 1377.2 6 23 73.90 64.00 0.00 18.95 1396.1 6 24 82.90 60.10 0.00 21.50 1417.6 6 25 81.00 64.00 0.16 22.50 1440.1 6 26 80.50 69.10 1.86 24.80 1464.9 Px 6 27 103.40 59.40 0.00 27.38 1492.3 Px Pn Peak egg laying by 2nd gen females; max 4+ gens. 6 28 84.60 64.30 0.00 24.45 1516.7 Px Pn 6 29 90.00 68.00 0.00 28.74 1545.5 6 30 90.00 73.00 0.00 31.21 1576.7 7 1 90.00 71.60 1.02 30.52 1607.2 7 2 87.80 69.80 0.00 28.80 1636.0 7 3 89.60 69.80 0.00 29.51 1665.5 7 4 90.00 71.10 0.00 30.27 1695.8 7 5 90.00 70.00 1.22 29.73 1725.5 7 6 80.60 61.00 0.00 20.80 1746.3 Peak adult emerge 3rd gen; max 5 gens. 7 7 79.00 57.00 0.00 18.00 1764.3 7 8 84.20 57.00 0.00 20.60 1784.9 7 9 88.00 64.40 0.00 26.20 1811.1 7 10 90.00 69.80 0.19 29.63 1840.7 7 11 84.90 62.10 0.00 23.50 1864.2 7 12 84.20 62.60 0.00 23.40 1887.6 7 13 87.80 62.10 0.00 24.95 1912.6 7 14 81.00 66.00 1.00 23.50 1936.1 7 15 82.40 68.00 0.93 25.20 1961.3 7 16 87.80 71.10 0.00 29.45 1990.7 Peak egg laying by 3rd gen females; max 6+ gens. 7 17 86.00 64.90 0.00 25.45 2016.2 7 18 80.60 59.00 0.00 19.80 2036.0 7 19 82.90 60.10 0.00 21.50 2057.5 7 20 82.40 66.20 0.00 24.30 2081.8 7 21 79.00 66.00 0.16 22.50 2104.3 7 22 80.60 66.20 0.58 23.40 2127.7 7 23 81.00 60.80 0.00 20.90 2148.6 7 24 84.90 60.80 0.00 22.85 2171.4 7 25 82.90 60.10 0.00 21.50 2192.9 7 26 80.60 59.00 0.00 19.80 2212.7 7 27 77.00 55.40 0.00 16.20 2228.9 7 28 79.00 55.00 0.00 17.00 2245.9 Peak adult emerge 4th gen; max 6+ gens. 7 29 66.90 57.90 0.80 12.40 2258.3 7 30 75.90 62.60 0.01 19.25 2277.6 7 31 75.20 59.00 0.01 17.10 2294.7 8 1 80.60 57.00 0.00 18.80 2313.5 8 2 84.90 62.10 0.01 23.50 2337.0 8 3 87.80 64.00 0.05 25.90 2362.9 8 4 88.00 66.20 0.00 27.10 2390.0 8 5 90.00 69.80 0.00 29.63 2419.6 8 6 89.60 71.10 0.04 30.15 2449.8 8 7 81.00 68.00 0.01 24.50 2474.3 8 8 82.90 64.90 0.00 23.90 2498.2 Peak egg laying by 4th gen females; max 7+ gens. 8 9 86.00 60.80 0.00 23.40 2521.6 8 10 88.00 66.20 0.00 27.10 2548.7 8 11 84.90 64.40 0.00 24.65 2573.3 8 12 87.80 61.00 0.00 24.40 2597.7 8 13 87.80 60.10 0.00 23.95 2621.7 8 14 86.00 60.10 0.00 23.05 2644.7 8 15 77.00 69.80 1.25 23.40 2668.1 8 16 86.00 69.10 0.50 27.55 2695.7 8 17 82.90 69.10 3.16 26.00 2721.7 8 18 82.90 64.40 0.00 23.65 2745.3 Peak adult emerge 5th gen; max 8+ gens. 8 19 84.90 66.00 0.00 25.45 2770.8 8 20 84.20 69.10 0.93 26.65 2797.4 8 21 75.20 64.40 0.12 19.80 2817.2 8 22 77.00 57.00 0.00 17.00 2834.2 8 23 80.60 53.10 0.00 16.85 2851.1 8 24 70.00 57.20 0.38 13.60 2864.7 8 25 87.80 62.60 0.12 25.20 2889.9 8 26 91.40 73.40 0.00 31.76 2921.6 8 27 91.90 71.60 0.00 31.01 2952.6 8 28 93.90 73.00 0.25 32.08 2984.7 Peak egg laying by 5th gen females; max 9+ gens. 8 29 79.00 64.40 0.04 21.70 3006.4 8 30 80.60 62.10 0.00 21.35 3027.8 8 31 89.60 60.10 0.00 24.69 3052.5 9 1 89.60 68.00 0.00 28.61 3081.1 9 2 91.90 69.80 0.00 30.14 3111.2 9 3 93.90 69.80 0.00 30.58 3141.8 9 4 96.80 68.00 0.00 30.27 3172.1 9 5 97.00 71.10 0.00 31.71 3203.8 9 6 84.20 69.80 0.00 27.00 3230.8 9 7 72.00 66.00 0.00 19.00 3249.8 9 8 64.90 60.10 0.33 12.50 3262.3 9 9 70.00 57.00 0.23 13.50 3275.8 9 10 81.00 55.00 0.00 18.00 3293.8 9 11 84.20 55.00 0.00 19.60 3313.4 9 12 82.90 53.10 0.00 18.00 3331.4 9 13 84.20 55.00 0.00 19.60 3351.0 9 14 90.00 60.80 0.00 25.18 3376.1 9 15 90.00 66.00 0.00 27.75 3403.9 Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 KCMI PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
spotted wing Drosophila model - OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0
Location: 2018 KCMI Champaign Urbana Univ
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME
DateDDsEvent
 5-6-18 2691st egg laying by ow females
 5-18-18 511Peak (ca. 50%) egg laying by ow females; 1st adult emerge 1st gen
 5-21-18 5761st egg laying by 1st gen females
 5-28-18 759Peak adult emerge 1st gen
 6-8-18 1023Peak egg laying by 1st gen females; max 2+ gens.
 6-18-18 1277Peak adult emerge 2nd gen; max 3+ gens.
 6-27-18 1492Peak egg laying by 2nd gen females; max 4+ gens.
 7-6-18 1746Peak adult emerge 3rd gen; max 5 gens.
 7-16-18 1991Peak egg laying by 3rd gen females; max 6+ gens.
 7-28-18 2246Peak adult emerge 4th gen; max 6+ gens.
 8-8-18 2498Peak egg laying by 4th gen females; max 7+ gens.
 8-18-18 2745Peak adult emerge 5th gen; max 8+ gens.
 8-28-18 2985Peak egg laying by 5th gen females; max 9+ gens.
degree-day graph of spotted wing Drosophila [fruit] OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0