Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamageadult
spotted wing Drosophila [fruit]
invasive insect model of OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0


Output from uspest.org/wea invasive insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: spotted wing Drosophila [fruit] Type: invasive insect Model source/other links: OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated-has been compared to 2 years of field data in PNW Region of known use: potential for use in US ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 261 DDs after Jan 1: 1st egg laying by ow females 2. 510 DDs after Jan 1: Peak (ca. 50%) egg laying by ow females; 1st adult emerge 1st gen 3. 565 DDs after Jan 1: 1st egg laying by 1st gen females 4. 755 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 1st gen 5. 995 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 1st gen females; max 2+ gens. 6. 1249 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 2nd gen; max 3+ gens. 7. 1489 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 2nd gen females; max 4+ gens. 8. 1743 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 3rd gen; max 5 gens. 9. 1983 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 3rd gen females; max 6+ gens. 10. 2237 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 4th gen; max 6+ gens. 11. 2477 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 4th gen females; max 7+ gens. 12. 2731 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 5th gen; max 8+ gens. 13. 2971 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 5th gen females; max 9+ gens. ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2018 KANE METAR Minneapolis / Blaine MN Lat:45.1425 Long:-93.2125 Elev:906 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 1.40 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 15.80 -7.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 12.20 -5.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 4 5.00 -7.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 3.20 -14.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 6 12.20 -14.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 7 32.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 8 37.40 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 9 42.80 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 10 39.20 33.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 11 37.40 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 12 3.20 -11.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 13 5.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 14 17.60 -9.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 15 15.80 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 16 8.60 -2.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 17 28.40 -0.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 18 42.80 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 19 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 20 42.80 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 21 37.40 33.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 22 35.60 28.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 23 28.40 17.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 24 25.60 10.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 Px Pn 1 25 28.40 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 26 46.40 28.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 27 35.60 19.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 28 21.20 12.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 29 17.60 3.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 30 30.20 -0.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 31 32.00 10.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 1 8.60 -2.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 2 12.20 -7.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 3 17.60 10.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 4 10.40 -7.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 5 15.80 -2.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 6 12.20 -7.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 7 15.80 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 8 15.80 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 9 12.20 -0.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 10 15.80 -2.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 11 21.20 -2.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 12 12.20 -2.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 13 30.20 3.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 14 42.80 19.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 15 37.40 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 16 19.40 -0.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 17 37.40 19.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 18 44.60 15.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 19 28.40 19.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 20 21.20 8.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 21 21.20 3.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 22 30.20 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 23 33.80 17.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 24 30.20 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 25 32.00 19.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 26 46.40 17.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 27 46.40 17.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 28 46.40 19.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 3 1 42.80 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 3 2 41.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 3 3 46.40 33.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 3 4 42.80 35.60 0.06 0.00 0.0 3 5 37.40 28.40 0.04 0.00 0.0 3 6 35.60 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 3 7 28.40 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 3 8 30.20 10.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 3 9 37.40 15.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 3 10 35.60 19.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 3 11 37.40 30.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 3 12 41.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 3 13 37.40 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 3 14 46.40 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 3 15 39.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 3 16 39.20 19.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 3 17 51.80 21.20 0.00 0.19 0.2 3 18 42.80 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.2 3 19 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.2 3 20 33.80 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.2 3 21 37.40 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.2 3 22 44.60 28.40 0.00 0.00 0.2 3 23 42.80 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.2 3 24 42.80 30.20 0.00 0.00 0.2 3 25 44.60 28.40 0.00 0.00 0.2 3 26 42.80 32.00 0.05 0.00 0.2 3 27 48.20 33.80 0.00 0.00 0.2 3 28 51.80 28.40 0.00 0.21 0.4 3 29 41.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.4 3 30 39.20 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.4 3 31 33.80 12.20 0.00 0.00 0.4 4 1 30.20 10.40 0.00 0.00 0.4 4 2 35.60 17.60 0.00 0.00 0.4 4 3 32.00 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.4 4 4 30.20 10.40 0.00 0.00 0.4 4 5 41.00 8.60 0.00 0.00 0.4 4 6 28.40 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.4 4 7 32.00 10.40 0.00 0.00 0.4 4 8 33.80 10.40 0.00 0.00 0.4 4 9 37.40 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.4 4 10 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.4 4 11 46.40 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.4 4 12 48.20 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.4 4 13 41.00 30.20 0.00 0.00 0.4 4 14 32.00 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.4 4 15 28.40 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.4 4 16 37.40 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.4 4 17 44.60 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.4 4 18 42.80 28.40 0.00 0.00 0.4 4 19 53.60 24.80 0.00 0.55 0.9 4 20 53.60 24.80 0.00 0.55 1.5 4 21 60.80 33.80 0.00 3.03 4.5 4 22 64.40 30.20 0.00 4.16 8.7 4 23 71.60 35.60 0.00 7.64 16.3 4 24 62.60 39.20 0.00 4.19 20.5 4 25 60.80 32.00 0.00 2.93 23.4 4 26 64.40 41.00 0.00 5.17 28.6 4 27 62.60 39.20 0.00 4.19 32.8 4 28 57.20 33.80 0.00 1.75 34.6 4 29 69.80 37.40 0.00 7.08 41.6 4 30 84.20 55.40 0.00 19.80 61.4 5 1 73.40 59.00 0.00 16.20 77.6 5 2 69.80 46.40 0.00 8.71 86.4 5 3 75.20 48.20 0.00 11.90 98.2 5 4 78.80 51.80 0.00 15.30 113.5 5 5 82.40 48.20 0.00 15.48 129.0 5 6 77.00 48.20 0.00 12.79 141.8 5 7 87.80 60.80 0.00 24.30 166.1 5 8 73.40 62.60 0.00 18.00 184.1 5 9 64.40 50.00 0.11 7.20 191.3 5 10 60.80 42.80 0.00 3.82 195.1 5 11 55.40 46.40 0.00 1.91 197.0 5 12 64.40 42.80 0.00 5.43 202.5 5 13 73.40 39.20 0.00 8.97 211.4 5 14 77.00 55.40 0.00 16.20 227.6 5 15 77.00 50.00 0.00 13.50 241.1 5 16 87.80 51.80 0.00 19.80 260.9 5 17 86.00 53.60 0.00 19.80 280.7 1st egg laying by ow females 5 18 84.20 57.20 0.00 20.70 301.4 5 19 69.80 50.00 0.16 9.90 311.3 5 20 73.40 42.80 0.00 9.62 321.0 5 21 71.60 55.40 0.00 13.50 334.5 5 22 75.20 57.20 0.00 16.20 350.7 5 23 82.40 57.20 0.00 19.80 370.5 5 24 91.40 69.80 0.04 30.02 400.5 5 25 87.80 66.20 0.53 27.00 427.5 5 26 93.20 64.40 0.00 27.84 455.3 5 27 89.60 60.80 0.00 25.04 480.4 5 28 98.60 69.80 0.00 31.36 511.7 Peak (ca. 50%) egg laying by ow females; 1st adult emerge 1st gen 5 29 91.40 68.00 1.04 29.14 540.9 5 30 71.60 64.40 0.27 18.00 558.9 5 31 84.20 62.60 0.00 23.40 582.3 1st egg laying by 1st gen females 6 1 78.80 60.80 0.00 19.80 602.1 6 2 68.00 55.40 0.00 11.70 613.8 6 3 71.60 53.60 0.00 12.60 626.4 6 4 87.80 50.00 0.00 18.90 645.3 6 5 80.60 59.00 0.00 19.80 665.1 6 6 78.80 60.80 0.62 19.80 684.9 6 7 78.80 55.40 0.00 17.10 702.0 6 8 75.20 64.40 0.00 19.80 721.8 6 9 75.20 62.60 0.00 18.90 740.7 6 10 77.00 62.60 0.00 19.80 760.5 Peak adult emerge 1st gen 6 11 73.40 64.40 0.00 18.90 779.4 6 12 80.60 64.40 0.00 22.50 801.9 6 13 80.60 55.40 0.00 18.00 819.9 6 14 82.40 60.80 0.00 21.60 841.5 6 15 93.20 69.80 0.00 30.43 871.9 6 16 86.00 69.80 0.00 27.90 899.8 6 17 89.60 71.60 0.60 30.40 930.2 6 18 78.80 66.20 0.62 22.50 952.7 6 19 69.80 64.40 0.20 17.10 969.8 6 20 80.60 64.40 0.00 22.50 992.3 6 21 78.80 64.40 0.00 21.60 1013.9 Peak egg laying by 1st gen females; max 2+ gens. 6 22 80.60 60.80 0.00 20.70 1034.6 6 23 82.40 57.20 0.00 19.80 1054.4 6 24 80.60 60.80 0.00 20.70 1075.1 6 25 79.50 60.80 0.00 20.15 1095.2 Px 6 26 82.00 64.40 2.98 23.20 1118.4 Px 6 27 122.60 56.60 0.00 28.28 1146.7 Px Pn 6 28 81.30 60.90 0.00 21.10 1167.8 Px Pn 6 29 98.60 75.30 0.00 33.75 1201.6 Pn 6 30 87.80 78.80 0.00 33.30 1234.9 7 1 78.80 62.60 0.06 20.70 1255.6 Peak adult emerge 2nd gen; max 3+ gens. 7 2 87.80 62.60 0.00 25.20 1280.8 7 3 82.40 69.80 0.00 26.10 1306.9 7 4 82.40 71.60 0.00 27.00 1333.9 7 5 82.40 64.40 0.00 23.40 1357.3 7 6 82.40 57.20 0.00 19.80 1377.1 7 7 84.20 64.40 0.00 24.30 1401.4 7 8 91.40 71.60 0.00 30.89 1432.3 7 9 89.60 69.80 0.00 29.51 1461.8 7 10 84.20 62.60 0.00 23.40 1485.2 7 11 89.60 69.80 0.00 29.51 1514.7 Peak egg laying by 2nd gen females; max 4+ gens. 7 12 89.60 73.40 0.00 31.28 1546.0 7 13 82.40 69.80 0.47 26.10 1572.1 7 14 87.80 64.40 0.00 26.10 1598.2 7 15 89.60 68.00 0.00 28.61 1626.8 7 16 86.00 60.80 0.00 23.40 1650.2 7 17 80.60 59.00 0.00 19.80 1670.0 7 18 82.40 59.00 0.00 20.70 1690.7 7 19 75.20 64.40 0.00 19.80 1710.5 7 20 78.80 64.40 0.11 21.60 1732.1 7 21 80.60 62.60 0.00 21.60 1753.7 Peak adult emerge 3rd gen; max 5 gens. 7 22 80.60 64.40 0.00 22.50 1776.2 7 23 82.40 60.80 0.00 21.60 1797.8 7 24 84.20 60.80 0.00 22.50 1820.3 7 25 80.60 62.60 0.00 21.60 1841.9 7 26 69.80 60.80 0.00 15.30 1857.2 7 27 78.80 55.40 0.00 17.10 1874.3 7 28 80.60 53.60 0.00 17.10 1891.4 7 29 82.40 55.40 0.00 18.90 1910.3 7 30 84.20 57.20 0.00 20.70 1931.0 7 31 86.00 60.80 0.00 23.40 1954.4 8 1 77.00 60.80 0.03 18.90 1973.3 8 2 69.80 55.40 0.00 12.60 1985.9 Peak egg laying by 3rd gen females; max 6+ gens. 8 3 80.60 57.20 0.30 18.90 2004.8 8 4 77.00 69.80 0.22 23.40 2028.2 8 5 86.00 69.80 0.00 27.90 2056.1 8 6 82.40 64.40 0.00 23.40 2079.5 8 7 80.60 62.60 0.00 21.60 2101.1 8 8 89.60 62.60 0.00 25.93 2127.0 8 9 87.80 66.20 0.00 27.00 2154.0 8 10 87.80 64.40 0.00 26.10 2180.1 8 11 89.60 64.40 0.00 26.83 2206.9 8 12 89.60 64.40 0.00 26.83 2233.8 8 13 93.20 69.80 0.00 30.43 2264.2 Peak adult emerge 4th gen; max 6+ gens. 8 14 89.60 71.60 0.00 30.40 2294.6 8 15 84.20 64.40 0.00 24.30 2318.9 8 16 86.00 64.40 0.00 25.20 2344.1 8 17 84.20 64.40 0.00 24.30 2368.4 8 18 84.20 60.80 0.00 22.50 2390.9 8 19 86.00 66.20 0.00 26.10 2417.0 8 20 78.80 64.40 0.00 21.60 2438.6 8 21 73.40 57.20 0.00 15.30 2453.9 8 22 82.40 51.80 0.00 17.10 2471.0 8 23 80.60 55.40 0.00 18.00 2489.0 Peak egg laying by 4th gen females; max 7+ gens. 8 24 73.40 64.40 0.17 18.90 2507.9 8 25 78.80 64.40 0.01 21.60 2529.5 8 26 87.80 62.60 0.00 25.20 2554.7 8 27 84.20 64.40 0.00 24.30 2579.0 8 28 66.20 55.40 0.00 10.80 2589.8 8 29 69.80 51.80 0.00 10.80 2600.6 8 30 78.80 53.60 0.00 16.20 2616.8 8 31 84.20 69.80 0.00 27.00 2643.8 9 1 86.00 71.60 0.00 28.80 2672.6 9 2 82.40 66.20 0.00 24.30 2696.9 9 3 77.00 62.60 0.00 19.80 2716.7 9 4 75.20 68.00 0.00 21.60 2738.3 Peak adult emerge 5th gen; max 8+ gens. 9 5 73.40 55.40 0.00 14.40 2752.7 9 6 73.40 46.40 0.00 10.47 2763.2 9 7 77.00 51.80 0.00 14.40 2777.6 9 8 75.20 51.80 0.00 13.50 2791.1 9 9 73.40 53.60 0.00 13.50 2804.6 9 10 80.60 53.60 0.00 17.10 2821.7 9 11 84.20 62.60 0.00 23.40 2845.1 9 12 84.20 71.60 0.00 27.90 2873.0 9 13 84.20 66.20 0.00 25.20 2898.2 9 14 87.80 71.60 0.00 29.70 2927.9 9 15 93.20 71.60 0.00 31.29 2959.2 Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 KANE PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
spotted wing Drosophila model - OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0
Location: 2018 KANE Minneapolis / Blaine
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME
DateDDsEvent
 5-17-18 2811st egg laying by ow females
 5-28-18 512Peak (ca. 50%) egg laying by ow females; 1st adult emerge 1st gen
 5-31-18 5821st egg laying by 1st gen females
 6-10-18 760Peak adult emerge 1st gen
 6-21-18 1014Peak egg laying by 1st gen females; max 2+ gens.
 7-1-18 1256Peak adult emerge 2nd gen; max 3+ gens.
 7-11-18 1515Peak egg laying by 2nd gen females; max 4+ gens.
 7-21-18 1754Peak adult emerge 3rd gen; max 5 gens.
 8-2-18 1986Peak egg laying by 3rd gen females; max 6+ gens.
 8-13-18 2264Peak adult emerge 4th gen; max 6+ gens.
 8-23-18 2489Peak egg laying by 4th gen females; max 7+ gens.
 9-4-18 2738Peak adult emerge 5th gen; max 8+ gens.
degree-day graph of spotted wing Drosophila [fruit] OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0