Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamageadult
spotted wing Drosophila [fruit]
invasive insect model of OSU IPPC model analysis vers. 3.0


Output from uspest.org/wea invasive insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: spotted wing Drosophila [fruit] Type: invasive insect Model source/other links: OSU IPPC model analysis vers. 3.0 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated-has been compared to 2 years of field data in PNW Region of known use: potential for use in US ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 261 DDs after Jan 1: 1st EGG LAYING BY OW FEMALES 2. 510 DDs after Jan 1: PEAK (ca. 50%) EGG LAYING BY OW FEMALES; 1st ADULT EMERGE 1st GEN 3. 565 DDs after Jan 1: 1st EGG LAYING BY 1st GEN FEMALES 4. 755 DDs after Jan 1: PEAK ADULT EMERGE 1st GEN 5. 995 DDs after Jan 1: PEAK EGG LAYING BY 1st GEN FEMALES; MAX 2+ GENS. 6. 1249 DDs after Jan 1: PEAK ADULT EMERGE 2nd GEN; MAX 3+ GENS. 7. 1489 DDs after Jan 1: PEAK EGG LAYING BY 2nd GEN FEMALES; MAX 4+ GENS. 8. 1743 DDs after Jan 1: PEAK ADULT EMERGE 3rd GEN; MAX 5 GENS. 9. 1983 DDs after Jan 1: PEAK EGG LAYING BY 3rd GEN FEMALES; MAX 6+ GENS. 10. 2237 DDs after Jan 1: PEAK ADULT EMERGE 4th GEN; MAX 6+ GENS. 11. 2477 DDs after Jan 1: PEAK EGG LAYING BY 4th GEN FEMALES; MAX 7+ GENS. 12. 2731 DDs after Jan 1: PEAK ADULT EMERGE 5th GEN; MAX 8+ GENS. 13. 2971 DDs after Jan 1: PEAK EGG LAYING BY 5th GEN FEMALES; MAX 9+ GENS. ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2018 AR076 APRSWXNET Erie N3BXL PA Lat42.0900 Long:-80.1728 Elev:722 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 35.40 23.50 0.10 0.00 0.0 * START *NMME 1 2 35.30 23.30 0.10 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 3 35.20 23.10 0.10 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 4 35.10 23.00 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 5 35.00 22.80 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 6 34.90 22.60 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 7 34.80 22.50 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 8 34.70 22.30 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 9 34.60 22.20 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 10 34.60 22.00 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 11 34.50 21.90 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 12 34.50 21.80 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 13 34.40 21.70 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 14 34.40 21.60 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 15 34.30 21.50 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 16 34.30 21.40 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 17 34.20 21.30 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 18 34.20 21.20 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 19 34.20 21.10 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 20 34.20 21.00 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 21 34.20 21.00 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 22 34.20 20.90 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 23 34.20 20.90 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 24 34.20 20.80 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 25 34.20 20.80 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 26 34.30 20.80 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 27 34.30 20.80 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 28 34.30 20.70 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 29 34.40 20.70 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 30 34.40 20.70 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 1 31 34.50 20.70 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 1 34.40 20.60 0.07 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 2 34.50 20.60 0.07 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 3 34.50 20.60 0.07 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 4 34.60 20.70 0.07 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 5 34.70 20.70 0.07 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 6 34.80 20.80 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 7 34.90 20.80 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 8 35.00 20.90 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 9 35.10 21.00 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 10 35.20 21.10 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 11 35.30 21.10 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 12 35.50 21.20 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 13 35.60 21.30 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 14 35.70 21.50 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 15 35.90 21.60 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 16 36.00 21.70 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 17 36.20 21.90 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 18 36.40 22.00 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 19 36.50 22.20 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 20 36.70 22.30 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 21 36.90 22.50 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 22 37.10 22.70 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 23 37.30 22.80 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 24 37.50 23.00 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 25 37.70 23.20 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 26 37.90 23.40 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 27 38.10 23.70 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 2 28 38.30 23.90 0.08 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 1 38.40 24.00 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 2 38.70 24.20 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 3 38.90 24.40 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 4 39.20 24.70 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 5 39.40 24.90 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 6 39.70 25.20 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 7 40.00 25.50 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 8 40.30 25.70 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 9 40.60 26.00 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 10 40.90 26.30 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 11 41.20 26.60 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 12 41.60 26.90 0.09 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 13 41.90 27.20 0.10 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 14 42.20 27.50 0.10 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 15 42.60 27.80 0.10 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 16 42.90 28.10 0.10 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 17 43.30 28.40 0.10 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 18 43.70 28.70 0.10 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 19 44.10 29.10 0.10 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 20 44.50 29.40 0.10 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 21 44.90 29.70 0.10 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 22 45.30 30.10 0.10 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 23 45.70 30.40 0.10 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 24 46.20 30.80 0.10 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 25 46.60 31.20 0.10 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 26 47.00 31.50 0.10 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 27 47.50 31.90 0.10 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 28 48.00 32.30 0.11 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 29 48.40 32.70 0.11 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 30 48.90 33.10 0.11 0.00 0.0 NMME 3 31 49.40 33.40 0.11 0.00 0.0 NMME 4 1 49.60 33.50 0.10 0.00 0.0 NMME 4 2 50.10 33.90 0.10 0.00 0.0 NMME 4 3 50.60 34.30 0.10 0.05 0.1 NMME 4 4 51.00 34.70 0.10 0.11 0.2 NMME 4 5 51.50 35.10 0.10 0.19 0.4 NMME 4 6 52.00 35.50 0.10 0.30 0.7 NMME 4 7 52.50 35.90 0.10 0.42 1.1 NMME 4 8 52.90 36.20 0.10 0.52 1.6 NMME 4 9 53.40 36.60 0.10 0.66 2.3 NMME 4 10 53.80 37.00 0.10 0.79 3.0 NMME 4 11 54.20 37.40 0.10 0.92 4.0 NMME 4 12 54.70 37.70 0.10 1.08 5.0 NMME 4 13 55.10 38.10 0.10 1.23 6.3 NMME 4 14 55.50 38.50 0.10 1.38 7.6 NMME 4 15 55.90 38.80 0.11 1.53 9.2 NMME 4 16 56.30 39.20 0.11 1.69 10.9 NMME 4 17 56.70 39.60 0.11 1.86 12.7 NMME 4 18 57.10 39.90 0.11 2.03 14.7 NMME 4 19 57.50 40.30 0.11 2.21 17.0 NMME 4 20 57.90 40.60 0.11 2.39 19.3 NMME 4 21 58.30 41.00 0.11 2.58 21.9 NMME 4 22 58.60 41.30 0.11 2.73 24.7 NMME 4 23 59.00 41.60 0.11 2.92 27.6 NMME 4 24 59.30 42.00 0.11 3.09 30.7 NMME 4 25 59.70 42.30 0.11 3.29 33.9 NMME 4 26 60.00 42.70 0.11 3.46 37.4 NMME 4 27 60.40 43.00 0.11 3.67 41.1 NMME 4 28 60.70 43.30 0.11 3.84 44.9 NMME 4 29 61.00 43.60 0.11 4.02 48.9 NMME 4 30 61.30 44.00 0.11 4.21 53.2 NMME 5 1 61.30 43.90 0.11 4.19 57.3 NMME 5 2 61.60 44.30 0.10 4.39 61.7 NMME 5 3 61.90 44.60 0.10 4.57 66.3 NMME 5 4 62.20 44.90 0.10 4.76 71.1 NMME 5 5 62.60 45.20 0.10 5.00 76.1 NMME 5 6 62.90 45.60 0.10 5.22 81.3 NMME 5 7 63.20 45.90 0.10 5.42 86.7 NMME 5 8 63.50 46.20 0.10 5.62 92.3 NMME 5 9 63.90 46.50 0.10 5.88 98.2 NMME 5 10 64.20 46.90 0.10 6.12 104.3 NMME 5 11 64.50 47.20 0.10 6.34 110.7 NMME 5 12 64.80 47.50 0.10 6.56 117.2 NMME 5 13 65.20 47.90 0.10 6.86 124.1 NMME 5 14 65.50 48.20 0.10 7.10 131.2 NMME 5 15 65.80 48.60 0.10 7.37 138.6 NMME 5 16 66.20 48.90 0.10 7.67 146.2 NMME 5 17 66.50 49.30 0.10 7.96 154.2 NMME 5 18 66.90 49.60 0.10 8.28 162.5 NMME 5 19 67.20 49.90 0.10 8.55 171.0 NMME 5 20 67.50 50.30 0.11 8.90 179.9 NMME 5 21 67.90 50.60 0.11 9.25 189.2 NMME 5 22 68.20 51.00 0.11 9.60 198.8 NMME 5 23 68.60 51.30 0.11 9.95 208.7 NMME 5 24 68.90 51.70 0.11 10.30 219.0 NMME 5 25 69.30 52.00 0.11 10.65 229.7 NMME 5 26 69.60 52.40 0.11 11.00 240.7 NMME 5 27 70.00 52.80 0.11 11.40 252.1 NMME 5 28 70.40 53.10 0.11 11.75 263.8 NMME 1st EGG LAYING BY OW FEMALES 5 29 70.70 53.50 0.11 12.10 275.9 NMME 5 30 71.10 53.80 0.11 12.45 288.4 NMME 5 31 71.40 54.20 0.11 12.80 301.2 NMME 6 1 73.00 55.70 0.11 14.35 315.5 NMME 6 2 73.30 56.10 0.11 14.70 330.2 NMME 6 3 73.70 56.40 0.11 15.05 345.3 NMME 6 4 74.00 56.80 0.11 15.40 360.7 NMME 6 5 74.30 57.10 0.11 15.70 376.4 NMME 6 6 74.70 57.50 0.11 16.10 392.5 NMME 6 7 75.00 57.80 0.11 16.40 408.9 NMME 6 8 75.30 58.10 0.11 16.70 425.6 NMME 6 9 75.60 58.40 0.11 17.00 442.6 NMME 6 10 75.90 58.70 0.11 17.30 459.9 NMME 6 11 76.20 59.00 0.11 17.60 477.5 NMME 6 12 76.40 59.30 0.12 17.85 495.3 NMME 6 13 76.70 59.60 0.12 18.15 513.5 NMME PEAK (ca. 50%) EGG LAYING BY OW FEMALES; 1st ADULT EMERGE 1st GEN 6 14 76.90 59.90 0.12 18.40 531.9 NMME 6 15 77.20 60.10 0.12 18.65 550.5 NMME 6 16 77.40 60.40 0.12 18.90 569.4 NMME 1st EGG LAYING BY 1st GEN FEMALES 6 17 77.60 60.70 0.11 19.15 588.6 NMME 6 18 77.90 60.90 0.11 19.40 608.0 NMME 6 19 78.10 61.20 0.11 19.65 627.6 NMME 6 20 78.30 61.40 0.11 19.85 647.5 NMME 6 21 78.50 61.60 0.11 20.05 667.5 NMME 6 22 78.70 61.90 0.11 20.30 687.8 NMME 6 23 78.80 62.10 0.11 20.45 708.3 NMME 6 24 79.00 62.30 0.11 20.65 728.9 NMME 6 25 79.20 62.50 0.11 20.85 749.8 NMME 6 26 79.30 62.70 0.11 21.00 770.8 NMME PEAK ADULT EMERGE 1st GEN 6 27 79.50 62.90 0.11 21.20 792.0 NMME 6 28 79.60 63.10 0.11 21.35 813.3 NMME 6 29 79.70 63.30 0.11 21.50 834.8 NMME 6 30 79.80 63.50 0.11 21.65 856.5 NMME 7 1 80.10 63.80 0.10 21.95 878.4 NMME 7 2 80.20 63.90 0.10 22.05 900.5 NMME 7 3 80.30 64.10 0.10 22.20 922.7 NMME 7 4 80.40 64.20 0.10 22.30 945.0 NMME 7 5 80.50 64.40 0.10 22.45 967.4 NMME 7 6 80.60 64.50 0.10 22.55 990.0 NMME 7 7 80.60 64.60 0.10 22.60 1012.6 NMME PEAK EGG LAYING BY 1st GEN FEMALES; MAX 2+ GENS. 7 8 80.70 64.70 0.10 22.70 1035.3 NMME 7 9 80.80 64.90 0.10 22.85 1058.1 NMME 7 10 80.90 65.00 0.10 22.95 1081.1 NMME 7 11 80.90 65.10 0.09 23.00 1104.1 NMME 7 12 81.00 65.20 0.09 23.10 1127.2 NMME 7 13 81.00 65.20 0.09 23.10 1150.3 NMME 7 14 81.10 65.30 0.09 23.20 1173.5 NMME 7 15 81.10 65.40 0.09 23.25 1196.7 NMME 7 16 81.20 65.50 0.09 23.35 1220.1 NMME 7 17 81.20 65.50 0.09 23.35 1243.4 NMME 7 18 81.20 65.60 0.09 23.40 1266.8 NMME PEAK ADULT EMERGE 2nd GEN; MAX 3+ GENS. 7 19 81.30 65.60 0.09 23.45 1290.3 NMME 7 20 81.30 65.60 0.09 23.45 1313.7 NMME 7 21 81.30 65.70 0.09 23.50 1337.2 NMME 7 22 81.30 65.70 0.09 23.50 1360.7 NMME 7 23 81.30 65.70 0.09 23.50 1384.2 NMME 7 24 81.30 65.70 0.09 23.50 1407.7 NMME 7 25 81.30 65.70 0.09 23.50 1431.2 NMME 7 26 81.30 65.70 0.09 23.50 1454.7 NMME 7 27 81.30 65.70 0.09 23.50 1478.2 NMME 7 28 81.30 65.70 0.09 23.50 1501.7 NMME PEAK EGG LAYING BY 2nd GEN FEMALES; MAX 4+ GENS. 7 29 81.30 65.70 0.09 23.50 1525.2 NMME 7 30 81.30 65.60 0.09 23.45 1548.7 NMME 7 31 81.20 65.60 0.09 23.40 1572.1 NMME 8 1 80.40 66.00 0.03 23.20 1595.3 Hx Hn 8 2 80.50 65.90 0.04 23.20 1618.5 Hx Hn 8 3 81.80 66.90 0.13 24.35 1642.8 Hx Hn 8 4 80.70 66.70 0.04 23.70 1666.5 Hx Hn 8 5 81.80 66.10 0.02 23.95 1690.5 Hx Hn 8 6 78.80 65.00 0.16 21.90 1712.4 Hx Hn 8 7 76.70 62.60 0.04 19.65 1732.0 Hx Hn 8 8 77.40 65.40 0.18 21.40 1753.4 Hx Hn PEAK ADULT EMERGE 3rd GEN; MAX 5 GENS. 8 9 79.80 64.60 0.07 22.20 1775.6 Hx Hn 8 10 80.10 66.90 0.55 23.50 1799.1 Hx Hn 8 11 78.90 65.20 0.21 22.05 1821.2 Hx Hn 8 12 77.70 65.90 0.09 21.80 1843.0 Hx Hn 8 13 77.60 64.30 0.27 20.95 1863.9 Hx Hn 8 14 77.50 62.70 0.09 20.10 1884.0 Hx Hn 8 15 76.20 62.80 0.09 19.50 1903.5 Hx Hn 8 16 76.90 63.60 0.03 20.25 1923.8 Hx Hn 8 17 79.50 63.90 0.06 21.70 1945.5 Hx Hn 8 18 79.70 64.60 0.00 22.15 1967.6 Hx Hn 8 19 77.30 62.80 0.09 20.05 1987.7 Hx Hn PEAK EGG LAYING BY 3rd GEN FEMALES; MAX 6+ GENS. 8 20 78.00 64.20 0.08 21.10 2008.8 Hx Hn 8 21 78.80 65.10 0.34 21.95 2030.7 Hx Hn 8 22 77.90 64.10 0.17 21.00 2051.7 Hx Hn 8 23 77.40 63.10 0.02 20.25 2072.0 Hx Hn 8 24 78.20 64.60 0.13 21.40 2093.4 Hx Hn 8 25 79.90 63.70 0.13 21.80 2115.2 Hx Hn 8 26 78.20 63.80 0.04 21.00 2136.2 Hx Hn 8 27 76.90 62.00 0.08 19.45 2155.6 Hx Hn 8 28 75.50 63.00 0.12 19.25 2174.9 Hx Hn 8 29 75.40 61.70 0.06 18.55 2193.4 Hx Hn 8 30 78.10 62.80 0.02 20.45 2213.9 Hx Hn 8 31 78.80 63.60 0.07 21.20 2235.1 Hx Hn 9 1 78.70 64.00 0.25 21.35 2256.4 Hx Hn PEAK ADULT EMERGE 4th GEN; MAX 6+ GENS. 9 2 79.20 64.90 0.05 22.05 2278.5 Hx Hn 9 3 79.70 63.90 0.04 21.80 2300.3 Hx Hn 9 4 79.60 63.10 0.12 21.35 2321.6 Hx Hn 9 5 77.90 63.40 0.06 20.65 2342.3 Hx Hn 9 6 77.40 62.40 0.11 19.90 2362.2 Hx Hn 9 7 76.50 63.10 0.02 19.80 2382.0 Hx Hn 9 8 79.30 65.40 0.15 22.35 2404.3 Hx Hn 9 9 75.30 63.70 0.31 19.50 2423.8 Hx Hn 9 10 73.00 60.30 0.18 16.65 2440.5 Hx Hn 9 11 75.60 60.30 0.21 17.95 2458.4 Hx Hn 9 12 72.40 58.60 0.26 15.50 2473.9 Hx Hn 9 13 69.90 58.40 0.21 14.15 2488.1 Hx Hn PEAK EGG LAYING BY 4th GEN FEMALES; MAX 7+ GENS. 9 14 71.80 57.30 0.09 14.55 2502.6 Hx Hn 9 15 71.90 54.30 0.10 13.10 2515.7 Hx Hn
DD accumulation on 8-12-18: 1843QA 100% ok  Consider using a different Station!  
  
This year is about  versus  QA
 8 days behind 2017 75% est. w/Px
 12 days behind 2016 ok
 5 days ahead 30-yr normal ok
Forecast using: NWS NDFD 7-day Forecast data
  8 13  79.00 61.00  0.00  20.00   2535.7  Partly_Cloudy_5%_precip    
  8 14  80.00 63.00  0.00  21.50   2557.2  Partly_Cloudy_24%_precip    
  8 15  81.00 66.00  0.00  23.50   2580.7  Partly_Cloudy_31%_precip    
  8 16  80.00 67.00  0.00  23.50   2604.2  Cloudy_60%_precip    
  8 17  77.00 66.00  0.00  21.50   2625.7  Mostly_Cloudy_52%_precip    
  8 18  77.00 63.00  0.00  20.00   2645.7  Partly_Cloudy_16%_precip    
  8 19  78.00 61.00  0.00  19.50   2665.2  Partly_Cloudy_14%_precip    
Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg AR076 2006-2015
  8 20  77.40 64.20  0.12  20.80   2686.0  *hist_fcst*    
  8 21  77.10 63.90  0.33  20.50   2706.5  *hist_fcst*    
  8 22  77.60 63.70  0.13  20.65   2727.2  *hist_fcst*    
  8 23  77.70 63.40  0.02  20.55   2747.7  *hist_fcst*   PEAK ADULT EMERGE 5th GEN; MAX 8+ GENS.
  8 24  78.00 64.60  0.13  21.30   2769.0  *hist_fcst*    
  8 25  79.00 63.10  0.14  21.05   2790.1  *hist_fcst*    
  8 26  77.20 62.80  0.04  20.00   2810.1  *hist_fcst*    
  8 27  76.90 62.60  0.10  19.75   2829.8  *hist_fcst*    
  8 28  74.30 62.90  0.15  18.60   2848.4  *hist_fcst*    
  8 29  74.30 61.10  0.21  17.70   2866.1  *hist_fcst*    
  8 30  77.10 63.10  0.02  20.10   2886.2  *hist_fcst*    
  8 31  77.90 62.30  0.07  20.10   2906.3  *hist_fcst*    
  9  1  78.10 63.20  0.07  20.65   2927.0  *hist_fcst*    
  9  2  78.90 64.60  0.06  21.75   2948.7  *hist_fcst*    
  9  3  78.40 63.90  0.11  21.15   2969.9  *hist_fcst*    
  9  4  78.80 63.00  0.12  20.90   2990.8  *hist_fcst*   PEAK EGG LAYING BY 5th GEN FEMALES; MAX 9+ GENS. 
  9  5  77.10 63.30  0.06  20.20   3011.0  *hist_fcst*    
  9  6  76.20 61.60  0.11  18.90   3029.9  *hist_fcst*    
  9  7  75.30 61.60  0.04  18.45   3048.3  *hist_fcst*    
  9  8  77.90 63.80  0.15  20.85   3069.2  *hist_fcst*    
  9  9  74.40 62.80  0.18  18.60   3087.8  *hist_fcst*    
  9 10  72.30 59.20  0.19  15.75   3103.5  *hist_fcst*    
  9 11  73.10 59.10  0.05  16.10   3119.6  *hist_fcst*    
  9 12  72.20 59.00  0.29  15.60   3135.2  *hist_fcst*    
  9 13  69.00 58.30  0.26  13.65   3148.9  *hist_fcst*    
  9 14  70.80 57.10  0.11  13.95   3162.8  *hist_fcst*    
  9 15  71.80 55.20  0.11  13.50   3176.3  *hist_fcst*    
spotted wing Drosophila model - OSU IPPC model analysis vers. 3.0
Location: 2018 AR076 Erie N3BXL PA
DD accumulation on 8-12-18: 1843 QA 100% ok  - check weather data/Consider using a different Station! 
  
This year is about  versus  QA
 8 days behind 2017 75% est. w/Px
 12 days behind 2016 ok
 5 days ahead 30-yr normal ok
DateDDsEvent
 5-28-18 2641st EGG LAYING BY OW FEMALES
 6-13-18 513PEAK (ca. 50%) EGG LAYING BY OW FEMALES; 1st ADULT EMERGE 1st GEN
 6-16-18 5691st EGG LAYING BY 1st GEN FEMALES
 6-26-18 771PEAK ADULT EMERGE 1st GEN
 7-7-18 1013PEAK EGG LAYING BY 1st GEN FEMALES; MAX 2+ GENS.
 7-18-18 1267PEAK ADULT EMERGE 2nd GEN; MAX 3+ GENS.
 7-28-18 1502PEAK EGG LAYING BY 2nd GEN FEMALES; MAX 4+ GENS.
 8-8-18 1753PEAK ADULT EMERGE 3rd GEN; MAX 5 GENS.
 8-19-18 1988PEAK EGG LAYING BY 3rd GEN FEMALES; MAX 6+ GENS.
 9-1-18 2256PEAK ADULT EMERGE 4th GEN; MAX 6+ GENS.
 9-13-18 2488PEAK EGG LAYING BY 4th GEN FEMALES; MAX 7+ GENS.
 8-23-18 2748PEAK ADULT EMERGE 5th GEN; MAX 8+ GENS.
 9-4-18 2991PEAK EGG LAYING BY 5th GEN FEMALES; MAX 9+ GENS.
degree-day graph of spotted wing Drosophila [fruit] OSU IPPC model analysis vers. 3.0