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invasive insect model of OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0 |
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Output from uspest.org/wea invasive insect degree-day/phenology model program: Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: spotted wing Drosophila [fruit] Type: invasive insect Model source/other links: OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 No ending date, set to: default date 12 31 Model validation status: partly validated-has been compared to 2 years of field data in PNW Region of known use: potential for use in US ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 261 DDs after Jan 1: 1st egg laying by ow females 2. 510 DDs after Jan 1: Peak (ca. 50%) egg laying by ow females; 1st adult emerge 1st gen 3. 565 DDs after Jan 1: 1st egg laying by 1st gen females 4. 755 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 1st gen 5. 995 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 1st gen females; max 2+ gens. 6. 1249 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 2nd gen; max 3+ gens. 7. 1489 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 2nd gen females; max 4+ gens. 8. 1743 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 3rd gen; max 5 gens. 9. 1983 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 3rd gen females; max 6+ gens. 10. 2237 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 4th gen; max 6+ gens. 11. 2477 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 4th gen females; max 7+ gens. 12. 2731 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 5th gen; max 8+ gens. 13. 2971 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 5th gen females; max 9+ gens. ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2018 CWZA CANADA Agassiz Auto RePting S BC Lat:49.2500 Long:-121.7667 Elev:49 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 30.90 24.60 0.13 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 36.00 29.10 0.28 0.00 0.0 1 3 40.80 31.30 0.21 0.00 0.0 1 4 39.90 36.50 0.17 0.00 0.0 1 5 39.90 34.90 0.14 0.00 0.0 1 6 40.80 34.70 0.38 0.00 0.0 1 7 37.20 33.60 0.27 0.00 0.0 1 8 40.80 33.60 0.24 0.00 0.0 1 9 42.80 34.70 0.60 0.00 0.0 1 10 42.60 35.40 0.29 0.00 0.0 1 11 36.00 29.50 0.15 0.00 0.0 1 12 32.00 28.40 0.40 0.00 0.0 1 13 41.00 31.30 0.20 0.00 0.0 1 14 52.00 39.70 0.04 0.35 0.3 1 15 50.70 45.50 0.10 0.11 0.5 1 16 48.40 41.20 0.11 0.00 0.5 1 17 47.10 41.90 0.38 0.00 0.5 1 18 46.90 39.40 0.19 0.00 0.5 1 19 40.80 31.60 0.22 0.00 0.5 1 20 44.10 37.00 0.25 0.00 0.5 1 21 45.00 38.30 0.38 0.00 0.5 1 22 46.90 35.10 0.42 0.00 0.5 1 23 40.80 32.90 0.50 0.00 0.5 1 24 41.50 32.90 0.36 0.00 0.5 1 25 40.50 31.30 0.29 0.00 0.5 1 26 43.00 34.00 0.24 0.00 0.5 1 27 39.90 33.10 0.45 0.00 0.5 1 28 40.50 34.90 0.68 0.00 0.5 1 29 46.60 39.70 1.85 0.00 0.5 1 30 46.60 39.20 0.08 0.00 0.5 1 31 40.60 36.10 0.24 0.00 0.5 2 1 41.70 32.90 0.37 0.00 0.5 2 2 48.40 38.30 0.81 0.00 0.5 2 3 49.50 45.50 1.38 0.00 0.5 2 4 52.00 38.30 1.01 0.33 0.8 2 5 48.70 43.00 0.12 0.00 0.8 2 6 44.60 38.50 0.39 0.00 0.8 2 7 48.90 43.30 0.46 0.00 0.8 2 8 53.10 41.00 0.43 0.68 1.5 2 9 40.30 34.70 0.00 0.00 1.5 2 10 39.70 28.20 0.01 0.00 1.5 2 11 45.30 30.00 0.00 0.00 1.5 2 12 39.60 29.50 0.01 0.00 1.5 2 13 41.00 27.00 0.02 0.00 1.5 2 14 38.50 31.60 0.33 0.00 1.5 2 15 40.60 30.40 0.05 0.00 1.5 2 16 44.10 31.30 0.65 0.00 1.5 2 17 43.50 31.30 1.12 0.00 1.5 2 18 36.50 27.30 0.02 0.00 1.5 2 19 33.30 25.00 0.00 0.00 1.5 2 20 35.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 1.5 2 21 36.00 23.00 0.01 0.00 1.5 Mx Mn 2 22 38.10 26.10 0.00 0.00 1.5 2 23 29.30 25.20 0.36 0.00 1.5 2 24 37.20 27.70 0.31 0.00 1.5 2 25 42.30 34.30 0.19 0.00 1.5 2 26 38.50 31.30 0.14 0.00 1.5 2 27 41.50 33.30 0.33 0.00 1.5 2 28 43.20 32.90 0.00 0.00 1.5 3 1 43.00 36.70 0.20 0.00 1.5 3 2 38.80 31.30 0.42 0.00 1.5 3 3 43.00 32.90 0.24 0.00 1.5 3 4 37.20 31.30 0.06 0.00 1.5 3 5 43.30 31.30 0.04 0.00 1.5 3 6 47.50 32.90 0.00 0.00 1.5 3 7 49.30 34.70 0.00 0.00 1.5 3 8 45.90 38.70 0.73 0.00 1.5 3 9 49.30 37.00 0.35 0.00 1.5 3 10 53.20 34.30 0.00 0.57 2.0 3 11 60.40 40.10 0.00 3.36 5.4 3 12 65.10 45.90 0.01 6.32 11.7 3 13 56.70 45.90 0.12 2.42 14.1 3 14 46.80 36.70 0.18 0.00 14.1 3 15 55.00 36.10 0.00 1.12 15.3 3 16 58.80 42.30 0.00 2.91 18.2 3 17 56.50 40.60 0.00 1.85 20.0 3 18 52.00 37.80 0.01 0.32 20.3 3 19 50.20 37.60 0.00 0.01 20.4 3 20 50.70 38.50 0.00 0.07 20.4 3 21 60.10 41.50 0.00 3.37 23.8 3 22 51.60 34.30 0.42 0.21 24.0 3 23 43.30 33.30 0.11 0.00 24.0 3 24 45.90 34.30 0.00 0.00 24.0 3 25 49.50 31.30 0.05 0.00 24.0 3 26 44.20 39.00 0.61 0.00 24.0 3 27 55.20 41.90 0.47 1.44 25.4 3 28 51.60 44.10 0.00 0.32 25.8 3 29 46.60 41.50 0.13 0.00 25.8 3 30 56.50 45.00 0.18 2.22 28.0 3 31 55.00 43.00 0.00 1.44 29.4 4 1 46.80 38.30 0.14 0.00 29.4 4 2 48.40 33.60 0.10 0.00 29.4 4 3 48.20 39.00 0.01 0.00 29.4 4 4 51.40 38.30 0.05 0.20 29.6 4 5 49.60 41.90 0.41 0.00 29.6 4 6 58.80 45.50 0.04 3.30 32.9 4 7 54.50 48.40 0.21 1.81 34.7 4 8 55.90 46.20 0.17 2.11 36.8 4 9 58.60 46.90 0.03 3.45 40.3 4 10 52.50 43.20 0.20 0.57 40.8 4 11 54.10 41.90 0.10 1.05 41.9 4 12 50.40 39.00 0.33 0.03 41.9 4 13 45.10 39.70 0.77 0.00 41.9 4 14 52.20 42.40 0.62 0.45 42.4 4 15 57.70 42.60 0.17 2.48 44.9 4 16 53.20 41.90 0.76 0.75 45.6 4 17 52.70 42.30 0.19 0.60 46.2 4 18 58.30 40.10 0.02 2.51 48.7 4 19 59.90 42.60 0.01 3.41 52.1 4 20 61.00 39.70 0.05 3.57 55.7 4 21 55.90 44.60 0.30 1.93 57.6 4 22 61.00 36.50 0.02 3.29 60.9 4 23 71.40 45.70 0.05 9.31 70.2 4 24 74.50 49.10 0.00 11.87 82.1 4 25 77.70 54.10 0.01 15.90 98.0 4 26 83.10 56.30 0.02 19.70 117.7 4 27 70.00 56.80 0.00 13.40 131.1 4 28 53.10 48.70 0.11 1.21 132.3 4 29 54.00 47.50 0.07 1.44 133.7 4 30 55.20 47.30 0.05 1.95 135.7 5 1 63.70 47.30 0.25 5.97 141.7 5 2 68.00 41.20 0.00 6.82 148.5 5 3 72.70 45.90 0.00 9.99 158.5 5 4 59.40 50.50 0.00 4.95 163.4 5 5 74.10 46.20 0.00 10.75 174.2 5 6 79.30 60.30 0.00 19.80 194.0 5 7 71.40 49.10 0.00 10.33 204.3 5 8 82.00 52.30 0.04 17.15 221.4 5 9 62.80 50.90 0.26 6.85 228.3 5 10 60.40 48.70 0.19 4.74 233.0 5 11 68.50 49.60 0.00 9.07 242.1 5 12 78.10 50.00 0.00 14.05 256.2 5 13 88.00 59.90 0.01 23.95 280.1 1st egg laying by ow females 5 14 86.00 62.80 0.00 24.40 304.5 5 15 79.30 60.60 0.00 19.95 324.5 5 16 69.80 54.50 0.00 12.15 336.6 5 17 66.60 56.10 0.00 11.35 348.0 5 18 65.80 57.40 0.00 11.60 359.6 5 19 66.40 55.90 0.00 11.15 370.7 5 20 64.40 54.50 0.13 9.45 380.2 5 21 70.70 54.70 0.00 12.70 392.9 5 22 79.50 49.10 0.00 14.37 407.2 5 23 81.00 55.40 0.00 18.20 425.4 5 24 71.40 55.90 0.00 13.65 439.1 5 25 70.50 51.30 0.00 10.90 450.0 5 26 65.30 48.40 0.00 7.06 457.0 5 27 74.10 48.70 0.00 11.53 468.6 5 28 70.50 52.70 0.00 11.60 480.2 5 29 66.20 50.50 0.00 8.35 488.5 5 30 67.30 46.60 0.00 7.54 496.0 5 31 63.70 43.70 0.00 5.25 501.3 6 1 61.30 52.50 0.01 6.90 508.2 6 2 74.30 52.70 0.01 13.50 521.7 Peak (ca. 50%) egg laying by ow females; 1st adult emerge 1st gen 6 3 59.70 49.10 0.70 4.51 526.2 6 4 64.60 47.70 0.01 6.52 532.7 6 5 63.50 46.20 0.00 5.62 538.4 6 6 73.00 47.30 0.00 10.53 548.9 6 7 63.70 48.00 0.00 6.16 555.0 6 8 61.50 50.90 0.34 6.20 561.2 6 9 64.40 49.10 0.30 6.84 568.1 1st egg laying by 1st gen females 6 10 59.90 46.80 0.26 4.04 572.1 6 11 62.80 47.30 0.33 5.54 577.7 6 12 65.10 46.00 0.00 6.34 584.0 6 13 57.60 52.00 0.74 4.80 588.8 6 14 63.00 51.80 0.08 7.40 596.2 6 15 69.60 51.80 0.00 10.70 606.9 6 16 82.80 54.00 0.01 18.40 625.3 6 17 87.60 62.80 0.01 25.20 650.5 6 18 87.30 62.40 0.01 24.85 675.3 6 19 84.70 56.30 0.00 20.50 695.8 6 20 87.30 58.50 0.00 22.90 718.7 6 21 67.80 61.70 0.00 14.75 733.5 6 22 64.60 58.10 0.00 11.35 744.8 6 23 70.30 56.30 0.00 13.30 758.1 Peak adult emerge 1st gen 6 24 80.20 55.60 0.02 17.90 776.0 6 25 71.00 56.30 0.40 13.65 789.7 6 26 67.00 52.70 0.11 9.85 799.5 6 27 65.00 55.00 0.00 10.00 809.5 Mx Mn 6 28 64.00 56.00 0.00 10.00 819.5 Mx Mn 6 29 63.70 57.00 0.00 10.35 829.9 Mn 6 30 61.50 58.80 0.15 10.15 840.0 7 1 68.00 53.60 0.07 10.80 850.8 7 2 63.70 50.90 0.29 7.30 858.1 7 3 73.40 51.80 0.00 12.60 870.7 7 4 85.10 61.90 0.01 23.50 894.2 7 5 86.00 62.40 0.00 24.20 918.4 7 6 75.70 60.30 0.07 18.00 936.4 7 7 69.40 57.40 0.67 13.40 949.8 7 8 78.30 57.00 0.00 17.65 967.5 7 9 73.60 55.90 0.04 14.75 982.2 7 10 66.70 58.10 0.00 12.40 994.6 7 11 80.60 57.70 0.00 19.15 1013.8 Peak egg laying by 1st gen females; max 2+ gens. 7 12 83.70 56.10 0.00 19.90 1033.7 7 13 81.30 55.80 0.00 18.55 1052.2 7 14 88.90 56.70 0.00 22.74 1075.0 7 15 88.50 63.90 0.00 26.17 1101.2 7 16 89.10 54.90 0.00 21.92 1123.1 7 17 86.00 57.00 0.00 21.50 1144.6 7 18 76.80 58.10 0.00 17.45 1162.0 7 19 66.60 54.50 0.00 10.55 1172.6 7 20 72.30 56.50 0.00 14.40 1187.0 7 21 75.60 50.00 0.00 12.80 1199.8 7 22 86.50 56.50 0.00 21.50 1221.3 7 23 89.10 58.30 0.00 23.61 1244.9 7 24 87.60 58.10 0.00 22.85 1267.7 Peak adult emerge 2nd gen; max 3+ gens. 7 25 88.00 61.90 0.00 24.95 1292.7 7 26 87.40 59.00 0.00 23.20 1315.9 7 27 86.00 60.30 0.00 23.15 1339.0 7 28 86.40 59.00 0.00 22.70 1361.7 7 29 90.90 60.30 0.00 25.22 1386.9 7 30 93.40 63.00 0.00 27.22 1414.2 7 31 82.90 61.70 0.00 22.30 1436.5 8 1 74.80 58.80 0.00 16.80 1453.3 8 2 72.00 55.40 0.01 13.70 1467.0 8 3 69.80 60.80 0.00 15.30 1482.3 8 4 79.90 59.90 0.00 19.90 1502.2 Peak egg laying by 2nd gen females; max 4+ gens. 8 5 84.70 63.50 0.00 24.10 1526.3 8 6 87.30 56.70 0.00 22.00 1548.3 8 7 89.10 59.00 0.00 23.96 1572.2 8 8 93.60 58.30 0.00 24.99 1597.2 8 9 93.00 62.10 0.00 26.68 1623.9 8 10 85.30 59.20 0.00 22.25 1646.1 8 11 69.80 59.90 0.03 14.85 1661.0 8 12 72.90 59.20 0.05 16.05 1677.0 8 13 77.70 61.20 0.00 19.45 1696.5 8 14 82.80 61.00 0.00 21.90 1718.4 8 15 85.30 54.10 0.00 19.70 1738.1 8 16 79.90 54.50 0.00 17.20 1755.3 Peak adult emerge 3rd gen; max 5 gens. 8 17 75.60 51.40 0.00 13.50 1768.8 8 18 71.10 51.60 0.00 11.35 1780.1 8 19 76.50 52.90 0.00 14.70 1794.8 8 20 91.20 52.70 0.00 21.56 1816.4 8 21 86.00 53.00 0.00 19.50 1835.9 Mx Mn 8 22 81.10 55.00 0.00 18.05 1853.9 8 23 67.50 50.70 0.00 9.10 1863.0 8 24 71.40 56.50 0.00 13.95 1877.0 8 25 60.10 53.60 0.17 6.85 1883.8 8 26 58.80 54.70 0.35 6.75 1890.6 8 27 77.00 48.20 0.00 12.79 1903.4 8 28 77.90 50.40 0.00 14.15 1917.5 8 29 66.40 52.70 0.07 9.55 1927.1 8 30 70.00 55.20 0.00 12.60 1939.7 8 31 69.60 54.50 0.00 12.05 1951.7 9 1 71.10 54.00 0.00 12.55 1964.3 9 2 73.00 46.40 0.00 10.27 1974.6 9 3 72.90 54.30 0.00 13.60 1988.2 Peak egg laying by 3rd gen females; max 6+ gens. 9 4 80.10 58.30 0.00 19.20 2007.4 9 5 82.60 57.90 0.00 20.25 2027.6 9 6 82.90 52.20 0.00 17.55 2045.2 9 7 71.10 49.50 0.18 10.33 2055.5 9 8 66.70 56.30 0.14 11.50 2067.0 9 9 64.90 55.40 0.77 10.15 2077.1 9 10 63.90 54.50 0.43 9.20 2086.3 9 11 65.80 52.00 0.03 8.90 2095.2 9 12 66.40 53.20 0.00 9.80 2105.0 9 13 62.20 50.90 0.40 6.55 2111.6 9 14 60.80 51.10 0.04 5.95 2117.5 9 15 60.10 51.80 0.07 5.95 2123.5 9 16 57.20 50.90 0.42 4.05 2127.5 9 17 65.30 47.50 0.00 6.80 2134.3 9 18 66.90 47.30 0.00 7.53 2141.9 9 19 65.70 45.10 0.00 6.44 2148.3 9 20 60.30 52.70 0.34 6.50 2154.8 9 21 57.20 50.90 1.44 4.05 2158.9 9 22 62.80 55.20 0.25 9.00 2167.9 9 23 58.30 48.00 0.08 3.53 2171.4 9 24 65.50 47.10 0.00 6.80 2178.2 9 25 67.10 48.60 0.00 8.01 2186.2 9 26 68.70 46.00 0.00 8.08 2194.3 9 27 75.00 50.50 0.00 12.75 2207.0 9 28 75.60 64.40 0.00 20.00 2227.0 9 29 69.40 58.80 0.02 14.10 2241.1 Peak adult emerge 4th gen; max 6+ gens. 9 30 55.60 51.60 0.61 3.60 2244.7 10 1 53.60 49.50 0.69 1.62 2246.4 10 2 53.80 43.20 0.20 1.01 2247.4 10 3 51.30 41.40 0.00 0.20 2247.6 10 4 58.50 41.40 0.00 2.70 2250.3 10 5 55.20 40.10 0.00 1.35 2251.6 10 6 62.10 42.40 0.00 4.34 2256.0 10 7 52.30 43.50 0.12 0.51 2256.5 10 8 53.80 49.30 0.34 1.67 2258.1 10 9 62.10 49.50 0.29 5.84 2264.0 10 10 63.30 50.90 0.00 7.10 2271.1 10 11 60.60 43.70 0.01 3.85 2274.9 10 12 58.30 43.70 0.00 2.85 2277.8 10 13 64.00 47.30 0.00 6.12 2283.9 10 14 63.00 41.90 0.00 4.67 2288.6 10 15 65.10 48.60 0.00 7.02 2295.6 10 16 70.00 54.90 0.00 12.45 2308.0 10 17 68.20 48.40 0.00 8.49 2316.5 10 18 66.70 45.30 0.00 6.96 2323.5 10 19 68.00 43.30 0.00 7.17 2330.7 10 20 62.40 36.50 0.00 3.85 2334.5 10 21 68.70 46.80 0.00 8.28 2342.8 10 22 66.40 50.90 0.00 8.65 2351.4 10 23 60.10 50.50 0.03 5.30 2356.7 10 24 61.00 47.30 0.30 4.67 2361.4 10 25 53.40 49.10 0.51 1.43 2362.8 10 26 60.80 48.60 0.72 4.90 2367.7 10 27 57.90 39.20 0.38 2.29 2370.0 10 28 50.70 43.70 1.65 0.09 2370.1 10 29 53.10 43.70 0.22 0.78 2370.9 10 30 54.70 47.10 0.27 1.69 2372.6 10 31 49.60 47.10 0.46 0.00 2372.6 11 1 57.60 50.20 1.27 3.90 2376.5 11 2 60.10 53.40 1.13 6.75 2383.3 11 3 53.80 47.30 0.43 1.32 2384.6 11 4 58.60 48.70 0.65 3.85 2388.4 11 5 52.70 47.50 0.44 0.88 2389.3 11 6 50.00 45.50 0.14 0.00 2389.3 11 7 48.90 40.60 0.10 0.00 2389.3 11 8 48.20 36.70 0.01 0.00 2389.3 11 9 41.40 34.70 0.11 0.00 2389.3 11 10 50.40 38.50 0.00 0.03 2389.3 11 11 50.70 39.20 0.00 0.07 2389.4 11 12 51.60 43.70 0.01 0.31 2389.7 11 13 50.40 41.40 0.22 0.04 2389.8 11 14 56.70 43.70 1.32 2.17 2391.9 11 15 50.50 44.80 0.19 0.06 2392.0 11 16 55.60 48.40 0.07 2.33 2394.3 11 17 49.30 43.20 0.01 0.00 2394.3 11 18 49.60 38.30 0.00 0.00 2394.3 11 19 51.60 38.30 0.00 0.24 2394.6 11 20 50.40 41.90 0.01 0.04 2394.6 11 21 46.90 43.00 0.22 0.00 2394.6 11 22 48.00 42.60 0.75 0.00 2394.6 11 23 44.60 40.10 0.25 0.00 2394.6 11 24 46.40 38.80 0.02 0.00 2394.6 11 25 48.70 37.80 0.08 0.00 2394.6 11 26 51.40 43.70 1.93 0.26 2394.9 11 27 56.10 47.70 1.50 2.43 2397.3 11 28 48.20 40.10 0.31 0.00 2397.3 11 29 48.20 41.90 0.09 0.00 2397.3 11 30 45.10 40.60 0.23 0.00 2397.3 12 1 48.20 37.60 0.00 0.00 2397.3 12 2 46.90 35.20 0.00 0.00 2397.3 12 3 43.70 34.70 0.00 0.00 2397.3 12 4 39.40 32.90 0.00 0.00 2397.3 12 5 43.20 36.30 0.03 0.00 2397.3 12 6 39.40 31.50 0.01 0.00 2397.3 12 7 38.70 32.90 0.03 0.00 2397.3 12 8 42.40 36.30 0.06 0.00 2397.3 12 9 42.80 38.30 0.51 0.00 2397.3 12 10 44.10 36.50 0.30 0.00 2397.3 12 11 46.00 36.50 1.24 0.00 2397.3 12 12 47.10 40.60 0.13 0.00 2397.3 12 13 41.20 38.30 1.37 0.00 2397.3 12 14 48.20 38.30 0.21 0.00 2397.3 12 15 46.40 35.60 0.01 0.00 2397.3 12 16 47.10 41.70 0.59 0.00 2397.3 12 17 48.70 40.10 0.69 0.00 2397.3 12 18 46.90 40.60 1.32 0.00 2397.3 12 19 46.40 43.30 0.20 0.00 2397.3 12 20 59.50 42.40 0.39 3.21 2400.5 12 21 41.40 30.20 0.21 0.00 2400.5 12 22 39.20 29.70 0.10 0.00 2400.5 12 23 40.60 36.70 0.53 0.00 2400.5 12 24 45.70 37.40 0.01 0.00 2400.5 12 25 41.90 32.90 0.00 0.00 2400.5 12 26 36.90 34.30 0.19 0.00 2400.5 12 27 39.60 35.20 0.01 0.00 2400.5 12 28 36.30 31.30 0.43 0.00 2400.5 12 29 53.40 33.60 1.21 0.61 2401.1 12 30 46.80 38.70 0.00 0.00 2401.1 12 31 41.00 33.08 0.00 0.00 2401.1