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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: strawberry root weevil [strawb.]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Umble, Fisher 2002
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 40 degrees Fahrenheit
Upper threshold: 103 degrees Fahrenheit
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
Starting/BIOFIX date: 2 15
Ending date: 12 0
Model validation status: not fully tested
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 564 DDs after biofix: Pupal development begins
2. 1056 DDs after biofix: Beginning of adult emergence
3. 1498 DDs after biofix: Beginning of egglaying (unless temps remain below 64F)
4. 1796 DDs after biofix: Beginning of end of egglaying
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2016 KPRC METAR Prescott: Love Field AZ Lat:34.6492 Long:-112.4219 Elev:5043
mn day max min precip DD40 CUMDD40 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
2 15 70.00 39.00 0.00 14.58 14.6 * START *
2 16 73.90 32.00 0.00 14.46 29.0
2 17 73.90 33.10 0.00 14.73 43.8
2 18 66.90 41.00 0.00 13.95 57.7
2 19 69.10 39.00 0.00 14.13 71.8
2 20 71.10 34.00 0.00 13.59 85.4
2 21 73.00 33.10 0.00 14.29 99.7
2 22 64.90 33.10 0.00 10.40 110.1
2 23 55.90 30.90 0.00 5.83 115.9
2 24 62.10 25.00 0.00 7.79 123.7
2 25 72.00 28.90 0.00 12.91 136.6
2 26 73.90 33.10 0.00 14.73 151.4
2 27 72.00 36.00 0.00 14.57 165.9
2 28 73.00 34.00 0.00 14.51 180.5
2 29 72.00 37.00 0.00 14.88 195.3
3 1 73.00 37.00 0.00 15.37 210.7
3 2 73.00 42.10 0.00 17.55 228.2
3 3 73.00 34.00 0.00 14.51 242.8
3 4 73.00 36.00 0.00 15.06 257.8
3 5 69.10 37.00 0.00 13.44 271.3
3 6 62.10 36.00 0.16 9.73 281.0
3 7 52.00 30.00 0.00 4.02 285.0
3 8 60.10 30.90 0.00 7.73 292.7
3 9 64.90 32.00 0.00 10.17 302.9
3 10 73.00 36.00 0.00 15.06 318.0
3 11 69.10 39.00 0.00 14.13 332.1
3 12 55.90 34.00 0.00 6.32 338.4
3 13 62.10 30.90 0.00 8.65 347.1
3 14 64.00 39.00 0.00 11.58 358.7
3 15 66.00 35.10 0.00 11.39 370.1
3 16 70.00 32.00 0.00 12.59 382.6
3 17 73.00 33.10 0.00 14.29 396.9
3 18 73.00 37.00 0.00 15.37 412.3
3 19 73.90 35.10 0.00 15.25 427.6
3 20 75.00 37.90 0.00 16.66 444.2
3 21 73.90 39.90 0.00 16.90 461.1
3 22 68.00 39.90 0.00 13.95 475.1
3 23 59.00 28.90 0.00 6.93 482.0
3 24 66.00 28.90 0.00 10.11 492.1
3 25 69.10 35.10 0.00 12.90 505.0
3 26 66.90 37.90 0.00 12.64 517.7
3 27 72.00 28.00 0.00 12.74 530.4
3 28 61.00 45.00 0.00 13.00 543.4
3 29 48.00 37.00 0.00 3.18 546.6
3 30 48.00 27.00 0.00 2.19 548.8
3 31 55.40 30.00 0.00 5.48 554.3
4 1 63.00 40.00 0.00 11.50 565.8 Vn Pupal development begins
4 2 68.00 30.90 0.00 11.41 577.2
4 3 73.90 37.00 0.00 15.82 593.0
4 4 75.00 39.00 0.00 17.07 610.1
4 5 77.00 39.00 0.00 18.07 628.1
4 6 81.00 39.00 0.00 20.06 648.2
4 7 75.90 46.00 0.15 20.95 669.1
4 8 63.00 48.00 0.42 15.50 684.6
4 9 64.00 43.00 0.00 13.50 698.1
4 10 54.00 39.90 0.07 6.95 705.1
4 11 60.10 43.00 0.01 11.55 716.6
4 12 66.00 39.00 0.36 12.58 729.2
4 13 70.00 39.90 0.00 14.95 744.2
4 14 70.00 43.00 0.00 16.50 760.7
4 15 63.00 42.10 0.00 12.55 773.2
4 16 62.10 37.90 0.00 10.26 783.5
4 17 63.00 35.10 0.00 9.94 793.4
4 18 68.00 33.10 0.00 11.88 805.3
4 19 73.90 37.00 0.00 15.82 821.1
4 20 77.00 43.00 0.00 20.00 841.1
4 21 79.00 44.10 0.00 21.55 862.7
4 22 77.00 46.90 0.00 21.95 884.6
4 23 69.10 48.00 0.00 18.55 903.2
4 24 73.90 37.90 0.00 16.12 919.3
4 25 57.00 39.90 0.09 8.45 927.7
4 26 62.10 34.00 0.00 9.25 937.0
4 27 66.00 39.00 0.02 12.58 949.6
4 28 54.00 39.00 0.10 6.61 956.2
4 29 63.00 39.00 0.06 11.09 967.3
4 30 57.00 39.20 0.40 8.17 975.4
5 1 57.90 39.90 0.01 8.90 984.3
5 2 66.90 37.00 0.00 12.36 996.7
5 3 75.00 37.90 0.00 16.66 1013.4
5 4 82.00 46.00 0.00 24.00 1037.4
5 5 77.00 50.00 0.00 23.50 1060.9 Beginning of adult emergence
5 6 63.00 41.00 0.08 12.00 1072.9
5 7 57.90 43.00 0.03 10.45 1083.3
5 8 55.00 39.00 0.32 7.11 1090.4
5 9 70.00 42.10 0.00 16.05 1106.5
5 10 73.90 45.00 0.00 19.45 1125.9
5 11 81.00 46.00 0.00 23.50 1149.4
5 12 86.00 46.90 0.00 26.45 1175.9
5 13 86.00 50.00 0.00 28.00 1203.9
5 14 82.90 55.00 0.00 28.95 1232.8
5 15 75.90 51.10 0.00 23.50 1256.3
5 16 73.90 51.10 0.00 22.50 1278.8
5 17 69.10 48.00 0.04 18.55 1297.4
5 18 69.10 48.90 0.01 19.00 1316.4
5 19 77.00 44.10 0.00 20.55 1336.9
5 20 78.10 54.00 0.00 26.05 1363.0
5 21 70.00 53.10 0.00 21.55 1384.5
5 22 72.00 46.90 0.00 19.45 1404.0
5 23 72.00 41.00 0.00 16.50 1420.5
5 24 71.00 47.00 0.00 19.00 1439.5
5 25 71.10 41.00 0.00 16.05 1455.5
5 26 71.10 41.00 0.00 16.05 1471.6
5 27 77.00 44.10 0.00 20.55 1492.1
5 28 80.10 48.00 0.00 24.05 1516.2 Beginning of egglaying (unless temps remain below 64F)
5 29 82.00 48.90 0.00 25.45 1541.6
5 30 79.00 45.00 0.00 22.00 1563.6
5 31 84.00 46.90 0.00 25.45 1589.1
6 1 90.00 54.00 0.00 32.00 1621.1
6 2 93.90 55.00 0.00 34.45 1655.5
6 3 97.00 57.90 0.00 37.45 1693.0
6 4 99.00 57.90 0.00 38.45 1731.4
6 5 98.10 62.10 0.00 40.10 1771.5
6 6 93.90 59.00 0.00 36.45 1808.0 Beginning of end of egglaying
6 7 90.00 57.00 0.00 33.50 1841.5
6 8 93.00 61.00 0.00 37.00 1878.5
6 9 90.00 62.10 0.00 36.05 1914.5
6 10 84.90 61.00 0.04 32.95 1947.5
6 11 86.00 55.90 0.00 30.95 1978.4
6 12 84.00 55.00 0.00 29.50 2007.9
6 13 81.00 55.90 0.00 28.45 2036.4
6 14 84.00 53.10 0.00 28.55 2064.9
6 15 82.90 52.00 0.00 27.45 2092.4
6 16 84.00 51.10 0.00 27.55 2119.9
6 17 89.10 52.00 0.00 30.55 2150.5
6 18 95.00 54.00 0.00 34.50 2185.0
6 19 102.00 62.10 0.00 42.05 2227.0
6 20 105.10 70.00 0.00 47.33 2274.4
6 21 98.10 79.00 0.00 48.55 2322.9
6 22 95.00 72.00 0.00 43.50 2366.4
6 23 95.00 66.00 0.00 40.50 2406.9
6 24 93.00 64.00 0.00 38.50 2445.4
6 25 95.00 64.00 0.00 39.50 2484.9
6 26 97.00 64.00 0.00 40.50 2525.4
6 27 95.00 68.00 0.01 41.50 2566.9
6 28 95.00 68.00 0.30 41.50 2608.4
6 29 90.00 68.00 0.00 39.00 2647.4
6 30 81.00 64.00 0.03 32.50 2679.9
7 1 84.90 60.80 0.10 32.85 2712.8
7 2 86.00 57.20 0.12 31.60 2744.4
7 3 90.00 62.10 0.00 36.05 2780.4
7 4 91.40 64.00 0.00 37.70 2818.1
7 5 91.40 62.10 0.00 36.75 2854.9
7 6 89.60 64.00 0.00 36.80 2891.7
7 7 90.00 62.10 0.00 36.05 2927.7
7 8 91.90 60.10 0.00 36.00 2963.7
7 9 93.90 62.10 0.00 38.00 3001.7
7 10 93.20 64.40 0.00 38.80 3040.5
7 11 91.00 59.00 0.00 35.00 3075.5
7 12 91.40 57.20 0.00 34.30 3109.8
7 13 93.90 60.80 0.00 37.35 3147.2
7 14 96.80 62.60 0.00 39.70 3186.9
7 15 96.80 63.00 0.00 39.90 3226.8
7 16 91.90 68.00 0.00 39.95 3266.7
7 17 93.00 71.10 0.00 42.05 3308.8
7 18 86.00 66.20 0.23 36.10 3344.9
7 19 86.00 68.00 0.00 37.00 3381.9
7 20 86.00 64.40 0.02 35.20 3417.1
7 21 93.20 60.10 0.00 36.65 3453.7
7 22 96.80 68.00 0.15 42.40 3496.1
7 23 97.00 64.40 0.00 40.70 3536.8
7 24 93.20 66.20 0.00 39.70 3576.5
7 25 93.90 66.00 0.09 39.95 3616.5
7 26 91.90 62.60 0.00 37.25 3653.7
7 27 99.00 66.20 0.00 42.60 3696.3
7 28 100.40 66.20 0.00 43.30 3739.6
7 29 102.00 73.00 0.02 47.50 3787.1
7 30 93.20 66.20 0.00 39.70 3826.8
7 31 90.00 64.40 0.02 37.20 3864.0
8 1 88.00 64.00 0.88 36.00 3900.0
8 2 80.60 62.60 0.04 31.60 3931.6
8 3 78.80 66.00 0.09 32.40 3964.0
8 4 82.00 62.60 0.02 32.30 3996.3
8 5 82.40 62.10 0.72 32.25 4028.6
8 6 86.00 59.00 0.05 32.50 4061.1
8 7 89.60 62.10 0.00 35.85 4096.9
8 8 91.40 62.60 0.00 37.00 4133.9
8 9 84.90 66.20 0.00 35.55 4169.5
8 10 84.00 62.10 1.33 33.05 4202.5
8 11 84.20 60.80 5.80 32.50 4235.0
8 12 88.00 62.10 0.00 35.05 4270.1
8 13 93.20 60.10 0.00 36.65 4306.7
8 14 93.20 62.10 0.00 37.65 4344.4
8 15 91.00 64.40 0.01 37.70 4382.1
8 16 91.40 62.60 0.00 37.00 4419.1
8 17 89.60 60.10 0.17 34.85 4453.9
8 18 86.00 60.10 0.17 33.05 4487.0
8 19 84.90 59.00 0.00 31.95 4518.9
8 20 84.90 60.80 0.10 32.85 4551.8
8 21 79.00 60.10 0.00 29.55 4581.3
8 22 75.90 57.00 0.67 26.45 4607.8
8 23 73.90 57.00 0.16 25.45 4633.2
8 24 82.90 55.00 0.01 28.95 4662.2
8 25 81.00 55.00 0.55 28.00 4690.2
8 26 75.90 53.60 0.36 24.75 4714.9
8 27 75.90 55.00 0.78 25.45 4740.4
8 28 80.60 53.10 0.00 26.85 4767.2
8 29 86.00 53.60 0.00 29.80 4797.0
8 30 88.00 55.40 0.00 31.70 4828.7
8 31 86.00 60.10 0.00 33.05 4861.8
9 1 82.40 62.60 0.72 32.50 4894.3
9 2 79.00 59.00 1.40 29.00 4923.3
9 3 82.90 60.80 0.00 31.85 4955.1
9 4 80.60 53.10 0.00 26.85 4982.0
9 5 82.90 50.00 0.00 26.45 5008.4
9 6 82.40 51.10 0.00 26.75 5035.2
9 7 77.00 62.10 0.00 29.55 5064.7
9 8 82.90 57.20 0.00 30.05 5094.8
9 9 86.00 55.40 0.00 30.70 5125.5
9 10 90.00 57.00 0.00 33.50 5159.0
9 11 86.00 59.00 0.00 32.50 5191.5
9 12 81.00 60.10 0.00 30.55 5222.0
9 13 77.00 57.20 0.00 27.10 5249.1
9 14 79.00 51.80 0.00 25.40 5274.5
9 15 80.60 44.10 0.00 22.35 5296.9
9 16 81.00 44.10 0.00 22.55 5319.4
9 17 84.20 44.60 0.00 24.40 5343.8
9 18 88.00 48.00 0.00 28.00 5371.8
9 19 87.80 50.00 0.02 28.90 5400.7
9 20 73.90 57.20 1.01 25.55 5426.3
9 21 80.10 57.00 0.00 28.55 5454.8
9 22 70.00 59.00 0.10 24.50 5479.3
9 23 68.00 42.10 0.00 15.05 5494.4
9 24 73.40 41.00 0.00 17.20 5511.6
9 25 75.20 46.00 0.00 20.60 5532.2
9 26 79.00 48.00 0.00 23.50 5555.7
9 27 71.60 55.00 0.03 23.30 5579.0
9 28 75.20 50.00 0.06 22.60 5601.6
9 29 72.00 55.00 0.00 23.50 5625.1
9 30 75.00 50.00 0.18 22.50 5647.6
10 1 75.90 50.00 0.00 22.95 5670.5
10 2 75.20 50.00 0.00 22.60 5693.1
10 3 69.80 44.60 0.00 17.20 5710.3
10 4 71.60 39.00 0.00 15.37 5725.7
10 5 71.60 42.80 0.00 17.20 5742.9
10 6 72.00 39.00 0.00 15.57 5758.4
10 7 78.80 37.40 0.00 18.38 5776.8
10 8 66.90 46.40 0.58 16.65 5793.5
10 9 78.80 42.80 0.00 20.80 5814.3
10 10 78.80 48.20 0.00 23.50 5837.8
10 11 78.80 50.00 0.00 24.40 5862.2
10 12 77.00 44.60 0.00 20.80 5883.0
10 13 79.00 42.80 0.00 20.90 5903.9
10 14 80.60 46.00 0.00 23.30 5927.2
10 15 79.00 46.00 0.00 22.50 5949.7
10 16 77.00 48.00 0.00 22.50 5972.2
10 17 75.90 51.10 0.00 23.50 5995.7
10 18 75.20 44.60 0.00 19.90 6015.6
10 19 75.90 39.20 0.00 17.60 6033.2
10 20 79.00 37.00 0.00 18.34 6051.5
10 21 82.40 39.20 0.00 20.85 6072.4
10 22 81.00 48.00 0.00 24.50 6096.9
10 23 80.60 48.00 0.00 24.30 6121.2
10 24 73.90 51.80 0.12 22.85 6144.0
10 25 72.00 50.00 0.00 21.00 6165.0
10 26 79.00 44.60 0.00 21.80 6186.8
10 27 81.00 48.00 0.00 24.50 6211.3
10 28 77.00 55.40 0.00 26.20 6237.5
10 29 79.00 50.00 0.00 24.50 6262.0
10 30 75.90 50.00 0.00 22.95 6285.0
10 31 71.60 50.00 0.00 20.80 6305.8
11 1 64.90 41.00 0.00 12.95 6318.7
11 2 69.80 39.20 0.00 14.55 6333.3
11 3 66.20 39.20 0.08 12.76 6346.0
11 4 66.90 41.00 0.00 13.95 6360.0
11 5 66.90 41.00 0.00 13.95 6373.9
11 6 71.60 41.00 0.00 16.30 6390.2
11 7 72.00 41.00 0.00 16.50 6406.7
11 8 72.00 42.10 0.00 17.05 6423.8
11 9 72.00 37.40 0.00 15.00 6438.8
11 10 70.00 33.80 0.00 13.01 6451.8
11 11 70.00 33.10 0.00 12.84 6464.6
11 12 68.00 35.60 0.00 12.50 6477.1
11 13 71.60 35.10 0.00 14.12 6491.2
11 14 73.90 35.10 0.00 15.25 6506.5
11 15 79.00 39.00 0.00 19.07 6525.6
11 16 70.00 46.00 0.01 18.00 6543.6
11 17 54.00 28.40 0.01 4.69 6548.3
11 18 61.00 23.00 0.00 7.08 6555.3
11 19 71.10 28.40 0.00 12.39 6567.7
11 20 63.00 37.00 0.68 10.44 6578.2
11 21 52.00 41.00 0.19 6.50 6584.7
11 22 55.90 32.00 0.00 5.99 6590.7
11 23 60.80 30.20 0.00 7.94 6598.6
11 24 59.00 27.00 0.00 6.68 6605.3
11 25 63.00 23.00 0.00 7.94 6613.2
11 26 55.90 30.00 0.00 5.70 6618.9
11 27 45.00 32.00 0.09 1.37 6620.3
11 28 42.10 26.60 0.02 0.33 6620.6
11 29 43.00 23.00 0.00 0.50 6621.1
11 30 46.40 19.40 0.00 1.36 6622.5
Forecast using: 1910 KPRC PRISM_rev1_4km 2006-2015 AVERAGES Lat34.6492 Long-112.4219 DD50
strawberry root weevil model - Umble, Fisher 2002Location: 2016 KPRC Prescott: Love Field 1910 KPRC PRISM_rev1_4km 2006-2015 AVERAGES Date | DDs | Event |
4-1-16 | 566 | Pupal development begins |
5-5-16 | 1061 | Beginning of adult emergence |
5-28-16 | 1516 | Beginning of egglaying (unless temps remain below 64F) |
6-6-16 | 1808 | Beginning of end of egglaying |