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crop model of Miller MSU, Miller et al. 2001 |
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Output from uspest.org/wea crop degree-day/phenology model program: Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: sunflower early dwarf hybrds Type: crop Model source/other links: Miller MSU, Miller et al. 2001 Calculation method: simp avg/grow Lower threshold: 32 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: planting date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 4 1 Ending date: 7 0 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Montana ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 305 DD after biofix 0.9-germination: shoot breaks through soil 2. 372 DD after biofix 1.1-1st true leaves unfolded 3. 1049 DD after biofix 3.1-internode dirctly below base of inflorescence elongates .5 to 2 cm above nearest leaf 4. 1726 DD after biofix 5.1-inflorescence begins to open, small ray florets just visible 5. 1997 DD after biofix 5.9-most flower buds in head visible, bud not in anthesis. Ray florets have visible petals 6. 2200 DD after biofix 6.5-50% of flowers on head visible 7. 3012 DD after biofix 8.9-thresh when seed moisture is 12 to 15% 8. 3113 DD after biofix 9.2-bracts become yellow and brown on back of head 9. 3283 DD after biofix 9.7-head completely dried down for threshing ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2017 MAUP AZ_ALERT Usery Park WS AZ Lat:33.4797 Long:-111.6097 Elev:2113 mn day max min precip DD32 CUMDD32 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 4 1 70.00 53.00 0.00 29.50 29.5 * START * 4 2 77.00 56.00 0.00 34.50 64.0 4 3 80.00 61.00 0.00 38.50 102.5 4 4 79.00 52.80 0.00 33.90 136.4 Hx Hn 4 5 81.00 68.00 0.00 42.50 178.9 4 6 85.00 65.00 0.00 43.00 221.9 4 7 84.00 68.00 0.00 44.00 265.9 4 8 81.00 67.00 0.00 42.00 307.9 0.9-germination: shoot breaks through soil 4 9 76.00 60.00 0.00 36.00 343.9 4 10 84.00 58.00 0.00 39.00 382.9 1.1-1st true leaves unfolded 4 11 88.00 66.00 0.00 45.00 427.9 4 12 88.00 67.00 0.00 45.50 473.4 4 13 90.00 70.00 0.00 48.00 521.4 4 14 87.00 68.00 0.00 45.50 566.9 4 15 86.00 69.00 0.00 45.50 612.4 4 16 89.00 67.00 0.00 46.00 658.4 4 17 87.00 70.00 0.00 46.50 704.9 4 18 92.00 69.00 0.00 48.50 753.4 4 19 85.00 73.00 0.00 47.00 800.4 4 20 86.00 66.00 0.00 44.00 844.4 4 21 88.00 66.00 0.00 45.00 889.4 4 22 89.00 67.00 0.00 46.00 935.4 4 23 91.00 69.00 0.00 48.00 983.4 4 24 86.00 75.00 0.00 48.50 1031.9 4 25 82.00 69.00 0.00 43.50 1075.4 3.1-internode dirctly below base of inflorescence elongates .5 to 2 cm above nearest leaf 4 26 83.00 64.00 0.00 41.50 1116.9 4 27 84.00 70.00 0.00 45.00 1161.9 4 28 81.00 62.00 0.00 39.50 1201.4 4 29 77.00 59.00 0.00 36.00 1237.4 4 30 82.00 63.00 0.00 40.50 1277.9 5 1 87.00 65.00 0.00 44.00 1321.9 5 2 89.00 70.00 0.00 47.50 1369.4 5 3 93.00 74.00 0.00 51.50 1420.9 5 4 95.00 74.00 0.00 52.50 1473.4 5 5 98.00 77.00 0.00 55.50 1528.9 5 6 91.00 72.00 0.00 49.50 1578.4 5 7 72.00 65.00 0.00 36.50 1614.9 5 8 79.00 62.00 0.00 38.50 1653.4 5 9 73.00 59.00 0.00 34.00 1687.4 5 10 76.00 60.00 0.00 36.00 1723.4 5 11 85.00 65.00 0.00 43.00 1766.4 5.1-inflorescence begins to open, small ray florets just visible 5 12 91.00 75.00 0.00 51.00 1817.4 5 13 91.00 74.00 0.00 50.50 1867.9 5 14 87.00 72.00 0.00 47.50 1915.4 5 15 83.00 68.00 0.00 43.50 1958.9 5 16 75.00 61.00 0.00 36.00 1994.9 5 17 81.00 64.00 0.00 40.50 2035.4 5.9-most flower buds in head visible, bud not in anthesis. Ray florets have visible petals 5 18 81.00 64.00 0.00 40.50 2075.9 5 19 82.00 61.00 0.00 39.50 2115.4 5 20 88.00 69.00 0.00 46.50 2161.9 5 21 93.00 76.00 0.00 52.50 2214.4 6.5-50% of flowers on head visible 5 22 95.00 74.00 0.00 52.50 2266.9 5 23 96.00 77.00 0.00 54.50 2321.4 5 24 97.00 78.00 0.00 55.50 2376.9 5 25 93.00 78.00 0.00 53.50 2430.4 5 26 89.00 74.00 0.00 49.50 2479.9 5 27 90.00 72.00 0.00 49.00 2528.9 5 28 93.00 72.00 0.00 50.50 2579.4 5 29 96.00 75.00 0.00 53.50 2632.9 5 30 94.00 79.00 0.00 54.50 2687.4 5 31 93.00 77.00 0.00 53.00 2740.4 6 1 91.00 75.00 0.00 51.00 2791.4 6 2 94.00 72.00 0.00 51.00 2842.4 6 3 98.00 77.00 0.00 55.50 2897.9 6 4 98.00 80.00 0.00 57.00 2954.9 6 5 99.00 80.00 0.00 57.50 3012.4 8.9-thresh when seed moisture is 12 to 15% 6 6 98.00 79.00 0.00 56.50 3068.9 6 7 98.00 81.00 0.00 57.50 3126.4 9.2-bracts become yellow and brown on back of head 6 8 96.00 79.00 0.00 55.50 3181.9 6 9 98.00 82.00 0.00 58.00 3239.9 6 10 95.00 76.00 0.00 53.50 3293.4 9.7-head completely dried down for threshing 6 11 92.00 75.00 0.00 51.50 3344.9 6 12 87.00 72.00 0.00 47.50 3392.4 6 13 90.00 68.00 0.00 47.00 3439.4 6 14 95.00 72.00 0.00 51.50 3490.9 6 15 98.00 76.00 0.00 55.00 3545.9 6 16 100.00 76.00 0.00 56.00 3601.9 6 17 99.00 78.00 0.00 56.50 3658.4 6 18 102.00 80.00 0.00 59.00 3717.4 6 19 106.00 83.00 0.00 62.50 3779.9 6 20 108.00 86.00 0.00 65.00 3844.9 6 21 106.00 87.00 0.00 64.50 3909.4 6 22 102.00 87.00 0.00 62.50 3971.9 6 23 101.00 83.00 0.00 60.00 4031.9 6 24 104.00 86.00 0.00 63.00 4094.9 6 25 103.00 91.00 0.00 65.00 4159.9 6 26 101.00 87.00 0.00 62.00 4221.9 6 27 100.00 85.00 0.00 60.50 4282.4 6 28 99.00 80.00 0.00 57.50 4339.9 6 29 98.00 82.00 0.00 58.00 4397.9 6 30 100.00 83.00 0.00 59.50 4457.4 Forecast using: 1910 MAUP PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES Lat33.4797 Long-111.6097 DD50