|
Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: potato psyllid [potato, tomato]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: OSU OIPMC model analysis
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 40 degrees Fahrenheit
Upper threshold: 86 degrees Fahrenheit
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
Ending date: 7 0
Model validation status: under development for PNW region - pest of potato
Region of known use: data collected in OR, ID, WA, TX, NZ, AZ
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 162 DDs after Jan 1: OW adult first oviposition
2. 324 DDs after Jan 1: OW adult peak OV
3. 762 DDs after Jan 1: F1 peak mid instar nymphs
4. 1044 DDs after Jan 1: First F1 adults
5. 1242 DDs after Jan 1: F1 peak adults
6. 1900 DDs after Jan 1: F2 late instar nymphs and 1st Adults
7. 2348 DDs after Jan 1: Peak F2 adults
8. 2844 DDs after Jan 1: 1st F3 adults
9. 3568 DDs after Jan 1: Peak F3 adults
10. 4788 DDs after Jan 1: Peak F4 adults
11. 6008 DDs after Jan 1: Peak F5 adults
12. 7228 DDs after Jan 1: Peak F6 adults
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2017 KHWD METAR Hayward Air Terminal CA Lat:37.6606 Long:-122.1181 Elev:46
mn day max min precip DD40 CUMDD40 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 54.00 44.60 0.07 9.30 9.3 * START *
1 2 52.00 44.00 0.02 8.00 17.3
1 3 56.00 48.00 0.26 12.00 29.3
1 4 57.20 46.90 0.17 12.05 41.3
1 5 52.00 39.00 0.23 5.62 47.0
1 6 52.00 35.10 0.00 4.71 51.7
1 7 62.60 44.60 0.43 13.60 65.3
1 8 63.00 57.20 0.48 20.10 85.4
1 9 60.80 53.10 0.15 16.95 102.3
1 10 60.80 53.60 0.98 17.20 119.5
1 11 58.00 46.40 0.07 12.20 131.7
1 12 53.60 44.10 0.13 8.85 140.6
1 13 55.40 37.40 0.00 6.83 147.4
1 14 57.20 37.40 0.00 7.71 155.1
1 15 55.40 37.40 0.00 6.83 161.9
1 16 55.90 37.90 0.00 7.21 169.1 OW adult first oviposition
1 17 55.40 39.20 0.00 7.38 176.5
1 18 54.00 46.40 0.60 10.20 186.7
1 19 57.00 50.00 0.18 13.50 200.2
1 20 55.40 46.40 0.74 10.90 211.1
1 21 57.20 48.00 0.50 12.60 223.7
1 22 57.90 46.40 0.46 12.15 235.9
1 23 54.00 44.60 0.05 9.30 245.2
1 24 55.90 39.20 0.00 7.62 252.8
1 25 55.90 37.00 0.00 6.97 259.8
1 26 59.00 42.00 0.00 10.50 270.3
1 27 57.90 39.00 0.00 8.55 278.8
1 28 63.00 37.40 0.00 10.56 289.4
1 29 61.00 39.00 0.00 10.09 299.4
1 30 61.00 39.90 0.00 10.45 309.9
1 31 60.80 39.00 0.00 9.99 319.9
2 1 62.60 46.00 0.02 14.30 334.2 OW adult peak OV
2 2 64.90 51.80 0.28 18.35 352.5
2 3 63.00 57.00 0.31 20.00 372.5
2 4 63.00 51.10 0.00 17.05 389.6
2 5 62.60 48.20 0.35 15.40 405.0
2 6 61.00 53.60 0.43 17.30 422.3
2 7 63.00 57.00 0.43 20.00 442.3
2 8 64.90 57.00 0.11 20.95 463.2
2 9 64.40 57.00 0.63 20.70 483.9
2 10 63.00 50.00 0.15 16.50 500.4
2 11 61.00 42.10 0.00 11.55 512.0
2 12 64.90 41.00 0.00 12.95 524.9
2 13 62.10 43.00 0.00 12.55 537.5
2 14 66.90 48.00 0.00 17.45 554.9
2 15 68.00 51.10 0.06 19.55 574.5
2 16 64.90 53.60 0.11 19.25 593.7
2 17 62.60 53.60 0.78 18.10 611.8
2 18 57.90 51.10 0.01 14.50 626.3
2 19 57.20 50.00 0.50 13.60 639.9
2 20 61.00 53.60 1.12 17.30 657.2
2 21 61.00 48.20 0.07 14.60 671.8
2 22 57.20 41.00 0.00 9.10 680.9
2 23 55.40 37.00 0.00 6.72 687.7
2 24 55.40 35.60 0.01 6.40 694.1
2 25 55.90 41.00 0.01 8.45 702.5
2 26 57.20 37.40 0.02 7.71 710.2
2 27 55.90 42.10 0.22 9.00 719.2
2 28 57.90 37.40 0.00 8.05 727.3
3 1 62.60 41.00 0.00 11.80 739.1
3 2 66.90 41.00 0.00 13.95 753.0
3 3 64.90 44.10 0.00 14.50 767.5 F1 peak mid instar nymphs
3 4 62.60 51.10 0.39 16.85 784.4
3 5 54.00 42.10 0.15 8.05 792.4
3 6 57.00 42.10 0.01 9.55 802.0
3 7 61.00 42.10 0.00 11.55 813.5
3 8 66.20 44.10 0.00 15.15 828.7
3 9 71.60 48.20 0.00 19.90 848.6
3 10 69.80 53.10 0.00 21.45 870.0
3 11 68.00 50.00 0.00 19.00 889.0
3 12 73.40 48.00 0.00 20.70 909.7
3 13 75.20 48.00 0.00 21.60 931.3
3 14 78.80 54.00 0.00 26.40 957.7
3 15 64.90 51.80 0.00 18.35 976.1
3 16 68.00 52.00 0.00 20.00 996.1
3 17 75.20 48.20 0.00 21.70 1017.8
3 18 69.80 53.10 0.00 21.45 1039.2
3 19 64.90 55.00 0.00 19.95 1059.2 First F1 adults
3 20 63.00 53.10 0.22 18.05 1077.2
3 21 68.00 57.20 0.45 22.60 1099.8
3 22 62.60 51.10 0.15 16.85 1116.7
3 23 62.60 44.10 0.00 13.35 1130.0
3 24 57.90 53.10 0.29 15.50 1145.5
3 25 64.00 51.80 0.00 17.90 1163.4
3 26 66.20 53.10 0.01 19.65 1183.1
3 27 64.40 50.00 0.00 17.20 1200.3
3 28 71.60 46.00 0.00 18.80 1219.1
3 29 66.90 50.00 0.00 18.45 1237.5
3 30 64.90 53.10 0.00 19.00 1256.5 F1 peak adults
3 31 75.20 51.10 0.00 23.15 1279.7
4 1 77.00 50.00 0.00 23.50 1303.2
4 2 75.20 53.60 0.00 24.40 1327.6
4 3 69.80 48.20 0.00 19.00 1346.6
4 4 64.60 46.20 0.00 15.40 1362.0 Hx Hn
4 5 75.20 54.00 0.00 24.60 1386.6
4 6 66.20 51.10 0.76 18.65 1405.2
4 7 66.20 50.00 0.45 18.10 1423.3
4 8 57.20 46.00 0.07 11.60 1434.9
4 9 62.60 42.80 0.00 12.70 1447.6
4 10 66.20 44.60 0.00 15.40 1463.0
4 11 66.90 55.00 0.00 20.95 1484.0
4 12 68.00 55.40 0.14 21.70 1505.7
4 13 62.10 50.00 0.01 16.05 1521.7
4 14 63.00 44.10 0.00 13.55 1535.3
4 15 69.80 44.60 0.00 17.20 1552.5
4 16 62.60 51.80 0.10 17.20 1569.7
4 17 66.20 55.00 0.08 20.60 1590.3
4 18 66.90 55.00 0.14 20.95 1611.2
4 19 69.80 51.10 0.22 20.45 1631.7
4 20 69.80 53.60 1.49 21.70 1653.4
4 21 75.20 50.00 0.00 22.60 1676.0
4 22 66.90 50.00 0.00 18.45 1694.4
4 23 64.90 51.80 0.00 18.35 1712.8
4 24 64.40 54.00 0.00 19.20 1732.0
4 25 64.90 53.10 0.00 19.00 1751.0
4 26 66.90 55.90 0.00 21.40 1772.4
4 27 68.00 53.10 0.00 20.55 1792.9
4 28 73.40 48.20 0.00 20.80 1813.7
4 29 80.60 54.00 0.00 27.30 1841.0
4 30 78.80 51.80 0.00 25.30 1866.3
5 1 90.00 55.00 0.00 31.92 1898.2
5 2 88.00 60.10 0.00 33.82 1932.1 F2 late instar nymphs and 1st Adults
5 3 91.90 60.80 0.00 35.24 1967.3
5 4 75.20 55.40 0.00 25.30 1992.6
5 5 66.90 54.00 0.00 20.45 2013.0
5 6 64.90 53.10 0.00 19.00 2032.0
5 7 72.00 53.10 0.00 22.55 2054.6
5 8 75.20 51.80 0.00 23.50 2078.1
5 9 82.40 53.60 0.00 28.00 2106.1
5 10 68.00 55.00 0.00 21.50 2127.6
5 11 70.00 53.60 0.00 21.80 2149.4
5 12 66.20 52.00 0.00 19.10 2168.5
5 13 66.20 50.00 0.00 18.10 2186.6
5 14 64.90 50.00 0.00 17.45 2204.0
5 15 66.20 52.00 0.00 19.10 2223.1
5 16 64.40 53.60 0.00 19.00 2242.1
5 17 70.00 53.10 0.00 21.55 2263.7
5 18 78.80 50.00 0.00 24.40 2288.1
5 19 84.90 55.00 0.00 29.95 2318.0
5 20 89.60 55.40 0.00 32.00 2350.0 Peak F2 adults
5 21 84.90 55.90 0.00 30.40 2380.4
5 22 80.60 53.60 0.00 27.10 2407.5
5 23 73.90 55.00 0.00 24.45 2432.0
5 24 71.60 55.00 0.00 23.30 2455.3
5 25 69.80 57.20 0.00 23.50 2478.8
5 26 68.00 55.40 0.00 21.70 2500.5
5 27 68.00 55.40 0.00 21.70 2522.2
5 28 64.90 55.40 0.00 20.15 2542.3
5 29 62.60 53.60 0.00 18.10 2560.4
5 30 62.60 53.60 0.00 18.10 2578.5
5 31 71.60 55.00 0.00 23.30 2601.8
6 1 70.00 57.00 0.00 23.50 2625.3
6 2 77.00 55.40 0.00 26.20 2651.5
6 3 71.60 55.40 0.00 23.50 2675.0
6 4 68.00 55.00 0.00 21.50 2696.5
6 5 77.00 51.80 0.00 24.40 2720.9
6 6 66.20 53.60 0.00 19.90 2740.8
6 7 70.00 55.00 0.00 22.50 2763.3
6 8 71.10 60.80 0.01 25.95 2789.3
6 9 68.00 57.00 0.01 22.50 2811.8
6 10 70.00 55.00 0.00 22.50 2834.3
6 11 66.20 55.00 0.00 20.60 2854.9 1st F3 adults
6 12 69.80 53.60 0.00 21.70 2876.6
6 13 73.40 53.60 0.00 23.50 2900.1
6 14 78.80 55.00 0.00 26.90 2927.0
6 15 75.20 55.40 0.00 25.30 2952.3
6 16 81.00 60.80 0.00 30.90 2983.2
6 17 84.20 62.10 0.00 33.15 3016.3
6 18 100.40 69.10 0.00 40.38 3056.7
6 19 82.90 62.10 0.00 32.50 3089.2
6 20 82.40 60.10 0.00 31.25 3120.5
6 21 84.20 59.00 0.00 31.60 3152.1
6 22 93.20 63.00 0.00 36.57 3188.6
6 23 79.00 59.00 0.00 29.00 3217.6
6 24 73.90 60.10 0.00 27.00 3244.6
6 25 70.00 59.00 0.00 24.50 3269.1
6 26 73.90 60.80 0.00 27.35 3296.5
6 27 66.90 59.00 0.00 22.95 3319.4
6 28 69.10 57.90 0.00 23.50 3342.9
6 29 69.80 57.20 0.00 23.50 3366.4
6 30 66.90 57.00 0.00 21.95 3388.4
Forecast using: 1910 KHWD PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES Lat37.6606 Long-122.1181 DD50
potato psyllid model - OSU OIPMC model analysisLocation: 2017 KHWD Hayward Air Terminal 1910 KHWD PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES Date | DDs | Event |
1-16-17 | 169 | OW adult first oviposition |
2-1-17 | 334 | OW adult peak OV |
3-3-17 | 768 | F1 peak mid instar nymphs |
3-19-17 | 1059 | First F1 adults |
3-30-17 | 1257 | F1 peak adults |
5-2-17 | 1932 | F2 late instar nymphs and 1st Adults |
5-20-17 | 2350 | Peak F2 adults |
6-11-17 | 2855 | 1st F3 adults |