|
Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: pink bollworm [cotton]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: UC Davis Cotton IPM 1996 model #3, UC IPM
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 55 degrees Fahrenheit
Upper threshold: 86 degrees Fahrenheit
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
Ending date: 12 0
Model validation status: used in CA
Region of known use: CA AZ NM
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 500 DDs after Jan 1 Start of OW gen (spring) emergence
2. 1180 DDs after Jan 1 Peak OW gen emergence
3. 1300 DDs after Jan 1 Start 1st gen emergence
4. 2100 DDs after Jan 1 Start 2nd gen emergence
5. 2200 DDs after Jan 1 End of OW gen emergence
6. 2900 DDs after Jan 1 Start 3rd gen emergence
7. 3700 DDs after Jan 1 Start 4th gen emergence
8. 4500 DDs after Jan 1 Start 5th gen emergence
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2016 KDVT METAR Phoenix-Deer Val Muni AZ Lat:33.6903 Long:-112.0661 Elev:1486
mn day max min precip DD55 CUMDD55 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 64.90 35.10 0.00 2.51 2.5 * START *
1 2 69.10 50.00 0.00 5.67 8.2
1 3 70.00 51.10 0.01 6.32 14.5
1 4 64.00 51.10 0.30 3.49 18.0
1 5 55.00 48.90 0.56 0.00 18.0
1 6 55.90 48.00 0.13 0.13 18.1
1 7 50.00 44.10 0.44 0.00 18.1
1 8 52.00 43.00 0.01 0.00 18.1
1 9 55.00 39.00 0.00 0.00 18.1
1 10 55.00 41.00 0.00 0.00 18.1
1 11 59.00 37.90 0.00 0.75 18.9
1 12 63.00 36.00 0.00 1.91 20.8
1 13 63.00 39.00 0.00 2.03 22.8
1 14 60.10 37.00 0.00 1.04 23.9
1 15 57.00 41.00 0.00 0.30 24.2
1 16 57.90 36.00 0.00 0.45 24.6
1 17 64.90 37.90 0.00 2.65 27.3
1 18 66.00 43.00 0.00 3.41 30.7
1 19 66.00 41.00 0.00 3.26 33.9
1 20 66.90 45.00 0.00 3.97 37.9
1 21 70.00 46.90 0.00 5.57 43.5
1 22 72.00 46.00 0.00 6.34 49.8
1 23 71.10 45.00 0.00 5.79 55.6
1 24 63.00 41.00 0.00 2.13 57.7
1 25 64.90 42.10 0.00 2.91 60.6
1 26 66.00 39.90 0.00 3.18 63.8
1 27 68.00 42.10 0.00 4.15 68.0
1 28 69.10 44.10 0.00 4.81 72.8
1 29 69.10 41.00 0.00 4.50 77.3
1 30 69.10 43.00 0.00 4.69 82.0
1 31 72.00 48.00 0.23 6.66 88.6
2 1 53.10 41.00 0.01 0.00 88.6
2 2 53.10 33.10 0.00 0.00 88.6
2 3 54.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 88.6
2 4 62.10 34.00 0.00 1.56 90.2
2 5 68.00 39.90 0.00 3.96 94.1
2 6 72.00 42.10 0.00 5.83 100.0
2 7 78.10 44.10 0.00 8.81 108.8
2 8 82.00 52.00 0.00 12.41 121.2
2 9 82.90 53.10 0.00 13.20 134.4
2 10 81.00 53.10 0.00 12.26 146.7
2 11 80.10 50.00 0.00 10.93 157.6
2 12 82.00 50.00 0.00 11.85 169.4
2 13 82.00 48.90 0.00 11.58 181.0
2 14 78.10 46.90 0.00 9.30 190.3
2 15 82.90 48.90 0.00 12.02 202.3
2 16 84.90 52.00 0.00 13.84 216.2
2 17 84.90 51.10 0.00 13.57 229.8
2 18 79.00 55.00 0.00 12.00 241.8
2 19 78.10 54.00 0.00 11.14 252.9
2 20 82.00 50.00 0.00 11.85 264.7
2 21 81.00 50.00 0.00 11.37 276.1
2 22 82.00 50.00 0.00 11.85 288.0
2 23 71.10 54.00 0.00 7.65 295.6
2 24 73.90 46.00 0.00 7.20 302.8
2 25 81.00 48.00 0.00 10.90 313.7
2 26 84.00 55.00 0.00 14.50 328.2
2 27 82.90 50.00 0.00 12.29 340.5
2 28 82.00 50.00 0.00 11.85 352.4
2 29 82.90 53.10 0.00 13.20 365.6
3 1 84.00 55.00 0.00 14.50 380.1
3 2 84.90 53.10 0.00 14.20 394.3
3 3 86.00 55.90 0.00 15.95 410.2
3 4 86.00 55.00 0.00 15.50 425.7
3 5 79.00 55.90 0.00 12.45 438.2
3 6 75.90 61.00 0.00 13.45 451.6
3 7 66.90 46.00 0.00 4.08 455.7
3 8 70.00 46.90 0.00 5.57 461.3
3 9 77.00 46.90 0.00 8.79 470.0
3 10 82.90 54.00 0.00 13.53 483.6
3 11 82.90 53.10 0.00 13.20 496.8
3 12 69.10 50.00 0.00 5.67 502.4 Start of OW gen (spring) emergence
3 13 73.90 48.90 0.00 7.71 510.2
3 14 75.90 50.00 0.00 8.90 519.1
3 15 84.90 53.10 0.00 14.20 533.2
3 16 84.90 53.10 0.00 14.20 547.4
3 17 84.90 54.00 0.00 14.53 562.0
3 18 87.10 51.10 0.00 14.57 576.5
3 19 87.10 53.10 0.00 15.21 591.7
3 20 88.00 55.90 0.00 16.74 608.5
3 21 89.10 57.90 0.00 18.08 626.6
3 22 79.00 60.10 0.00 14.55 641.1
3 23 75.00 55.90 0.00 10.45 651.6
3 24 78.10 46.90 0.00 9.30 660.9
3 25 82.00 51.10 0.00 12.15 673.0
3 26 84.90 55.00 0.00 14.95 688.0
3 27 82.90 55.90 0.00 14.40 702.4
3 28 79.00 57.00 0.00 13.00 715.4
3 29 66.90 51.10 0.00 4.84 720.2
3 30 66.00 46.00 0.00 3.70 723.9
3 31 72.00 48.90 0.00 6.82 730.7
4 1 77.00 51.10 0.00 9.70 740.4
4 2 82.00 54.00 0.00 13.08 753.5
4 3 87.10 55.00 0.00 15.96 769.5
4 4 89.10 55.90 0.00 17.09 786.6
4 5 90.00 57.00 0.00 17.90 804.5
4 6 95.00 64.00 0.00 22.38 826.8
4 7 88.00 66.90 0.53 22.19 849.0
4 8 78.10 60.10 0.37 14.10 863.1
4 9 79.00 61.00 0.00 15.00 878.1
4 10 69.10 54.00 0.35 6.66 884.8
4 11 75.00 52.00 0.00 8.97 893.8
4 12 80.10 55.90 0.00 13.00 906.8
4 13 84.00 59.00 0.00 16.50 923.3
4 14 87.10 60.10 0.00 18.51 941.8
4 15 82.00 60.10 0.00 16.05 957.8
4 16 79.00 53.10 0.00 11.27 969.1
4 17 81.00 60.10 0.00 15.55 984.6
4 18 84.00 57.00 0.00 15.50 1000.1
4 19 88.00 61.00 0.00 19.27 1019.4
4 20 91.90 60.10 0.00 19.90 1039.3
4 21 93.90 63.00 0.00 21.71 1061.0
4 22 93.00 66.00 0.00 22.94 1083.9
4 23 86.00 66.00 0.00 21.00 1104.9
4 24 84.90 55.90 0.00 15.40 1120.3
4 25 79.00 64.90 0.00 16.95 1137.3
4 26 75.00 54.00 0.00 9.59 1146.9
4 27 80.10 54.00 0.00 12.13 1159.0
4 28 73.90 60.10 0.00 12.00 1171.0
4 29 79.00 62.10 0.00 15.55 1186.6 Peak OW gen emergence
4 30 77.00 57.90 0.02 12.45 1199.0
5 1 77.00 55.00 0.00 11.00 1210.0
5 2 84.00 60.10 0.00 17.05 1227.1
5 3 91.90 63.00 0.00 21.29 1248.4
5 4 100.00 66.90 0.00 24.39 1272.8
5 5 95.00 66.00 0.00 23.30 1296.1
5 6 75.90 57.90 0.02 11.90 1308.0 Start 1st gen emergence
5 7 75.90 57.00 0.00 11.45 1319.4
5 8 79.00 59.00 0.00 14.00 1333.4
5 9 82.90 57.00 0.00 14.95 1348.4
5 10 88.00 60.10 0.00 18.82 1367.2
5 11 91.90 64.00 0.00 21.77 1389.0
5 12 99.00 69.10 0.00 25.23 1414.2
5 13 100.00 66.90 0.00 24.39 1438.6
5 14 98.10 71.10 0.00 25.98 1464.6
5 15 91.00 70.00 0.00 24.44 1489.0
5 16 89.10 66.90 0.00 22.50 1511.5
5 17 87.10 66.90 0.00 21.89 1533.4
5 18 84.90 66.90 0.01 20.90 1554.3
5 19 91.00 64.90 0.00 22.00 1576.3
5 20 96.10 68.00 0.00 24.37 1600.7
5 21 89.10 66.00 0.00 22.06 1622.7
5 22 86.00 63.00 0.00 19.50 1642.2
5 23 87.10 57.00 0.00 16.96 1659.2
5 24 88.00 64.90 0.00 21.20 1680.4
5 25 88.00 57.90 0.00 17.73 1698.1
5 26 82.90 61.00 0.00 16.95 1715.1
5 27 90.00 60.10 0.00 19.42 1734.5
5 28 95.00 64.00 0.00 22.38 1756.9
5 29 95.00 66.00 0.00 23.30 1780.2
5 30 91.00 61.00 0.00 20.12 1800.3
5 31 97.00 64.00 0.00 22.70 1823.0
6 1 100.00 69.10 0.00 25.34 1848.3
6 2 106.00 70.00 0.00 26.24 1874.5
6 3 111.00 73.90 0.00 27.96 1902.5
6 4 111.90 77.00 0.00 29.01 1931.5
6 5 111.00 75.00 0.00 28.33 1959.8
6 6 107.10 75.90 0.00 28.47 1988.3
6 7 102.90 80.10 0.00 29.69 2018.0
6 8 104.00 75.00 0.00 28.00 2046.0
6 9 102.00 80.10 0.00 29.66 2075.7
6 10 98.10 78.10 0.02 28.80 2104.5 Start 2nd gen emergence
6 11 97.00 73.90 0.00 27.04 2131.5
6 12 99.00 71.10 0.00 26.07 2157.6
6 13 96.10 73.90 0.00 26.95 2184.5
6 14 97.00 68.00 0.00 24.50 2209.0 End of OW gen emergence
6 15 98.10 69.10 0.00 25.12 2234.2
6 16 99.00 73.00 0.00 26.86 2261.0
6 17 102.00 69.10 0.00 25.54 2286.6
6 18 109.00 75.90 0.00 28.55 2315.1
6 19 117.00 77.00 0.00 29.14 2344.3
6 20 113.00 87.10 0.00 31.00 2375.3
6 21 107.10 87.10 0.00 31.00 2406.3
6 22 109.00 86.00 0.00 31.00 2437.3
6 23 109.00 82.90 0.00 30.54 2467.8
6 24 106.00 82.90 0.00 30.51 2498.3
6 25 106.00 79.00 0.00 29.44 2527.8
6 26 102.90 84.90 0.00 30.88 2558.6
6 27 107.10 88.00 0.01 31.00 2589.6
6 28 109.90 91.00 0.00 31.00 2620.6
6 29 105.80 77.00 0.07 28.79 2649.4
6 30 94.00 75.00 0.03 27.19 2676.6
7 1 95.00 78.80 0.12 28.86 2705.5
7 2 100.90 80.10 0.00 29.62 2735.1
7 3 105.80 82.00 0.00 30.29 2765.4
7 4 107.60 80.60 0.00 29.95 2795.3
7 5 107.10 84.00 0.00 30.75 2826.1
7 6 104.00 80.60 0.00 29.87 2856.0
7 7 102.90 80.10 0.00 29.69 2885.7
7 8 106.00 77.00 0.00 28.80 2914.5 Start 3rd gen emergence
7 9 108.00 78.80 0.00 29.44 2943.9
7 10 109.40 82.40 0.00 30.43 2974.3
7 11 106.00 78.10 0.00 29.16 3003.5
7 12 106.00 73.40 0.00 27.53 3031.0
7 13 106.00 78.10 0.00 29.16 3060.2
7 14 109.40 84.00 0.00 30.76 3090.9
7 15 109.40 80.10 0.00 29.85 3120.8
7 16 106.00 87.10 0.00 31.00 3151.8
7 17 102.20 84.20 0.02 30.76 3182.5
7 18 104.00 78.80 0.01 29.32 3211.9
7 19 106.00 86.00 0.00 31.00 3242.9
7 20 105.80 84.20 0.00 30.78 3273.6
7 21 109.90 87.10 0.00 31.00 3304.6
7 22 111.20 89.60 0.00 31.00 3335.6
7 23 109.90 87.10 0.00 31.00 3366.6
7 24 107.60 87.80 0.00 31.00 3397.6
7 25 107.60 86.00 0.00 31.00 3428.6
7 26 109.40 86.00 0.00 31.00 3459.6
7 27 111.90 87.80 0.00 31.00 3490.6
7 28 109.40 89.10 0.00 31.00 3521.6
7 29 109.90 80.10 0.04 29.86 3551.5
7 30 100.90 80.10 0.00 29.62 3581.1
7 31 102.00 82.00 0.00 30.22 3611.4
8 1 98.10 80.10 0.00 29.51 3640.9
8 2 97.00 75.20 0.14 27.58 3668.4
8 3 96.80 79.00 0.02 29.05 3697.5
8 4 99.00 80.60 0.00 29.72 3727.2 Start 4th gen emergence
8 5 96.80 71.60 0.67 26.05 3753.3
8 6 104.00 78.80 0.00 29.32 3782.6
8 7 106.00 84.00 0.00 30.74 3813.3
8 8 107.60 82.00 0.00 30.32 3843.6
8 9 95.00 79.00 0.04 28.93 3872.6
8 10 99.00 78.80 0.01 29.10 3901.7
8 11 97.00 80.10 0.00 29.46 3931.1
8 12 105.80 84.00 0.00 30.74 3961.9
8 13 106.00 80.10 0.00 29.78 3991.7
8 14 102.90 82.40 0.00 30.35 4022.0
8 15 107.60 87.10 0.00 31.00 4053.0
8 16 109.90 86.00 0.00 31.00 4084.0
8 17 106.00 87.80 0.01 31.00 4115.0
8 18 102.20 80.10 0.01 29.67 4144.7
8 19 102.20 77.00 0.03 28.62 4173.3
8 20 98.60 75.20 0.11 27.71 4201.0
8 21 98.60 77.00 0.00 28.41 4229.4
8 22 98.60 77.00 0.24 28.41 4257.8
8 23 91.90 71.10 0.13 25.12 4283.0
8 24 100.90 73.40 0.00 27.18 4310.1
8 25 100.40 77.00 0.09 28.53 4338.7
8 26 95.00 73.00 0.07 26.44 4365.1
8 27 95.00 73.00 0.01 26.44 4391.6
8 28 97.00 73.40 0.00 26.84 4418.4
8 29 104.00 75.90 0.00 28.33 4446.7
8 30 105.80 81.00 0.00 30.03 4476.7
8 31 102.90 82.40 0.00 30.35 4507.1 Start 5th gen emergence
9 1 100.90 84.00 0.00 30.70 4537.8
9 2 100.90 82.00 0.00 30.20 4568.0
9 3 102.20 80.60 0.00 29.82 4597.8
9 4 98.60 75.00 0.00 27.64 4625.5
9 5 98.60 69.80 0.00 25.48 4650.9
9 6 97.00 71.10 0.00 25.86 4676.8
9 7 89.60 75.20 0.03 26.62 4703.4
9 8 93.90 73.40 0.00 26.48 4729.9
9 9 100.90 73.40 0.00 27.18 4757.1
9 10 102.20 75.20 0.00 27.97 4785.0
9 11 102.20 77.00 0.00 28.62 4813.7
9 12 97.00 80.60 0.00 29.64 4843.3
9 13 96.80 78.10 0.00 28.71 4872.0
9 14 95.00 71.60 0.00 25.83 4897.8
9 15 93.90 66.00 0.00 23.11 4920.9
9 16 93.90 64.00 0.00 22.18 4943.1
9 17 97.00 66.20 0.00 23.70 4966.8
9 18 102.20 71.10 0.00 26.37 4993.2
9 19 98.60 71.10 0.01 26.03 5019.2
9 20 86.00 78.80 0.04 27.40 5046.6
9 21 95.00 75.20 0.00 27.39 5074.0
9 22 82.40 71.60 0.08 22.00 5096.0
9 23 84.90 64.40 0.00 19.65 5115.7
9 24 88.00 59.00 0.00 18.28 5133.9
9 25 95.00 69.10 0.00 24.71 5158.6
9 26 90.00 77.00 0.00 27.53 5186.2
9 27 87.10 71.60 0.00 24.22 5210.4
9 28 95.00 73.40 0.00 26.61 5237.0
9 29 91.90 75.20 0.01 27.00 5264.0
9 30 93.90 71.10 0.00 25.45 5289.5
10 1 93.90 72.00 0.00 25.85 5315.3
10 2 81.00 69.10 0.21 20.05 5335.4
10 3 82.90 64.40 0.00 18.65 5354.0
10 4 82.90 57.20 0.00 15.05 5369.1
10 5 86.00 57.20 0.00 16.60 5385.7
10 6 87.80 61.00 0.00 19.20 5404.9
10 7 93.90 64.00 0.00 22.18 5427.0
10 8 93.90 73.40 0.00 26.48 5453.5
10 9 93.90 73.00 0.00 26.30 5479.8
10 10 93.20 69.80 0.00 24.75 5504.6
10 11 93.20 66.00 0.00 22.98 5527.5
10 12 91.40 64.00 0.00 21.66 5549.2
10 13 90.00 62.10 0.00 20.40 5569.6
10 14 93.20 63.00 0.00 21.57 5591.2
10 15 91.90 62.60 0.00 21.10 5612.3
10 16 89.60 62.60 0.00 20.53 5632.8
10 17 87.80 62.60 0.00 19.99 5652.8
10 18 87.80 62.10 0.00 19.75 5672.5
10 19 91.00 62.10 0.00 20.65 5693.2
10 20 95.00 66.20 0.00 23.39 5716.6
10 21 93.90 73.40 0.00 26.48 5743.1
10 22 95.00 69.10 0.00 24.71 5767.8
10 23 93.20 64.40 0.00 22.23 5790.0
10 24 88.00 69.10 0.00 23.27 5813.3
10 25 88.00 69.10 0.00 23.27 5836.5
10 26 93.20 66.00 0.00 22.98 5859.5
10 27 96.80 71.60 0.00 26.05 5885.6
10 28 90.00 71.60 0.00 24.99 5910.6
10 29 91.90 66.20 0.00 22.82 5933.4
10 30 89.60 66.90 0.00 22.63 5956.0
10 31 82.90 64.40 0.00 18.65 5974.7
11 1 78.10 60.10 0.00 14.10 5988.8
11 2 82.40 57.00 0.00 14.70 6003.5
11 3 82.40 62.10 0.25 17.25 6020.7
11 4 78.80 57.20 0.00 13.00 6033.7
11 5 79.00 59.00 0.00 14.00 6047.7
11 6 81.00 57.00 0.00 14.00 6061.7
11 7 84.20 59.00 0.00 16.60 6078.3
11 8 88.00 64.40 0.00 20.95 6099.3
11 9 84.20 66.20 0.00 20.20 6119.5
11 10 82.00 62.60 0.00 17.30 6136.8
11 11 81.00 62.60 0.00 16.80 6153.6
11 12 81.00 60.80 0.00 15.90 6169.5
11 13 82.40 60.10 0.00 16.25 6185.7
11 14 82.90 57.00 0.00 14.95 6200.7
11 15 84.20 55.00 0.00 14.60 6215.3
11 16 77.00 57.00 0.00 12.00 6227.3
11 17 71.60 53.10 0.00 7.61 6234.9
11 18 73.90 46.40 0.00 7.26 6242.1
11 19 82.40 57.00 0.00 14.70 6256.8
11 20 75.20 60.10 0.17 12.65 6269.5
11 21 66.20 51.80 0.02 4.66 6274.1
11 22 68.00 46.00 0.00 4.56 6278.7
11 23 73.40 48.20 0.00 7.34 6286.1
11 24 77.00 48.90 0.00 9.18 6295.2
11 25 79.00 51.10 0.00 10.68 6305.9
11 26 71.60 59.00 0.00 10.30 6316.2
11 27 61.00 46.00 0.26 1.69 6317.9
11 28 54.00 44.10 0.00 0.00 6317.9
11 29 57.90 39.20 0.00 0.49 6318.4
11 30 60.10 39.00 0.00 1.09 6319.5
Forecast using: 1910 KDVT PRISM_rev1_4km 2006-2015 AVERAGES Lat33.6903 Long-112.0661 DD50
pink bollworm model - UC Davis Cotton IPM 1996 model Location: 2016 KDVT Phoenix-Deer Val Muni 1910 KDVT PRISM_rev1_4km 2006-2015 AVERAGES | Date | DDs | Event |
| 3-12-16 | 502 | Start of OW gen (spring) emergence |
| 4-29-16 | 1187 | Peak OW gen emergence |
| 5-6-16 | 1308 | Start 1st gen emergence |
| 6-10-16 | 2104 | Start 2nd gen emergence |
| 6-14-16 | 2209 | End of OW gen emergence |
| 7-8-16 | 2914 | Start 3rd gen emergence |
| 8-4-16 | 3727 | Start 4th gen emergence |
| 8-31-16 | 4507 | Start 5th gen emergence |
![degree-day graph of pink bollworm [cotton] UC Davis Cotton IPM 1996 model](/cgi-bin/ddplotj.pl?3516814)
