Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2017 MWQGV PDTWFO Grandview WA Lat46.2528 Long-119.8939 Elev:833 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 29.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 26.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 24.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 4 26.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 19.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 6 14.60 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx 1 7 17.00 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 8 25.10 17.10 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 9 30.40 17.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 10 26.40 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 11 23.00 16.50 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 12 17.10 6.10 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 13 12.10 2.10 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 14 13.10 4.70 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 15 14.80 11.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 16 17.30 6.70 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 17 19.90 10.30 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 18 29.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 19 36.20 21.30 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 20 31.00 22.70 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 21 35.70 28.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 22 34.20 29.50 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 23 33.30 30.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 24 30.40 26.30 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 25 28.00 24.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 26 33.10 27.10 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 27 33.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 28 34.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 29 32.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 30 30.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 31 34.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 1 30.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 2 29.00 24.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 3 26.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 4 31.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 5 30.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 6 44.00 26.00 0.00 0.53 0.5 2 7 28.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 8 28.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 0.5 2 9 44.00 26.00 0.00 0.53 1.1 2 10 48.00 35.00 0.00 2.33 3.4 2 11 45.00 26.00 0.00 0.80 4.2 2 12 38.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 4.2 2 13 36.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 4.2 2 14 30.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 4.2 2 15 31.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 4.2 2 16 37.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 4.2 2 17 43.00 32.00 0.00 0.37 4.5 2 18 39.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 4.5 2 19 49.00 32.00 0.00 2.46 7.0 2 20 48.00 36.00 0.00 2.44 9.4 2 21 40.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 9.4 2 22 44.00 27.00 0.00 0.54 10.0 2 23 44.00 22.00 0.00 0.48 10.5 2 24 41.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 10.5 2 25 44.00 20.00 0.00 0.46 10.9 2 26 38.00 33.00 0.00 0.00 10.9 2 27 41.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 10.9 2 28 46.00 25.00 0.00 1.06 12.0 3 1 53.00 40.00 0.00 5.62 17.6 3 2 48.00 35.00 0.00 2.33 19.9 3 3 53.00 34.00 0.00 4.38 24.3 3 4 48.00 37.00 0.00 2.57 26.9 3 5 46.00 34.00 0.00 1.44 28.3 3 6 47.00 34.00 0.00 1.83 30.1 3 7 46.00 34.00 0.00 1.44 31.6 3 8 52.00 33.00 0.00 3.81 35.4 3 9 44.00 36.00 0.00 0.81 36.2 3 10 64.00 42.00 0.00 12.00 48.2 3 11 57.00 35.00 0.00 6.37 54.6 3 12 56.00 39.00 0.00 6.79 61.4 3 13 54.00 44.00 0.00 8.00 69.4 3 14 67.00 46.00 0.00 15.50 84.9 3 15 64.00 50.00 0.00 16.00 100.9 3 16 54.00 39.00 0.00 5.81 106.7 3 17 51.00 32.00 0.00 3.28 110.0 3 18 61.00 41.00 0.00 10.00 120.0 3 19 52.00 30.00 0.00 3.50 123.5 3 20 51.00 31.00 0.00 3.18 126.6 3 21 49.00 37.00 0.00 3.02 129.7 3 22 59.00 37.00 0.00 7.74 137.4 3 23 56.00 30.00 0.00 5.19 142.6 3 24 57.00 43.40 0.00 9.20 151.8 Vn 3 25 57.00 42.00 0.00 8.50 160.3 3 26 49.00 38.00 0.00 3.18 163.5 3 27 60.00 39.00 0.00 8.76 172.2 3 28 58.00 38.00 0.00 7.50 179.7 3 29 60.00 44.80 0.00 11.40 191.1 Vn 3 30 60.00 36.00 0.00 7.99 199.1 3 31 62.00 34.00 0.00 8.53 207.6 4 1 66.00 40.00 0.00 12.08 219.7 4 2 58.00 36.00 0.00 7.04 226.8 4 3 56.00 30.00 0.00 5.19 231.9 4 4 60.80 34.00 0.00 7.96 239.9 Hx Hn 4 5 62.00 46.00 0.00 13.00 252.9 4 6 64.00 45.00 0.00 13.50 266.4 4 7 61.00 45.00 0.00 12.00 278.4 4 8 57.00 38.00 0.00 7.01 285.4 4 9 55.00 30.00 0.00 4.76 290.2 4 10 58.00 38.00 0.00 7.50 297.7 4 11 59.00 31.00 0.00 6.64 304.3 4 12 57.00 45.00 0.00 10.00 314.3 4 13 59.00 40.00 0.00 8.60 322.9 4 14 58.00 34.00 0.00 6.66 329.6 4 15 58.00 30.00 0.00 6.06 335.6 4 16 64.00 33.00 0.00 9.27 344.9 4 17 64.00 45.00 0.00 13.50 358.4 4 18 64.00 45.00 0.00 13.50 371.9 4 19 65.00 38.00 0.00 10.93 382.8 4 20 63.00 44.00 0.00 12.50 395.3 4 21 64.00 37.00 0.00 10.16 405.5 4 22 66.00 41.00 0.00 12.50 418.0 4 23 63.00 42.00 0.00 11.50 429.5 4 24 56.00 44.00 0.00 9.00 438.5 4 25 61.00 39.00 0.00 9.26 447.8 4 26 63.00 44.00 0.00 12.50 460.3 4 27 60.00 38.00 0.00 8.48 468.7 4 28 63.00 36.00 0.00 9.43 478.2 4 29 64.00 36.00 0.00 9.91 488.1 4 30 64.00 50.00 0.00 16.00 504.1 5 1 59.00 36.00 0.00 7.51 511.6 5 2 66.00 48.00 0.00 16.00 527.6 5 3 78.00 55.00 0.00 25.50 553.1 5 4 84.00 54.00 0.00 28.00 581.1 5 5 72.00 54.00 0.00 22.00 603.1 5 6 63.00 45.00 0.00 13.00 616.1 5 7 65.00 34.00 0.00 9.95 626.0 5 8 70.00 40.00 0.00 14.08 640.1 5 9 75.00 43.00 0.00 18.00 658.1 5 10 79.00 47.00 0.00 22.00 680.1 5 11 67.00 48.00 0.00 16.50 696.6 5 12 61.00 46.00 0.00 12.50 709.1 5 13 59.00 41.00 0.00 9.00 718.1 5 14 62.00 36.00 0.00 8.95 727.1 5 15 65.00 38.00 0.00 10.93 738.0 5 16 60.00 47.00 0.00 12.50 750.5 5 17 70.00 40.00 0.00 14.08 764.6 5 18 72.00 45.00 0.00 17.50 782.1 5 19 77.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 804.6 5 20 76.00 54.00 0.00 24.00 828.6 5 21 81.00 48.00 0.00 23.50 852.1 peak pheromone trap catch 5 22 84.00 52.00 0.00 27.00 879.1 5 23 92.00 53.00 0.00 31.50 910.6 5 24 69.00 51.00 0.00 19.00 929.6 5 25 68.00 47.00 0.00 16.50 946.1 5 26 78.00 44.00 0.00 20.00 966.1 peak female adult emergence 5 27 84.00 50.00 0.00 26.00 992.1 5 28 88.00 52.00 0.00 29.00 1021.1 peak egg laying 5 29 91.00 56.00 0.00 32.50 1053.6 5 30 90.00 59.00 0.00 33.50 1087.1 5 31 72.00 53.00 0.00 21.50 1108.6 6 1 76.00 54.00 0.00 24.00 1132.6 6 2 80.00 50.00 0.00 24.00 1156.6 6 3 83.00 54.00 0.00 27.50 1184.1 6 4 74.00 55.00 0.00 23.50 1207.6 6 5 75.00 43.00 0.00 18.00 1225.6 6 6 85.00 52.00 0.00 27.50 1253.1 6 7 87.00 58.00 0.00 31.50 1284.6 peak egg hatch 6 8 75.00 56.00 0.00 24.50 1309.1 6 9 69.00 42.00 0.00 14.50 1323.6 6 10 69.00 42.00 0.00 14.50 1338.1 6 11 74.00 42.00 0.00 17.00 1355.1 6 12 77.00 56.00 0.00 25.50 1380.6 6 13 74.00 46.00 0.00 19.00 1399.6 6 14 71.00 44.00 0.00 16.50 1416.1 6 15 68.00 52.00 0.00 19.00 1435.1 6 16 72.00 58.00 0.00 24.00 1459.1 6 17 77.00 45.00 0.00 20.00 1479.1 6 18 86.00 55.00 0.00 29.50 1508.6 6 19 92.00 60.00 0.00 35.00 1543.6 6 20 88.00 62.00 0.00 34.00 1577.6 6 21 83.00 58.00 0.00 29.50 1607.1 6 22 78.00 50.00 0.00 23.00 1630.1 6 23 86.00 50.00 0.00 27.00 1657.1 6 24 90.00 53.00 0.00 30.50 1687.6 6 25 94.00 54.00 0.00 33.00 1720.6 6 26 96.00 69.00 0.00 41.50 1762.1 6 27 85.00 64.00 0.00 33.50 1795.6 6 28 86.00 61.00 0.00 32.50 1828.1 6 29 84.00 58.00 0.00 30.00 1858.1 6 30 89.00 56.00 0.00 31.50 1889.6 7 1 90.00 59.00 0.00 33.50 1923.1 7 2 91.00 58.00 0.00 33.50 1956.6 7 3 88.00 58.00 0.00 32.00 1988.6 7 4 91.00 57.00 0.00 33.00 2021.6 7 5 96.00 59.00 0.00 36.50 2058.1 7 6 99.00 64.00 0.00 40.50 2098.6 peak in density large larvae 7 7 99.00 64.00 0.00 40.50 2139.1 7 8 94.00 57.00 0.00 34.50 2173.6 7 9 90.00 60.00 0.00 34.00 2207.6 7 10 86.00 62.00 0.00 33.00 2240.6 7 11 83.00 55.00 0.00 28.00 2268.6 7 12 89.00 56.00 0.00 31.50 2300.1 7 13 89.00 59.00 0.00 33.00 2333.1 7 14 92.00 55.00 0.00 32.50 2365.6 7 15 92.00 62.00 0.00 36.00 2401.6 7 16 80.00 54.00 0.00 26.00 2427.6 7 17 81.00 51.00 0.00 25.00 2452.6 7 18 88.00 53.00 0.00 29.50 2482.1 7 19 90.00 58.00 0.00 33.00 2515.1 7 20 80.00 63.00 0.00 30.50 2545.6 7 21 84.00 52.00 0.00 27.00 2572.6 7 22 90.00 57.00 0.00 32.50 2605.1 7 23 95.00 62.00 0.00 37.50 2642.6 7 24 86.00 63.00 0.00 33.50 2676.1 7 25 91.00 57.00 0.00 33.00 2709.1 7 26 94.00 61.00 0.00 36.50 2745.6 7 27 91.00 60.00 0.00 34.50 2780.1 7 28 90.00 55.00 0.00 31.50 2811.6 7 29 91.00 56.00 0.00 32.50 2844.1 7 30 92.00 59.00 0.00 34.50 2878.6 7 31 91.00 58.00 0.00 33.50 2912.1 8 1 95.00 58.00 0.00 35.50 2947.6 8 2 94.00 63.00 0.00 37.50 2985.1 8 3 94.00 60.00 0.00 36.00 3021.1 8 4 95.00 61.00 0.00 37.00 3058.1 8 5 90.00 62.00 0.00 35.00 3093.1 8 6 92.00 60.00 0.00 35.00 3128.1 8 7 94.00 62.00 0.00 37.00 3165.1 8 8 96.00 61.00 0.00 37.50 3202.6 8 9 94.00 61.00 0.00 36.50 3239.1 8 10 97.00 61.00 0.00 38.00 3277.1 8 11 96.00 62.00 0.00 38.00 3315.1 8 12 92.00 70.00 0.00 40.00 3355.1 8 13 81.00 62.00 0.00 30.50 3385.6 8 14 76.00 51.00 0.00 22.50 3408.1 8 15 81.00 46.90 0.00 22.95 3431.0 Pn 8 16 88.00 53.00 0.00 29.50 3460.5 8 17 86.00 57.00 0.00 30.50 3491.0 8 18 88.00 53.00 0.00 29.50 3520.5 8 19 80.00 54.00 0.00 26.00 3546.5 8 20 81.00 51.00 0.00 25.00 3571.5 8 21 84.00 54.00 0.00 28.00 3599.5 8 22 88.00 54.00 0.00 30.00 3629.5 8 23 85.00 58.00 0.00 30.50 3660.0 8 24 82.00 59.00 0.00 29.50 3689.5 8 25 79.00 47.00 0.00 22.00 3711.5 8 26 83.00 49.00 0.00 25.00 3736.5 8 27 87.00 51.00 0.00 28.00 3764.5 8 28 90.00 58.00 0.00 33.00 3797.5 8 29 93.00 57.00 0.00 34.00 3831.5 8 30 87.00 60.00 0.00 32.50 3864.0 8 31 85.00 58.00 0.00 30.50 3894.5 9 1 90.00 54.00 0.00 31.00 3925.5 9 2 93.00 56.00 0.00 33.50 3959.0 9 3 88.00 57.00 0.00 31.50 3990.5 9 4 85.00 58.00 0.00 30.50 4021.0 9 5 86.00 60.00 0.00 32.00 4053.0 9 6 82.00 56.90 0.00 28.45 4081.5 Pn 9 7 83.50 56.00 0.00 28.75 4110.2 Px Pn 9 8 88.80 59.20 0.00 33.00 4143.2 Px Pn 9 9 86.50 56.00 0.00 30.25 4173.5 Px Pn 9 10 83.00 51.80 0.00 26.40 4199.9 Px Pn 9 11 88.40 47.10 0.00 26.75 4226.6 Px Pn 9 12 91.50 49.20 0.00 29.35 4256.0 Px Pn 9 13 81.50 47.80 0.00 23.65 4279.6 Px Pn 9 14 74.80 45.70 0.00 19.25 4298.9 Px Pn 9 15 73.70 40.50 0.00 16.13 4315.0 Px Pn QA 80% ok - OK - 20% of data estimated  
Forecast using:  Fox - IPPC forecast for MWQGV data
Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MWQGV 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2017 MWQGV Grandview WA
QA 80% ok - OK - 20% of data estimated  - show details
DateDDsEvent
 5-21-17 852peak pheromone trap catch
 5-26-17 966peak female adult emergence
 5-28-17 1021peak egg laying
 6-7-17 1285peak egg hatch
 7-6-17 2099peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)