Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MWQGV PDTWFO Grandview WA Lat46.2528 Long-119.8939 Elev:833 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 24.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 21.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 20.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 4 26.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 28.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 6 34.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 7 36.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 8 36.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 9 36.00 33.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 10 36.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 11 37.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 12 34.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 13 34.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 14 45.00 28.00 0.00 0.84 0.8 1 15 42.00 29.00 0.00 0.12 1.0 1 16 36.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 1.0 1 17 35.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 1.0 1 18 35.00 33.00 0.00 0.00 1.0 1 19 34.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 1.0 1 20 46.00 30.00 0.00 1.23 2.2 1 21 40.00 36.00 0.00 0.00 2.2 1 22 55.00 36.00 0.00 5.62 7.8 1 23 49.00 34.00 0.00 2.64 10.5 1 24 50.00 30.00 0.00 2.70 13.2 1 25 45.00 27.00 0.00 0.82 14.0 1 26 39.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 14.0 1 27 42.00 35.00 0.00 0.16 14.1 1 28 50.00 35.00 0.00 3.19 17.3 1 29 50.00 35.00 0.00 3.19 20.5 1 30 48.00 30.00 0.00 1.94 22.4 1 31 45.00 24.00 0.00 0.76 23.2 2 1 46.00 23.00 0.00 1.01 24.2 2 2 42.00 24.00 0.00 0.10 24.3 2 3 40.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 24.3 2 4 44.00 28.00 0.00 0.56 24.9 2 5 49.00 30.00 0.00 2.31 27.2 2 6 48.00 32.00 0.00 2.07 29.2 2 7 50.00 27.00 0.00 2.50 31.7 2 8 50.00 28.00 0.00 2.56 34.3 2 9 51.00 28.00 0.00 2.94 37.2 2 10 48.00 30.00 0.00 1.94 39.2 2 11 49.00 38.00 0.00 3.18 42.4 2 12 50.00 41.00 0.00 4.50 46.9 2 13 50.00 34.00 0.00 3.07 49.9 2 14 62.00 41.00 0.00 10.50 60.4 2 15 64.00 49.00 0.00 15.50 75.9 2 16 61.00 44.00 0.00 11.50 87.4 2 17 59.00 44.00 0.00 10.50 97.9 2 18 52.00 42.00 0.00 6.00 103.9 2 19 55.00 41.00 0.00 7.00 110.9 2 20 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 113.8 2 21 48.00 27.00 0.00 1.78 115.6 2 22 52.00 28.00 0.00 3.33 118.9 2 23 52.00 26.00 0.00 3.19 122.1 2 24 53.00 32.00 0.00 4.13 126.2 2 25 55.00 29.00 0.00 4.65 130.9 2 26 55.00 31.00 0.00 4.87 135.7 2 27 62.00 39.00 0.00 9.75 145.5 2 28 57.00 38.00 0.00 7.01 152.5 2 29 55.00 35.00 0.00 5.44 158.0 3 1 51.00 40.00 0.00 4.63 162.6 3 2 55.00 42.00 0.00 7.50 170.1 3 3 61.00 40.00 0.00 9.59 179.7 3 4 62.00 33.00 0.00 8.34 188.0 3 5 63.00 43.00 0.00 12.00 200.0 3 6 58.00 44.00 0.00 10.00 210.0 3 7 56.00 37.00 0.00 6.30 216.3 3 8 50.00 29.00 0.00 2.63 218.9 3 9 47.00 38.00 0.00 2.26 221.2 3 10 61.00 39.00 0.00 9.26 230.5 3 11 49.00 33.00 0.00 2.55 233.0 3 12 54.00 39.00 0.00 5.81 238.8 3 13 54.00 38.00 0.00 5.56 244.4 3 14 54.00 36.00 0.00 5.15 249.5 3 15 52.00 32.00 0.00 3.70 253.2 3 16 56.00 34.00 0.00 5.74 259.0 3 17 52.00 33.00 0.00 3.81 262.8 3 18 54.00 26.00 0.00 3.97 266.7 3 19 60.00 36.00 0.00 7.99 274.7 3 20 57.00 42.00 0.00 8.50 283.2 3 21 60.00 40.00 0.00 9.10 292.3 3 22 62.00 41.00 0.00 10.50 302.8 3 23 58.00 36.00 0.00 7.04 309.9 3 24 57.00 42.00 0.00 8.50 318.4 3 25 58.00 32.00 0.00 6.34 324.7 3 26 58.00 34.00 0.00 6.66 331.4 3 27 57.00 37.00 0.00 6.78 338.1 3 28 57.00 28.00 0.00 5.39 343.5 3 29 66.00 38.00 0.00 11.42 354.9 3 30 68.00 37.00 0.00 12.12 367.1 3 31 74.00 37.00 0.00 15.06 382.1 4 1 75.00 41.00 0.00 17.00 399.1 4 2 76.00 44.00 0.00 19.00 418.1 4 3 73.00 40.00 0.00 15.57 433.7 4 4 61.00 46.00 0.00 12.50 446.2 4 5 62.00 39.00 0.00 9.75 456.0 4 6 72.00 36.00 0.00 13.80 469.8 4 7 78.00 40.00 0.00 18.07 487.8 4 8 80.00 46.00 0.00 22.00 509.8 4 9 79.00 49.00 0.00 23.00 532.8 4 10 74.00 45.00 0.00 18.50 551.3 4 11 76.00 44.00 0.00 19.00 570.3 4 12 66.00 51.00 0.00 17.50 587.8 4 13 60.00 48.00 0.00 13.00 600.8 4 14 57.00 38.00 0.00 7.01 607.8 4 15 64.00 36.00 0.00 9.91 617.8 4 16 67.00 39.00 0.00 12.23 630.0 4 17 74.00 40.00 0.00 16.07 646.1 4 18 80.00 44.00 0.00 21.00 667.1 4 19 82.00 46.00 0.00 23.00 690.1 4 20 84.00 46.00 0.00 24.00 714.1 4 21 77.00 57.00 0.00 26.00 740.1 4 22 74.00 52.00 0.00 22.00 762.1 4 23 71.00 53.00 0.00 21.00 783.1 4 24 66.00 48.00 0.00 16.00 799.1 4 25 65.00 39.00 0.00 11.24 810.3 4 26 66.00 36.00 0.00 10.88 821.2 4 27 63.00 47.00 0.00 14.00 835.2 4 28 71.00 45.00 0.00 17.00 852.2 peak pheromone trap catch 4 29 64.00 47.00 0.00 14.50 866.7 4 30 72.00 49.00 0.00 19.50 886.2 5 1 76.00 45.00 0.00 19.50 905.7 5 2 83.00 46.00 0.00 23.50 929.2 5 3 85.00 52.00 0.00 27.50 956.7 peak female adult emergence 5 4 77.00 59.00 0.00 27.00 983.7 5 5 72.00 55.00 0.00 22.50 1006.2 peak egg laying 5 6 82.00 57.00 0.00 28.50 1034.7 5 7 85.00 57.00 0.00 30.00 1064.7 5 8 78.00 55.00 0.00 25.50 1090.2 5 9 69.00 46.00 0.00 16.50 1106.7 5 10 72.00 44.00 0.00 17.00 1123.7 5 11 82.00 47.00 0.00 23.50 1147.2 5 12 85.00 49.00 0.00 26.00 1173.2 5 13 82.00 54.00 0.00 27.00 1200.2 5 14 69.00 53.00 0.00 20.00 1220.2 5 15 63.00 53.00 0.00 17.00 1237.2 5 16 74.00 52.00 0.00 22.00 1259.2 5 17 79.00 48.00 0.00 22.50 1281.7 peak egg hatch 5 18 81.00 52.00 0.00 25.50 1307.2 5 19 66.00 48.00 0.00 16.00 1323.2 5 20 65.00 41.00 0.00 12.00 1335.2 5 21 63.00 51.00 0.00 16.00 1351.2 5 22 69.00 52.00 0.00 19.50 1370.7 5 23 71.00 46.00 0.00 17.50 1388.2 5 24 75.00 44.00 0.00 18.50 1406.7 5 25 78.00 49.00 0.00 22.50 1429.2 5 26 74.00 48.00 0.00 20.00 1449.2 5 27 68.00 45.00 0.00 15.50 1464.7 5 28 72.00 42.00 0.00 16.00 1480.7 5 29 76.00 47.00 0.00 20.50 1501.2 5 30 75.00 45.00 0.00 19.00 1520.2 5 31 80.00 46.00 0.00 22.00 1542.2 6 1 84.00 55.00 0.00 28.50 1570.7 6 2 78.00 63.00 0.00 29.50 1600.2 6 3 84.00 56.00 0.00 29.00 1629.2 6 4 94.00 57.00 0.00 34.50 1663.7 6 5 96.00 59.00 0.00 36.50 1700.2 6 6 100.00 63.00 0.00 40.50 1740.7 6 7 95.00 64.00 0.00 38.50 1779.2 6 8 81.00 62.00 0.00 30.50 1809.7 6 9 75.00 50.00 0.00 21.50 1831.2 6 10 70.00 52.00 0.00 20.00 1851.2 6 11 73.00 45.00 0.00 18.00 1869.2 6 12 78.00 45.00 0.00 20.50 1889.7 6 13 73.00 50.00 0.00 20.50 1910.2 6 14 65.00 45.00 0.00 14.00 1924.2 6 15 66.00 39.00 0.00 11.73 1935.9 6 16 68.00 50.00 0.00 18.00 1953.9 6 17 75.00 42.00 0.00 17.50 1971.4 6 18 67.00 51.00 0.00 18.00 1989.4 6 19 73.00 40.00 0.00 15.57 2005.0 6 20 82.00 51.00 0.00 25.50 2030.5 6 21 81.40 58.00 0.00 28.70 2059.2 Vx 6 22 84.00 52.00 0.00 27.00 2086.2 peak in density large larvae 6 23 78.00 63.00 0.00 29.50 2115.7 6 24 73.00 54.00 0.00 22.50 2138.2 6 25 78.00 48.00 0.00 22.00 2160.2 6 26 88.00 53.00 0.00 29.50 2189.7 6 27 93.00 59.00 0.00 35.00 2224.7 6 28 95.00 62.00 0.00 37.50 2262.2 6 29 95.00 62.00 0.00 37.50 2299.7 6 30 92.00 59.00 0.00 34.50 2334.2 7 1 89.00 56.00 0.00 31.50 2365.7 7 2 89.00 62.00 0.00 34.50 2400.2 7 3 83.00 59.00 0.00 30.00 2430.2 7 4 80.00 52.00 0.00 25.00 2455.2 7 5 77.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 2477.7 7 6 80.00 50.00 0.00 24.00 2501.7 7 7 80.00 58.00 0.00 28.00 2529.7 7 8 80.00 59.00 0.00 28.50 2558.2 7 9 77.00 57.00 0.00 26.00 2584.2 7 10 73.00 56.00 0.00 23.50 2607.7 7 11 80.00 51.00 0.00 24.50 2632.2 7 12 80.00 58.00 0.00 28.00 2660.2 7 13 84.00 54.00 0.00 28.00 2688.2 7 14 89.00 54.00 0.00 30.50 2718.7 7 15 83.00 57.00 0.00 29.00 2747.7 7 16 84.00 54.00 0.00 28.00 2775.7 7 17 84.00 60.00 0.00 31.00 2806.7 7 18 78.00 62.00 0.00 29.00 2835.7 7 19 78.00 57.00 0.00 26.50 2862.2 7 20 86.00 55.00 0.00 29.50 2891.7 7 21 91.00 56.00 0.00 32.50 2924.2 7 22 82.00 64.00 0.00 32.00 2956.2 7 23 85.00 53.00 0.00 28.00 2984.2 7 24 87.00 55.00 0.00 30.00 3014.2 7 25 94.00 58.00 0.00 35.00 3049.2 7 26 96.00 64.00 0.00 39.00 3088.2 7 27 92.00 64.00 0.00 37.00 3125.2 7 28 95.00 62.00 0.00 37.50 3162.7 7 29 98.00 63.00 0.00 39.50 3202.2 7 30 94.00 62.00 0.00 37.00 3239.2 7 31 84.00 55.00 0.00 28.50 3267.7 8 1 84.00 55.00 0.00 28.50 3296.2 8 2 77.00 58.00 0.00 26.50 3322.7 8 3 81.00 50.00 0.00 24.50 3347.2 8 4 88.00 54.00 0.00 30.00 3377.2 8 5 91.00 56.00 0.00 32.50 3409.7 8 6 85.00 54.00 0.00 28.50 3438.2 8 7 80.00 53.00 0.00 25.50 3463.7 8 8 74.00 49.00 0.00 20.50 3484.2 8 9 75.00 56.00 0.00 24.50 3508.7 8 10 81.00 52.00 0.00 25.50 3534.2 8 11 86.00 55.00 0.00 29.50 3563.7 8 12 90.00 57.00 0.00 32.50 3596.2 8 13 93.00 59.00 0.00 35.00 3631.2 8 14 94.00 60.00 0.00 36.00 3667.2 8 15 92.00 57.00 0.00 33.50 3700.7 8 16 91.00 59.00 0.00 34.00 3734.7 8 17 92.00 59.00 0.00 34.50 3769.2 8 18 92.00 65.00 0.00 37.50 3806.7 8 19 86.00 63.00 0.00 33.50 3840.2 8 20 90.00 53.00 0.00 30.50 3870.7 8 21 92.00 57.00 0.00 33.50 3904.2 8 22 78.00 52.00 0.00 24.00 3928.2 8 23 79.00 49.00 0.00 23.00 3951.2 8 24 84.00 55.00 0.00 28.50 3979.7 8 25 85.00 55.00 0.00 29.00 4008.7 8 26 87.00 53.00 0.00 29.00 4037.7 8 27 86.00 58.00 0.00 31.00 4068.7 8 28 85.00 58.00 0.00 30.50 4099.2 8 29 89.00 55.00 0.00 31.00 4130.2 8 30 78.00 57.00 0.00 26.50 4156.7 8 31 82.00 49.00 0.00 24.50 4181.2 9 1 72.00 55.00 0.00 22.50 4203.7 9 2 73.00 50.00 0.00 20.50 4224.2 9 3 71.00 44.00 0.00 16.50 4240.7 9 4 74.00 44.00 0.00 18.00 4258.7 9 5 73.00 47.00 0.00 19.00 4277.7 9 6 69.00 55.00 0.00 21.00 4298.7 9 7 75.00 50.00 0.00 21.50 4320.2 9 8 77.00 51.00 0.00 23.00 4343.2 9 9 74.00 46.00 0.00 19.00 4362.2 9 10 87.00 46.00 0.00 25.50 4387.7 9 11 74.00 52.00 0.00 22.00 4409.7 9 12 71.00 54.00 0.00 21.50 4431.2 9 13 72.00 43.00 0.00 16.50 4447.7 9 14 78.00 40.00 0.00 18.07 4465.7 9 15 80.00 47.00 0.00 22.50 4488.2 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MWQGV 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2016 MWQGV Grandview WA
QA 100% ok  - show detailsDD accumulation on 4-14-17: 861 QA 100% ok  - show details
DateDDsEvent
 4-28-16 852peak pheromone trap catch
 5-3-16 957peak female adult emergence
 5-5-16 1006peak egg laying
 5-17-16 1282peak egg hatch
 6-22-16 2086peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)