Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2015 MWQGV PDTWFO Grandview WA Lat46.2528 Long-119.8939 Elev:833 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 24.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 25.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 28.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 4 31.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 58.00 35.00 0.00 6.84 6.8 1 6 47.00 33.00 0.00 1.75 8.6 1 7 39.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 8.6 1 8 34.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 8.6 1 9 38.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 8.6 1 10 37.00 33.00 0.00 0.00 8.6 1 11 39.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 8.6 1 12 42.00 35.00 0.00 0.16 8.8 1 13 38.00 36.00 0.00 0.00 8.8 1 14 37.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 8.8 1 15 38.00 33.00 0.00 0.00 8.8 1 16 42.00 30.00 0.00 0.12 8.9 1 17 33.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 8.9 1 18 58.00 31.00 0.00 6.19 15.1 1 19 53.00 32.00 0.00 4.13 19.2 1 20 47.00 28.00 0.00 1.48 20.7 1 21 30.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 20.7 1 22 36.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 20.7 1 23 36.00 33.00 0.00 0.00 20.7 1 24 46.00 32.00 0.00 1.32 22.0 1 25 40.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 22.0 1 26 37.00 35.00 0.00 0.00 22.0 1 27 36.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 22.0 1 28 37.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 22.0 1 29 36.00 33.00 0.00 0.00 22.0 1 30 38.50 35.70 0.00 0.00 22.0 Vx Vn 1 31 38.00 35.10 0.00 0.00 22.0 Vx Vn 2 1 38.00 35.20 0.00 0.00 22.0 Vx Vn 2 2 41.10 32.00 0.00 0.00 22.0 Vx Vn 2 3 43.00 34.30 0.00 0.42 22.4 Vx Vn 2 4 43.70 37.90 0.00 0.83 23.2 Vx Vn 2 5 50.80 39.60 0.00 4.41 27.7 Vx Vn 2 6 59.60 43.20 0.00 10.40 38.1 Vx Vn 2 7 62.50 48.20 0.00 14.35 52.4 Vx Vn 2 8 54.70 46.60 0.00 9.65 62.1 Vx Vn 2 9 52.50 39.10 0.00 5.11 67.2 Vx Vn 2 10 61.40 45.40 0.00 12.40 79.6 Vx Vn 2 11 52.20 38.10 0.00 4.72 84.3 Vx Vn 2 12 57.50 38.60 0.00 7.42 91.7 Vx Vn 2 13 58.80 36.20 0.00 7.46 99.2 Vx Vn 2 14 62.20 36.50 0.00 9.16 108.3 Vx Vn 2 15 57.10 34.60 0.00 6.34 114.7 Vx Vn 2 16 53.90 32.20 0.00 4.54 119.2 Vx Vn 2 17 55.20 31.10 0.00 4.97 124.2 Vx Vn 2 18 53.30 30.10 0.00 4.05 128.2 Vx Vn 2 19 58.30 33.10 0.00 6.64 134.9 Vx Vn 2 20 59.30 35.70 0.00 7.59 142.5 Vx Vn 2 21 52.20 39.00 0.00 4.94 147.4 Vx Vn 2 22 47.10 27.80 0.00 1.51 148.9 Vx Vn 2 23 50.80 23.10 0.00 2.57 151.5 Vx Vn 2 24 53.20 27.50 0.00 3.77 155.2 Vx Vn 2 25 53.70 31.80 0.00 4.40 159.7 Vx Vn 2 26 55.50 41.60 0.00 7.55 167.2 Vx Vn 2 27 47.50 40.70 0.00 3.13 170.3 Vx Vn 2 28 49.90 32.20 0.00 2.84 173.2 Vx Vn 3 1 51.00 24.60 0.00 2.73 175.9 Vx Vn 3 2 49.10 34.10 0.00 2.69 178.6 Vx Vn 3 3 48.00 29.80 0.00 1.92 180.5 Vx Vn 3 4 55.10 24.00 0.00 4.25 184.8 Vx Vn 3 5 55.70 27.30 0.00 4.77 189.5 Vx Vn 3 6 63.80 33.40 0.00 9.26 198.8 Vx Vn 3 7 64.80 35.30 0.00 10.13 208.9 Vx Vn 3 8 66.50 34.10 0.00 10.68 219.6 Vx Vn 3 9 73.10 37.10 0.00 14.65 234.3 Vx Vn 3 10 67.00 36.40 0.00 11.47 245.7 Vx Vn 3 11 64.40 52.30 0.00 17.35 263.1 Vx Vn 3 12 57.40 34.30 0.00 6.43 269.5 Hx Hn 3 13 57.70 34.60 0.00 6.62 276.1 Hx Hn 3 14 67.30 52.20 0.00 18.75 294.9 Vx Vn 3 15 58.50 35.10 0.00 7.09 302.0 Hx Hn 3 16 57.60 36.60 0.00 6.97 308.9 Vx Vn 3 17 59.80 46.20 0.00 12.00 320.9 Vx Vn 3 18 63.80 38.30 0.00 10.43 331.4 Vx Vn 3 19 64.30 37.60 0.00 10.47 341.8 Vx Vn 3 20 62.20 40.40 0.00 10.34 352.2 Vx Vn 3 21 60.40 36.40 0.00 8.27 360.5 Hx Hn 3 22 60.70 36.60 0.00 8.46 368.9 Hx Hn 3 23 61.00 36.70 0.00 8.63 377.6 Hx Hn 3 24 61.20 36.90 0.00 8.78 386.3 Hx Hn 3 25 61.50 37.10 0.00 8.97 395.3 Hx Hn 3 26 71.80 44.70 0.00 17.25 412.6 Vx Vn 3 27 62.00 37.40 0.00 9.29 421.8 Hx Hn 3 28 64.00 47.00 0.00 14.50 436.3 3 29 69.00 40.00 0.00 13.58 449.9 3 30 68.00 40.00 0.00 13.08 463.0 3 31 61.00 45.00 0.00 12.00 475.0 4 1 59.00 33.00 0.00 6.95 482.0 4 2 59.00 31.00 0.00 6.64 488.6 4 3 61.00 36.00 0.00 8.47 497.1 4 4 57.00 29.00 0.00 5.50 502.6 4 5 51.00 30.00 0.00 3.10 505.7 4 6 59.00 41.00 0.00 9.00 514.7 4 7 61.00 40.00 0.00 9.59 524.3 4 8 62.00 43.00 0.00 11.50 535.8 4 9 63.00 35.00 0.00 9.21 545.0 4 10 67.00 36.00 0.00 11.37 556.3 4 11 58.00 42.00 0.00 9.00 565.3 4 12 58.00 34.00 0.00 6.66 572.0 4 13 62.00 38.00 0.00 9.46 581.4 4 14 59.00 40.00 0.00 8.60 590.0 4 15 61.00 32.00 0.00 7.70 597.7 4 16 65.00 33.00 0.00 9.74 607.5 4 17 73.00 36.00 0.00 14.29 621.8 4 18 72.00 43.00 0.00 16.50 638.3 4 19 74.00 40.00 0.00 16.07 654.3 4 20 77.00 41.00 0.00 18.00 672.3 4 21 80.00 45.00 0.00 21.50 693.8 4 22 65.00 40.00 0.00 11.58 705.4 4 23 62.00 38.00 0.00 9.46 714.9 4 24 60.00 40.00 0.00 9.10 724.0 4 25 62.00 39.00 0.00 9.75 733.7 4 26 65.00 34.00 0.00 9.95 743.7 4 27 74.00 47.00 0.00 19.50 763.2 4 28 80.00 45.00 0.00 21.50 784.7 4 29 66.00 43.00 0.00 13.50 798.2 4 30 71.00 38.00 0.00 13.89 812.1 5 1 82.00 48.00 0.00 24.00 836.1 5 2 71.00 43.00 0.00 16.00 852.1 peak pheromone trap catch 5 3 74.00 41.00 0.00 16.50 868.6 5 4 80.00 43.00 0.00 20.50 889.1 5 5 65.00 44.00 0.00 13.50 902.6 5 6 62.00 36.00 0.00 8.95 911.5 Vx 5 7 72.80 45.40 0.00 18.10 929.6 Vx Vn 5 8 76.00 46.00 0.00 20.00 949.6 5 9 77.00 42.00 0.00 18.50 968.1 peak female adult emergence 5 10 78.00 45.00 0.00 20.50 988.6 5 11 72.00 50.00 0.00 20.00 1008.6 peak egg laying 5 12 64.00 50.00 0.00 16.00 1024.6 5 13 57.00 47.00 0.00 11.00 1035.6 5 14 70.00 42.00 0.00 15.00 1050.6 5 15 73.00 46.00 0.00 18.50 1069.1 5 16 74.00 54.00 0.00 23.00 1092.1 5 17 72.00 49.00 0.00 19.50 1111.6 5 18 76.00 55.00 0.00 24.50 1136.1 5 19 78.00 53.00 0.00 24.50 1160.6 5 20 80.00 54.00 0.00 26.00 1186.6 5 21 81.00 60.00 0.00 29.50 1216.1 5 22 77.00 57.00 0.00 26.00 1242.1 5 23 80.00 56.00 0.00 27.00 1269.1 5 24 81.00 53.00 0.00 26.00 1295.1 peak egg hatch 5 25 77.00 58.00 0.00 26.50 1321.6 5 26 76.00 56.00 0.00 25.00 1346.6 5 27 80.00 57.00 0.00 27.50 1374.1 5 28 84.00 55.00 0.00 28.50 1402.6 5 29 87.00 58.00 0.00 31.50 1434.1 5 30 88.00 63.00 0.00 34.50 1468.6 5 31 85.00 59.00 0.00 31.00 1499.6 6 1 83.00 62.00 0.00 31.50 1531.1 6 2 74.00 60.00 0.00 26.00 1557.1 6 3 74.00 54.00 0.00 23.00 1580.1 6 4 79.00 52.00 0.00 24.50 1604.6 6 5 86.00 55.00 0.00 29.50 1634.1 6 6 90.00 58.00 0.00 33.00 1667.1 6 7 95.00 59.00 0.00 36.00 1703.1 6 8 99.00 64.00 0.00 40.50 1743.6 6 9 94.00 64.00 0.00 38.00 1781.6 6 10 93.00 57.00 0.00 34.00 1815.6 6 11 93.00 58.00 0.00 34.50 1850.1 6 12 83.00 57.00 0.00 29.00 1879.1 6 13 78.00 50.00 0.00 23.00 1902.1 6 14 83.00 49.00 0.00 25.00 1927.1 6 15 87.00 52.00 0.00 28.50 1955.6 6 16 90.00 56.00 0.00 32.00 1987.6 6 17 90.00 53.00 0.00 30.50 2018.1 6 18 89.00 60.00 0.00 33.50 2051.6 6 19 81.00 56.00 0.00 27.50 2079.1 peak in density large larvae 6 20 82.00 53.00 0.00 26.50 2105.6 6 21 79.00 61.00 0.00 29.00 2134.6 6 22 86.00 54.00 0.00 29.00 2163.6 6 23 86.00 55.00 0.00 29.50 2193.1 6 24 89.00 63.00 0.00 35.00 2228.1 6 25 93.00 59.00 0.00 35.00 2263.1 6 26 98.00 63.00 0.00 39.50 2302.6 6 27 102.00 67.00 0.00 43.50 2346.1 6 28 100.00 69.00 0.00 43.50 2389.6 6 29 99.00 75.00 0.00 46.00 2435.6 6 30 97.00 67.00 0.00 41.00 2476.6 7 1 97.00 66.00 0.00 40.50 2517.1 7 2 99.00 65.00 0.00 41.00 2558.1 7 3 102.00 65.00 0.00 42.50 2600.6 7 4 98.00 64.00 0.00 40.00 2640.6 7 5 95.00 71.00 0.00 42.00 2682.6 7 6 96.00 64.00 0.00 39.00 2721.6 7 7 96.00 64.00 0.00 39.00 2760.6 7 8 97.00 66.00 0.00 40.50 2801.1 7 9 97.00 64.00 0.00 39.50 2840.6 7 10 94.00 72.00 0.00 42.00 2882.6 7 11 84.00 65.00 0.00 33.50 2916.1 7 12 85.00 59.00 0.00 31.00 2947.1 7 13 84.00 61.00 0.00 31.50 2978.6 7 14 85.00 58.00 0.00 30.50 3009.1 7 15 88.00 59.00 0.00 32.50 3041.6 7 16 82.00 59.00 0.00 29.50 3071.1 7 17 85.00 55.00 0.00 29.00 3100.1 7 18 90.00 60.00 0.00 34.00 3134.1 7 19 98.00 59.00 0.00 37.50 3171.6 7 20 96.00 65.00 0.00 39.50 3211.1 7 21 86.00 57.00 0.00 30.50 3241.6 7 22 82.00 52.00 0.00 26.00 3267.6 7 23 86.00 52.00 0.00 28.00 3295.6 7 24 88.00 55.00 0.00 30.50 3326.1 7 25 78.00 61.00 0.00 28.50 3354.6 7 26 77.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 3377.1 7 27 79.00 53.00 0.00 25.00 3402.1 7 28 82.00 50.00 0.00 25.00 3427.1 7 29 90.00 52.00 0.00 30.00 3457.1 7 30 93.00 55.00 0.00 33.00 3490.1 7 31 99.00 60.00 0.00 38.50 3528.6 8 1 97.00 60.00 0.00 37.50 3566.1 8 2 96.00 60.00 0.00 37.00 3603.1 8 3 84.00 63.00 0.00 32.50 3635.6 8 4 91.20 58.00 0.00 33.60 3669.2 Vx 8 5 86.40 58.20 0.00 31.30 3700.5 Vx Vn 8 6 78.00 54.10 0.00 25.05 3725.6 Vn 8 7 85.00 53.00 0.00 28.00 3753.6 8 8 90.00 56.00 0.00 32.00 3785.6 8 9 82.00 58.00 0.00 29.00 3814.6 8 10 84.00 59.00 0.00 30.50 3845.1 8 11 93.00 60.00 0.00 35.50 3880.6 8 12 96.00 63.00 0.00 38.50 3919.1 8 13 95.00 65.00 0.00 39.00 3958.1 8 14 86.00 65.00 0.00 34.50 3992.6 8 15 79.00 57.00 0.00 27.00 4019.6 8 16 79.00 49.00 0.00 23.00 4042.6 8 17 85.00 53.00 0.00 28.00 4070.6 8 18 87.00 55.00 0.00 30.00 4100.6 8 19 92.00 60.00 0.00 35.00 4135.6 Vn 8 20 90.00 57.00 0.00 32.50 4168.1 8 21 81.00 55.00 0.00 27.00 4195.1 8 22 78.00 51.00 0.00 23.50 4218.6 8 23 80.00 49.00 0.00 23.50 4242.1 8 24 84.00 54.00 0.00 28.00 4270.1 8 25 86.00 56.00 0.00 30.00 4300.1 8 26 88.00 54.00 0.00 30.00 4330.1 8 27 92.00 59.00 0.00 34.50 4364.6 8 28 84.00 62.00 0.00 32.00 4396.6 8 29 78.00 58.00 0.00 27.00 4423.6 8 30 73.00 55.00 0.00 23.00 4446.6 8 31 77.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 4469.1 9 1 77.00 51.00 0.00 23.00 4492.1 9 2 73.00 56.00 0.00 23.50 4515.6 9 3 69.00 42.00 0.00 14.50 4530.1 9 4 67.00 45.00 0.00 15.00 4545.1 9 5 72.00 51.00 0.00 20.50 4565.6 9 6 68.00 44.00 0.00 15.00 4580.6 9 7 72.00 49.00 0.00 19.50 4600.1 9 8 80.00 48.00 0.00 23.00 4623.1 9 9 84.00 51.00 0.00 26.50 4649.6 9 10 83.00 51.00 0.00 26.00 4675.6 9 11 86.00 52.00 0.00 28.00 4703.6 9 12 90.00 54.00 0.00 31.00 4734.6 9 13 83.00 55.00 0.00 28.00 4762.6 9 14 65.00 50.00 0.00 16.50 4779.1 9 15 63.00 39.00 0.00 10.25 4789.3 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MWQGV 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2015 MWQGV Grandview WA
DateDDsEvent
 5-2-15 852peak pheromone trap catch
 5-9-15 968peak female adult emergence
 5-11-15 1009peak egg laying
 5-24-15 1295peak egg hatch
 6-19-15 2079peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)