Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight 1988


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 1988 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2020 KVUO METAR Vancouver Pearson Fld WA Lat:45.6203 Long:-122.6564 Elev:26 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 57.20 46.40 0.11 10.80 10.8 * START * 1 2 53.60 42.80 0.05 7.20 18.0 1 3 57.20 46.40 0.24 10.80 28.8 1 4 48.90 41.00 0.06 3.95 32.8 1 5 48.90 42.80 0.16 4.85 37.6 1 6 52.00 44.60 0.30 7.30 44.9 1 7 57.20 46.40 0.12 10.80 55.7 1 8 48.20 33.80 0.19 2.29 58.0 1 9 42.80 33.80 0.01 0.35 58.3 1 10 48.90 41.00 0.44 3.95 62.3 1 11 46.90 42.10 0.19 3.50 65.8 1 12 46.90 39.00 0.21 2.39 68.2 1 13 39.90 37.40 0.19 0.00 68.2 1 14 41.00 33.80 0.04 0.00 68.2 1 15 41.00 33.10 0.29 0.00 68.2 1 16 43.00 30.20 0.14 0.34 68.5 1 17 43.00 32.00 0.28 0.37 68.9 1 18 42.80 37.40 0.36 0.46 69.3 1 19 52.00 41.00 0.02 5.50 74.8 1 20 46.90 41.00 0.09 2.95 77.8 1 21 51.80 42.10 0.12 5.95 83.7 1 22 48.90 44.60 0.07 5.75 89.5 1 23 50.00 44.60 1.15 6.30 95.8 1 24 55.90 46.00 0.12 9.95 105.7 1 25 57.90 46.00 0.16 10.95 116.7 1 26 54.00 45.00 0.26 8.50 125.2 1 27 48.20 42.80 1.10 4.50 129.7 1 28 54.00 48.00 0.17 10.00 139.7 1 29 48.90 46.00 0.43 6.45 146.1 1 30 52.00 42.10 0.21 6.05 152.2 1 31 62.60 52.00 0.00 16.30 168.5 2 1 60.80 39.00 0.25 9.16 177.7 2 2 45.00 30.00 0.01 0.90 178.6 2 3 46.40 28.00 0.01 1.28 179.8 2 4 43.00 26.60 0.00 0.30 180.1 2 5 52.00 41.00 0.16 5.50 185.6 2 6 60.80 50.00 0.02 14.40 200.0 2 7 55.40 46.00 0.05 9.70 209.7 2 8 46.90 39.20 0.11 2.43 212.2 2 9 46.40 36.00 0.00 1.76 213.9 2 10 52.00 34.00 0.00 3.94 217.9 2 11 45.00 32.00 0.01 0.97 218.8 2 12 52.00 30.90 0.07 3.59 222.4 2 13 45.00 30.90 0.13 0.93 223.4 2 14 51.10 37.00 0.04 3.98 227.3 2 15 46.90 42.80 0.45 3.85 231.2 2 16 51.80 33.80 0.01 3.82 235.0 2 17 50.00 30.90 0.00 2.77 237.8 2 18 53.60 28.90 0.00 4.06 241.8 2 19 55.90 28.00 0.00 4.93 246.8 2 20 54.00 30.00 0.00 4.33 251.1 2 21 59.00 26.10 0.00 6.03 257.1 2 22 57.20 28.40 0.00 5.52 262.6 2 23 52.00 42.10 0.07 6.05 268.7 2 24 48.90 35.10 0.00 2.72 271.4 2 25 55.40 30.20 0.00 4.95 276.4 2 26 57.20 35.10 0.00 6.48 282.8 2 27 61.00 30.20 0.00 7.42 290.3 2 28 59.00 32.00 0.05 6.79 297.1 2 29 48.20 35.10 0.23 2.42 299.5 3 1 46.90 33.10 0.00 1.72 301.2 3 2 50.00 42.10 0.01 5.05 306.2 3 3 60.80 46.40 0.00 12.60 318.8 3 4 57.20 39.00 0.01 7.38 326.2 3 5 59.00 34.00 0.00 7.12 333.4 3 6 51.80 42.10 0.37 5.95 339.3 3 7 48.20 37.40 0.05 2.72 342.0 3 8 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 344.9 3 9 55.90 28.40 0.00 4.97 349.9 3 10 63.00 28.00 0.00 8.01 357.9 3 11 57.20 37.00 0.00 6.87 364.7 3 12 57.20 30.00 0.00 5.71 370.4 3 13 42.80 37.00 0.46 0.44 370.9 3 14 42.80 33.10 0.36 0.34 371.2 3 15 41.00 35.10 0.00 0.00 371.2 3 16 62.60 34.00 0.00 8.81 380.0 3 17 61.00 28.00 0.00 7.12 387.1 3 18 59.00 37.00 0.00 7.74 394.9 3 19 64.90 32.00 0.00 9.51 404.4 3 20 68.00 35.60 0.00 11.75 416.1 3 21 61.00 37.00 0.00 8.70 424.8 3 22 63.00 33.10 0.00 8.82 433.7 3 23 53.60 44.60 0.11 8.10 441.8 3 24 51.10 39.90 0.34 4.65 446.4 3 25 51.80 37.00 0.01 4.31 450.7 3 26 50.00 30.90 0.00 2.77 453.5 3 27 50.00 39.20 0.10 3.92 457.4 3 28 53.60 46.40 0.16 9.00 466.4 3 29 57.90 48.00 0.27 11.95 478.4 3 30 52.00 44.60 0.15 7.30 485.7 3 31 51.80 41.00 0.17 5.40 491.1 4 1 51.10 39.90 0.07 4.65 495.7 4 2 51.80 39.00 0.11 4.74 500.4 4 3 50.00 37.40 0.00 3.54 504.0 4 4 54.00 35.60 0.05 5.08 509.1 4 5 64.90 39.20 0.00 11.25 520.3 4 6 64.40 37.00 0.00 10.36 530.7 4 7 61.00 37.40 0.00 8.81 539.5 4 8 73.40 37.00 0.00 14.77 554.3 4 9 75.90 39.00 0.00 16.65 570.9 4 10 71.60 41.00 0.00 15.30 586.2 4 11 62.60 37.90 0.00 9.72 595.9 4 12 66.20 35.60 0.00 10.88 606.8 4 13 68.00 33.10 0.00 11.18 618.0 4 14 70.00 37.00 0.00 13.10 631.1 4 15 68.00 48.00 0.00 17.00 648.1 4 16 70.00 37.40 0.00 13.21 661.3 4 17 75.20 35.60 0.00 15.26 676.6 4 18 55.40 48.00 0.16 10.70 687.3 4 19 62.60 44.10 0.00 12.35 699.6 4 20 70.00 41.00 0.00 14.50 714.1 4 21 63.00 48.20 0.00 14.60 728.7 4 22 60.80 48.20 0.25 13.50 742.2 4 23 62.60 48.20 0.00 14.40 756.6 4 24 61.00 50.00 0.01 14.50 771.1 4 25 68.00 46.40 0.17 16.20 787.3 4 26 66.90 39.20 0.07 12.25 799.6 4 27 68.00 48.00 0.24 17.00 816.6 4 28 73.90 46.00 0.00 18.95 835.5 4 29 72.00 53.10 0.00 21.55 857.1 Peak pheromone trap catch 4 30 66.20 48.00 0.00 16.10 873.2 5 1 63.00 37.90 0.07 9.92 883.1 5 2 57.90 50.00 0.36 12.95 896.0 5 3 59.00 42.10 0.23 9.55 905.6 5 4 70.00 37.00 0.03 13.10 918.7 5 5 73.90 48.20 0.06 20.05 938.7 5 6 64.90 48.00 0.04 15.45 954.2 Peak female adult emergence 5 7 75.20 37.40 0.00 15.78 969.9 5 8 82.40 48.90 0.00 24.65 994.6 5 9 87.80 55.00 0.00 30.40 1025.0 Peak egg laying 5 10 87.80 55.40 0.00 30.60 1055.6 5 11 69.80 50.00 0.12 18.90 1074.5 5 12 64.40 51.80 0.10 17.10 1091.6 5 13 63.00 51.80 0.04 16.40 1108.0 5 14 57.20 53.10 0.35 14.15 1122.1 5 15 68.00 53.10 0.01 19.55 1141.7 5 16 70.00 53.60 0.19 20.80 1162.5 5 17 70.00 50.00 0.01 19.00 1181.5 5 18 62.60 53.10 0.30 16.85 1198.3 5 19 63.00 51.80 0.00 16.40 1214.7 5 20 60.80 50.00 0.10 14.40 1229.1 5 21 60.80 48.20 0.13 13.50 1242.6 5 22 62.60 46.00 0.07 13.30 1255.9 5 23 63.00 48.20 0.00 14.60 1270.5 Peak egg hatch 5 24 73.90 48.20 0.00 20.05 1290.6 5 25 66.90 51.80 0.07 18.35 1308.9 5 26 72.00 57.90 0.00 23.95 1332.9 5 27 84.20 46.40 0.00 24.30 1357.2 5 28 91.40 51.10 0.00 30.25 1387.4 5 29 82.90 59.00 0.00 29.95 1417.4 5 30 63.00 51.80 0.40 16.40 1433.8 5 31 66.00 51.80 0.00 17.90 1451.7 6 1 73.40 44.60 0.00 18.00 1469.7 6 2 79.00 46.00 0.00 21.50 1491.2 6 3 73.90 55.00 0.00 23.45 1514.6 6 4 73.00 51.10 0.00 21.05 1535.7 6 5 70.00 52.00 0.44 20.00 1555.7 6 6 57.20 50.00 0.61 12.60 1568.3 6 7 61.00 50.00 0.23 14.50 1582.8 6 8 64.40 53.60 0.52 18.00 1600.8 6 9 64.90 51.80 0.13 17.35 1618.1 6 10 79.00 60.80 0.00 28.90 1647.0 6 11 75.20 59.00 0.01 26.10 1673.1 6 12 63.00 55.00 0.08 18.00 1691.1 6 13 61.00 51.80 0.31 15.40 1706.5 6 14 68.00 48.90 0.17 17.45 1724.0 6 15 64.90 55.40 0.62 19.15 1743.1 6 16 66.20 53.10 0.08 18.65 1761.8 6 17 73.90 50.00 0.00 20.95 1782.7 6 18 82.40 51.10 0.00 25.75 1808.5 6 19 87.80 53.60 0.00 29.70 1838.2 6 20 71.60 60.80 0.20 25.20 1863.4 6 21 75.90 60.10 0.00 27.00 1890.4 6 22 86.00 51.80 0.00 27.90 1918.3 6 23 93.20 60.80 0.00 36.00 1954.3 6 24 79.00 61.00 0.00 29.00 1983.3 6 25 84.90 60.10 0.00 31.50 2014.8 6 26 87.80 60.80 0.00 33.30 2048.1 6 27 69.10 57.00 0.00 22.05 2070.1 Peak in density large larvae 6 28 71.60 55.40 0.00 22.50 2092.6 6 29 73.90 51.10 0.00 21.50 2114.1 6 30 71.60 59.00 0.01 24.30 2138.4 7 1 68.00 55.40 0.04 20.70 2159.1 7 2 72.00 55.40 0.00 22.70 2181.8 7 3 71.60 54.00 0.00 21.80 2203.6 7 4 73.40 57.20 0.00 24.30 2227.9 7 5 75.20 57.20 0.00 25.20 2253.1 7 6 69.80 55.40 0.00 21.60 2274.7 7 7 69.80 57.00 0.04 22.40 2297.1 7 8 75.20 57.00 0.00 25.10 2322.2 7 9 78.10 55.40 0.00 25.75 2348.0 7 10 80.60 57.20 0.00 27.90 2375.9 7 11 77.00 53.60 0.00 24.30 2400.2 7 12 77.00 59.00 0.00 27.00 2427.2 7 13 80.60 51.10 0.00 24.85 2452.0 7 14 84.90 55.40 0.00 29.15 2481.2 7 15 87.10 60.80 0.00 32.95 2514.1 7 16 82.90 60.80 0.00 30.85 2545.0 7 17 73.40 61.00 0.00 26.20 2571.2 7 18 84.90 55.40 0.00 29.15 2600.3 7 19 90.00 57.00 0.00 32.50 2632.8 7 20 93.90 60.10 0.00 36.00 2668.8 7 21 88.00 62.10 0.00 34.05 2702.9 7 22 81.00 62.10 0.00 30.55 2733.4 7 23 75.90 60.10 0.00 27.00 2760.4 7 24 71.60 59.00 0.00 24.30 2784.7 7 25 82.40 51.10 0.00 25.75 2810.5 7 26 100.40 57.00 0.00 37.70 2848.2 7 27 99.00 62.10 0.00 39.55 2887.7 7 28 89.10 60.80 0.00 33.95 2921.7 7 29 93.20 60.10 0.00 35.65 2957.3 7 30 96.10 62.10 0.00 38.10 2995.4 7 31 89.60 62.60 0.00 35.10 3030.5 8 1 82.40 60.10 0.00 30.25 3060.8 8 2 86.00 60.80 0.00 32.40 3093.2 8 3 84.20 57.20 0.00 29.70 3122.9 8 4 87.80 62.60 0.00 34.20 3157.1 8 5 84.90 60.10 0.00 31.50 3188.6 8 6 73.40 59.00 0.21 25.20 3213.8 8 7 79.00 53.60 0.00 25.30 3239.1 8 8 78.80 61.00 0.00 28.90 3268.0 8 9 84.00 55.00 0.00 28.50 3296.5 8 10 90.00 62.10 0.00 35.05 3331.5 8 11 80.60 51.80 0.00 25.20 3356.7 8 12 73.40 57.00 0.00 24.20 3380.9 8 13 78.80 48.90 0.00 22.85 3403.8 8 14 87.80 53.10 0.00 29.45 3433.2 8 15 99.00 59.00 0.00 38.00 3471.2 8 16 96.80 64.00 0.00 39.40 3510.6 8 17 91.90 64.00 0.00 36.95 3547.6 8 18 84.20 62.60 0.00 32.40 3580.0 8 19 87.80 59.00 0.00 32.40 3612.4 8 20 84.20 64.00 0.02 33.10 3645.5 8 21 77.00 61.00 0.09 28.00 3673.5 8 22 79.00 57.00 0.00 27.00 3700.5 8 23 84.20 54.00 0.00 28.10 3728.6 8 24 81.00 57.00 0.00 28.00 3756.6 8 25 82.40 57.00 0.00 28.70 3785.3 8 26 82.40 57.00 0.00 28.70 3814.0 8 27 84.20 55.00 0.00 28.60 3842.6 8 28 84.20 57.20 0.00 29.70 3872.3 8 29 77.00 57.00 0.00 26.00 3898.3 8 30 77.00 46.90 0.00 20.95 3919.2 8 31 75.90 57.20 0.00 25.55 3944.8 9 1 89.60 60.10 0.00 33.85 3978.6 9 2 91.40 59.00 0.00 34.20 4012.8 9 3 95.00 57.00 0.00 35.00 4047.8 9 4 87.80 60.80 0.00 33.30 4081.1 9 5 75.90 57.90 0.00 25.90 4107.0 9 6 89.60 52.00 0.00 29.80 4136.8 9 7 91.90 57.20 0.00 33.55 4170.4 9 8 82.40 64.40 0.00 32.40 4202.8 9 9 91.00 66.90 0.00 37.95 4240.7 9 10 81.00 57.20 0.00 28.10 4268.8 9 11 64.40 52.00 0.00 17.20 4286.0 9 12 64.90 50.00 0.00 16.45 4302.5 9 13 64.40 48.20 0.00 15.30 4317.8 9 14 73.90 53.60 0.00 22.75 4340.5 9 15 75.90 57.00 0.01 25.45 4366.0 Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 KVUO PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988
Location: 2020 KVUO Vancouver Pearson Fld
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME
DateDDsEvent
 4-29-20 857Peak pheromone trap catch
 5-6-20 954Peak female adult emergence
 5-9-20 1025Peak egg laying
 5-23-20 1271Peak egg hatch
 6-27-20 2070Peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988