Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight 1988


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 1988 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2019 KVUO METAR Vancouver Pearson Fld WA Lat:45.6203 Long:-122.6564 Elev:26 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 39.90 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 45.00 30.00 0.00 0.90 0.9 1 3 55.40 42.80 0.08 8.10 9.0 1 4 53.60 41.00 0.31 6.30 15.3 1 5 51.80 35.60 0.39 4.07 19.4 1 6 46.90 36.00 0.19 1.97 21.3 1 7 45.00 33.80 0.02 1.06 22.4 1 8 48.90 39.20 0.22 3.39 25.8 1 9 46.40 42.10 0.28 3.25 29.0 1 10 48.90 36.00 0.01 2.83 31.9 1 11 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 34.7 1 12 53.60 28.40 0.00 4.01 38.7 1 13 53.60 26.60 0.00 3.86 42.6 1 14 46.90 26.10 0.00 1.38 44.0 1 15 43.00 26.10 0.00 0.30 44.3 1 16 48.20 28.00 0.16 1.90 46.2 1 17 54.00 35.60 0.05 5.08 51.2 1 18 48.20 41.00 1.05 3.60 54.8 1 19 50.00 42.10 0.45 5.05 59.9 1 20 45.00 41.00 0.39 2.00 61.9 1 21 48.90 33.10 0.02 2.51 64.4 1 22 48.90 41.00 0.25 3.95 68.4 1 23 55.90 44.10 0.01 9.00 77.4 1 24 51.80 33.80 0.00 3.82 81.2 1 25 48.90 33.10 0.00 2.51 83.7 1 26 44.10 30.20 0.00 0.64 84.3 1 27 41.00 35.60 0.00 0.00 84.3 1 28 54.00 33.80 0.00 4.80 89.1 1 29 52.00 27.00 0.00 3.26 92.4 1 30 50.00 27.00 0.00 2.50 94.9 1 31 50.00 26.60 0.01 2.47 97.4 2 1 43.00 39.20 0.09 0.66 98.0 2 2 50.00 39.00 0.02 3.87 101.9 2 3 46.90 39.00 0.05 2.39 104.3 2 4 39.20 28.40 0.06 0.00 104.3 2 5 37.00 21.00 0.27 0.00 104.3 2 6 37.90 19.40 0.00 0.00 104.3 2 7 37.90 19.40 0.00 0.00 104.3 2 8 37.40 28.00 0.29 0.00 104.3 2 9 37.40 28.40 1.54 0.00 104.3 2 10 37.90 23.00 0.22 0.00 104.3 2 11 46.40 37.00 0.99 1.86 106.1 2 12 48.20 37.00 0.66 2.66 108.8 2 13 45.00 35.60 0.22 1.16 110.0 2 14 43.00 35.60 0.36 0.45 110.4 2 15 48.90 37.00 0.20 2.97 113.4 2 16 43.00 37.00 0.12 0.51 113.9 2 17 44.60 28.90 0.00 0.75 114.6 2 18 44.60 26.60 0.01 0.70 115.3 2 19 44.60 37.00 0.21 1.11 116.4 2 20 48.20 34.00 0.05 2.31 118.8 2 21 48.90 26.10 0.00 2.05 120.8 2 22 45.00 33.10 0.22 1.02 121.8 2 23 45.00 35.10 0.38 1.13 123.0 2 24 41.00 33.10 0.15 0.00 123.0 2 25 37.90 32.00 0.01 0.00 123.0 2 26 39.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 123.0 2 27 36.00 30.00 0.01 0.00 123.0 2 28 45.00 28.40 0.02 0.86 123.8 3 1 48.20 32.00 0.14 2.14 126.0 3 2 48.90 24.10 0.00 1.96 127.9 3 3 41.00 28.90 0.00 0.00 127.9 3 4 43.00 25.00 0.00 0.29 128.2 3 5 44.60 19.40 0.00 0.59 128.8 3 6 37.40 30.20 0.14 0.00 128.8 3 7 46.40 34.00 0.02 1.59 130.4 3 8 43.00 28.00 0.09 0.31 130.7 3 9 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 133.6 3 10 51.80 24.10 0.00 2.99 136.6 3 11 55.90 24.10 0.56 4.57 141.1 3 12 48.90 37.90 0.10 3.12 144.2 3 13 53.60 37.00 0.02 5.16 149.4 3 14 57.20 35.60 0.00 6.58 156.0 3 15 62.60 33.10 0.00 8.64 164.6 3 16 60.80 33.10 0.00 7.80 172.4 3 17 71.60 30.90 0.00 12.44 184.8 3 18 69.80 35.10 0.00 12.50 197.3 3 19 71.60 35.10 0.00 13.37 210.7 3 20 73.40 37.40 0.00 14.89 225.6 3 21 57.90 43.00 0.00 9.45 235.1 3 22 55.40 35.10 0.05 5.64 240.7 3 23 59.00 43.00 0.03 10.00 250.7 Pn 3 24 61.50 46.40 0.00 12.95 263.7 Px 3 25 53.60 44.60 0.31 8.10 271.8 3 26 59.00 37.90 0.00 7.96 279.7 3 27 55.90 35.10 0.24 5.88 285.6 3 28 62.60 35.10 0.05 9.04 294.6 3 29 63.00 42.80 0.00 11.90 306.5 3 30 68.00 35.60 0.00 11.75 318.3 3 31 70.00 35.10 0.00 12.60 330.9 4 1 66.20 46.00 0.00 15.10 346.0 4 2 61.00 53.10 0.03 16.05 362.0 4 3 61.00 44.60 0.02 11.80 373.8 4 4 60.80 42.80 0.18 10.80 384.6 4 5 55.40 48.20 1.67 10.80 395.4 4 6 57.20 43.60 0.00 9.40 404.8 Pn 4 7 56.80 46.70 0.00 10.75 415.6 Px Pn 4 8 57.90 51.10 0.00 13.50 429.1 4 9 55.50 48.00 0.02 10.75 439.8 Px 4 10 52.00 46.60 0.00 8.30 448.1 Pn 4 11 53.60 48.20 0.04 9.90 458.0 4 12 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 468.8 4 13 52.00 44.10 0.17 7.05 475.9 4 14 51.80 37.40 0.08 4.38 480.3 4 15 53.60 37.00 0.10 5.16 485.4 4 16 60.80 44.60 0.04 11.70 497.1 4 17 66.20 46.90 0.11 15.55 512.7 4 18 75.90 44.10 0.00 19.00 531.7 4 19 62.10 51.80 0.22 15.95 547.6 4 20 64.90 48.90 0.00 15.90 563.5 4 21 63.00 42.10 0.00 11.55 575.1 4 22 66.90 39.90 0.02 12.49 587.6 4 23 66.20 48.90 0.00 16.55 604.1 4 24 66.90 37.00 0.00 11.58 615.7 4 25 73.40 46.00 0.00 18.70 634.4 4 26 66.90 45.00 0.00 14.95 649.3 4 27 59.00 44.10 0.01 10.55 659.9 4 28 66.20 33.80 0.00 10.47 670.4 4 29 69.80 37.90 0.00 13.26 683.6 4 30 70.00 39.00 0.00 13.72 697.3 5 1 69.80 37.00 0.00 13.00 710.3 5 2 64.40 44.10 0.00 13.25 723.6 5 3 69.80 41.00 0.00 14.40 738.0 5 4 73.90 44.60 0.00 18.25 756.2 5 5 75.20 46.00 0.00 19.60 775.8 5 6 82.40 45.00 0.00 22.70 798.5 5 7 78.80 48.20 0.00 22.50 821.0 5 8 78.80 46.40 0.00 21.60 842.6 5 9 84.00 48.20 0.00 25.10 867.7 Peak pheromone trap catch 5 10 87.80 46.00 0.00 25.90 893.6 5 11 86.00 48.00 0.00 26.00 919.6 5 12 73.90 48.00 0.00 19.95 939.6 5 13 73.40 48.00 0.00 19.70 959.3 Peak female adult emergence 5 14 60.80 51.80 0.13 15.30 974.6 5 15 64.90 50.00 0.17 16.45 991.0 5 16 60.80 53.60 0.03 16.20 1007.2 Peak egg laying 5 17 63.00 52.00 0.01 16.50 1023.7 5 18 73.40 51.10 0.62 21.25 1045.0 5 19 63.00 51.10 0.03 16.05 1061.0 5 20 61.00 51.80 0.05 15.40 1076.4 5 21 64.90 48.20 0.45 15.55 1092.0 5 22 73.90 46.00 1.07 18.95 1110.9 5 23 80.60 55.00 0.00 26.80 1137.7 5 24 62.60 51.80 0.01 16.20 1153.9 5 25 55.90 50.00 0.37 11.95 1165.9 5 26 73.90 50.00 0.00 20.95 1186.8 5 27 69.80 57.20 0.00 22.50 1209.3 5 28 66.20 55.00 0.00 19.60 1228.9 5 29 75.20 51.80 0.00 22.50 1251.4 5 30 78.80 55.00 0.00 25.90 1277.3 Peak egg hatch 5 31 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 1305.2 6 1 80.60 53.10 0.00 25.85 1331.1 6 2 78.80 53.10 0.00 24.95 1356.0 6 3 73.90 48.20 0.00 20.05 1376.1 6 4 78.80 46.00 0.00 21.40 1397.5 6 5 66.90 55.00 0.00 19.95 1417.4 6 6 64.40 48.20 0.04 15.30 1432.7 6 7 62.60 50.00 0.30 15.30 1448.0 6 8 68.00 51.80 0.00 18.90 1466.9 6 9 81.00 44.60 0.00 21.80 1488.7 6 10 84.20 57.20 0.00 29.70 1518.4 6 11 96.80 60.80 0.00 37.80 1556.2 6 12 96.80 62.60 0.00 38.70 1594.9 6 13 84.20 57.00 0.00 29.60 1624.5 6 14 71.60 55.40 0.00 22.50 1647.0 6 15 78.80 55.00 0.00 25.90 1672.9 6 16 80.10 53.60 0.00 25.85 1698.8 6 17 80.60 55.40 0.00 27.00 1725.8 6 18 71.60 55.00 0.00 22.30 1748.1 6 19 70.00 50.00 0.00 19.00 1767.1 6 20 68.00 53.10 0.06 19.55 1786.6 6 21 70.00 55.00 0.00 21.50 1808.1 6 22 72.00 53.60 0.00 21.80 1829.9 6 23 70.00 54.00 0.00 21.00 1850.9 6 24 70.00 51.10 0.00 19.55 1870.5 6 25 73.90 51.80 0.00 21.85 1892.3 6 26 75.20 55.40 0.11 24.30 1916.6 6 27 62.60 54.00 0.12 17.30 1933.9 6 28 73.90 48.90 0.00 20.40 1954.3 6 29 80.60 51.10 0.00 24.85 1979.2 6 30 82.90 53.10 0.00 27.00 2006.2 7 1 81.00 55.40 0.59 27.20 2033.4 7 2 66.90 59.00 0.00 21.95 2055.3 7 3 71.60 59.00 0.00 24.30 2079.6 Peak in density large larvae 7 4 79.00 57.00 0.00 27.00 2106.6 7 5 73.90 57.20 0.00 24.55 2131.2 7 6 66.90 57.00 0.07 20.95 2152.1 7 7 73.40 51.80 0.00 21.60 2173.7 7 8 75.90 55.40 0.00 24.65 2198.4 7 9 73.40 57.20 0.26 24.30 2222.7 7 10 75.20 62.10 0.02 27.65 2250.3 7 11 80.60 62.60 0.00 30.60 2280.9 7 12 82.90 60.10 0.00 30.50 2311.4 7 13 81.00 62.10 0.00 30.55 2342.0 7 14 84.20 59.00 0.00 30.60 2372.6 7 15 75.90 62.60 0.03 28.25 2400.8 7 16 81.00 64.00 0.00 31.50 2432.3 7 17 73.90 62.60 0.00 27.25 2459.6 7 18 75.20 60.10 0.00 26.65 2486.2 7 19 75.90 50.00 0.00 21.95 2508.2 7 20 86.00 53.60 0.00 28.80 2537.0 7 21 89.60 55.00 0.00 31.30 2568.3 7 22 84.90 57.00 0.00 29.95 2598.2 7 23 75.90 60.80 0.00 27.35 2625.6 7 24 81.00 53.10 0.00 26.05 2651.6 7 25 90.00 53.10 0.00 30.55 2682.2 7 26 90.00 60.10 0.00 34.05 2716.2 7 27 78.80 60.80 0.01 28.80 2745.0 7 28 84.20 55.00 0.00 28.60 2773.6 7 29 82.40 60.10 0.00 30.25 2803.9 7 30 78.80 60.10 0.00 28.45 2832.3 7 31 84.90 55.40 0.00 29.15 2861.5 8 1 88.00 57.20 0.00 31.60 2893.1 8 2 80.10 64.00 0.10 31.05 2924.1 8 3 87.10 64.00 0.00 34.55 2958.7 8 4 93.00 59.00 0.00 35.00 2993.7 8 5 90.00 62.60 0.00 35.30 3029.0 8 6 84.20 60.80 0.00 31.50 3060.5 8 7 72.00 60.80 0.00 25.40 3085.9 8 8 70.00 62.60 0.00 25.30 3111.2 8 9 75.90 62.60 0.14 28.25 3139.4 8 10 78.10 57.90 0.14 27.00 3166.4 8 11 75.90 62.10 0.00 28.00 3194.4 8 12 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 3222.3 8 13 89.60 57.00 0.00 32.30 3254.6 8 14 86.00 60.10 0.00 32.05 3286.7 8 15 82.40 57.00 0.00 28.70 3315.4 8 16 75.20 59.00 0.00 26.10 3341.5 8 17 71.60 60.80 0.00 25.20 3366.7 8 18 77.00 55.00 0.00 25.00 3391.7 8 19 80.60 59.00 0.00 28.80 3420.5 8 20 84.90 55.00 0.00 28.95 3449.4 8 21 68.00 60.10 0.17 23.05 3472.5 8 22 73.90 55.00 0.00 23.45 3495.9 8 23 82.90 51.80 0.00 26.35 3522.3 8 24 80.60 55.00 0.00 26.80 3549.1 8 25 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 3574.3 8 26 86.00 57.00 0.00 30.50 3604.8 8 27 97.00 53.60 0.00 34.30 3639.1 8 28 97.00 57.00 0.01 36.00 3675.1 8 29 81.00 64.00 0.03 31.50 3706.6 8 30 79.00 63.00 0.00 30.00 3736.6 8 31 82.90 55.40 0.00 28.15 3764.7 9 1 82.90 64.00 0.00 32.45 3797.2 9 2 82.90 59.00 0.00 29.95 3827.1 9 3 84.20 57.00 0.00 29.60 3856.7 9 4 79.00 62.60 0.00 29.80 3886.5 9 5 88.00 59.00 0.00 32.50 3919.0 9 6 79.00 62.10 0.00 29.55 3948.6 9 7 68.00 59.00 0.19 22.50 3971.1 9 8 70.00 60.10 0.47 24.05 3995.1 9 9 68.00 59.00 0.24 22.50 4017.6 9 10 68.00 57.20 0.00 21.60 4039.2 9 11 73.90 55.00 0.00 23.45 4062.7 9 12 81.00 51.10 0.18 25.05 4087.7 9 13 75.90 60.80 0.96 27.35 4115.1 9 14 75.90 59.00 0.00 26.45 4141.5 9 15 64.90 59.00 0.76 20.95 4162.5 Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 KVUO PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988
Location: 2019 KVUO Vancouver Pearson Fld
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME
DateDDsEvent
 5-9-19 868Peak pheromone trap catch
 5-13-19 959Peak female adult emergence
 5-16-19 1007Peak egg laying
 5-30-19 1277Peak egg hatch
 7-3-19 2080Peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988