Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 KVUO METAR Vancouver Pearson Fld WA Lat:45.6203 Long:-122.6564 Elev:26 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 37.00 30.90 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 36.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 30.90 26.10 0.01 0.00 0.0 1 4 35.10 30.00 0.02 0.00 0.0 1 5 39.00 28.90 0.22 0.00 0.0 1 6 42.10 28.00 0.01 0.13 0.1 1 7 45.00 28.00 0.01 0.84 1.0 1 8 46.90 27.00 0.00 1.41 2.4 1 9 45.00 30.00 0.04 0.90 3.3 1 10 50.00 28.00 0.00 2.56 5.8 1 11 41.00 28.00 0.16 0.00 5.8 1 12 42.10 37.00 1.07 0.22 6.1 1 13 48.00 39.00 0.91 2.91 9.0 1 14 45.00 39.20 0.14 1.54 10.5 1 15 45.00 39.90 0.32 1.67 12.2 1 16 51.10 42.10 0.30 5.60 17.8 1 17 45.00 41.00 0.81 2.00 19.8 1 18 51.10 39.90 0.24 4.65 24.4 1 19 48.20 42.10 0.58 4.15 28.6 1 20 48.90 42.10 0.36 4.50 33.1 1 21 51.10 44.10 0.46 6.60 39.7 1 22 57.00 43.00 0.17 9.00 48.7 1 23 51.10 43.00 0.10 6.05 54.7 1 24 50.00 37.90 0.01 3.63 58.4 1 25 55.00 41.00 0.00 7.00 65.4 1 26 48.20 44.10 0.08 5.15 70.5 1 27 53.10 46.00 0.16 8.55 79.1 1 28 57.90 39.90 0.60 8.02 87.1 1 29 53.10 41.00 0.30 6.05 93.1 1 30 46.00 37.90 0.08 1.80 94.9 1 31 43.00 39.00 0.11 0.64 95.6 2 1 46.00 39.00 0.03 1.97 97.5 2 2 48.00 30.90 0.00 1.99 99.5 2 3 48.00 41.00 0.30 3.50 103.0 2 4 55.00 43.00 0.37 8.00 111.0 2 5 57.90 37.90 0.11 7.43 118.5 2 6 51.10 37.00 0.00 3.98 122.4 2 7 60.10 39.00 0.00 8.81 131.3 2 8 61.00 34.00 0.00 8.06 139.3 2 9 59.00 33.10 0.00 6.96 146.3 2 10 60.10 37.90 0.00 8.50 154.8 2 11 55.90 46.00 0.18 9.95 164.7 2 12 54.00 48.00 0.20 10.00 174.7 2 13 52.00 44.10 0.38 7.05 181.8 2 14 57.00 48.90 0.06 11.95 193.7 2 15 60.10 51.10 0.10 14.60 208.3 2 16 55.40 46.00 0.23 9.70 218.0 2 17 62.10 46.00 0.33 13.05 231.1 2 18 50.00 43.00 0.43 5.50 236.6 2 19 51.10 43.00 0.18 6.05 242.6 2 20 53.10 34.00 0.02 4.42 247.0 2 21 52.00 30.00 0.09 3.50 250.5 2 22 52.00 32.00 0.03 3.70 254.2 2 23 59.00 30.00 0.00 6.50 260.7 2 24 62.10 37.90 0.00 9.48 270.2 2 25 63.00 32.00 0.00 8.62 278.8 2 26 59.00 37.90 0.34 7.96 286.8 2 27 57.90 46.00 0.05 10.95 297.8 2 28 55.90 46.00 0.07 9.95 307.7 2 29 51.10 44.10 0.53 6.60 314.3 3 1 57.90 44.60 0.16 10.25 324.6 3 2 55.90 39.90 0.40 7.02 331.6 3 3 61.00 46.90 0.02 12.95 344.5 3 4 59.00 43.00 0.18 10.00 354.5 3 5 60.10 50.00 0.17 14.05 368.6 3 6 54.00 46.00 0.26 9.00 377.6 3 7 53.10 42.10 0.03 6.60 384.2 3 8 46.00 35.10 0.11 1.52 385.7 3 9 50.00 44.10 0.74 6.05 391.7 3 10 55.90 44.10 0.27 9.00 400.7 3 11 53.10 37.00 0.23 4.92 405.7 3 12 50.00 43.00 0.34 5.50 411.2 3 13 53.10 42.10 0.62 6.60 417.8 3 14 46.90 42.10 0.53 3.50 421.3 3 15 46.90 41.00 0.29 2.95 424.2 3 16 57.00 37.00 0.11 6.78 431.0 3 17 60.10 30.90 0.00 7.12 438.1 3 18 60.10 50.00 0.00 14.05 452.2 3 19 66.90 39.90 0.00 12.49 464.7 3 20 55.90 48.00 0.21 10.95 475.6 3 21 52.00 46.00 0.14 8.00 483.6 3 22 54.00 45.00 0.09 8.50 492.1 3 23 54.00 45.00 0.09 8.50 500.6 3 24 55.00 44.10 0.01 8.55 509.2 3 25 57.00 43.00 0.01 9.00 518.2 3 26 57.90 39.00 0.03 7.73 525.9 3 27 52.00 37.90 0.06 4.58 530.5 3 28 57.00 34.00 0.00 6.19 536.7 3 29 66.00 32.00 0.00 10.02 546.7 3 30 73.90 35.10 0.00 14.49 561.2 3 31 73.00 39.90 0.00 15.53 576.7 4 1 75.00 42.10 0.00 17.55 594.3 4 2 69.10 42.10 0.00 14.60 608.9 4 3 71.10 39.90 0.03 14.59 623.4 4 4 59.00 44.10 0.02 10.55 634.0 4 5 59.00 42.10 0.00 9.55 643.5 4 6 75.00 37.00 0.00 15.56 659.1 4 7 87.10 43.00 0.00 24.05 683.2 4 8 82.90 46.90 0.00 23.90 707.1 4 9 66.00 44.10 0.00 14.05 721.1 4 10 60.10 48.90 0.00 13.50 734.6 4 11 61.00 51.10 0.00 15.05 749.7 4 12 59.00 46.90 0.27 11.95 761.6 4 13 59.00 46.90 0.20 11.95 773.6 4 14 53.10 42.10 0.32 6.60 780.2 4 15 60.10 39.00 0.00 8.81 789.0 4 16 70.00 37.90 0.00 13.36 802.3 4 17 81.00 41.00 0.00 20.00 822.3 4 18 89.10 46.90 0.00 27.00 849.3 4 19 87.10 48.90 0.00 27.00 876.3 peak pheromone trap catch 4 20 80.10 50.00 0.01 24.05 900.4 4 21 75.00 46.00 0.44 19.50 919.9 4 22 64.00 52.00 0.21 17.00 936.9 4 23 62.10 51.10 0.04 15.60 952.5 peak female adult emergence 4 24 57.00 41.00 0.08 8.00 960.5 4 25 61.00 37.90 0.00 8.94 969.4 4 26 59.00 37.00 0.03 7.74 977.2 4 27 59.00 46.90 0.03 11.95 989.1 4 28 62.10 44.10 0.00 12.10 1001.2 peak egg laying 4 29 57.90 48.90 0.18 12.40 1013.6 4 30 69.10 39.00 0.00 13.27 1026.9 5 1 81.00 43.00 0.00 21.00 1047.9 5 2 86.00 48.90 0.00 26.45 1074.3 5 3 73.00 53.10 0.09 22.05 1096.4 5 4 63.00 52.00 0.02 16.50 1112.9 5 5 71.10 52.00 0.00 20.55 1133.4 5 6 82.00 48.90 0.00 24.45 1157.9 5 7 84.90 52.00 0.00 27.45 1185.3 5 8 64.00 52.00 0.00 17.00 1202.3 5 9 70.00 50.00 0.00 19.00 1221.3 5 10 78.10 41.00 0.00 18.55 1239.9 5 11 82.90 45.00 0.00 22.95 1262.8 5 12 82.00 45.00 0.00 22.50 1285.3 peak egg hatch 5 13 86.00 48.00 0.00 26.00 1311.3 5 14 57.90 54.00 0.35 14.95 1326.3 5 15 57.00 53.10 0.43 14.05 1340.3 5 16 62.10 53.10 0.00 16.60 1356.9 5 17 75.00 53.10 0.00 23.05 1380.0 5 18 73.00 48.00 0.00 19.50 1399.5 5 19 55.90 48.90 0.31 11.40 1410.9 5 20 66.00 48.20 0.00 16.10 1427.0 5 21 57.00 52.00 0.30 13.50 1440.5 5 22 63.00 51.10 0.07 16.05 1456.5 5 23 66.90 53.10 0.01 19.00 1475.5 5 24 71.10 53.10 0.00 21.10 1496.6 5 25 68.00 54.00 0.00 20.00 1516.6 5 26 61.00 53.10 0.02 16.05 1532.7 5 27 62.10 48.00 0.04 14.05 1546.7 5 28 71.10 45.00 0.00 17.05 1563.8 5 29 69.10 53.10 0.00 20.10 1583.9 5 30 77.00 48.00 0.00 21.50 1605.4 5 31 87.10 48.90 0.00 27.00 1632.4 6 1 80.10 55.90 0.16 27.00 1659.4 6 2 69.10 57.90 0.03 22.50 1681.9 6 3 87.10 55.00 0.00 30.05 1711.9 6 4 97.00 61.00 0.00 38.00 1749.9 6 5 98.10 62.10 0.00 39.10 1789.0 6 6 90.00 60.10 0.00 34.05 1823.1 6 7 89.10 57.90 0.00 32.50 1855.6 6 8 72.00 57.00 0.00 23.50 1879.1 6 9 61.00 54.00 0.11 16.50 1895.6 6 10 62.10 52.00 0.13 16.05 1911.6 6 11 66.00 50.00 0.01 17.00 1928.6 6 12 75.00 45.00 0.00 19.00 1947.6 6 13 64.00 48.00 0.02 15.00 1962.6 6 14 61.00 50.00 0.14 14.50 1977.1 6 15 64.00 48.90 0.07 15.45 1992.6 6 16 66.90 51.10 0.02 18.00 2010.6 6 17 69.10 53.10 0.00 20.10 2030.7 6 18 66.90 48.00 0.06 16.45 2047.1 6 19 77.00 45.00 0.00 20.00 2067.1 6 20 80.10 55.90 0.00 27.00 2094.1 peak in density large larvae 6 21 73.00 55.90 0.00 23.45 2117.6 6 22 78.10 52.00 0.12 24.05 2141.6 6 23 66.00 55.00 0.58 19.50 2161.1 6 24 68.00 53.10 0.03 19.55 2180.7 6 25 78.10 48.00 0.00 22.05 2202.7 6 26 87.10 57.90 0.00 31.50 2234.2 6 27 86.00 60.10 0.00 32.05 2266.3 6 28 79.00 55.90 0.00 26.45 2292.7 6 29 77.00 57.00 0.00 26.00 2318.7 6 30 77.00 53.10 0.00 24.05 2342.8 7 1 81.00 53.10 0.00 26.05 2368.8 7 2 81.00 59.00 0.00 29.00 2397.8 7 3 75.20 57.00 0.00 25.10 2422.9 7 4 70.00 55.40 0.00 21.70 2444.6 7 5 72.00 51.80 0.00 20.90 2465.5 7 6 79.00 55.40 0.00 26.20 2491.7 7 7 72.00 60.80 0.08 25.40 2517.1 7 8 73.40 59.00 0.19 25.20 2542.3 7 9 72.00 57.20 0.27 23.60 2565.9 7 10 71.60 57.00 0.00 23.30 2589.2 7 11 73.90 57.00 0.00 24.45 2613.7 7 12 73.40 60.10 0.02 25.75 2639.4 7 13 77.00 59.00 0.00 27.00 2666.4 7 14 80.60 53.10 0.00 25.85 2692.3 7 15 72.00 48.90 0.00 19.45 2711.7 7 16 75.20 59.00 0.00 26.10 2737.8 7 17 73.00 59.00 0.00 25.00 2762.8 7 18 75.00 62.10 0.00 27.55 2790.4 7 19 77.00 60.80 0.00 27.90 2818.3 7 20 82.90 53.60 0.00 27.25 2845.5 7 21 87.10 57.00 0.06 31.05 2876.6 7 22 70.00 57.00 0.08 22.50 2899.1 7 23 73.90 60.10 0.00 26.00 2925.1 7 24 86.00 53.10 0.00 28.55 2953.6 7 25 87.10 60.80 0.00 32.95 2986.6 7 26 82.90 60.10 0.00 30.50 3017.1 7 27 88.00 59.00 0.00 32.50 3049.6 7 28 93.20 57.20 0.00 34.20 3083.8 7 29 93.00 63.00 0.00 37.00 3120.8 7 30 79.00 57.00 0.00 27.00 3147.8 7 31 75.20 57.00 0.00 25.10 3172.9 8 1 79.00 55.00 0.00 26.00 3198.9 8 2 75.20 57.00 0.00 25.10 3224.0 8 3 80.60 51.80 0.00 25.20 3249.2 8 4 89.60 62.10 0.00 34.85 3284.0 8 5 80.60 55.40 0.00 27.00 3311.0 8 6 73.90 53.10 0.00 22.50 3333.5 8 7 73.90 57.20 0.00 24.55 3358.1 8 8 69.80 57.20 0.13 22.50 3380.6 8 9 69.10 54.00 0.00 20.55 3401.1 8 10 80.60 57.00 0.00 27.80 3428.9 8 11 88.00 55.40 0.00 30.70 3459.6 8 12 97.00 60.10 0.00 37.55 3497.2 8 13 93.20 62.10 0.00 36.65 3533.8 8 14 86.00 59.00 0.00 31.50 3565.3 8 15 86.00 59.00 0.00 31.50 3596.8 8 16 84.90 59.00 0.00 30.95 3627.8 8 17 82.00 57.20 0.00 28.60 3656.4 8 18 98.60 57.00 0.00 36.80 3693.2 8 19 99.00 60.10 0.00 38.55 3731.7 8 20 99.00 60.10 0.00 38.55 3770.3 8 21 80.60 57.00 0.00 27.80 3798.1 8 22 73.90 48.20 0.00 20.05 3818.1 8 23 84.20 51.80 0.00 27.00 3845.1 8 24 91.40 53.10 0.00 31.25 3876.4 8 25 93.90 57.00 0.00 34.45 3910.8 8 26 96.80 57.20 0.00 36.00 3946.8 8 27 82.40 59.00 0.00 29.70 3976.5 8 28 84.00 53.60 0.00 27.80 4004.3 8 29 84.90 55.00 0.00 28.95 4033.3 8 30 72.00 57.00 0.00 23.50 4056.8 8 31 69.80 57.20 0.07 22.50 4079.3 9 1 69.80 55.00 0.06 21.40 4100.7 9 2 66.90 53.10 0.16 19.00 4119.7 9 3 68.00 48.00 0.01 17.00 4136.7 9 4 70.00 48.20 0.00 18.10 4154.8 9 5 71.60 48.00 0.04 18.80 4173.6 9 6 68.00 55.40 0.17 20.70 4194.3 9 7 73.40 55.40 0.00 23.40 4217.7 9 8 73.90 57.00 0.00 24.45 4242.1 9 9 84.00 48.20 0.00 25.10 4267.2 9 10 84.90 50.00 0.00 26.45 4293.7 9 11 72.00 50.00 0.00 20.00 4313.7 9 12 79.00 46.00 0.00 21.50 4335.2 9 13 81.00 48.90 0.00 23.95 4359.1 9 14 79.00 45.00 0.00 21.00 4380.1 9 15 80.60 50.00 0.00 24.30 4404.4 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg KVUO 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2016 KVUO Vancouver Pearson Fld
DateDDsEvent
 4-19-16 876peak pheromone trap catch
 4-23-16 952peak female adult emergence
 4-28-16 1001peak egg laying
 5-12-16 1285peak egg hatch
 6-20-16 2094peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)