Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2015 KVUO METAR Vancouver Pearson Fld WA Lat:45.6203 Long:-122.6564 Elev:26 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 39.00 19.90 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 41.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 41.00 35.10 0.10 0.00 0.0 1 4 52.00 37.40 0.16 4.48 4.5 1 5 55.90 37.90 0.01 6.46 10.9 1 6 46.90 37.00 0.00 2.08 13.0 1 7 46.00 33.10 0.00 1.38 14.4 1 8 45.00 32.00 0.00 0.97 15.4 1 9 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 18.2 1 10 42.80 37.00 0.13 0.44 18.7 1 11 44.10 41.00 0.05 1.55 20.2 1 12 48.90 37.00 0.00 2.97 23.2 1 13 51.10 28.90 0.00 3.05 26.2 1 14 48.00 26.10 0.00 1.74 28.0 1 15 43.00 26.10 0.80 0.30 28.3 1 16 54.00 36.00 0.03 5.15 33.4 1 17 55.00 37.00 1.76 5.82 39.2 1 18 60.10 46.00 0.17 12.05 51.3 1 19 52.00 35.10 0.00 4.09 55.4 1 20 43.00 33.00 0.00 0.39 55.8 1 21 48.90 28.00 0.00 2.15 57.9 1 22 45.00 39.00 0.01 1.51 59.4 1 23 46.00 41.00 0.08 2.50 61.9 1 24 57.90 42.10 0.01 9.00 70.9 1 25 50.00 37.90 0.00 3.63 74.6 1 26 57.00 39.00 0.00 7.29 81.9 1 27 50.00 37.90 0.04 3.63 85.5 1 28 55.90 42.10 0.02 8.00 93.5 1 29 50.00 37.00 0.00 3.47 97.0 1 30 46.00 30.00 0.00 1.23 98.2 1 31 46.90 28.90 0.00 1.49 99.7 2 1 45.00 35.10 0.23 1.13 100.8 2 2 57.90 39.00 0.49 7.73 108.5 2 3 50.00 41.00 0.13 4.50 113.0 2 4 52.00 42.10 0.17 6.05 119.1 2 5 48.90 45.00 0.91 5.95 125.0 2 6 57.00 46.90 0.71 10.95 136.0 2 7 57.90 48.90 0.49 12.40 148.4 2 8 59.00 44.10 0.09 10.55 158.9 2 9 53.10 46.00 0.32 8.55 167.5 2 10 54.00 46.00 0.00 9.00 176.5 2 11 55.90 37.00 0.00 6.25 182.7 2 12 62.10 35.10 0.00 8.80 191.5 2 13 55.90 35.10 0.00 5.88 197.4 2 14 62.10 42.10 0.00 11.10 208.5 2 15 64.90 33.10 0.00 9.72 218.2 2 16 62.10 33.10 0.00 8.40 226.6 2 17 64.00 35.10 0.00 9.71 236.3 2 18 55.90 34.00 0.00 5.69 242.0 2 19 57.90 42.10 0.02 9.00 251.0 2 20 57.00 41.00 0.00 8.00 259.0 2 21 60.10 32.00 0.00 7.29 266.3 2 22 55.90 42.10 0.00 8.00 274.3 2 23 59.00 30.00 0.00 6.50 280.8 2 24 57.90 28.00 0.00 5.77 286.6 2 25 52.00 44.10 0.05 7.05 293.6 2 26 53.10 46.90 0.26 9.00 302.6 2 27 55.90 45.00 0.20 9.45 312.1 2 28 57.90 34.00 0.00 6.61 318.7 3 1 57.00 26.10 0.01 5.20 323.9 3 2 55.90 39.00 0.01 6.75 330.6 3 3 55.90 28.00 0.00 4.93 335.6 3 4 57.90 25.00 0.00 5.46 341.0 3 5 60.10 28.90 0.00 6.84 347.9 3 6 63.00 30.90 0.00 8.44 356.3 3 7 68.00 30.90 0.00 10.75 367.1 3 8 68.00 32.00 0.00 10.96 378.0 3 9 69.10 33.10 0.00 11.71 389.7 3 10 64.00 33.10 0.00 9.29 399.0 3 11 59.00 51.10 0.11 14.05 413.1 3 12 68.00 46.00 0.00 16.00 429.1 3 13 66.90 43.00 0.40 13.95 443.0 3 14 57.20 51.10 1.33 13.15 456.2 3 15 62.10 45.00 0.51 12.55 468.7 3 16 64.00 34.00 0.00 9.47 478.2 3 17 57.00 39.00 0.08 7.29 485.5 3 18 62.10 43.00 0.00 11.55 497.0 3 19 66.00 39.00 0.00 11.73 508.8 3 20 64.90 46.90 0.20 14.90 523.7 3 21 60.10 44.10 0.11 11.10 534.8 3 22 55.00 43.00 0.60 8.00 542.8 3 23 54.00 44.60 0.98 8.30 551.1 3 24 55.00 44.10 0.28 8.55 559.6 3 25 58.20 46.90 0.06 11.55 571.2 Hx 3 26 62.10 44.10 0.00 12.10 583.3 3 27 70.00 42.80 0.00 15.40 598.7 3 28 61.00 48.00 0.00 13.50 612.2 3 29 68.00 41.00 0.00 13.50 625.7 3 30 66.90 44.10 0.04 14.50 640.2 3 31 55.40 44.10 0.09 8.75 648.9 4 1 53.10 39.90 0.13 5.64 654.5 4 2 57.90 37.90 0.00 7.43 662.0 4 3 51.10 37.00 0.21 3.98 666.0 4 4 57.00 37.00 0.00 6.78 672.7 4 5 59.00 35.10 0.10 7.33 680.1 4 6 55.90 37.90 0.01 6.46 686.5 4 7 59.00 45.00 0.05 11.00 697.5 4 8 57.90 41.00 0.01 8.45 706.0 4 9 64.90 37.90 0.00 10.85 716.8 4 10 60.10 39.00 0.27 8.81 725.6 4 11 57.00 44.10 0.04 9.55 735.2 4 12 57.90 37.90 0.00 7.43 742.6 4 13 55.00 39.00 0.37 6.30 748.9 4 14 53.10 37.00 0.33 4.92 753.8 4 15 60.10 33.10 0.00 7.47 761.3 4 16 72.00 35.10 0.00 13.57 774.9 4 17 73.00 39.00 0.00 15.21 790.1 4 18 75.90 43.00 0.00 18.45 808.5 4 19 77.00 39.90 0.00 17.53 826.1 4 20 80.10 43.00 0.00 20.55 846.6 4 21 62.10 45.00 0.00 12.55 859.2 peak pheromone trap catch 4 22 60.10 37.90 0.00 8.50 867.6 4 23 53.10 45.00 0.03 8.05 875.7 4 24 55.90 46.90 0.17 10.40 886.1 4 25 62.10 39.00 0.08 9.80 895.9 4 26 60.10 39.90 0.03 9.11 905.0 4 27 81.00 48.90 0.00 23.95 929.0 4 28 66.90 43.00 0.02 13.95 942.9 4 29 63.00 39.00 0.00 10.25 953.2 peak female adult emergence 4 30 70.00 41.00 0.00 14.50 967.7 5 1 73.00 48.00 0.00 19.50 987.2 5 2 70.00 48.00 0.00 18.00 1005.2 peak egg laying 5 3 75.90 39.90 0.00 16.98 1022.1 5 4 64.00 43.00 0.00 12.50 1034.6 5 5 64.00 45.00 0.06 13.50 1048.1 5 6 64.00 45.00 0.02 13.50 1061.6 5 7 71.10 39.00 0.00 14.26 1075.9 5 8 80.10 41.00 0.00 19.55 1095.5 5 9 82.90 45.00 0.00 22.95 1118.4 5 10 71.10 51.10 0.00 20.10 1138.5 5 11 61.00 50.00 0.49 14.50 1153.0 5 12 55.90 50.00 0.10 11.95 1165.0 5 13 63.00 50.00 0.01 15.50 1180.5 5 14 70.00 44.10 0.00 16.05 1196.5 5 15 62.10 50.00 0.00 15.05 1211.6 5 16 59.00 53.10 0.00 15.05 1226.6 5 17 70.00 53.10 0.00 20.55 1247.2 5 18 78.10 50.00 0.00 23.05 1270.2 peak egg hatch 5 19 64.00 53.10 0.00 17.55 1287.8 5 20 75.00 54.00 0.00 23.50 1311.3 5 21 73.90 57.00 0.00 24.45 1335.7 5 22 59.00 55.90 0.00 16.45 1352.2 5 23 62.10 54.00 0.00 17.05 1369.2 5 24 66.90 54.00 0.00 19.45 1388.7 5 25 66.90 52.00 0.00 18.45 1407.1 5 26 71.10 54.00 0.00 21.55 1428.7 5 27 79.00 54.00 0.00 25.50 1454.2 5 28 84.00 53.10 0.00 27.55 1481.7 5 29 81.00 55.90 0.00 27.45 1509.2 5 30 77.00 52.00 0.00 23.50 1532.7 5 31 82.90 55.90 0.03 28.40 1561.1 6 1 63.00 55.00 0.23 18.00 1579.1 6 2 61.00 55.00 0.12 17.00 1596.1 6 3 66.00 55.00 0.01 19.50 1615.6 6 4 73.90 52.00 0.00 21.95 1637.5 6 5 84.90 55.00 0.00 28.95 1666.5 6 6 88.00 59.00 0.00 32.50 1699.0 6 7 90.00 55.90 0.00 31.95 1730.9 6 8 91.00 62.10 0.00 35.55 1766.5 6 9 89.10 59.00 0.00 33.05 1799.5 6 10 80.10 51.10 0.00 24.60 1824.1 6 11 79.00 48.90 0.00 22.95 1847.1 6 12 73.00 48.00 0.00 19.50 1866.6 6 13 75.90 50.00 0.00 21.95 1888.5 6 14 84.90 51.10 0.00 27.00 1915.5 6 15 89.10 57.00 0.00 32.05 1947.6 6 16 75.90 53.10 0.00 23.50 1971.1 6 17 81.00 50.00 0.00 24.50 1995.6 6 18 82.00 59.00 0.00 29.50 2025.1 6 19 75.00 57.90 0.00 25.45 2050.5 6 20 80.10 52.00 0.00 25.05 2075.6 peak in density large larvae 6 21 82.90 59.00 0.00 29.95 2105.5 6 22 79.00 52.00 0.00 24.50 2130.0 6 23 84.00 55.90 0.00 28.95 2159.0 6 24 84.90 62.10 0.00 32.50 2191.5 6 25 91.00 59.00 0.00 34.00 2225.5 6 26 93.90 66.90 0.00 39.40 2264.9 6 27 93.00 69.10 0.00 40.05 2304.9 6 28 84.00 66.90 0.00 34.45 2339.4 6 29 90.00 61.00 0.00 34.50 2373.9 6 30 91.00 60.10 0.00 34.55 2408.4 7 1 95.00 61.00 0.00 37.00 2445.4 7 2 97.00 61.00 0.00 38.00 2483.4 7 3 95.00 63.00 0.00 38.00 2521.4 7 4 95.00 57.90 0.00 35.45 2556.9 7 5 95.00 64.00 0.00 38.50 2595.4 7 6 91.00 61.00 0.00 35.00 2630.4 7 7 87.10 59.00 0.00 32.05 2662.4 7 8 90.00 61.00 0.00 34.50 2696.9 7 9 86.00 62.10 0.00 33.05 2730.0 7 10 86.00 61.00 0.00 32.50 2762.5 7 11 72.00 64.40 0.00 27.20 2789.7 7 12 82.00 64.00 0.03 32.00 2821.7 7 13 81.00 62.10 0.01 30.55 2852.2 7 14 84.00 59.00 0.00 30.50 2882.7 7 15 82.00 55.00 0.00 27.50 2910.2 7 16 79.00 61.00 0.00 29.00 2939.2 7 17 87.10 57.00 0.00 31.05 2970.3 7 18 97.00 55.90 0.00 35.45 3005.7 7 19 97.00 62.10 0.00 38.55 3044.3 7 20 84.90 60.10 0.00 31.50 3075.8 7 21 75.00 61.00 0.00 27.00 3102.8 7 22 71.10 55.90 0.00 22.50 3125.3 7 23 80.10 57.00 0.00 27.55 3152.8 7 24 82.00 55.00 0.00 27.50 3180.3 7 25 70.00 57.00 0.16 22.50 3202.8 7 26 72.00 55.00 0.07 22.50 3225.3 7 27 77.00 51.10 0.00 23.05 3248.4 7 28 86.00 54.00 0.00 29.00 3277.4 7 29 96.10 57.00 0.00 35.55 3312.9 7 30 102.90 59.00 0.00 39.95 3352.9 7 31 100.90 60.10 0.00 39.50 3392.4 8 1 98.10 55.90 0.00 36.00 3428.4 8 2 79.00 64.90 0.00 30.95 3459.3 8 3 84.00 64.00 0.00 33.00 3492.3 8 4 82.00 59.00 0.00 29.50 3521.8 8 5 77.00 52.00 0.00 23.50 3545.3 8 6 79.00 53.10 0.00 25.05 3570.4 8 7 87.10 55.00 0.00 30.05 3600.4 8 8 80.10 59.00 0.00 28.55 3629.0 8 9 84.90 57.90 0.00 30.40 3659.4 8 10 87.10 62.10 0.00 33.60 3693.0 8 11 90.00 62.60 0.00 35.30 3728.3 8 12 90.00 64.90 0.00 36.45 3764.7 8 13 86.00 63.00 0.00 33.50 3798.2 8 14 73.90 64.00 0.01 27.95 3826.2 8 15 75.90 62.10 0.00 28.00 3854.2 8 16 82.90 57.00 0.00 28.95 3883.1 8 17 88.00 55.90 0.00 30.95 3914.1 8 18 96.10 55.90 0.00 35.00 3949.1 8 19 97.00 61.00 0.00 38.00 3987.1 8 20 79.00 59.00 0.00 28.00 4015.1 8 21 78.10 57.00 0.00 26.55 4041.6 8 22 86.00 53.10 0.00 28.55 4070.2 8 23 87.10 53.10 0.00 29.10 4099.3 8 24 82.00 57.00 0.00 28.50 4127.8 8 25 84.00 50.00 0.00 26.00 4153.8 8 26 89.10 53.10 0.00 30.10 4183.9 8 27 88.00 55.90 0.00 30.95 4214.8 8 28 82.00 63.00 0.20 31.50 4246.3 8 29 75.00 64.00 0.30 28.50 4274.8 8 30 73.90 60.10 0.04 26.00 4300.8 8 31 73.90 61.00 0.00 26.45 4327.3 9 1 75.00 57.20 0.13 25.10 4352.4 9 2 75.90 57.90 0.06 25.90 4378.3 9 3 66.90 46.90 0.00 15.90 4394.2 9 4 69.10 48.00 0.00 17.55 4411.7 9 5 66.90 48.90 0.05 16.90 4428.6 9 6 60.10 51.10 0.12 14.60 4443.2 9 7 75.90 51.10 0.00 22.50 4465.7 9 8 81.00 51.10 0.00 25.05 4490.8 9 9 81.00 57.00 0.00 28.00 4518.8 9 10 86.00 54.00 0.00 29.00 4547.8 9 11 93.90 54.00 0.00 32.95 4580.7 9 12 89.10 59.00 0.00 33.05 4613.8 9 13 75.00 55.90 0.00 24.45 4638.2 9 14 61.00 50.00 0.04 14.50 4652.7 9 15 64.00 50.00 0.00 16.00 4668.7 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg KVUO 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2015 KVUO Vancouver Pearson Fld
DateDDsEvent
 4-21-15 859peak pheromone trap catch
 4-29-15 953peak female adult emergence
 5-2-15 1005peak egg laying
 5-18-15 1270peak egg hatch
 6-20-15 2076peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)