Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2015 KSLE METAR Salem: McNary Field OR Lat:44.9078 Long:-122.9950 Elev:210 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 41.40 24.10 0.00 0.03 0.0 * START *Vx Vn 1 2 42.80 22.70 0.00 0.23 0.3 Vx Vn 1 3 42.10 37.00 0.02 0.22 0.5 1 4 53.10 37.00 0.12 4.92 5.4 1 5 55.90 42.10 0.08 8.00 13.4 1 6 46.00 37.90 0.00 1.80 15.2 1 7 44.10 39.90 0.00 1.25 16.4 1 8 45.00 37.40 0.00 1.31 17.8 1 9 45.00 33.10 0.00 1.02 18.8 1 10 45.00 33.10 0.01 1.02 19.8 1 11 48.00 44.10 0.15 5.05 24.8 1 12 48.20 43.00 0.13 4.60 29.4 1 13 51.10 30.90 0.00 3.21 32.7 1 14 48.90 30.00 0.00 2.27 34.9 1 15 52.00 28.00 0.68 3.33 38.3 1 16 55.00 39.00 0.06 6.30 44.6 1 17 60.10 39.90 1.72 9.11 53.7 1 18 59.00 46.90 0.29 11.95 65.6 1 19 55.90 42.10 0.03 8.00 73.6 1 20 48.90 36.00 0.00 2.83 76.5 1 21 48.90 28.90 0.00 2.20 78.7 1 22 51.10 39.00 0.01 4.40 83.1 1 23 54.00 43.00 0.04 7.50 90.6 1 24 63.00 44.10 0.00 12.55 103.1 1 25 51.10 43.00 0.00 6.05 109.2 1 26 53.10 41.00 0.00 6.05 115.2 1 27 54.00 42.10 0.00 7.05 122.3 1 28 57.90 46.40 0.00 11.15 133.4 1 29 55.90 37.90 0.00 6.46 139.9 1 30 55.00 32.00 0.00 5.00 144.9 1 31 50.00 28.00 0.01 2.56 147.4 2 1 51.10 28.00 0.30 2.98 150.4 2 2 60.10 43.00 0.29 10.55 161.0 2 3 51.10 41.00 0.26 5.05 166.0 2 4 51.10 46.90 0.09 8.00 174.0 2 5 57.90 46.40 0.83 11.15 185.2 2 6 55.90 51.10 0.88 12.50 197.7 2 7 57.90 48.00 0.42 11.95 209.6 2 8 54.00 44.10 0.28 8.05 217.7 2 9 53.10 48.00 0.81 9.55 227.2 2 10 55.90 44.10 0.13 9.00 236.2 2 11 54.00 39.00 0.00 5.81 242.0 2 12 54.00 37.90 0.00 5.54 247.6 2 13 52.00 42.10 0.00 6.05 253.6 2 14 61.00 37.00 0.00 8.70 262.3 2 15 64.00 42.10 0.00 12.05 274.4 2 16 66.00 39.00 0.00 11.73 286.1 2 17 64.90 36.00 0.00 10.35 296.4 2 18 57.90 37.90 0.00 7.43 303.9 2 19 59.00 43.00 0.00 10.00 313.9 2 20 57.90 39.90 0.00 8.02 321.9 2 21 60.10 39.00 0.00 8.81 330.7 2 22 57.90 33.10 0.00 6.46 337.2 2 23 61.00 28.00 0.00 7.12 344.3 2 24 61.00 28.00 0.00 7.12 351.4 2 25 52.00 36.00 0.00 4.23 355.6 2 26 53.10 46.90 0.06 9.00 364.6 2 27 53.10 46.00 0.10 8.55 373.2 2 28 57.00 32.00 0.00 5.89 379.1 3 1 57.00 26.10 0.01 5.20 384.3 3 2 55.90 36.00 0.01 6.04 390.3 3 3 57.00 28.00 0.00 5.39 395.7 3 4 57.90 27.00 0.00 5.66 401.4 3 5 61.00 30.00 0.00 7.39 408.8 3 6 66.00 33.10 0.00 10.24 419.0 3 7 68.00 33.10 0.00 11.18 430.2 3 8 69.10 34.00 0.00 11.90 442.1 3 9 71.10 37.00 0.00 13.64 455.7 3 10 63.00 37.00 0.00 9.68 465.4 3 11 59.00 51.10 0.08 14.05 479.4 3 12 56.00 53.10 0.00 13.55 493.0 Hx 3 13 64.00 53.10 0.27 17.55 510.5 3 14 57.00 54.00 1.49 14.50 525.0 3 15 62.10 42.10 0.48 11.10 536.1 3 16 64.00 36.00 0.00 9.91 546.1 3 17 60.10 39.00 0.03 8.81 554.9 3 18 64.00 42.10 0.00 12.05 566.9 3 19 68.00 37.90 0.00 12.38 579.3 3 20 63.00 45.00 0.46 13.00 592.3 3 21 61.00 43.00 0.01 11.00 603.3 3 22 57.00 44.10 0.13 9.55 612.8 3 23 54.00 46.00 0.87 9.00 621.8 3 24 57.90 43.00 0.10 9.45 631.3 3 25 64.00 48.90 0.08 15.45 646.7 3 26 72.00 45.00 0.00 17.50 664.2 3 27 68.00 45.00 0.09 15.50 679.7 3 28 61.00 46.00 0.00 12.50 692.2 3 29 69.10 39.00 0.00 13.27 705.5 3 30 68.00 39.90 0.08 13.04 718.6 3 31 54.00 44.10 0.14 8.05 726.6 4 1 53.10 39.90 0.34 5.64 732.2 4 2 57.90 39.00 0.00 7.73 740.0 4 3 52.00 36.00 0.21 4.23 744.2 4 4 57.00 37.00 0.00 6.78 751.0 4 5 54.00 34.00 0.10 4.83 755.8 4 6 55.90 33.10 0.04 5.55 761.4 4 7 60.10 42.10 0.24 10.10 771.5 4 8 59.00 43.00 0.00 10.00 781.5 4 9 66.00 37.90 0.00 11.39 792.8 4 10 61.00 39.00 0.19 9.26 802.1 4 11 55.00 39.90 0.08 6.58 808.7 4 12 61.00 37.90 0.00 8.94 817.6 4 13 55.00 39.00 0.43 6.30 823.9 4 14 53.10 37.00 0.11 4.92 828.8 4 15 57.90 33.10 0.00 6.46 835.3 4 16 71.10 36.00 0.00 13.36 848.7 4 17 73.00 39.90 0.00 15.53 864.2 peak pheromone trap catch 4 18 75.90 39.90 0.00 16.98 881.2 4 19 75.90 42.10 0.00 18.00 899.2 4 20 79.00 43.00 0.00 20.00 919.2 4 21 64.90 43.00 0.04 12.95 932.1 4 22 61.00 37.90 0.00 8.94 941.1 4 23 55.00 37.90 0.03 6.02 947.1 4 24 55.90 45.00 0.22 9.45 956.5 peak female adult emergence 4 25 60.10 41.00 0.01 9.55 966.1 4 26 60.10 39.90 0.01 9.11 975.2 4 27 80.10 46.90 0.00 22.50 997.7 4 28 64.90 43.00 0.02 12.95 1010.6 peak egg laying 4 29 64.90 37.90 0.00 10.85 1021.5 4 30 70.00 39.00 0.00 13.72 1035.2 5 1 73.90 45.00 0.00 18.45 1053.7 5 2 70.00 44.10 0.00 16.05 1069.7 5 3 75.00 39.90 0.00 16.53 1086.2 5 4 64.90 42.10 0.00 12.50 1098.7 5 5 63.00 46.00 0.04 13.50 1112.2 5 6 64.90 44.10 0.04 13.50 1125.7 5 7 73.00 37.90 0.00 14.84 1140.6 5 8 80.10 42.10 0.00 20.10 1160.7 5 9 84.00 46.00 0.00 24.00 1184.7 5 10 73.00 48.00 0.05 19.50 1204.2 5 11 57.90 48.00 0.22 11.95 1216.1 5 12 55.00 48.00 0.29 10.50 1226.6 5 13 64.90 48.90 0.00 15.90 1242.5 5 14 72.00 48.20 0.00 19.10 1261.6 5 15 61.00 51.10 0.00 15.05 1276.7 peak egg hatch 5 16 62.10 52.00 0.00 16.05 1292.7 5 17 71.10 52.00 0.00 20.55 1313.3 5 18 77.00 48.90 0.01 21.95 1335.2 5 19 64.90 54.00 0.00 18.45 1353.7 5 20 69.10 55.90 0.00 21.50 1375.2 5 21 73.90 55.90 0.04 23.90 1399.1 5 22 61.00 53.60 0.03 16.30 1415.4 5 23 63.00 53.10 0.00 17.05 1432.4 5 24 69.10 52.00 0.00 19.55 1452.0 5 25 72.00 50.00 0.00 20.00 1472.0 5 26 71.10 46.90 0.00 18.00 1490.0 5 27 80.10 48.90 0.00 23.50 1513.5 5 28 86.00 51.10 0.00 27.55 1541.0 5 29 82.00 53.10 0.00 26.55 1567.6 5 30 80.10 50.00 0.00 24.05 1591.6 5 31 87.10 55.00 0.36 30.05 1621.7 6 1 64.00 53.60 0.29 17.80 1639.5 6 2 64.00 54.00 0.02 18.00 1657.5 6 3 66.90 52.00 0.01 18.45 1675.9 6 4 75.00 53.10 0.00 23.05 1699.0 6 5 88.00 52.00 0.00 29.00 1728.0 6 6 91.00 55.90 0.00 32.45 1760.4 6 7 93.00 55.00 0.00 33.00 1793.4 6 8 96.10 59.00 0.00 36.55 1830.0 6 9 91.90 57.00 0.00 33.45 1863.4 6 10 82.00 46.90 0.00 23.45 1886.9 6 11 82.00 48.00 0.00 24.00 1910.9 6 12 77.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 1933.4 6 13 79.00 46.00 0.00 21.50 1954.9 6 14 88.00 46.90 0.00 26.45 1981.3 6 15 84.00 51.10 0.00 26.55 2007.9 6 16 79.00 46.90 0.00 21.95 2029.8 6 17 82.90 50.00 0.00 25.45 2055.3 6 18 82.90 57.90 0.00 29.40 2084.7 peak in density large larvae 6 19 79.00 54.00 0.00 25.50 2110.2 6 20 84.00 52.00 0.00 27.00 2137.2 6 21 82.90 55.90 0.00 28.40 2165.6 6 22 81.00 48.90 0.00 23.95 2189.5 6 23 84.90 52.00 0.00 27.45 2217.0 6 24 87.10 57.00 0.00 31.05 2248.0 6 25 93.00 57.00 0.00 34.00 2282.0 6 26 100.00 64.90 0.00 41.45 2323.5 6 27 95.00 71.10 0.00 42.05 2365.5 6 28 84.90 64.90 0.00 33.90 2399.4 6 29 91.00 60.10 0.00 34.55 2434.0 6 30 95.00 59.00 0.00 36.00 2470.0 7 1 98.10 63.00 0.00 39.55 2509.5 7 2 100.00 60.10 0.00 39.05 2548.6 7 3 99.00 61.00 0.00 39.00 2587.6 7 4 97.00 59.00 0.00 37.00 2624.6 7 5 96.10 60.10 0.00 37.10 2661.7 7 6 91.90 59.00 0.00 34.45 2696.1 7 7 89.10 55.90 0.00 31.50 2727.6 7 8 93.00 57.00 0.00 34.00 2761.6 7 9 86.00 59.00 0.00 31.50 2793.1 7 10 78.10 60.10 0.00 28.10 2821.2 7 11 73.00 63.00 0.00 27.00 2848.2 7 12 82.90 61.00 0.00 30.95 2879.2 7 13 84.90 61.00 0.00 31.95 2911.1 7 14 86.00 57.00 0.00 30.50 2941.6 7 15 84.90 54.00 0.00 28.45 2970.1 7 16 81.00 55.00 0.00 27.00 2997.1 7 17 88.00 52.00 0.00 29.00 3026.1 7 18 99.00 62.10 0.00 39.55 3065.6 7 19 96.10 61.00 0.00 37.55 3103.2 7 20 89.10 57.00 0.00 32.05 3135.2 7 21 79.00 57.90 0.00 27.45 3162.7 7 22 77.00 52.00 0.00 23.50 3186.2 7 23 82.90 54.00 0.00 27.45 3213.6 7 24 84.90 53.10 0.00 28.00 3241.6 7 25 73.90 61.00 0.01 26.45 3268.1 7 26 73.90 52.00 0.00 21.95 3290.0 7 27 79.00 50.00 0.00 23.50 3313.5 7 28 88.00 54.00 0.00 30.00 3343.5 7 29 99.00 61.00 0.00 39.00 3382.5 7 30 105.10 61.00 0.00 42.05 3424.6 7 31 102.90 62.10 0.00 41.50 3466.1 8 1 100.00 60.10 0.00 39.05 3505.1 8 2 82.00 63.00 0.00 31.50 3536.6 8 3 84.00 63.00 0.00 32.50 3569.1 8 4 84.90 57.90 0.00 30.40 3599.5 8 5 82.00 54.00 0.00 27.00 3626.5 8 6 82.00 54.00 0.00 27.00 3653.5 8 7 88.00 55.00 0.00 30.50 3684.0 8 8 80.10 55.90 0.00 27.00 3711.0 8 9 86.00 55.90 0.00 29.95 3741.0 8 10 86.00 60.10 0.00 32.05 3773.0 8 11 89.10 62.10 0.00 34.60 3807.6 8 12 91.00 61.00 0.00 35.00 3842.6 8 13 87.10 55.90 0.00 30.50 3873.1 8 14 75.00 59.00 0.00 26.00 3899.1 8 15 79.00 62.10 0.00 29.55 3928.7 8 16 86.00 52.00 0.00 28.00 3956.7 8 17 91.00 54.00 0.00 31.50 3988.2 8 18 97.00 55.90 0.00 35.45 4023.6 8 19 98.10 61.00 0.00 38.55 4062.2 8 20 82.00 59.00 0.00 29.50 4091.7 8 21 80.10 53.10 0.00 25.60 4117.3 8 22 88.00 53.10 0.00 29.55 4146.8 8 23 88.00 55.00 0.00 30.50 4177.3 8 24 84.00 53.10 0.00 27.55 4204.9 8 25 84.90 51.10 0.00 27.00 4231.9 8 26 89.10 51.10 0.00 29.10 4261.0 8 27 90.00 51.10 0.00 29.55 4290.5 8 28 82.00 64.00 0.23 32.00 4322.5 8 29 75.00 63.00 0.23 28.00 4350.5 8 30 73.00 57.00 0.25 24.00 4374.5 8 31 75.90 57.00 0.00 25.45 4400.0 9 1 78.10 59.00 0.00 27.55 4427.5 9 2 70.00 55.90 0.00 21.95 4449.5 9 3 69.10 50.00 0.00 18.55 4468.0 9 4 68.00 46.90 0.00 16.45 4484.5 9 5 73.00 46.90 0.00 18.95 4503.4 9 6 73.00 46.90 0.00 18.95 4522.4 9 7 77.00 54.00 0.00 24.50 4546.9 9 8 84.00 51.10 0.00 26.55 4573.4 9 9 86.00 55.90 0.00 29.95 4603.4 9 10 88.00 57.00 0.00 31.50 4634.9 9 11 91.90 55.90 0.00 32.90 4667.8 9 12 90.00 57.00 0.00 32.50 4700.3 9 13 79.00 52.00 0.00 24.50 4724.8 9 14 64.00 46.90 0.00 14.45 4739.2 9 15 64.90 45.00 0.04 13.95 4753.2 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg KSLE 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2015 KSLE Salem: McNary Field
DateDDsEvent
 4-17-15 864peak pheromone trap catch
 4-24-15 957peak female adult emergence
 4-28-15 1011peak egg laying
 5-15-15 1277peak egg hatch
 6-18-15 2085peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)