Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 KMMV METAR McMinnville Muni Apt OR Lat:45.1958 Long:-123.1319 Elev:157 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 42.10 30.00 0.00 0.14 0.1 * START * 1 2 37.90 26.10 0.00 0.00 0.1 1 3 33.80 26.10 0.25 0.00 0.1 1 4 37.00 33.10 0.03 0.00 0.1 1 5 41.00 30.00 0.09 0.00 0.1 1 6 45.00 28.00 0.05 0.84 1.0 1 7 46.90 34.00 0.06 1.79 2.8 1 8 41.00 36.00 0.07 0.00 2.8 1 9 46.00 37.00 0.06 1.69 4.5 1 10 50.00 34.00 0.00 3.07 7.5 1 11 43.00 37.00 0.29 0.51 8.0 1 12 45.00 41.00 1.49 2.00 10.0 1 13 54.00 39.90 0.61 6.08 16.1 1 14 45.00 39.90 0.33 1.67 17.8 1 15 51.10 37.40 0.41 4.06 21.8 1 16 53.10 41.00 0.32 6.05 27.9 1 17 50.00 39.90 0.67 4.11 32.0 1 18 51.10 39.90 0.41 4.65 36.7 1 19 48.90 44.10 0.88 5.50 42.2 1 20 46.90 42.10 0.15 3.50 45.7 1 21 52.00 45.00 0.50 7.50 53.2 1 22 57.90 48.00 0.13 11.95 65.1 1 23 51.80 45.00 0.14 7.40 72.5 1 24 48.00 36.00 0.01 2.44 74.9 1 25 55.90 43.00 0.00 8.45 83.4 1 26 59.00 48.00 0.04 12.50 95.9 1 27 55.90 51.10 0.01 12.50 108.4 1 28 61.00 45.00 0.58 12.00 120.4 1 29 50.00 41.00 0.84 4.50 124.9 1 30 46.90 34.00 0.13 1.79 126.7 1 31 42.10 34.00 0.02 0.17 126.8 2 1 46.90 35.10 0.07 1.88 128.7 2 2 48.90 34.00 0.01 2.60 131.3 2 3 48.00 37.90 0.62 2.70 134.0 2 4 55.90 42.10 0.19 8.00 142.0 2 5 55.90 36.00 0.10 6.04 148.1 2 6 53.10 35.10 0.00 4.59 152.7 2 7 63.00 45.00 0.00 13.00 165.7 2 8 66.00 39.90 0.00 12.05 177.7 2 9 63.00 37.90 0.00 9.92 187.6 2 10 62.10 37.00 0.00 9.24 196.9 2 11 55.40 50.00 0.23 11.70 208.6 2 12 60.10 44.10 0.12 11.10 219.7 2 13 51.10 39.00 0.41 4.40 224.1 2 14 57.00 48.90 0.17 11.95 236.0 2 15 59.00 46.90 0.00 11.95 248.0 2 16 57.00 48.00 0.01 11.50 259.5 2 17 57.00 46.90 0.12 10.95 270.4 2 18 51.10 44.10 0.49 6.60 277.0 2 19 48.90 39.90 0.48 3.57 280.6 2 20 53.10 36.00 0.01 4.73 285.3 2 21 54.00 34.00 0.10 4.83 290.1 2 22 52.00 36.00 0.04 4.23 294.4 2 23 60.10 37.00 0.00 8.27 302.6 2 24 61.00 39.90 0.00 9.56 312.2 2 25 64.00 37.00 0.00 10.16 322.4 2 26 54.00 39.90 0.33 6.08 328.4 2 27 57.90 46.00 0.02 10.95 339.4 2 28 55.00 42.10 0.04 7.55 346.9 2 29 52.00 37.90 0.39 4.58 351.5 3 1 55.90 45.00 0.14 9.45 361.0 3 2 54.00 42.10 0.23 7.05 368.0 3 3 62.10 42.10 0.10 11.10 379.1 3 4 57.00 37.00 0.11 6.78 385.9 3 5 60.10 48.90 0.33 13.50 399.4 3 6 55.00 44.10 0.48 8.55 407.9 3 7 53.10 37.00 0.13 4.92 412.9 3 8 48.00 33.10 0.24 2.15 415.0 3 9 57.90 46.00 0.81 10.95 426.0 3 10 57.90 42.10 0.13 9.00 435.0 3 11 51.10 41.00 0.25 5.05 440.0 3 12 50.00 42.10 0.65 5.05 445.1 3 13 51.10 41.00 0.96 5.05 450.1 3 14 48.00 39.90 0.44 3.12 453.2 3 15 48.00 41.00 0.37 3.50 456.7 3 16 55.00 41.00 0.04 7.00 463.7 3 17 62.10 34.00 0.00 8.57 472.3 3 18 64.90 43.00 0.01 12.95 485.3 3 19 64.90 46.00 0.03 14.45 499.7 3 20 57.90 48.00 0.31 11.95 511.7 3 21 51.10 44.10 0.27 6.60 518.3 3 22 55.90 42.10 0.05 8.00 526.3 3 23 54.00 44.10 0.04 8.05 534.3 3 24 55.00 41.00 0.03 7.00 541.3 3 25 55.00 39.90 0.05 6.58 547.9 3 26 57.90 39.00 0.11 7.73 555.6 3 27 54.00 39.90 0.02 6.08 561.7 3 28 59.00 36.00 0.01 7.51 569.2 3 29 66.90 33.10 0.00 10.66 579.9 3 30 73.00 35.10 0.00 14.05 593.9 3 31 73.00 37.90 0.00 14.84 608.8 4 1 75.00 41.00 0.00 17.00 625.8 4 2 69.10 42.10 0.00 14.60 640.4 4 3 72.00 42.10 0.37 16.05 656.4 4 4 57.90 44.10 0.09 10.00 666.4 4 5 61.00 41.00 0.00 10.00 676.4 4 6 73.90 37.00 0.00 15.01 691.4 4 7 87.10 48.90 0.00 27.00 718.4 4 8 79.00 46.90 0.00 21.95 740.4 4 9 66.00 45.00 0.00 14.50 754.9 4 10 62.10 45.00 0.00 12.55 767.4 4 11 63.00 46.90 0.00 13.95 781.4 4 12 60.10 46.00 0.23 12.05 793.4 4 13 60.10 45.00 0.27 11.55 805.0 4 14 55.00 44.10 0.31 8.55 813.5 4 15 61.00 35.10 0.00 8.27 821.8 4 16 70.00 39.00 0.00 13.72 835.5 4 17 84.00 48.00 0.00 25.00 860.5 peak pheromone trap catch 4 18 88.00 53.10 0.00 29.55 890.1 4 19 82.90 48.00 0.00 24.45 914.5 4 20 77.00 48.90 0.00 21.95 936.5 4 21 75.00 45.00 0.68 19.00 955.5 peak female adult emergence 4 22 66.90 46.90 0.43 15.90 971.4 4 23 63.00 45.00 0.20 13.00 984.4 4 24 55.90 42.10 0.10 8.00 992.4 4 25 60.10 36.00 0.00 8.04 1000.4 peak egg laying 4 26 57.90 35.10 0.06 6.81 1007.2 4 27 59.00 44.10 0.01 10.55 1017.8 4 28 63.00 45.00 0.00 13.00 1030.8 4 29 61.00 46.00 0.21 12.50 1043.3 4 30 70.00 37.90 0.00 13.36 1056.6 5 1 82.00 42.10 0.00 21.05 1077.7 5 2 82.90 48.00 0.02 24.45 1102.1 5 3 70.00 52.00 0.02 20.00 1122.1 5 4 61.00 53.00 0.02 16.00 1138.1 5 5 72.00 50.00 0.00 20.00 1158.1 5 6 82.90 48.00 0.00 24.45 1182.6 5 7 84.90 50.00 0.00 26.45 1209.0 5 8 64.90 43.00 0.00 12.95 1222.0 5 9 68.00 43.00 0.00 14.50 1236.5 5 10 79.00 41.00 0.00 19.00 1255.5 5 11 84.00 45.00 0.00 23.50 1279.0 peak egg hatch 5 12 80.10 43.00 0.00 20.55 1299.5 5 13 78.10 48.00 0.01 22.05 1321.6 5 14 55.90 53.10 0.33 13.50 1335.1 5 15 61.00 53.10 0.13 16.05 1351.1 5 16 61.00 52.00 0.00 15.50 1366.6 5 17 77.00 53.10 0.00 24.05 1390.7 5 18 73.90 48.00 0.00 19.95 1410.6 5 19 62.10 46.00 0.08 13.05 1423.7 5 20 64.90 43.00 0.00 12.95 1436.6 5 21 62.10 48.90 0.01 14.50 1451.1 5 22 64.00 50.00 0.04 16.00 1467.1 5 23 64.90 50.00 0.10 16.45 1483.6 5 24 69.10 50.00 0.00 18.55 1502.1 5 25 66.90 50.00 0.00 17.45 1519.6 5 26 62.10 48.00 0.00 14.05 1533.6 5 27 64.00 45.00 0.13 13.50 1547.1 5 28 73.00 39.90 0.00 15.53 1562.7 5 29 71.10 46.90 0.00 18.00 1580.7 5 30 79.00 41.00 0.00 19.00 1599.7 5 31 89.10 46.00 0.00 26.55 1626.2 6 1 80.10 52.00 0.00 25.05 1651.3 6 2 69.10 55.00 0.02 21.05 1672.3 6 3 89.10 54.00 0.00 30.55 1702.9 6 4 97.00 60.10 0.00 37.55 1740.4 6 5 91.90 62.10 0.00 36.00 1776.4 6 6 93.00 59.00 0.00 35.00 1811.4 6 7 91.00 53.10 0.00 31.05 1842.5 6 8 73.00 55.00 0.00 23.00 1865.5 6 9 62.10 50.00 0.15 15.05 1880.5 6 10 66.90 45.00 0.02 14.95 1895.5 6 11 70.00 46.90 0.00 17.45 1912.9 6 12 77.00 43.00 0.00 19.00 1931.9 6 13 66.00 48.00 0.14 16.00 1947.9 6 14 62.10 46.90 0.37 13.50 1961.4 6 15 62.10 46.90 0.10 13.50 1974.9 6 16 66.00 46.90 0.00 15.45 1990.4 6 17 70.00 50.00 0.01 19.00 2009.4 6 18 68.00 46.00 0.25 16.00 2025.4 6 19 78.10 42.10 0.00 19.10 2044.5 6 20 78.10 51.10 0.00 23.60 2068.1 6 21 75.90 51.10 0.00 22.50 2090.6 peak in density large larvae 6 22 79.00 46.00 0.21 21.50 2112.1 6 23 64.90 54.00 0.17 18.45 2130.5 6 24 69.10 50.00 0.00 18.55 2149.1 6 25 81.00 46.90 0.00 22.95 2172.0 6 26 91.00 53.10 0.00 31.05 2203.1 6 27 87.10 57.00 0.00 31.05 2234.1 6 28 84.90 51.10 0.00 27.00 2261.1 6 29 82.90 51.10 0.00 26.00 2287.1 6 30 82.90 48.00 0.00 24.45 2311.6 7 1 82.90 48.90 0.00 24.90 2336.5 7 2 84.90 57.00 0.00 29.95 2366.4 7 3 79.00 50.00 0.00 23.50 2389.9 7 4 73.90 46.90 0.00 19.40 2409.3 7 5 75.90 48.90 0.00 21.40 2430.7 7 6 82.00 50.00 0.00 25.00 2455.7 7 7 69.10 57.00 0.12 22.05 2477.8 7 8 73.40 59.00 0.10 25.20 2503.0 7 9 73.40 53.10 0.01 22.25 2525.2 7 10 69.80 55.40 0.07 21.60 2546.8 7 11 75.90 53.60 0.00 23.75 2570.6 7 12 73.00 55.40 0.05 23.20 2593.8 7 13 81.00 57.20 0.00 28.10 2621.9 7 14 82.90 51.10 0.00 26.00 2647.9 7 15 75.90 46.00 0.00 19.95 2667.8 7 16 73.90 53.60 0.00 22.75 2690.6 7 17 73.90 57.00 0.00 24.45 2715.0 7 18 75.00 55.40 0.00 24.20 2739.2 7 19 75.90 57.00 0.00 25.45 2764.7 7 20 84.90 53.60 0.00 28.25 2792.9 7 21 82.40 54.00 0.00 27.20 2820.1 7 22 73.90 60.10 0.00 26.00 2846.1 7 23 78.80 57.00 0.00 26.90 2873.0 7 24 89.60 50.00 0.00 28.80 2901.8 7 25 87.80 57.00 0.00 31.40 2933.2 7 26 87.80 53.60 0.00 29.70 2962.9 7 27 91.90 55.00 0.00 32.45 2995.4 7 28 96.80 57.20 0.00 36.00 3031.4 7 29 97.00 57.90 0.00 36.45 3067.8 7 30 84.90 53.10 0.00 28.00 3095.8 7 31 81.00 48.00 0.00 23.50 3119.3 8 1 84.00 46.90 0.00 24.45 3143.8 8 2 75.20 48.20 0.00 20.70 3164.5 8 3 82.90 48.00 0.00 24.45 3188.9 8 4 93.20 61.00 0.00 36.10 3225.0 8 5 82.90 52.00 0.00 26.45 3251.5 8 6 80.10 48.00 0.00 23.05 3274.5 8 7 73.40 51.80 0.00 21.60 3296.1 8 8 66.90 53.10 0.26 19.00 3315.1 8 9 72.00 53.60 0.00 21.80 3336.9 8 10 82.00 59.00 0.00 29.50 3366.4 8 11 90.00 53.60 0.00 30.80 3397.2 8 12 96.80 57.00 0.00 35.90 3433.1 8 13 93.90 60.80 0.00 36.35 3469.5 8 14 93.20 55.90 0.00 33.55 3503.0 8 15 90.00 53.10 0.00 30.55 3533.6 8 16 90.00 53.60 0.00 30.80 3564.4 8 17 87.80 48.00 0.00 26.90 3591.3 8 18 102.20 51.80 0.00 36.00 3627.3 8 19 102.20 59.00 0.00 39.60 3666.9 8 20 99.00 57.90 0.00 37.45 3704.3 8 21 84.20 51.80 0.00 27.00 3731.3 8 22 77.00 46.00 0.00 20.50 3751.8 8 23 86.00 44.60 0.00 24.30 3776.1 8 24 93.20 51.10 0.00 31.15 3807.3 8 25 96.80 53.60 0.00 34.20 3841.5 8 26 98.60 55.00 0.00 35.80 3877.3 8 27 84.20 57.00 0.00 29.60 3906.9 8 28 86.00 51.10 0.00 27.55 3934.4 8 29 82.40 51.80 0.00 26.10 3960.5 8 30 75.20 51.80 0.00 22.50 3983.0 8 31 72.00 54.00 0.07 22.00 4005.0 9 1 69.80 51.80 0.01 19.80 4024.8 9 2 73.40 51.10 0.00 21.25 4046.1 9 3 70.00 42.80 0.00 15.40 4061.5 9 4 72.00 44.10 0.02 17.05 4078.5 9 5 73.40 44.10 0.00 17.75 4096.3 9 6 75.90 55.00 0.03 24.45 4120.7 9 7 78.10 55.00 0.00 25.55 4146.3 9 8 79.00 50.00 0.00 23.50 4169.8 9 9 84.90 44.10 0.00 23.50 4193.3 9 10 89.60 48.20 0.00 27.90 4221.2 9 11 75.20 48.90 0.00 21.05 4242.2 9 12 80.60 42.10 0.00 20.35 4262.6 9 13 82.40 44.60 0.00 22.50 4285.1 9 14 80.60 41.00 0.00 19.80 4304.9 9 15 82.90 42.80 0.00 21.85 4326.7 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg KMMV 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2016 KMMV McMinnville Muni Apt
DateDDsEvent
 4-17-16 861peak pheromone trap catch
 4-21-16 955peak female adult emergence
 4-25-16 1000peak egg laying
 5-11-16 1279peak egg hatch
 6-21-16 2091peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)