Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight 1988


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 1988 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2020 KKLS METAR Kelso-Longview Airport WA Lat46.1167 Long:-122.9000 Elev:20 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 55.40 44.60 0.23 9.00 9.0 * START * 1 2 48.90 39.20 0.11 3.39 12.4 1 3 57.20 44.10 0.28 9.65 22.0 1 4 46.90 39.20 0.05 2.43 24.5 1 5 46.90 42.80 0.43 3.85 28.3 1 6 51.80 42.80 1.19 6.30 34.6 1 7 54.00 46.00 0.17 9.00 43.6 1 8 46.90 36.00 0.18 1.97 45.6 1 9 41.00 33.10 0.01 0.00 45.6 1 10 46.40 39.20 1.27 2.19 47.8 1 11 46.90 39.20 0.41 2.43 50.2 1 12 44.60 35.60 0.85 1.01 51.2 1 13 39.20 35.10 0.24 0.00 51.2 1 14 39.90 33.10 0.03 0.00 51.2 1 15 42.80 33.10 0.26 0.34 51.5 1 16 43.00 33.10 0.03 0.39 51.9 1 17 42.80 30.20 0.15 0.29 52.2 1 18 48.90 39.20 0.08 3.39 55.6 1 19 54.00 42.10 0.00 7.05 62.7 1 20 46.90 42.80 0.11 3.85 66.5 1 21 46.90 42.10 0.33 3.50 70.0 1 22 52.00 44.10 0.13 7.05 77.1 1 23 55.40 51.80 0.36 12.60 89.7 1 24 54.00 48.00 0.15 10.00 99.7 1 25 55.40 46.40 0.21 9.90 109.6 1 26 55.40 45.00 0.08 9.20 118.8 1 27 52.00 42.80 1.56 6.40 125.2 1 28 53.60 46.40 0.23 9.00 134.2 1 29 48.20 48.00 0.33 7.10 141.3 1 30 52.00 41.00 0.43 5.50 146.8 1 31 59.00 51.10 0.06 14.05 160.8 2 1 57.90 37.40 0.52 7.30 168.1 2 2 45.00 30.00 0.04 0.90 169.0 2 3 45.00 28.00 0.29 0.84 169.9 2 4 39.90 28.40 0.09 0.00 169.9 2 5 46.40 39.00 0.46 2.15 172.0 2 6 53.60 44.60 1.40 8.10 180.1 2 7 52.00 44.60 0.41 7.30 187.4 2 8 46.90 39.00 0.09 2.39 189.8 2 9 48.90 33.80 0.00 2.58 192.4 2 10 51.80 35.10 0.00 4.00 196.4 2 11 45.00 33.10 0.04 1.02 197.4 2 12 52.00 35.10 0.00 4.09 201.5 2 13 43.00 33.10 0.15 0.39 201.9 2 14 48.20 39.00 0.18 3.00 204.9 2 15 45.00 42.10 0.28 2.55 207.4 2 16 50.00 35.60 0.09 3.26 210.7 2 17 50.00 35.10 0.11 3.20 213.9 2 18 51.80 28.90 0.00 3.33 217.2 2 19 57.90 24.80 0.00 5.44 222.7 2 20 59.00 26.10 0.00 6.03 228.7 2 21 57.20 26.10 0.00 5.28 234.0 2 22 51.80 33.10 0.00 3.74 237.7 2 23 50.00 39.20 0.38 3.92 241.6 2 24 50.00 34.00 0.01 3.07 244.7 2 25 54.00 33.10 0.04 4.70 249.4 2 26 55.40 36.00 0.27 5.81 255.2 2 27 62.60 33.80 0.00 8.77 264.0 2 28 54.00 35.10 0.27 5.00 269.0 2 29 45.00 32.00 0.35 0.97 270.0 3 1 48.20 32.00 0.00 2.14 272.1 3 2 45.00 41.00 0.02 2.00 274.1 3 3 57.90 44.60 0.06 10.25 284.3 3 4 55.40 39.00 0.21 6.50 290.8 3 5 57.20 33.10 0.08 6.14 297.0 3 6 46.40 39.00 0.15 2.15 299.1 3 7 44.60 35.60 0.13 1.01 300.2 3 8 50.00 30.00 0.00 2.70 302.9 3 9 55.40 26.60 0.00 4.58 307.4 3 10 60.10 28.00 0.00 6.73 314.2 3 11 55.40 34.00 0.01 5.46 319.6 3 12 55.40 26.60 0.00 4.58 324.2 3 13 43.00 33.80 0.25 0.41 324.6 3 14 46.40 30.00 0.37 1.36 326.0 3 15 37.90 26.60 0.01 0.00 326.0 3 16 62.60 27.00 0.00 7.70 333.7 3 17 62.60 28.00 0.00 7.83 341.5 3 18 57.90 35.60 0.00 6.91 348.4 3 19 64.40 30.00 0.00 8.93 357.3 3 20 66.90 32.00 0.00 10.44 367.8 3 21 61.00 33.80 0.00 8.02 375.8 3 22 61.00 33.80 0.00 8.02 383.8 3 23 52.00 43.00 0.12 6.50 390.3 3 24 50.00 39.00 0.18 3.87 394.2 3 25 50.00 36.00 0.09 3.32 397.5 3 26 48.20 35.10 0.11 2.42 399.9 3 27 48.20 42.10 0.06 4.15 404.1 3 28 53.60 46.40 0.15 9.00 413.1 3 29 57.20 46.40 0.19 10.80 423.9 3 30 52.00 42.10 0.43 6.05 429.9 3 31 48.90 39.20 1.87 3.39 433.3 4 1 53.60 37.40 0.03 5.24 438.6 4 2 52.00 35.10 0.01 4.09 442.6 4 3 48.90 33.80 0.01 2.58 445.2 4 4 55.40 33.80 0.01 5.43 450.7 4 5 62.60 42.80 0.00 11.70 462.4 4 6 64.40 35.10 0.00 9.90 472.2 4 7 60.80 33.10 0.00 7.80 480.0 4 8 70.00 37.00 0.00 13.10 493.1 4 9 73.90 42.10 0.00 17.00 510.1 4 10 62.60 44.60 0.00 12.60 522.7 4 11 61.00 39.00 0.00 9.26 532.0 4 12 66.20 30.20 0.00 9.79 541.8 4 13 68.00 30.20 0.00 10.63 552.4 4 14 64.90 35.60 0.00 10.25 562.7 4 15 69.80 48.00 0.01 17.90 580.6 4 16 73.40 39.00 0.00 15.41 596.0 4 17 77.00 35.60 0.00 16.14 612.1 4 18 55.90 48.20 1.18 11.05 623.2 4 19 59.00 43.00 0.10 10.00 633.2 4 20 68.00 39.20 0.00 12.79 646.0 4 21 59.00 45.00 0.00 11.00 657.0 4 22 57.20 44.10 0.07 9.65 666.6 4 23 60.80 48.00 0.03 13.40 680.0 4 24 60.80 48.00 0.01 13.40 693.4 4 25 64.40 46.00 0.09 14.20 707.6 4 26 66.20 39.00 0.04 11.83 719.4 4 27 64.90 46.90 0.01 14.90 734.3 4 28 69.80 42.10 0.01 14.95 749.3 4 29 71.60 51.10 0.01 20.35 769.6 4 30 63.00 41.00 0.01 11.00 780.6 5 1 63.00 35.10 0.13 9.23 789.9 5 2 57.90 46.40 0.00 11.15 801.0 5 3 57.90 41.00 0.15 8.45 809.5 5 4 68.00 39.00 0.02 12.72 822.2 5 5 73.90 46.90 0.66 19.40 841.6 5 6 62.60 42.10 0.39 11.35 852.9 Peak pheromone trap catch 5 7 73.90 37.40 0.01 15.13 868.1 5 8 84.20 42.80 0.01 22.50 890.6 5 9 90.00 48.00 0.01 28.00 918.6 5 10 88.00 51.10 0.00 28.55 947.1 5 11 64.90 51.10 0.01 17.00 964.1 Peak female adult emergence 5 12 64.40 50.00 0.00 16.20 980.3 5 13 64.40 51.10 0.01 16.75 997.1 5 14 60.80 50.00 0.98 14.40 1011.5 Peak egg laying 5 15 66.20 51.10 0.12 17.65 1029.1 5 16 68.00 51.80 0.68 18.90 1048.0 5 17 68.00 52.00 0.03 19.00 1067.0 5 18 66.90 50.00 0.01 17.45 1084.5 5 19 62.60 51.80 0.01 16.20 1100.7 5 20 57.90 48.90 0.11 12.40 1113.1 5 21 57.90 46.90 0.45 11.40 1124.5 5 22 61.00 46.00 0.06 12.50 1137.0 5 23 61.00 50.00 0.02 14.50 1151.5 5 24 73.40 46.40 0.01 18.90 1170.4 5 25 62.60 51.10 0.01 15.85 1186.2 5 26 69.80 50.00 0.01 18.90 1205.1 5 27 82.40 44.60 0.00 22.50 1227.6 5 28 91.00 51.80 0.00 30.40 1258.0 5 29 77.00 55.00 0.00 25.00 1283.0 Peak egg hatch 5 30 59.00 51.80 1.66 14.40 1297.4 5 31 62.60 46.00 0.08 13.30 1310.7 6 1 69.80 41.00 0.00 14.40 1325.1 6 2 72.00 44.10 0.00 17.05 1342.2 6 3 72.00 51.80 0.00 20.90 1363.1 6 4 70.00 48.20 0.00 18.10 1381.2 6 5 69.80 51.80 0.00 19.80 1401.0 6 6 57.20 50.00 0.69 12.60 1413.6 6 7 63.00 48.00 0.01 14.50 1428.1 6 8 61.00 51.80 0.51 15.40 1443.5 6 9 64.90 50.00 3.14 16.45 1459.9 6 10 73.90 57.00 0.12 24.45 1484.4 6 11 75.20 57.00 0.03 25.10 1509.5 6 12 61.00 54.00 0.07 16.50 1526.0 6 13 60.80 48.00 0.11 13.40 1539.4 6 14 66.20 46.40 0.00 15.30 1554.7 6 15 62.10 51.80 0.00 15.95 1570.6 6 16 68.00 51.80 0.01 18.90 1589.5 6 17 71.60 48.20 0.01 18.90 1608.4 6 18 81.00 48.20 0.03 23.60 1632.0 6 19 84.90 51.10 0.02 27.00 1659.0 6 20 68.00 60.10 0.04 23.05 1682.1 6 21 72.00 55.00 0.00 22.50 1704.6 6 22 86.00 50.00 0.01 27.00 1731.6 6 23 89.60 57.00 0.11 32.30 1763.9 6 24 75.20 59.00 0.01 26.10 1790.0 6 25 84.20 57.20 0.03 29.70 1819.7 6 26 80.60 55.40 0.00 27.00 1846.7 6 27 64.40 55.00 0.01 18.70 1865.4 6 28 69.80 53.10 0.39 20.45 1885.8 6 29 70.00 53.10 0.03 20.55 1906.4 6 30 64.90 54.00 0.01 18.45 1924.8 7 1 64.00 53.10 0.02 17.55 1942.4 7 2 66.20 53.10 0.00 18.65 1961.0 7 3 66.90 53.10 0.00 19.00 1980.0 7 4 70.00 51.10 0.00 19.55 1999.6 7 5 73.90 51.80 0.00 21.85 2021.4 7 6 66.20 51.10 0.00 17.65 2039.1 7 7 66.90 55.00 0.02 19.95 2059.0 7 8 72.00 55.00 0.00 22.50 2081.5 Peak in density large larvae 7 9 75.20 51.80 0.00 22.50 2104.0 7 10 75.90 55.00 0.00 24.45 2128.5 7 11 69.80 51.10 0.00 19.45 2147.9 7 12 73.40 54.00 0.00 22.70 2170.6 7 13 79.00 48.00 0.00 22.50 2193.1 7 14 84.20 51.10 0.00 26.65 2219.8 7 15 82.40 55.90 0.00 28.15 2247.9 7 16 75.20 60.10 0.00 26.65 2274.6 7 17 71.60 57.00 0.00 23.30 2297.9 7 18 84.00 51.10 0.00 26.55 2324.4 7 19 89.10 57.20 0.00 32.15 2356.6 7 20 90.00 59.00 0.00 33.50 2390.1 7 21 79.00 59.00 0.00 28.00 2418.1 7 22 75.20 60.10 0.00 26.65 2444.7 7 23 71.60 57.20 0.00 23.40 2468.1 7 24 69.80 55.90 0.00 21.85 2490.0 7 25 80.60 48.20 0.00 23.40 2513.4 7 26 93.90 57.20 0.00 34.55 2547.9 7 27 93.20 57.20 0.00 34.20 2582.1 7 28 82.40 59.00 0.00 29.70 2611.8 7 29 89.60 51.80 0.00 29.70 2641.5 7 30 93.20 55.40 0.00 33.30 2674.8 7 31 81.00 60.80 0.00 29.90 2704.7 8 1 80.60 60.10 0.00 29.35 2734.1 8 2 82.40 60.10 0.00 30.25 2764.3 8 3 81.00 57.20 0.00 28.10 2792.4 8 4 87.80 55.40 0.00 30.60 2823.0 8 5 79.00 59.00 0.00 28.00 2851.0 8 6 72.00 57.20 0.04 23.60 2874.6 8 7 75.00 51.10 0.01 22.05 2896.7 8 8 75.20 59.00 0.00 26.10 2922.8 8 9 82.40 51.10 0.00 25.75 2948.5 8 10 84.20 57.00 0.00 29.60 2978.1 8 11 73.90 53.10 0.00 22.50 3000.6 8 12 72.00 51.10 0.00 20.55 3021.2 8 13 75.90 44.10 0.00 19.00 3040.2 8 14 86.00 48.00 0.00 26.00 3066.2 8 15 96.80 60.10 0.00 37.45 3103.6 8 16 93.90 59.00 0.00 35.45 3139.1 8 17 89.60 60.10 0.00 33.85 3172.9 8 18 82.40 61.00 0.00 30.70 3203.6 8 19 86.00 53.60 0.00 28.80 3232.4 8 20 82.40 62.10 0.01 31.25 3263.7 8 21 75.20 59.00 0.02 26.10 3289.8 8 22 77.00 57.00 0.02 26.00 3315.8 8 23 82.40 48.20 0.00 24.30 3340.1 8 24 75.20 50.00 0.00 21.60 3361.7 8 25 80.60 50.00 0.00 24.30 3386.0 8 26 81.00 50.00 0.00 24.50 3410.5 8 27 80.60 50.00 0.00 24.30 3434.8 8 28 82.40 53.10 0.00 26.75 3461.5 8 29 73.40 53.10 0.00 22.25 3483.8 8 30 75.20 44.10 0.00 18.65 3502.4 8 31 75.20 55.40 0.01 24.30 3526.7 9 1 87.10 55.00 0.00 30.05 3556.8 9 2 86.00 57.00 0.00 30.50 3587.3 9 3 91.90 59.00 0.00 34.45 3621.7 9 4 78.80 57.00 0.00 26.90 3648.6 9 5 75.00 57.20 0.01 25.10 3673.7 9 6 88.00 57.00 0.00 31.50 3705.2 9 7 87.80 59.00 0.00 32.40 3737.6 9 8 86.00 50.00 0.00 27.00 3764.6 9 9 91.40 46.40 0.00 27.90 3792.5 9 10 81.00 51.80 0.00 25.40 3817.9 9 11 61.00 51.80 0.00 15.40 3833.3 9 12 66.90 50.00 0.00 17.45 3850.8 9 13 69.80 50.00 0.00 18.90 3869.7 9 14 70.00 57.20 0.00 22.60 3892.3 9 15 73.90 60.80 0.00 26.35 3918.6 Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 KKLS PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988
Location: 2020 KKLS Kelso-Longview Airport WA
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME
DateDDsEvent
 5-6-20 853Peak pheromone trap catch
 5-11-20 964Peak female adult emergence
 5-14-20 1011Peak egg laying
 5-29-20 1283Peak egg hatch
 7-8-20 2082Peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988