Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2015 KKLS METAR Kelso-Longview Airport WA Lat46.1167 Long:-122.9000 Elev:20 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 41.00 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 39.20 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 42.80 35.60 0.27 0.39 0.4 1 4 50.00 39.20 2.10 3.92 4.3 1 5 53.60 46.40 0.22 9.00 13.3 1 6 48.20 41.00 0.00 3.60 16.9 1 7 44.60 37.40 0.00 1.15 18.1 1 8 42.80 37.40 0.00 0.46 18.5 1 9 50.00 33.80 0.00 3.04 21.6 1 10 42.80 39.20 0.04 0.57 22.1 1 11 46.40 42.80 0.00 3.60 25.7 1 12 50.00 41.00 0.00 4.50 30.2 1 13 48.20 33.80 0.00 2.29 32.5 1 14 51.80 33.80 0.00 3.82 36.3 1 15 48.20 28.40 0.49 1.92 38.3 1 16 51.80 37.40 0.01 4.38 42.6 1 17 57.20 35.60 1.34 6.58 49.2 1 18 57.20 46.40 0.49 10.80 60.0 1 19 51.80 39.20 0.10 4.79 64.8 1 20 48.20 33.80 0.00 2.29 67.1 1 21 46.40 32.00 0.00 1.46 68.6 1 22 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 70.8 1 23 48.20 44.60 0.17 5.40 76.2 1 24 60.80 46.40 0.08 12.60 88.8 1 25 59.00 42.80 0.00 9.90 98.7 1 26 55.40 39.20 0.00 6.56 105.2 1 27 48.20 41.00 0.00 3.60 108.8 1 28 53.60 42.80 0.00 7.20 116.0 1 29 53.60 37.40 0.00 5.24 121.3 1 30 51.80 37.40 0.00 4.38 125.6 1 31 44.60 37.40 0.01 1.15 126.8 2 1 46.40 39.20 0.15 2.19 129.0 2 2 55.40 39.20 0.19 6.56 135.5 2 3 55.40 39.20 0.05 6.56 142.1 2 4 51.80 42.80 0.15 6.30 148.4 2 5 57.20 44.60 0.64 9.90 158.3 2 6 57.20 51.80 0.71 13.50 171.8 2 7 57.20 48.20 1.10 11.70 183.5 2 8 53.60 42.80 0.23 7.20 190.7 2 9 53.60 46.40 0.33 9.00 199.7 2 10 55.40 44.60 0.03 9.00 208.7 2 11 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 216.8 2 12 62.60 39.20 0.00 10.11 226.9 2 13 62.60 37.40 0.00 9.59 236.5 2 14 60.80 42.80 0.00 10.80 247.3 2 15 60.80 35.60 0.00 8.29 255.6 2 16 62.60 33.80 0.00 8.77 264.4 2 17 64.40 30.20 0.00 8.97 273.3 2 18 64.40 32.00 0.00 9.27 282.6 2 19 57.20 46.40 0.00 10.80 293.4 2 20 57.20 46.40 0.00 10.80 304.2 2 21 57.20 37.40 0.00 6.96 311.2 2 22 57.20 28.40 0.00 5.52 316.7 2 23 59.00 24.80 0.00 5.90 322.6 2 24 59.00 28.40 0.00 6.30 328.9 2 25 48.20 44.60 0.07 5.40 334.3 2 26 53.60 46.40 0.32 9.00 343.3 2 27 55.40 44.60 0.30 9.00 352.3 2 28 57.20 35.60 0.00 6.58 358.8 3 1 57.20 28.40 0.03 5.52 364.4 3 2 57.20 35.60 0.06 6.58 370.9 3 3 55.40 28.40 0.00 4.76 375.7 3 4 59.00 24.80 0.00 5.90 381.6 3 5 62.60 30.20 0.00 8.15 389.7 3 6 66.20 32.00 0.00 10.12 399.9 3 7 66.20 32.00 0.00 10.12 410.0 3 8 71.60 35.60 0.00 13.50 423.5 3 9 71.60 35.60 0.00 13.50 437.0 3 10 62.60 35.60 0.04 9.15 446.1 3 11 60.80 50.00 0.11 14.40 460.5 3 12 68.00 48.20 0.00 17.10 477.6 3 13 68.00 42.80 0.37 14.40 492.0 3 14 55.40 51.80 1.32 12.60 504.6 3 15 62.60 46.40 0.62 13.50 518.1 3 16 60.80 35.60 0.00 8.29 526.4 3 17 60.80 37.40 0.10 8.71 535.1 3 18 64.40 41.00 0.00 11.70 546.8 3 19 66.20 41.00 0.00 12.60 559.4 3 20 66.20 44.60 0.02 14.40 573.8 3 21 60.80 48.20 0.02 13.50 587.3 3 22 57.20 39.20 0.02 7.44 594.8 3 23 55.40 42.80 0.86 8.10 602.9 3 24 57.20 42.80 0.20 9.00 611.9 3 25 57.50 42.80 0.01 9.15 621.0 *Warning: using yesterdays min*Hx 3 26 71.60 46.40 0.00 18.00 639.0 3 27 71.60 42.80 0.12 16.20 655.2 3 28 62.60 48.20 0.01 14.40 669.6 3 29 68.00 44.60 0.00 15.30 684.9 3 30 68.00 46.40 0.01 16.20 701.1 3 31 55.40 44.60 0.17 9.00 710.1 4 1 55.40 37.40 0.18 6.10 716.2 4 2 57.20 37.40 0.00 6.96 723.2 4 3 50.00 39.20 0.13 3.92 727.1 4 4 57.20 35.60 0.00 6.58 733.7 4 5 62.60 30.20 0.04 8.15 741.8 4 6 60.80 42.80 0.03 10.80 752.6 4 7 59.00 44.60 0.03 10.80 763.4 4 8 64.40 42.80 0.00 12.60 776.0 4 9 66.20 35.60 0.00 10.88 786.9 4 10 66.20 35.60 0.13 10.88 797.8 4 11 53.60 42.80 0.19 7.20 805.0 4 12 57.20 39.20 0.12 7.44 812.4 4 13 57.20 39.20 0.31 7.44 819.9 4 14 53.60 39.20 0.05 5.67 825.5 4 15 60.80 33.80 0.00 7.92 833.5 4 16 69.80 37.40 0.00 13.11 846.6 4 17 71.60 39.20 0.00 14.58 861.2 peak pheromone trap catch 4 18 75.20 41.00 0.00 17.10 878.3 4 19 75.20 39.20 0.00 16.37 894.6 4 20 78.80 41.00 0.00 18.90 913.5 4 21 57.20 42.80 0.00 9.00 922.5 4 22 59.00 35.60 0.00 7.43 930.0 4 23 57.20 39.20 0.21 7.44 937.4 4 24 55.40 42.80 0.37 8.10 945.5 4 25 60.80 41.00 0.01 9.90 955.4 peak female adult emergence 4 26 60.80 37.40 0.01 8.71 964.1 4 27 82.40 51.80 0.00 26.10 990.2 4 28 62.60 46.40 0.03 13.50 1003.7 peak egg laying 4 29 62.60 39.20 0.11 10.11 1013.8 4 30 69.80 39.20 0.00 13.69 1027.5 5 1 69.80 46.40 0.00 17.10 1044.6 5 2 69.80 46.40 0.00 17.10 1061.7 5 3 75.20 37.40 0.00 15.78 1077.5 5 4 64.40 46.40 0.00 14.40 1091.9 5 5 60.80 48.20 0.09 13.50 1105.4 5 6 62.60 46.40 0.14 13.50 1118.9 5 7 71.60 39.20 0.00 14.58 1133.5 5 8 80.60 41.00 0.00 19.80 1153.3 5 9 80.60 42.80 0.00 20.70 1174.0 5 10 66.20 51.80 0.01 18.00 1192.0 5 11 55.40 51.80 0.50 12.60 1204.6 5 12 60.80 48.20 0.16 13.50 1218.1 5 13 57.20 48.20 0.03 11.70 1229.8 5 14 68.00 44.60 0.00 15.30 1245.1 5 15 60.80 51.80 0.00 15.30 1260.4 5 16 60.80 51.80 0.00 15.30 1275.7 peak egg hatch 5 17 68.00 50.00 0.00 18.00 1293.7 5 18 69.80 48.20 0.00 18.00 1311.7 5 19 68.00 53.60 0.00 19.80 1331.5 5 20 73.40 51.80 0.00 21.60 1353.1 5 21 73.40 55.40 0.00 23.40 1376.5 5 22 57.20 53.60 0.00 14.40 1390.9 5 23 62.60 53.60 0.00 17.10 1408.0 5 24 62.60 51.80 0.00 16.20 1424.2 5 25 62.60 51.80 0.00 16.20 1440.4 5 26 69.80 53.60 0.00 20.70 1461.1 5 27 75.20 53.60 0.00 23.40 1484.5 5 28 80.60 53.60 0.00 26.10 1510.6 5 29 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 1535.8 5 30 75.20 51.80 0.00 22.50 1558.3 5 31 80.60 53.60 0.00 26.10 1584.4 6 1 60.80 53.60 0.54 16.20 1600.6 6 2 62.60 53.60 0.17 17.10 1617.7 6 3 64.40 53.60 0.02 18.00 1635.7 6 4 73.40 46.40 0.00 18.90 1654.6 6 5 82.40 48.20 0.00 24.30 1678.9 6 6 87.80 53.60 0.00 29.70 1708.6 6 7 89.60 55.40 0.00 31.50 1740.1 6 8 87.80 55.40 0.00 30.60 1770.7 6 9 86.00 55.40 0.00 29.70 1800.4 6 10 78.80 51.80 0.00 24.30 1824.7 6 11 71.60 48.20 0.00 18.90 1843.6 6 12 68.00 48.20 0.00 17.10 1860.7 6 13 73.40 44.60 0.00 18.00 1878.7 6 14 84.20 44.60 0.00 23.40 1902.1 6 15 84.20 50.00 0.00 26.10 1928.2 6 16 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 1953.4 6 17 77.00 44.60 0.00 19.80 1973.2 6 18 77.00 57.20 0.00 26.10 1999.3 6 19 73.40 55.40 0.00 23.40 2022.7 6 20 80.60 46.40 0.00 22.50 2045.2 6 21 82.40 57.20 0.00 28.80 2074.0 peak in density large larvae 6 22 80.60 51.80 0.00 25.20 2099.2 6 23 82.40 48.20 0.00 24.30 2123.5 6 24 84.20 55.40 0.00 28.80 2152.3 6 25 89.60 55.40 0.00 31.50 2183.8 6 26 93.20 62.60 0.00 36.90 2220.7 6 27 93.20 62.60 0.00 36.90 2257.6 6 28 77.00 62.60 0.00 28.80 2286.4 6 29 82.40 59.00 0.00 29.70 2316.1 6 30 86.00 60.80 0.00 32.40 2348.5 7 1 95.00 57.20 0.00 35.10 2383.6 7 2 95.00 60.80 0.00 36.90 2420.5 7 3 91.40 60.80 0.00 35.10 2455.6 7 4 93.20 57.20 0.00 34.20 2489.8 7 5 96.80 59.00 0.00 36.90 2526.7 7 6 80.60 60.80 0.00 29.70 2556.4 7 7 82.40 60.80 0.00 30.60 2587.0 7 8 87.50 59.00 0.00 32.25 2619.2 Vx 7 9 73.40 60.80 0.00 26.10 2645.3 7 10 71.60 59.00 0.01 24.30 2669.6 7 11 68.00 60.80 0.03 23.40 2693.0 Vx 7 12 78.00 62.60 0.00 29.30 2722.3 Vx 7 13 78.80 62.60 0.00 29.70 2752.0 7 14 80.60 53.60 0.00 26.10 2778.1 7 15 77.00 57.20 0.00 26.10 2804.2 7 16 75.20 60.80 0.00 27.00 2831.2 7 17 84.20 51.80 0.00 27.00 2858.2 7 18 96.80 55.40 0.00 35.10 2893.3 7 19 87.80 60.80 0.00 33.30 2926.6 7 20 78.80 62.60 0.00 29.70 2956.3 7 21 73.40 60.80 0.00 26.10 2982.4 7 22 68.00 60.80 0.00 23.40 3005.8 7 23 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 3031.0 7 24 78.80 51.80 0.01 24.30 3055.3 7 25 67.50 59.00 0.06 22.25 3077.6 Vx 7 26 70.70 55.40 0.07 22.05 3099.6 Vx 7 27 73.40 51.80 0.00 21.60 3121.2 7 28 84.20 50.00 0.00 26.10 3147.3 7 29 93.20 55.40 0.00 33.30 3180.6 7 30 100.40 57.20 0.00 37.80 3218.4 7 31 96.80 55.40 0.00 35.10 3253.5 8 1 96.80 53.60 0.00 34.20 3287.7 8 2 84.20 60.80 0.00 31.50 3319.2 8 3 78.80 62.60 0.00 29.70 3348.9 8 4 78.80 57.20 0.00 27.00 3375.9 8 5 75.20 50.00 0.00 21.60 3397.5 8 6 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 3422.7 8 7 84.20 53.60 0.00 27.90 3450.6 8 8 82.40 60.80 0.00 30.60 3481.2 8 9 86.00 51.80 0.00 27.90 3509.1 8 10 87.80 62.60 0.00 34.20 3543.3 8 11 89.60 60.80 0.00 34.20 3577.5 8 12 91.40 60.80 0.00 35.10 3612.6 8 13 82.40 64.40 0.00 32.40 3645.0 8 14 69.80 60.80 0.02 24.30 3669.3 8 15 73.40 53.60 0.00 22.50 3691.8 8 16 82.40 51.80 0.00 26.10 3717.9 8 17 87.80 53.60 0.00 29.70 3747.6 8 18 93.20 55.40 0.00 33.30 3780.9 8 19 93.20 59.00 0.00 35.10 3816.0 8 20 73.40 60.80 0.00 26.10 3842.1 8 21 75.20 57.20 0.00 25.20 3867.3 8 22 82.40 48.20 0.00 24.30 3891.6 8 23 86.00 50.00 0.00 27.00 3918.6 8 24 82.40 51.80 0.00 26.10 3944.7 8 25 78.00 52.70 0.00 24.35 3969.1 Hx Hn 8 26 77.90 52.60 0.00 24.25 3993.3 Hx Hn 8 27 87.00 56.40 0.00 30.70 4024.0 Vx Vn 8 28 79.40 61.80 0.00 29.60 4053.6 Vx Vn 8 29 71.20 63.10 0.00 26.15 4079.8 Vx Vn 8 30 72.80 60.10 0.00 25.45 4105.2 Vx Vn 8 31 73.20 61.20 0.00 26.20 4131.4 Vx Vn 9 1 73.50 59.50 0.00 25.50 4156.9 Vx Vn 9 2 73.00 57.00 0.00 24.00 4180.9 Vx Vn 9 3 65.10 47.40 0.00 15.25 4196.2 Vx Vn 9 4 69.10 48.00 0.00 17.55 4213.7 Vx Vn 9 5 66.30 48.20 0.00 16.25 4230.0 Vx Vn 9 6 60.80 51.20 0.00 15.00 4245.0 Vx Vn 9 7 75.50 53.50 0.00 23.50 4268.5 Vx Vn 9 8 79.60 52.30 0.00 24.95 4293.4 Vx Vn 9 9 79.40 60.30 0.00 28.85 4322.3 Vx Vn 9 10 83.00 56.80 0.00 28.90 4351.2 Vx Vn 9 11 92.30 56.80 0.00 33.55 4384.7 Vx Vn 9 12 84.90 60.50 0.00 31.70 4416.4 Vx Vn 9 13 72.00 55.20 0.00 22.60 4439.0 Vx Vn 9 14 64.70 47.90 0.00 15.30 4454.3 Vx Vn 9 15 61.90 46.80 0.00 13.35 4467.7 Vx Vn Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg KKLS 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2015 KKLS Kelso-Longview Airport WA
DateDDsEvent
 4-17-15 861peak pheromone trap catch
 4-25-15 955peak female adult emergence
 4-28-15 1004peak egg laying
 5-16-15 1276peak egg hatch
 6-21-15 2074peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)