Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight 1988


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 1988 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2022 KBLI METAR Bellingham Int Apt WA Lat:48.7989 Long:-122.5406 Elev:148 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 41.00 6.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 46.40 39.20 0.02 2.19 2.2 1 3 44.60 35.10 0.09 0.98 3.2 1 4 41.00 26.10 0.08 0.00 3.2 1 5 27.00 23.00 0.01 0.00 3.2 1 6 35.60 23.00 0.06 0.00 3.2 1 7 46.90 33.10 0.00 1.72 4.9 1 8 44.60 28.40 0.00 0.74 5.6 1 9 46.90 30.00 0.00 1.54 7.2 1 10 55.40 27.00 0.00 4.62 11.8 1 11 55.40 50.00 2.64 11.70 23.5 1 12 60.10 42.10 0.64 10.10 33.6 1 13 55.00 37.90 0.11 6.02 39.6 1 14 51.80 37.40 0.04 4.38 44.0 1 15 45.00 41.00 0.26 2.00 46.0 1 16 45.00 39.00 0.00 1.51 47.5 1 17 44.60 39.00 0.29 1.33 48.8 1 18 46.40 42.80 0.13 3.60 52.4 1 19 50.00 42.10 0.47 5.05 57.5 1 20 53.60 42.80 0.12 7.20 64.7 1 21 46.90 39.00 0.00 2.39 67.1 1 22 48.20 30.90 0.00 2.07 69.1 1 23 37.90 30.00 0.00 0.00 69.1 1 24 39.20 34.00 0.00 0.00 69.1 1 25 36.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 69.1 1 26 42.10 30.00 0.00 0.14 69.3 1 27 48.90 26.10 0.00 2.05 71.3 1 28 46.90 26.10 0.00 1.38 72.7 1 29 43.00 26.60 0.03 0.30 73.0 1 30 51.80 37.40 0.28 4.38 77.4 1 31 46.40 33.10 0.09 1.53 78.9 2 1 44.60 30.00 0.03 0.78 79.7 2 2 36.00 28.00 0.01 0.00 79.7 2 3 41.00 33.10 0.26 0.00 79.7 2 4 48.20 37.40 0.05 2.72 82.4 2 5 48.20 39.00 0.00 3.00 85.4 2 6 52.00 33.10 0.00 3.82 89.2 2 7 50.00 35.10 0.01 3.20 92.4 2 8 46.90 42.80 0.01 3.85 96.3 2 9 50.00 42.80 0.00 5.40 101.7 2 10 48.20 42.80 0.00 4.50 106.2 2 11 53.60 32.00 0.00 4.39 110.6 2 12 52.00 28.00 0.00 3.33 113.9 2 13 55.90 28.00 0.00 4.93 118.8 2 14 50.00 39.00 0.01 3.87 122.7 2 15 48.20 42.10 0.00 4.15 126.9 2 16 48.90 35.60 0.00 2.78 129.6 2 17 46.40 42.10 0.00 3.25 132.9 2 18 51.80 37.00 0.00 4.31 137.2 2 19 46.90 41.00 0.20 2.95 140.1 2 20 46.40 37.00 0.12 1.86 142.0 2 21 39.90 26.10 0.07 0.00 142.0 2 22 32.00 24.80 0.00 0.00 142.0 2 23 35.60 19.40 0.03 0.00 142.0 2 24 41.00 21.20 0.17 0.00 142.0 2 25 45.00 21.00 0.00 0.71 142.7 2 26 51.10 24.80 0.04 2.77 145.5 2 27 53.60 46.40 0.40 9.00 154.5 2 28 51.80 42.10 0.18 5.95 160.4 3 1 57.20 44.10 0.08 9.65 170.1 3 2 53.60 42.80 0.12 7.20 177.3 3 3 50.00 39.00 0.47 3.87 181.2 3 4 51.80 35.60 0.00 4.07 185.2 3 5 53.60 30.20 0.00 4.19 189.4 3 6 52.00 33.80 0.00 3.91 193.3 3 7 48.90 35.60 0.00 2.78 196.1 3 8 55.00 39.20 0.00 6.36 202.5 3 9 48.20 27.00 0.00 1.85 204.3 3 10 45.00 26.60 0.00 0.81 205.1 3 11 45.00 35.60 0.13 1.16 206.3 3 12 51.10 39.00 0.15 4.40 210.7 3 13 55.40 41.00 0.09 7.20 217.9 3 14 51.80 44.10 0.36 6.95 224.8 3 15 51.10 44.60 0.18 6.85 231.7 3 16 52.00 41.00 0.00 5.50 237.2 3 17 46.90 41.00 0.78 2.95 240.1 3 18 53.60 42.10 0.12 6.85 247.0 3 19 52.00 42.10 0.10 6.05 253.0 3 20 46.90 39.00 0.26 2.39 255.4 3 21 48.20 41.00 0.39 3.60 259.0 3 22 55.90 44.60 0.02 9.25 268.3 3 23 51.80 44.10 0.20 6.95 275.2 3 24 59.00 34.00 0.00 7.12 282.3 3 25 55.90 39.00 0.00 6.75 289.1 3 26 55.40 44.10 0.01 8.75 297.8 3 27 60.80 48.00 0.01 13.40 311.2 3 28 55.40 42.80 0.14 8.10 319.3 3 29 57.20 37.40 0.11 6.96 326.3 3 30 54.00 43.00 0.09 7.50 333.8 3 31 53.60 42.10 0.83 6.85 340.6 4 1 52.00 41.00 0.09 5.50 346.1 4 2 54.00 42.80 0.01 7.40 353.5 4 3 54.00 46.40 0.23 9.20 362.7 4 4 50.00 42.10 0.12 5.05 367.8 4 5 52.00 39.00 0.00 4.84 372.6 4 6 57.90 32.00 0.00 6.29 378.9 4 7 68.00 37.40 0.19 12.23 391.2 4 8 55.90 44.10 0.01 9.00 400.2 4 9 51.10 39.20 0.00 4.45 404.6 4 10 48.20 34.00 0.30 2.31 406.9 4 11 55.90 33.80 0.01 5.66 412.6 4 12 48.90 35.10 0.00 2.72 415.3 4 13 51.80 32.00 0.00 3.61 418.9 4 14 52.00 30.00 0.00 3.50 422.4 4 15 52.00 33.10 0.00 3.82 426.2 4 16 52.00 30.00 0.00 3.50 429.7 4 17 57.20 39.20 0.00 7.44 437.2 4 18 55.90 43.00 0.09 8.45 445.6 4 19 54.00 35.10 0.04 5.00 450.6 4 20 59.00 46.00 0.02 11.50 462.1 4 21 57.20 41.00 0.03 8.10 470.2 4 22 59.00 41.00 0.00 9.00 479.2 4 23 60.80 37.90 0.00 8.84 488.1 4 24 64.90 37.00 0.06 10.60 498.7 4 25 57.20 46.40 0.03 10.80 509.5 4 26 55.40 39.00 0.00 6.50 516.0 4 27 55.90 37.40 0.00 6.34 522.3 4 28 55.90 41.00 0.00 7.45 529.8 4 29 60.80 44.10 0.04 11.45 541.2 4 30 60.80 43.00 0.08 10.90 552.1 5 1 61.00 39.20 0.12 9.32 561.4 5 2 54.00 50.00 0.30 11.00 572.4 5 3 54.00 48.00 0.06 10.00 582.4 5 4 55.90 46.00 0.27 9.95 592.4 5 5 52.00 46.40 0.37 8.20 600.6 5 6 55.90 44.10 0.02 9.00 609.6 5 7 57.20 41.00 0.00 8.10 617.7 5 8 54.00 41.00 0.00 6.50 624.2 5 9 55.40 42.80 0.01 8.10 632.3 5 10 57.90 46.00 0.00 10.95 643.2 5 11 57.90 44.10 0.00 10.00 653.2 5 12 57.90 44.60 0.26 10.25 663.5 5 13 57.20 44.10 0.03 9.65 673.1 5 14 62.60 44.60 0.03 12.60 685.7 5 15 61.00 50.00 0.63 14.50 700.2 5 16 57.20 50.00 0.05 12.60 712.8 5 17 59.00 44.60 0.04 10.80 723.6 5 18 59.00 46.90 0.04 11.95 735.6 5 19 57.90 44.10 0.00 10.00 745.6 5 20 62.10 37.90 0.00 9.48 755.1 5 21 66.20 39.20 0.00 11.90 767.0 5 22 69.80 42.10 0.00 14.95 781.9 5 23 62.60 51.80 0.01 16.20 798.1 5 24 60.80 48.00 0.09 13.40 811.5 5 25 64.90 51.10 0.02 17.00 828.5 5 26 64.90 48.00 0.34 15.45 844.0 5 27 61.00 51.10 0.15 15.05 859.0 Peak pheromone trap catch 5 28 61.00 50.00 0.07 14.50 873.5 5 29 62.60 50.00 0.05 15.30 888.8 5 30 61.00 48.20 0.09 13.60 902.4 5 31 69.80 50.00 0.00 18.90 921.3 6 1 70.00 46.40 0.08 17.20 938.5 6 2 73.40 53.60 0.00 22.50 961.0 Peak female adult emergence 6 3 63.00 55.00 0.77 18.00 979.0 6 4 71.60 57.00 0.09 23.30 1002.3 Peak egg laying 6 5 68.00 51.80 0.57 18.90 1021.2 6 6 63.00 46.90 0.04 13.95 1035.2 6 7 73.40 44.60 0.07 18.00 1053.2 6 8 68.00 53.60 0.00 19.80 1073.0 6 9 61.00 53.10 1.05 16.05 1089.0 6 10 69.80 57.00 0.25 22.40 1111.4 6 11 68.00 55.00 0.43 20.50 1131.9 6 12 62.60 53.60 0.08 17.10 1149.0 6 13 62.60 51.80 0.02 16.20 1165.2 6 14 63.00 51.10 0.11 16.05 1181.3 6 15 62.60 53.10 0.01 16.85 1198.1 6 16 69.10 50.00 0.00 18.55 1216.7 6 17 66.00 48.20 0.01 16.10 1232.8 6 18 62.60 53.60 0.01 17.10 1249.9 6 19 62.60 53.60 0.01 17.10 1267.0 6 20 64.40 53.10 0.00 17.75 1284.7 Peak egg hatch 6 21 66.90 55.00 0.09 19.95 1304.7 6 22 69.80 55.00 0.22 21.40 1326.1 6 23 66.20 50.00 0.00 17.10 1343.2 6 24 73.90 44.60 0.00 18.25 1361.4 6 25 82.90 50.00 0.00 25.45 1386.9 6 26 84.20 53.10 0.00 27.65 1414.5 6 27 84.90 55.90 0.00 29.40 1443.9 6 28 66.20 57.20 0.01 20.70 1464.6 6 29 66.90 55.00 0.00 19.95 1484.6 6 30 73.40 48.90 0.00 20.15 1504.7 7 1 69.80 55.40 0.00 21.60 1526.3 7 2 66.20 53.10 0.00 18.65 1545.0 7 3 60.80 55.00 0.28 16.90 1561.9 7 4 68.00 55.00 0.00 20.50 1582.4 7 5 73.90 53.60 0.00 22.75 1605.1 7 6 75.20 59.00 0.02 26.10 1631.2 7 7 72.00 59.00 0.22 24.50 1655.7 7 8 71.60 57.90 0.00 23.75 1679.5 7 9 72.00 55.40 0.00 22.70 1702.2 7 10 73.40 55.90 0.00 23.65 1725.8 7 11 84.20 51.80 0.00 27.00 1752.8 7 12 72.00 57.90 0.00 23.95 1776.8 7 13 73.90 55.00 0.00 23.45 1800.2 7 14 72.00 53.60 0.00 21.80 1822.0 7 15 70.00 59.00 0.01 23.50 1845.5 7 16 69.80 60.10 0.00 23.95 1869.5 7 17 66.20 57.00 0.00 20.60 1890.1 7 18 66.90 54.00 0.01 19.45 1909.5 7 19 77.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 1932.0 7 20 80.60 55.00 0.00 26.80 1958.8 7 21 73.40 59.00 0.00 25.20 1984.0 7 22 70.00 57.20 0.00 22.60 2006.6 7 23 71.60 52.00 0.00 20.80 2027.4 7 24 78.80 53.10 0.00 24.95 2052.4 7 25 82.90 57.00 0.00 28.95 2081.3 Peak in density large larvae 7 26 90.00 60.10 0.00 34.05 2115.4 7 27 81.00 62.10 0.00 30.55 2145.9 7 28 86.00 60.10 0.00 32.05 2178.0 7 29 91.00 60.80 0.00 34.90 2212.9 7 30 86.00 62.10 0.00 33.05 2245.9 7 31 89.60 60.80 0.00 34.20 2280.1 8 1 75.90 57.20 0.00 25.55 2305.7 8 2 72.00 59.00 0.00 24.50 2330.2 8 3 68.00 57.00 0.25 21.50 2351.7 8 4 69.80 55.00 0.02 21.40 2373.1 8 5 75.20 48.20 0.00 20.70 2393.8 8 6 80.60 51.10 0.00 24.85 2418.6 8 7 82.90 53.10 0.00 27.00 2445.6 8 8 82.90 60.10 0.00 30.50 2476.1 8 9 75.20 59.00 0.00 26.10 2502.2 8 10 70.00 57.20 0.00 22.60 2524.8 8 11 78.80 55.90 0.00 26.35 2551.2 8 12 75.20 53.60 0.00 23.40 2574.6 8 13 75.00 57.20 0.00 25.10 2599.7 8 14 78.80 51.80 0.00 24.30 2624.0 8 15 79.00 53.60 0.00 25.30 2649.3 8 16 81.00 57.90 0.00 28.45 2677.7 8 17 84.20 55.00 0.00 28.60 2706.3 8 18 86.00 60.80 0.00 32.40 2738.7 8 19 80.10 64.00 0.00 31.05 2769.8 8 20 73.90 62.10 0.00 27.00 2796.8 8 21 75.90 62.10 0.00 28.00 2824.8 8 22 78.80 57.00 0.00 26.90 2851.7 8 23 75.90 57.00 0.00 25.45 2877.1 8 24 82.90 55.40 0.00 28.15 2905.3 8 25 80.10 62.10 0.00 30.10 2935.4 8 26 69.80 59.00 0.00 23.40 2958.8 8 27 68.00 57.20 0.00 21.60 2980.4 8 28 75.90 57.00 0.00 25.45 3005.8 8 29 82.90 51.10 0.00 26.00 3031.8 8 30 84.00 55.00 0.00 28.50 3060.3 8 31 79.00 57.20 0.01 27.10 3087.4 9 1 72.00 57.90 0.00 23.95 3111.4 9 2 77.00 53.60 0.00 24.30 3135.7 9 3 72.00 55.90 0.00 22.95 3158.6 9 4 71.60 55.40 0.01 22.50 3181.1 9 5 72.00 50.00 0.00 20.00 3201.1 9 6 75.20 46.00 0.00 19.60 3220.7 9 7 73.90 55.40 0.00 23.65 3244.4 9 8 73.00 48.20 0.00 19.60 3264.0 9 9 82.90 46.00 0.00 23.45 3287.4 9 10 79.00 46.40 0.00 21.70 3309.1 9 11 77.00 51.10 0.00 23.05 3332.2 9 12 71.60 55.00 0.00 22.30 3354.5 9 13 69.80 51.10 0.00 19.45 3373.9 9 14 66.20 55.00 0.00 19.60 3393.5 9 15 64.90 57.00 0.00 19.95 3413.5 Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 KBLI PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988
Location: 2022 KBLI Bellingham Int Apt
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME
DateDDsEvent
 5-27-22 859Peak pheromone trap catch
 6-2-22 961Peak female adult emergence
 6-4-22 1002Peak egg laying
 6-20-22 1285Peak egg hatch
 7-25-22 2081Peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988