Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight 1988


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 1988 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2022 HPROS HMMN Prosser Barricade Hanf WA Lat:46.3919 Long:-119.4119 Elev:479 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 15.10 -3.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 19.00 9.30 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 27.60 7.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 4 25.60 11.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 29.30 25.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 6 36.00 24.10 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 7 46.80 35.80 0.00 1.90 1.9 1 8 45.40 29.50 0.00 1.01 2.9 1 9 38.20 22.70 0.00 0.00 2.9 1 10 33.60 19.50 0.00 0.00 2.9 1 11 35.70 25.80 0.00 0.00 2.9 1 12 41.60 26.20 0.00 0.05 3.0 1 13 42.40 26.10 0.00 0.18 3.1 1 14 32.80 25.50 0.00 0.00 3.1 1 15 35.90 32.00 0.00 0.00 3.1 1 16 34.80 31.20 0.00 0.00 3.1 1 17 34.50 29.10 0.00 0.00 3.1 Pn 1 18 33.40 30.50 0.00 0.00 3.1 1 19 32.40 29.60 0.00 0.00 3.1 1 20 50.60 32.50 0.00 3.16 6.3 1 21 47.60 27.80 0.00 1.68 8.0 1 22 37.50 20.60 0.00 0.00 8.0 1 23 31.90 28.80 0.00 0.00 8.0 1 24 34.40 30.90 0.00 0.00 8.0 1 25 33.10 31.10 0.00 0.00 8.0 1 26 33.70 30.20 0.00 0.00 8.0 1 27 33.40 31.00 0.00 0.00 8.0 1 28 33.60 30.40 0.00 0.00 8.0 1 29 33.00 29.80 0.00 0.00 8.0 1 30 37.10 29.70 0.00 0.00 8.0 1 31 50.30 28.90 0.00 2.74 10.7 2 1 47.30 21.30 0.00 1.35 12.1 2 2 36.90 25.20 0.00 0.00 12.1 2 3 38.50 23.00 0.00 0.00 12.1 2 4 36.90 20.20 0.00 0.00 12.1 2 5 53.90 21.40 0.00 3.61 15.7 2 6 45.40 22.30 0.00 0.83 16.5 2 7 56.60 22.40 0.00 4.71 21.2 2 8 53.90 27.60 0.00 4.06 25.3 2 9 59.70 30.80 0.00 6.92 32.2 2 10 69.50 27.30 0.00 10.83 43.0 2 11 54.70 24.60 0.00 4.13 47.2 2 12 52.20 17.60 0.00 2.80 50.0 2 13 48.90 18.70 0.00 1.76 51.7 2 14 50.30 29.70 0.00 2.79 54.5 2 15 57.60 31.90 0.00 6.14 60.7 2 16 56.20 30.70 0.00 5.36 66.0 2 17 49.60 25.40 0.00 2.26 68.3 2 18 61.80 25.80 0.00 7.20 75.5 2 19 57.30 27.30 0.00 5.44 80.9 2 20 49.80 30.20 0.00 2.64 83.6 2 21 40.80 25.80 0.00 0.00 83.6 2 22 29.10 14.80 0.00 0.00 83.6 2 23 29.10 9.60 0.00 0.00 83.6 2 24 28.40 17.60 0.00 0.00 83.6 2 25 30.40 5.80 0.00 0.00 83.6 2 26 38.50 14.30 0.00 0.00 83.6 2 27 50.70 29.20 0.00 2.91 86.5 2 28 67.60 37.20 0.00 11.98 98.5 3 1 69.10 52.50 0.00 19.80 118.3 3 2 54.10 47.30 0.00 9.70 128.0 3 3 55.80 49.20 0.00 11.50 139.5 Pn 3 4 54.80 26.20 0.00 4.30 143.8 3 5 56.20 32.20 0.00 5.56 149.3 3 6 55.50 25.90 0.00 4.56 153.9 3 7 62.40 39.00 0.00 9.95 163.8 3 8 51.50 37.10 0.00 4.19 168.0 3 9 43.70 20.20 0.00 0.39 168.4 3 10 48.20 14.40 0.00 1.44 169.9 3 11 52.20 29.10 0.00 3.50 173.4 3 12 66.60 31.80 0.00 10.27 183.6 3 13 61.20 42.30 0.00 10.75 194.4 3 14 59.70 46.00 0.00 11.85 206.2 3 15 62.40 39.30 0.00 10.05 216.3 3 16 59.20 34.20 0.00 7.25 223.5 3 17 55.30 25.80 0.00 4.47 228.0 3 18 60.30 37.50 0.00 8.49 236.5 3 19 57.60 34.40 0.00 6.54 243.0 3 20 55.70 24.80 0.00 4.55 247.6 3 21 54.60 42.20 0.00 7.40 255.0 3 22 65.30 43.50 0.00 13.40 268.4 3 23 71.80 39.70 0.00 14.86 283.2 3 24 62.60 29.80 0.00 8.08 291.3 3 25 63.90 35.90 0.00 9.84 301.2 3 26 68.40 40.10 0.00 13.32 314.5 3 27 69.30 43.90 0.00 15.60 330.1 3 28 68.50 49.00 0.00 17.75 347.8 3 29 68.10 48.90 0.00 17.50 365.3 3 30 64.70 36.30 0.00 10.33 375.7 3 31 58.30 28.00 0.00 5.95 381.6 4 1 61.40 30.30 0.00 7.62 389.2 4 2 62.30 38.90 0.00 9.87 399.1 4 3 64.00 34.80 0.00 9.64 408.7 4 4 59.40 42.20 0.00 9.80 418.5 4 5 57.60 37.60 0.00 7.21 425.7 4 6 59.00 22.60 0.00 5.69 431.4 4 7 69.10 31.30 0.00 11.34 442.8 4 8 67.90 38.50 0.00 12.51 455.3 4 9 57.30 34.40 0.00 6.40 461.7 4 10 51.30 31.70 0.00 3.37 465.1 4 11 39.40 32.20 0.00 0.00 465.1 4 12 46.70 29.70 0.00 1.45 466.5 4 13 45.70 30.20 0.00 1.14 467.6 4 14 44.10 28.40 0.00 0.60 468.2 4 15 50.20 47.10 0.00 7.65 475.9 Pn 4 16 45.40 30.20 0.00 1.04 476.9 4 17 55.60 31.60 0.00 5.21 482.1 4 18 56.90 42.00 0.00 8.45 490.6 4 19 57.80 37.60 0.00 7.30 497.9 4 20 56.30 28.50 0.00 5.15 503.0 4 21 62.40 39.10 0.00 9.98 513.0 4 22 65.20 30.50 0.00 9.38 522.4 4 23 66.60 36.80 0.00 11.38 533.8 4 24 70.20 33.70 0.00 12.36 546.1 4 25 68.90 43.80 0.00 15.35 561.5 4 26 64.20 44.10 0.00 13.15 574.6 4 27 62.20 37.70 0.00 9.47 584.1 4 28 60.00 36.50 0.00 8.10 592.2 4 29 65.90 44.30 0.00 14.10 606.3 4 30 54.10 46.70 0.00 9.40 615.7 5 1 67.80 40.80 0.00 13.31 629.0 5 2 56.40 45.90 0.00 10.15 639.2 5 3 70.30 39.20 0.00 13.93 653.1 5 4 76.80 42.40 0.00 18.60 671.7 5 5 67.30 54.70 0.00 20.00 691.7 5 6 65.90 50.40 0.00 17.15 708.9 5 7 62.30 42.20 0.00 11.25 720.1 5 8 60.60 40.00 0.00 9.39 729.5 5 9 62.30 36.40 0.00 9.19 738.7 5 10 65.30 35.00 0.00 10.31 749.0 5 11 67.40 36.30 0.00 11.64 760.6 5 12 64.10 47.30 0.00 14.70 775.3 5 13 61.90 39.40 0.00 9.83 785.2 5 14 68.40 46.60 0.00 16.50 801.7 5 15 73.90 51.50 0.00 21.70 823.4 5 16 74.80 51.90 0.00 22.35 845.7 5 17 71.50 37.10 0.00 13.86 859.6 Peak pheromone trap catch 5 18 69.10 49.50 0.00 18.30 877.9 5 19 65.80 41.10 0.00 12.45 890.3 5 20 69.30 40.50 0.00 13.93 904.3 5 21 67.80 45.60 0.00 15.70 920.0 5 22 72.30 39.20 0.00 14.93 934.9 5 23 76.00 48.10 0.00 21.05 955.9 Peak female adult emergence 5 24 72.60 42.30 0.00 16.45 972.4 5 25 80.30 52.30 0.00 25.30 997.7 Pn 5 26 79.60 50.70 0.00 24.15 1021.8 Peak egg laying 5 27 69.90 52.60 0.00 20.25 1042.1 5 28 67.60 42.00 0.00 13.80 1055.9 5 29 68.40 54.10 0.00 20.25 1076.1 5 30 65.20 47.90 0.00 15.55 1091.7 5 31 75.30 44.30 0.00 18.80 1110.5 6 1 81.40 46.70 0.00 23.05 1133.5 6 2 85.60 62.10 0.00 32.85 1166.4 6 3 73.50 52.80 0.00 22.15 1188.5 6 4 73.30 53.10 0.00 22.20 1210.7 6 5 80.10 58.30 0.00 28.20 1238.9 6 6 78.40 53.10 0.00 24.75 1263.7 6 7 80.80 46.10 0.00 22.45 1286.1 Peak egg hatch 6 8 84.60 60.90 0.00 31.75 1317.9 6 9 85.00 57.50 0.00 30.25 1348.1 6 10 74.50 60.10 0.00 26.30 1374.4 6 11 78.20 59.10 0.00 27.65 1402.1 6 12 70.10 51.70 0.00 19.90 1422.0 6 13 69.60 49.20 0.00 18.40 1440.4 6 14 71.60 47.50 0.00 18.55 1458.9 6 15 78.20 46.50 0.00 21.35 1480.3 6 16 79.70 57.20 0.00 27.45 1507.7 6 17 78.90 60.40 0.00 28.65 1536.4 6 18 68.60 50.60 0.00 18.60 1555.0 6 19 75.90 49.40 0.00 21.65 1576.6 6 20 80.00 52.00 0.00 25.00 1601.6 6 21 86.40 52.40 0.00 28.40 1630.0 6 22 91.90 54.50 0.00 32.20 1662.2 6 23 83.50 57.40 0.00 29.45 1691.7 6 24 82.90 60.30 0.00 30.60 1722.3 6 25 90.10 63.70 0.00 35.90 1758.2 Pn 6 26 96.40 53.20 0.00 33.80 1792.0 6 27 101.80 58.80 0.00 39.30 1831.3 6 28 89.40 65.90 0.00 36.65 1867.9 6 29 87.70 53.20 0.00 29.45 1897.4 6 30 88.80 58.20 0.00 32.50 1929.9 7 1 93.20 55.20 0.00 33.20 1963.1 7 2 92.20 55.50 0.00 32.85 1995.9 7 3 84.70 61.00 0.00 31.85 2027.8 7 4 84.60 57.70 0.00 30.15 2057.9 7 5 86.80 58.10 0.00 31.45 2089.4 Peak in density large larvae 7 6 86.60 62.80 0.00 33.70 2123.1 7 7 86.70 66.10 0.00 35.40 2158.5 7 8 90.10 59.00 0.00 33.55 2192.0 7 9 89.90 60.90 0.00 34.40 2226.4 7 10 89.90 55.50 0.00 31.70 2258.1 7 11 94.60 58.10 0.00 35.35 2293.5 7 12 99.30 57.80 0.00 37.55 2331.0 7 13 95.50 68.40 0.00 40.95 2372.0 7 14 94.80 60.30 0.00 36.55 2408.5 7 15 98.80 60.60 0.00 38.70 2447.2 7 16 95.10 61.70 0.00 37.40 2484.6 7 17 89.60 64.40 0.00 36.00 2520.6 Pn 7 18 87.50 57.30 0.00 31.40 2552.0 7 19 95.90 53.70 0.00 33.80 2585.8 7 20 101.30 57.30 0.00 38.30 2624.1 7 21 102.10 59.40 0.00 39.75 2663.9 7 22 93.70 63.40 0.00 37.55 2701.4 7 23 93.70 58.20 0.00 34.95 2736.4 7 24 98.80 60.80 0.00 38.80 2775.2 7 25 103.10 61.30 0.00 41.20 2816.4 7 26 104.80 66.50 0.00 44.65 2861.0 7 27 106.90 69.20 0.00 47.05 2908.1 7 28 109.30 69.70 0.00 48.50 2956.6 7 29 110.30 68.10 0.00 48.20 3004.8 7 30 108.70 69.70 0.00 48.20 3053.0 7 31 104.80 72.10 0.00 47.45 3100.4 8 1 97.40 71.30 0.00 43.35 3143.8 8 2 99.80 65.20 0.00 41.50 3185.3 8 3 101.60 56.60 0.00 38.10 3223.4 8 4 90.00 58.80 0.00 33.40 3256.8 8 5 85.60 52.10 0.00 27.85 3284.6 8 6 90.70 59.50 0.00 34.10 3318.7 8 7 97.10 53.10 0.00 34.10 3352.8 8 8 103.20 53.90 0.00 37.55 3390.4 8 9 97.40 69.10 0.00 42.25 3432.6 8 10 100.50 71.80 0.00 45.15 3477.8 8 11 95.90 63.80 0.00 38.85 3516.6 8 12 98.40 68.20 0.00 42.30 3558.9 8 13 91.00 62.90 0.00 35.95 3594.9 8 14 91.10 56.70 0.00 32.90 3627.8 8 15 96.10 55.30 0.00 34.70 3662.5 8 16 98.80 57.30 0.00 37.05 3699.5 8 17 105.70 60.50 0.00 42.10 3741.6 8 18 106.90 75.30 0.00 50.10 3791.7 Pn 8 19 98.40 74.10 0.00 45.25 3837.0 8 20 98.30 72.30 0.00 44.30 3881.3 8 21 100.10 67.70 0.00 42.90 3924.2 8 22 98.40 69.80 0.00 43.10 3967.3 8 23 97.60 64.70 0.00 40.15 4007.4 8 24 98.30 78.20 0.00 47.25 4054.7 8 25 96.40 70.20 0.00 42.30 4097.0 8 26 97.20 69.30 0.00 42.25 4139.2 8 27 83.30 61.40 0.00 31.35 4170.6 8 28 82.50 50.00 0.00 25.25 4195.8 8 29 92.20 51.60 0.00 30.90 4226.7 8 30 100.30 55.00 0.00 36.65 4263.4 8 31 100.90 60.50 0.00 39.70 4303.1 9 1 99.40 63.70 0.00 40.55 4343.6 9 2 99.70 49.70 0.00 33.70 4377.3 9 3 90.40 67.20 0.00 37.80 4415.1 9 4 92.30 54.90 0.00 32.60 4447.7 9 5 85.80 56.00 0.00 29.90 4477.6 9 6 91.30 46.80 0.00 28.05 4505.7 9 7 94.10 51.60 0.00 31.85 4537.5 9 8 83.40 51.70 0.00 26.55 4564.1 9 9 83.60 54.50 0.00 28.05 4592.1 9 10 87.20 49.60 0.00 27.40 4619.5 9 11 86.70 47.40 0.00 26.05 4645.6 9 12 81.80 58.40 0.00 29.10 4674.7 9 13 81.10 49.60 0.00 24.35 4699.0 9 14 79.30 56.70 0.00 27.00 4726.0 9 15 80.00 48.60 0.00 23.30 4749.3 Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 HPROS PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988
Location: 2022 HPROS Prosser Barricade Hanf
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME
DateDDsEvent
 5-17-22 860Peak pheromone trap catch
 5-23-22 956Peak female adult emergence
 5-26-22 1022Peak egg laying
 6-7-22 1286Peak egg hatch
 7-5-22 2089Peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988