Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2017 HPROS HMMN Prosser Barricade Hanf WA Lat:46.3919 Long:-119.4119 Elev:479 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 30.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 26.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 23.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 4 24.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 18.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 6 16.00 0.90 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vn 1 7 20.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vn 1 8 28.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 9 28.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 10 27.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 11 23.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 12 17.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 13 7.00 -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vn 1 14 14.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 15 15.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 16 22.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 17 20.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 18 32.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 19 36.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 20 36.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 21 36.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 22 36.00 24.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 23 35.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 24 37.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 25 33.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 26 36.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 27 35.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 28 35.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 29 32.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 30 33.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 31 34.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 1 26.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 2 29.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 3 27.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 4 35.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 5 33.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 6 42.00 29.00 0.00 0.12 0.1 2 7 34.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 0.1 2 8 28.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.1 2 9 44.00 27.00 0.00 0.54 0.7 2 10 49.00 31.00 0.00 2.38 3.0 2 11 45.00 23.00 0.00 0.74 3.8 2 12 41.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 3.8 2 13 41.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 3.8 2 14 28.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 3.8 2 15 32.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 3.8 2 16 46.00 32.00 0.00 1.32 5.1 2 17 44.00 28.00 0.00 0.56 5.7 2 18 41.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 5.7 2 19 52.00 30.00 0.00 3.50 9.2 2 20 53.00 32.00 0.00 4.13 13.3 2 21 43.00 36.00 0.00 0.47 13.8 2 22 50.00 26.00 0.00 2.44 16.2 2 23 48.00 21.00 0.00 1.56 17.8 2 24 46.00 20.00 0.00 0.95 18.7 2 25 47.00 17.00 0.00 1.16 19.9 2 26 40.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 19.9 2 27 45.00 32.00 0.00 0.97 20.8 2 28 50.00 24.00 0.00 2.34 23.2 3 1 56.00 37.00 0.00 6.30 29.5 3 2 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 32.3 3 3 55.00 38.00 0.00 6.04 38.4 3 4 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 41.2 3 5 50.00 31.00 0.00 2.78 44.0 3 6 50.00 34.00 0.00 3.07 47.1 3 7 48.00 33.00 0.00 2.14 49.2 3 8 49.00 35.00 0.00 2.75 52.0 3 9 44.00 37.00 0.00 0.88 52.9 3 10 67.00 37.00 0.00 11.63 64.5 3 11 52.00 32.00 0.00 3.70 68.2 3 12 58.00 39.00 0.00 7.78 76.0 3 13 51.00 43.00 0.00 6.00 82.0 3 14 70.00 46.00 0.00 17.00 99.0 3 15 63.00 50.00 0.00 15.50 114.5 3 16 58.00 34.00 0.00 6.66 121.1 3 17 51.00 30.00 0.00 3.10 124.2 3 18 64.00 40.00 0.00 11.09 135.3 3 19 54.00 29.00 0.00 4.23 139.5 3 20 53.00 31.00 0.00 4.02 143.6 3 21 52.00 37.00 0.00 4.40 148.0 3 22 58.00 33.00 0.00 6.49 154.4 3 23 58.00 29.00 0.00 5.93 160.4 3 24 60.00 42.00 0.00 10.00 170.4 3 25 60.00 41.00 0.00 9.50 179.9 3 26 50.00 37.00 0.00 3.47 183.4 3 27 63.00 38.00 0.00 9.95 193.3 3 28 58.00 42.00 0.00 9.00 202.3 3 29 61.00 45.00 0.00 12.00 214.3 3 30 62.00 38.00 0.00 9.46 223.8 3 31 64.00 34.00 0.00 9.47 233.2 4 1 68.00 37.00 0.00 12.12 245.3 4 2 61.00 34.00 0.00 8.06 253.4 4 3 59.00 27.00 0.00 6.13 259.5 4 4 62.30 35.20 0.00 8.91 268.4 Hx Hn 4 5 65.00 48.00 0.00 15.50 283.9 4 6 66.00 47.00 0.00 15.50 299.4 4 7 67.00 48.00 0.00 16.50 315.9 4 8 60.00 38.00 0.00 8.48 324.4 4 9 57.00 30.00 0.00 5.62 330.0 4 10 61.00 41.00 0.00 10.00 340.0 4 11 62.00 27.00 0.00 7.43 347.5 4 12 59.00 46.00 0.00 11.50 359.0 4 13 63.00 43.00 0.00 12.00 371.0 4 14 61.00 33.00 0.00 7.87 378.8 4 15 61.00 27.00 0.00 7.00 385.8 4 16 68.00 31.00 0.00 10.77 396.6 4 17 65.00 46.00 0.00 14.50 411.1 4 18 68.00 45.00 0.00 15.50 426.6 4 19 69.00 33.00 0.00 11.64 438.3 4 20 66.00 45.00 0.00 14.50 452.8 4 21 67.00 34.00 0.00 10.90 463.7 4 22 71.00 43.00 0.00 16.00 479.7 4 23 66.00 44.00 0.00 14.00 493.7 4 24 61.00 47.00 0.00 13.00 506.7 4 25 67.00 41.00 0.00 13.00 519.7 4 26 64.00 42.00 0.00 12.00 531.7 4 27 63.00 34.00 0.00 9.00 540.7 4 28 67.00 36.00 0.00 11.37 552.0 4 29 66.00 31.00 0.00 9.84 561.9 4 30 68.00 43.00 0.00 14.50 576.4 5 1 61.00 38.00 0.00 8.97 585.3 5 2 70.00 37.00 0.00 13.10 598.4 5 3 82.00 52.00 0.00 26.00 624.4 5 4 89.00 52.00 0.00 29.50 653.9 5 5 75.00 56.00 0.00 24.50 678.4 5 6 66.00 43.00 0.00 13.50 691.9 5 7 68.00 35.00 0.00 11.61 703.5 5 8 74.00 35.00 0.00 14.51 718.0 5 9 78.00 42.00 0.00 19.00 737.0 5 10 83.00 42.00 0.00 21.50 758.5 5 11 73.00 53.00 0.00 22.00 780.5 5 12 64.00 49.00 0.00 15.50 796.0 5 13 63.00 42.00 0.00 11.50 807.5 5 14 65.00 38.00 0.00 10.93 818.5 5 15 67.00 34.00 0.00 10.90 829.4 5 16 61.00 44.00 0.00 11.50 840.9 5 17 72.00 41.00 0.00 15.50 856.4 peak pheromone trap catch 5 18 75.00 48.10 0.00 20.55 876.9 5 19 80.90 48.30 0.00 23.60 900.5 5 20 77.60 54.40 0.00 25.00 925.5 5 21 85.80 44.80 0.00 24.30 949.8 5 22 90.60 47.30 0.00 27.95 977.8 peak female adult emergence 5 23 96.00 49.60 0.00 31.80 1009.6 peak egg laying 5 24 72.30 53.70 0.00 22.00 1031.6 5 25 69.90 41.60 0.00 14.75 1046.3 5 26 81.80 39.70 0.00 19.85 1066.2 5 27 88.50 47.00 0.00 26.75 1092.9 5 28 93.10 48.50 0.00 29.80 1122.7 5 29 96.20 52.20 0.00 33.20 1155.9 5 30 97.60 56.20 0.00 35.90 1191.8 5 31 74.50 54.30 0.00 23.40 1215.2 6 1 79.70 53.20 0.00 25.45 1240.7 6 2 84.10 49.50 0.00 25.80 1266.5 6 3 88.30 51.10 0.00 28.70 1295.2 peak egg hatch 6 4 76.70 56.80 0.00 25.75 1320.9 6 5 80.60 42.40 0.00 20.50 1341.4 6 6 89.50 49.90 0.00 28.70 1370.1 6 7 90.50 58.10 0.00 33.30 1403.4 6 8 79.90 55.10 0.00 26.50 1429.9 6 9 74.30 44.90 0.00 18.60 1448.5 6 10 73.10 46.30 0.00 18.70 1467.2 6 11 77.60 40.50 0.00 18.07 1485.3 6 12 82.90 55.40 0.00 28.15 1513.4 6 13 78.90 53.20 0.00 25.05 1538.5 6 14 75.80 49.60 0.00 21.70 1560.2 6 15 71.70 56.70 0.00 23.20 1583.4 6 16 72.90 58.50 0.00 24.70 1608.1 6 17 79.60 44.10 0.00 20.85 1628.9 6 18 88.60 60.50 0.00 33.55 1662.5 6 19 95.80 58.70 0.00 36.25 1698.7 6 20 93.10 65.50 0.00 38.30 1737.0 6 21 88.90 49.60 0.00 28.25 1765.3 6 22 84.30 59.60 0.00 30.95 1796.2 6 23 90.00 46.60 0.00 27.30 1823.5 6 24 95.70 49.80 0.00 31.75 1855.3 6 25 101.80 54.30 0.00 37.05 1892.3 6 26 103.80 67.40 0.00 44.60 1936.9 6 27 88.20 62.40 0.00 34.30 1971.2 6 28 89.10 50.40 0.00 28.75 2000.0 6 29 86.40 57.00 0.00 30.70 2030.7 6 30 93.40 55.70 0.00 33.55 2064.2 7 1 96.40 59.50 0.00 36.95 2101.2 peak in density large larvae 7 2 97.10 60.50 0.00 37.80 2139.0 7 3 94.30 63.60 0.00 37.95 2176.9 7 4 96.20 55.90 0.00 35.05 2212.0 7 5 101.60 59.30 0.00 39.45 2251.4 7 6 105.40 65.00 0.00 44.20 2295.6 7 7 105.10 62.40 0.00 42.75 2338.4 7 8 98.10 58.00 0.00 37.05 2375.4 7 9 97.60 59.00 0.00 37.30 2412.7 7 10 92.00 65.70 0.00 37.85 2450.6 7 11 88.40 55.50 0.00 30.95 2481.5 7 12 95.20 57.30 0.00 35.25 2516.8 7 13 95.70 60.80 0.00 37.25 2554.0 7 14 96.20 54.60 0.00 34.40 2588.4 7 15 98.40 66.90 0.00 41.65 2630.1 7 16 85.50 53.10 0.00 28.30 2658.4 7 17 86.50 52.50 0.00 28.50 2686.9 7 18 92.70 49.90 0.00 30.30 2717.2 7 19 95.90 62.60 0.00 38.25 2755.4 7 20 87.40 59.40 0.00 32.40 2787.8 7 21 88.60 51.20 0.00 28.90 2816.7 7 22 95.50 57.80 0.00 35.65 2852.4 7 23 102.20 64.40 0.00 42.30 2894.7 7 24 92.50 66.60 0.00 38.55 2933.2 7 25 97.60 57.00 0.00 36.30 2969.5 7 26 99.00 59.60 0.00 38.30 3007.8 7 27 96.50 64.60 0.00 39.55 3047.4 7 28 95.00 57.10 0.00 35.05 3082.4 7 29 97.30 57.50 0.00 36.40 3118.8 7 30 99.60 60.30 0.00 38.95 3157.8 7 31 97.50 59.50 0.00 37.50 3195.3 8 1 102.40 57.20 0.00 38.80 3234.1 8 2 102.10 67.40 0.00 43.75 3277.8 8 3 102.40 62.90 0.00 41.65 3319.5 8 4 100.40 62.90 0.00 40.65 3360.1 8 5 97.60 60.60 0.00 38.10 3398.2 8 6 99.60 58.80 0.00 38.20 3436.4 8 7 100.10 62.00 0.00 40.05 3476.5 8 8 101.30 60.30 0.00 39.80 3516.3 8 9 102.40 61.20 0.00 40.80 3557.1 8 10 101.80 61.30 0.00 40.55 3597.6 8 11 101.50 60.10 0.00 39.80 3637.4 8 12 96.60 75.20 0.00 44.90 3682.3 8 13 85.80 62.60 0.00 33.20 3715.5 8 14 81.20 49.80 0.00 24.50 3740.0 8 15 85.90 47.40 0.00 25.65 3765.7 8 16 93.20 52.30 0.00 31.75 3797.4 8 17 91.60 56.10 0.00 32.85 3830.3 8 18 94.80 49.50 0.00 31.15 3861.4 8 19 85.70 57.20 0.00 30.45 3891.9 8 20 86.30 53.40 0.00 28.85 3920.7 8 21 91.20 50.90 0.00 30.05 3950.8 8 22 93.00 53.70 0.00 32.35 3983.1 8 23 85.30 58.60 0.00 30.95 4014.1 8 24 87.50 60.00 0.00 32.75 4046.8 8 25 82.50 43.40 0.00 21.95 4068.8 8 26 89.10 45.60 0.00 26.35 4095.1 8 27 94.70 48.10 0.00 30.40 4125.5 8 28 100.10 59.00 0.00 38.55 4164.1 8 29 99.40 58.10 0.00 37.75 4201.8 8 30 94.30 60.70 0.00 36.50 4238.3 8 31 90.70 54.20 0.00 31.45 4269.8 9 1 95.60 52.30 0.00 32.95 4302.7 9 2 98.40 51.40 0.00 33.90 4336.6 9 3 95.70 55.70 0.00 34.70 4371.3 9 4 94.90 56.40 0.00 34.65 4406.0 9 5 92.40 72.90 0.00 41.65 4447.6 9 6 87.70 57.50 0.00 31.60 4479.2 9 7 84.90 56.90 0.00 29.90 4509.1 9 8 89.60 61.00 0.00 34.30 4543.4 9 9 87.80 59.70 0.00 32.75 4576.2 9 10 84.20 53.90 0.00 28.05 4604.2 9 11 88.90 47.30 0.00 27.10 4631.3 9 12 93.60 49.20 0.00 30.40 4661.7 9 13 81.00 54.90 0.00 26.95 4688.7 9 14 75.40 51.50 0.00 22.45 4711.1 9 15 75.10 46.80 0.00 19.95 4731.1 QA 98% ok  
Forecast using:  Fox - IPPC forecast for HPROS data
Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg HPROS 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2017 HPROS Prosser Barricade Hanf
QA 98% ok  - show details
DateDDsEvent
 5-17-17 856peak pheromone trap catch
 5-22-17 978peak female adult emergence
 5-23-17 1010peak egg laying
 6-3-17 1295peak egg hatch
 7-1-17 2101peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)