Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2017 HPROS HMMN Prosser Barricade Hanf WA Lat:46.3919 Long:-119.4119 Elev:479 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 30.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 26.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 23.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 4 24.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 18.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 6 16.00 0.90 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vn 1 7 20.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vn 1 8 28.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 9 28.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 10 27.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 11 23.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 12 17.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 13 7.00 -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vn 1 14 14.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 15 15.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 16 22.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 17 20.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 18 32.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 19 36.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 20 36.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 21 36.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 22 36.00 24.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 23 35.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 24 37.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 25 33.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 26 36.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 27 35.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 28 35.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 29 32.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 30 33.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 31 34.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 1 26.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 2 29.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 3 27.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 4 35.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 5 33.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 2 6 42.00 29.00 0.00 0.12 0.1 2 7 34.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 0.1 2 8 28.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.1 2 9 44.00 27.00 0.00 0.54 0.7 2 10 49.00 31.00 0.00 2.38 3.0 2 11 45.00 23.00 0.00 0.74 3.8 2 12 41.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 3.8 2 13 41.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 3.8 2 14 28.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 3.8 2 15 32.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 3.8 2 16 46.00 32.00 0.00 1.32 5.1 2 17 44.00 28.00 0.00 0.56 5.7 2 18 41.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 5.7 2 19 52.00 30.00 0.00 3.50 9.2 2 20 53.00 32.00 0.00 4.13 13.3 2 21 43.00 36.00 0.00 0.47 13.8 2 22 50.00 26.00 0.00 2.44 16.2 2 23 48.00 21.00 0.00 1.56 17.8 2 24 46.00 20.00 0.00 0.95 18.7 2 25 47.00 17.00 0.00 1.16 19.9 2 26 40.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 19.9 2 27 45.00 32.00 0.00 0.97 20.8 2 28 50.00 24.00 0.00 2.34 23.2 3 1 56.00 37.00 0.00 6.30 29.5 3 2 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 32.3 3 3 55.00 38.00 0.00 6.04 38.4 3 4 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 41.2 3 5 50.00 31.00 0.00 2.78 44.0 3 6 50.00 34.00 0.00 3.07 47.1 3 7 48.00 33.00 0.00 2.14 49.2 3 8 49.00 35.00 0.00 2.75 52.0 3 9 44.00 37.00 0.00 0.88 52.9 3 10 67.00 37.00 0.00 11.63 64.5 3 11 52.00 32.00 0.00 3.70 68.2 3 12 58.00 39.00 0.00 7.78 76.0 3 13 51.00 43.00 0.00 6.00 82.0 3 14 70.00 46.00 0.00 17.00 99.0 3 15 63.00 50.00 0.00 15.50 114.5 3 16 58.00 34.00 0.00 6.66 121.1 3 17 51.00 30.00 0.00 3.10 124.2 3 18 64.00 40.00 0.00 11.09 135.3 3 19 54.00 29.00 0.00 4.23 139.5 3 20 53.00 31.00 0.00 4.02 143.6 3 21 52.00 37.00 0.00 4.40 148.0 3 22 58.00 33.00 0.00 6.49 154.4 3 23 58.00 29.00 0.00 5.93 160.4 3 24 60.00 42.00 0.00 10.00 170.4 3 25 60.00 41.00 0.00 9.50 179.9 3 26 50.00 37.00 0.00 3.47 183.4 3 27 63.00 38.00 0.00 9.95 193.3 3 28 58.00 42.00 0.00 9.00 202.3 3 29 61.00 45.00 0.00 12.00 214.3 3 30 62.00 38.00 0.00 9.46 223.8 3 31 64.00 34.00 0.00 9.47 233.2 4 1 68.00 37.00 0.00 12.12 245.3 4 2 61.00 34.00 0.00 8.06 253.4 4 3 59.00 27.00 0.00 6.13 259.5 4 4 62.90 38.60 0.00 10.07 269.6 Hx Hn 4 5 65.00 48.00 0.00 15.50 285.1 4 6 66.00 47.00 0.00 15.50 300.6 4 7 67.00 48.00 0.00 16.50 317.1 4 8 60.00 38.00 0.00 8.48 325.6 4 9 57.00 30.00 0.00 5.62 331.2 4 10 61.00 41.00 0.00 10.00 341.2 4 11 62.00 27.00 0.00 7.43 348.6 4 12 59.00 46.00 0.00 11.50 360.1 4 13 63.00 43.00 0.00 12.00 372.1 4 14 61.00 33.00 0.00 7.87 380.0 4 15 61.00 27.00 0.00 7.00 387.0 4 16 68.00 31.00 0.00 10.77 397.8 4 17 65.00 46.00 0.00 14.50 412.3 4 18 68.00 45.00 0.00 15.50 427.8 4 19 69.00 33.00 0.00 11.64 439.4 4 20 66.00 45.00 0.00 14.50 453.9 4 21 67.00 34.00 0.00 10.90 464.8 4 22 71.00 43.00 0.00 16.00 480.8 4 23 66.00 44.00 0.00 14.00 494.8 4 24 61.00 47.00 0.00 13.00 507.8 4 25 67.00 41.00 0.00 13.00 520.8
DD accumulation on 4-25-17: 521QA 94% ok - OK - 6% of data estimated    
  
This year is about  versus  QA
 19 days behind 2016 ok
 25 days behind 2015 ok
 2 days behind 30-yr normal ok
Forecast using:  Fox - IPPC forecast for HPROS data
  4 26  61.30 48.00  0.00  13.65    534.5  0.001_4.80%_precip.    
  4 27  57.70 44.20  0.00   9.95    544.4  0.00_2.20%_precip.    
  4 28  61.00 45.00  0.00  12.00    556.4  0.00_3.78%_precip.    
  4 29  65.50 42.30  0.04  12.90    569.3  0.042_5.18%_precip.    
  4 30  61.50 47.90  0.01  13.70    583.0  0.015_4.86%_precip.    
Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg HPROS 2006-2015
  5  1  67.50 39.30  0.00  12.58    595.6  *hist_fcst*    
  5  2  68.80 39.70  0.01  13.37    609.0  *hist_fcst*    
  5  3  68.40 41.20  0.03  13.80    622.8  *hist_fcst*    
  5  4  67.90 42.30  0.01  14.10    636.9  *hist_fcst*    
  5  5  69.70 41.40  0.02  14.55    651.4  *hist_fcst*    
  5  6  70.30 42.40  0.00  15.35    666.8  *hist_fcst*    
  5  7  70.40 43.40  0.01  15.90    682.7  *hist_fcst*    
  5  8  73.10 43.90  0.00  17.50    700.2  *hist_fcst*    
  5  9  74.10 43.50  0.02  17.80    718.0  *hist_fcst*    
  5 10  73.00 42.50  0.00  16.75    734.7  *hist_fcst*    
  5 11  74.10 43.70  0.01  17.90    752.6  *hist_fcst*    
  5 12  75.40 46.30  0.01  19.85    772.5  *hist_fcst*    
  5 13  72.90 44.80  0.08  17.85    790.3  *hist_fcst*    
  5 14  72.50 43.70  0.06  17.10    807.4  *hist_fcst*    
  5 15  79.10 46.30  0.07  21.70    829.1  *hist_fcst*    
  5 16  81.10 49.40  0.01  24.25    853.4  *hist_fcst*   peak pheromone trap catch
  5 17  82.20 51.30  0.00  25.75    879.1  *hist_fcst*    
  5 18  80.90 50.70  0.01  24.80    903.9  *hist_fcst*    
  5 19  80.10 51.80  0.01  24.95    928.9  *hist_fcst*    
  5 20  78.20 50.80  0.04  23.50    952.4  *hist_fcst*   peak female adult emergence
  5 21  74.40 48.80  0.04  20.60    973.0  *hist_fcst*    
  5 22  71.90 48.40  0.04  19.15    992.1  *hist_fcst*    
  5 23  72.60 47.90  0.04  19.25   1011.4  *hist_fcst*   peak egg laying
  5 24  73.20 48.20  0.03  19.70   1031.1  *hist_fcst*    
  5 25  75.50 49.10  0.01  21.30   1052.4  *hist_fcst*    
  5 26  74.50 50.30  0.02  21.40   1073.8  *hist_fcst*    
  5 27  74.60 50.20  0.02  21.40   1095.2  *hist_fcst*    
  5 28  73.40 50.30  0.03  20.85   1116.0  *hist_fcst*    
  5 29  74.40 50.50  0.04  21.45   1137.5  *hist_fcst*    
  5 30  77.20 50.10  0.02  22.65   1160.1  *hist_fcst*    
  5 31  80.70 51.80  0.00  25.25   1185.4  *hist_fcst*    
  6  1  82.80 53.70  0.01  27.25   1212.6  *hist_fcst*    
  6  2  82.10 54.90  0.04  27.50   1240.1  *hist_fcst*    
  6  3  78.50 54.40  0.07  25.45   1265.6  *hist_fcst*    
  6  4  78.50 53.90  0.05  25.20   1290.8  *hist_fcst*   peak egg hatch
  6  5  79.30 53.80  0.10  25.55   1316.3  *hist_fcst*    
  6  6  78.00 53.40  0.04  24.70   1341.0  *hist_fcst*    
  6  7  78.20 54.00  0.00  25.10   1366.1  *hist_fcst*    
  6  8  78.80 52.60  0.02  24.70   1390.8  *hist_fcst*    
  6  9  79.70 52.20  0.02  24.95   1415.8  *hist_fcst*    
  6 10  78.20 53.00  0.02  24.60   1440.4  *hist_fcst*    
  6 11  77.90 52.50  0.01  24.20   1464.6  *hist_fcst*    
  6 12  79.70 51.90  0.00  24.80   1489.4  *hist_fcst*    
  6 13  80.60 52.40  0.01  25.50   1514.9  *hist_fcst*    
  6 14  78.00 52.40  0.03  24.20   1539.1  *hist_fcst*    
  6 15  78.60 51.90  0.00  24.25   1563.3  *hist_fcst*    
  6 16  79.60 51.70  0.00  24.65   1588.0  *hist_fcst*    
  6 17  81.60 53.30  0.02  26.45   1614.4  *hist_fcst*    
  6 18  79.70 54.80  0.02  26.25   1640.7  *hist_fcst*    
  6 19  78.40 53.40  0.01  24.90   1665.6  *hist_fcst*    
  6 20  80.00 53.40  0.01  25.70   1691.3  *hist_fcst*    
  6 21  81.00 53.50  0.01  26.25   1717.5  *hist_fcst*    
  6 22  81.00 54.60  0.01  26.80   1744.3  *hist_fcst*    
  6 23  83.10 53.30  0.02  27.20   1771.5  *hist_fcst*    
  6 24  81.30 54.00  0.03  26.65   1798.2  *hist_fcst*    
  6 25  83.50 55.00  0.01  28.25   1826.4  *hist_fcst*    
  6 26  83.40 55.00  0.04  28.20   1854.6  *hist_fcst*    
  6 27  84.60 55.70  0.02  29.15   1883.8  *hist_fcst*    
  6 28  89.50 57.80  0.00  32.65   1916.4  *hist_fcst*    
  6 29  92.20 60.60  0.01  35.40   1951.8  *hist_fcst*    
  6 30  86.20 59.10  0.01  31.65   1983.5  *hist_fcst*    
  7  1  87.20 58.60  0.01  31.90   2015.4  *hist_fcst*    
  7  2  91.20 59.00  0.01  34.10   2049.5  *hist_fcst*    
  7  3  93.50 60.70  0.00  36.10   2085.6  *hist_fcst*   peak in density large larvae
  7  4  91.80 60.50  0.00  35.15   2120.7  *hist_fcst*    
  7  5  90.90 59.90  0.00  34.40   2155.1  *hist_fcst*    
  7  6  91.80 60.40  0.00  35.10   2190.2  *hist_fcst*    
  7  7  91.40 59.30  0.00  34.35   2224.6  *hist_fcst*    
  7  8  92.50 59.10  0.00  34.80   2259.4  *hist_fcst*    
  7  9  92.90 59.70  0.00  35.30   2294.7  *hist_fcst*    
  7 10  95.10 60.70  0.00  36.90   2331.6  *hist_fcst*    
  7 11  93.20 61.30  0.00  36.25   2367.8  *hist_fcst*    
  7 12  93.30 60.10  0.00  35.70   2403.5  *hist_fcst*    
  7 13  90.40 59.80  0.01  34.10   2437.6  *hist_fcst*    
  7 14  88.40 59.70  0.01  33.05   2470.7  *hist_fcst*    
  7 15  91.10 59.40  0.00  34.25   2504.9  *hist_fcst*    
  7 16  92.30 60.50  0.00  35.40   2540.3  *hist_fcst*    
  7 17  92.50 61.40  0.03  35.95   2576.3  *hist_fcst*    
  7 18  92.50 61.70  0.00  36.10   2612.4  *hist_fcst*    
  7 19  91.00 61.70  0.00  35.35   2647.7  *hist_fcst*    
  7 20  91.10 60.40  0.00  34.75   2682.5  *hist_fcst*    
  7 21  91.10 59.90  0.00  34.50   2717.0  *hist_fcst*    
  7 22  92.10 60.40  0.00  35.25   2752.2  *hist_fcst*    
  7 23  91.80 61.10  0.00  35.45   2787.7  *hist_fcst*    
  7 24  91.00 59.70  0.00  34.35   2822.0  *hist_fcst*    
  7 25  91.70 59.40  0.00  34.55   2856.6  *hist_fcst*    
  7 26  92.10 59.30  0.00  34.70   2891.3  *hist_fcst*    
  7 27  93.10 61.30  0.00  36.20   2927.5  *hist_fcst*    
  7 28  92.30 61.40  0.00  35.85   2963.3  *hist_fcst*    
  7 29  91.60 60.20  0.00  34.90   2998.2  *hist_fcst*    
  7 30  92.10 60.60  0.00  35.35   3033.6  *hist_fcst*    
  7 31  92.20 60.10  0.00  35.15   3068.7  *hist_fcst*    
  8  1  92.40 58.80  0.01  34.60   3103.3  *hist_fcst*    
  8  2  92.30 60.50  0.00  35.40   3138.7  *hist_fcst*    
  8  3  91.10 60.90  0.01  35.00   3173.7  *hist_fcst*    
  8  4  91.20 60.40  0.00  34.80   3208.5  *hist_fcst*    
  8  5  93.70 60.40  0.00  36.05   3244.6  *hist_fcst*    
  8  6  94.00 60.70  0.00  36.35   3280.9  *hist_fcst*    
  8  7  92.80 61.20  0.00  36.00   3316.9  *hist_fcst*    
  8  8  92.10 60.90  0.00  35.50   3352.4  *hist_fcst*    
  8  9  90.60 60.50  0.00  34.55   3387.0  *hist_fcst*    
  8 10  88.60 59.50  0.00  33.05   3420.0  *hist_fcst*    
  8 11  88.20 58.10  0.00  32.15   3452.2  *hist_fcst*    
  8 12  89.40 58.10  0.00  32.75   3484.9  *hist_fcst*    
  8 13  92.20 59.80  0.00  35.00   3519.9  *hist_fcst*    
  8 14  91.40 60.20  0.02  34.80   3554.7  *hist_fcst*    
  8 15  90.90 59.30  0.02  34.10   3588.8  *hist_fcst*    
  8 16  90.60 59.30  0.00  33.95   3622.8  *hist_fcst*    
  8 17  90.20 58.20  0.00  33.20   3656.0  *hist_fcst*    
  8 18  92.10 58.10  0.00  34.10   3690.1  *hist_fcst*    
  8 19  92.60 59.40  0.01  35.00   3725.1  *hist_fcst*    
  8 20  91.00 59.70  0.01  34.35   3759.4  *hist_fcst*    
  8 21  89.00 58.60  0.01  32.80   3792.2  *hist_fcst*    
  8 22  87.90 56.90  0.00  31.40   3823.6  *hist_fcst*    
  8 23  85.30 56.80  0.01  30.05   3853.7  *hist_fcst*    
  8 24  85.60 55.50  0.00  29.55   3883.2  *hist_fcst*    
  8 25  86.90 55.50  0.00  30.20   3913.4  *hist_fcst*    
  8 26  87.30 56.20  0.02  30.75   3944.2  *hist_fcst*    
  8 27  87.50 54.80  0.00  30.15   3974.3  *hist_fcst*    
  8 28  88.50 56.90  0.00  31.70   4006.0  *hist_fcst*    
  8 29  88.40 57.40  0.00  31.90   4037.9  *hist_fcst*    
  8 30  85.80 56.80  0.00  30.30   4068.2  *hist_fcst*    
  8 31  82.10 55.20  0.00  27.65   4095.9  *hist_fcst*    
  9  1  81.10 53.20  0.01  26.15   4122.0  *hist_fcst*    
  9  2  83.30 52.70  0.00  27.00   4149.0  *hist_fcst*    
  9  3  83.70 53.00  0.00  27.35   4176.4  *hist_fcst*    
  9  4  83.10 51.90  0.00  26.50   4202.9  *hist_fcst*    
  9  5  82.90 53.70  0.01  27.30   4230.2  *hist_fcst*    
  9  6  83.80 53.50  0.04  27.65   4257.8  *hist_fcst*    
  9  7  81.00 53.00  0.01  26.00   4283.8  *hist_fcst*    
  9  8  81.30 51.60  0.00  25.45   4309.3  *hist_fcst*    
  9  9  82.80 52.00  0.00  26.40   4335.7  *hist_fcst*    
  9 10  83.00 52.70  0.00  26.85   4362.5  *hist_fcst*    
  9 11  81.50 50.80  0.00  25.15   4387.7  *hist_fcst*    
  9 12  83.90 49.50  0.00  25.70   4413.4  *hist_fcst*    
  9 13  87.50 50.70  0.00  28.10   4441.5  *hist_fcst*    
  9 14  85.20 52.00  0.00  27.60   4469.1  *hist_fcst*    
  9 15  81.50 51.50  0.00  25.50   4494.6  *hist_fcst*    
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2017 HPROS Prosser Barricade Hanf
QA 98% ok  - show details QA 100% ok  - check weather data/Consider using a different Station!DD accumulation on 2-22-17: 54 QA 100% ok  - show detailsDD accumulation on 4-14-17: 2358QA 94% ok - OK - 6% of data estimated  - show detailsDD accumulation on 4-15-17: 1188 QA 98% ok  - show detailsDD accumulation on 4-17-17: 1581 QA 100% ok  - show detailsDD accumulation on 4-25-17: 521QA 94% ok - OK - 6% of data estimated  - show details 
  
This year is about  versus  QA
 19 days behind 2016 ok
 25 days behind 2015 ok
 2 days behind 30-yr normal ok
DateDDsEvent
 5-16-17 853peak pheromone trap catch
 5-20-17 952peak female adult emergence
 5-23-17 1011peak egg laying
 6-4-17 1291peak egg hatch
 7-3-17 2086peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)