Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 HPROS HMMN Prosser Barricade Hanf WA Lat:46.3919 Long:-119.4119 Elev:479 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 37.80 26.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START *Hx Hn 1 2 21.10 16.70 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 3 23.20 11.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 4 28.00 23.50 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vn 1 5 30.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 6 35.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 7 35.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 8 38.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 9 39.00 33.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 10 38.00 33.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 11 37.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 12 37.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 13 42.00 31.00 0.00 0.13 0.1 1 14 49.00 30.00 0.00 2.31 2.4 1 15 39.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 2.4 1 16 38.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 2.4 1 17 38.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 2.4 1 18 37.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 2.4 1 19 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 2.4 1 20 53.00 36.00 0.00 4.69 7.1 1 21 45.00 38.00 0.00 1.38 8.5 1 22 59.00 34.00 0.00 7.12 15.6 1 23 51.00 36.00 0.00 3.77 19.4 1 24 54.00 30.00 0.00 4.33 23.7 1 25 43.00 22.00 0.00 0.26 24.0 1 26 40.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 24.0 1 27 46.00 32.00 0.00 1.32 25.3 1 28 54.00 32.00 0.00 4.56 29.9 1 29 51.00 33.00 0.00 3.38 33.3 1 30 52.00 26.00 0.00 3.19 36.4 1 31 47.00 22.00 0.00 1.28 37.7 2 1 48.00 19.00 0.00 1.50 39.2 2 2 43.00 20.00 0.00 0.25 39.5 2 3 40.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 39.5 2 4 52.00 27.00 0.00 3.26 42.7 2 5 52.00 28.00 0.00 3.33 46.1 2 6 50.00 31.00 0.00 2.78 48.8 2 7 50.00 23.00 0.00 2.29 51.1 2 8 53.00 25.00 0.00 3.50 54.6 2 9 54.00 25.00 0.00 3.89 58.5 2 10 51.00 25.00 0.00 2.75 61.3 2 11 51.00 37.00 0.00 3.94 65.2 2 12 53.00 37.00 0.00 4.87 70.1 2 13 52.00 37.00 0.00 4.40 74.5 2 14 62.00 44.00 0.00 12.00 86.5 2 15 65.00 51.00 0.00 17.00 103.5 2 16 63.00 44.00 0.00 12.50 116.0 2 17 58.00 44.00 0.00 10.00 126.0 2 18 56.00 43.00 0.00 8.50 134.5 2 19 55.00 42.00 0.00 7.50 142.0 2 20 54.00 31.00 0.00 4.44 146.4 2 21 47.00 22.00 0.00 1.28 147.7 2 22 54.00 23.00 0.00 3.75 151.4 2 23 53.00 23.00 0.00 3.37 154.8 2 24 56.00 29.00 0.00 5.07 159.9 2 25 58.00 26.00 0.00 5.60 165.5 2 26 56.00 29.00 0.00 5.07 170.6 2 27 65.00 40.00 0.00 11.58 182.2 2 28 61.00 38.00 0.00 8.97 191.1 2 29 57.00 34.00 0.00 6.19 197.3 3 1 52.00 39.00 0.00 4.84 202.2 3 2 57.00 44.00 0.00 9.50 211.7 3 3 65.00 36.00 0.00 10.40 222.0 3 4 63.00 31.00 0.00 8.46 230.5 3 5 63.00 41.00 0.00 11.00 241.5 3 6 61.00 36.00 0.00 8.47 250.0 3 7 60.00 35.00 0.00 7.78 257.8 3 8 52.00 28.00 0.00 3.33 261.1 3 9 50.00 35.00 0.00 3.19 264.3 3 10 62.00 37.00 0.00 9.19 273.5 3 11 50.00 31.00 0.00 2.78 276.2 3 12 53.00 38.00 0.00 5.08 281.3 3 13 57.00 36.00 0.00 6.56 287.9 3 14 56.00 39.00 0.00 6.79 294.7 3 15 54.00 34.00 0.00 4.83 299.5 3 16 59.00 25.00 0.00 5.92 305.4 3 17 55.00 32.00 0.00 5.00 310.4 3 18 59.00 25.00 0.00 5.92 316.3 3 19 58.00 32.00 0.00 6.34 322.7 3 20 61.00 41.00 0.00 10.00 332.7 3 21 64.00 38.00 0.00 10.44 343.1 3 22 63.00 44.00 0.00 12.50 355.6 3 23 61.00 34.00 0.00 8.06 363.7 3 24 60.00 37.00 0.00 8.22 371.9 3 25 60.00 29.00 0.00 6.81 378.7 3 26 62.00 30.00 0.00 7.84 386.5 3 27 61.00 38.00 0.00 8.97 395.5 3 28 57.00 34.00 0.00 6.19 401.7 3 29 68.00 28.00 0.00 10.26 412.0 3 30 70.00 33.00 0.00 12.12 424.1 3 31 74.00 33.00 0.00 14.03 438.1 4 1 78.00 35.00 0.00 16.46 454.6 4 2 79.00 38.00 0.00 17.85 472.4 4 3 75.00 36.00 0.00 15.27 487.7 4 4 64.00 46.00 0.00 14.00 501.7 4 5 65.00 38.00 0.00 10.93 512.6 4 6 72.00 32.00 0.00 12.86 525.5 4 7 82.00 39.00 0.00 19.68 545.2 4 8 84.00 41.00 0.00 21.50 566.7 4 9 83.00 45.00 0.00 23.00 589.7 4 10 77.00 46.00 0.00 20.50 610.2 4 11 77.00 43.00 0.00 19.00 629.2 4 12 71.00 52.00 0.00 20.50 649.7 4 13 64.00 41.00 0.00 11.50 661.2 4 14 62.00 40.00 0.00 10.09 671.2 4 15 67.00 39.00 0.00 12.23 683.5 4 16 70.00 33.00 0.00 12.12 695.6 4 17 79.00 35.00 0.00 16.95 712.5 4 18 84.00 39.00 0.00 20.68 733.2 4 19 86.00 38.00 0.00 21.32 754.5 4 20 89.00 41.00 0.00 24.00 778.5 4 21 81.00 55.00 0.00 27.00 805.5 4 22 79.00 49.00 0.00 23.00 828.5 4 23 76.00 48.00 0.00 21.00 849.5 4 24 70.00 47.00 0.00 17.50 867.0 peak pheromone trap catch 4 25 68.00 37.00 0.00 12.12 879.2 4 26 70.00 36.00 0.00 12.83 892.0 4 27 67.00 45.00 0.00 15.00 907.0 4 28 75.00 44.00 0.00 18.50 925.5 4 29 66.00 50.00 0.00 17.00 942.5 4 30 74.00 49.00 0.00 20.50 963.0 peak female adult emergence 5 1 79.00 43.00 0.00 20.00 983.0 5 2 88.00 42.00 0.00 24.00 1007.0 peak egg laying 5 3 90.00 45.00 0.00 26.50 1033.5 5 4 83.00 61.00 0.00 31.00 1064.5 5 5 74.00 56.00 0.00 24.00 1088.5 5 6 86.00 58.00 0.00 31.00 1119.5 5 7 89.00 58.00 0.00 32.50 1152.0 5 8 82.00 54.00 0.00 27.00 1179.0 5 9 72.00 47.00 0.00 18.50 1197.5 5 10 76.00 40.00 0.00 17.07 1214.6 5 11 83.00 43.00 0.00 22.00 1236.6 5 12 89.00 45.00 0.00 26.00 1262.6 5 13 86.00 56.00 0.00 30.00 1292.6 peak egg hatch 5 14 67.00 55.00 0.00 20.00 1312.6 5 15 64.00 55.00 0.00 18.50 1331.1 5 16 75.00 49.00 0.00 21.00 1352.1 5 17 83.00 46.00 0.00 23.50 1375.6 5 18 86.00 50.00 0.00 27.00 1402.6 5 19 69.00 48.00 0.00 17.50 1420.1 5 20 71.00 40.00 0.00 14.58 1434.6 5 21 70.00 54.00 0.00 21.00 1455.6 5 22 75.00 53.00 0.00 23.00 1478.6 5 23 74.00 50.00 0.00 21.00 1499.6 5 24 78.00 43.00 0.00 19.50 1519.1 5 25 82.00 52.00 0.00 26.00 1545.1 5 26 77.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 1567.6 5 27 70.00 46.00 0.00 17.00 1584.6 5 28 76.00 43.00 0.00 18.50 1603.1 5 29 80.00 46.00 0.00 22.00 1625.1 5 30 78.00 44.00 0.00 20.00 1645.1 5 31 87.00 45.00 0.00 25.00 1670.1 6 1 91.00 51.00 0.00 30.00 1700.1 6 2 83.00 66.00 0.00 33.50 1733.6 6 3 88.00 55.00 0.00 30.50 1764.1 6 4 99.00 55.00 0.00 36.00 1800.1 6 5 102.00 57.00 0.00 38.50 1838.6 6 6 105.00 61.00 0.00 42.00 1880.6 6 7 101.00 66.00 0.00 42.50 1923.1 6 8 85.00 64.00 0.00 33.50 1956.6 6 9 82.00 48.00 0.00 24.00 1980.6 6 10 75.00 55.00 0.00 24.00 2004.6 6 11 76.00 48.00 0.00 21.00 2025.6 6 12 81.00 44.00 0.00 21.50 2047.1 6 13 79.00 56.00 0.00 26.50 2073.6 peak in density large larvae 6 14 70.00 49.00 0.00 18.50 2092.1 6 15 71.00 38.00 0.00 13.89 2106.0 6 16 72.00 50.00 0.00 20.00 2126.0 6 17 80.00 39.00 0.00 18.69 2144.7 6 18 69.00 55.00 0.00 21.00 2165.7 6 19 76.00 43.00 0.00 18.50 2184.2 6 20 87.00 59.00 0.00 32.00 2216.2 6 21 83.00 61.00 0.00 31.00 2247.2 6 22 89.00 51.00 0.00 29.00 2276.2 6 23 84.00 63.00 0.00 32.50 2308.7 6 24 78.00 56.00 0.00 26.00 2334.7 6 25 83.00 51.00 0.00 26.00 2360.7 6 26 92.00 53.00 0.00 31.50 2392.2 6 27 98.00 58.00 0.00 37.00 2429.2 6 28 99.00 63.00 0.00 40.00 2469.2 6 29 99.00 62.00 0.00 39.50 2508.7 6 30 96.00 63.00 0.00 38.50 2547.2 7 1 94.00 55.00 0.00 33.50 2580.7 7 2 94.00 64.00 0.00 38.00 2618.7 7 3 88.00 60.00 0.00 33.00 2651.7 7 4 84.00 52.00 0.00 27.00 2678.7 7 5 82.00 51.00 0.00 25.50 2704.2 7 6 84.00 55.00 0.00 28.50 2732.7 7 7 84.00 57.00 0.00 29.50 2762.2 7 8 82.00 60.00 0.00 30.00 2792.2 7 9 83.00 59.00 0.00 30.00 2822.2 7 10 76.00 59.00 0.00 26.50 2848.7 7 11 83.00 57.00 0.00 29.00 2877.7 7 12 85.00 59.00 0.00 31.00 2908.7 7 13 86.00 58.00 0.00 31.00 2939.7 7 14 94.00 53.00 0.00 32.50 2972.2 7 15 87.00 57.00 0.00 31.00 3003.2 7 16 87.00 59.00 0.00 32.00 3035.2 7 17 89.00 64.00 0.00 35.50 3070.7 7 18 82.00 63.00 0.00 31.50 3102.2 7 19 82.00 60.00 0.00 30.00 3132.2 7 20 90.00 53.00 0.00 30.50 3162.7 7 21 99.00 54.00 0.00 35.50 3198.2 7 22 86.00 68.00 0.00 36.00 3234.2 7 23 86.00 55.00 0.00 29.50 3263.7 7 24 94.00 54.00 0.00 33.00 3296.7 7 25 100.00 59.00 0.00 38.50 3335.2 7 26 99.00 73.00 0.00 45.00 3380.2 7 27 100.00 66.00 0.00 42.00 3422.2 7 28 102.00 64.00 0.00 42.00 3464.2 7 29 105.00 64.00 0.00 43.50 3507.7 7 30 101.00 66.00 0.00 42.50 3550.2 7 31 90.00 57.00 0.00 32.50 3582.7 8 1 92.00 59.00 0.00 34.50 3617.2 8 2 84.00 56.00 0.00 29.00 3646.2 8 3 87.00 57.00 0.00 31.00 3677.2 8 4 95.00 54.00 0.00 33.50 3710.7 8 5 98.00 55.00 0.00 35.50 3746.2 8 6 91.00 61.00 0.00 35.00 3781.2 8 7 86.00 54.00 0.00 29.00 3810.2 8 8 79.00 56.00 0.00 26.50 3836.7 8 9 81.00 56.00 0.00 27.50 3864.2 8 10 87.00 58.00 0.00 31.50 3895.7 8 11 92.00 56.00 0.00 33.00 3928.7 8 12 97.00 55.00 0.00 35.00 3963.7 8 13 100.00 57.00 0.00 37.50 4001.2 8 14 100.00 59.00 0.00 38.50 4039.7 8 15 99.00 59.00 0.00 38.00 4077.7 8 16 99.00 57.00 0.00 37.00 4114.7 8 17 99.00 64.00 0.00 40.50 4155.2 8 18 101.00 71.00 0.00 45.00 4200.2 8 19 92.00 62.00 0.00 36.00 4236.2 8 20 97.00 50.00 0.00 32.50 4268.7 8 21 101.00 55.00 0.00 37.00 4305.7 8 22 83.00 54.00 0.00 27.50 4333.2 8 23 86.00 51.00 0.00 27.50 4360.7 8 24 91.00 56.00 0.00 32.50 4393.2 8 25 92.00 54.00 0.00 32.00 4425.2 8 26 94.00 51.00 0.00 31.50 4456.7 8 27 94.00 60.00 0.00 36.00 4492.7 8 28 90.00 54.00 0.00 31.00 4523.7 8 29 95.00 55.00 0.00 34.00 4557.7 8 30 84.00 61.00 0.00 31.50 4589.2 8 31 88.00 51.00 0.00 28.50 4617.7 9 1 76.00 56.00 0.00 25.00 4642.7 9 2 78.00 55.00 0.00 25.50 4668.2 9 3 77.00 44.00 0.00 19.50 4687.7 9 4 80.00 41.00 0.00 19.50 4707.2 9 5 78.00 46.00 0.00 21.00 4728.2 9 6 71.00 56.00 0.00 22.50 4750.7 9 7 80.00 47.00 0.00 22.50 4773.2 9 8 83.00 55.00 0.00 28.00 4801.2 9 9 80.00 45.00 0.00 21.50 4822.7 9 10 92.00 42.00 0.00 26.00 4848.7 9 11 80.00 59.00 0.00 28.50 4877.2 9 12 76.00 52.00 0.00 23.00 4900.2 9 13 78.00 45.00 0.00 20.50 4920.7 9 14 83.00 34.00 0.00 18.64 4939.3 9 15 86.00 41.00 0.00 22.50 4961.8 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg HPROS 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2016 HPROS Prosser Barricade Hanf
DateDDsEvent
 4-24-16 867peak pheromone trap catch
 4-30-16 963peak female adult emergence
 5-2-16 1007peak egg laying
 5-13-16 1293peak egg hatch
 6-13-16 2074peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)