Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2015 FOGO Agrimet FOREST GROVE OR Lat45.5531 Long:-123.0833 Elev:180 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 41.20 22.40 0.00 0.01 0.0 * START * 1 2 39.80 24.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 41.30 33.70 0.00 0.03 0.0 1 4 50.10 38.20 0.24 3.74 3.8 1 5 52.90 43.70 0.00 7.30 11.1 1 6 46.80 40.70 0.01 2.78 13.9 1 7 52.80 31.40 0.01 3.97 17.8 1 8 51.00 31.50 0.01 3.23 21.1 1 9 49.70 33.20 0.00 2.85 23.9 1 10 43.90 35.00 0.00 0.73 24.6 1 11 46.20 41.80 0.02 3.00 27.6 1 12 48.80 41.70 0.04 4.25 31.9 1 13 51.60 33.50 0.00 3.70 35.6 1 14 48.90 30.90 0.00 2.34 37.9 1 15 40.80 28.20 0.78 0.00 37.9 1 16 49.90 37.90 0.11 3.59 41.5 1 17 56.60 36.70 1.66 6.52 48.0 1 18 56.30 45.50 0.29 9.90 57.9 1 19 46.30 38.20 0.05 1.98 59.9 1 20 52.70 34.00 0.01 4.25 64.2 1 21 50.20 30.80 0.00 2.84 67.0 1 22 49.70 39.20 0.00 3.77 70.8 1 23 47.80 42.10 0.05 3.95 74.7 1 24 57.70 45.70 0.00 10.70 85.4 1 25 53.70 42.40 0.02 7.05 92.5 1 26 44.00 40.00 0.01 1.22 93.7 1 27 47.40 40.50 0.02 3.01 96.7 1 28 55.00 45.10 0.04 9.05 105.7 1 29 57.20 39.10 0.01 7.41 113.2 1 30 56.20 31.20 0.00 5.42 118.6 1 31 50.60 29.60 0.01 2.90 121.5 2 1 45.00 37.50 0.23 1.32 122.8 2 2 58.20 40.70 0.56 8.47 131.3 2 3 50.80 40.60 0.11 4.73 136.0 2 4 53.30 44.50 0.17 7.90 143.9 2 5 57.40 45.20 0.98 10.30 154.2 2 6 56.30 51.10 1.48 12.70 166.9 2 7 59.90 50.10 1.25 14.00 180.9 2 8 55.50 45.30 0.25 9.40 190.3 2 9 53.50 46.70 0.39 9.10 199.4 2 10 53.40 46.00 0.00 8.70 208.1 2 11 54.10 38.00 0.00 5.61 213.7 2 12 48.00 42.80 0.01 4.40 218.1 2 13 54.40 37.30 0.00 5.60 223.7 2 14 60.30 43.00 0.00 10.65 234.4 2 15 62.70 40.50 0.01 10.63 245.0 2 16 60.60 40.40 0.00 9.54 254.5 2 17 63.60 37.00 0.00 9.97 264.5 2 18 55.20 33.80 0.00 5.34 269.8 2 19 59.40 43.30 0.00 10.35 280.2 2 20 58.50 38.70 0.00 7.94 288.1 2 21 57.90 39.70 0.00 7.95 296.1 2 22 55.50 34.10 0.00 5.52 301.6 2 23 58.30 29.90 0.00 6.18 307.8 2 24 59.20 28.00 0.00 6.33 314.1 2 25 52.30 43.30 0.01 6.80 320.9 2 26 54.90 44.80 0.01 8.85 329.8 2 27 55.80 45.10 0.10 9.45 339.2 2 28 56.00 37.10 0.00 6.32 345.5 3 1 56.70 29.00 0.00 5.37 350.9 3 2 53.90 40.00 0.04 6.06 357.0 3 3 54.90 32.10 0.00 4.97 361.9 3 4 58.60 28.00 0.00 6.08 368.0 3 5 59.20 30.80 0.00 6.70 374.7 3 6 64.60 33.20 0.00 9.59 384.3 3 7 69.00 32.70 0.00 11.58 395.9 3 8 69.60 36.10 0.00 12.66 408.5 3 9 68.20 34.80 0.00 11.66 420.2 3 10 62.20 35.00 0.00 8.82 429.0 3 11 58.20 48.80 0.10 12.50 441.5 3 12 66.70 49.00 0.00 16.85 458.4 3 13 66.00 45.00 0.00 14.50 472.9 3 14 56.90 51.00 1.24 12.95 485.8 3 15 60.40 45.70 1.41 12.05 497.9 3 16 60.70 35.60 0.01 8.24 506.1 3 17 56.10 39.20 0.07 6.90 513.0 3 18 61.50 44.20 0.01 11.85 524.9 3 19 64.30 37.40 0.00 10.42 535.3 3 20 60.10 42.20 0.10 10.15 545.4 3 21 60.70 44.30 0.03 11.50 556.9 3 22 56.90 42.30 0.10 8.60 565.5 3 23 56.50 43.60 0.98 9.05 574.6 3 24 55.40 40.60 0.18 7.03 581.6 3 25 60.30 48.80 0.16 13.55 595.1 3 26 71.30 42.30 0.01 15.80 610.9 3 27 68.00 43.10 0.00 14.55 625.5 3 28 61.50 45.40 0.01 12.45 637.9 3 29 68.20 42.50 0.00 14.35 652.3 3 30 66.60 41.40 0.00 13.00 665.3 3 31 53.60 41.40 0.16 6.50 671.8 4 1 51.80 38.10 0.09 4.53 676.3 4 2 55.40 36.20 0.00 5.85 682.2 4 3 52.30 34.60 0.16 4.15 686.3 4 4 55.10 35.10 0.00 5.50 691.8 4 5 57.40 31.50 0.05 5.99 697.8 4 6 55.80 38.00 0.07 6.43 704.3 4 7 59.80 44.30 0.05 11.05 715.3 4 8 58.50 40.60 0.28 8.58 723.9 4 9 64.80 33.20 0.01 9.69 733.6 4 10 59.50 35.50 0.02 7.64 741.2 4 11 55.10 41.70 0.12 7.40 748.6 4 12 58.10 35.10 0.01 6.90 755.5 4 13 52.20 39.90 0.26 5.19 760.7 4 14 55.00 37.90 0.13 6.02 766.7 4 15 58.10 31.20 0.00 6.26 773.0 4 16 71.40 39.70 0.00 14.66 787.7 4 17 73.00 41.10 0.00 16.05 803.7 4 18 76.60 44.60 0.00 19.60 823.3 4 19 76.50 46.40 0.00 20.45 843.8 4 20 79.00 45.20 0.00 21.10 864.9 peak pheromone trap catch 4 21 62.80 43.80 0.00 12.30 877.2 4 22 59.30 35.70 0.00 7.59 884.7 4 23 55.20 38.40 0.00 6.24 891.0 Vx 4 24 58.10 41.70 0.05 8.90 899.9 4 25 60.80 39.90 0.03 9.46 909.3 4 26 56.70 37.90 0.09 6.84 916.2 4 27 81.20 52.50 0.00 25.85 942.0 4 28 63.60 44.10 0.04 12.85 954.9 peak female adult emergence 4 29 64.60 37.60 0.02 10.62 965.5 4 30 69.20 38.20 0.00 13.06 978.6 5 1 72.10 50.70 0.00 20.40 999.0 5 2 70.10 43.50 0.00 15.80 1014.8 peak egg laying 5 3 76.40 39.90 0.00 17.23 1032.0 5 4 66.10 43.20 0.00 13.65 1045.6 5 5 63.00 44.50 0.00 12.75 1058.4 5 6 62.20 45.20 0.07 12.70 1071.1 5 7 70.20 40.80 0.00 14.51 1085.6 5 8 79.90 44.20 0.00 21.05 1106.7 5 9 83.50 44.80 0.00 23.15 1129.8 5 10 71.70 49.40 0.00 19.55 1149.4 5 11 60.70 49.80 0.12 14.25 1163.6 5 12 56.50 48.30 0.35 11.40 1175.0 5 13 59.90 46.60 0.01 12.25 1187.3 5 14 70.10 43.50 0.00 15.80 1203.1 5 15 62.60 48.50 0.00 14.55 1217.6 5 16 60.80 48.20 0.00 13.50 1231.1 5 17 70.50 51.50 0.00 20.00 1251.1 5 18 77.10 49.00 0.00 22.05 1273.2 peak egg hatch 5 19 65.10 51.00 0.00 17.05 1290.2 5 20 74.20 53.30 0.00 22.75 1313.0 5 21 74.90 54.80 0.23 23.85 1336.8 5 22 60.90 53.30 0.00 16.10 1352.9 5 23 63.90 53.30 0.01 17.60 1370.5 5 24 68.80 52.00 0.00 19.40 1389.9 5 25 67.70 49.70 0.00 17.70 1407.6 5 26 69.50 52.80 0.00 20.15 1427.8 5 27 80.00 49.90 0.00 23.95 1451.7 5 28 84.60 53.10 0.00 27.85 1479.6 5 29 83.20 55.10 0.00 28.15 1507.7 5 30 78.60 50.20 0.00 23.40 1531.1 5 31 84.00 54.20 0.00 28.10 1559.2 6 1 65.20 53.20 0.29 18.20 1577.4 6 2 62.60 53.30 0.11 16.95 1594.4 6 3 64.50 53.50 0.04 18.00 1612.4 6 4 72.50 48.40 0.00 19.45 1631.8 6 5 83.90 53.90 0.00 27.90 1659.7 6 6 87.40 59.30 0.00 32.35 1692.1 6 7 90.50 57.80 0.00 33.15 1725.2 6 8 91.50 60.80 0.00 35.15 1760.4 6 9 87.70 57.20 0.00 31.45 1791.8 6 10 78.50 46.30 0.00 21.40 1813.2 6 11 78.20 46.80 0.00 21.50 1834.7 6 12 70.40 50.90 0.00 19.65 1854.4 6 13 75.50 48.40 0.00 20.95 1875.3 6 14 85.80 45.70 0.00 24.75 1900.1 6 15 88.40 56.10 0.00 31.25 1931.3 6 16 76.20 49.00 0.00 21.60 1952.9 6 17 81.30 48.60 0.00 23.95 1976.9 6 18 80.60 56.70 0.00 27.65 2004.5 6 19 73.30 56.60 0.00 23.95 2028.5 6 20 79.90 50.00 0.00 23.95 2052.4 6 21 82.90 59.70 0.00 30.30 2082.7 peak in density large larvae 6 22 79.20 49.90 0.00 23.55 2106.3 6 23 83.60 50.90 0.00 26.25 2132.5 6 24 85.20 58.30 0.00 30.75 2163.3 6 25 90.60 57.00 0.00 32.80 2196.1 6 26 93.20 67.10 0.00 39.15 2235.2 6 27 94.10 67.90 0.00 40.00 2275.2 Vx 6 28 85.60 65.50 0.00 34.55 2309.8 6 29 89.80 61.80 0.00 34.80 2344.6 6 30 90.50 59.40 0.00 33.95 2378.5 7 1 94.20 59.10 0.00 35.65 2414.2 7 2 95.60 59.00 0.00 36.30 2450.5 7 3 95.40 59.40 0.00 36.40 2486.9 7 4 95.50 56.40 0.00 34.95 2521.8 7 5 95.00 61.50 0.00 37.25 2559.1 7 6 91.90 58.10 0.00 34.00 2593.1 7 7 90.00 57.30 0.00 32.65 2625.7 7 8 91.80 57.60 0.00 33.70 2659.4 7 9 88.70 59.20 0.00 32.95 2692.4 7 10 77.70 58.50 0.00 27.10 2719.5 7 11 71.00 60.70 0.00 24.85 2744.3 7 12 79.50 59.80 0.01 28.65 2773.0 7 13 80.30 60.90 0.00 29.60 2802.6 7 14 81.70 57.90 0.00 28.80 2831.4 7 15 80.10 55.30 0.00 26.70 2858.1 7 16 77.10 59.80 0.00 27.45 2885.5 Vn 7 17 85.90 52.90 0.00 28.40 2913.9 7 18 96.20 57.40 0.00 35.80 2949.7 7 19 94.80 61.40 0.00 37.10 2986.8 7 20 87.20 57.40 0.00 31.30 3018.1 7 21 75.60 56.70 0.00 25.15 3043.3 7 22 69.90 55.50 0.00 21.70 3065.0 7 23 80.80 55.30 0.00 27.05 3092.0 7 24 81.60 52.20 0.00 25.90 3117.9 7 25 68.80 57.40 0.26 22.10 3140.0 7 26 72.00 54.60 0.01 22.30 3162.3 7 27 75.20 47.90 0.00 20.55 3182.9 7 28 85.20 52.20 0.00 27.70 3210.6 7 29 97.40 60.30 0.00 37.85 3248.4 7 30 104.60 58.30 0.00 40.45 3288.9 7 31 100.20 59.60 0.00 38.90 3327.8 8 1 98.50 53.50 0.00 35.00 3362.8 8 2 80.90 59.80 0.00 29.35 3392.1 8 3 81.70 62.20 0.00 30.95 3423.1 8 4 81.00 55.60 0.00 27.30 3450.4 8 5 76.60 51.00 0.00 22.80 3473.2 8 6 78.90 50.80 0.00 23.85 3497.0 8 7 85.60 54.00 0.00 28.80 3525.8 8 8 79.70 54.80 0.00 26.25 3552.1 8 9 84.10 49.30 0.00 25.70 3577.8 8 10 83.80 60.80 0.00 31.30 3609.1 8 11 91.00 61.60 0.00 35.30 3644.4 8 12 89.20 62.20 0.00 34.70 3679.1 8 13 87.50 58.10 0.00 31.80 3710.9 8 14 72.50 59.30 0.11 24.90 3735.8 8 15 75.40 59.60 0.00 26.50 3762.3 8 16 83.00 52.50 0.00 26.75 3789.0 8 17 87.90 61.60 0.00 33.75 3822.8 8 18 97.30 65.80 0.00 40.55 3863.3 8 19 95.90 60.10 0.00 37.00 3900.3 8 20 80.30 56.50 0.00 27.40 3927.7 8 21 78.40 52.50 0.00 24.45 3952.2 8 22 83.60 51.70 0.00 26.65 3978.8 8 23 88.90 57.40 0.00 32.15 4011.0 8 24 83.20 56.50 0.00 28.85 4039.8 8 25 84.90 51.90 0.00 27.40 4067.2 8 26 88.10 50.10 0.00 28.10 4095.3 8 27 87.40 53.10 0.00 29.25 4124.6 8 28 78.00 59.70 0.02 27.85 4152.4 8 29 72.30 62.80 0.21 26.55 4179.0 8 30 72.00 58.00 0.67 24.00 4203.0 8 31 74.00 59.30 0.00 25.65 4228.6 9 1 73.00 56.60 0.07 23.80 4252.4 9 2 73.40 53.20 0.01 22.30 4274.7 9 3 64.20 43.50 0.04 12.85 4287.6 9 4 64.70 41.70 0.01 12.20 4299.8 9 5 67.60 44.30 0.02 14.95 4314.7 9 6 63.30 43.00 0.03 12.15 4326.9 9 7 74.50 51.60 0.00 22.05 4348.9 9 8 81.20 49.70 0.00 24.45 4373.4 9 9 83.20 57.90 0.00 29.55 4402.9 9 10 88.50 56.70 0.00 31.60 4434.5 9 11 96.40 54.80 0.00 34.60 4469.1 9 12 90.20 57.60 0.00 32.90 4502.0 9 13 72.80 51.40 0.00 21.10 4523.1 9 14 61.50 45.00 0.00 12.25 4535.4 9 15 62.30 41.10 0.00 10.70 4546.1 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg FOGO 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2015 FOGO FOREST GROVE OR
DD accumulation on 3-18-17: 410 QA 99% ok  - show details 
  
This year is about  versus  QA
 14 days behind 2016 ok
 12 days behind 2015 ok
 4 days ahead 30-yr normal ok
DD accumulation on 4-17-17: 1394 QA 100% ok  - show detailsDD accumulation on 4-18-17: 1717 QA 100% ok  - show details
DateDDsEvent
 4-20-15 865peak pheromone trap catch
 4-28-15 955peak female adult emergence
 5-2-15 1015peak egg laying
 5-18-15 1273peak egg hatch
 6-21-15 2083peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)