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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Knight 1988
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
Ending date: 9 15
Model validation status: partly validated
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch
2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence
3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying
4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch
5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2019 CYXX CANADA Abbotsford: B. C. BC Lat:49.0331 Long:-122.3667 Elev:177
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START *
1 2 39.20 33.80 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 3 53.60 35.60 0.00 4.90 4.9
1 4 51.80 44.60 0.00 7.20 12.1
1 5 48.20 41.00 0.00 3.60 15.7
1 6 46.40 35.60 0.00 1.72 17.4
1 7 42.80 30.20 0.00 0.29 17.7
1 8 39.20 32.00 0.00 0.00 17.7
1 9 48.20 37.40 0.00 2.72 20.4
1 10 53.60 42.80 0.00 7.20 27.6
1 11 51.80 41.00 0.00 5.40 33.0
1 12 53.60 35.60 0.00 4.90 37.9
1 13 51.80 32.00 0.00 3.61 41.5
1 14 51.80 32.00 0.00 3.61 45.1
1 15 46.40 32.00 0.00 1.46 46.6
1 16 46.40 32.00 0.00 1.46 48.1
1 17 46.40 37.40 0.00 1.91 50.0
1 18 50.00 42.80 0.00 5.40 55.4
1 19 50.00 37.40 0.00 3.54 58.9
1 20 46.40 32.00 0.00 1.46 60.4
1 21 41.00 28.40 0.00 0.00 60.4
1 22 39.20 37.40 0.00 0.00 60.4
1 23 46.40 37.40 0.00 1.91 62.3
1 24 44.60 39.20 0.00 1.36 63.7
1 25 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 65.9
1 26 48.20 35.60 0.00 2.48 68.3
1 27 44.60 30.20 0.00 0.78 69.1
1 28 50.00 35.60 0.00 3.26 72.4
1 29 48.20 32.00 0.00 2.14 74.5
1 30 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.84 75.4
1 31 48.20 39.20 0.00 3.05 78.4
2 1 42.80 41.00 0.00 0.90 79.3
2 2 44.60 37.40 0.00 1.15 80.5
2 3 35.60 15.80 0.00 0.00 80.5
2 4 24.80 15.80 0.00 0.00 80.5
2 5 32.00 17.60 0.00 0.00 80.5
2 6 33.80 21.20 0.00 0.00 80.5
2 7 35.60 19.40 0.00 0.00 80.5
2 8 35.60 21.20 0.00 0.00 80.5
2 9 28.40 24.80 0.00 0.00 80.5
2 10 26.60 17.60 0.00 0.00 80.5
2 11 28.40 19.40 0.00 0.00 80.5
2 12 26.60 23.00 0.00 0.00 80.5
2 13 32.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 80.5
2 14 37.40 26.60 0.00 0.00 80.5
2 15 35.60 32.00 0.00 0.00 80.5
2 16 42.80 32.00 0.00 0.32 80.8
2 17 44.60 28.40 0.00 0.74 81.5
2 18 35.60 30.20 0.00 0.00 81.5
2 19 35.60 28.40 0.00 0.00 81.5
2 20 41.00 30.20 0.00 0.00 81.5
2 21 41.00 28.40 0.00 0.00 81.5
2 22 39.20 30.20 0.00 0.00 81.5
2 23 41.00 33.80 0.00 0.00 81.5
2 24 42.80 32.00 0.00 0.32 81.8
2 25 35.60 30.20 0.00 0.00 81.8
2 26 37.40 26.60 0.00 0.00 81.8
2 27 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 81.8
2 28 44.60 28.40 0.00 0.74 82.6
3 1 46.40 28.40 0.00 1.30 83.9
3 2 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.84 84.7
3 3 42.80 30.20 0.00 0.29 85.0
3 4 42.80 28.40 0.00 0.27 85.3
3 5 42.80 30.20 0.00 0.29 85.6
3 6 39.20 26.60 0.00 0.00 85.6
3 7 41.00 24.80 0.00 0.00 85.6
3 8 42.80 32.00 0.00 0.32 85.9
3 9 46.40 28.40 0.00 1.30 87.2
3 10 48.20 26.60 0.00 1.83 89.0
3 11 46.40 32.00 0.00 1.46 90.5
3 12 42.80 32.00 0.00 0.32 90.8
3 13 48.20 35.60 0.00 2.48 93.3
3 14 51.80 37.40 0.00 4.38 97.7
3 15 57.20 39.20 0.00 7.44 105.1
3 16 60.80 39.20 0.00 9.22 114.3
3 17 64.40 37.40 0.00 10.47 124.8
3 18 73.40 42.80 0.00 17.10 141.9
3 19 75.20 41.00 0.00 17.10 159.0
3 20 77.00 44.60 0.00 19.80 178.8
3 21 60.80 41.00 0.00 9.90 188.7
3 22 62.60 41.00 0.00 10.80 199.5
3 23 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 210.3
3 24 55.40 41.00 0.00 7.20 217.5
3 25 62.60 41.00 0.00 10.80 228.3
3 26 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 236.4
3 27 64.40 39.20 0.00 11.01 247.4
3 28 62.60 44.60 0.00 12.60 260.0
3 29 62.60 42.80 0.00 11.70 271.7
3 30 62.60 42.80 0.00 11.70 283.4
3 31 64.40 41.00 0.00 11.70 295.1
4 1 71.60 42.80 0.00 16.20 311.3
4 2 69.80 48.20 0.00 18.00 329.3
4 3 55.40 48.20 0.00 10.80 340.1
4 4 62.60 46.40 0.00 13.50 353.6
4 5 57.20 46.40 0.00 10.80 364.4
4 6 53.60 42.80 0.00 7.20 371.6
4 7 57.20 42.80 0.00 9.00 380.6
4 8 57.20 41.00 0.00 8.10 388.7
4 9 57.20 44.60 0.00 9.90 398.6
4 10 51.80 41.00 0.00 5.40 404.0
4 11 48.20 41.00 0.00 3.60 407.6
4 12 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 415.7
4 13 51.80 44.60 0.00 7.20 422.9
4 14 50.00 41.00 0.00 4.50 427.4
4 15 57.20 39.20 0.00 7.44 434.8
4 16 55.40 37.40 0.00 6.10 440.9
4 17 60.80 46.40 0.00 12.60 453.5
4 18 51.80 50.00 0.00 9.90 463.4
4 19 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 474.2
4 20 64.40 41.00 0.00 11.70 485.9
4 21 57.20 37.40 0.00 6.96 492.9
4 22 51.80 48.20 0.00 9.00 501.9
4 23 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 512.7
4 24 59.00 41.00 0.00 9.00 521.7
4 25 60.80 39.20 0.00 9.22 530.9
4 26 59.00 42.80 0.00 9.90 540.8
4 27 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 547.1
4 28 62.60 35.60 0.00 9.15 556.3
4 29 62.60 39.20 0.00 10.11 566.4
4 30 64.40 37.40 0.00 10.47 576.8
5 1 60.80 46.40 0.00 12.60 589.4
5 2 59.00 48.20 0.00 12.60 602.0
5 3 59.00 46.40 0.00 11.70 613.7
5 4 62.60 42.80 0.00 11.70 625.4
5 5 66.20 50.00 0.00 17.10 642.5
5 6 69.80 46.40 0.00 17.10 659.6
5 7 71.60 46.40 0.00 18.00 677.6
5 8 75.20 50.00 0.00 21.60 699.2
5 9 80.60 51.80 0.00 25.20 724.4
5 10 82.40 53.60 0.00 27.00 751.4
5 11 80.60 53.60 0.00 26.10 777.5
5 12 60.80 50.00 0.00 14.40 791.9
5 13 62.60 46.40 0.00 13.50 805.4
5 14 60.80 50.00 0.00 14.40 819.8
5 15 75.20 50.00 0.00 21.60 841.4
5 16 69.80 53.60 0.00 20.70 862.1 Peak pheromone trap catch
5 17 60.80 51.80 0.00 15.30 877.4
5 18 71.60 48.20 0.00 18.90 896.3
5 19 71.60 48.20 0.00 18.90 915.2
5 20 55.40 51.80 0.00 12.60 927.8
5 21 66.20 48.20 0.00 16.20 944.0
5 22 73.40 48.20 0.00 19.80 963.8 Peak female adult emergence
5 23 73.40 55.40 0.00 23.40 987.2
5 24 59.00 53.60 0.00 15.30 1002.5 Peak egg laying
5 25 55.40 51.80 0.00 12.60 1015.1
5 26 73.40 46.40 0.00 18.90 1034.0
5 27 75.20 51.80 0.00 22.50 1056.5
5 28 64.40 53.60 0.00 18.00 1074.5
5 29 68.00 50.00 0.00 18.00 1092.5
5 30 73.40 51.80 0.00 21.60 1114.1
5 31 73.40 50.00 0.00 20.70 1134.8
6 1 73.40 51.80 0.00 21.60 1156.4
6 2 73.40 51.80 0.00 21.60 1178.0
6 3 66.20 51.80 0.00 18.00 1196.0
6 4 68.00 46.40 0.00 16.20 1212.2
6 5 62.60 51.80 0.00 16.20 1228.4
6 6 64.40 44.60 0.00 13.50 1241.9
6 7 60.80 48.20 0.00 13.50 1255.4
6 8 64.40 51.80 0.00 17.10 1272.5 Peak egg hatch
6 9 68.00 48.20 0.00 17.10 1289.6
6 10 73.40 51.80 0.00 21.60 1311.2
6 11 82.40 53.60 0.00 27.00 1338.2
6 12 89.60 60.80 0.00 34.20 1372.4
6 13 77.00 57.20 0.00 26.10 1398.5
6 14 69.80 53.60 0.00 20.70 1419.2
6 15 73.40 57.20 0.00 24.30 1443.5
6 16 75.20 51.80 0.00 22.50 1466.0
6 17 73.40 53.60 0.00 22.50 1488.5
6 18 71.60 57.20 0.00 23.40 1511.9
6 19 64.40 53.60 0.00 18.00 1529.9
6 20 64.40 50.00 0.00 16.20 1546.1
6 21 71.60 53.60 0.00 21.60 1567.7
6 22 64.40 55.40 0.00 18.90 1586.6
6 23 66.20 51.80 0.00 18.00 1604.6
6 24 68.00 51.80 0.00 18.90 1623.5
6 25 73.40 48.20 0.00 19.80 1643.3
6 26 77.00 53.60 0.00 24.30 1667.6
6 27 68.00 55.40 0.00 20.70 1688.3
6 28 66.20 55.40 0.00 19.80 1708.1
6 29 73.40 55.40 0.00 23.40 1731.5
6 30 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 1756.7
7 1 77.00 53.60 0.00 24.30 1781.0
7 2 66.20 55.40 0.00 19.80 1800.8
7 3 66.20 57.20 0.00 20.70 1821.5
7 4 68.00 57.20 0.00 21.60 1843.1
7 5 62.60 57.20 0.00 18.90 1862.0
7 6 69.80 57.20 0.00 22.50 1884.5
7 7 62.60 57.20 0.00 18.90 1903.4
7 8 71.60 53.60 0.00 21.60 1925.0
7 9 78.80 55.40 0.00 26.10 1951.1
7 10 71.60 60.80 0.00 25.20 1976.3
7 11 73.40 60.80 0.00 26.10 2002.4
7 12 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 2027.6
7 13 75.20 59.00 0.00 26.10 2053.7
7 14 75.20 59.00 0.00 26.10 2079.8 Peak in density large larvae
7 15 75.20 59.00 0.00 26.10 2105.9
7 16 77.00 57.20 0.00 26.10 2132.0
7 17 66.20 57.20 0.00 20.70 2152.7
7 18 69.80 55.40 0.00 21.60 2174.3
7 19 69.80 53.60 0.00 20.70 2195.0
7 20 78.80 50.00 0.00 23.40 2218.4
7 21 87.80 53.60 0.00 29.70 2248.1
7 22 77.00 57.20 0.00 26.10 2274.2
7 23 73.40 57.20 0.00 24.30 2298.5
7 24 73.40 59.00 0.00 25.20 2323.7
7 25 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 2351.6
7 26 84.20 55.40 0.00 28.80 2380.4
7 27 73.40 60.80 0.00 26.10 2406.5
7 28 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 2429.9
7 29 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 2455.1
7 30 73.40 57.20 0.00 24.30 2479.4
7 31 78.80 60.80 0.00 28.80 2508.2
8 1 78.80 57.20 0.00 27.00 2535.2
8 2 75.20 62.60 0.00 27.90 2563.1
8 3 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 2588.3
8 4 87.80 53.60 0.00 29.70 2618.0
8 5 86.00 59.00 0.00 31.50 2649.5
8 6 84.20 55.40 0.00 28.80 2678.3
8 7 78.80 55.40 0.00 26.10 2704.4
8 8 73.40 57.20 0.00 24.30 2728.7
8 9 75.20 60.80 0.00 27.00 2755.7
8 10 71.60 60.80 0.00 25.20 2780.9
8 11 69.80 59.00 0.00 23.40 2804.3
8 12 77.00 60.80 0.00 27.90 2832.2
8 13 82.40 57.20 0.00 28.80 2861.0
8 14 82.40 57.20 0.00 28.80 2889.8
8 15 78.80 57.20 0.00 27.00 2916.8
8 16 69.80 57.20 0.00 22.50 2939.3
8 17 71.60 60.80 0.00 25.20 2964.5
8 18 71.60 57.20 0.00 23.40 2987.9
8 19 73.40 55.40 0.00 23.40 3011.3
8 20 78.80 51.80 0.00 24.30 3035.6
8 21 64.40 60.80 0.00 21.60 3057.2
8 22 71.60 55.40 0.00 22.50 3079.7
8 23 68.00 53.60 0.00 19.80 3099.5
8 24 68.00 53.60 0.00 19.80 3119.3
8 25 71.60 57.20 0.00 23.40 3142.7
8 26 77.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 3165.2
8 27 84.20 53.60 0.00 27.90 3193.1
8 28 84.20 57.20 0.00 29.70 3222.8
8 29 80.60 57.20 0.00 27.90 3250.7
8 30 71.60 62.60 0.00 26.10 3276.8
8 31 77.00 60.80 0.00 27.90 3304.7
9 1 77.00 57.20 0.00 26.10 3330.8
9 2 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 3356.0
9 3 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 3381.2
9 4 75.20 55.40 0.00 24.30 3405.5
9 5 84.20 51.80 0.00 27.00 3432.5
9 6 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 3460.4
9 7 73.40 55.40 0.00 23.40 3483.8
9 8 66.20 59.00 0.00 21.60 3505.4
9 9 68.00 59.00 0.00 22.50 3527.9
9 10 68.00 57.20 0.00 21.60 3549.5
9 11 68.00 55.40 0.00 20.70 3570.2
9 12 71.60 57.20 0.00 23.40 3593.6
9 13 68.00 57.20 0.00 21.60 3615.2
9 14 66.20 57.20 0.00 20.70 3635.9
9 15 60.80 53.60 0.00 16.20 3652.1
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 CYXX PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988Location: 2019 CYXX Abbotsford: B. C. Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME | Date | DDs | Event |
| 5-16-19 | 862 | Peak pheromone trap catch |
| 5-22-19 | 964 | Peak female adult emergence |
| 5-24-19 | 1003 | Peak egg laying |
| 6-8-19 | 1273 | Peak egg hatch |
| 7-14-19 | 2080 | Peak in density large larvae |
![degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988](/cgi-bin/ddplotj.pl?2365126)
