Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2015 CYXX CANADA Abbotsford: B. C. BC Lat:49.0331 Long:-122.3667 Elev:177 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 39.20 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 35.60 30.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 35.60 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 4 35.60 28.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 35.60 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 6 42.80 35.60 0.00 0.39 0.4 1 7 46.40 30.20 0.00 1.37 1.8 1 8 53.60 28.40 0.00 4.01 5.8 1 9 46.40 35.60 0.00 1.72 7.5 1 10 41.00 37.40 0.00 0.00 7.5 1 11 42.80 39.20 0.00 0.57 8.1 1 12 46.40 35.60 0.00 1.72 9.8 1 13 44.60 28.40 0.00 0.74 10.5 1 14 48.20 32.00 0.00 2.14 12.7 1 15 41.00 28.40 0.00 0.00 12.7 1 16 51.80 39.20 0.00 4.79 17.5 1 17 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 18.4 1 18 51.80 42.80 0.00 6.30 24.7 1 19 50.00 37.40 0.00 3.54 28.2 1 20 48.20 35.60 0.00 2.48 30.7 1 21 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.84 31.5 1 22 44.60 39.20 0.00 1.36 32.9 1 23 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 41.0 1 24 55.40 51.80 0.00 12.60 53.6 1 25 59.00 46.40 0.00 11.70 65.3 1 26 57.20 39.20 0.00 7.44 72.7 1 27 51.80 37.40 0.00 4.38 77.1 1 28 53.60 39.20 0.00 5.67 82.8 1 29 51.80 35.60 0.00 4.07 86.9 1 30 51.80 32.00 0.00 3.61 90.5 1 31 46.40 30.20 0.00 1.37 91.9 2 1 46.40 41.00 0.00 2.70 94.6 2 2 46.40 41.00 0.00 2.70 97.3 2 3 48.20 42.80 0.00 4.50 101.8 2 4 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 103.9 2 5 48.20 42.80 0.00 4.50 108.4 2 6 59.00 48.20 0.00 12.60 121.0 2 7 57.20 48.20 0.00 11.70 132.7 2 8 57.20 48.20 0.00 11.70 144.4 2 9 53.60 46.40 0.00 9.00 153.4 2 10 53.60 48.20 0.00 9.90 163.3 2 11 55.40 44.60 0.00 9.00 172.3 2 12 51.80 46.40 0.00 8.10 180.4 2 13 59.00 48.20 0.00 12.60 193.0 2 14 51.80 39.20 0.00 4.79 197.8 2 15 55.40 33.80 0.00 5.43 203.3 2 16 57.20 39.20 0.00 7.44 210.7 2 17 59.00 41.00 0.00 9.00 219.7 2 18 53.60 37.40 0.00 5.24 225.0 2 19 50.00 42.80 0.00 5.40 230.4 2 20 51.80 41.00 0.00 5.40 235.8 2 21 57.20 33.80 0.00 6.25 242.0 2 22 50.00 35.60 0.00 3.26 245.3 2 23 55.40 30.20 0.00 4.95 250.2 2 24 51.80 32.00 0.00 3.61 253.8 2 25 46.40 37.40 0.00 1.91 255.7 2 26 48.20 42.80 0.00 4.50 260.2 2 27 53.60 42.80 0.00 7.20 267.4 2 28 55.40 39.20 0.00 6.56 274.0 3 1 48.20 30.20 0.00 2.02 276.0 3 2 55.40 30.20 0.00 4.95 281.0 3 3 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 283.8 3 4 51.80 26.60 0.00 3.15 287.0 3 5 53.60 32.00 0.00 4.39 291.4 3 6 59.00 35.60 0.00 7.43 298.8 3 7 59.00 33.80 0.00 7.08 305.9 3 8 60.80 33.80 0.00 7.92 313.8 3 9 59.00 32.00 0.00 6.79 320.6 3 10 62.60 32.00 0.00 8.44 329.0 3 11 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 339.8 3 12 64.40 50.00 0.00 16.20 356.0 3 13 64.40 46.40 0.00 14.40 370.4 3 14 59.00 46.40 0.00 11.70 382.1 3 15 46.40 42.80 0.00 3.60 385.7 3 16 57.20 37.40 0.00 6.96 392.7 3 17 57.20 39.20 0.00 7.44 400.2 3 18 59.00 41.00 0.00 9.00 409.2 3 19 51.80 46.40 0.00 8.10 417.3 3 20 51.80 46.40 0.00 8.10 425.4 3 21 53.60 46.40 0.00 9.00 434.4 3 22 51.80 39.20 0.00 4.79 439.1 3 23 51.80 41.00 0.00 5.40 444.5 3 24 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 450.8 3 25 54.70 44.60 0.00 8.65 459.5 Hx 3 26 64.40 48.20 0.00 15.30 474.8 3 27 62.60 46.40 0.00 13.50 488.3 3 28 59.00 48.20 0.00 12.60 500.9 3 29 50.00 46.40 0.00 7.20 508.1 3 30 64.40 46.40 0.00 14.40 522.5 3 31 57.20 44.60 0.00 9.90 532.4 4 1 55.40 41.00 0.00 7.20 539.6 4 2 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 545.9 4 3 51.80 39.20 0.00 4.79 550.7 4 4 53.60 37.40 0.00 5.24 555.9 4 5 57.20 35.60 0.00 6.58 562.5 4 6 55.40 37.40 0.00 6.10 568.6 4 7 59.00 39.20 0.00 8.33 576.9 4 8 60.80 39.20 0.00 9.22 586.2 4 9 62.60 37.40 0.00 9.59 595.7 4 10 57.20 41.00 0.00 8.10 603.8 4 11 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 610.1 4 12 51.80 37.40 0.00 4.38 614.5 4 13 46.40 41.00 0.00 2.70 617.2 4 14 55.40 39.20 0.00 6.56 623.8 4 15 55.40 35.60 0.00 5.73 629.5 4 16 64.40 39.20 0.00 11.01 640.5 4 17 64.40 41.00 0.00 11.70 652.2 4 18 64.40 39.20 0.00 11.01 663.2 4 19 68.00 41.00 0.00 13.50 676.7 4 20 71.60 42.80 0.00 16.20 692.9 4 21 62.60 44.60 0.00 12.60 705.5 4 22 57.20 42.80 0.00 9.00 714.5 4 23 48.20 42.80 0.00 4.50 719.0 4 24 50.00 39.20 0.00 3.92 722.9 4 25 55.40 41.00 0.00 7.20 730.1 4 26 59.00 37.40 0.00 7.83 738.0 4 27 68.00 48.20 0.00 17.10 755.1 4 28 59.00 48.20 0.00 12.60 767.7 4 29 59.00 42.80 0.00 9.90 777.6 4 30 60.80 46.40 0.00 12.60 790.2 5 1 62.60 46.40 0.00 13.50 803.7 5 2 60.80 44.60 0.00 11.70 815.4 5 3 68.00 39.20 0.00 12.79 828.2 5 4 62.60 41.00 0.00 10.80 839.0 5 5 53.60 42.80 0.00 7.20 846.2 5 6 62.60 41.00 0.00 10.80 857.0 peak pheromone trap catch 5 7 68.00 42.80 0.00 14.40 871.4 5 8 77.00 46.40 0.00 20.70 892.1 5 9 75.20 48.20 0.00 20.70 912.8 5 10 69.80 48.20 0.00 18.00 930.8 5 11 62.60 51.80 0.00 16.20 947.0 5 12 66.20 46.40 0.00 15.30 962.3 peak female adult emergence 5 13 57.20 51.80 0.00 13.50 975.8 5 14 64.40 50.00 0.00 16.20 992.0 5 15 66.20 48.20 0.00 16.20 1008.2 peak egg laying 5 16 64.40 53.60 0.00 18.00 1026.2 5 17 69.80 53.60 0.00 20.70 1046.9 5 18 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 1070.3 5 19 71.60 51.80 0.00 20.70 1091.0 5 20 75.20 51.80 0.00 22.50 1113.5 5 21 78.80 51.80 0.00 24.30 1137.8 5 22 64.40 55.40 0.00 18.90 1156.7 5 23 60.80 55.40 0.00 17.10 1173.8 5 24 64.40 53.60 0.00 18.00 1191.8 5 25 60.80 51.80 0.00 15.30 1207.1 5 26 68.00 55.40 0.00 20.70 1227.8 5 27 73.40 57.20 0.00 24.30 1252.1 5 28 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 1277.3 peak egg hatch 5 29 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 1302.5 5 30 71.60 55.40 0.00 22.50 1325.0 5 31 75.20 48.20 0.00 20.70 1345.7 6 1 66.20 53.60 0.00 18.90 1364.6 6 2 62.60 53.60 0.00 17.10 1381.7 6 3 64.40 53.60 0.00 18.00 1399.7 6 4 71.60 53.60 0.00 21.60 1421.3 6 5 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 1444.7 6 6 80.60 53.60 0.00 26.10 1470.8 6 7 84.20 55.40 0.00 28.80 1499.6 6 8 82.40 57.20 0.00 28.80 1528.4 6 9 77.00 53.60 0.00 24.30 1552.7 6 10 75.20 51.80 0.00 22.50 1575.2 6 11 71.60 51.80 0.00 20.70 1595.9 6 12 68.00 51.80 0.00 18.90 1614.8 6 13 73.40 46.40 0.00 18.90 1633.7 6 14 84.20 50.00 0.00 26.10 1659.8 6 15 86.00 53.60 0.00 28.80 1688.6 6 16 71.60 53.60 0.00 21.60 1710.2 6 17 75.20 51.80 0.00 22.50 1732.7 6 18 73.40 55.40 0.00 23.40 1756.1 6 19 69.80 55.40 0.00 21.60 1777.7 6 20 73.40 50.00 0.00 20.70 1798.4 6 21 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 1823.6 6 22 73.40 55.40 0.00 23.40 1847.0 6 23 77.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 1869.5 6 24 75.20 55.40 0.00 24.30 1893.8 6 25 84.20 57.20 0.00 29.70 1923.5 6 26 87.80 60.80 0.00 33.30 1956.8 6 27 89.60 59.00 0.00 33.30 1990.1 6 28 87.80 64.40 0.00 35.10 2025.2 6 29 87.80 64.40 0.00 35.10 2060.3 6 30 84.20 59.00 0.00 30.60 2090.9 peak in density large larvae 7 1 89.60 60.80 0.00 34.20 2125.1 7 2 87.80 62.60 0.00 34.20 2159.3 7 3 86.00 62.60 0.00 33.30 2192.6 7 4 86.00 60.80 0.00 32.40 2225.0 7 5 96.80 64.40 0.00 39.60 2264.6 7 6 80.60 59.00 0.00 28.80 2293.4 7 7 78.80 59.00 0.00 27.90 2321.3 7 8 84.20 57.20 0.00 29.70 2351.0 7 9 84.20 59.00 0.00 30.60 2381.6 7 10 69.80 60.80 0.00 24.30 2405.9 7 11 66.20 62.60 0.00 23.40 2429.3 7 12 75.20 60.80 0.00 27.00 2456.3 7 13 75.20 59.00 0.00 26.10 2482.4 7 14 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 2507.6 7 15 75.20 55.40 0.00 24.30 2531.9 7 16 75.20 55.40 0.00 24.30 2556.2 7 17 82.40 39.20 0.00 19.96 2576.1 7 18 91.40 57.20 0.00 33.30 2609.4 7 19 91.40 62.60 0.00 36.00 2645.4 7 20 77.00 62.60 0.00 28.80 2674.2 7 21 73.40 57.20 0.00 24.30 2698.5 7 22 73.40 53.60 0.00 22.50 2721.0 7 23 75.20 57.20 0.00 25.20 2746.2 7 24 62.60 59.00 0.00 19.80 2766.0 7 25 69.80 57.20 0.00 22.50 2788.5 7 26 66.20 57.20 0.00 20.70 2809.2 7 27 73.40 57.20 0.00 24.30 2833.5 7 28 78.80 55.40 0.00 26.10 2859.6 7 29 86.00 55.40 0.00 29.70 2889.3 7 30 91.40 57.20 0.00 33.30 2922.6 7 31 89.60 57.20 0.00 32.40 2955.0 8 1 87.80 57.20 0.00 31.50 2986.5 8 2 86.00 59.00 0.00 31.50 3018.0 8 3 80.60 57.20 0.00 27.90 3045.9 8 4 77.00 57.20 0.00 26.10 3072.0 8 5 62.60 55.40 0.00 18.00 3090.0 8 6 71.60 57.20 0.00 23.40 3113.4 8 7 80.60 53.60 0.00 26.10 3139.5 8 8 75.20 57.20 0.00 25.20 3164.7 8 9 80.60 60.80 0.00 29.70 3194.4 8 10 84.20 57.20 0.00 29.70 3224.1 8 11 89.60 57.20 0.00 32.40 3256.5 8 12 86.00 60.80 0.00 32.40 3288.9 8 13 84.20 60.80 0.00 31.50 3320.4 8 14 66.20 57.20 0.00 20.70 3341.1 8 15 71.60 59.00 0.00 24.30 3365.4 8 16 75.20 59.00 0.00 26.10 3391.5 8 17 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 3416.7 8 18 89.60 55.40 0.00 31.50 3448.2 8 19 84.20 59.00 0.00 30.60 3478.8 8 20 69.80 57.20 0.00 22.50 3501.3 8 21 69.80 57.20 0.00 22.50 3523.8 8 22 82.40 53.60 0.00 27.00 3550.8 8 23 84.20 53.60 0.00 27.90 3578.7 8 24 73.40 51.80 0.00 21.60 3600.3 8 25 77.00 48.20 0.00 21.60 3621.9 8 26 80.60 50.00 0.00 24.30 3646.2 8 27 82.40 53.60 0.00 27.00 3673.2 8 28 69.80 59.00 0.00 23.40 3696.6 8 29 73.40 60.80 0.00 26.10 3722.7 8 30 69.80 55.40 0.00 21.60 3744.3 8 31 60.80 57.20 0.00 18.00 3762.3 9 1 60.80 55.40 0.00 17.10 3779.4 9 2 62.60 50.00 0.00 15.30 3794.7 9 3 59.00 48.20 0.00 12.60 3807.3 9 4 68.00 46.40 0.00 16.20 3823.5 9 5 68.00 44.60 0.00 15.30 3838.8 9 6 62.60 50.00 0.00 15.30 3854.1 9 7 69.80 51.80 0.00 19.80 3873.9 9 8 66.20 55.40 0.00 19.80 3893.7 9 9 75.20 53.60 0.00 23.40 3917.1 9 10 77.00 53.60 0.00 24.30 3941.4 9 11 82.40 53.60 0.00 27.00 3968.4 9 12 75.20 53.60 0.00 23.40 3991.8 9 13 68.00 53.60 0.00 19.80 4011.6 9 14 60.80 48.20 0.00 13.50 4025.1 9 15 62.60 50.00 0.00 15.30 4040.4 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg CYXX 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2015 CYXX Abbotsford: B. C.
DateDDsEvent
 5-6-15 857peak pheromone trap catch
 5-12-15 962peak female adult emergence
 5-15-15 1008peak egg laying
 5-28-15 1277peak egg hatch
 6-30-15 2091peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)