Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight 1988


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 1988 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2021 CWZA CANADA Agassiz Auto RePting S BC Lat:49.2500 Long:-121.7667 Elev:49 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 48.60 38.30 0.91 3.05 3.1 * START * 1 2 48.90 43.20 1.13 5.05 8.1 1 3 46.00 36.50 0.10 1.64 9.7 1 4 43.70 39.90 0.84 1.06 10.8 1 5 43.20 34.90 0.52 0.49 11.3 1 6 46.90 37.40 0.65 2.13 13.4 1 7 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 14.3 1 8 44.20 36.10 0.06 0.89 15.2 1 9 44.10 33.80 0.00 0.75 16.0 1 10 44.80 36.50 0.08 1.15 17.1 1 11 47.10 40.10 0.62 2.74 19.9 1 12 47.30 43.00 1.42 4.15 24.0 1 13 51.10 33.10 0.69 3.44 27.5 1 14 47.50 34.50 0.00 2.07 29.5 1 15 50.50 34.30 0.15 3.32 32.8 1 16 44.80 35.80 0.03 1.10 33.9 1 17 45.70 40.50 0.25 2.17 36.1 1 18 47.50 37.80 0.01 2.46 38.6 1 19 44.10 34.50 0.00 0.77 39.3 1 20 45.90 37.20 0.00 1.67 41.0 1 21 48.40 40.10 0.00 3.38 44.4 1 22 43.20 35.40 0.00 0.51 44.9 1 23 38.80 27.90 0.00 0.00 44.9 1 24 37.20 29.80 0.00 0.00 44.9 1 25 37.80 31.30 0.22 0.00 44.9 1 26 41.50 30.40 0.00 0.05 44.9 1 27 39.60 36.90 0.00 0.00 44.9 1 28 41.20 36.50 0.00 0.02 45.0 1 29 43.20 35.60 0.00 0.52 45.5 1 30 40.60 35.20 0.23 0.00 45.5 1 31 43.20 39.70 1.12 0.80 46.3 2 1 42.40 36.50 0.88 0.30 46.6 2 2 42.10 34.30 0.61 0.18 46.8 2 3 46.90 31.30 0.00 1.61 48.4 2 4 41.20 38.30 0.64 0.02 48.4 2 5 45.90 40.50 0.21 2.27 50.7 2 6 48.20 40.30 0.34 3.34 54.0 2 7 42.60 31.30 0.46 0.26 54.3 2 8 34.50 28.00 0.03 0.00 54.3 2 9 29.30 20.70 0.00 0.00 54.3 2 10 23.90 21.00 0.00 0.00 54.3 2 11 21.60 14.70 0.00 0.00 54.3 2 12 27.10 16.00 0.00 0.00 54.3 2 13 34.00 26.60 0.00 0.00 54.3 2 14 37.00 27.90 0.00 0.00 54.3 2 15 37.00 31.30 0.04 0.00 54.3 2 16 39.40 31.30 0.30 0.00 54.3 2 17 47.10 32.90 0.00 1.78 56.0 2 18 39.20 31.60 0.29 0.00 56.0 2 19 46.20 31.30 0.21 1.36 57.4 2 20 45.70 35.40 0.22 1.42 58.8 2 21 52.70 36.50 0.64 4.64 63.4 2 22 51.60 43.70 0.34 6.65 70.1 2 23 43.70 37.60 0.12 0.80 70.9 2 24 43.50 30.90 0.02 0.48 71.4 2 25 45.00 31.30 0.62 0.95 72.3 2 26 46.80 36.00 0.07 1.92 74.3 2 27 44.80 31.30 0.06 0.88 75.1 2 28 43.70 34.70 0.05 0.65 75.8 3 1 49.10 36.00 0.00 2.92 78.7 3 2 46.60 38.70 0.03 2.19 80.9 3 3 47.00 38.10 0.00 2.28 83.2 3 4 47.00 38.00 0.00 2.26 85.4 Mx Mn 3 5 48.70 38.00 0.04 3.04 88.5 Mn 3 6 51.30 38.10 0.00 4.29 92.8 3 7 48.40 35.20 0.00 2.52 95.3 3 8 52.90 31.30 0.00 4.01 99.3 3 9 52.50 36.50 0.00 4.54 103.8 3 10 48.90 32.90 0.00 2.50 106.3 3 11 53.10 32.90 0.01 4.28 110.6 3 12 55.20 32.90 0.00 5.21 115.8 3 13 59.20 38.80 0.00 8.31 124.1 3 14 48.00 38.80 0.18 2.87 127.0 3 15 47.80 33.80 0.00 2.13 129.1 3 16 51.30 28.60 0.00 3.10 132.2 3 17 57.20 36.90 0.00 6.85 139.1 3 18 54.30 43.70 0.23 8.00 147.1 3 19 53.40 38.70 0.02 5.44 152.5 3 20 48.20 42.10 0.15 4.15 156.7 3 21 43.00 39.20 0.51 0.66 157.3 3 22 49.10 36.50 0.25 2.99 160.3 3 23 51.30 37.00 0.01 4.08 164.4 3 24 46.60 39.00 0.65 2.25 166.6 3 25 55.00 40.60 0.00 6.83 173.5 3 26 48.90 41.00 0.00 3.95 177.4 3 27 49.50 44.20 0.11 5.85 183.3 3 28 46.90 34.50 1.47 1.83 185.1 3 29 49.30 29.10 0.01 2.37 187.5 3 30 49.30 30.70 0.00 2.48 189.9 3 31 58.10 31.60 0.00 6.32 196.3 4 1 54.30 38.30 0.00 5.78 202.0 4 2 48.70 41.50 0.00 4.10 206.1 4 3 51.10 42.30 0.29 5.70 211.8 4 4 52.20 35.60 0.01 4.25 216.1 4 5 55.40 34.00 0.00 5.46 221.6 4 6 57.20 31.50 0.00 5.90 227.5 4 7 46.00 40.80 0.46 2.42 229.9 4 8 50.00 38.30 0.08 3.71 233.6 4 9 44.20 38.30 0.05 1.07 234.7 4 10 47.30 37.60 0.00 2.34 237.0 4 11 53.60 30.40 0.00 4.21 241.2 4 12 59.20 39.90 0.00 8.66 249.9 4 13 64.90 43.30 0.00 13.10 263.0 4 14 73.20 47.30 0.00 19.25 282.2 4 15 76.10 52.00 0.00 23.05 305.3 4 16 75.00 52.70 0.00 22.85 328.1 4 17 76.60 53.80 0.00 24.20 352.3 4 18 74.10 50.90 0.00 21.50 373.8 4 19 71.40 50.20 0.00 19.80 393.6 4 20 70.90 48.00 0.00 18.45 412.1 4 21 68.20 48.70 0.00 17.45 429.5 4 22 65.80 43.00 0.00 13.40 442.9 4 23 60.60 43.70 0.12 11.15 454.1 4 24 52.30 47.10 0.63 8.70 462.8 4 25 55.00 45.30 0.19 9.15 471.9 4 26 58.10 47.30 0.17 11.70 483.6 4 27 58.80 45.50 0.00 11.15 494.8 4 28 58.60 49.30 0.02 12.95 507.7 4 29 69.10 49.10 0.00 18.10 525.8 4 30 64.00 51.10 0.39 16.55 542.4 5 1 59.40 50.70 0.00 14.05 556.4 5 2 62.60 44.80 0.00 12.70 569.1 5 3 58.30 47.10 0.01 11.70 580.8 5 4 63.10 47.10 0.10 14.10 594.9 5 5 71.40 45.30 0.00 17.35 612.3 5 6 64.20 48.20 0.08 15.20 627.5 5 7 54.30 41.90 0.01 7.10 634.6 5 8 56.50 45.30 0.02 9.90 644.5 5 9 62.20 37.60 0.00 9.44 653.9 5 10 64.20 43.90 0.00 13.05 667.0 5 11 70.50 45.50 0.00 17.00 684.0 5 12 63.10 49.60 0.02 15.35 699.3 5 13 73.40 52.20 0.00 21.80 721.1 5 14 74.70 51.30 0.00 22.00 743.1 5 15 74.70 48.90 0.00 20.80 763.9 5 16 76.30 47.80 0.00 21.05 785.0 5 17 61.30 52.00 0.34 15.65 800.6 5 18 57.90 47.10 0.08 11.50 812.1 5 19 58.80 41.00 0.02 8.90 821.0 5 20 64.60 40.10 0.00 11.42 832.4 5 21 68.40 48.70 0.00 17.55 850.0 5 22 70.30 47.10 0.00 17.70 867.7 Peak pheromone trap catch 5 23 59.20 50.90 0.02 14.05 881.7 5 24 57.40 51.40 0.11 13.40 895.1 5 25 66.20 52.50 0.07 18.35 913.5 5 26 60.10 51.60 0.00 14.85 928.3 5 27 61.20 51.30 0.21 15.25 943.6 5 28 59.40 47.10 0.17 12.25 955.8 Peak female adult emergence 5 29 73.00 46.40 0.00 18.70 974.5 5 30 69.80 53.40 0.00 20.60 995.1 5 31 77.40 52.00 0.00 23.70 1018.8 Peak egg laying 6 1 85.80 58.30 0.00 31.05 1049.9 6 2 84.90 64.60 0.00 33.75 1083.6 6 3 77.50 56.70 0.00 26.10 1109.7 6 4 65.50 51.80 0.00 17.65 1127.4 6 5 63.10 53.10 0.25 17.10 1144.5 6 6 55.40 47.50 0.01 10.45 1154.9 6 7 62.10 44.40 0.17 12.25 1167.2 6 8 65.10 43.50 0.07 13.30 1180.5 6 9 65.30 49.10 0.02 16.20 1196.7 6 10 64.80 42.60 0.00 12.70 1209.4 6 11 64.20 53.60 0.01 17.90 1227.3 6 12 71.40 52.30 0.04 20.85 1248.1 6 13 67.10 56.80 0.26 20.95 1269.1 6 14 66.60 57.90 0.04 21.25 1290.3 Peak egg hatch 6 15 67.80 57.00 0.36 21.40 1311.7 6 16 73.60 55.00 0.03 23.30 1335.0 6 17 77.40 50.50 0.00 22.95 1358.0 6 18 74.70 51.10 0.00 21.90 1379.9 6 19 70.30 50.90 0.00 19.60 1399.5 6 20 87.30 57.20 0.00 31.25 1430.7 6 21 89.20 63.10 0.00 35.15 1465.9 6 22 82.80 57.40 0.00 29.10 1495.0 6 23 77.40 55.20 0.00 25.30 1520.3 6 24 82.90 56.70 0.00 28.80 1549.1 6 25 93.60 63.10 0.00 37.35 1586.4 6 26 101.80 71.10 0.00 45.45 1631.9 6 27 104.50 75.40 0.00 48.95 1680.8 6 28 104.70 79.30 0.00 51.00 1731.8 6 29 95.00 74.70 0.00 43.85 1775.7 6 30 80.10 65.10 0.00 31.60 1807.3 7 1 74.80 63.70 0.00 28.25 1835.5 7 2 81.10 66.20 0.00 32.65 1868.2 7 3 82.80 60.30 0.00 30.55 1898.7 7 4 82.60 59.50 0.00 30.05 1928.8 7 5 79.50 59.70 0.00 28.60 1957.4 7 6 84.20 55.80 0.00 29.00 1986.4 7 7 70.70 58.10 0.00 23.40 2009.8 7 8 74.10 60.40 0.00 26.25 2036.0 7 9 83.10 56.30 0.00 28.70 2064.7 7 10 82.00 58.30 0.00 29.15 2093.9 Peak in density large larvae 7 11 82.20 54.10 0.00 27.15 2121.0 7 12 83.50 56.80 0.00 29.15 2150.2 7 13 82.60 57.70 0.00 29.15 2179.3 7 14 79.00 54.50 0.00 25.75 2205.1 7 15 73.80 54.30 0.00 23.05 2228.1 7 16 69.60 52.70 0.00 20.15 2248.3 7 17 74.30 60.30 0.00 26.30 2274.6 7 18 79.90 54.30 0.00 26.10 2300.7 7 19 83.10 53.60 0.00 27.35 2328.0 7 20 75.70 57.70 0.00 25.70 2353.7 7 21 72.00 50.00 0.00 20.00 2373.7 7 22 76.50 50.20 0.00 22.35 2396.1 7 23 79.20 54.50 0.00 25.85 2421.9 7 24 84.60 54.50 0.00 28.55 2450.5 7 25 84.20 55.00 0.00 28.60 2479.1 7 26 84.20 54.50 0.00 28.35 2507.4 7 27 85.30 54.50 0.00 28.90 2536.3 7 28 87.30 55.80 0.00 30.55 2566.9 7 29 90.30 55.00 0.00 31.65 2598.5 7 30 94.60 60.40 0.00 36.50 2635.0 7 31 78.30 65.80 0.00 31.05 2666.1 8 1 75.20 66.00 0.08 29.60 2695.7 8 2 87.60 61.00 0.00 33.30 2729.0 8 3 87.30 59.00 0.00 32.15 2761.1 8 4 89.60 57.00 0.00 32.30 2793.4 8 5 87.80 56.50 0.00 31.15 2824.6 8 6 77.70 65.80 0.01 30.75 2855.3 8 7 68.20 56.30 0.34 21.25 2876.6 8 8 65.80 55.90 0.05 19.85 2896.4 8 9 71.80 60.10 0.00 24.95 2921.4 8 10 82.90 60.80 0.00 30.85 2952.2 8 11 89.40 60.60 0.00 34.00 2986.2 8 12 99.50 70.20 0.00 43.85 3030.1 8 13 87.10 65.80 0.00 35.45 3065.5 8 14 87.30 59.20 0.00 32.25 3097.8 8 15 85.10 59.90 0.00 31.50 3129.3 8 16 70.90 63.50 0.06 26.20 3155.5 8 17 69.80 56.70 0.17 22.25 3177.7 8 18 75.00 54.70 0.00 23.85 3201.6 8 19 75.90 54.70 0.00 24.30 3225.9 8 20 67.80 61.70 0.00 23.75 3249.6 8 21 68.70 59.20 0.00 22.95 3272.6 8 22 66.20 56.30 0.06 20.25 3292.8 8 23 69.80 54.70 0.00 21.25 3314.1 8 24 80.40 56.30 0.00 27.35 3341.4 8 25 80.10 59.40 0.00 28.75 3370.2 8 26 68.40 54.90 0.57 20.65 3390.8 8 27 66.70 55.00 0.02 19.85 3410.7 8 28 75.70 49.80 0.00 21.75 3432.4 8 29 79.70 52.20 0.00 24.95 3457.4 8 30 61.30 55.40 0.00 17.35 3474.7 8 31 62.20 51.40 0.08 15.80 3490.5 9 1 73.90 42.80 0.00 17.35 3507.9 9 2 80.20 52.90 0.00 25.55 3533.4 9 3 73.60 57.60 0.00 24.60 3558.0 9 4 70.20 51.30 0.26 19.75 3577.8 9 5 69.30 58.10 0.05 22.70 3600.5 9 6 74.50 58.30 0.00 25.40 3625.9 9 7 81.10 58.30 0.00 28.70 3654.6 9 8 73.40 59.90 0.04 25.65 3680.2 9 9 81.30 60.60 0.00 29.95 3710.2 9 10 70.70 53.40 0.00 21.05 3731.2 9 11 67.30 59.70 0.02 22.50 3753.7 9 12 63.00 56.30 0.42 18.65 3772.4 9 13 69.30 53.20 0.00 20.25 3792.6 9 14 59.20 51.10 0.26 14.15 3806.8 9 15 62.10 50.50 0.19 15.30 3822.1
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988
Location: 2021 CWZA Agassiz Auto RePting
DateDDsEvent
 5-22-21 868Peak pheromone trap catch
 5-28-21 956Peak female adult emergence
 5-31-21 1019Peak egg laying
 6-14-21 1290Peak egg hatch
 7-10-21 2094Peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988