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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Knight 1988
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
Ending date: 9 15
Model validation status: partly validated
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch
2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence
3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying
4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch
5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2020 CWZA CANADA Agassiz Auto RePting S BC Lat:49.2500 Long:-121.7667 Elev:49
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 55.20 46.00 0.05 9.60 9.6 * START *
1 2 45.10 35.60 0.28 1.20 10.8
1 3 48.20 34.90 0.36 2.40 13.2
1 4 47.50 39.00 0.54 2.67 15.9
1 5 46.00 36.50 0.19 1.64 17.5
1 6 41.20 33.40 1.31 0.01 17.5
1 7 40.60 36.90 1.38 0.00 17.5
1 8 45.10 31.30 0.16 0.98 18.5
1 9 39.90 31.30 0.01 0.00 18.5
1 10 35.20 31.30 0.17 0.00 18.5
1 11 42.10 33.10 0.54 0.17 18.7
1 12 32.00 19.20 0.78 0.00 18.7
1 13 18.90 13.60 0.00 0.00 18.7
1 14 14.90 9.90 0.01 0.00 18.7
1 15 19.90 8.60 0.21 0.00 18.7
1 16 23.00 15.10 0.15 0.00 18.7
1 17 23.90 16.90 0.02 0.00 18.7
1 18 30.90 21.00 0.07 0.00 18.7
1 19 44.20 24.60 0.01 0.56 19.2
1 20 44.60 37.00 0.08 1.11 20.3
1 21 44.60 37.40 0.28 1.15 21.5
1 22 42.60 34.70 0.79 0.31 21.8
1 23 43.30 38.30 0.88 0.70 22.5
1 24 45.50 38.30 0.82 1.63 24.1
1 25 47.50 37.20 0.00 2.37 26.5
1 26 48.60 41.70 0.14 4.15 30.6
1 27 50.40 41.40 0.39 4.90 35.5
1 28 45.00 37.00 0.26 1.27 36.8
1 29 43.50 35.20 0.62 0.60 37.4
1 30 46.00 33.60 0.26 1.41 38.8
1 31 50.90 38.30 2.93 4.14 43.0
2 1 57.40 38.50 0.89 7.34 50.3
2 2 43.70 31.50 0.00 0.55 50.9
2 3 40.60 31.30 0.13 0.00 50.9
2 4 33.10 29.50 0.12 0.00 50.9
2 5 35.40 31.30 0.24 0.00 50.9
2 6 41.00 36.90 0.50 0.00 50.9
2 7 43.30 38.30 0.43 0.70 51.6
2 8 48.90 37.80 0.27 3.10 54.7
2 9 39.70 34.00 0.00 0.00 54.7
2 10 45.30 31.30 0.00 1.05 55.7
2 11 44.80 37.00 0.03 1.19 56.9
2 12 48.60 38.70 0.00 3.13 60.0
2 13 43.70 38.10 0.23 0.84 60.9
2 14 46.80 40.10 0.10 2.59 63.5
2 15 41.50 38.80 0.56 0.09 63.6
2 16 44.20 38.50 0.35 1.09 64.7
2 17 44.40 36.50 0.03 0.99 65.7
2 18 47.10 32.90 0.00 1.78 67.4
2 19 50.20 36.90 0.00 3.55 71.0
2 20 51.80 35.60 0.01 4.07 75.1
2 21 52.20 31.30 0.01 3.71 78.8
2 22 44.80 38.50 0.34 1.35 80.1
2 23 46.60 35.40 0.67 1.78 81.9
2 24 45.90 36.70 0.14 1.62 83.5
2 25 42.60 33.60 0.11 0.29 83.8
2 26 47.30 36.50 0.04 2.19 86.0
2 27 46.20 40.50 0.03 2.41 88.4
2 28 47.70 34.50 0.16 2.15 90.6
2 29 46.90 36.50 0.47 2.02 92.6
3 1 44.40 31.50 0.08 0.76 93.3
3 2 40.80 37.90 0.39 0.00 93.3
3 3 48.90 41.70 0.26 4.30 97.6
3 4 50.50 38.70 0.00 4.04 101.7
3 5 43.50 39.90 0.57 0.97 102.7
3 6 45.50 38.10 0.18 1.61 104.3
3 7 41.20 35.20 0.08 0.02 104.3
3 8 44.80 33.60 0.00 0.98 105.2
3 9 48.60 31.60 0.00 2.27 107.5
3 10 41.90 34.30 0.26 0.13 107.7
3 11 50.20 38.30 0.10 3.81 111.5
3 12 45.70 31.80 0.00 1.20 112.7
3 13 41.20 31.50 0.00 0.01 112.7
3 14 33.60 25.90 0.00 0.00 112.7
3 15 45.10 28.00 0.00 0.87 113.6
3 16 58.50 37.80 0.00 7.69 121.2
3 17 63.10 38.30 0.01 10.08 131.3
3 18 60.40 42.80 0.00 10.60 141.9
3 19 60.80 40.50 0.00 9.68 151.6
3 20 58.60 37.60 0.00 7.69 159.3
3 21 58.60 34.70 0.00 7.06 166.4
3 22 55.00 33.40 0.00 5.19 171.6
3 23 47.50 36.50 0.51 2.28 173.8
3 24 50.20 36.30 0.06 3.45 177.3
3 25 52.20 38.30 0.01 4.77 182.0
3 26 47.10 36.10 0.04 2.06 184.1
3 27 47.10 38.30 0.06 2.36 186.5
3 28 49.60 44.10 0.34 5.85 192.3
3 29 51.60 44.20 0.41 6.90 199.2
3 30 48.00 37.90 0.31 2.70 201.9
3 31 47.70 36.00 0.01 2.31 204.2
4 1 45.30 37.60 0.03 1.46 205.7
4 2 41.50 34.50 0.00 0.06 205.7
4 3 43.00 33.30 0.27 0.39 206.1
4 4 49.50 34.70 0.00 2.93 209.1
4 5 51.60 40.10 0.00 4.96 214.0
4 6 57.40 37.90 0.00 7.18 221.2
4 7 56.10 40.80 0.00 7.46 228.7
4 8 63.10 40.50 0.01 10.83 239.5
4 9 65.50 42.60 0.00 13.05 252.6
4 10 61.70 41.20 0.00 10.45 263.0
4 11 59.50 43.70 0.03 10.60 273.6
4 12 59.00 39.40 0.00 8.40 282.0
4 13 62.20 41.40 0.00 10.80 292.8
4 14 61.30 38.80 0.00 9.34 302.1
4 15 66.90 45.30 0.00 15.10 317.2
4 16 67.30 45.00 0.00 15.15 332.4
4 17 59.90 41.20 0.00 9.55 341.9
4 18 63.90 49.30 0.00 15.60 357.5
4 19 62.80 48.40 0.00 14.60 372.1
4 20 63.90 43.70 0.00 12.80 384.9
4 21 57.60 49.80 0.00 12.70 397.6
4 22 53.10 48.20 0.19 9.65 407.3
4 23 59.70 47.30 0.03 12.50 419.8
4 24 61.70 43.70 0.00 11.70 431.5
4 25 60.30 48.70 0.45 13.50 445.0
4 26 58.30 43.90 0.00 10.10 455.1
4 27 58.60 45.00 0.43 10.80 465.9
4 28 59.70 46.20 0.00 11.95 477.8
4 29 56.70 47.70 0.44 11.20 489.0
4 30 57.60 43.70 0.88 9.65 498.7
5 1 64.00 41.40 0.00 11.70 510.4
5 2 62.10 47.10 0.27 13.60 524.0
5 3 52.50 43.50 0.06 7.00 531.0
5 4 61.90 39.00 0.00 9.70 540.7
5 5 70.90 47.80 0.07 18.35 559.0
5 6 60.40 48.20 0.23 13.30 572.3
5 7 70.00 39.40 0.00 13.86 586.2
5 8 79.00 54.30 0.00 25.65 611.8
5 9 82.20 59.90 0.00 30.05 641.9
5 10 83.70 62.20 0.00 31.95 673.8
5 11 79.00 61.30 0.00 29.15 703.0
5 12 61.00 53.20 0.40 16.10 719.1
5 13 62.80 52.00 0.21 16.40 735.5
5 14 62.40 48.90 0.00 14.65 750.1
5 15 64.40 53.20 0.00 17.80 767.9
5 16 61.50 52.90 0.05 16.20 784.1
5 17 64.60 52.90 0.32 17.75 801.9
5 18 69.40 52.70 0.00 20.05 821.9
5 19 67.50 47.30 0.00 16.40 838.3
5 20 59.20 52.20 0.01 14.70 853.0 Peak pheromone trap catch
5 21 57.60 47.50 0.20 11.55 864.6
5 22 57.60 47.70 0.71 11.65 876.2
5 23 60.60 47.80 0.00 13.20 889.4
5 24 66.60 50.00 0.00 17.30 906.7
5 25 59.00 54.50 0.50 15.75 922.5
5 26 66.90 53.60 0.03 19.25 941.7
5 27 77.00 46.80 0.00 20.90 962.6 Peak female adult emergence
5 28 81.00 59.20 0.00 29.10 991.7
5 29 80.20 59.20 0.00 28.70 1020.4 Peak egg laying
5 30 61.30 51.80 1.42 15.55 1036.0
5 31 63.10 48.00 0.12 14.55 1050.5
6 1 65.70 45.50 0.00 14.60 1065.1
6 2 59.20 43.70 0.21 10.45 1075.6
6 3 65.10 47.30 0.00 15.20 1090.8
6 4 62.20 44.60 0.00 12.40 1103.2
6 5 65.50 51.40 0.02 17.45 1120.6
6 6 63.70 45.50 0.02 13.60 1134.2
6 7 64.20 50.90 0.01 16.55 1150.8
6 8 60.80 50.00 0.43 14.40 1165.2
6 9 57.60 49.10 0.21 12.35 1177.5
6 10 70.90 54.70 0.03 21.80 1199.3
6 11 65.70 56.80 0.21 20.25 1219.6
6 12 58.60 52.50 0.46 14.55 1234.1
6 13 62.40 51.60 0.04 16.00 1250.1
6 14 57.40 49.80 0.35 12.60 1262.7
6 15 58.50 50.20 0.25 13.35 1276.1 Peak egg hatch
6 16 63.30 50.90 0.00 16.10 1292.2
6 17 67.60 55.60 0.00 20.60 1312.8
6 18 76.60 56.30 0.00 25.45 1338.2
6 19 79.20 53.60 0.00 25.40 1363.6
6 20 65.10 59.90 0.17 21.50 1385.1
6 21 67.50 56.30 0.35 20.90 1406.0
6 22 75.70 52.30 0.00 23.00 1429.0
6 23 78.40 56.30 0.00 26.35 1455.4
6 24 75.70 62.40 0.04 28.05 1483.4
6 25 78.40 56.30 0.00 26.35 1509.8
6 26 72.30 56.10 0.00 23.20 1533.0
6 27 63.70 55.40 0.12 18.55 1551.5
6 28 69.30 51.10 0.18 19.20 1570.7
6 29 75.00 54.30 0.00 23.65 1594.4
6 30 63.70 55.20 0.53 18.45 1612.8
7 1 55.90 52.70 1.08 13.30 1626.1
7 2 58.80 52.90 0.11 14.85 1641.0
7 3 56.80 50.90 0.41 12.85 1653.8
7 4 68.90 50.90 0.02 18.90 1672.7
7 5 74.30 49.10 0.00 20.70 1693.4
7 6 69.80 51.40 0.00 19.60 1713.0
7 7 66.20 54.50 0.00 19.35 1732.4
7 8 70.20 56.30 0.00 22.25 1754.6
7 9 65.10 57.60 0.41 20.35 1775.0
7 10 71.80 54.70 0.00 22.25 1797.2
7 11 66.60 53.60 0.06 19.10 1816.3
7 12 68.70 54.50 0.05 20.60 1836.9
7 13 73.40 52.90 0.00 22.15 1859.1
7 14 76.60 51.10 0.00 22.85 1881.9
7 15 79.00 53.10 0.00 25.05 1907.0
7 16 77.00 57.90 0.00 26.45 1933.4
7 17 71.60 61.70 0.05 25.65 1959.1
7 18 77.90 59.70 0.00 27.80 1986.9
7 19 81.00 54.50 0.00 26.75 2013.6
7 20 86.00 63.00 0.00 33.50 2047.1
7 21 82.80 60.10 0.00 30.45 2077.6 Peak in density large larvae
7 22 75.60 64.60 0.00 29.10 2106.7
7 23 68.00 61.00 0.01 23.50 2130.2
7 24 66.60 58.50 0.01 21.55 2151.7
7 25 76.60 50.90 0.00 22.75 2174.5
7 26 86.40 55.60 0.00 30.00 2204.5
7 27 90.00 64.90 0.00 36.45 2240.9
7 28 81.10 61.20 0.00 30.15 2271.1
7 29 86.40 50.90 0.00 27.65 2298.7
7 30 90.30 60.10 0.00 34.20 2332.9
7 31 82.80 61.50 0.00 31.15 2364.1
8 1 79.50 56.80 0.00 27.15 2391.2
8 2 80.10 54.90 0.00 26.50 2417.7
8 3 79.00 57.90 0.00 27.45 2445.2
8 4 82.60 57.90 0.00 29.25 2474.4
8 5 80.60 55.90 0.00 27.25 2501.7
8 6 68.00 57.90 0.27 21.95 2523.6
8 7 68.70 56.50 0.09 21.60 2545.2
8 8 69.60 56.30 0.03 21.95 2567.2
8 9 75.60 50.20 0.00 21.90 2589.1
8 10 77.20 53.40 0.00 24.30 2613.4
8 11 70.90 50.20 0.00 19.55 2632.9
8 12 69.60 50.90 0.00 19.25 2652.2
8 13 72.30 46.90 0.00 18.60 2670.8
8 14 77.90 48.90 0.00 22.40 2693.2
8 15 85.30 53.10 0.00 28.20 2721.4
8 16 93.40 68.40 0.00 39.90 2761.3
8 17 87.80 65.30 0.00 35.55 2796.8
8 18 78.30 57.90 0.00 27.10 2823.9
8 19 79.50 56.10 0.00 26.80 2850.7
8 20 77.70 63.00 0.06 29.35 2880.1
8 21 68.20 60.80 0.79 23.50 2903.6
8 22 73.00 56.30 0.00 23.65 2927.2
8 23 72.90 55.20 0.00 23.05 2950.3
8 24 74.10 56.10 0.04 24.10 2974.4
8 25 74.30 54.00 0.00 23.15 2997.5
8 26 74.80 49.30 0.00 21.05 3018.6
8 27 76.60 51.30 0.00 22.95 3041.5
8 28 77.50 50.50 0.00 23.00 3064.5
8 29 70.00 50.40 0.00 19.20 3083.7
8 30 69.10 44.80 0.02 15.95 3099.7
8 31 67.50 55.20 0.00 20.35 3120.0
9 1 73.00 59.20 0.00 25.10 3145.1
9 2 74.80 55.60 0.00 24.20 3169.3
9 3 80.10 51.10 0.00 24.60 3193.9
9 4 83.30 64.60 0.00 32.95 3226.9
9 5 68.20 56.50 0.00 21.35 3248.2
9 6 73.20 61.30 0.00 26.25 3274.5
9 7 82.20 58.80 0.00 29.50 3304.0
9 8 83.10 55.80 0.00 28.45 3332.4
9 9 91.80 56.30 0.00 33.05 3365.5
9 10 88.50 61.90 0.00 34.20 3399.7
9 11 81.10 52.70 0.00 25.90 3425.6
9 12 66.90 48.90 0.00 16.90 3442.5
9 13 61.30 48.70 0.00 14.00 3456.5
9 14 68.20 49.30 0.03 17.75 3474.2
9 15 77.50 58.80 0.00 27.15 3501.4
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988Location: 2020 CWZA Agassiz Auto RePting Date | DDs | Event |
5-20-20 | 853 | Peak pheromone trap catch |
5-27-20 | 963 | Peak female adult emergence |
5-29-20 | 1020 | Peak egg laying |
6-15-20 | 1276 | Peak egg hatch |
7-21-20 | 2078 | Peak in density large larvae |