|
Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Knight 1988
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
Ending date: 9 15
Model validation status: partly validated
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch
2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence
3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying
4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch
5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2018 CWZA CANADA Agassiz Auto RePting S BC Lat:49.2500 Long:-121.7667 Elev:49
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 30.90 24.60 0.13 0.00 0.0 * START *
1 2 36.00 29.10 0.28 0.00 0.0
1 3 40.80 31.30 0.21 0.00 0.0
1 4 39.90 36.50 0.17 0.00 0.0
1 5 39.90 34.90 0.14 0.00 0.0
1 6 40.80 34.70 0.38 0.00 0.0
1 7 37.20 33.60 0.27 0.00 0.0
1 8 40.80 33.60 0.24 0.00 0.0
1 9 42.80 34.70 0.60 0.37 0.4
1 10 42.60 35.40 0.29 0.33 0.7
1 11 36.00 29.50 0.15 0.00 0.7
1 12 32.00 28.40 0.40 0.00 0.7
1 13 41.00 31.30 0.20 0.00 0.7
1 14 52.00 39.70 0.04 5.03 5.7
1 15 50.70 45.50 0.10 7.10 12.8
1 16 48.40 41.20 0.11 3.80 16.6
1 17 47.10 41.90 0.38 3.50 20.1
1 18 46.90 39.40 0.19 2.47 22.6
1 19 40.80 31.60 0.22 0.00 22.6
1 20 44.10 37.00 0.25 0.91 23.5
1 21 45.00 38.30 0.38 1.41 24.9
1 22 46.90 35.10 0.42 1.88 26.8
1 23 40.80 32.90 0.50 0.00 26.8
1 24 41.50 32.90 0.36 0.05 26.9
1 25 40.50 31.30 0.29 0.00 26.9
1 26 43.00 34.00 0.24 0.41 27.3
1 27 39.90 33.10 0.45 0.00 27.3
1 28 40.50 34.90 0.68 0.00 27.3
1 29 46.60 39.70 1.85 2.39 29.7
1 30 46.60 39.20 0.08 2.29 31.9
1 31 40.60 36.10 0.24 0.00 31.9
2 1 41.70 32.90 0.37 0.08 32.0
2 2 48.40 38.30 0.81 2.96 35.0
2 3 49.50 45.50 1.38 6.50 41.5
2 4 52.00 38.30 1.01 4.67 46.2
2 5 48.70 43.00 0.12 4.85 51.0
2 6 44.60 38.50 0.39 1.26 52.3
2 7 48.90 43.30 0.46 5.10 57.4
2 8 53.10 41.00 0.43 6.05 63.4
2 9 40.30 34.70 0.00 0.00 63.4
2 10 39.70 28.20 0.01 0.00 63.4
2 11 45.30 30.00 0.00 1.00 64.4
2 12 39.60 29.50 0.01 0.00 64.4
2 13 41.00 27.00 0.02 0.00 64.4
2 14 38.50 31.60 0.33 0.00 64.4
2 15 40.60 30.40 0.05 0.00 64.4
2 16 44.10 31.30 0.65 0.66 65.1
2 17 43.50 31.30 1.12 0.49 65.6
2 18 36.50 27.30 0.02 0.00 65.6
2 19 33.30 25.00 0.00 0.00 65.6
2 20 35.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 65.6
2 21 36.00 23.00 0.01 0.00 65.6 Mx Mn
2 22 38.10 26.10 0.00 0.00 65.6
2 23 29.30 25.20 0.36 0.00 65.6
2 24 37.20 27.70 0.31 0.00 65.6
2 25 42.30 34.30 0.19 0.23 65.8
2 26 38.50 31.30 0.14 0.00 65.8
2 27 41.50 33.30 0.33 0.05 65.9
2 28 43.20 32.90 0.00 0.44 66.3
3 1 43.00 36.70 0.20 0.50 66.8
3 2 38.80 31.30 0.42 0.00 66.8
3 3 43.00 32.90 0.24 0.39 67.2
3 4 37.20 31.30 0.06 0.00 67.2
3 5 43.30 31.30 0.04 0.44 67.6
3 6 47.50 32.90 0.00 1.94 69.5
3 7 49.30 34.70 0.00 2.85 72.4
3 8 45.90 38.70 0.73 1.87 74.3
3 9 49.30 37.00 0.35 3.15 77.4
3 10 53.20 34.30 0.00 4.51 81.9
3 11 60.40 40.10 0.00 9.33 91.3
3 12 65.10 45.90 0.01 14.50 105.8
3 13 56.70 45.90 0.12 10.30 116.1
3 14 46.80 36.70 0.18 2.00 118.1
3 15 55.00 36.10 0.00 5.64 123.7
3 16 58.80 42.30 0.00 9.55 133.2
3 17 56.50 40.60 0.00 7.58 140.8
3 18 52.00 37.80 0.01 4.56 145.4
3 19 50.20 37.60 0.00 3.67 149.1
3 20 50.70 38.50 0.00 4.09 153.1
3 21 60.10 41.50 0.00 9.80 162.9
3 22 51.60 34.30 0.42 3.80 166.7
3 23 43.30 33.30 0.11 0.48 167.2
3 24 45.90 34.30 0.00 1.42 168.6
3 25 49.50 31.30 0.05 2.60 171.2
3 26 44.20 39.00 0.61 1.15 172.4
3 27 55.20 41.90 0.47 7.55 179.9
3 28 51.60 44.10 0.00 6.85 186.8
3 29 46.60 41.50 0.13 3.05 189.8
3 30 56.50 45.00 0.18 9.75 199.6
3 31 55.00 43.00 0.00 8.00 207.6
4 1 46.80 38.30 0.14 2.22 209.8
4 2 48.40 33.60 0.10 2.36 212.2
4 3 48.20 39.00 0.01 3.00 215.2
4 4 51.40 38.30 0.05 4.38 219.6
4 5 49.60 41.90 0.41 4.75 224.3
4 6 58.80 45.50 0.04 11.15 235.5
4 7 54.50 48.40 0.21 10.45 245.9
4 8 55.90 46.20 0.17 10.05 256.0
4 9 58.60 46.90 0.03 11.75 267.7
4 10 52.50 43.20 0.20 6.85 274.6
4 11 54.10 41.90 0.10 7.00 281.6
4 12 50.40 39.00 0.33 4.06 285.6
4 13 45.10 39.70 0.77 1.68 287.3
4 14 52.20 42.40 0.62 6.30 293.6
4 15 57.70 42.60 0.17 9.15 302.7
4 16 53.20 41.90 0.76 6.55 309.3
4 17 52.70 42.30 0.19 6.50 315.8
4 18 58.30 40.10 0.02 8.29 324.1
4 19 59.90 42.60 0.01 10.25 334.3
4 20 61.00 39.70 0.05 9.49 343.8
4 21 55.90 44.60 0.30 9.25 353.1
4 22 61.00 36.50 0.02 8.58 361.7
4 23 71.40 45.70 0.05 17.55 379.2
4 24 74.50 49.10 0.00 20.80 400.0
4 25 77.70 54.10 0.01 24.90 424.9
4 26 83.10 56.30 0.02 28.70 453.6
4 27 70.00 56.80 0.00 22.40 476.0
4 28 53.10 48.70 0.11 9.90 485.9
4 29 54.00 47.50 0.07 9.75 495.7
4 30 55.20 47.30 0.05 10.25 505.9
5 1 63.70 47.30 0.25 14.50 520.4
5 2 68.00 41.20 0.00 13.60 534.0
5 3 72.70 45.90 0.00 18.30 552.3
5 4 59.40 50.50 0.00 13.95 566.3
5 5 74.10 46.20 0.00 19.15 585.4
5 6 79.30 60.30 0.00 28.80 614.2
5 7 71.40 49.10 0.00 19.25 633.5
5 8 82.00 52.30 0.04 26.15 659.6
5 9 62.80 50.90 0.26 15.85 675.5
5 10 60.40 48.70 0.19 13.55 689.0
5 11 68.50 49.60 0.00 18.05 707.1
5 12 78.10 50.00 0.00 23.05 730.1
5 13 88.00 59.90 0.01 32.95 763.1
5 14 86.00 62.80 0.00 33.40 796.5
5 15 79.30 60.60 0.00 28.95 825.4
5 16 69.80 54.50 0.00 21.15 846.6
5 17 66.60 56.10 0.00 20.35 866.9 Peak pheromone trap catch
5 18 65.80 57.40 0.00 20.60 887.5
5 19 66.40 55.90 0.00 20.15 907.7
5 20 64.40 54.50 0.13 18.45 926.1
5 21 70.70 54.70 0.00 21.70 947.8
5 22 79.50 49.10 0.00 23.30 971.1 Peak female adult emergence
5 23 81.00 55.40 0.00 27.20 998.3
5 24 71.40 55.90 0.00 22.65 1021.0 Peak egg laying
5 25 70.50 51.30 0.00 19.90 1040.9
5 26 65.30 48.40 0.00 15.85 1056.7
5 27 74.10 48.70 0.00 20.40 1077.1
5 28 70.50 52.70 0.00 20.60 1097.7
5 29 66.20 50.50 0.00 17.35 1115.1
5 30 67.30 46.60 0.00 15.95 1131.0
5 31 63.70 43.70 0.00 12.70 1143.7
6 1 61.30 52.50 0.01 15.90 1159.6
6 2 74.30 52.70 0.01 22.50 1182.1
6 3 59.70 49.10 0.70 13.40 1195.5
6 4 64.60 47.70 0.01 15.15 1210.7
6 5 63.50 46.20 0.00 13.85 1224.5
6 6 73.00 47.30 0.00 19.15 1243.7
6 7 63.70 48.00 0.00 14.85 1258.5
6 8 61.50 50.90 0.34 15.20 1273.7 Peak egg hatch
6 9 64.40 49.10 0.30 15.75 1289.5
6 10 59.90 46.80 0.26 12.35 1301.8
6 11 62.80 47.30 0.33 14.05 1315.9
6 12 65.10 46.00 0.00 14.55 1330.4
6 13 57.60 52.00 0.74 13.80 1344.2
6 14 63.00 51.80 0.08 16.40 1360.6
6 15 69.60 51.80 0.00 19.70 1380.3
6 16 82.80 54.00 0.01 27.40 1407.7
6 17 87.60 62.80 0.01 34.20 1441.9
6 18 87.30 62.40 0.01 33.85 1475.8
6 19 84.70 56.30 0.00 29.50 1505.3
6 20 87.30 58.50 0.00 31.90 1537.2
6 21 67.80 61.70 0.00 23.75 1560.9
6 22 64.60 58.10 0.00 20.35 1581.3
6 23 70.30 56.30 0.00 22.30 1603.6
6 24 80.20 55.60 0.02 26.90 1630.5
6 25 71.00 56.30 0.40 22.65 1653.1
6 26 67.00 52.70 0.11 18.85 1672.0
6 27 65.00 55.00 0.00 19.00 1691.0 Mx Mn
6 28 64.00 56.00 0.00 19.00 1710.0 Mx Mn
6 29 63.70 57.00 0.00 19.35 1729.3 Mn
6 30 61.50 58.80 0.15 19.15 1748.5
7 1 68.00 53.60 0.07 19.80 1768.3
7 2 63.70 50.90 0.29 16.30 1784.6
7 3 73.40 51.80 0.00 21.60 1806.2
7 4 85.10 61.90 0.01 32.50 1838.7
7 5 86.00 62.40 0.00 33.20 1871.9
7 6 75.70 60.30 0.07 27.00 1898.9
7 7 69.40 57.40 0.67 22.40 1921.3
7 8 78.30 57.00 0.00 26.65 1947.9
7 9 73.60 55.90 0.04 23.75 1971.7
7 10 66.70 58.10 0.00 21.40 1993.1
7 11 80.60 57.70 0.00 28.15 2021.2
7 12 83.70 56.10 0.00 28.90 2050.1
7 13 81.30 55.80 0.00 27.55 2077.7 Peak in density large larvae
7 14 88.90 56.70 0.00 31.80 2109.5
7 15 88.50 63.90 0.00 35.20 2144.7
7 16 89.10 54.90 0.00 31.00 2175.7
7 17 86.00 57.00 0.00 30.50 2206.2
7 18 76.80 58.10 0.00 26.45 2232.6
7 19 66.60 54.50 0.00 19.55 2252.2
7 20 72.30 56.50 0.00 23.40 2275.6
7 21 75.60 50.00 0.00 21.80 2297.4
7 22 86.50 56.50 0.00 30.50 2327.9
7 23 89.10 58.30 0.00 32.70 2360.6
7 24 87.60 58.10 0.00 31.85 2392.4
7 25 88.00 61.90 0.00 33.95 2426.4
7 26 87.40 59.00 0.00 32.20 2458.6
7 27 86.00 60.30 0.00 32.15 2490.7
7 28 86.40 59.00 0.00 31.70 2522.4
7 29 90.90 60.30 0.00 34.60 2557.0
7 30 93.40 63.00 0.00 37.20 2594.2
7 31 82.90 61.70 0.00 31.30 2625.5
8 1 74.80 58.80 0.00 25.80 2651.3
8 2 72.00 55.40 0.01 22.70 2674.0
8 3 69.80 60.80 0.00 24.30 2698.3
8 4 79.90 59.90 0.00 28.90 2727.2
8 5 84.70 63.50 0.00 33.10 2760.3
8 6 87.30 56.70 0.00 31.00 2791.3
8 7 89.10 59.00 0.00 33.05 2824.4
8 8 93.60 58.30 0.00 34.95 2859.3
8 9 93.00 62.10 0.00 36.55 2895.9
8 10 85.30 59.20 0.00 31.25 2927.1
8 11 69.80 59.90 0.03 23.85 2951.0
8 12 72.90 59.20 0.05 25.05 2976.0
8 13 77.70 61.20 0.00 28.45 3004.5
8 14 82.80 61.00 0.00 30.90 3035.4
8 15 85.30 54.10 0.00 28.70 3064.1
8 16 79.90 54.50 0.00 26.20 3090.3
8 17 75.60 51.40 0.00 22.50 3112.8
8 18 71.10 51.60 0.00 20.35 3133.1
8 19 76.50 52.90 0.00 23.70 3156.8
8 20 91.20 52.70 0.00 30.95 3187.8
8 21 86.00 53.00 0.00 28.50 3216.3 Mx Mn
8 22 81.10 55.00 0.00 27.05 3243.3
8 23 67.50 50.70 0.00 18.10 3261.4
8 24 71.40 56.50 0.00 22.95 3284.4
8 25 60.10 53.60 0.17 15.85 3300.2
8 26 58.80 54.70 0.35 15.75 3316.0
8 27 77.00 48.20 0.00 21.60 3337.6
8 28 77.90 50.40 0.00 23.15 3360.7
8 29 66.40 52.70 0.07 18.55 3379.3
8 30 70.00 55.20 0.00 21.60 3400.9
8 31 69.60 54.50 0.00 21.05 3421.9
9 1 71.10 54.00 0.00 21.55 3443.5
9 2 73.00 46.40 0.00 18.70 3462.2
9 3 72.90 54.30 0.00 22.60 3484.8
9 4 80.10 58.30 0.00 28.20 3513.0
9 5 82.60 57.90 0.00 29.25 3542.2
9 6 82.90 52.20 0.00 26.55 3568.8
9 7 71.10 49.50 0.18 19.30 3588.1
9 8 66.70 56.30 0.14 20.50 3608.6
9 9 64.90 55.40 0.77 19.15 3627.7
9 10 63.90 54.50 0.43 18.20 3645.9
9 11 65.80 52.00 0.03 17.90 3663.8
9 12 66.40 53.20 0.00 18.80 3682.6
9 13 62.20 50.90 0.40 15.55 3698.2
9 14 60.80 51.10 0.04 14.95 3713.1
9 15 60.10 51.80 0.07 14.95 3728.1
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988Location: 2018 CWZA Agassiz Auto RePting Date | DDs | Event |
5-17-18 | 867 | Peak pheromone trap catch |
5-22-18 | 971 | Peak female adult emergence |
5-24-18 | 1021 | Peak egg laying |
6-8-18 | 1274 | Peak egg hatch |
7-13-18 | 2078 | Peak in density large larvae |