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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Knight 1988
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
Ending date: 9 15
Model validation status: partly validated
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch
2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence
3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying
4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch
5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2016 CWZA CANADA Agassiz Auto RePting S BC Lat:49.2500 Long:-121.7667 Elev:49
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 34.30 27.70 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START *
1 2 33.40 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 3 33.40 25.30 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 4 35.20 28.90 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 5 37.00 32.90 0.02 0.00 0.0
1 6 43.00 35.20 0.00 0.44 0.4
1 7 43.50 36.50 0.00 0.66 1.1
1 8 43.20 34.50 0.00 0.48 1.6
1 9 42.60 36.50 0.00 0.36 1.9
1 10 39.70 33.80 0.00 0.00 1.9
1 11 37.80 33.10 0.09 0.00 1.9
1 12 42.80 31.30 0.29 0.31 2.2
1 13 45.00 38.50 0.49 1.44 3.7
1 14 43.20 36.10 0.04 0.54 4.2
1 15 42.10 32.90 0.00 0.16 4.4
1 16 41.00 38.70 0.53 0.00 4.4
1 17 45.00 36.70 0.62 1.25 5.6
1 18 47.10 37.40 0.06 2.22 7.9
1 19 46.80 35.10 0.02 1.84 9.7
1 20 46.00 38.30 0.13 1.86 11.5
1 21 46.60 40.10 1.26 2.49 14.0
1 22 50.70 42.60 0.69 5.65 19.7
1 23 45.70 41.90 0.00 2.80 22.5
1 24 47.80 36.70 0.15 2.44 24.9
1 25 46.80 33.60 0.00 1.72 26.6
1 26 45.90 41.20 0.74 2.55 29.2
1 27 50.40 43.90 0.60 6.15 35.3
1 28 52.70 46.00 1.76 8.35 43.7
1 29 46.00 41.40 0.22 2.70 46.4
1 30 42.60 38.30 0.23 0.43 46.8
1 31 40.50 36.50 0.32 0.00 46.8
2 1 42.60 34.00 0.09 0.30 47.1
2 2 41.40 34.20 0.07 0.04 47.2
2 3 42.30 34.70 0.28 0.23 47.4
2 4 47.80 38.70 0.44 2.75 50.2
2 5 47.80 39.40 0.41 2.90 53.1
2 6 47.10 37.40 0.04 2.22 55.3
2 7 47.50 36.30 0.01 2.26 57.5
2 8 57.20 41.90 0.00 8.55 66.1
2 9 57.20 48.60 0.00 11.90 78.0
2 10 49.80 40.10 0.11 4.07 82.0
2 11 51.30 34.70 0.24 3.72 85.8
2 12 50.20 43.70 1.37 5.95 91.7
2 13 45.70 40.10 0.91 2.06 93.8
2 14 50.90 40.80 0.62 4.86 98.6
2 15 48.40 45.30 1.60 5.85 104.5
2 16 54.00 41.90 0.31 6.95 111.4
2 17 49.50 44.60 0.05 6.05 117.5
2 18 50.40 42.10 0.72 5.25 122.7
2 19 48.40 41.40 0.07 3.90 126.6
2 20 50.40 40.10 0.02 4.36 131.0
2 21 45.00 37.80 0.00 1.35 132.3
2 22 50.00 37.60 0.03 3.58 135.9
2 23 53.20 37.20 0.01 5.01 140.9
2 24 54.90 43.90 0.01 8.40 149.3
2 25 58.80 41.40 0.00 9.10 158.4
2 26 56.70 43.70 0.01 9.20 167.6
2 27 53.60 43.70 0.02 7.65 175.3
2 28 50.90 43.70 0.04 6.30 181.6
2 29 52.00 40.10 0.04 5.16 186.7
3 1 44.80 40.10 0.72 1.62 188.4
3 2 51.80 37.90 0.36 4.49 192.8
3 3 52.50 42.80 0.84 6.65 199.5
3 4 49.60 43.70 0.18 5.65 205.1
3 5 58.10 41.90 0.36 9.00 214.1
3 6 53.60 40.60 0.13 6.13 220.3
3 7 45.90 39.40 0.30 2.00 222.3
3 8 50.40 39.20 0.08 4.11 226.4
3 9 50.70 39.70 0.37 4.39 230.8
3 10 57.90 39.70 0.18 7.95 238.7
3 11 53.60 40.30 0.00 6.02 244.7
3 12 50.00 41.50 0.00 4.75 249.5
3 13 48.70 37.40 0.00 2.94 252.4
3 14 46.40 39.20 0.11 2.19 254.6
3 15 48.00 41.20 0.08 3.60 258.2
3 16 51.30 36.50 0.07 3.99 262.2
3 17 54.50 39.00 0.00 6.06 268.3
3 18 58.60 42.80 0.00 9.70 278.0
3 19 59.40 45.50 0.00 11.45 289.4
3 20 54.10 47.50 0.05 9.80 299.2
3 21 57.90 41.90 0.09 8.90 308.1
3 22 54.30 44.60 0.29 8.45 316.6
3 23 49.50 43.70 0.32 5.60 322.2
3 24 49.50 43.30 0.30 5.40 327.6
3 25 54.50 41.70 0.11 7.10 334.7
3 26 59.00 40.80 0.00 8.91 343.6
3 27 50.20 43.70 0.73 5.95 349.5
3 28 58.60 37.60 0.01 7.69 357.2
3 29 66.70 43.20 0.00 13.95 371.2
3 30 70.50 49.10 0.00 18.80 390.0
3 31 70.70 49.80 0.00 19.25 409.2
4 1 70.50 49.30 0.00 18.90 428.1
4 2 63.70 45.30 0.00 13.50 441.6
4 3 67.80 40.10 0.01 13.02 454.6
4 4 57.60 45.50 0.64 10.55 465.2
4 5 50.90 45.50 0.03 7.20 472.4
4 6 61.90 45.50 0.00 12.70 485.1
4 7 78.40 47.80 0.00 22.10 507.2
4 8 74.70 52.70 0.01 22.70 529.9
4 9 68.00 41.90 0.00 13.95 543.8
4 10 60.10 41.40 0.00 9.75 553.6
4 11 55.40 49.10 0.00 11.25 564.8
4 12 57.70 44.10 0.66 9.90 574.7
4 13 55.90 42.30 0.29 8.10 582.8
4 14 52.30 39.90 0.00 5.24 588.1
4 15 54.90 43.30 0.00 8.10 596.2
4 16 63.90 40.10 0.00 11.07 607.3
4 17 75.90 49.10 0.00 21.50 628.8
4 18 82.90 58.10 0.00 29.50 658.3
4 19 80.80 59.40 0.00 29.10 687.4
4 20 82.60 60.40 0.00 30.50 717.9
4 21 73.20 52.50 0.02 21.85 739.7
4 22 60.10 54.30 0.19 16.20 755.9
4 23 57.60 50.50 0.14 13.05 769.0
4 24 53.10 45.90 0.24 8.50 777.5
4 25 56.10 45.10 0.01 9.60 787.1
4 26 61.50 46.80 0.00 13.15 800.2
4 27 61.00 46.00 0.00 12.50 812.7
4 28 61.90 46.60 0.00 13.25 826.0
4 29 56.70 50.90 0.00 12.80 838.8
4 30 70.00 41.00 0.01 14.50 853.3 Peak pheromone trap catch
5 1 79.90 51.10 0.00 24.50 877.8
5 2 84.70 59.00 0.00 30.85 908.6
5 3 73.40 56.50 0.00 23.95 932.6
5 4 61.00 51.80 0.17 15.40 948.0
5 5 74.10 52.70 0.00 22.40 970.4 Peak female adult emergence
5 6 83.50 54.90 0.00 28.20 998.6
5 7 80.40 55.80 0.00 27.10 1025.7 Peak egg laying
5 8 63.70 48.00 0.16 14.85 1040.5
5 9 68.40 43.70 0.00 15.05 1055.6
5 10 75.20 50.90 0.00 22.05 1077.6
5 11 66.20 51.30 0.01 17.75 1095.4
5 12 75.90 51.30 0.00 22.60 1118.0
5 13 81.00 65.10 0.00 32.05 1150.0
5 14 78.10 56.50 0.00 26.30 1176.3
5 15 61.90 55.80 0.00 17.85 1194.2
5 16 62.40 52.70 0.00 16.55 1210.7
5 17 70.00 54.50 0.00 21.25 1232.0
5 18 64.00 51.40 0.21 16.70 1248.7
5 19 58.50 47.30 0.39 11.90 1260.6
5 20 68.00 49.10 0.22 17.55 1278.1 Peak egg hatch
5 21 62.40 52.30 0.20 16.35 1294.5
5 22 58.60 51.60 0.03 14.10 1308.6
5 23 58.30 51.60 0.10 13.95 1322.5
5 24 63.50 52.70 0.00 17.10 1339.6
5 25 67.10 54.50 0.00 19.80 1359.4
5 26 57.70 52.00 0.04 13.85 1373.3
5 27 55.00 47.70 0.14 10.35 1383.6
5 28 52.90 47.30 0.61 9.10 1392.7
5 29 61.70 49.80 0.19 14.75 1407.5
5 30 70.90 47.10 0.00 18.00 1425.5
5 31 77.20 54.50 0.00 24.85 1450.3
6 1 71.80 54.90 0.09 22.35 1472.7
6 2 66.40 56.30 0.75 20.35 1493.0
6 3 76.60 55.00 0.01 24.80 1517.8
6 4 87.30 63.00 0.00 34.15 1552.0
6 5 91.60 68.70 0.00 39.15 1591.1
6 6 82.40 60.30 0.01 30.35 1621.5
6 7 81.90 54.50 0.00 27.20 1648.7
6 8 68.70 54.50 0.01 20.60 1669.3
6 9 60.40 55.20 0.02 16.80 1686.1
6 10 63.10 52.70 0.33 16.90 1703.0
6 11 59.50 50.90 0.06 14.20 1717.2
6 12 66.70 50.50 0.00 17.60 1734.8
6 13 57.70 51.60 0.23 13.65 1748.4
6 14 58.60 47.10 0.06 11.85 1760.3
6 15 62.40 45.50 0.06 12.95 1773.2
6 16 63.90 44.80 0.00 13.35 1786.6
6 17 74.70 45.90 0.00 19.30 1805.9
6 18 56.80 50.70 0.71 12.75 1818.6
6 19 67.80 51.10 0.01 18.45 1837.1
6 20 71.10 54.30 0.00 21.70 1858.8
6 21 64.80 57.40 0.01 20.10 1878.9
6 22 73.00 55.00 0.00 23.00 1901.9 Mn
6 23 64.00 54.50 0.35 18.25 1920.1
6 24 60.40 53.40 0.11 15.90 1936.0
6 25 71.20 55.40 0.01 22.30 1958.3
6 26 81.10 54.70 0.00 26.90 1985.2
6 27 82.80 63.00 0.00 31.90 2017.1
6 28 78.60 57.40 0.00 27.00 2044.1
6 29 76.30 55.80 0.00 25.05 2069.2
6 30 72.90 55.40 0.00 23.15 2092.3 Peak in density large larvae
7 1 68.20 54.70 0.00 20.45 2112.8
7 2 75.20 58.60 0.00 25.90 2138.7
7 3 71.40 57.70 0.10 23.55 2162.2
7 4 64.90 55.40 0.02 19.15 2181.4
7 5 60.40 54.00 0.30 16.20 2197.6
7 6 73.20 51.30 0.01 21.25 2218.8
7 7 64.60 54.00 0.02 18.30 2237.1
7 8 70.20 58.60 0.16 23.40 2260.5
7 9 67.80 57.00 0.74 21.40 2281.9
7 10 69.30 55.60 0.01 21.45 2303.4
7 11 68.40 56.50 0.01 21.45 2324.8
7 12 71.20 54.10 0.02 21.65 2346.5
7 13 72.70 59.40 0.00 25.05 2371.5
7 14 74.10 56.30 0.01 24.20 2395.7
7 15 66.60 51.30 0.00 17.95 2413.7
7 16 68.50 58.10 0.02 22.30 2436.0
7 17 74.10 57.40 0.21 24.75 2460.7
7 18 76.60 56.80 0.00 25.70 2486.4
7 19 70.90 61.20 0.00 25.05 2511.5
7 20 77.70 54.00 0.01 24.85 2536.3
7 21 84.00 57.90 0.00 29.95 2566.3
7 22 72.90 57.60 0.02 24.25 2590.5
7 23 72.10 57.90 0.00 24.00 2614.5
7 24 79.90 54.50 0.00 26.20 2640.7
7 25 82.40 55.60 0.00 28.00 2668.7
7 26 79.70 58.80 0.00 28.25 2697.0
7 27 84.70 56.70 0.00 29.70 2726.7
7 28 86.00 57.40 0.00 30.70 2757.4
7 29 86.20 59.40 0.00 31.80 2789.2
7 30 76.80 59.50 0.00 27.15 2816.3
7 31 73.90 57.70 0.00 24.80 2841.1
8 1 79.30 53.60 0.01 25.45 2866.6
8 2 61.50 57.90 0.02 18.70 2885.3
8 3 67.50 58.60 0.02 22.05 2907.3
8 4 79.00 58.10 0.00 27.55 2934.9
8 5 75.20 54.50 0.01 23.85 2958.7
8 6 72.10 48.90 0.00 19.50 2978.2
8 7 67.10 49.60 0.00 17.35 2995.6
8 8 70.00 57.20 0.00 22.60 3018.2
8 9 66.70 59.50 0.01 22.10 3040.3
8 10 74.50 60.40 0.00 26.45 3066.7
8 11 83.70 54.30 0.00 28.00 3094.7
8 12 88.20 58.10 0.00 32.15 3126.9
8 13 86.50 60.60 0.00 32.55 3159.4
8 14 81.30 58.10 0.00 28.70 3188.1
8 15 82.20 53.20 0.00 26.70 3214.8
8 16 81.30 55.60 0.00 27.45 3242.3
8 17 82.60 53.20 0.00 26.90 3269.2
8 18 94.50 58.30 0.00 35.40 3304.6
8 19 94.10 61.90 0.00 37.00 3341.6
8 20 89.20 58.30 0.01 32.75 3374.3
8 21 74.10 55.20 0.00 23.65 3398.0
8 22 69.60 53.40 0.00 20.50 3418.5
8 23 80.60 51.10 0.00 24.85 3443.3
8 24 89.80 62.20 0.00 35.00 3478.3
8 25 91.40 63.30 0.00 36.35 3514.7
8 26 90.00 64.80 0.00 36.40 3551.1
8 27 74.50 61.30 0.00 26.90 3578.0
8 28 70.50 57.20 0.00 22.85 3600.8
8 29 80.40 53.10 0.00 25.75 3626.6
8 30 72.30 50.40 0.00 20.35 3646.9
8 31 66.00 56.50 0.06 20.25 3667.2
9 1 66.00 56.50 0.56 20.25 3687.4
9 2 62.80 54.70 0.07 17.75 3705.2
9 3 66.00 50.90 0.04 17.45 3722.6
9 4 70.20 47.30 0.00 17.75 3740.4
9 5 61.50 55.40 0.00 17.45 3757.8
9 6 65.80 54.50 0.01 19.15 3777.0
9 7 64.00 56.10 0.05 19.05 3796.0
9 8 66.60 52.30 0.13 18.45 3814.5
9 9 71.10 48.00 0.00 18.55 3833.0
9 10 72.70 55.60 0.00 23.15 3856.2
9 11 73.60 54.30 0.02 22.95 3879.1
9 12 75.70 57.00 0.00 25.35 3904.5
9 13 78.40 54.10 0.00 25.25 3929.7
9 14 75.90 47.30 0.00 20.60 3950.3
9 15 75.90 46.60 0.00 20.25 3970.6
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988Location: 2016 CWZA Agassiz Auto RePting | Date | DDs | Event |
| 4-30-16 | 853 | Peak pheromone trap catch |
| 5-5-16 | 970 | Peak female adult emergence |
| 5-7-16 | 1026 | Peak egg laying |
| 5-20-16 | 1278 | Peak egg hatch |
| 6-30-16 | 2092 | Peak in density large larvae |
![degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988](/cgi-bin/ddplotj.pl?2131467)
