Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2017 CRVO Agrimet CORVALLIS OR Lat44.6342 Long-123.1897 Elev:230 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 38.60 33.00 0.35 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 34.20 29.40 0.03 0.00 0.0 1 3 35.40 27.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 4 35.80 25.10 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 34.30 19.90 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 6 35.10 15.50 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 7 28.30 24.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 8 35.20 27.90 1.22 0.00 0.0 1 9 40.20 35.30 0.62 0.00 0.0 1 10 38.80 33.30 1.04 0.00 0.0 1 11 35.50 30.80 0.10 0.00 0.0 1 12 33.40 26.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 13 30.20 20.50 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 14 31.30 20.50 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 15 33.10 20.90 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 16 38.40 24.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 17 49.30 27.40 0.49 2.26 2.3 1 18 53.90 44.60 0.47 8.25 10.5 1 19 50.20 39.70 0.11 4.15 14.7 1 20 51.60 37.40 0.12 4.29 18.9 1 21 46.80 37.80 0.44 2.14 21.1 1 22 50.10 36.70 0.16 3.47 24.6 1 23 51.00 31.00 0.01 3.18 27.7 1 24 47.20 28.60 0.00 1.58 29.3 1 25 44.60 36.30 0.01 1.06 30.4 1 26 52.00 36.20 0.01 4.26 34.6 1 27 40.80 32.10 0.00 0.00 34.6 1 28 38.40 33.20 0.01 0.00 34.6 1 29 45.00 34.30 0.00 1.08 35.7 1 30 47.90 37.90 0.00 2.66 38.4 1 31 45.80 36.40 0.04 1.55 39.9 2 1 41.10 34.90 0.00 0.01 39.9 2 2 43.10 33.80 0.01 0.43 40.4 2 3 45.60 30.20 0.91 1.10 41.5 2 4 51.90 47.00 0.62 8.45 49.9 2 5 47.00 37.40 2.01 2.18 52.1 2 6 43.60 36.30 0.27 0.69 52.8 2 7 40.70 35.40 0.19 0.00 52.8 2 8 51.10 39.10 0.83 4.43 57.2 2 9 58.60 46.20 0.66 11.40 68.6 2 10 50.20 37.40 0.15 3.64 72.2 2 11 50.80 34.70 0.01 3.50 75.7 2 12 48.00 32.40 0.00 2.10 77.8 2 13 54.40 33.80 0.00 4.98 82.8 2 14 49.60 31.00 0.04 2.62 85.4 2 15 55.20 44.80 0.78 9.00 94.4 2 16 54.40 45.80 1.39 9.10 103.5 2 17 53.30 41.40 0.00 6.35 109.9 2 18 51.60 43.70 0.16 6.65 116.5 2 19 50.40 39.00 0.33 4.06 120.6 2 20 51.60 42.40 0.74 6.00 126.6 2 21 46.10 39.20 0.88 2.05 128.6 2 22 45.80 34.00 0.10 1.36 130.0 2 23 44.10 32.70 0.01 0.71 130.7 2 24 40.40 32.20 0.10 0.00 130.7 2 25 46.80 33.50 0.01 1.71 132.4 2 26 44.00 32.80 0.26 0.68 133.1 2 27 43.00 32.20 0.09 0.37 133.5 2 28 48.20 34.80 0.13 2.39 135.9 3 1 51.60 38.10 0.01 4.43 140.3 3 2 49.40 34.30 0.01 2.84 143.1 3 3 49.60 42.20 0.33 4.90 148.0 3 4 46.90 36.40 0.09 2.01 150.0 3 5 43.10 33.50 0.41 0.43 150.5 3 6 44.00 32.60 0.73 0.67 151.1 3 7 48.30 40.10 0.37 3.33 154.5 3 8 52.30 44.20 0.16 7.25 161.7 3 9 58.00 50.00 0.47 13.00 174.7 3 10 60.10 46.70 0.01 12.40 187.1 3 11 57.50 42.40 0.19 8.95 196.1 3 12 63.00 42.90 0.00 11.95 208.0 3 13 57.70 42.90 0.19 9.30 217.3 *Warning: using yesterdays min* 3 14 58.00 42.90 0.61 9.45 226.8 *Warning: using yesterdays min* 3 15 55.00 46.10 0.45 9.55 236.3 3 16 56.40 35.60 0.00 6.20 242.5 3 17 52.30 36.50 0.09 4.45 247.0 3 18 56.20 40.60 0.30 7.43 254.4 3 19 54.20 34.70 0.00 5.02 259.4 3 20 48.40 44.10 0.20 5.25 264.7 3 21 62.90 44.80 0.12 12.85 277.5 3 22 52.70 42.80 0.09 6.75 284.3 3 23 55.80 33.50 0.24 5.57 289.8 3 24 54.40 45.30 0.00 8.85 298.7 3 25 53.50 43.50 0.00 7.50 306.2 3 26 52.50 43.10 0.25 6.80 313.0 3 27 52.70 43.30 0.09 7.00 320.0 3 28 61.60 45.90 0.05 12.75 332.7 3 29 53.90 45.80 0.45 8.85 341.6 3 30 56.90 38.80 0.01 7.18 348.8 3 31 56.80 32.50 0.01 5.87 354.6 4 1 59.00 42.50 0.04 9.75 364.4 4 2 55.60 40.20 0.03 6.98 371.4 4 3 54.40 33.60 0.00 4.95 376.3 4 4 58.90 38.70 0.00 8.13 384.5 Hx Hn 4 5 59.10 44.80 0.00 10.95 395.4 4 6 63.70 46.30 0.17 14.00 409.4 4 7 54.10 42.60 0.38 7.35 416.8 4 8 52.60 39.00 0.03 5.13 421.9 4 9 55.70 37.40 0.13 6.24 428.1 4 10 56.80 41.20 0.05 8.00 436.1 4 11 50.40 40.70 0.28 4.57 440.7 4 12 58.90 44.70 0.13 10.80 451.5 4 13 52.80 43.10 0.04 6.95 458.4 4 14 53.70 38.10 0.03 5.44 463.9 4 15 58.80 33.30 0.00 6.91 470.8 4 16 61.20 42.90 0.28 11.05 481.8 4 17 58.70 45.10 0.44 10.90 492.7 4 18 63.30 47.10 0.06 14.20 506.9 4 19 58.30 43.40 0.20 9.85 516.8 4 20 59.80 42.50 0.19 10.15 526.9 4 21 66.20 38.10 0.00 11.55 538.5 4 22 61.50 47.30 0.04 13.40 551.9 4 23 56.40 46.40 0.09 10.40 562.3 4 24 57.50 45.80 0.27 10.65 572.9 4 25 53.60 43.50 0.22 7.55 580.5
DD accumulation on 4-25-17: 580QA 100% ok    
  
This year is about  versus  QA
 25 days behind 2016 ok
 32 days behind 2015 ok
 2 days behind 30-yr normal ok
Forecast using:  Fox - IPPC forecast for CRVO data
  4 26  56.00 42.20  0.38   8.10    588.6  0.381_1.30%_precip.    
  4 27  53.30 33.70  0.13   4.47    593.1  0.134_0.28%_precip.    
  4 28  56.10 33.00  0.00   5.63    598.7  0.00_0.81%_precip.    
  4 29  61.00 31.60  0.05   7.64    606.3  0.049_2.06%_precip.    
  4 30  54.70 37.30  0.07   5.74    612.1  0.066_0.63%_precip.    
Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg CRVO 2006-2015
  5  1  62.70 38.90  0.05  10.07    622.1  *hist_fcst*    
  5  2  65.60 41.40  0.11  12.50    634.6  *hist_fcst*    
  5  3  64.30 42.50  0.16  12.40    647.0  *hist_fcst*    
  5  4  64.10 42.20  0.09  12.15    659.2  *hist_fcst*    
  5  5  64.60 41.20  0.12  11.90    671.1  *hist_fcst*    
  5  6  64.50 41.70  0.05  12.10    683.2  *hist_fcst*    
  5  7  64.40 41.90  0.06  12.15    695.3  *hist_fcst*    
  5  8  65.70 41.40  0.05  12.55    707.9  *hist_fcst*    
  5  9  65.80 41.00  0.09  12.40    720.3  *hist_fcst*    
  5 10  67.30 40.90  0.05  13.10    733.4  *hist_fcst*    
  5 11  67.90 42.50  0.03  14.20    747.6  *hist_fcst*    
  5 12  65.40 41.90  0.06  12.65    760.2  *hist_fcst*    
  5 13  65.30 42.70  0.04  13.00    773.2  *hist_fcst*    
  5 14  68.90 43.60  0.07  15.25    788.5  *hist_fcst*    
  5 15  73.50 45.60  0.00  18.55    807.0  *hist_fcst*    
  5 16  73.60 46.30  0.02  18.95    826.0  *hist_fcst*    
  5 17  73.80 46.60  0.03  19.20    845.2  *hist_fcst*    
  5 18  73.60 46.80  0.07  19.20    864.4  *hist_fcst*   peak pheromone trap catch
  5 19  71.30 45.80  0.09  17.55    881.9  *hist_fcst*    
  5 20  67.60 45.50  0.06  15.55    897.5  *hist_fcst*    
  5 21  67.20 46.60  0.10  15.90    913.4  *hist_fcst*    
  5 22  64.50 45.30  0.14  13.90    927.3  *hist_fcst*    
  5 23  63.30 45.20  0.09  13.25    940.5  *hist_fcst*    
  5 24  63.50 46.30  0.12  13.90    954.4  *hist_fcst*   peak female adult emergence
  5 25  66.70 46.10  0.08  15.40    969.8  *hist_fcst*    
  5 26  67.70 45.80  0.09  15.75    985.6  *hist_fcst*    
  5 27  65.60 47.50  0.11  15.55   1001.1  *hist_fcst*   peak egg laying
  5 28  65.20 46.50  0.13  14.85   1016.0  *hist_fcst*    
  5 29  66.90 45.90  0.05  15.40   1031.4  *hist_fcst*    
  5 30  70.50 46.80  0.00  17.65   1049.0  *hist_fcst*    
  5 31  74.50 47.40  0.09  19.95   1069.0  *hist_fcst*    
  6  1  73.50 48.20  0.06  19.85   1088.8  *hist_fcst*    
  6  2  70.50 49.40  0.18  18.95   1107.8  *hist_fcst*    
  6  3  70.10 48.60  0.13  18.35   1126.1  *hist_fcst*    
  6  4  71.10 49.30  0.15  19.20   1145.3  *hist_fcst*    
  6  5  72.20 49.70  0.08  19.95   1165.3  *hist_fcst*    
  6  6  71.80 48.30  0.04  19.05   1184.3  *hist_fcst*    
  6  7  71.20 49.40  0.05  19.30   1203.6  *hist_fcst*    
  6  8  70.90 48.90  0.01  18.90   1222.5  *hist_fcst*    
  6  9  72.90 48.30  0.04  19.60   1242.1  *hist_fcst*    
  6 10  69.50 47.30  0.04  17.40   1259.5  *hist_fcst*    
  6 11  68.00 47.50  0.00  16.75   1276.3  *hist_fcst*   peak egg hatch
  6 12  71.30 46.90  0.01  18.10   1294.4  *hist_fcst*    
  6 13  71.50 48.70  0.06  19.10   1313.5  *hist_fcst*    
  6 14  70.30 48.60  0.02  18.45   1331.9  *hist_fcst*    
  6 15  70.80 47.50  0.00  18.15   1350.1  *hist_fcst*    
  6 16  72.00 47.60  0.01  18.80   1368.9  *hist_fcst*    
  6 17  72.10 47.50  0.01  18.80   1387.7  *hist_fcst*    
  6 18  71.20 47.40  0.00  18.30   1406.0  *hist_fcst*    
  6 19  70.60 47.50  0.01  18.05   1424.0  *hist_fcst*    
  6 20  72.50 48.10  0.02  19.30   1443.3  *hist_fcst*    
  6 21  74.00 48.80  0.03  20.40   1463.7  *hist_fcst*    
  6 22  75.90 48.70  0.00  21.30   1485.0  *hist_fcst*    
  6 23  73.80 47.90  0.04  19.85   1504.9  *hist_fcst*    
  6 24  75.20 48.20  0.03  20.70   1525.6  *hist_fcst*    
  6 25  76.70 50.00  0.02  22.35   1547.9  *hist_fcst*    
  6 26  76.30 51.30  0.09  22.80   1570.7  *hist_fcst*    
  6 27  79.10 52.20  0.05  24.65   1595.4  *hist_fcst*    
  6 28  81.80 52.90  0.01  26.35   1621.7  *hist_fcst*    
  6 29  79.50 54.10  0.02  25.80   1647.5  *hist_fcst*    
  6 30  78.20 52.80  0.00  24.50   1672.0  *hist_fcst*    
  7  1  81.00 51.60  0.03  25.30   1697.3  *hist_fcst*    
  7  2  83.50 52.10  0.00  26.80   1724.1  *hist_fcst*    
  7  3  84.00 52.60  0.01  27.30   1751.4  *hist_fcst*    
  7  4  81.70 51.40  0.00  25.55   1777.0  *hist_fcst*    
  7  5  81.80 51.00  0.01  25.40   1802.4  *hist_fcst*    
  7  6  79.80 51.60  0.00  24.70   1827.1  *hist_fcst*    
  7  7  81.40 51.20  0.00  25.30   1852.4  *hist_fcst*    
  7  8  83.40 51.00  0.00  26.20   1878.6  *hist_fcst*    
  7  9  86.00 53.00  0.00  28.50   1907.1  *hist_fcst*    
  7 10  86.40 53.70  0.00  29.05   1936.1  *hist_fcst*    
  7 11  84.50 53.10  0.00  27.80   1963.9  *hist_fcst*    
  7 12  80.40 53.80  0.02  26.10   1990.0  *hist_fcst*    
  7 13  79.20 53.60  0.10  25.40   2015.4  *hist_fcst*    
  7 14  80.10 52.60  0.02  25.35   2040.8  *hist_fcst*    
  7 15  84.90 53.50  0.00  28.20   2069.0  *hist_fcst*    
  7 16  85.00 53.60  0.04  28.30   2097.3  *hist_fcst*   peak in density large larvae
  7 17  82.70 54.00  0.03  27.35   2124.6  *hist_fcst*    
  7 18  80.30 52.80  0.06  25.55   2150.2  *hist_fcst*    
  7 19  80.30 52.80  0.02  25.55   2175.7  *hist_fcst*    
  7 20  82.40 53.20  0.00  26.80   2202.5  *hist_fcst*    
  7 21  81.50 52.80  0.01  26.15   2228.7  *hist_fcst*    
  7 22  83.00 53.70  0.00  27.35   2256.0  *hist_fcst*    
  7 23  80.50 54.10  0.01  26.30   2282.3  *hist_fcst*    
  7 24  82.40 53.30  0.03  26.85   2309.2  *hist_fcst*    
  7 25  86.10 53.40  0.00  28.75   2337.9  *hist_fcst*    
  7 26  84.90 52.20  0.00  27.55   2365.5  *hist_fcst*    
  7 27  84.60 52.10  0.00  27.35   2392.8  *hist_fcst*    
  7 28  84.50 53.10  0.00  27.80   2420.6  *hist_fcst*    
  7 29  85.20 52.60  0.00  27.90   2448.5  *hist_fcst*    
  7 30  84.00 53.40  0.00  27.70   2476.2  *hist_fcst*    
  7 31  83.60 52.20  0.00  26.90   2503.1  *hist_fcst*    
  8  1  85.10 53.00  0.01  28.05   2531.2  *hist_fcst*    
  8  2  83.90 53.80  0.00  27.85   2559.0  *hist_fcst*    
  8  3  83.00 52.40  0.00  26.70   2585.7  *hist_fcst*    
  8  4  84.30 51.70  0.00  27.00   2612.7  *hist_fcst*    
  8  5  86.00 51.50  0.00  27.75   2640.5  *hist_fcst*    
  8  6  85.30 52.50  0.00  27.90   2668.4  *hist_fcst*    
  8  7  82.90 53.00  0.00  26.95   2695.3  *hist_fcst*    
  8  8  80.50 51.70  0.00  25.10   2720.4  *hist_fcst*    
  8  9  78.90 52.90  0.00  24.90   2745.3  *hist_fcst*    
  8 10  80.40 51.70  0.00  25.05   2770.4  *hist_fcst*    
  8 11  81.30 51.20  0.00  25.25   2795.6  *hist_fcst*    
  8 12  83.50 52.80  0.02  27.15   2822.8  *hist_fcst*    
  8 13  82.30 51.60  0.00  25.95   2848.7  *hist_fcst*    
  8 14  84.10 51.80  0.00  26.95   2875.7  *hist_fcst*    
  8 15  85.70 53.50  0.01  28.60   2904.3  *hist_fcst*    
  8 16  83.40 53.90  0.00  27.65   2931.9  *hist_fcst*    
  8 17  85.60 53.30  0.01  28.45   2960.4  *hist_fcst*    
  8 18  85.90 53.50  0.00  28.70   2989.1  *hist_fcst*    
  8 19  84.50 54.10  0.06  28.30   3017.4  *hist_fcst*    
  8 20  84.30 53.60  0.03  27.95   3045.3  *hist_fcst*    
  8 21  80.80 51.80  0.05  25.30   3070.6  *hist_fcst*    
  8 22  79.90 50.60  0.01  24.25   3094.9  *hist_fcst*    
  8 23  80.20 50.70  0.00  24.45   3119.3  *hist_fcst*    
  8 24  81.30 50.80  0.00  25.05   3144.4  *hist_fcst*    
  8 25  83.00 51.00  0.04  26.00   3170.4  *hist_fcst*    
  8 26  82.40 50.80  0.01  25.60   3196.0  *hist_fcst*    
  8 27  83.00 50.90  0.00  25.95   3221.9  *hist_fcst*    
  8 28  84.60 51.70  0.00  27.15   3249.1  *hist_fcst*    
  8 29  81.80 52.10  0.03  25.95   3275.0  *hist_fcst*    
  8 30  77.50 52.30  0.05  23.90   3298.9  *hist_fcst*    
  8 31  75.50 50.70  0.04  22.10   3321.0  *hist_fcst*    
  9  1  76.10 48.50  0.01  21.30   3342.3  *hist_fcst*    
  9  2  79.80 49.50  0.00  23.65   3366.0  *hist_fcst*    
  9  3  81.30 49.30  0.01  24.30   3390.3  *hist_fcst*    
  9  4  81.30 49.20  0.04  24.25   3414.5  *hist_fcst*    
  9  5  79.50 49.70  0.04  23.60   3438.1  *hist_fcst*    
  9  6  79.50 50.20  0.34  23.85   3462.0  *hist_fcst*    
  9  7  80.30 48.90  0.01  23.60   3485.6  *hist_fcst*    
  9  8  80.30 50.00  0.04  24.15   3509.7  *hist_fcst*    
  9  9  80.20 49.80  0.01  24.00   3533.7  *hist_fcst*    
  9 10  80.30 51.10  0.00  24.70   3558.4  *hist_fcst*    
  9 11  83.10 49.70  0.00  25.40   3583.8  *hist_fcst*    
  9 12  85.70 49.60  0.00  26.65   3610.5  *hist_fcst*    
  9 13  83.70 48.60  0.00  25.15   3635.6  *hist_fcst*    
  9 14  77.20 50.20  0.00  22.70   3658.3  *hist_fcst*    
  9 15  76.80 49.40  0.01  22.10   3680.4  *hist_fcst*    
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2017 CRVO CORVALLIS OR
DD accumulation on 4-14-17: 674 QA 98% ok  - check weather data/Consider using a different Station! QA 98% ok  - show detailsDD accumulation on 4-25-17: 580 QA 100% ok  - show details 
  
This year is about  versus  QA
 25 days behind 2016 ok
 32 days behind 2015 ok
 2 days behind 30-yr normal ok
DateDDsEvent
 5-18-17 864peak pheromone trap catch
 5-24-17 954peak female adult emergence
 5-27-17 1001peak egg laying
 6-11-17 1276peak egg hatch
 7-16-17 2097peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)