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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Knight 1988
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
No ending date, set to: default date 12 31
Model validation status: partly validated
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch
2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence
3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying
4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch
5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2015 MWQGV PDTWFO Grandview WA Lat46.2528 Long-119.8939 Elev:833
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 24.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START *
1 2 25.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 3 28.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 4 31.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 5 58.00 35.00 0.00 6.84 6.8
1 6 47.00 33.00 0.00 1.75 8.6
1 7 39.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 8.6
1 8 34.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 8.6
1 9 38.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 8.6
1 10 37.00 33.00 0.00 0.00 8.6
1 11 39.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 8.6
1 12 42.00 35.00 0.00 0.16 8.8
1 13 38.00 36.00 0.00 0.00 8.8
1 14 37.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 8.8
1 15 38.00 33.00 0.00 0.00 8.8
1 16 42.00 30.00 0.00 0.12 8.9
1 17 33.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 8.9
1 18 58.00 31.00 0.00 6.19 15.1
1 19 53.00 32.00 0.00 4.13 19.2
1 20 47.00 28.00 0.00 1.48 20.7
1 21 30.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 20.7
1 22 36.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 20.7
1 23 36.00 33.00 0.00 0.00 20.7
1 24 46.00 32.00 0.00 1.32 22.0
1 25 40.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 22.0
1 26 37.00 35.00 0.00 0.00 22.0
1 27 36.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 22.0
1 28 37.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 22.0
1 29 36.00 33.00 0.00 0.00 22.0
1 30 38.50 35.70 0.00 0.00 22.0 Vx Vn
1 31 38.00 35.10 0.00 0.00 22.0 Vx Vn
2 1 38.00 35.20 0.00 0.00 22.0 Vx Vn
2 2 41.10 32.00 0.00 0.00 22.0 Vx Vn
2 3 43.00 34.30 0.00 0.42 22.4 Vx Vn
2 4 43.70 37.90 0.00 0.83 23.2 Vx Vn
2 5 50.80 39.60 0.00 4.41 27.7 Vx Vn
2 6 59.60 43.20 0.00 10.40 38.1 Vx Vn
2 7 62.50 48.20 0.00 14.35 52.4 Vx Vn
2 8 54.70 46.60 0.00 9.65 62.1 Vx Vn
2 9 52.50 39.10 0.00 5.11 67.2 Vx Vn
2 10 61.40 45.40 0.00 12.40 79.6 Vx Vn
2 11 52.20 38.10 0.00 4.72 84.3 Vx Vn
2 12 57.50 38.60 0.00 7.42 91.7 Vx Vn
2 13 58.80 36.20 0.00 7.46 99.2 Vx Vn
2 14 62.20 36.50 0.00 9.16 108.3 Vx Vn
2 15 57.10 34.60 0.00 6.34 114.7 Vx Vn
2 16 53.90 32.20 0.00 4.54 119.2 Vx Vn
2 17 55.20 31.10 0.00 4.97 124.2 Vx Vn
2 18 53.30 30.10 0.00 4.05 128.2 Vx Vn
2 19 58.30 33.10 0.00 6.64 134.9 Vx Vn
2 20 59.30 35.70 0.00 7.59 142.5 Vx Vn
2 21 52.20 39.00 0.00 4.94 147.4 Vx Vn
2 22 47.10 27.80 0.00 1.51 148.9 Vx Vn
2 23 50.80 23.10 0.00 2.57 151.5 Vx Vn
2 24 53.20 27.50 0.00 3.77 155.2 Vx Vn
2 25 53.70 31.80 0.00 4.40 159.7 Vx Vn
2 26 55.50 41.60 0.00 7.55 167.2 Vx Vn
2 27 47.50 40.70 0.00 3.13 170.3 Vx Vn
2 28 49.90 32.20 0.00 2.84 173.2 Vx Vn
3 1 51.00 24.60 0.00 2.73 175.9 Vx Vn
3 2 49.10 34.10 0.00 2.69 178.6 Vx Vn
3 3 48.00 29.80 0.00 1.92 180.5 Vx Vn
3 4 55.10 24.00 0.00 4.25 184.8 Vx Vn
3 5 55.70 27.30 0.00 4.77 189.5 Vx Vn
3 6 63.80 33.40 0.00 9.26 198.8 Vx Vn
3 7 64.80 35.30 0.00 10.13 208.9 Vx Vn
3 8 66.50 34.10 0.00 10.68 219.6 Vx Vn
3 9 73.10 37.10 0.00 14.65 234.3 Vx Vn
3 10 67.00 36.40 0.00 11.47 245.7 Vx Vn
3 11 64.40 52.30 0.00 17.35 263.1 Vx Vn
3 12 57.40 34.30 0.00 6.43 269.5 Hx Hn
3 13 57.70 34.60 0.00 6.62 276.1 Hx Hn
3 14 67.30 52.20 0.00 18.75 294.9 Vx Vn
3 15 58.50 35.10 0.00 7.09 302.0 Hx Hn
3 16 57.60 36.60 0.00 6.97 308.9 Vx Vn
3 17 59.80 46.20 0.00 12.00 320.9 Vx Vn
3 18 63.80 38.30 0.00 10.43 331.4 Vx Vn
3 19 64.30 37.60 0.00 10.47 341.8 Vx Vn
3 20 62.20 40.40 0.00 10.34 352.2 Vx Vn
3 21 60.40 36.40 0.00 8.27 360.5 Hx Hn
3 22 60.70 36.60 0.00 8.46 368.9 Hx Hn
3 23 61.00 36.70 0.00 8.63 377.6 Hx Hn
3 24 61.20 36.90 0.00 8.78 386.3 Hx Hn
3 25 61.50 37.10 0.00 8.97 395.3 Hx Hn
3 26 71.80 44.70 0.00 17.25 412.6 Vx Vn
3 27 62.00 37.40 0.00 9.29 421.8 Hx Hn
3 28 64.00 47.00 0.00 14.50 436.3
3 29 69.00 40.00 0.00 13.58 449.9
3 30 68.00 40.00 0.00 13.08 463.0
3 31 61.00 45.00 0.00 12.00 475.0
4 1 59.00 33.00 0.00 6.95 482.0
4 2 59.00 31.00 0.00 6.64 488.6
4 3 61.00 36.00 0.00 8.47 497.1
4 4 57.00 29.00 0.00 5.50 502.6
4 5 51.00 30.00 0.00 3.10 505.7
4 6 59.00 41.00 0.00 9.00 514.7
4 7 61.00 40.00 0.00 9.59 524.3
4 8 62.00 43.00 0.00 11.50 535.8
4 9 63.00 35.00 0.00 9.21 545.0
4 10 67.00 36.00 0.00 11.37 556.3
4 11 58.00 42.00 0.00 9.00 565.3
4 12 58.00 34.00 0.00 6.66 572.0
4 13 62.00 38.00 0.00 9.46 581.4
4 14 59.00 40.00 0.00 8.60 590.0
4 15 61.00 32.00 0.00 7.70 597.7
4 16 65.00 33.00 0.00 9.74 607.5
4 17 73.00 36.00 0.00 14.29 621.8
4 18 72.00 43.00 0.00 16.50 638.3
4 19 74.00 40.00 0.00 16.07 654.3
4 20 77.00 41.00 0.00 18.00 672.3
4 21 80.00 45.00 0.00 21.50 693.8
4 22 65.00 40.00 0.00 11.58 705.4
4 23 62.00 38.00 0.00 9.46 714.9
4 24 60.00 40.00 0.00 9.10 724.0
4 25 62.00 39.00 0.00 9.75 733.7
4 26 65.00 34.00 0.00 9.95 743.7
4 27 74.00 47.00 0.00 19.50 763.2
4 28 80.00 45.00 0.00 21.50 784.7
4 29 66.00 43.00 0.00 13.50 798.2
4 30 71.00 38.00 0.00 13.89 812.1
5 1 82.00 48.00 0.00 24.00 836.1
5 2 71.00 43.00 0.00 16.00 852.1 Peak pheromone trap catch
5 3 74.00 41.00 0.00 16.50 868.6
5 4 80.00 43.00 0.00 20.50 889.1
5 5 65.00 44.00 0.00 13.50 902.6
5 6 62.00 36.00 0.00 8.95 911.5 Vx
5 7 72.80 45.40 0.00 18.10 929.6 Vx Vn
5 8 76.00 46.00 0.00 20.00 949.6
5 9 77.00 42.00 0.00 18.50 968.1 Peak female adult emergence
5 10 78.00 45.00 0.00 20.50 988.6
5 11 72.00 50.00 0.00 20.00 1008.6 Peak egg laying
5 12 64.00 50.00 0.00 16.00 1024.6
5 13 57.00 47.00 0.00 11.00 1035.6
5 14 70.00 42.00 0.00 15.00 1050.6
5 15 73.00 46.00 0.00 18.50 1069.1
5 16 74.00 54.00 0.00 23.00 1092.1
5 17 72.00 49.00 0.00 19.50 1111.6
5 18 76.00 55.00 0.00 24.50 1136.1
5 19 78.00 53.00 0.00 24.50 1160.6
5 20 80.00 54.00 0.00 26.00 1186.6
5 21 81.00 60.00 0.00 29.50 1216.1
5 22 77.00 57.00 0.00 26.00 1242.1
5 23 80.00 56.00 0.00 27.00 1269.1
5 24 81.00 53.00 0.00 26.00 1295.1 Peak egg hatch
5 25 77.00 58.00 0.00 26.50 1321.6
5 26 76.00 56.00 0.00 25.00 1346.6
5 27 80.00 57.00 0.00 27.50 1374.1
5 28 84.00 55.00 0.00 28.50 1402.6
5 29 87.00 58.00 0.00 31.50 1434.1
5 30 88.00 63.00 0.00 34.50 1468.6
5 31 85.00 59.00 0.00 31.00 1499.6
6 1 83.00 62.00 0.00 31.50 1531.1
6 2 74.00 60.00 0.00 26.00 1557.1
6 3 74.00 54.00 0.00 23.00 1580.1
6 4 79.00 52.00 0.00 24.50 1604.6
6 5 86.00 55.00 0.00 29.50 1634.1
6 6 90.00 58.00 0.00 33.00 1667.1
6 7 95.00 59.00 0.00 36.00 1703.1
6 8 99.00 64.00 0.00 40.50 1743.6
6 9 94.00 64.00 0.00 38.00 1781.6
6 10 93.00 57.00 0.00 34.00 1815.6
6 11 93.00 58.00 0.00 34.50 1850.1
6 12 83.00 57.00 0.00 29.00 1879.1
6 13 78.00 50.00 0.00 23.00 1902.1
6 14 83.00 49.00 0.00 25.00 1927.1
6 15 87.00 52.00 0.00 28.50 1955.6
6 16 90.00 56.00 0.00 32.00 1987.6
6 17 90.00 53.00 0.00 30.50 2018.1
6 18 89.00 60.00 0.00 33.50 2051.6
6 19 81.00 56.00 0.00 27.50 2079.1 Peak in density large larvae
6 20 82.00 53.00 0.00 26.50 2105.6
6 21 79.00 61.00 0.00 29.00 2134.6
6 22 86.00 54.00 0.00 29.00 2163.6
6 23 86.00 55.00 0.00 29.50 2193.1
6 24 89.00 63.00 0.00 35.00 2228.1
6 25 93.00 59.00 0.00 35.00 2263.1
6 26 98.00 63.00 0.00 39.50 2302.6
6 27 102.00 67.00 0.00 43.50 2346.1
6 28 100.00 69.00 0.00 43.50 2389.6
6 29 99.00 75.00 0.00 46.00 2435.6
6 30 97.00 67.00 0.00 41.00 2476.6
7 1 97.00 66.00 0.00 40.50 2517.1
7 2 99.00 65.00 0.00 41.00 2558.1
7 3 102.00 65.00 0.00 42.50 2600.6
7 4 98.00 64.00 0.00 40.00 2640.6
7 5 95.00 71.00 0.00 42.00 2682.6
7 6 96.00 64.00 0.00 39.00 2721.6
7 7 96.00 64.00 0.00 39.00 2760.6
7 8 97.00 66.00 0.00 40.50 2801.1
7 9 97.00 64.00 0.00 39.50 2840.6
7 10 94.00 72.00 0.00 42.00 2882.6
7 11 84.00 65.00 0.00 33.50 2916.1
7 12 85.00 59.00 0.00 31.00 2947.1
7 13 84.00 61.00 0.00 31.50 2978.6
7 14 85.00 58.00 0.00 30.50 3009.1
7 15 88.00 59.00 0.00 32.50 3041.6
7 16 82.00 59.00 0.00 29.50 3071.1
7 17 85.00 55.00 0.00 29.00 3100.1
7 18 90.00 60.00 0.00 34.00 3134.1
7 19 98.00 59.00 0.00 37.50 3171.6
7 20 96.00 65.00 0.00 39.50 3211.1
7 21 86.00 57.00 0.00 30.50 3241.6
7 22 82.00 52.00 0.00 26.00 3267.6
7 23 86.00 52.00 0.00 28.00 3295.6
7 24 88.00 55.00 0.00 30.50 3326.1
7 25 78.00 61.00 0.00 28.50 3354.6
7 26 77.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 3377.1
7 27 79.00 53.00 0.00 25.00 3402.1
7 28 82.00 50.00 0.00 25.00 3427.1
7 29 90.00 52.00 0.00 30.00 3457.1
7 30 93.00 55.00 0.00 33.00 3490.1
7 31 99.00 60.00 0.00 38.50 3528.6
8 1 97.00 60.00 0.00 37.50 3566.1
8 2 96.00 60.00 0.00 37.00 3603.1
8 3 84.00 63.00 0.00 32.50 3635.6
8 4 91.20 58.00 0.00 33.60 3669.2 Vx
8 5 86.40 58.20 0.00 31.30 3700.5 Vx Vn
8 6 78.00 54.10 0.00 25.05 3725.6 Vn
8 7 85.00 53.00 0.00 28.00 3753.6
8 8 90.00 56.00 0.00 32.00 3785.6
8 9 82.00 58.00 0.00 29.00 3814.6
8 10 84.00 59.00 0.00 30.50 3845.1
8 11 93.00 60.00 0.00 35.50 3880.6
8 12 96.00 63.00 0.00 38.50 3919.1
8 13 95.00 65.00 0.00 39.00 3958.1
8 14 86.00 65.00 0.00 34.50 3992.6
8 15 79.00 57.00 0.00 27.00 4019.6
8 16 79.00 49.00 0.00 23.00 4042.6
8 17 85.00 53.00 0.00 28.00 4070.6
8 18 87.00 55.00 0.00 30.00 4100.6
8 19 92.00 60.00 0.00 35.00 4135.6 Vn
8 20 90.00 57.00 0.00 32.50 4168.1
8 21 81.00 55.00 0.00 27.00 4195.1
8 22 78.00 51.00 0.00 23.50 4218.6
8 23 80.00 49.00 0.00 23.50 4242.1
8 24 84.00 54.00 0.00 28.00 4270.1
8 25 86.00 56.00 0.00 30.00 4300.1
8 26 88.00 54.00 0.00 30.00 4330.1
8 27 92.00 59.00 0.00 34.50 4364.6
8 28 84.00 62.00 0.00 32.00 4396.6
8 29 78.00 58.00 0.00 27.00 4423.6
8 30 73.00 55.00 0.00 23.00 4446.6
8 31 77.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 4469.1
9 1 77.00 51.00 0.00 23.00 4492.1
9 2 73.00 56.00 0.00 23.50 4515.6
9 3 69.00 42.00 0.00 14.50 4530.1
9 4 67.00 45.00 0.00 15.00 4545.1
9 5 72.00 51.00 0.00 20.50 4565.6
9 6 68.00 44.00 0.00 15.00 4580.6
9 7 72.00 49.00 0.00 19.50 4600.1
9 8 80.00 48.00 0.00 23.00 4623.1
9 9 84.00 51.00 0.00 26.50 4649.6
9 10 83.00 51.00 0.00 26.00 4675.6
9 11 86.00 52.00 0.00 28.00 4703.6
9 12 90.00 54.00 0.00 31.00 4734.6
9 13 83.00 55.00 0.00 28.00 4762.6
9 14 65.00 50.00 0.00 16.50 4779.1
9 15 63.00 39.00 0.00 10.25 4789.3
9 16 68.00 41.00 0.00 13.50 4802.8
9 17 69.00 53.00 0.00 20.00 4822.8
9 18 72.00 47.00 0.00 18.50 4841.3
9 19 81.00 44.00 0.00 21.50 4862.8
9 20 84.00 54.00 0.00 28.00 4890.8
9 21 75.00 54.00 0.00 23.50 4914.3
9 22 72.00 46.00 0.00 18.00 4932.3
9 23 75.00 39.00 0.00 16.20 4948.5
9 24 75.00 48.00 0.00 20.50 4969.0
9 25 80.00 46.00 0.00 22.00 4991.0
9 26 73.00 54.00 0.00 22.50 5013.5
9 27 68.00 37.00 0.00 12.12 5025.6
9 28 72.00 37.00 0.00 14.08 5039.7
9 29 74.00 40.00 0.00 16.07 5055.8
9 30 76.00 42.00 0.00 18.00 5073.8
10 1 76.00 45.00 0.00 19.50 5093.3
10 2 80.00 46.00 0.00 22.00 5115.3
10 3 73.00 55.40 0.00 23.20 5138.5 Vn
10 4 72.00 55.00 0.00 22.50 5161.0
10 5 73.90 41.00 0.00 16.45 5177.4 Vx
10 6 75.00 43.00 0.00 18.00 5195.4
10 7 66.00 56.00 0.00 20.00 5215.4
10 8 68.00 56.00 0.00 21.00 5236.4
10 9 78.00 50.00 0.00 23.00 5259.4
10 10 80.00 57.00 0.00 27.50 5286.9 Vn
10 11 68.00 48.00 0.00 17.00 5303.9
10 12 74.00 43.00 0.00 17.50 5321.4
10 13 75.00 47.00 0.00 20.00 5341.4
10 14 71.00 43.00 0.00 16.00 5357.4
10 15 70.00 41.00 0.00 14.50 5371.9
10 16 69.00 43.00 0.00 15.00 5386.9
10 17 72.00 44.00 0.00 17.00 5403.9
10 18 68.00 51.00 0.00 18.50 5422.4
10 19 70.00 50.00 0.00 19.00 5441.4
10 20 69.00 44.00 0.00 15.50 5456.9
10 21 66.00 39.00 0.00 11.73 5468.7
10 22 65.00 41.00 0.00 12.00 5480.7
10 23 59.00 37.00 0.00 7.74 5488.4
10 24 54.00 38.00 0.00 5.56 5494.0
10 25 59.00 37.00 0.00 7.74 5501.7
10 26 62.00 42.00 0.00 11.00 5512.7
10 27 59.00 36.00 0.00 7.51 5520.2
10 28 55.00 40.00 0.00 6.61 5526.8
10 29 60.00 44.00 0.00 11.00 5537.8
10 30 71.00 47.00 0.00 18.00 5555.8
10 31 67.00 52.00 0.00 18.50 5574.3
11 1 61.00 46.00 0.00 12.50 5586.8
11 2 59.00 38.00 0.00 7.99 5594.8
11 3 53.00 32.00 0.00 4.13 5598.9
11 4 54.00 28.00 0.00 4.14 5603.1
11 5 58.00 35.00 0.00 6.84 5609.9
11 6 57.00 32.00 0.00 5.89 5615.8
11 7 55.00 34.00 0.00 5.28 5621.1
11 8 55.00 46.00 0.00 9.50 5630.6
11 9 52.00 36.00 0.00 4.23 5634.8
11 10 49.00 29.00 0.00 2.25 5637.1
11 11 56.00 35.00 0.00 5.90 5643.0
11 12 53.00 28.00 0.00 3.73 5646.7
11 13 62.00 51.00 0.00 15.50 5662.2
11 14 61.00 49.00 0.00 14.00 5676.2
11 15 50.00 35.00 0.00 3.19 5679.4
11 16 49.00 26.00 0.00 2.08 5681.5
11 17 63.00 46.00 0.00 13.50 5695.0
11 18 51.00 34.00 0.00 3.50 5698.5
11 19 41.00 36.00 0.00 0.00 5698.5
11 20 42.00 26.00 0.00 0.11 5698.6
11 21 40.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 5698.6
11 22 33.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 5698.6
11 23 30.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 5698.6
11 24 39.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 5698.6
11 25 40.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 5698.6
11 26 39.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 5698.6
11 27 34.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 5698.6
11 28 24.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 5698.6
11 29 24.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 5698.6
11 30 24.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 5698.6
12 1 26.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 5698.6
12 2 31.00 24.00 0.00 0.00 5698.6
12 3 32.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 5698.6
12 4 45.00 28.00 0.00 0.84 5699.4
12 5 37.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 5699.4
12 6 54.00 32.00 0.00 4.56 5704.0
12 7 47.00 40.00 0.00 2.66 5706.6
12 8 65.00 42.00 0.00 12.50 5719.1
12 9 63.00 40.00 0.00 10.59 5729.7
12 10 51.00 38.00 0.00 4.13 5733.8
12 11 49.00 35.00 0.00 2.75 5736.6
12 12 47.00 35.00 0.00 1.91 5738.5
12 13 50.00 36.00 0.00 3.32 5741.8
12 14 48.00 31.00 0.00 2.00 5743.8
12 15 42.00 25.00 0.00 0.10 5743.9
12 16 41.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 5743.9
12 17 35.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 5743.9
12 18 42.00 27.00 0.00 0.11 5744.0
12 19 31.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 5744.0
12 20 40.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 5744.0
12 21 42.00 30.00 0.00 0.12 5744.2
12 22 41.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 5744.2
12 23 44.00 27.00 0.00 0.54 5744.7
12 24 44.00 25.00 0.00 0.51 5745.2
12 25 34.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 5745.2
12 26 28.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 5745.2
12 27 28.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 5745.2
12 28 31.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 5745.2
12 29 32.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 5745.2
12 30 34.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 5745.2
12 31 37.70 25.20 0.00 0.00 5745.2 Hx Hn
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 MWQGV PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988Location: 2015 MWQGV Grandview WA Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME Date | DDs | Event |
5-2-15 | 852 | Peak pheromone trap catch |
5-9-15 | 968 | Peak female adult emergence |
5-11-15 | 1009 | Peak egg laying |
5-24-15 | 1295 | Peak egg hatch |
6-19-15 | 2079 | Peak in density large larvae |