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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Knight 1988
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
No ending date, set to: default date 12 31
Model validation status: partly validated
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch
2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence
3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying
4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch
5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2017 KVUO METAR Vancouver Pearson Fld WA Lat:45.6203 Long:-122.6564 Elev:26
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 41.00 32.00 0.07 0.00 0.0 * START *
1 2 36.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 3 36.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 4 35.10 27.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 5 36.00 15.10 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 6 34.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 7 30.90 24.10 0.01 0.00 0.0
1 8 36.00 28.00 0.56 0.00 0.0
1 9 41.00 32.00 0.29 0.00 0.0
1 10 39.90 30.90 0.69 0.00 0.0
1 11 32.00 27.00 0.08 0.00 0.0
1 12 33.80 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 13 28.40 8.10 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 14 30.20 8.10 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 15 30.20 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 16 30.20 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 17 34.00 24.80 1.07 0.00 0.0
1 18 46.40 33.10 0.73 1.53 1.5
1 19 52.00 37.00 0.00 4.40 5.9
1 20 43.00 35.10 0.30 0.44 6.4
1 21 48.20 37.00 0.36 2.66 9.0
1 22 46.40 33.10 0.12 1.53 10.6
1 23 50.00 30.00 0.00 2.70 13.3
1 24 41.00 30.00 0.01 0.00 13.3
1 25 45.00 35.00 0.01 1.12 14.4
1 26 49.00 34.00 0.00 2.64 17.0
1 27 48.20 28.00 0.00 1.90 18.9
1 28 45.00 28.00 0.00 0.84 19.8
1 29 46.40 30.20 0.01 1.37 21.1
1 30 45.00 35.60 0.00 1.16 22.3
1 31 42.80 35.10 0.00 0.38 22.7
2 1 39.90 35.60 0.00 0.00 22.7
2 2 39.90 33.80 0.10 0.00 22.7
2 3 36.00 32.00 0.62 0.00 22.7
2 4 52.00 33.80 0.54 3.91 26.6
2 5 46.90 35.00 1.97 1.87 28.5
2 6 45.00 35.10 0.04 1.13 29.6
2 7 39.90 33.10 0.12 0.00 29.6
2 8 37.90 35.60 1.29 0.00 29.6
2 9 59.00 37.00 0.78 7.74 37.3
2 10 50.00 42.80 0.17 5.40 42.7
2 11 50.00 33.10 0.00 2.97 45.7
2 12 52.00 30.20 0.00 3.52 49.2
2 13 54.00 27.00 0.00 4.05 53.3
2 14 48.90 28.40 0.14 2.17 55.4
2 15 43.00 39.00 1.28 0.64 56.1
2 16 50.00 41.00 1.08 4.50 60.6
2 17 57.90 41.00 0.01 8.45 69.0
2 18 46.90 42.80 0.35 3.85 72.9
2 19 51.80 41.00 0.31 5.40 78.3
2 20 50.00 41.00 0.83 4.50 82.8
2 21 50.00 36.00 0.30 3.32 86.1
2 22 45.00 30.00 0.01 0.90 87.0
2 23 46.40 30.20 0.00 1.37 88.4
2 24 41.00 33.80 0.08 0.00 88.4
2 25 48.20 30.00 0.00 2.01 90.4
2 26 41.00 37.40 0.29 0.00 90.4
2 27 44.60 37.00 0.07 1.11 91.5
2 28 50.00 33.80 0.13 3.04 94.5
3 1 51.80 39.20 0.01 4.79 99.3
3 2 51.10 37.40 0.52 4.06 103.4
3 3 52.00 44.60 0.10 7.30 110.7
3 4 48.20 35.10 0.16 2.42 113.1
3 5 46.90 35.60 0.09 1.93 115.0
3 6 46.40 35.10 0.11 1.68 116.7
3 7 50.00 41.00 0.44 4.50 121.2
3 8 46.00 42.10 0.32 3.05 124.3
3 9 59.00 42.10 0.52 9.55 133.8
3 10 61.00 44.10 0.00 11.55 145.4
3 11 57.90 39.00 0.30 7.73 153.1
3 12 62.10 46.40 0.00 13.25 166.3
3 13 53.60 46.40 0.72 9.00 175.3
3 14 57.90 50.00 0.76 12.95 188.3
3 15 57.20 46.90 0.47 11.05 199.3
3 16 55.90 35.60 0.00 5.97 205.3
3 17 48.20 35.10 0.39 2.42 207.7
3 18 55.90 35.60 0.35 5.97 213.7
3 19 57.20 30.00 0.00 5.71 219.4
3 20 55.90 35.10 0.17 5.88 225.3
3 21 57.20 44.10 0.19 9.65 234.9
3 22 55.40 41.00 0.02 7.20 242.1
3 23 57.90 42.80 0.57 9.35 251.5
3 24 54.00 46.40 0.40 9.20 260.7
3 25 55.90 42.80 0.01 8.35 269.0
3 26 48.90 44.60 0.64 5.75 274.8
3 27 55.40 46.00 0.03 9.70 284.5
3 28 59.00 46.40 0.16 11.70 296.2
3 29 59.00 46.40 0.10 11.70 307.9
3 30 57.20 41.00 0.02 8.10 316.0
3 31 57.20 37.00 0.00 6.87 322.8
4 1 59.00 46.90 0.05 11.95 334.8
4 2 57.20 37.00 0.00 6.87 341.7
4 3 57.20 35.60 0.00 6.58 348.2
4 4 56.20 37.80 0.00 6.58 354.8 Hx Hn
4 5 62.60 46.00 0.07 13.30 368.1
4 6 62.60 46.40 0.56 13.50 381.6
4 7 57.90 46.00 0.20 10.95 392.6
4 8 54.00 42.10 0.04 7.05 399.6
4 9 57.90 39.20 0.08 7.79 407.4
4 10 55.40 42.10 0.05 7.75 415.2
4 11 60.80 35.60 0.33 8.29 423.4
4 12 60.80 46.40 0.34 12.60 436.0
4 13 54.00 44.10 0.05 8.05 444.1
4 14 55.40 42.10 0.08 7.75 451.8
4 15 60.80 37.00 0.00 8.61 460.4
4 16 66.00 37.40 0.00 11.25 471.7
4 17 57.90 48.20 0.19 12.05 483.7
4 18 64.40 48.20 0.04 15.30 499.0
4 19 57.00 48.00 0.46 11.50 510.5
4 20 60.80 46.00 0.03 12.40 522.9
4 21 71.60 39.00 0.00 14.51 537.5
4 22 63.00 50.00 0.16 15.50 553.0
4 23 55.90 48.00 0.34 10.95 563.9
4 24 54.00 44.60 0.69 8.30 572.2
4 25 55.40 46.00 0.12 9.70 581.9
4 26 59.00 44.60 0.15 10.80 592.7
4 27 55.90 43.00 0.12 8.45 601.2
4 28 61.00 39.00 0.00 9.26 610.4
4 29 64.40 43.00 0.08 12.70 623.1
4 30 60.80 48.00 0.30 13.40 636.5
5 1 55.40 39.00 0.02 6.50 643.0
5 2 61.00 50.00 0.12 14.50 657.5
5 3 82.90 55.40 0.00 28.15 685.7
5 4 84.90 55.40 0.08 29.15 714.8
5 5 62.60 48.00 0.10 14.30 729.1
5 6 62.60 39.00 0.00 10.05 739.2
5 7 66.20 39.00 0.00 11.83 751.0
5 8 73.40 41.00 0.00 16.20 767.2
5 9 75.20 44.10 0.00 18.65 785.8
5 10 73.90 50.00 0.00 20.95 806.8
5 11 62.60 48.90 0.99 14.75 821.5
5 12 55.90 46.40 0.07 10.15 831.7
5 13 55.40 44.60 0.59 9.00 840.7
5 14 62.60 48.00 0.05 14.30 855.0 Peak pheromone trap catch
5 15 60.80 44.10 0.24 11.45 866.4
5 16 57.20 48.00 0.35 11.60 878.0
5 17 57.90 48.00 0.02 11.95 890.0
5 18 70.00 41.00 0.00 14.50 904.5
5 19 75.20 50.00 0.00 21.60 926.1
5 20 73.40 55.00 0.00 23.20 949.3
5 21 84.20 51.10 0.00 26.65 975.9 Peak female adult emergence
5 22 91.90 53.10 0.00 31.50 1007.4 Peak egg laying
5 23 84.90 53.10 0.00 28.00 1035.4
5 24 66.20 48.00 0.00 16.10 1051.5
5 25 75.20 46.00 0.00 19.60 1071.1
5 26 84.20 50.00 0.00 26.10 1097.2
5 27 90.00 51.80 0.00 29.90 1127.1
5 28 84.90 55.40 0.00 29.15 1156.3
5 29 72.00 55.00 0.00 22.50 1178.8
5 30 60.80 53.60 0.00 16.20 1195.0
5 31 73.90 53.10 0.04 22.50 1217.5
6 1 71.60 59.00 0.07 24.30 1241.8
6 2 75.20 57.00 0.00 25.10 1266.9
6 3 66.20 55.40 0.00 19.80 1286.7 Peak egg hatch
6 4 68.00 53.10 0.00 19.55 1306.2
6 5 78.80 44.10 0.00 20.45 1326.7
6 6 86.00 51.80 0.00 27.90 1354.6
6 7 78.80 53.60 0.12 25.20 1379.8
6 8 66.90 55.40 0.16 20.15 1399.9
6 9 63.00 51.80 0.24 16.40 1416.3
6 10 62.60 51.10 0.06 15.85 1432.2
6 11 71.60 53.10 0.12 21.35 1453.5
6 12 61.00 51.10 0.00 15.05 1468.6
6 13 63.00 51.80 0.01 16.40 1485.0
6 14 66.20 48.00 0.03 16.10 1501.1
6 15 64.40 55.40 0.50 18.90 1520.0
6 16 64.90 57.90 0.03 20.40 1540.4
6 17 70.00 55.40 0.00 21.70 1562.1
6 18 79.00 59.00 0.00 28.00 1590.1
6 19 77.00 60.10 0.00 27.55 1617.6
6 20 79.00 55.00 0.00 26.00 1643.6
6 21 75.00 51.10 0.00 22.05 1665.7
6 22 84.90 51.80 0.00 27.35 1693.0
6 23 90.00 53.60 0.00 30.80 1723.8
6 24 99.00 55.00 0.00 36.00 1759.8
6 25 100.90 60.10 0.00 39.50 1799.3
6 26 78.80 59.00 0.00 27.90 1827.2
6 27 73.00 57.20 0.00 24.10 1851.3
6 28 72.00 55.90 0.00 22.95 1874.3
6 29 82.90 55.00 0.00 27.95 1902.2
6 30 86.00 59.00 0.00 31.50 1933.7
7 1 75.90 57.00 0.00 25.45 1959.2
7 2 82.40 55.00 0.00 27.70 1986.9
7 3 78.80 57.20 0.00 27.00 2013.9
7 4 84.20 55.40 0.00 28.80 2042.7
7 5 91.00 55.40 0.00 32.20 2074.9 Peak in density large larvae
7 6 89.60 55.40 0.00 31.50 2106.4
7 7 73.40 57.00 0.00 24.20 2130.6
7 8 86.00 50.00 0.00 27.00 2157.6
7 9 82.90 53.60 0.00 27.25 2184.8
7 10 78.80 55.40 0.00 26.10 2210.9
7 11 79.00 51.80 0.00 24.40 2235.3
7 12 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 2263.2
7 13 75.90 55.40 0.00 24.65 2287.9
7 14 86.00 55.00 0.00 29.50 2317.4
7 15 80.60 55.40 0.00 27.00 2344.4
7 16 73.90 53.10 0.00 22.50 2366.9
7 17 81.00 53.60 0.00 26.30 2393.2
7 18 84.90 53.60 0.00 28.25 2421.4
7 19 82.40 51.80 0.00 26.10 2447.5
7 20 75.20 57.20 0.01 25.20 2472.7
7 21 82.40 55.00 0.00 27.70 2500.4
7 22 91.40 60.10 0.00 34.75 2535.2
7 23 82.90 63.00 0.00 31.95 2567.1
7 24 87.80 57.20 0.01 31.50 2598.6
7 25 89.60 60.80 0.00 34.20 2632.8
7 26 86.00 59.00 0.00 31.50 2664.3
7 27 79.00 60.10 0.00 28.55 2692.9
7 28 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 2720.8
7 29 86.00 53.60 0.00 28.80 2749.6
7 30 87.80 60.80 0.00 33.30 2782.9
7 31 91.40 60.10 0.00 34.75 2817.6
8 1 96.80 57.20 0.00 36.00 2853.6
8 2 102.20 62.60 0.00 41.40 2895.0
8 3 105.80 62.60 0.00 43.20 2938.2
8 4 96.10 60.80 0.00 37.45 2975.7
8 5 89.60 55.40 0.00 31.50 3007.2
8 6 88.00 60.10 0.00 33.05 3040.2
8 7 89.60 62.60 0.00 35.10 3075.3
8 8 91.90 60.80 0.00 35.35 3110.7
8 9 93.90 62.10 0.00 37.00 3147.7
8 10 90.00 62.10 0.00 35.05 3182.7
8 11 84.90 62.10 0.00 32.50 3215.2
8 12 80.60 59.00 0.05 28.80 3244.0
8 13 75.00 59.00 0.05 26.00 3270.0
8 14 75.20 51.10 0.00 22.15 3292.2
8 15 82.40 51.80 0.00 26.10 3318.3
8 16 84.20 54.00 0.00 28.10 3346.4
8 17 80.60 62.10 0.00 30.35 3376.7
8 18 82.40 57.00 0.00 28.70 3405.4
8 19 79.00 59.00 0.00 28.00 3433.4
8 20 80.60 55.40 0.00 27.00 3460.4
8 21 90.00 60.10 0.00 34.05 3494.5
8 22 87.80 60.10 0.00 32.95 3527.4
8 23 82.90 60.80 0.00 30.85 3558.3
8 24 75.20 60.80 0.00 27.00 3585.3
8 25 81.00 53.10 0.00 26.05 3611.3
8 26 91.00 53.10 0.00 31.05 3642.4
8 27 95.00 55.40 0.00 34.20 3676.6
8 28 97.00 60.10 0.00 37.55 3714.1
8 29 88.00 60.10 0.00 33.05 3747.2
8 30 80.60 57.20 0.00 27.90 3775.1
8 31 82.90 64.00 0.00 32.45 3807.5
9 1 91.90 55.40 0.00 32.65 3840.2
9 2 98.60 57.00 0.00 36.80 3877.0
9 3 95.00 60.10 0.00 36.55 3913.5
9 4 91.90 60.80 0.00 35.35 3948.9
9 5 91.00 66.00 0.00 37.50 3986.4
9 6 82.90 64.00 0.00 32.45 4018.8
9 7 82.40 66.20 0.00 33.30 4052.1
9 8 75.90 64.40 0.00 29.15 4081.3
9 9 81.00 62.60 0.09 30.80 4112.1
9 10 78.80 57.20 0.00 27.00 4139.1
9 11 91.40 51.80 0.00 30.60 4169.7
9 12 86.00 57.90 0.00 30.95 4200.6
9 13 75.20 48.00 0.00 20.60 4221.2
9 14 75.20 55.00 0.00 24.10 4245.3
9 15 80.60 46.40 0.00 22.50 4267.8
9 16 77.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 4290.3
9 17 64.90 57.00 0.18 19.95 4310.3
9 18 62.60 53.60 0.40 17.10 4327.4
9 19 64.90 52.00 1.12 17.45 4344.8
9 20 59.00 50.00 0.54 13.50 4358.3
9 21 64.40 48.20 0.01 15.30 4373.6
9 22 69.80 46.40 0.00 17.10 4390.7
9 23 71.60 48.20 0.00 18.90 4409.6
9 24 73.90 46.00 0.00 18.95 4428.6
9 25 68.00 55.00 0.00 20.50 4449.1
9 26 80.60 53.10 0.00 25.85 4474.9
9 27 86.00 52.00 0.00 28.00 4502.9
9 28 86.00 51.10 0.00 27.55 4530.5
9 29 64.90 57.20 0.15 20.05 4550.5
9 30 64.90 48.00 0.08 15.45 4566.0
10 1 64.90 46.90 0.02 14.90 4580.9
10 2 66.00 46.40 0.11 15.20 4596.1
10 3 71.60 39.90 0.00 14.84 4610.9
10 4 72.00 39.00 0.00 14.71 4625.6
10 5 73.90 39.90 0.00 15.98 4641.6
10 6 72.00 41.00 0.00 15.50 4657.1
10 7 64.40 51.10 0.03 16.75 4673.9
10 8 64.90 43.00 0.01 12.95 4686.8
10 9 66.90 37.00 0.00 11.58 4698.4
10 10 55.40 41.00 0.04 7.20 4705.6
10 11 55.90 42.80 0.25 8.35 4714.0
10 12 55.90 44.60 0.48 9.25 4723.2
10 13 59.00 39.20 0.00 8.33 4731.5
10 14 59.00 37.00 0.00 7.74 4739.3
10 15 64.90 36.00 0.00 10.35 4749.6
10 16 66.90 37.40 0.00 11.69 4761.3
10 17 57.90 41.00 0.05 8.45 4769.8
10 18 64.90 48.20 0.20 15.55 4785.3
10 19 60.80 50.00 0.81 14.40 4799.7
10 20 54.00 48.00 0.32 10.00 4809.7
10 21 61.00 46.40 2.22 12.70 4822.4
10 22 62.60 46.00 5.82 13.30 4835.7
10 23 64.90 46.00 0.00 14.45 4850.2
10 24 70.00 39.20 0.00 13.79 4863.9
10 25 61.00 44.10 0.00 11.55 4875.5
10 26 72.00 48.90 0.00 19.45 4894.9
10 27 73.90 41.00 0.00 16.45 4911.4
10 28 70.00 39.20 0.00 13.79 4925.2
10 29 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 4936.0
10 30 63.00 37.00 0.00 9.68 4945.7
10 31 63.00 32.00 0.00 8.62 4954.3
11 1 57.90 42.80 0.00 9.35 4963.6
11 2 55.40 44.60 0.12 9.00 4972.6
11 3 50.00 42.10 0.01 5.05 4977.7
11 4 48.00 39.20 0.16 2.95 4980.6
11 5 50.00 35.10 0.02 3.20 4983.8
11 6 50.00 35.10 0.00 3.20 4987.0
11 7 48.20 42.10 0.00 4.15 4991.2
11 8 48.90 42.10 0.46 4.50 4995.7
11 9 55.40 39.90 0.38 6.78 5002.5
11 10 51.80 41.00 2.99 5.40 5007.9
11 11 51.80 48.20 0.05 9.00 5016.9
11 12 54.00 48.20 0.37 10.10 5027.0
11 13 55.90 46.40 0.16 10.15 5037.1
11 14 57.90 46.40 0.02 11.15 5048.3
11 15 55.90 44.10 0.90 9.00 5057.3
11 16 48.90 43.00 0.28 4.95 5062.2
11 17 52.00 42.10 0.06 6.05 5068.3
11 18 52.00 35.10 0.00 4.09 5072.3
11 19 51.80 35.60 0.77 4.07 5076.4
11 20 57.20 41.00 0.35 8.10 5084.5
11 21 52.00 44.60 0.63 7.30 5091.8
11 22 59.00 48.20 0.28 12.60 5104.4
11 23 63.00 44.60 0.12 12.80 5117.2
11 24 55.90 42.80 0.00 8.35 5125.6
11 25 50.00 37.00 0.13 3.47 5129.0
11 26 53.60 44.10 0.47 7.85 5136.9
11 27 51.80 41.00 0.00 5.40 5142.3
11 28 46.40 44.10 0.48 4.25 5146.5
11 29 52.00 36.00 0.00 4.23 5150.8
11 30 46.90 35.60 0.12 1.93 5152.7
12 1 50.00 44.60 0.08 6.30 5159.0
12 2 48.90 44.10 0.25 5.50 5164.5
12 3 46.90 35.10 0.05 1.88 5166.4
12 4 45.00 35.10 0.00 1.13 5167.5
12 5 50.00 30.20 0.00 2.71 5170.2
12 6 55.40 30.20 0.00 4.95 5175.2
12 7 52.00 28.00 0.00 3.33 5178.5
12 8 45.00 26.60 0.00 0.81 5179.3
12 9 46.40 24.10 0.00 1.16 5180.5
12 10 46.00 23.00 0.00 1.01 5181.5
12 11 45.00 23.00 0.00 0.74 5182.2
12 12 45.00 21.20 0.00 0.71 5182.9
12 13 45.00 26.10 0.00 0.80 5183.7
12 14 44.60 26.10 0.00 0.69 5184.4
12 15 39.90 28.00 0.01 0.00 5184.4
12 16 45.00 33.80 0.02 1.06 5185.5
12 17 48.90 42.10 0.00 4.50 5190.0
12 18 51.80 46.40 0.02 8.10 5198.1
12 19 53.60 39.20 0.65 5.67 5203.7
12 20 46.40 30.20 0.03 1.37 5205.1
12 21 36.00 24.10 0.00 0.00 5205.1
12 22 39.90 33.80 0.52 0.00 5205.1
12 23 41.00 30.00 0.03 0.00 5205.1
12 24 34.00 28.40 0.28 0.00 5205.1
12 25 33.80 28.40 0.01 0.00 5205.1
12 26 35.10 24.80 0.03 0.00 5205.1
12 27 37.40 32.00 0.35 0.00 5205.1
12 28 46.90 37.00 0.64 2.08 5207.2
12 29 55.90 51.10 0.52 12.50 5219.7
12 30 51.80 32.00 0.00 3.61 5223.3
12 31 50.00 28.04 0.00 2.56 5225.9
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 KVUO PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988Location: 2017 KVUO Vancouver Pearson Fld Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME Date | DDs | Event |
5-14-17 | 855 | Peak pheromone trap catch |
5-21-17 | 976 | Peak female adult emergence |
5-22-17 | 1007 | Peak egg laying |
6-3-17 | 1287 | Peak egg hatch |
7-5-17 | 2075 | Peak in density large larvae |