Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight 1988


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 1988 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 No ending date, set to: default date 12 31 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2020 KSLE METAR Salem: McNary Field OR Lat:44.9078 Long:-122.9950 Elev:210 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 55.00 45.00 0.17 9.00 9.0 * START * 1 2 51.80 42.10 0.00 5.95 15.0 1 3 59.00 44.10 0.31 10.55 25.5 1 4 48.90 39.00 0.21 3.34 28.8 1 5 48.20 42.10 0.35 4.15 33.0 1 6 50.00 44.10 0.26 6.05 39.0 1 7 53.60 44.60 0.19 8.10 47.1 1 8 46.40 37.40 0.16 1.91 49.1 1 9 43.00 33.10 0.01 0.39 49.4 1 10 46.90 39.00 0.83 2.39 51.8 1 11 46.40 41.00 0.39 2.70 54.5 1 12 48.20 35.60 0.35 2.48 57.0 1 13 39.20 36.00 0.26 0.00 57.0 1 14 39.90 28.90 0.01 0.00 57.0 1 15 48.20 26.10 0.46 1.81 58.8 1 16 45.00 30.00 0.11 0.90 59.7 1 17 43.00 30.00 0.22 0.34 60.1 1 18 50.00 39.00 0.13 3.87 63.9 1 19 52.00 44.10 0.05 7.05 71.0 1 20 46.40 39.90 0.22 2.35 73.3 1 21 50.00 41.00 0.05 4.50 77.8 1 22 54.00 44.10 0.06 8.05 85.9 1 23 57.20 50.00 0.76 12.60 98.5 1 24 54.00 46.40 0.13 9.20 107.7 1 25 57.90 46.00 0.34 10.95 118.6 1 26 54.00 44.10 0.12 8.05 126.7 1 27 53.60 41.00 0.78 6.30 133.0 1 28 52.00 44.10 0.70 7.05 140.0 1 29 48.90 44.60 0.29 5.75 145.8 1 30 54.00 44.10 0.03 8.05 153.8 1 31 61.00 53.10 0.00 16.05 169.9 2 1 57.20 39.90 0.24 7.67 177.5 2 2 46.90 30.00 0.01 1.54 179.1 2 3 43.00 28.00 0.02 0.31 179.4 2 4 41.00 24.80 0.00 0.00 179.4 2 5 51.80 39.20 0.06 4.79 184.2 2 6 57.20 48.00 0.00 11.60 195.8 2 7 53.60 43.00 0.12 7.30 203.1 2 8 48.90 33.80 0.14 2.58 205.7 2 9 46.40 30.20 0.00 1.37 207.0 2 10 46.90 27.00 0.00 1.41 208.4 2 11 46.90 28.90 0.00 1.49 209.9 2 12 50.00 30.00 0.00 2.70 212.6 2 13 44.60 30.00 0.06 0.78 213.4 2 14 50.00 33.80 0.00 3.04 216.5 2 15 46.40 41.00 0.63 2.70 219.2 2 16 50.00 37.00 0.02 3.47 222.6 2 17 51.10 30.90 0.02 3.21 225.8 2 18 52.00 28.00 0.00 3.33 229.2 2 19 59.00 26.10 0.00 6.03 235.2 2 20 55.90 28.00 0.00 4.93 240.1 2 21 59.00 26.60 0.00 6.09 246.2 2 22 57.90 28.40 0.00 5.82 252.0 2 23 52.00 39.20 0.14 4.89 256.9 2 24 48.90 32.00 0.00 2.42 259.4 2 25 54.00 28.00 0.00 4.14 263.5 2 26 57.00 37.00 0.00 6.78 270.3 2 27 61.00 30.00 0.00 7.39 277.7 2 28 54.00 30.20 0.14 4.35 282.0 2 29 46.90 32.00 0.20 1.65 283.7 3 1 48.20 28.40 0.00 1.92 285.6 3 2 50.00 35.60 0.00 3.26 288.8 3 3 60.80 46.00 0.00 12.40 301.2 3 4 57.20 39.00 0.00 7.38 308.6 3 5 60.80 33.10 0.00 7.80 316.4 3 6 46.90 39.90 0.42 2.59 319.0 3 7 46.90 30.20 0.06 1.55 320.6 3 8 50.00 28.90 0.00 2.62 323.2 3 9 57.20 28.40 0.00 5.52 328.7 3 10 63.00 28.40 0.00 8.06 336.8 3 11 57.20 33.80 0.00 6.25 343.0 3 12 54.00 28.40 0.00 4.17 347.2 3 13 41.00 33.10 0.52 0.00 347.2 3 14 46.40 32.00 0.24 1.46 348.7 3 15 39.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 348.7 3 16 61.00 34.00 0.00 8.06 356.7 3 17 61.00 28.00 0.00 7.12 363.8 3 18 59.00 37.00 0.00 7.74 371.6 3 19 63.00 32.00 0.00 8.62 380.2 3 20 64.90 33.80 0.00 9.86 390.0 3 21 60.80 33.80 0.00 7.92 398.0 3 22 64.40 32.00 0.02 9.27 407.2 3 23 52.00 42.10 0.10 6.05 413.3 3 24 48.90 35.10 0.25 2.72 416.0 3 25 53.10 35.10 0.00 4.59 420.6 3 26 51.80 33.10 0.01 3.74 424.3 3 27 50.00 39.20 0.15 3.92 428.3 3 28 53.60 46.00 0.20 8.80 437.1 3 29 57.90 46.40 0.26 11.15 448.2 3 30 50.00 42.80 0.59 5.40 453.6 3 31 52.00 39.00 0.10 4.84 458.4 4 1 46.90 37.40 0.24 2.13 460.6 4 2 50.00 33.10 0.01 2.97 463.5 4 3 51.80 30.20 0.27 3.44 467.0 4 4 48.90 37.00 0.14 2.97 470.0 4 5 64.00 42.10 0.02 12.05 482.0 4 6 62.60 42.80 0.00 11.70 493.7 4 7 61.00 37.40 0.00 8.81 502.5 4 8 70.00 35.10 0.00 12.60 515.1 4 9 75.90 37.90 0.00 16.28 531.4 4 10 71.60 39.20 0.00 14.58 546.0 4 11 63.00 42.10 0.00 11.55 557.5 4 12 64.90 35.10 0.00 10.14 567.7 4 13 66.20 32.00 0.00 10.12 577.8 4 14 69.80 33.80 0.00 12.20 590.0 4 15 62.60 41.00 0.00 10.80 600.8 4 16 70.00 42.10 0.00 15.05 615.8 4 17 77.00 35.10 0.00 16.00 631.8 4 18 52.00 42.80 0.11 6.40 638.2 4 19 62.60 39.00 0.00 10.05 648.3 4 20 70.00 37.00 0.00 13.10 661.4 4 21 57.90 43.00 0.01 9.45 670.8 4 22 57.90 42.80 0.28 9.35 680.2 4 23 64.40 46.40 0.00 14.40 694.6 4 24 63.00 50.00 0.10 15.50 710.1 4 25 66.90 43.00 0.13 13.95 724.0 4 26 66.90 37.00 0.08 11.58 735.6 4 27 66.90 46.40 0.15 15.65 751.2 4 28 73.90 48.00 0.00 19.95 771.2 4 29 69.80 50.00 0.01 18.90 790.1 4 30 64.40 43.00 0.00 12.70 802.8 5 1 60.80 37.00 0.09 8.61 811.4 5 2 57.20 44.60 0.48 9.90 821.3 5 3 61.00 41.00 0.08 10.00 831.3 5 4 68.00 35.60 0.01 11.75 843.1 5 5 71.60 46.00 0.17 17.80 860.9 Peak pheromone trap catch 5 6 64.00 44.60 0.01 13.30 874.2 5 7 73.90 39.00 0.00 15.65 889.8 5 8 82.90 46.00 0.00 23.45 913.3 5 9 84.90 48.00 0.00 25.45 938.7 5 10 84.90 51.10 0.00 27.00 965.7 Peak female adult emergence 5 11 66.90 48.00 0.01 16.45 982.2 5 12 61.00 50.00 0.19 14.50 996.7 5 13 60.80 46.40 0.06 12.60 1009.3 Peak egg laying 5 14 55.90 48.20 0.38 11.05 1020.3 5 15 69.80 50.00 0.00 18.90 1039.2 5 16 68.00 53.10 0.20 19.55 1058.8 5 17 68.00 46.00 0.28 16.00 1074.8 5 18 60.80 51.10 0.41 14.95 1089.7 5 19 64.40 50.00 0.00 16.20 1105.9 5 20 59.00 50.00 0.04 13.50 1119.4 5 21 59.00 46.90 0.14 11.95 1131.4 5 22 63.00 42.10 0.05 11.55 1142.9 5 23 64.40 41.00 0.00 11.70 1154.6 5 24 73.90 44.60 0.00 18.25 1172.9 5 25 71.60 51.10 0.02 20.35 1193.2 5 26 75.20 51.10 0.00 22.15 1215.4 5 27 82.40 48.20 0.00 24.30 1239.7 5 28 90.00 52.00 0.00 30.00 1269.7 5 29 82.40 53.10 0.00 26.75 1296.4 Peak egg hatch 5 30 62.60 51.10 0.32 15.85 1312.3 5 31 66.00 50.00 0.00 17.00 1329.3 6 1 72.00 42.10 0.00 16.05 1345.3 6 2 78.10 46.00 0.00 21.05 1366.4 6 3 75.20 48.20 0.00 20.70 1387.1 6 4 72.00 51.10 0.00 20.55 1407.6 6 5 69.80 51.80 0.00 19.80 1427.4 6 6 59.00 46.00 0.35 11.50 1438.9 6 7 62.60 46.00 0.06 13.30 1452.2 6 8 64.00 48.20 0.22 15.10 1467.3 6 9 64.40 50.00 0.14 16.20 1483.5 6 10 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 1508.7 6 11 73.90 57.00 0.01 24.45 1533.2 6 12 60.80 53.10 0.05 15.95 1549.1 6 13 61.00 50.00 0.28 14.50 1563.6 6 14 66.90 46.40 0.06 15.65 1579.3 6 15 63.00 51.80 0.07 16.40 1595.7 6 16 64.90 51.10 0.03 17.00 1612.7 6 17 71.60 48.00 0.00 18.80 1631.5 6 18 80.60 48.20 0.00 23.40 1654.9 6 19 86.00 51.80 0.00 27.90 1682.8 6 20 71.10 57.00 0.14 23.05 1705.8 6 21 75.90 55.90 0.00 24.90 1730.7 6 22 84.90 53.10 0.00 28.00 1758.7 6 23 90.00 57.20 0.00 32.60 1791.3 6 24 79.00 57.90 0.00 27.45 1818.8 6 25 84.00 53.60 0.00 27.80 1846.6 6 26 88.00 53.60 0.00 29.80 1876.4 6 27 73.00 55.90 0.00 23.45 1899.8 6 28 69.80 55.00 0.01 21.40 1921.2 6 29 75.20 51.10 0.00 22.15 1943.4 6 30 71.10 55.00 0.00 22.05 1965.4 7 1 68.00 50.00 0.00 18.00 1983.4 7 2 72.00 50.00 0.00 20.00 2003.4 7 3 75.00 50.00 0.00 21.50 2024.9 7 4 75.90 53.10 0.00 23.50 2048.4 7 5 75.20 51.10 0.00 22.15 2070.6 Peak in density large larvae 7 6 68.00 53.10 0.00 19.55 2090.1 7 7 72.00 55.00 0.00 22.50 2112.6 7 8 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 2137.8 7 9 77.00 51.10 0.00 23.05 2160.9 7 10 81.00 57.20 0.00 28.10 2189.0 7 11 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 2212.4 7 12 80.60 55.00 0.00 26.80 2239.2 7 13 82.00 50.00 0.00 25.00 2264.2 7 14 87.80 50.00 0.00 27.90 2292.1 7 15 90.00 55.00 0.00 31.50 2323.6 7 16 88.00 55.00 0.00 30.50 2354.1 7 17 78.10 55.90 0.00 26.00 2380.1 7 18 86.00 50.00 0.00 27.00 2407.1 7 19 91.90 55.00 0.00 32.45 2439.5 7 20 93.20 57.20 0.00 34.20 2473.7 7 21 91.40 59.00 0.00 34.20 2507.9 7 22 84.20 60.10 0.00 31.15 2539.1 7 23 79.00 55.40 0.00 26.20 2565.3 7 24 73.40 53.10 0.00 22.25 2587.5 7 25 82.40 50.00 0.00 25.20 2612.7 7 26 100.40 55.00 0.00 36.70 2649.4 7 27 95.00 60.80 0.00 36.90 2686.3 7 28 91.40 59.00 0.00 34.20 2720.5 7 29 93.90 60.80 0.00 36.35 2756.9 7 30 97.00 59.00 0.00 37.00 2793.9 7 31 87.10 55.40 0.00 30.25 2824.1 8 1 84.20 59.00 0.00 30.60 2854.7 8 2 86.00 55.40 0.00 29.70 2884.4 8 3 84.20 53.60 0.00 27.90 2912.3 8 4 88.00 57.00 0.00 31.50 2943.8 8 5 84.90 57.00 0.00 29.95 2973.8 8 6 75.90 53.10 0.09 23.50 2997.3 8 7 79.00 48.00 0.00 22.50 3019.8 8 8 79.00 53.60 0.00 25.30 3045.1 8 9 84.90 50.00 0.00 26.45 3071.5 8 10 91.90 57.00 0.00 33.45 3105.0 8 11 82.90 46.90 0.00 23.90 3128.9 8 12 75.20 53.10 0.00 23.15 3152.0 8 13 79.00 51.10 0.00 24.05 3176.1 8 14 89.60 53.60 0.00 30.60 3206.7 8 15 100.40 55.00 0.00 36.70 3243.4 8 16 93.00 64.90 0.00 37.95 3281.3 8 17 93.20 60.10 0.00 35.65 3317.0 8 18 86.00 60.10 0.00 32.05 3349.0 8 19 88.00 54.00 0.00 30.00 3379.0 8 20 82.90 59.00 0.01 29.95 3409.0 8 21 79.00 61.00 0.01 29.00 3438.0 8 22 80.60 53.60 0.00 26.10 3464.1 8 23 84.90 51.80 0.00 27.35 3491.4 8 24 82.90 53.10 0.00 27.00 3518.4 8 25 82.40 55.00 0.00 27.70 3546.1 8 26 84.20 51.10 0.00 26.65 3572.8 8 27 84.90 48.00 0.00 25.45 3598.2 8 28 84.90 50.00 0.00 26.45 3624.7 8 29 80.10 51.80 0.00 24.95 3649.6 8 30 78.80 46.00 0.02 21.40 3671.0 8 31 78.80 53.60 0.04 25.20 3696.2 9 1 89.60 57.00 0.00 32.30 3728.5 9 2 93.20 60.10 0.00 35.65 3764.2 9 3 96.80 60.80 0.00 37.80 3802.0 9 4 84.20 54.00 0.00 28.10 3830.1 9 5 77.00 51.10 0.00 23.05 3853.1 9 6 88.00 51.10 0.00 28.55 3881.7 9 7 89.60 57.00 0.00 32.30 3914.0 9 8 77.00 66.00 0.00 30.50 3944.5 9 9 81.00 62.10 0.00 30.55 3975.0 9 10 66.90 53.10 0.00 19.00 3994.0 9 11 68.00 46.40 0.00 16.20 4010.2 9 12 64.40 46.00 0.00 14.20 4024.4 9 13 64.40 46.00 0.00 14.20 4038.6 9 14 77.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 4061.1 9 15 75.90 55.00 0.00 24.45 4085.6 9 16 75.90 51.10 0.00 22.50 4108.1 9 17 75.20 53.10 0.30 23.15 4131.2 9 18 66.90 55.90 0.22 20.40 4151.6 9 19 73.40 52.00 0.00 21.70 4173.3 9 20 75.90 48.20 0.00 21.05 4194.4 9 21 73.90 48.20 0.00 20.05 4214.4 9 22 72.00 55.00 0.00 22.50 4236.9 9 23 73.40 59.00 0.33 25.20 4262.1 9 24 68.00 55.40 0.08 20.70 4282.8 9 25 61.00 55.40 0.43 17.20 4300.0 9 26 70.00 50.00 0.00 19.00 4319.0 9 27 73.90 46.40 0.00 19.15 4338.2 9 28 84.90 51.10 0.00 27.00 4365.2 9 29 84.90 50.00 0.00 26.45 4391.6 9 30 79.00 48.20 0.00 22.60 4414.2 10 1 77.00 50.00 0.01 22.50 4436.7 10 2 79.00 48.00 0.00 22.50 4459.2 10 3 75.90 46.00 0.00 19.95 4479.2 10 4 64.90 51.10 0.00 17.00 4496.2 10 5 71.60 48.90 0.00 19.25 4515.4 10 6 78.80 46.00 0.00 21.40 4536.8 10 7 75.20 48.00 0.00 20.60 4557.4 10 8 66.90 48.90 0.00 16.90 4574.3 10 9 71.60 46.00 0.14 17.80 4592.1 10 10 62.60 51.10 0.49 15.85 4608.0 10 11 57.90 50.00 0.36 12.95 4620.9 10 12 64.90 53.60 0.17 18.25 4639.2 10 13 64.40 46.40 0.16 14.40 4653.6 10 14 64.40 43.00 0.00 12.70 4666.3 10 15 63.00 39.00 0.00 10.25 4676.5 10 16 71.60 39.90 0.03 14.84 4691.3 10 17 66.90 51.10 0.01 18.00 4709.3 10 18 69.80 53.60 0.00 20.70 4730.0 10 19 66.90 48.00 0.00 16.45 4746.5 10 20 66.00 44.10 0.00 14.05 4760.5 10 21 60.80 37.40 0.00 8.71 4769.2 10 22 55.90 33.10 0.00 5.55 4774.8 10 23 57.90 33.10 0.00 6.46 4781.3 10 24 57.20 37.40 0.00 6.96 4788.2 10 25 50.00 30.20 0.00 2.71 4790.9 10 26 55.40 26.60 0.00 4.58 4795.5 10 27 59.00 28.00 0.00 6.25 4801.8 10 28 64.90 35.10 0.00 10.14 4811.9 10 29 60.80 37.00 0.00 8.61 4820.5 10 30 61.00 37.00 0.01 8.70 4829.2 10 31 48.90 33.10 0.00 2.51 4831.7 11 1 64.00 32.00 0.00 9.09 4840.8 11 2 66.20 33.10 0.00 10.33 4851.2 11 3 63.00 37.00 0.04 9.68 4860.8 11 4 68.00 57.20 0.00 21.60 4882.4 11 5 62.60 50.00 0.39 15.30 4897.7 11 6 53.10 42.10 0.09 6.60 4904.3 11 7 48.90 32.00 0.05 2.42 4906.8 11 8 48.00 28.00 0.00 1.83 4908.6 11 9 45.00 24.10 0.04 0.76 4909.3 11 10 50.00 39.00 0.08 3.87 4913.2 11 11 54.00 35.10 0.00 5.00 4918.2 11 12 48.20 30.00 0.65 2.01 4920.2 11 13 55.00 39.90 0.85 6.58 4926.8 11 14 50.00 39.20 0.77 3.92 4930.7 11 15 55.90 46.00 0.19 9.95 4940.7 11 16 60.10 46.00 0.15 12.05 4952.7 11 17 57.90 42.10 0.49 9.00 4961.7 11 18 52.00 42.10 0.83 6.05 4967.8 11 19 51.80 36.00 0.46 4.14 4971.9 11 20 41.00 30.90 0.00 0.00 4971.9 11 21 41.00 35.10 0.00 0.00 4971.9 11 22 44.10 33.10 0.08 0.72 4972.6 11 23 51.80 39.00 0.07 4.74 4977.4 11 24 50.00 37.00 0.43 3.47 4980.8 11 25 50.00 41.00 0.02 4.50 4985.3 11 26 51.80 35.10 0.05 4.00 4989.3 11 27 39.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 4989.3 11 28 43.00 34.00 0.00 0.41 4989.7 11 29 43.00 36.00 0.17 0.47 4990.2 11 30 54.00 32.00 0.04 4.56 4994.8 12 1 46.90 28.90 0.00 1.49 4996.2 12 2 44.10 28.40 0.00 0.60 4996.8 12 3 50.00 30.00 0.00 2.70 4999.5 12 4 51.10 28.00 0.00 2.98 5002.5 12 5 48.90 26.10 0.17 2.05 5004.6 12 6 55.90 42.10 0.21 8.00 5012.6 12 7 51.10 37.00 0.00 3.98 5016.6 12 8 54.00 37.00 0.15 5.34 5021.9 12 9 53.60 33.10 0.29 4.52 5026.4 12 10 42.10 37.00 0.17 0.22 5026.6 12 11 44.60 39.00 0.24 1.33 5028.0 12 12 41.00 36.00 0.12 0.00 5028.0 12 13 53.10 37.40 0.36 5.00 5033.0 12 14 50.00 37.90 0.11 3.63 5036.6 12 15 49.60 43.00 0.22 5.30 5041.9 Px 12 16 50.00 43.00 0.60 5.50 5047.4 12 17 50.00 37.90 0.04 3.63 5051.0 12 18 50.00 37.40 0.26 3.54 5054.6 12 19 53.10 48.00 1.00 9.55 5064.1 12 20 54.00 46.00 1.28 9.00 5073.1 12 21 60.10 42.10 0.09 10.10 5083.2 12 22 48.00 30.90 0.02 1.99 5085.2 12 23 46.00 28.00 0.00 1.15 5086.4 12 24 33.10 26.10 0.00 0.00 5086.4 12 25 50.00 30.90 0.73 2.77 5089.2 12 26 50.00 44.10 0.07 6.05 5095.2 12 27 52.00 33.10 0.02 3.82 5099.0 12 28 48.00 27.00 0.00 1.78 5100.8 12 29 37.90 24.10 0.05 0.00 5100.8 12 30 46.90 37.40 4.10 2.13 5102.9 12 31 51.40 46.10 0.00 7.75 5110.7 Vx Vn Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 KSLE PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988
Location: 2020 KSLE Salem: McNary Field
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME
DateDDsEvent
 5-5-20 861Peak pheromone trap catch
 5-10-20 966Peak female adult emergence
 5-13-20 1009Peak egg laying
 5-29-20 1296Peak egg hatch
 7-5-20 2071Peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988