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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Knight 1988
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
No ending date, set to: default date 12 31
Model validation status: partly validated
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch
2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence
3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying
4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch
5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2017 KSLE METAR Salem: McNary Field OR Lat:44.9078 Long:-122.9950 Elev:210
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 41.00 33.00 0.16 0.00 0.0 * START *
1 2 35.10 28.40 0.06 0.00 0.0
1 3 37.90 26.10 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 4 37.90 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 5 37.40 17.10 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 6 39.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 7 28.90 24.80 0.27 0.00 0.0
1 8 41.00 28.00 0.71 0.00 0.0
1 9 43.00 35.60 0.95 0.45 0.5
1 10 43.00 33.00 0.82 0.39 0.8
1 11 35.60 30.90 0.01 0.00 0.8
1 12 36.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.8
1 13 30.90 19.40 0.00 0.00 0.8
1 14 34.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 0.8
1 15 36.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.8
1 16 37.90 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.8
1 17 52.00 26.10 1.13 3.19 4.0
1 18 55.90 46.00 0.62 9.95 14.0
1 19 52.00 37.90 0.01 4.58 18.6
1 20 51.80 37.00 0.13 4.31 22.9
1 21 49.00 36.00 0.27 2.87 25.8
1 22 51.80 35.60 0.05 4.07 29.8
1 23 53.60 30.00 0.00 4.16 34.0
1 24 48.20 26.60 0.00 1.83 35.8
1 25 46.90 37.40 0.00 2.13 37.9
1 26 52.00 33.00 0.00 3.81 41.8
1 27 45.00 28.00 0.00 0.84 42.6
1 28 46.40 30.20 0.00 1.37 44.0
1 29 48.20 33.80 0.00 2.29 46.3
1 30 47.00 39.00 0.00 2.44 48.7
1 31 48.20 33.10 0.03 2.23 50.9
2 1 43.00 33.10 0.00 0.39 51.3
2 2 48.20 33.10 0.15 2.23 53.6
2 3 49.00 30.00 0.99 2.31 55.9
2 4 52.00 46.00 1.92 8.00 63.9
2 5 48.20 37.00 1.85 2.66 66.5
2 6 43.00 35.60 0.41 0.45 67.0
2 7 40.00 35.00 0.33 0.00 67.0
2 8 48.00 39.00 1.63 2.91 69.9
2 9 61.00 44.60 0.31 11.80 81.7
2 10 50.00 42.80 0.16 5.40 87.1
2 11 52.00 33.10 0.00 3.82 90.9
2 12 50.00 28.40 0.00 2.59 93.5
2 13 57.20 28.40 0.00 5.52 99.0
2 14 52.00 28.40 0.06 3.36 102.4
2 15 57.20 44.60 2.12 9.90 112.3
2 16 55.90 46.00 0.42 9.95 122.2
2 17 55.90 39.00 0.12 6.75 129.0
2 18 54.00 42.80 0.51 7.40 136.4
2 19 51.10 39.00 0.56 4.40 140.8
2 20 52.00 42.80 1.08 6.40 147.2
2 21 46.40 39.20 0.44 2.19 149.4
2 22 45.00 33.80 0.16 1.06 150.4
2 23 45.00 30.00 0.00 0.90 151.3
2 24 41.00 32.00 0.03 0.00 151.3
2 25 48.20 28.90 0.00 1.95 153.3
2 26 44.10 35.60 0.23 0.83 154.1
2 27 45.00 35.10 0.08 1.13 155.2
2 28 50.00 37.00 0.11 3.47 158.7
3 1 52.00 37.00 0.01 4.40 163.1
3 2 50.00 33.80 0.03 3.04 166.2
3 3 51.80 42.80 0.47 6.30 172.5
3 4 46.90 35.60 0.19 1.93 174.4
3 5 44.60 33.80 0.50 0.92 175.3
3 6 45.00 33.10 0.35 1.02 176.3
3 7 48.90 39.20 0.73 3.39 179.7
3 8 51.80 44.10 0.19 6.95 186.6
3 9 57.90 51.10 0.33 13.50 200.1
3 10 62.10 44.60 0.01 12.35 212.5
3 11 57.90 39.90 0.21 8.02 220.5
3 12 64.40 44.60 0.00 13.50 234.0
3 13 57.90 51.10 0.15 13.50 247.5
3 14 59.00 53.60 1.02 15.30 262.8
3 15 55.90 46.00 0.67 9.95 272.8
3 16 55.90 35.10 0.00 5.88 278.6
3 17 55.90 35.60 0.17 5.97 284.6
3 18 57.90 39.00 0.41 7.73 292.3
3 19 57.20 32.00 0.00 5.98 298.3
3 20 50.00 39.20 0.23 3.92 302.2
3 21 64.40 45.00 0.11 13.70 315.9
3 22 55.40 42.80 0.01 8.10 324.0
3 23 57.20 35.10 0.59 6.48 330.5
3 24 55.40 43.00 0.43 8.20 338.7
3 25 54.00 42.80 0.02 7.40 346.1
3 26 53.60 42.80 0.56 7.20 353.3
3 27 55.90 44.10 0.04 9.00 362.3
3 28 61.00 46.00 0.12 12.50 374.8
3 29 55.90 46.00 0.16 9.95 384.8
3 30 57.20 37.90 0.21 7.09 391.8
3 31 57.90 34.00 0.00 6.61 398.5
4 1 61.00 42.80 0.00 10.90 409.4
4 2 59.00 39.00 0.00 8.27 417.6
4 3 55.90 30.20 0.00 5.17 422.8
4 4 55.90 36.50 0.00 6.14 428.9 Hx Hn
4 5 61.00 46.00 0.04 12.50 441.4
4 6 66.20 46.40 0.18 15.30 456.7
4 7 55.90 42.10 0.16 8.00 464.7
4 8 53.10 39.00 0.25 5.37 470.1
4 9 57.90 35.60 0.18 6.91 477.0
4 10 55.90 39.90 0.02 7.02 484.0
4 11 54.00 37.00 0.36 5.34 489.4
4 12 62.60 44.10 0.10 12.35 501.7
4 13 54.00 42.80 0.10 7.40 509.1
4 14 55.40 41.00 0.05 7.20 516.3
4 15 60.80 33.80 0.00 7.92 524.3
4 16 64.90 39.00 0.16 11.19 535.4
4 17 60.80 46.00 0.42 12.40 547.8
4 18 64.40 48.00 0.02 15.20 563.0
4 19 59.00 46.40 0.38 11.70 574.7
4 20 61.00 41.00 0.08 10.00 584.7
4 21 69.80 35.60 0.00 12.63 597.4
4 22 64.00 46.40 0.11 14.20 611.6
4 23 55.90 46.40 0.53 10.15 621.7
4 24 57.90 44.60 0.26 10.25 632.0
4 25 59.00 44.60 1.59 10.80 642.8
4 26 55.40 42.10 0.50 7.75 650.5
4 27 55.90 41.00 0.17 7.45 658.0
4 28 60.10 35.60 0.00 7.95 665.9
4 29 66.20 39.00 0.05 11.83 677.8
4 30 61.00 44.10 0.07 11.55 689.3
5 1 55.40 37.00 0.00 6.01 695.3
5 2 66.90 51.10 0.02 18.00 713.3
5 3 81.00 51.80 0.00 25.40 738.7
5 4 84.20 55.00 0.00 28.60 767.3
5 5 57.20 45.00 0.16 10.10 777.4
5 6 60.80 37.90 0.00 8.84 786.3
5 7 64.90 39.20 0.00 11.25 797.5
5 8 73.40 39.00 0.00 15.41 812.9
5 9 77.00 42.80 0.00 18.90 831.8
5 10 73.90 44.10 0.03 18.00 849.8
5 11 57.20 48.20 3.34 11.70 861.5 Peak pheromone trap catch
5 12 57.20 43.00 0.11 9.10 870.6
5 13 55.90 44.10 0.10 9.00 879.6
5 14 61.00 48.00 0.19 13.50 893.1
5 15 61.00 37.00 0.27 8.70 901.8
5 16 59.00 46.40 0.23 11.70 913.5
5 17 60.80 44.10 0.13 11.45 925.0
5 18 71.60 37.40 0.00 14.00 939.0
5 19 77.00 48.00 0.00 21.50 960.5 Peak female adult emergence
5 20 71.60 48.20 0.00 18.90 979.4
5 21 82.90 48.90 0.00 24.90 1004.3 Peak egg laying
5 22 91.40 51.80 0.00 30.60 1034.9
5 23 86.00 54.00 0.00 29.00 1063.9
5 24 66.20 44.60 0.00 14.40 1078.3
5 25 73.90 44.10 0.00 18.00 1096.3
5 26 84.20 46.40 0.00 24.30 1120.6
5 27 89.60 51.80 0.00 29.70 1150.3
5 28 80.60 50.00 0.00 24.30 1174.6
5 29 72.00 51.80 0.00 20.90 1195.5
5 30 62.60 51.80 0.00 16.20 1211.7
5 31 77.00 48.20 0.02 21.60 1233.3
6 1 70.00 55.00 0.00 21.50 1254.8
6 2 77.00 53.10 0.00 24.05 1278.8 Peak egg hatch
6 3 66.20 53.10 0.02 18.65 1297.5
6 4 70.00 46.90 0.00 17.45 1314.9
6 5 79.00 44.10 0.00 20.55 1335.5
6 6 82.90 48.20 0.00 24.55 1360.0
6 7 75.90 50.00 0.28 21.95 1382.0
6 8 64.90 53.60 0.07 18.25 1400.2
6 9 61.00 50.00 0.15 14.50 1414.7
6 10 62.10 50.00 0.07 15.05 1429.8
6 11 68.00 50.00 0.01 18.00 1447.8
6 12 61.00 51.80 0.00 15.40 1463.2
6 13 64.40 51.10 0.00 16.75 1479.9
6 14 69.10 48.00 0.01 17.55 1497.5
6 15 63.00 55.00 0.12 18.00 1515.5
6 16 64.90 53.70 0.02 18.30 1533.8 Pn
6 17 75.20 50.50 0.00 21.85 1555.6 Pn
6 18 82.40 59.00 0.00 29.70 1585.3 Pn
6 19 89.10 58.40 0.00 32.75 1618.1 Px Pn
6 20 80.60 54.40 0.00 26.50 1644.6 Pn
6 21 78.80 48.00 0.00 22.40 1667.0
6 22 86.00 51.10 0.00 27.55 1694.5
6 23 93.20 55.00 0.00 33.10 1727.6
6 24 100.90 55.40 0.00 37.15 1764.8
6 25 98.60 57.20 0.00 36.90 1801.7
6 26 77.00 57.20 0.00 26.10 1827.8
6 27 77.00 55.90 0.00 25.45 1853.2
6 28 75.90 52.00 0.00 22.95 1876.2
6 29 82.90 51.10 0.00 26.00 1902.2
6 30 84.20 53.60 0.00 27.90 1930.1
7 1 77.00 57.20 0.00 26.10 1956.2
7 2 84.90 51.10 0.00 27.00 1983.2
7 3 81.00 55.40 0.00 27.20 2010.4
7 4 87.80 55.00 0.00 30.40 2040.8
7 5 91.40 55.90 0.00 32.65 2073.4 Peak in density large larvae
7 6 91.40 51.80 0.00 30.60 2104.0
7 7 75.20 60.80 0.00 27.00 2131.0
7 8 89.60 51.80 0.00 29.70 2160.7
7 9 87.80 51.80 0.00 28.80 2189.5
7 10 82.40 57.00 0.00 28.70 2218.2
7 11 82.00 51.80 0.00 25.90 2244.1
7 12 86.00 51.80 0.00 27.90 2272.0
7 13 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 2297.2
7 14 88.00 51.10 0.00 28.55 2325.8
7 15 82.90 53.60 0.00 27.25 2353.0
7 16 77.00 55.00 0.00 25.00 2378.0
7 17 82.90 51.80 0.00 26.35 2404.4
7 18 86.00 53.10 0.00 28.55 2432.9
7 19 82.90 50.00 0.00 25.45 2458.4
7 20 77.00 53.10 0.00 24.05 2482.4
7 21 84.90 50.00 0.00 26.45 2508.9
7 22 93.20 57.00 0.00 34.10 2543.0
7 23 89.60 60.10 0.00 33.85 2576.8
7 24 91.40 54.00 0.00 31.70 2608.5
7 25 93.20 55.40 0.00 33.30 2641.8
7 26 91.40 57.00 0.00 33.20 2675.0
7 27 81.00 55.40 0.00 27.20 2702.2
7 28 86.00 53.60 0.00 28.80 2731.0
7 29 90.00 53.60 0.00 30.80 2761.8
7 30 91.90 59.00 0.00 34.45 2796.3
7 31 95.00 57.20 0.00 35.10 2831.4
8 1 100.90 60.10 0.00 39.50 2870.9
8 2 107.60 66.20 0.00 45.90 2916.8
8 3 102.90 64.00 0.00 42.45 2959.2
8 4 97.00 62.10 0.00 38.55 2997.8
8 5 90.00 53.10 0.00 30.55 3028.3
8 6 91.40 55.00 0.00 32.20 3060.5
8 7 93.20 64.00 0.00 37.60 3098.1
8 8 95.00 60.10 0.00 36.55 3134.7
8 9 96.80 60.10 0.00 37.45 3172.1
8 10 91.90 59.00 0.00 34.45 3206.6
8 11 88.00 60.80 0.00 33.40 3240.0
8 12 79.00 60.10 0.09 28.55 3268.5
8 13 75.90 57.00 0.06 25.45 3294.0
8 14 75.20 50.00 0.00 21.60 3315.6
8 15 82.90 48.20 0.00 24.55 3340.1
8 16 87.80 53.10 0.00 29.45 3369.6
8 17 84.90 60.80 0.00 31.85 3401.4
8 18 87.80 57.00 0.00 31.40 3432.8
8 19 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 3460.7
8 20 84.00 50.00 0.00 26.00 3486.7
8 21 90.00 57.20 0.00 32.60 3519.3
8 22 89.10 59.00 0.00 33.05 3552.4
8 23 84.90 57.00 0.00 29.95 3582.3
8 24 78.80 57.90 0.00 27.35 3609.7
8 25 82.90 48.20 0.00 24.55 3634.2
8 26 93.20 55.40 0.00 33.30 3667.5
8 27 93.20 55.40 0.00 33.30 3700.8
8 28 99.00 55.40 0.00 36.20 3737.0
8 29 89.60 57.90 0.00 32.75 3769.8
8 30 82.40 50.00 0.00 25.20 3795.0
8 31 86.00 55.00 0.00 29.50 3824.5
9 1 93.90 57.00 0.00 34.45 3858.9
9 2 98.60 57.20 0.00 36.90 3895.8
9 3 98.60 59.00 0.00 37.80 3933.6
9 4 91.90 60.80 0.00 35.35 3969.0
9 5 89.60 64.40 0.00 36.00 4005.0
9 6 84.90 61.00 0.00 31.95 4036.9
9 7 86.00 64.40 0.00 34.20 4071.1
9 8 73.90 64.00 0.00 27.95 4099.1
9 9 82.90 62.10 0.02 31.50 4130.6
9 10 82.00 60.10 0.00 30.05 4160.6
9 11 93.90 51.80 0.00 31.85 4192.5
9 12 91.00 57.90 0.00 33.45 4225.9
9 13 77.00 51.10 0.00 23.05 4249.0
9 14 78.10 50.00 0.00 23.05 4272.0
9 15 81.00 46.40 0.00 22.70 4294.7
9 16 77.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 4317.2
9 17 66.90 51.80 0.22 18.35 4335.6
9 18 63.00 53.10 0.91 17.05 4352.6
9 19 66.20 51.10 0.58 17.65 4370.3
9 20 59.00 46.40 0.55 11.70 4382.0
9 21 64.40 42.80 0.01 12.60 4394.6
9 22 69.80 44.10 0.00 15.95 4410.5
9 23 73.40 48.20 0.00 19.80 4430.3
9 24 75.90 44.10 0.00 19.00 4449.3
9 25 70.00 53.10 0.01 20.55 4469.9
9 26 79.00 53.10 0.00 25.05 4494.9
9 27 89.60 53.10 0.00 30.35 4525.3
9 28 86.00 51.10 0.00 27.55 4552.8
9 29 70.00 55.40 0.06 21.70 4574.5
9 30 64.90 46.00 0.04 14.45 4589.0
10 1 66.90 46.00 0.21 15.45 4604.4
10 2 64.40 44.60 0.01 13.50 4617.9
10 3 72.00 42.10 0.00 16.05 4634.0
10 4 73.40 39.20 0.00 15.48 4649.4
10 5 73.00 39.00 0.00 15.21 4664.7
10 6 75.20 41.00 0.00 17.10 4681.8
10 7 64.40 50.00 0.06 16.20 4698.0
10 8 66.20 42.10 0.07 13.15 4711.1
10 9 66.20 37.40 0.00 11.35 4722.4
10 10 60.80 39.20 0.25 9.22 4731.7
10 11 55.90 41.00 0.29 7.45 4739.1
10 12 57.90 46.40 0.58 11.15 4750.3
10 13 54.00 39.00 0.08 5.81 4756.1
10 14 59.00 33.10 0.00 6.96 4763.0
10 15 64.90 35.60 0.00 10.25 4773.3
10 16 69.80 37.00 0.00 13.00 4786.3
10 17 64.40 42.10 0.01 12.25 4798.6
10 18 66.90 53.60 0.00 19.25 4817.8
10 19 59.00 48.20 1.12 12.60 4830.4
10 20 54.00 44.60 0.58 8.30 4838.7
10 21 60.80 46.40 2.19 12.60 4851.3
10 22 63.00 48.00 0.20 14.50 4865.8
10 23 66.90 45.00 0.00 14.95 4880.8
10 24 72.00 43.00 0.00 16.50 4897.3
10 25 69.10 39.00 0.00 13.27 4910.5
10 26 72.00 51.10 0.32 20.55 4931.1
10 27 73.90 44.10 0.00 18.00 4949.1
10 28 71.60 42.10 0.00 15.85 4964.9
10 29 55.90 48.00 0.01 10.95 4975.9
10 30 64.90 39.00 0.00 11.19 4987.1
10 31 63.00 32.00 0.00 8.62 4995.7
11 1 59.00 42.10 0.01 9.55 5005.2
11 2 57.20 45.00 0.13 10.10 5015.3
11 3 52.00 37.40 0.03 4.48 5019.8
11 4 50.00 37.40 0.58 3.54 5023.4
11 5 53.60 37.90 0.06 5.35 5028.7
11 6 54.00 34.00 0.00 4.83 5033.5
11 7 50.00 30.00 0.00 2.70 5036.2
11 8 45.00 41.00 0.53 2.00 5038.2
11 9 57.90 42.80 0.55 9.35 5047.6
11 10 57.20 46.40 2.60 10.80 5058.4
11 11 59.00 50.00 0.01 13.50 5071.9
11 12 63.00 50.00 0.48 15.50 5087.4
11 13 55.90 46.00 0.28 9.95 5097.3
11 14 57.90 44.10 0.01 10.00 5107.3
11 15 55.40 42.80 1.10 8.10 5115.4
11 16 46.90 42.10 0.34 3.50 5118.9
11 17 52.00 39.90 0.02 5.09 5124.0
11 18 46.40 33.10 0.00 1.53 5125.5
11 19 51.80 33.80 0.11 3.82 5129.4
11 20 59.00 43.00 0.33 10.00 5139.4
11 21 63.00 46.40 0.48 13.70 5153.1
11 22 64.40 55.40 0.62 18.90 5172.0
11 23 62.60 44.10 0.09 12.35 5184.3
11 24 55.90 39.00 0.11 6.75 5191.1
11 25 45.00 37.00 0.10 1.27 5192.3
11 26 57.20 41.00 0.24 8.10 5200.4
11 27 50.00 37.00 0.00 3.47 5203.9
11 28 46.90 42.10 0.32 3.50 5207.4
11 29 53.60 37.00 0.00 5.16 5212.6
11 30 46.40 39.00 0.15 2.15 5214.7
12 1 50.00 44.60 0.02 6.30 5221.0
12 2 48.20 42.10 0.61 4.15 5225.2
12 3 48.20 33.10 0.03 2.23 5227.4
12 4 44.60 28.40 0.00 0.74 5228.1
12 5 51.80 32.00 0.00 3.61 5231.8
12 6 57.90 37.40 0.00 7.30 5239.1
12 7 53.60 28.40 0.00 4.01 5243.1
12 8 46.90 26.10 0.00 1.38 5244.4
12 9 46.90 21.90 0.00 1.25 5245.7
12 10 46.90 24.10 0.00 1.31 5247.0
12 11 46.40 21.90 0.00 1.10 5248.1
12 12 43.00 23.00 0.00 0.27 5248.4
12 13 48.20 26.60 0.00 1.83 5250.2
12 14 46.40 28.00 0.00 1.28 5251.5
12 15 42.80 28.00 0.01 0.27 5251.8
12 16 46.90 30.00 0.00 1.54 5253.3
12 17 50.00 39.00 0.00 3.87 5257.2
12 18 54.00 41.00 0.00 6.50 5263.7
12 19 52.00 39.20 0.78 4.89 5268.6
12 20 48.20 26.60 0.04 1.83 5270.4
12 21 35.60 24.10 0.00 0.00 5270.4
12 22 43.00 32.00 0.28 0.37 5270.8
12 23 41.00 30.20 0.06 0.00 5270.8
12 24 35.10 30.20 0.37 0.00 5270.8
12 25 41.00 33.10 0.02 0.00 5270.8
12 26 36.00 26.60 0.03 0.00 5270.8
12 27 51.80 33.10 0.01 3.74 5274.5
12 28 52.00 42.80 0.25 6.40 5280.9
12 29 55.40 51.80 0.57 12.60 5293.5
12 30 53.60 35.60 0.01 4.90 5298.4
12 31 48.20 28.40 0.00 1.92 5300.3
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 KSLE PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988Location: 2017 KSLE Salem: McNary Field Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME | Date | DDs | Event |
| 5-11-17 | 862 | Peak pheromone trap catch |
| 5-19-17 | 960 | Peak female adult emergence |
| 5-21-17 | 1004 | Peak egg laying |
| 6-2-17 | 1279 | Peak egg hatch |
| 7-5-17 | 2073 | Peak in density large larvae |
![degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988](/cgi-bin/ddplotj.pl?123544)
