Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight 1988


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 1988 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 No ending date, set to: default date 12 31 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 KSLE METAR Salem: McNary Field OR Lat:44.9078 Long:-122.9950 Elev:210 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 45.00 28.00 0.00 0.84 0.8 * START * 1 2 39.00 24.10 0.00 0.00 0.8 1 3 32.00 24.10 0.29 0.00 0.8 1 4 35.60 30.90 0.07 0.00 0.8 1 5 39.90 33.10 0.04 0.00 0.8 1 6 43.00 32.00 0.06 0.37 1.2 1 7 43.00 35.10 0.05 0.44 1.7 1 8 39.90 36.00 0.07 0.00 1.7 1 9 46.00 35.10 0.03 1.52 3.2 1 10 46.90 28.00 0.00 1.45 4.6 1 11 45.00 28.00 0.16 0.84 5.5 1 12 45.00 41.00 1.06 2.00 7.5 1 13 55.00 41.00 0.31 7.00 14.5 1 14 45.00 41.00 0.23 2.00 16.5 1 15 51.10 39.90 0.23 4.65 21.1 1 16 53.10 41.00 0.45 6.05 27.2 1 17 50.00 39.90 0.95 4.11 31.3 1 18 54.00 37.90 0.34 5.54 36.8 1 19 48.00 44.10 0.96 5.05 41.9 1 20 48.90 39.90 0.07 3.57 45.4 1 21 54.00 46.00 0.56 9.00 54.4 1 22 60.10 46.90 0.58 12.50 66.9 1 23 53.10 44.10 0.13 7.60 74.5 1 24 48.90 42.10 0.01 4.50 79.0 1 25 57.90 42.10 0.00 9.00 88.0 1 26 59.00 48.90 0.09 12.95 101.0 1 27 62.10 46.90 0.07 13.50 114.5 1 28 61.00 43.00 0.77 11.00 125.5 1 29 53.10 42.10 0.46 6.60 132.1 1 30 46.00 35.10 0.15 1.52 133.6 1 31 48.00 33.10 0.12 2.15 135.7 2 1 46.90 35.10 0.00 1.88 137.6 2 2 50.00 34.00 0.03 3.07 140.7 2 3 48.00 41.00 0.25 3.50 144.2 2 4 55.90 44.10 0.01 9.00 153.2 2 5 59.00 37.00 0.15 7.74 160.9 2 6 54.00 36.00 0.00 5.15 166.1 2 7 61.00 42.10 0.00 10.55 176.6 2 8 64.90 36.00 0.00 10.35 187.0 2 9 61.00 34.00 0.00 8.06 195.0 2 10 62.10 39.00 0.00 9.80 204.8 2 11 59.00 48.90 0.10 12.95 217.8 2 12 57.00 43.00 0.16 9.00 226.8 2 13 50.00 42.10 0.34 5.05 231.8 2 14 57.20 48.90 0.12 12.05 243.9 2 15 62.10 48.90 0.00 14.50 258.4 2 16 59.00 48.00 0.02 12.50 270.9 2 17 61.00 46.00 0.22 12.50 283.4 2 18 50.00 43.00 0.44 5.50 288.9 2 19 48.90 39.90 0.35 3.57 292.4 2 20 54.00 35.10 0.01 5.00 297.4 2 21 54.00 33.10 0.12 4.70 302.1 2 22 55.00 36.00 0.00 5.62 307.8 2 23 60.10 30.90 0.00 7.12 314.9 2 24 63.00 37.00 0.00 9.68 324.6 2 25 64.00 37.00 0.00 10.16 334.7 2 26 57.00 39.90 0.28 7.57 342.3 2 27 60.10 45.00 0.05 11.55 353.8 2 28 55.00 42.10 0.16 7.55 361.4 2 29 55.00 39.00 0.14 6.30 367.7 3 1 57.00 46.40 0.14 10.70 378.4 3 2 55.90 41.00 0.48 7.45 385.8 3 3 64.00 43.00 0.03 12.50 398.3 3 4 61.00 37.90 0.27 8.94 407.3 3 5 63.00 50.00 0.25 15.50 422.8 3 6 54.00 46.00 0.21 9.00 431.8 3 7 55.90 37.00 0.05 6.25 438.0 3 8 48.90 35.10 0.11 2.72 440.7 3 9 59.00 46.00 0.72 11.50 452.2 3 10 59.00 39.90 0.22 8.56 460.8 3 11 51.10 37.00 0.23 3.98 464.8 3 12 51.10 42.10 0.63 5.60 470.4 3 13 53.10 42.10 1.06 6.60 477.0 3 14 51.10 39.90 0.20 4.65 481.6 3 15 46.90 42.10 0.38 3.50 485.1 3 16 54.00 37.00 0.04 5.34 490.5 3 17 64.00 30.90 0.00 8.90 499.4 3 18 66.90 39.00 0.00 12.18 511.6 3 19 64.90 45.00 0.01 13.95 525.5 3 20 61.00 46.90 0.46 12.95 538.5 3 21 53.10 45.00 0.37 8.05 546.5 3 22 55.00 42.80 0.35 7.90 554.4 3 23 54.00 44.10 0.06 8.05 562.5 3 24 55.90 41.00 0.01 7.45 569.9 3 25 54.00 39.90 0.01 6.08 576.0 3 26 59.00 37.00 0.15 7.74 583.7 3 27 54.00 41.00 0.10 6.50 590.2 3 28 57.00 37.00 0.00 6.78 597.0 3 29 64.90 33.10 0.00 9.72 606.7 3 30 72.00 37.00 0.00 14.08 620.8 3 31 73.90 39.90 0.00 15.98 636.8 4 1 77.00 42.10 0.00 18.55 655.3 4 2 71.10 42.10 0.00 15.60 670.9 4 3 71.10 44.10 0.00 16.60 687.5 4 4 57.90 38.70 0.01 7.64 695.2 Hn 4 5 62.10 41.00 0.00 10.55 705.7 4 6 73.00 37.90 0.00 14.84 720.6 4 7 87.10 45.00 0.00 25.05 745.6 4 8 81.00 48.90 0.00 23.95 769.6 4 9 66.90 46.90 0.00 15.90 785.5 4 10 62.10 46.90 0.00 13.50 799.0 4 11 62.10 50.00 0.00 15.05 814.0 4 12 60.10 46.90 0.12 12.50 826.5 4 13 61.00 46.00 0.33 12.50 839.0 4 14 55.90 43.00 0.51 8.45 847.5 4 15 63.00 39.00 0.00 10.25 857.7 Peak pheromone trap catch 4 16 69.10 41.00 0.00 14.05 871.8 4 17 84.00 44.10 0.00 23.05 894.8 4 18 88.00 48.00 0.00 27.00 921.8 4 19 84.90 51.10 0.00 27.00 948.8 4 20 78.10 48.00 0.00 22.05 970.9 Peak female adult emergence 4 21 75.90 46.00 0.34 19.95 990.8 4 22 66.00 48.90 0.33 16.45 1007.3 Peak egg laying 4 23 61.00 46.90 0.22 12.95 1020.2 4 24 55.90 42.10 0.07 8.00 1028.2 4 25 61.00 37.90 0.00 8.94 1037.2 4 26 60.10 35.10 0.06 7.85 1045.0 4 27 61.00 46.90 0.07 12.95 1058.0 4 28 64.00 45.00 0.00 13.50 1071.5 4 29 59.00 46.00 0.03 11.50 1083.0 4 30 66.90 39.00 0.00 12.18 1095.1 5 1 82.90 46.90 0.00 23.90 1119.0 5 2 86.00 50.00 0.00 27.00 1146.0 5 3 72.00 51.10 0.05 20.55 1166.6 5 4 64.00 54.00 0.01 18.00 1184.6 5 5 70.00 50.00 0.00 19.00 1203.6 5 6 82.00 46.00 0.00 23.00 1226.6 5 7 86.00 55.00 0.00 29.50 1256.1 5 8 66.90 50.00 0.00 17.45 1273.5 Peak egg hatch 5 9 68.00 44.10 0.00 15.05 1288.6 5 10 80.10 42.10 0.00 20.10 1308.7 5 11 86.00 45.00 0.00 24.50 1333.2 5 12 82.90 46.90 0.00 23.90 1357.1 5 13 82.00 46.90 0.04 23.45 1380.5 5 14 57.00 53.10 0.41 14.05 1394.6 5 15 62.10 53.10 0.10 16.60 1411.2 5 16 61.00 51.10 0.01 15.05 1426.2 5 17 75.00 54.00 0.00 23.50 1449.7 5 18 73.90 50.00 0.00 20.95 1470.7 5 19 60.10 46.90 0.13 12.50 1483.2 5 20 64.00 46.00 0.00 14.00 1497.2 5 21 61.00 50.00 0.01 14.50 1511.7 5 22 64.90 48.90 0.42 15.90 1527.6 5 23 66.00 48.00 0.01 16.00 1543.6 5 24 72.00 51.10 0.00 20.55 1564.1 5 25 66.90 54.00 0.00 19.45 1583.6 5 26 64.00 51.10 0.00 16.55 1600.1 5 27 64.90 46.90 0.00 14.90 1615.0 5 28 73.90 41.00 0.00 16.45 1631.5 5 29 72.00 51.10 0.00 20.55 1652.0 5 30 78.10 46.90 0.00 21.50 1673.5 5 31 88.00 50.00 0.00 28.00 1701.5 6 1 82.90 53.10 0.10 27.00 1728.5 6 2 70.00 57.00 0.09 22.50 1751.0 6 3 88.00 53.10 0.00 29.55 1780.6 6 4 99.00 61.00 0.00 39.00 1819.6 6 5 95.00 64.90 0.00 38.95 1858.5 6 6 93.90 61.00 0.00 36.45 1895.0 6 7 91.90 55.00 0.00 32.45 1927.4 6 8 75.90 57.00 0.00 25.45 1952.9 6 9 62.10 51.10 0.15 15.60 1968.5 6 10 64.90 48.00 0.03 15.45 1983.9 6 11 70.00 51.10 0.00 19.55 2003.5 6 12 78.10 46.90 0.00 21.50 2025.0 6 13 64.90 51.10 0.03 17.00 2042.0 6 14 64.00 46.00 0.03 14.00 2056.0 6 15 64.90 46.00 0.01 14.45 2070.4 Peak in density large larvae 6 16 69.10 46.90 0.00 17.00 2087.4 6 17 73.00 53.10 0.00 22.05 2109.5 6 18 68.00 50.00 0.20 18.00 2127.5 6 19 78.10 44.10 0.00 20.10 2147.6 6 20 80.10 53.10 0.00 25.60 2173.2 6 21 77.00 53.10 0.00 24.05 2197.2 6 22 82.00 50.00 0.02 25.00 2222.2 6 23 64.90 54.00 0.37 18.45 2240.7 6 24 70.00 52.00 0.00 20.00 2260.7 6 25 81.00 50.00 0.00 24.50 2285.2 6 26 90.00 53.10 0.00 30.55 2315.7 6 27 89.10 57.00 0.00 32.05 2347.8 6 28 84.90 53.10 0.00 28.00 2375.8 6 29 82.40 53.60 0.00 27.00 2402.8 6 30 82.00 51.10 0.00 25.55 2428.3 7 1 82.90 53.10 0.00 27.00 2455.3 7 2 87.10 59.00 0.00 32.05 2487.4 7 3 80.60 53.60 0.00 26.10 2513.5 7 4 75.20 51.80 0.00 22.50 2536.0 7 5 77.00 53.10 0.00 24.05 2560.0 7 6 82.90 55.00 0.00 27.95 2588.0 7 7 72.00 55.00 0.05 22.50 2610.5 7 8 75.90 59.00 0.22 26.45 2636.9 7 9 73.90 55.40 0.02 23.65 2660.6 7 10 70.00 55.40 0.16 21.70 2682.3 7 11 77.00 57.20 0.00 26.10 2708.4 7 12 73.40 57.20 0.00 24.30 2732.7 7 13 82.40 55.00 0.00 27.70 2760.4 7 14 84.20 53.60 0.00 27.90 2788.3 7 15 78.80 51.80 0.00 24.30 2812.6 7 16 75.00 59.00 0.00 26.00 2838.6 7 17 73.40 53.60 0.00 22.50 2861.1 7 18 75.90 60.80 0.00 27.35 2888.4 7 19 78.10 57.00 0.00 26.55 2915.0 7 20 84.90 51.80 0.00 27.35 2942.3 7 21 84.00 55.00 0.00 28.50 2970.8 7 22 77.00 59.00 0.00 27.00 2997.8 7 23 79.00 57.00 0.00 27.00 3024.8 7 24 89.10 53.60 0.00 30.35 3055.2 7 25 89.60 59.00 0.00 33.30 3088.5 7 26 88.00 55.90 0.00 30.95 3119.4 7 27 91.90 57.00 0.00 33.45 3152.9 7 28 96.80 59.00 0.00 36.90 3189.8 7 29 97.00 60.10 0.00 37.55 3227.3 7 30 82.90 57.00 0.00 28.95 3256.3 7 31 80.10 50.00 0.00 24.05 3280.3 8 1 84.90 52.00 0.00 27.45 3307.8 8 2 79.00 53.60 0.00 25.30 3333.1 8 3 82.90 53.10 0.00 27.00 3360.1 8 4 95.00 57.20 0.00 35.10 3395.2 8 5 84.20 55.40 0.00 28.80 3424.0 8 6 80.60 51.80 0.00 25.20 3449.2 8 7 75.20 51.10 0.00 22.15 3471.3 8 8 68.00 53.60 0.17 19.80 3491.1 8 9 70.00 55.00 0.07 21.50 3512.6 8 10 81.00 60.10 0.00 29.55 3542.2 8 11 89.60 55.40 0.00 31.50 3573.7 8 12 97.00 59.00 0.00 37.00 3610.7 8 13 96.80 60.80 0.00 37.80 3648.5 8 14 93.90 59.00 0.00 35.45 3683.9 8 15 90.00 55.40 0.00 31.70 3715.6 8 16 88.00 57.20 0.00 31.60 3747.2 8 17 86.00 52.00 0.00 28.00 3775.2 8 18 102.20 57.00 0.00 38.60 3813.8 8 19 104.00 61.00 0.00 41.50 3855.3 8 20 100.90 60.10 0.00 39.50 3894.8 8 21 86.00 53.10 0.00 28.55 3923.4 8 22 78.10 51.80 0.00 23.95 3947.3 8 23 84.20 51.10 0.00 26.65 3974.0 8 24 93.90 55.00 0.00 33.45 4007.4 8 25 97.00 62.60 0.00 38.80 4046.2 8 26 99.00 57.20 0.00 37.10 4083.3 8 27 84.90 55.40 0.00 29.15 4112.5 8 28 87.80 55.40 0.00 30.60 4143.1 8 29 84.90 53.10 0.00 28.00 4171.1 8 30 75.20 53.60 0.00 23.40 4194.5 8 31 70.00 54.00 0.65 21.00 4215.5 9 1 69.80 53.60 0.24 20.70 4236.2 9 2 73.40 57.00 1.71 24.20 4260.4 9 3 71.10 46.40 0.00 17.75 4278.1 9 4 73.40 48.00 0.00 19.70 4297.8 9 5 75.00 48.20 0.00 20.60 4318.4 9 6 72.00 53.60 0.11 21.80 4340.2 9 7 77.00 54.00 0.00 24.50 4364.7 9 8 78.80 50.00 0.00 23.40 4388.1 9 9 84.90 48.00 0.00 25.45 4413.6 9 10 89.60 51.10 0.00 29.35 4442.9 9 11 75.90 48.90 0.00 21.40 4464.3 9 12 81.00 48.00 0.00 23.50 4487.8 9 13 84.20 46.00 0.00 24.10 4511.9 9 14 81.00 46.00 0.00 22.50 4534.4 9 15 82.90 44.60 0.00 22.75 4557.2 9 16 86.00 48.20 0.00 26.10 4583.3 9 17 62.60 55.00 0.72 17.80 4601.1 9 18 73.40 51.10 0.23 21.25 4622.3 9 19 68.00 46.40 0.00 16.20 4638.5 9 20 72.00 48.00 0.00 19.00 4657.5 9 21 73.40 44.10 0.44 17.75 4675.3 9 22 71.60 46.00 0.00 17.80 4693.1 9 23 62.60 50.00 0.03 15.30 4708.4 9 24 71.60 46.00 0.00 17.80 4726.2 9 25 84.00 46.40 0.00 24.20 4750.4 9 26 90.00 52.00 0.00 30.00 4780.4 9 27 75.20 57.00 0.00 25.10 4805.5 9 28 75.20 48.00 0.00 20.60 4826.1 9 29 72.00 45.00 0.00 17.50 4843.6 9 30 66.20 41.00 0.05 12.60 4856.2 10 1 64.40 51.10 0.31 16.75 4872.9 10 2 57.90 46.00 0.13 10.95 4883.9 10 3 59.00 46.00 0.07 11.50 4895.4 10 4 62.60 53.10 0.31 16.85 4912.2 10 5 61.00 53.10 0.46 16.05 4928.3 10 6 62.60 51.80 0.30 16.20 4944.5 10 7 62.60 55.00 0.08 17.80 4962.3 10 8 71.60 55.90 0.00 22.75 4985.0 10 9 68.00 53.10 0.46 19.55 5004.6 10 10 62.60 42.10 0.07 11.35 5015.9 10 11 66.90 39.00 0.00 12.18 5028.1 10 12 60.80 37.40 0.38 8.71 5036.8 10 13 62.60 51.10 2.10 15.85 5052.7 10 14 66.90 53.10 1.25 19.00 5071.7 10 15 62.60 51.80 0.60 16.20 5087.9 10 16 55.90 51.10 1.15 12.50 5100.4 10 17 59.00 50.00 0.77 13.50 5113.9 10 18 60.80 46.40 0.15 12.60 5126.5 10 19 55.90 39.00 0.21 6.75 5133.2 10 20 62.60 53.60 0.27 17.10 5150.3 10 21 64.90 50.00 0.04 16.45 5166.8 10 22 61.00 43.00 0.15 11.00 5177.8 10 23 63.00 51.10 0.38 16.05 5193.8 10 24 55.90 48.00 0.15 10.95 5204.8 10 25 64.90 50.00 0.43 16.45 5221.2 10 26 64.90 53.10 0.70 18.00 5239.2 10 27 57.90 50.00 0.21 12.95 5252.2 10 28 66.20 46.00 0.00 15.10 5267.3 10 29 64.90 46.00 0.01 14.45 5281.7 10 30 55.90 44.60 0.48 9.25 5291.0 10 31 61.00 51.10 0.06 15.05 5306.0 11 1 62.10 48.00 0.06 14.05 5320.1 11 2 66.90 50.00 0.05 17.45 5337.5 11 3 64.90 44.60 0.00 13.75 5351.3 11 4 70.00 41.00 0.00 14.50 5365.8 11 5 57.20 51.80 0.95 13.50 5379.3 11 6 62.60 50.00 0.10 15.30 5394.6 11 7 62.60 48.00 0.00 14.30 5408.9 11 8 68.00 41.00 0.00 13.50 5422.4 11 9 69.80 48.90 0.01 18.35 5440.7 11 10 57.90 44.10 0.00 10.00 5450.7 11 11 57.20 50.00 0.03 12.60 5463.3 11 12 61.00 43.00 0.07 11.00 5474.3 11 13 59.00 42.10 0.27 9.55 5483.9 11 14 59.00 53.10 0.80 15.05 5498.9 11 15 59.00 45.00 0.23 11.00 5509.9 11 16 50.00 42.80 0.10 5.40 5515.3 11 17 54.00 37.00 0.00 5.34 5520.7 11 18 50.00 37.00 0.01 3.47 5524.1 11 19 59.00 44.10 0.02 10.55 5534.7 11 20 57.20 50.00 0.30 12.60 5547.3 11 21 55.90 42.80 0.02 8.35 5555.6 11 22 55.90 42.80 0.61 8.35 5564.0 11 23 50.00 44.10 0.31 6.05 5570.0 11 24 53.60 46.40 2.20 9.00 5579.0 11 25 53.60 46.00 0.28 8.80 5587.8 11 26 55.40 41.00 0.27 7.20 5595.0 11 27 48.90 41.00 0.20 3.95 5599.0 11 28 52.00 42.10 0.02 6.05 5605.0 11 29 53.60 37.00 0.10 5.16 5610.2 11 30 51.80 44.10 0.05 6.95 5617.1 12 1 46.40 38.90 0.00 2.14 5619.3 Vx Vn 12 2 46.90 39.00 0.04 2.39 5621.7 12 3 52.00 43.00 0.08 6.50 5628.2 12 4 48.20 35.60 0.49 2.48 5630.6 12 5 39.90 35.10 0.32 0.00 5630.6 12 6 39.90 32.00 0.04 0.00 5630.6 12 7 39.20 28.40 0.00 0.00 5630.6 12 8 34.00 30.00 0.49 0.00 5630.6 12 9 49.00 33.00 0.55 2.55 5633.2 12 10 50.00 33.10 0.41 2.97 5636.2 12 11 48.20 42.10 0.57 4.15 5640.3 12 12 48.90 32.00 0.08 2.42 5642.7 12 13 39.20 33.10 0.00 0.00 5642.7 12 14 35.60 28.00 0.53 0.00 5642.7 12 15 30.90 27.00 0.02 0.00 5642.7 12 16 35.60 15.80 0.00 0.00 5642.7 12 17 34.00 15.80 0.00 0.00 5642.7 12 18 32.00 26.10 0.00 0.00 5642.7 12 19 46.00 28.00 0.67 1.15 5643.9 12 20 52.00 32.00 0.09 3.70 5647.6 12 21 35.60 28.00 0.00 0.00 5647.6 12 22 41.00 30.00 0.21 0.00 5647.6 12 23 46.40 34.00 0.79 1.59 5649.2 12 24 44.60 28.40 0.00 0.74 5649.9 12 25 45.00 27.00 0.00 0.82 5650.7 12 26 41.00 24.10 0.35 0.00 5650.7 12 27 48.90 39.00 0.18 3.34 5654.1 12 28 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 5654.1 12 29 46.90 37.00 0.07 2.08 5656.1 12 30 46.40 30.20 0.38 1.37 5657.5 12 31 35.96 30.02 0.07 0.00 5657.5 Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 KSLE PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988
Location: 2016 KSLE Salem: McNary Field
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME
DateDDsEvent
 4-15-16 858Peak pheromone trap catch
 4-20-16 971Peak female adult emergence
 4-22-16 1007Peak egg laying
 5-8-16 1274Peak egg hatch
 6-15-16 2070Peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988