Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight 1988


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 1988 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 No ending date, set to: default date 12 31 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2019 KBLI METAR Bellingham Int Apt WA Lat:48.7989 Long:-122.5406 Elev:148 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 42.80 30.00 0.00 0.29 0.3 * START * 1 2 48.20 33.10 0.65 2.23 2.5 1 3 54.00 44.60 0.83 8.30 10.8 1 4 52.00 45.00 0.19 7.50 18.3 1 5 50.00 39.20 0.13 3.92 22.2 1 6 46.90 33.80 0.30 1.77 24.0 1 7 45.00 28.00 0.30 0.84 24.9 1 8 41.00 30.20 0.06 0.00 24.9 1 9 57.20 39.00 0.06 7.38 32.2 1 10 55.40 44.60 0.02 9.00 41.2 1 11 53.60 33.80 0.00 4.62 45.9 1 12 53.60 28.40 0.00 4.01 49.9 1 13 53.60 28.90 0.00 4.06 53.9 1 14 51.80 26.60 0.00 3.15 57.1 1 15 46.90 26.10 0.00 1.38 58.5 1 16 46.90 30.00 0.00 1.54 60.0 1 17 55.90 39.00 0.11 6.75 66.7 1 18 51.80 44.10 0.28 6.95 73.7 1 19 53.60 39.90 0.07 5.88 79.6 1 20 48.00 30.00 0.00 1.94 81.5 1 21 46.40 26.60 0.00 1.23 82.7 1 22 46.00 33.80 1.26 1.42 84.2 1 23 46.90 35.60 0.03 1.93 86.1 1 24 46.40 34.00 0.00 1.59 87.7 1 25 46.90 39.00 0.00 2.39 90.1 1 26 50.00 33.10 0.00 2.97 93.0 1 27 44.60 28.40 0.00 0.74 93.8 1 28 51.80 28.40 0.00 3.29 97.1 1 29 48.90 24.80 0.00 1.99 99.0 1 30 45.00 28.00 0.00 0.84 99.9 1 31 48.90 37.00 0.08 2.97 102.9 2 1 48.90 41.00 0.29 3.95 106.8 2 2 48.20 37.40 0.01 2.72 109.5 2 3 39.90 17.60 0.02 0.00 109.5 2 4 25.00 15.10 0.05 0.00 109.5 2 5 33.80 16.00 0.00 0.00 109.5 2 6 37.40 19.00 0.00 0.00 109.5 2 7 36.00 17.60 0.00 0.00 109.5 2 8 35.60 24.80 0.01 0.00 109.5 2 9 27.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 109.5 2 10 39.90 15.10 0.05 0.00 109.5 2 11 27.00 19.00 0.01 0.00 109.5 2 12 28.90 24.80 0.11 0.00 109.5 2 13 46.40 21.00 0.02 1.08 110.6 2 14 46.40 19.00 0.11 1.04 111.6 2 15 44.60 30.20 0.10 0.78 112.4 2 16 42.80 28.40 0.04 0.27 112.7 2 17 44.60 26.60 0.00 0.70 113.4 2 18 36.00 24.80 0.03 0.00 113.4 2 19 39.20 30.20 0.31 0.00 113.4 2 20 43.00 30.00 0.16 0.34 113.7 2 21 45.00 30.00 0.00 0.90 114.6 2 22 41.00 33.10 0.04 0.00 114.6 2 23 45.00 33.80 0.07 1.06 115.7 2 24 44.60 33.10 0.01 0.88 116.6 2 25 39.20 30.00 0.00 0.00 116.6 2 26 39.20 28.00 0.00 0.00 116.6 2 27 43.00 33.10 0.00 0.39 117.0 2 28 46.90 26.10 0.00 1.38 118.4 3 1 48.20 26.10 0.00 1.81 120.2 3 2 45.00 24.10 0.00 0.76 120.9 3 3 44.60 30.20 0.00 0.78 121.7 3 4 45.00 30.00 0.00 0.90 122.6 3 5 46.90 28.00 0.00 1.45 124.1 3 6 39.90 26.60 0.17 0.00 124.1 3 7 44.60 33.10 0.05 0.88 124.9 3 8 45.00 28.00 0.05 0.84 125.8 3 9 46.40 24.10 0.00 1.16 126.9 3 10 48.90 24.10 0.00 1.96 128.9 3 11 48.90 30.00 0.36 2.27 131.2 3 12 46.90 33.80 0.03 1.77 132.9 3 13 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 135.8 3 14 52.00 33.80 0.00 3.91 139.7 3 15 57.90 37.40 0.00 7.30 147.0 3 16 59.00 35.10 0.00 7.33 154.3 3 17 63.00 30.20 0.00 8.33 162.7 3 18 64.90 30.20 0.00 9.20 171.9 3 19 73.90 32.00 0.00 13.76 185.6 3 20 73.90 35.10 0.00 14.49 200.1 3 21 57.90 37.00 0.00 7.21 207.3 3 22 64.90 37.90 0.06 10.85 218.2 3 23 60.80 39.00 0.08 9.16 227.3 3 24 54.00 39.20 0.00 5.87 233.2 3 25 61.00 37.00 0.18 8.70 241.9 3 26 57.20 39.20 0.18 7.44 249.4 3 27 66.20 39.00 0.00 11.83 261.2 3 28 62.60 42.10 0.00 11.35 272.5 3 29 62.60 37.40 0.00 9.59 282.1 3 30 63.00 37.00 0.00 9.68 291.8 3 31 63.00 35.10 0.00 9.23 301.0 4 1 71.60 35.10 0.00 13.37 314.4 4 2 71.60 41.00 0.00 15.30 329.7 4 3 57.20 48.00 0.49 11.60 341.3 4 4 64.90 48.20 0.01 15.55 356.9 4 5 59.00 48.20 0.19 12.60 369.5 4 6 55.40 44.10 0.08 8.75 378.2 4 7 57.00 39.00 0.04 7.29 385.5 4 8 57.20 39.20 0.26 7.44 392.9 4 9 55.90 46.00 0.01 9.95 402.9 4 10 50.00 46.00 0.42 7.00 409.9 4 11 48.90 44.10 0.54 5.50 415.4 4 12 55.90 44.60 0.12 9.25 424.6 4 13 50.00 46.00 0.54 7.00 431.6 4 14 51.10 43.00 0.00 6.05 437.7 4 15 57.90 39.00 0.00 7.73 445.4 4 16 55.90 37.90 0.13 6.46 451.9 4 17 59.00 48.00 0.06 12.50 464.4 4 18 57.90 51.10 0.87 13.50 477.9 4 19 60.10 44.10 0.10 11.10 489.0 4 20 60.80 39.20 0.00 9.22 498.2 4 21 57.20 46.40 0.00 10.80 509.0 4 22 54.00 48.00 0.16 10.00 519.0 4 23 59.00 48.00 0.07 12.50 531.5 4 24 59.00 39.90 0.00 8.56 540.1 4 25 59.00 33.80 0.00 7.08 547.1 4 26 57.20 42.10 0.00 8.65 555.8 4 27 55.40 44.10 0.00 8.75 564.5 4 28 61.00 33.80 0.00 8.02 572.6 4 29 64.90 33.80 0.00 9.86 582.4 4 30 64.90 35.10 0.00 10.14 592.5 5 1 59.00 48.20 0.00 12.60 605.1 5 2 57.90 48.20 0.00 12.05 617.2 5 3 61.00 50.00 0.00 14.50 631.7 5 4 62.10 42.10 0.00 11.10 642.8 5 5 66.20 44.10 0.00 14.15 656.9 5 6 69.10 46.00 0.00 16.55 673.5 5 7 69.10 44.10 0.00 15.60 689.1 5 8 70.00 48.00 0.00 18.00 707.1 5 9 77.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 729.6 5 10 81.00 46.90 0.00 22.95 752.5 5 11 75.00 50.00 0.00 21.50 774.0 5 12 61.00 51.80 0.00 15.40 789.4 5 13 60.80 46.00 0.00 12.40 801.8 5 14 61.00 51.10 0.31 15.05 816.9 5 15 71.60 46.40 0.04 18.00 834.9 5 16 66.90 48.20 0.10 16.55 851.4 Peak pheromone trap catch 5 17 61.00 51.80 0.03 15.40 866.8 5 18 69.10 48.00 0.00 17.55 884.4 5 19 71.60 48.20 0.00 18.90 903.3 5 20 57.20 51.10 0.21 13.15 916.4 5 21 64.40 48.20 0.12 15.30 931.7 5 22 72.00 46.90 0.01 18.45 950.2 Peak female adult emergence 5 23 73.40 55.00 0.19 23.20 973.4 5 24 61.00 53.60 1.34 16.30 989.7 5 25 55.90 51.80 0.31 12.85 1002.5 Peak egg laying 5 26 64.90 50.00 0.00 16.45 1019.0 5 27 75.20 48.20 0.00 20.70 1039.7 5 28 63.00 55.00 0.00 18.00 1057.7 5 29 66.20 52.00 0.00 18.10 1075.8 5 30 70.00 51.80 0.00 19.90 1095.7 5 31 66.90 55.40 0.00 20.15 1115.8 6 1 68.00 53.60 0.00 19.80 1135.6 6 2 70.00 53.60 0.00 20.80 1156.4 6 3 64.40 52.00 0.00 17.20 1173.6 6 4 66.20 48.00 0.00 16.10 1189.7 6 5 61.00 53.10 0.15 16.05 1205.8 6 6 64.40 48.20 0.01 15.30 1221.1 6 7 62.60 50.00 0.06 15.30 1236.4 6 8 64.40 53.10 0.01 17.75 1254.1 6 9 69.80 42.80 0.00 15.30 1269.4 6 10 73.40 50.00 0.00 20.70 1290.1 Peak egg hatch 6 11 80.60 51.10 0.00 24.85 1315.0 6 12 84.90 55.40 0.00 29.15 1344.1 6 13 70.00 55.90 0.00 21.95 1366.1 6 14 66.90 53.60 0.00 19.25 1385.3 6 15 68.00 55.00 0.00 20.50 1405.8 6 16 70.00 53.60 0.00 20.80 1426.6 6 17 66.90 55.40 0.00 20.15 1446.8 6 18 68.00 54.00 0.02 20.00 1466.8 6 19 66.20 53.60 0.03 18.90 1485.7 6 20 64.90 51.80 0.09 17.35 1503.0 6 21 70.00 55.00 0.00 21.50 1524.5 6 22 64.40 55.00 0.00 18.70 1543.2 6 23 64.40 53.60 0.02 18.00 1561.2 6 24 66.20 51.80 0.00 18.00 1579.2 6 25 73.40 46.00 0.00 18.70 1597.9 6 26 72.00 53.60 0.52 21.80 1619.7 6 27 68.00 55.40 0.36 20.70 1640.4 6 28 68.00 55.90 0.10 20.95 1661.4 6 29 73.40 53.10 0.00 22.25 1683.6 6 30 75.90 51.10 0.00 22.50 1706.1 7 1 71.60 53.60 0.00 21.60 1727.7 7 2 63.00 57.00 0.01 19.00 1746.7 7 3 64.90 59.00 0.00 20.95 1767.7 7 4 66.20 57.00 0.00 20.60 1788.3 7 5 63.00 57.00 0.01 19.00 1807.3 7 6 70.00 57.20 0.00 22.60 1829.9 7 7 64.90 55.40 0.00 19.15 1849.0 7 8 73.40 52.00 0.00 21.70 1870.7 7 9 73.90 51.80 0.09 21.85 1892.6 7 10 71.60 61.00 0.12 25.30 1917.9 7 11 72.00 57.00 0.08 23.50 1941.4 7 12 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 1964.8 7 13 73.40 60.80 0.00 26.10 1990.9 7 14 73.40 57.90 0.00 24.65 2015.5 7 15 71.60 55.40 0.00 22.50 2038.0 7 16 73.90 51.80 0.02 21.85 2059.9 7 17 66.20 59.00 0.22 21.60 2081.5 Peak in density large larvae 7 18 69.80 57.00 0.00 22.40 2103.9 7 19 70.00 51.10 0.00 19.55 2123.4 7 20 77.00 46.00 0.00 20.50 2143.9 7 21 84.90 51.80 0.00 27.35 2171.3 7 22 75.20 60.10 0.00 26.65 2197.9 7 23 71.10 59.00 0.00 24.05 2222.0 7 24 73.90 55.00 0.00 23.45 2245.4 7 25 81.00 50.00 0.00 24.50 2269.9 7 26 79.00 53.60 0.17 25.30 2295.2 7 27 73.90 60.10 0.01 26.00 2321.2 7 28 75.90 53.60 0.00 23.75 2345.0 7 29 77.00 53.60 0.00 24.30 2369.3 7 30 72.00 59.00 0.00 24.50 2393.8 7 31 78.80 59.00 0.00 27.90 2421.7 8 1 81.00 57.20 0.06 28.10 2449.8 8 2 73.40 61.00 0.05 26.20 2476.0 8 3 75.90 50.00 0.00 21.95 2497.9 8 4 82.90 51.80 0.00 26.35 2524.3 8 5 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 2552.2 8 6 78.80 57.00 0.00 26.90 2579.1 8 7 69.80 57.00 0.00 22.40 2601.5 8 8 69.80 57.90 0.00 22.85 2624.3 8 9 71.60 60.10 0.05 24.85 2649.2 8 10 66.90 60.80 0.09 22.85 2672.0 8 11 70.00 60.80 0.02 24.40 2696.4 8 12 77.00 55.90 0.00 25.45 2721.9 8 13 80.60 53.60 0.00 26.10 2748.0 8 14 81.00 55.40 0.00 27.20 2775.2 8 15 75.20 57.20 0.00 25.20 2800.4 8 16 71.10 59.00 0.00 24.05 2824.4 8 17 71.60 60.10 0.00 24.85 2849.3 8 18 69.80 59.00 0.00 23.40 2872.7 8 19 72.00 54.00 0.00 22.00 2894.7 8 20 77.00 48.20 0.00 21.60 2916.3 8 21 64.90 62.10 0.29 22.50 2938.8 8 22 71.60 54.00 0.00 21.80 2960.6 8 23 69.80 51.80 0.11 19.80 2980.4 8 24 69.80 51.10 0.04 19.45 2999.8 8 25 71.60 53.10 0.00 21.35 3021.2 8 26 73.40 48.00 0.00 19.70 3040.9 8 27 80.60 50.00 0.00 24.30 3065.2 8 28 80.60 51.80 0.00 25.20 3090.4 8 29 73.90 53.60 0.11 22.75 3113.1 8 30 75.20 62.10 0.08 27.65 3140.8 8 31 77.00 60.80 0.00 27.90 3168.7 9 1 75.90 57.20 0.00 25.55 3194.2 9 2 75.00 55.40 0.00 24.20 3218.4 9 3 73.90 57.00 0.00 24.45 3242.9 9 4 73.40 55.00 0.00 23.20 3266.1 9 5 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 3289.5 9 6 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 3314.7 9 7 70.00 59.00 0.28 23.50 3338.2 9 8 66.90 59.00 0.02 21.95 3360.1 9 9 64.90 60.10 0.12 21.50 3381.6 9 10 70.00 55.90 0.00 21.95 3403.6 9 11 68.00 53.60 0.00 19.80 3423.4 9 12 72.00 55.00 0.74 22.50 3445.9 9 13 66.20 59.00 0.26 21.60 3467.5 9 14 66.90 60.10 0.50 22.50 3490.0 9 15 63.00 53.60 1.32 17.30 3507.3 9 16 66.00 53.10 0.16 18.55 3525.8 9 17 64.90 55.40 0.87 19.15 3545.0 9 18 66.90 51.80 0.00 18.35 3563.3 9 19 63.00 46.90 0.01 13.95 3577.3 9 20 66.90 55.00 0.00 19.95 3597.2 9 21 66.90 55.40 0.10 20.15 3617.4 9 22 64.90 59.00 0.26 20.95 3638.3 9 23 61.00 57.00 0.30 18.00 3656.3 9 24 66.20 55.40 0.09 19.80 3676.1 9 25 64.40 55.00 0.44 18.70 3694.8 9 26 63.00 50.00 2.45 15.50 3710.3 9 27 57.90 46.40 0.07 11.15 3721.5 9 28 60.80 46.00 0.25 12.40 3733.9 9 29 59.00 48.20 0.00 12.60 3746.5 9 30 59.00 37.00 0.00 7.74 3754.2 10 1 59.00 37.00 0.00 7.74 3762.0 10 2 63.00 41.00 0.00 11.00 3773.0 10 3 62.10 48.00 0.04 14.05 3787.0 10 4 55.90 48.00 0.29 10.95 3798.0 10 5 60.10 44.10 0.00 11.10 3809.1 10 6 62.60 39.00 0.22 10.05 3819.1 10 7 61.00 51.80 0.40 15.40 3834.5 10 8 52.00 42.10 0.08 6.05 3840.6 10 9 53.60 30.90 0.00 4.26 3844.8 10 10 55.90 30.00 0.00 5.14 3850.0 10 11 62.10 33.10 0.00 8.40 3858.4 10 12 57.90 35.60 0.13 6.91 3865.3 10 13 57.20 44.10 0.01 9.65 3874.9 10 14 60.80 39.20 0.00 9.22 3884.2 10 15 61.00 42.80 0.20 10.90 3895.1 10 16 63.00 51.10 0.49 16.05 3911.1 10 17 57.90 50.00 0.17 12.95 3924.1 10 18 54.00 50.00 0.33 11.00 3935.1 10 19 52.00 46.90 0.13 8.45 3943.5 10 20 53.60 46.40 0.10 9.00 3952.5 10 21 59.00 51.80 1.82 14.40 3966.9 10 22 60.10 45.00 0.00 11.55 3978.5 10 23 57.90 42.10 0.00 9.00 3987.5 10 24 57.20 44.60 0.01 9.90 3997.4 10 25 57.90 50.00 0.11 12.95 4010.3 10 26 57.90 37.40 0.00 7.30 4017.6 10 27 57.20 35.10 0.00 6.48 4024.1 10 28 52.00 33.10 0.00 3.82 4027.9 10 29 48.90 30.90 0.00 2.34 4030.2 10 30 52.00 26.60 0.00 3.23 4033.5 10 31 51.80 30.20 0.00 3.44 4036.9 11 1 55.00 30.00 0.00 4.76 4041.7 11 2 55.90 32.00 0.00 5.40 4047.1 11 3 55.90 32.00 0.00 5.40 4052.5 11 4 55.40 39.20 0.00 6.56 4059.0 11 5 54.00 37.00 0.00 5.34 4064.4 11 6 63.00 33.80 0.00 8.96 4073.3 11 7 55.90 35.10 0.00 5.88 4079.2 11 8 55.40 35.10 0.02 5.64 4084.8 11 9 54.00 50.00 0.09 11.00 4095.8 11 10 57.20 44.60 0.00 9.90 4105.7 11 11 55.90 39.20 0.13 6.80 4112.5 11 12 52.00 46.00 0.19 8.00 4120.5 11 13 57.90 41.00 0.01 8.45 4129.0 11 14 55.40 41.00 0.00 7.20 4136.2 11 15 57.90 46.00 0.19 10.95 4147.1 11 16 57.20 48.20 0.31 11.70 4158.8 11 17 57.20 51.80 0.35 13.50 4172.3 11 18 52.00 46.00 0.68 8.00 4180.3 11 19 55.40 41.00 0.01 7.20 4187.5 11 20 55.40 32.00 0.00 5.17 4192.7 11 21 53.10 28.40 0.00 3.81 4196.5 11 22 48.20 30.00 0.00 2.01 4198.5 11 23 54.00 39.20 0.06 5.87 4204.4 11 24 55.40 42.80 0.05 8.10 4212.5 11 25 46.90 35.60 0.02 1.93 4214.4 11 26 44.60 35.60 0.00 1.01 4215.4 11 27 44.60 35.60 0.00 1.01 4216.5 11 28 41.00 33.10 0.00 0.00 4216.5 11 29 42.80 25.00 0.00 0.25 4216.7 11 30 44.10 23.00 0.00 0.51 4217.2 12 1 41.00 26.60 0.01 0.00 4217.2 12 2 42.80 37.00 0.24 0.44 4217.6 12 3 54.00 41.00 0.89 6.50 4224.1 12 4 55.00 44.10 0.10 8.55 4232.7 12 5 48.90 42.10 0.01 4.50 4237.2 12 6 50.00 42.80 0.04 5.40 4242.6 12 7 51.80 44.60 0.07 7.20 4249.8 12 8 51.80 35.60 0.00 4.07 4253.9 12 9 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 4254.8 12 10 43.00 39.00 0.11 0.64 4255.4 12 11 52.00 42.10 0.17 6.05 4261.5 12 12 52.00 46.00 0.46 8.00 4269.5 12 13 48.20 44.10 0.22 5.15 4274.6 12 14 45.00 41.00 0.13 2.00 4276.6 12 15 46.90 37.00 0.08 2.08 4278.7 12 16 45.00 33.10 0.04 1.02 4279.7 12 17 44.60 39.20 0.04 1.36 4281.1 12 18 50.00 39.20 0.02 3.92 4285.0 12 19 52.00 42.10 0.65 6.05 4291.1 12 20 48.20 41.00 0.91 3.60 4294.7 12 21 44.60 36.00 0.19 1.04 4295.7 12 22 45.00 33.10 0.00 1.02 4296.7 12 23 43.00 32.00 0.00 0.37 4297.1 12 24 41.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 4297.1 12 25 45.00 30.90 0.00 0.93 4298.0 12 26 44.60 27.00 0.00 0.71 4298.7 12 27 44.60 35.60 0.01 1.01 4299.7 12 28 44.60 35.60 0.00 1.01 4300.7 12 29 52.00 41.00 0.03 5.50 4306.2 12 30 48.90 42.80 0.36 4.85 4311.1 12 31 53.96 46.40 4.40 9.18 4320.3 Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 KBLI PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988
Location: 2019 KBLI Bellingham Int Apt
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME
DateDDsEvent
 5-16-19 851Peak pheromone trap catch
 5-22-19 950Peak female adult emergence
 5-25-19 1003Peak egg laying
 6-10-19 1290Peak egg hatch
 7-17-19 2081Peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988