Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 No ending date, set to: default date 12 31 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2015 KBLI METAR Bellingham Int Apt WA Lat:48.7989 Long:-122.5406 Elev:148 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 37.20 24.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START *Vx Vn 1 2 36.20 32.10 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 3 39.00 33.10 0.02 0.00 0.0 1 4 51.10 33.10 1.79 3.44 3.4 1 5 53.10 35.60 0.65 4.67 8.1 1 6 53.60 36.00 0.00 4.97 13.1 1 7 48.90 33.80 0.00 2.58 15.7 1 8 45.00 30.20 0.01 0.91 16.6 1 9 48.90 30.90 0.03 2.34 18.9 1 10 43.00 39.00 0.07 0.64 19.5 1 11 44.60 39.00 0.12 1.33 20.9 1 12 48.90 34.00 0.02 2.60 23.5 1 13 39.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 23.5 1 14 48.90 28.00 0.01 2.15 25.6 1 15 54.00 28.90 0.04 4.22 29.8 1 16 54.00 35.10 0.07 5.00 34.8 1 17 46.90 36.00 0.62 1.97 36.8 1 18 57.20 44.10 0.46 9.65 46.4 1 19 50.00 35.10 0.01 3.20 49.6 1 20 50.00 30.00 0.00 2.70 52.3 1 21 46.00 28.00 0.04 1.15 53.5 1 22 46.90 39.90 0.18 2.59 56.1 1 23 55.90 44.60 0.91 9.25 65.3 1 24 55.90 51.80 0.30 12.85 78.2 1 25 57.90 42.10 0.00 9.00 87.2 1 26 57.00 37.40 0.01 6.87 94.1 1 27 52.00 44.10 0.03 7.05 101.1 1 28 55.00 35.10 0.00 5.46 106.6 1 29 53.10 34.00 0.00 4.42 111.0 1 30 52.00 30.90 0.01 3.59 114.6 1 31 48.90 32.00 0.02 2.42 117.0 2 1 50.00 39.90 0.09 4.11 121.1 2 2 50.00 42.80 0.25 5.40 126.5 2 3 50.00 42.80 0.01 5.40 131.9 2 4 50.00 36.00 0.30 3.32 135.2 2 5 60.80 44.10 0.18 11.45 146.7 2 6 60.80 53.10 0.14 15.95 162.6 2 7 57.90 50.00 0.53 12.95 175.6 2 8 61.00 50.00 0.14 14.50 190.1 2 9 55.90 48.00 0.33 10.95 201.0 2 10 53.10 44.10 0.01 7.60 208.6 2 11 55.00 42.10 0.01 7.55 216.2 2 12 53.10 46.00 0.12 8.55 224.7 2 13 57.90 48.90 0.11 12.40 237.1 2 14 53.10 45.00 0.02 8.05 245.2 2 15 54.00 33.10 0.00 4.70 249.9 2 16 57.90 32.00 0.00 6.29 256.2 2 17 59.00 33.10 0.00 6.96 263.1 2 18 55.00 34.00 0.03 5.28 268.4 2 19 50.00 46.90 0.01 7.45 275.8 2 20 52.00 39.00 0.01 4.84 280.7 2 21 57.00 32.00 0.00 5.89 286.6 2 22 53.10 28.00 0.00 3.77 290.3 2 23 53.10 28.90 0.00 3.85 294.2 2 24 51.10 30.00 0.00 3.14 297.3 2 25 46.90 34.00 0.11 1.79 299.1 2 26 52.00 42.80 0.06 6.40 305.5 2 27 53.10 43.00 0.05 7.05 312.6 2 28 55.90 33.10 0.00 5.55 318.1 3 1 50.00 27.00 0.00 2.50 320.6 3 2 54.00 30.00 0.00 4.33 325.0 3 3 51.10 30.00 0.00 3.14 328.1 3 4 51.10 24.10 0.00 2.73 330.8 3 5 53.10 28.90 0.00 3.85 334.7 3 6 57.00 32.00 0.00 5.89 340.6 3 7 59.00 30.90 0.00 6.62 347.2 3 8 57.00 30.20 0.00 5.65 352.8 3 9 54.00 30.90 0.00 4.43 357.3 3 10 55.90 39.00 0.01 6.75 364.0 3 11 61.00 48.90 0.12 13.95 378.0 3 12 62.10 46.90 0.00 13.50 391.5 3 13 64.90 45.00 0.14 13.95 405.4 3 14 60.10 46.00 0.36 12.05 417.5 3 15 46.40 42.10 1.14 3.25 420.7 3 16 57.90 41.00 0.04 8.45 429.2 3 17 55.00 37.00 0.00 5.82 435.0 3 18 57.90 46.90 0.00 11.40 446.4 3 19 55.90 46.00 0.36 9.95 456.3 3 20 59.00 48.00 0.05 12.50 468.8 3 21 59.00 45.00 0.34 11.00 479.8 3 22 54.00 39.90 0.05 6.08 485.9 3 23 53.10 39.00 0.20 5.37 491.3 3 24 55.00 42.80 0.15 7.90 499.2 3 25 53.60 37.80 0.00 5.32 504.5 Hx Hn 3 26 64.00 46.00 0.01 14.00 518.5 3 27 64.90 44.10 0.35 13.50 532.0 3 28 57.90 50.00 0.02 12.95 545.0 3 29 55.90 50.00 0.48 11.95 556.9 3 30 63.00 48.20 0.17 14.60 571.5 3 31 55.90 44.10 0.03 9.00 580.5 4 1 54.00 39.90 0.04 6.08 586.6 4 2 54.00 39.90 0.00 6.08 592.7 4 3 55.00 39.90 0.11 6.58 599.2 4 4 54.00 36.00 0.00 5.15 604.4 4 5 57.90 33.10 0.00 6.46 610.9 4 6 54.00 36.00 0.00 5.15 616.0 4 7 57.00 36.00 0.00 6.56 622.6 4 8 60.10 36.00 0.00 8.04 630.6 4 9 62.10 36.00 0.01 9.00 639.6 4 10 57.90 39.00 0.06 7.73 647.3 4 11 53.10 42.80 0.04 6.95 654.3 4 12 55.00 39.00 0.01 6.30 660.6 4 13 50.00 42.10 0.19 5.05 665.6 4 14 54.00 37.90 0.01 5.54 671.2 4 15 55.00 37.90 0.00 6.02 677.2 4 16 62.10 34.00 0.00 8.57 685.8 4 17 63.00 41.00 0.00 11.00 696.8 4 18 64.90 39.00 0.00 11.19 708.0 4 19 64.00 39.90 0.00 11.05 719.0 4 20 69.10 42.10 0.00 14.60 733.6 4 21 61.00 45.00 0.20 12.00 745.6 4 22 57.00 46.00 0.00 10.50 756.1 4 23 51.10 45.00 0.12 7.05 763.2 4 24 54.00 41.00 0.11 6.50 769.7 4 25 55.00 35.60 0.10 5.55 775.2 4 26 59.00 36.00 0.02 7.51 782.7 4 27 69.10 48.90 0.02 18.00 800.7 4 28 59.00 48.00 0.01 12.50 813.2 4 29 60.10 48.00 0.02 13.05 826.3 4 30 60.10 48.00 0.01 13.05 839.3 5 1 61.00 45.00 0.01 12.00 851.3 peak pheromone trap catch 5 2 61.00 42.10 0.01 10.55 861.9 5 3 64.90 36.00 0.00 10.35 872.2 5 4 61.00 41.00 0.09 10.00 882.2 5 5 55.90 44.60 0.19 9.25 891.5 5 6 61.00 41.00 0.03 10.00 901.5 5 7 64.90 37.00 0.00 10.60 912.1 5 8 75.90 41.00 0.00 17.45 929.5 5 9 75.00 42.10 0.00 17.55 947.1 5 10 66.90 50.00 0.00 17.45 964.5 peak female adult emergence 5 11 61.00 50.00 0.04 14.50 979.0 5 12 64.90 45.00 0.02 13.95 993.0 5 13 57.00 52.00 0.06 13.50 1006.5 peak egg laying 5 14 64.00 48.90 0.00 15.45 1021.9 5 15 64.90 46.90 0.00 14.90 1036.8 5 16 60.10 55.00 0.00 16.55 1053.4 5 17 66.90 53.10 0.00 19.00 1072.4 5 18 73.90 51.10 0.00 21.50 1093.9 5 19 63.00 51.80 0.00 16.40 1110.3 5 20 73.00 51.80 0.00 21.40 1131.7 5 21 75.00 53.10 0.00 23.05 1154.7 5 22 62.10 54.00 0.00 17.05 1171.8 5 23 59.00 55.00 0.01 16.00 1187.8 5 24 62.10 53.10 0.00 16.60 1204.4 5 25 62.10 51.80 0.04 15.95 1220.3 5 26 70.00 55.00 0.00 21.50 1241.8 5 27 73.00 55.00 0.00 23.00 1264.8 5 28 75.90 53.10 0.00 23.50 1288.3 peak egg hatch 5 29 73.00 55.00 0.00 23.00 1311.3 5 30 66.00 55.90 0.00 19.95 1331.3 5 31 70.00 48.90 0.00 18.45 1349.7 6 1 62.10 55.00 0.09 17.55 1367.3 6 2 61.00 53.60 0.07 16.30 1383.6 6 3 63.00 53.10 0.00 17.05 1400.6 6 4 71.10 54.00 0.00 21.55 1422.2 6 5 75.00 50.00 0.00 21.50 1443.7 6 6 78.10 55.90 0.00 26.00 1469.7 6 7 80.10 57.00 0.00 27.55 1497.2 6 8 80.10 57.00 0.00 27.55 1524.8 6 9 73.90 53.10 0.00 22.50 1547.3 6 10 73.00 51.10 0.00 21.05 1568.3 6 11 66.90 55.00 0.00 19.95 1588.3 6 12 68.00 51.10 0.00 18.55 1606.8 6 13 71.10 46.00 0.00 17.55 1624.4 6 14 75.90 46.00 0.00 19.95 1644.3 6 15 80.10 51.10 0.00 24.60 1668.9 6 16 66.00 55.90 0.00 19.95 1688.9 6 17 69.10 54.00 0.00 20.55 1709.4 6 18 66.90 57.00 0.10 20.95 1730.4 6 19 69.10 55.00 0.00 21.05 1751.4 6 20 72.00 48.90 0.00 19.45 1770.9 6 21 75.90 52.00 0.00 22.95 1793.8 6 22 69.10 55.00 0.00 21.05 1814.9 6 23 73.00 54.00 0.00 22.50 1837.4 6 24 71.10 55.90 0.00 22.50 1859.9 6 25 82.90 55.00 0.00 27.95 1887.8 6 26 82.90 60.10 0.00 30.50 1918.3 6 27 87.10 59.00 0.00 32.05 1950.4 6 28 82.90 59.00 0.00 29.95 1980.3 6 29 81.00 64.90 0.00 31.95 2012.3 6 30 78.10 60.10 0.00 28.10 2040.4 7 1 84.00 57.00 0.00 29.50 2069.9 7 2 84.00 60.10 0.00 31.05 2100.9 peak in density large larvae 7 3 81.00 61.00 0.00 30.00 2130.9 7 4 80.10 59.00 0.00 28.55 2159.5 7 5 93.00 55.00 0.00 33.00 2192.5 7 6 73.90 57.90 0.00 24.90 2217.4 7 7 73.00 60.10 0.00 25.55 2242.9 7 8 78.10 57.90 0.00 27.00 2269.9 7 9 73.90 59.00 0.00 25.45 2295.4 7 10 70.00 60.10 0.00 24.05 2319.4 7 11 66.00 61.00 0.04 22.50 2341.9 7 12 75.90 60.10 0.25 27.00 2368.9 7 13 73.00 59.00 0.01 25.00 2393.9 7 14 77.00 57.00 0.00 26.00 2419.9 7 15 72.00 55.00 0.00 22.50 2442.4 7 16 73.90 60.10 0.00 26.00 2468.4 7 17 79.00 54.00 0.00 25.50 2493.9 7 18 84.90 55.00 0.00 28.95 2522.9 7 19 89.10 61.00 0.00 34.05 2556.9 7 20 73.00 62.10 0.00 26.55 2583.5 7 21 70.00 59.00 0.00 23.50 2607.0 7 22 70.00 57.00 0.00 22.50 2629.5 7 23 72.00 59.00 0.00 24.50 2654.0 7 24 64.90 59.00 0.37 20.95 2674.9 7 25 66.90 57.00 0.05 20.95 2695.9 7 26 66.90 55.90 0.00 20.40 2716.3 7 27 73.00 54.00 0.00 22.50 2738.8 7 28 77.00 57.00 0.00 26.00 2764.8 7 29 88.00 53.10 0.00 29.55 2794.3 7 30 88.00 53.10 0.00 29.55 2823.9 7 31 87.10 54.00 0.00 29.55 2853.4 8 1 86.00 57.00 0.00 30.50 2883.9 8 2 81.00 60.10 0.00 29.55 2913.5 8 3 75.00 59.00 0.00 26.00 2939.5 8 4 73.90 59.00 0.00 25.45 2964.9 8 5 64.00 57.90 0.08 19.95 2984.9 8 6 75.00 55.00 0.00 24.00 3008.9 8 7 79.00 51.10 0.00 24.05 3032.9 8 8 73.00 61.00 0.00 26.00 3058.9 8 9 78.10 57.90 0.00 27.00 3085.9 8 10 80.10 55.00 0.00 26.55 3112.5 8 11 86.00 53.10 0.00 28.55 3141.0 8 12 84.00 57.00 0.00 29.50 3170.5 8 13 82.00 62.10 0.00 31.05 3201.6 8 14 63.00 57.90 0.14 19.45 3221.0 8 15 69.10 55.90 0.00 21.50 3242.5 8 16 75.00 54.00 0.00 23.50 3266.0 8 17 77.00 51.10 0.00 23.05 3289.1 8 18 82.00 53.10 0.00 26.55 3315.6 8 19 82.90 55.90 0.00 28.40 3344.0 8 20 71.10 59.00 0.00 24.05 3368.1 8 21 72.00 53.10 0.00 21.55 3389.6 8 22 78.10 50.00 0.00 23.05 3412.7 8 23 79.00 48.90 0.00 22.95 3435.6 8 24 69.10 57.00 0.00 22.05 3457.7 8 25 75.00 48.00 0.00 20.50 3478.2 8 26 78.10 48.90 0.00 22.50 3500.7 8 27 80.10 52.00 0.07 25.05 3525.7 8 28 71.10 60.10 0.22 24.60 3550.3 8 29 73.90 60.80 0.44 26.35 3576.7 8 30 69.10 57.00 0.11 22.05 3598.7 8 31 63.00 59.00 0.62 20.00 3618.7 9 1 64.00 55.90 0.43 18.95 3637.7 9 2 64.00 48.90 0.25 15.45 3653.1 9 3 62.10 48.00 0.28 14.05 3667.2 9 4 66.90 44.60 0.01 14.75 3681.9 9 5 66.00 43.00 0.20 13.50 3695.4 9 6 62.10 51.10 0.37 15.60 3711.0 9 7 66.90 50.00 0.00 17.45 3728.5 9 8 66.00 57.90 0.05 20.95 3749.4 9 9 72.00 53.10 0.00 21.55 3771.0 9 10 73.90 50.00 0.00 20.95 3791.9 9 11 75.00 51.10 0.01 22.05 3814.0 9 12 71.10 52.00 0.01 20.55 3834.5 9 13 66.90 50.00 0.00 17.45 3852.0 9 14 61.00 48.00 0.00 13.50 3865.5 9 15 63.00 51.10 0.00 16.05 3881.5 9 16 66.00 43.00 0.03 13.50 3895.0 9 17 64.00 52.00 0.04 17.00 3912.0 9 18 64.90 54.00 0.00 18.45 3930.5 9 19 66.90 57.90 0.15 21.40 3951.9 9 20 66.90 48.00 0.42 16.45 3968.3 9 21 62.10 44.10 0.01 12.10 3980.4 9 22 63.00 39.00 0.00 10.25 3990.7 9 23 69.10 39.90 0.00 13.59 4004.3 9 24 70.00 52.00 0.28 20.00 4024.3 9 25 60.80 46.00 0.04 12.40 4036.7 9 26 61.00 41.00 0.04 10.00 4046.7 9 27 61.00 36.00 0.00 8.47 4055.1 9 28 69.10 37.90 0.01 12.92 4068.0 9 29 68.00 41.00 0.01 13.50 4081.5 9 30 66.90 42.80 0.01 13.85 4095.4 10 1 64.00 44.60 0.00 13.30 4108.7 10 2 57.20 48.00 0.00 11.60 4120.3 10 3 70.00 50.00 0.00 19.00 4139.3 10 4 71.10 46.00 0.00 17.55 4156.8 10 5 72.00 43.00 0.01 16.50 4173.3 10 6 70.00 39.90 0.04 14.04 4187.4 10 7 60.80 55.40 0.50 17.10 4204.5 10 8 66.00 55.00 0.01 19.50 4224.0 10 9 70.00 51.10 0.01 19.55 4243.5 10 10 69.10 57.00 0.26 22.05 4265.6 10 11 62.10 51.10 0.00 15.60 4281.2 10 12 59.00 51.10 0.24 14.05 4295.2 10 13 59.00 42.80 0.00 9.90 4305.1 10 14 59.00 37.90 0.01 7.96 4313.1 10 15 71.10 37.90 0.00 13.91 4327.0 10 16 71.10 41.00 0.00 15.05 4342.0 10 17 61.00 48.90 0.00 13.95 4356.0 10 18 60.10 54.00 0.00 16.05 4372.0 10 19 62.10 48.20 0.06 14.15 4386.2 10 20 63.00 44.60 0.01 12.80 4399.0 10 21 59.00 39.20 0.03 8.33 4407.3 10 22 57.90 39.20 0.00 7.79 4415.1 10 23 57.90 39.00 0.01 7.73 4422.8 10 24 57.90 36.00 0.01 6.99 4429.8 10 25 66.00 46.90 0.56 15.45 4445.3 10 26 57.20 53.60 0.04 14.40 4459.7 10 27 62.10 44.10 0.05 12.10 4471.8 10 28 55.90 44.10 0.60 9.00 4480.8 10 29 57.20 52.00 0.13 13.60 4494.4 10 30 61.00 53.10 0.59 16.05 4510.4 10 31 60.80 51.10 0.55 14.95 4525.4 11 1 55.40 46.00 0.23 9.70 4535.1 11 2 50.00 39.00 0.06 3.87 4539.0 11 3 52.00 34.00 0.06 3.94 4542.9 11 4 50.00 34.00 0.01 3.07 4546.0 11 5 51.10 39.00 0.15 4.40 4550.4 11 6 60.10 37.90 0.15 8.50 4558.9 11 7 55.90 46.90 0.45 10.40 4569.3 11 8 53.10 41.00 0.12 6.05 4575.3 11 9 53.10 33.10 0.01 4.30 4579.6 11 10 51.10 30.20 0.18 3.15 4582.8 11 11 52.00 41.00 0.21 5.50 4588.3 11 12 51.10 44.10 0.67 6.60 4594.9 11 13 55.40 48.90 0.61 11.15 4606.0 11 14 48.90 44.10 0.62 5.50 4611.5 11 15 48.00 39.00 0.07 2.91 4614.4 11 16 46.90 35.10 0.26 1.88 4616.3 11 17 55.90 41.00 0.57 7.45 4623.8 11 18 46.90 37.90 0.07 2.20 4626.0 11 19 46.00 30.90 0.11 1.27 4627.2 11 20 45.00 28.00 0.00 0.84 4628.1 11 21 46.00 26.10 0.00 1.09 4629.2 11 22 46.00 28.90 0.00 1.18 4630.3 11 23 44.60 36.00 0.26 1.04 4631.4 11 24 44.10 36.00 0.01 0.85 4632.2 11 25 46.90 32.00 0.00 1.65 4633.9 11 26 46.90 26.10 0.00 1.38 4635.3 11 27 45.00 26.10 0.00 0.80 4636.1 11 28 43.00 24.10 0.00 0.28 4636.3 11 29 42.10 24.10 0.00 0.12 4636.4 11 30 46.00 19.40 0.00 0.94 4637.4 12 1 50.00 37.00 0.36 3.47 4640.9 12 2 50.00 41.00 0.06 4.50 4645.4 12 3 62.10 48.00 0.11 14.05 4659.4 12 4 50.00 45.00 0.05 6.50 4665.9 12 5 55.00 48.00 0.06 10.50 4676.4 12 6 55.00 50.00 0.07 11.50 4687.9 12 7 54.00 48.90 0.12 10.45 4698.4 12 8 57.90 45.00 0.61 10.45 4708.8 12 9 57.90 42.10 0.10 9.00 4717.8 12 10 51.10 44.10 0.36 6.60 4724.4 12 11 48.90 32.00 0.00 2.42 4726.8 12 12 48.20 32.00 0.34 2.14 4729.0 12 13 48.00 41.00 0.51 3.50 4732.5 12 14 45.00 35.10 0.02 1.13 4733.6 12 15 42.10 39.00 0.19 0.29 4733.9 12 16 43.00 28.90 0.11 0.32 4734.2 12 17 39.00 34.00 1.03 0.00 4734.2 12 18 46.90 34.00 0.25 1.79 4736.0 12 19 46.90 33.10 0.01 1.72 4737.7 12 20 46.90 41.00 0.21 2.95 4740.7 12 21 43.00 37.40 0.34 0.53 4741.2 12 22 43.00 35.10 0.16 0.44 4741.6 12 23 42.10 35.60 0.39 0.20 4741.8 12 24 42.10 35.10 0.20 0.19 4742.0 12 25 41.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 4742.0 12 26 37.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 4742.0 12 27 39.20 34.00 0.55 0.00 4742.0 12 28 39.90 33.80 0.01 0.00 4742.0 12 29 41.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 4742.0 12 30 37.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 4742.0 12 31 37.94 24.08 0.00 0.00 4742.0 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg KBLI 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2015 KBLI Bellingham Int Apt
DateDDsEvent
 5-1-15 851peak pheromone trap catch
 5-10-15 965peak female adult emergence
 5-13-15 1006peak egg laying
 5-28-15 1288peak egg hatch
 7-2-15 2101peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)