|
Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Knight 1988
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
No ending date, set to: default date 12 31
Model validation status: partly validated
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch
2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence
3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying
4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch
5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2019 HPROS HMMN Prosser Barricade Hanf WA Lat:46.3919 Long:-119.4119 Elev:479
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 35.50 20.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START *
1 2 34.50 17.50 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 3 47.10 30.40 0.00 1.63 1.6
1 4 54.40 35.30 0.00 5.22 6.8
1 5 42.50 29.60 0.00 0.22 7.1
1 6 50.10 31.80 0.00 2.89 10.0
1 7 49.00 25.50 0.00 2.06 12.0
1 8 35.90 23.90 0.00 0.00 12.0
1 9 41.60 34.70 0.00 0.08 12.1 Pn
1 10 37.50 31.90 0.00 0.00 12.1
1 11 43.40 27.60 0.00 0.40 12.5
1 12 38.50 27.30 0.00 0.00 12.5
1 13 32.20 25.30 0.00 0.00 12.5
1 14 32.40 31.00 0.00 0.00 12.5
1 15 32.20 29.90 0.00 0.00 12.5
1 16 38.60 26.20 0.00 0.00 12.5
1 17 42.40 35.10 0.00 0.27 12.8
1 18 51.70 37.50 0.00 4.36 17.1
1 19 47.20 34.80 0.00 1.97 19.1
1 20 39.20 32.90 0.00 0.00 19.1
1 21 45.90 24.10 0.00 1.01 20.1
1 22 42.10 27.70 0.00 0.13 20.2
1 23 50.00 38.00 0.00 3.65 23.9 Pn
1 24 48.50 26.30 0.00 1.92 25.8
1 25 45.40 25.80 0.00 0.91 26.7
1 26 37.80 31.00 0.00 0.00 26.7
1 27 38.70 31.80 0.00 0.00 26.7
1 28 37.40 26.10 0.00 0.00 26.7
1 29 36.20 25.70 0.00 0.00 26.7
1 30 33.10 30.90 0.00 0.00 26.7
1 31 33.70 30.50 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 1 36.30 31.40 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 2 36.90 31.10 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 3 40.60 31.80 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 4 35.20 21.50 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 5 24.60 18.70 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 6 26.60 2.40 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 7 21.20 -4.60 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 8 23.70 16.90 0.00 0.00 26.7 Pn
2 9 26.10 19.50 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 10 24.50 18.40 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 11 21.60 15.50 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 12 26.70 15.30 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 13 30.10 10.70 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 14 32.30 19.60 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 15 33.60 19.70 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 16 34.60 27.60 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 17 35.90 29.80 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 18 31.30 13.00 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 19 26.10 12.80 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 20 33.20 19.70 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 21 30.20 17.00 0.00 0.00 26.7 Pn
2 22 39.30 14.40 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 23 31.20 13.40 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 24 30.70 23.30 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 25 27.10 18.30 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 26 26.60 11.20 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 27 30.90 23.90 0.00 0.00 26.7
2 28 28.40 8.30 0.00 0.00 26.7
3 1 29.10 15.40 0.00 0.00 26.7
3 2 29.60 19.40 0.00 0.00 26.7
3 3 25.40 11.50 0.00 0.00 26.7
3 4 23.20 2.30 0.00 0.00 26.7
3 5 22.90 1.40 0.00 0.00 26.7
3 6 27.80 20.90 0.00 0.00 26.7
3 7 39.80 10.80 0.00 0.00 26.7
3 8 33.10 17.30 0.00 0.00 26.7
3 9 31.80 15.70 0.00 0.00 26.7
3 10 34.30 10.80 0.00 0.00 26.7
3 11 28.50 16.30 0.00 0.00 26.7
3 12 36.90 22.00 0.00 0.00 26.7
3 13 48.10 28.50 0.00 1.89 28.6
3 14 38.60 19.00 0.00 0.00 28.6
3 15 43.30 25.10 0.00 0.35 28.9
3 16 45.70 23.70 0.00 0.94 29.9
3 17 52.10 26.40 0.00 3.25 33.1
3 18 55.60 24.50 0.00 4.48 37.6
3 19 59.10 25.10 0.00 5.97 43.6
3 20 64.40 26.30 0.00 8.40 52.0
3 21 68.70 31.60 0.00 11.21 63.2
3 22 69.00 37.90 0.00 12.87 76.1
3 23 63.40 43.90 0.00 12.65 88.7
3 24 56.10 40.60 0.00 7.38 96.1
3 25 56.00 33.50 0.00 5.66 101.8
3 26 60.10 38.60 0.00 8.69 110.5
3 27 57.10 36.70 0.00 6.76 117.2
3 28 59.40 39.90 0.00 8.76 126.0
3 29 59.90 38.70 0.00 8.62 134.6
3 30 63.80 30.30 0.00 8.71 143.3
3 31 67.50 30.40 0.00 10.43 153.7
4 1 69.10 38.00 0.00 12.95 166.7
4 2 69.80 47.10 0.00 17.45 184.1
4 3 68.40 48.30 0.00 17.35 201.5
4 4 62.20 38.60 0.00 9.73 211.2
4 5 66.90 46.70 0.00 15.80 227.0
4 6 63.10 38.30 0.00 10.08 237.1
4 7 59.10 46.10 0.00 11.60 248.7
4 8 52.20 46.40 0.00 8.30 257.0
4 9 62.70 47.90 0.00 14.30 271.3
4 10 60.90 44.00 0.00 11.45 282.7
4 11 62.10 45.90 0.00 13.00 295.7
4 12 61.00 42.00 0.00 10.50 306.2
4 13 55.70 42.50 0.00 8.10 314.3
4 14 57.60 39.70 0.00 7.80 322.1
4 15 60.20 30.50 0.00 7.11 329.3
4 16 64.50 48.50 0.00 15.50 344.8
4 17 70.50 46.20 0.00 17.35 362.1
4 18 79.80 39.50 0.00 18.77 380.9
4 19 76.30 51.90 0.00 23.10 404.0
4 20 70.70 47.40 0.00 18.05 422.0
4 21 71.90 39.10 0.00 14.69 436.7
4 22 74.20 42.00 0.00 17.10 453.8
4 23 77.20 51.00 0.00 23.10 476.9
4 24 70.50 45.70 0.00 17.10 494.0 Pn
4 25 72.20 32.70 0.00 13.10 507.1
4 26 74.20 50.80 0.00 21.50 528.6
4 27 61.80 38.80 0.00 9.59 538.2
4 28 61.70 38.30 0.00 9.39 547.6
4 29 65.20 38.90 0.00 11.30 558.9 Px Pn
4 30 65.80 39.20 0.00 11.70 570.6
5 1 70.70 40.50 0.00 14.63 585.2
5 2 70.40 33.10 0.00 12.33 597.6
5 3 71.60 36.30 0.00 13.69 611.2
5 4 78.40 44.70 0.00 20.55 631.8 Px Pn
5 5 81.80 52.10 0.00 25.95 657.7 Px Pn
5 6 80.90 48.80 0.00 23.85 681.6 Pn
5 7 82.90 50.30 0.00 25.60 707.2
5 8 81.80 58.60 0.00 29.20 736.4
5 9 80.10 49.20 0.00 23.65 760.0
5 10 84.20 40.90 0.00 21.55 781.6
5 11 89.30 41.60 0.00 24.45 806.1
5 12 86.70 53.50 0.00 29.10 835.2
5 13 82.20 45.00 0.00 22.60 857.8 Peak pheromone trap catch
5 14 76.30 50.20 0.00 22.25 880.0
5 15 69.10 38.80 0.00 13.20 893.2
5 16 69.00 47.00 0.00 17.00 910.2
5 17 70.70 52.70 0.00 20.70 930.9
5 18 72.40 46.30 0.00 18.35 949.3
5 19 76.10 56.40 0.00 25.25 974.5 Pn Peak female adult emergence
5 20 73.60 50.30 0.00 20.95 995.5
5 21 60.90 49.70 0.00 14.30 1009.8 Peak egg laying
5 22 76.20 51.30 0.00 22.75 1032.5
5 23 84.30 52.50 0.00 27.40 1059.9 Pn
5 24 70.70 58.10 0.00 23.40 1083.3
5 25 73.00 49.80 0.00 20.40 1103.7
5 26 74.00 55.60 0.00 23.80 1127.5
5 27 81.00 56.30 0.00 27.65 1155.2
5 28 87.20 55.30 0.00 30.25 1185.4
5 29 84.50 52.40 0.00 27.45 1212.9
5 30 86.10 60.50 0.00 32.30 1245.2
5 31 91.00 59.00 0.00 34.00 1279.2 Peak egg hatch
6 1 93.50 56.00 0.00 33.75 1312.9
6 2 94.90 58.70 0.00 35.80 1348.7
6 3 88.20 57.20 0.00 31.70 1380.4
6 4 86.00 49.10 0.00 26.55 1407.0 Pn
6 5 87.10 58.70 0.00 31.90 1438.9
6 6 71.70 54.50 0.00 22.10 1461.0
6 7 66.40 40.50 0.00 12.48 1473.4
6 8 75.00 47.30 0.00 20.15 1493.6
6 9 82.60 41.00 0.00 20.80 1514.4
6 10 89.40 53.70 0.00 30.55 1544.9 Pn
6 11 90.40 64.70 0.00 36.55 1581.5
6 12 93.90 57.30 0.00 34.60 1616.1
6 13 99.60 63.20 0.00 40.40 1656.5
6 14 87.60 56.20 0.00 30.90 1687.4
6 15 90.70 52.60 0.00 30.65 1718.0
6 16 93.80 58.70 0.00 35.25 1753.3
6 17 93.70 64.40 0.00 38.05 1791.3
6 18 90.20 60.70 0.00 34.45 1825.8
6 19 79.50 56.40 0.00 26.95 1852.7
6 20 76.10 54.90 0.00 24.50 1877.2
6 21 76.80 57.20 0.00 26.00 1903.2
6 22 84.40 50.10 0.00 26.25 1929.5
6 23 82.60 57.80 0.00 29.20 1958.7
6 24 80.20 48.20 0.00 23.20 1981.9
6 25 82.60 52.60 0.00 26.60 2008.5
6 26 83.10 48.80 0.00 24.95 2033.4
6 27 76.30 54.70 0.00 24.50 2057.9 Pn
6 28 79.00 55.20 0.00 26.10 2084.0 Px Pn Peak in density large larvae
6 29 83.70 53.30 0.00 27.50 2111.5 Pn
6 30 89.10 56.90 0.00 32.00 2143.5
7 1 91.80 55.00 0.00 32.40 2175.9
7 2 84.20 59.50 0.00 30.85 2206.8
7 3 84.20 51.60 0.00 26.90 2233.7
7 4 89.60 57.70 0.00 32.65 2266.3
7 5 91.70 57.90 0.00 33.80 2300.1
7 6 87.10 55.10 0.00 30.10 2330.2
7 7 82.90 51.60 0.00 26.25 2356.5
7 8 83.10 58.10 0.00 29.60 2386.1
7 9 88.30 54.60 0.00 30.45 2416.5
7 10 88.30 66.10 0.00 36.20 2452.7
7 11 90.20 68.50 0.00 38.35 2491.1
7 12 91.30 61.50 0.00 35.40 2526.5
7 13 92.40 60.90 0.00 35.65 2562.1
7 14 90.50 55.10 0.00 31.80 2593.9
7 15 83.60 64.90 0.00 33.25 2627.2 Pn
7 16 88.70 60.50 0.00 33.60 2660.8
7 17 86.50 63.40 0.00 33.95 2694.7
7 18 84.70 60.50 0.00 31.60 2726.3
7 19 79.60 50.30 0.00 23.95 2750.3
7 20 86.10 50.10 0.00 27.10 2777.4
7 21 94.30 57.50 0.00 34.90 2812.3
7 22 96.40 62.40 0.00 38.40 2850.7
7 23 100.80 63.80 0.00 41.30 2892.0
7 24 84.50 56.30 0.00 29.40 2921.4
7 25 90.80 53.30 0.00 31.05 2952.4
7 26 98.40 54.80 0.00 35.60 2988.0
7 27 91.90 61.40 0.00 35.65 3023.7
7 28 87.70 54.60 0.00 30.15 3053.8
7 29 93.20 53.80 0.00 32.50 3086.3
7 30 91.80 58.10 0.00 33.95 3120.3
7 31 94.40 57.70 0.00 35.05 3155.3
8 1 97.80 58.50 0.00 37.15 3192.5
8 2 93.60 67.60 0.00 39.60 3232.1
8 3 89.70 59.80 0.00 33.75 3265.8
8 4 96.20 52.10 0.00 33.15 3299.0
8 5 100.30 59.00 0.00 38.65 3337.6
8 6 103.70 63.80 0.00 42.75 3380.4
8 7 103.90 70.50 0.00 46.20 3426.6
8 8 93.80 66.90 0.00 39.35 3465.9
8 9 88.90 66.00 0.00 36.45 3502.4
8 10 86.10 65.40 0.00 34.75 3537.1
8 11 81.60 63.70 0.00 31.65 3568.8
8 12 83.80 55.10 0.00 28.45 3597.2
8 13 88.70 54.20 0.00 30.45 3627.7
8 14 94.50 60.20 0.00 36.35 3664.0
8 15 92.50 62.50 0.00 36.50 3700.5
8 16 88.40 61.20 0.00 33.80 3734.3
8 17 86.10 61.10 0.00 32.60 3766.9
8 18 91.50 55.90 0.00 32.70 3799.6
8 19 92.80 62.00 0.00 36.40 3836.0
8 20 95.80 55.60 0.00 34.70 3870.7
8 21 89.10 64.30 0.00 35.70 3906.4
8 22 84.60 55.60 0.00 29.10 3935.5
8 23 87.60 52.50 0.00 29.05 3964.6
8 24 90.50 63.80 0.00 36.15 4000.7
8 25 86.10 58.00 0.00 31.05 4031.8
8 26 84.80 53.00 0.00 27.90 4059.7
8 27 91.30 50.00 0.00 29.65 4089.3
8 28 94.60 50.20 0.00 31.40 4120.7
8 29 88.60 64.90 0.00 35.75 4156.5 Pn
8 30 93.40 64.20 0.00 37.80 4194.3
8 31 95.90 58.10 0.00 36.00 4230.3
9 1 92.90 61.80 0.00 36.35 4266.6
9 2 87.50 54.20 0.00 29.85 4296.5
9 3 92.70 54.40 0.00 32.55 4329.0
9 4 87.00 55.50 0.00 30.25 4359.3
9 5 92.30 51.20 0.00 30.75 4390.0
9 6 87.60 65.90 0.00 35.75 4425.8
9 7 90.80 57.80 0.00 33.30 4459.1
9 8 81.40 62.70 0.00 31.05 4490.1
9 9 77.90 62.20 0.00 29.05 4519.2
9 10 75.60 54.60 0.00 24.10 4543.3
9 11 80.40 48.10 0.00 23.25 4566.5
9 12 85.10 46.40 0.00 24.75 4591.3
9 13 83.60 58.60 0.00 30.10 4621.4
9 14 79.30 55.80 0.00 26.55 4647.9
9 15 77.70 49.90 0.00 22.80 4670.7
9 16 67.80 50.30 0.00 18.05 4688.8
9 17 69.70 48.00 0.00 17.85 4706.6
9 18 72.40 51.90 0.00 21.15 4727.8
9 19 74.60 55.10 0.00 23.85 4751.6 Pn
9 20 75.40 48.80 0.00 21.10 4772.7
9 21 78.60 46.30 0.00 21.45 4794.2
9 22 78.30 46.80 0.00 21.55 4815.7
9 23 74.30 48.50 0.00 20.40 4836.1
9 24 83.10 53.30 0.00 27.20 4863.3
9 25 76.10 49.20 0.00 21.65 4885.0
9 26 81.40 58.00 0.00 28.70 4913.7
9 27 69.90 47.10 0.00 17.50 4931.2
9 28 54.60 33.00 0.00 4.95 4936.1
9 29 47.70 38.70 0.00 2.71 4938.8
9 30 54.90 37.20 0.00 5.81 4944.7
10 1 59.80 28.40 0.00 6.64 4951.3
10 2 61.70 25.80 0.00 7.16 4958.5
10 3 64.60 42.60 0.00 12.60 4971.1
10 4 67.00 36.00 0.00 11.37 4982.4
10 5 69.30 41.80 0.00 14.55 4997.0
10 6 69.50 31.10 0.00 11.49 5008.5
10 7 76.60 34.10 0.00 15.55 5024.0
10 8 65.20 44.80 0.00 14.00 5038.0
10 9 53.40 28.50 0.00 3.94 5042.0
10 10 54.00 16.80 0.00 3.39 5045.3
10 11 57.80 24.40 0.00 5.37 5050.7
10 12 57.90 24.80 0.00 5.44 5056.2
10 13 62.00 38.40 0.00 9.57 5065.7
10 14 63.80 30.30 0.00 8.71 5074.4
10 15 60.10 32.00 0.00 7.29 5081.7
10 16 63.70 45.60 0.00 13.65 5095.4
10 17 63.30 51.30 0.00 16.30 5111.7
10 18 60.30 44.70 0.00 11.50 5123.2
10 19 54.30 46.50 0.00 9.40 5132.6
10 20 55.00 37.10 0.00 5.84 5138.4
10 21 62.20 43.80 0.00 12.00 5150.4 Pn
10 22 74.40 53.40 0.00 22.90 5173.3
10 23 62.50 34.60 0.00 8.88 5182.2
10 24 65.30 36.10 0.00 10.57 5192.8
10 25 75.10 33.90 0.00 14.77 5207.5
10 26 57.30 37.70 0.00 7.08 5214.6
10 27 52.90 30.00 0.00 3.87 5218.5
10 28 55.20 32.00 0.00 5.09 5223.6 Pn
10 29 40.10 15.00 0.00 0.00 5223.6
10 30 41.20 11.80 0.00 0.01 5223.6 Pn
10 31 43.70 20.40 0.00 0.39 5224.0 Pn
11 1 49.60 15.70 0.00 1.89 5225.9
11 2 49.30 18.00 0.00 1.87 5227.7
11 3 51.40 21.90 0.00 2.73 5230.5
11 4 51.80 22.50 0.00 2.90 5233.4
11 5 55.20 21.40 0.00 4.10 5237.5
11 6 57.30 22.00 0.00 4.96 5242.4
11 7 49.70 21.10 0.00 2.11 5244.5
11 8 48.40 21.20 0.00 1.69 5246.2
11 9 49.20 24.70 0.00 2.09 5248.3
11 10 49.10 29.70 0.00 2.33 5250.6
11 11 50.20 25.80 0.00 2.50 5253.1
11 12 40.20 30.90 0.00 0.00 5253.1
11 13 45.30 36.50 0.00 1.35 5254.5
11 14 45.90 41.00 0.00 2.45 5256.9
11 15 49.30 32.20 0.00 2.60 5259.5
11 16 43.60 28.90 0.00 0.47 5260.0
11 17 65.40 36.70 0.00 10.77 5270.8
11 18 48.90 32.50 0.00 2.46 5273.2
11 19 55.20 38.40 0.00 6.24 5279.5
11 20 55.00 35.30 0.00 5.49 5285.0
11 21 43.40 22.70 0.00 0.35 5285.3 Pn
11 22 30.80 15.50 0.00 0.00 5285.3
11 23 31.90 28.30 0.00 0.00 5285.3
11 24 58.40 26.00 0.00 5.77 5291.1
11 25 51.80 26.50 0.00 3.14 5294.2
11 26 37.20 15.20 0.00 0.00 5294.2
11 27 44.60 30.40 0.00 0.79 5295.0
11 28 40.80 25.20 0.00 0.00 5295.0
11 29 36.00 14.90 0.00 0.00 5295.0
11 30 35.00 9.50 0.00 0.00 5295.0
12 1 33.30 23.30 0.00 0.00 5295.0
12 2 31.80 18.10 0.00 0.00 5295.0
12 3 31.60 28.20 0.00 0.00 5295.0
12 4 33.20 23.70 0.00 0.00 5295.0
12 5 41.30 22.90 0.00 0.02 5295.0
12 6 39.30 22.50 0.00 0.00 5295.0
12 7 40.00 31.80 0.00 0.00 5295.0 Px
12 8 42.60 31.50 0.00 0.26 5295.3
12 9 36.60 30.10 0.00 0.00 5295.3
12 10 34.50 32.20 0.00 0.00 5295.3
12 11 36.40 31.90 0.00 0.00 5295.3
12 12 45.90 31.10 0.00 1.24 5296.5
12 13 50.40 28.20 0.00 2.72 5299.3
12 14 32.80 30.10 0.00 0.00 5299.3
12 15 33.90 28.90 0.00 0.00 5299.3
12 16 32.60 28.20 0.00 0.00 5299.3
12 17 32.20 26.20 0.00 0.00 5299.3
12 18 34.50 17.80 0.00 0.00 5299.3
12 19 32.50 28.90 0.00 0.00 5299.3
12 20 62.90 32.00 0.00 8.58 5307.8
12 21 60.20 45.60 0.00 11.90 5319.7
12 22 47.00 38.60 0.00 2.36 5322.1
12 23 46.70 28.40 0.00 1.40 5323.5
12 24 37.80 21.50 0.00 0.00 5323.5
12 25 38.50 32.00 0.00 0.00 5323.5
12 26 37.30 26.90 0.00 0.00 5323.5
12 27 31.40 24.20 0.00 0.00 5323.5
12 28 37.40 30.40 0.00 0.00 5323.5
12 29 37.30 30.00 0.00 0.00 5323.5
12 30 40.40 33.30 0.00 0.00 5323.5
12 31 54.60 36.10 0.00 5.45 5329.0
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 HPROS PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988Location: 2019 HPROS Prosser Barricade Hanf Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME Date | DDs | Event |
5-13-19 | 858 | Peak pheromone trap catch |
5-19-19 | 975 | Peak female adult emergence |
5-21-19 | 1010 | Peak egg laying |
5-31-19 | 1279 | Peak egg hatch |
6-28-19 | 2084 | Peak in density large larvae |