Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 No ending date, set to: default date 12 31 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2015 HPROS HMMN Prosser Barricade Hanf WA Lat:46.3919 Long:-119.4119 Elev:479 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 28.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 28.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 31.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 4 32.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 51.00 35.00 0.00 3.63 3.6 1 6 46.00 31.00 0.00 1.27 4.9 1 7 41.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 4.9 1 8 35.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 4.9 1 9 36.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 4.9 1 10 37.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 4.9 1 11 40.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 4.9 1 12 42.00 33.00 0.00 0.14 5.0 1 13 37.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 5.0 1 14 37.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 5.0 1 15 40.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 5.0 1 16 51.00 28.00 0.00 2.94 8.0 1 17 35.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 8.0 1 18 58.00 34.00 0.00 6.66 14.6 1 19 57.00 31.00 0.00 5.75 20.4 1 20 47.00 24.00 0.00 1.34 21.7 1 21 31.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 21.7 1 22 36.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 21.7 1 23 37.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 21.7 1 24 45.00 31.00 0.00 0.94 22.7 1 25 39.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 22.7 1 26 42.00 31.00 0.00 0.13 22.8 1 27 39.00 35.00 0.00 0.00 22.8 1 28 38.00 35.00 0.00 0.00 22.8 1 29 41.00 37.00 0.00 0.00 22.8 1 30 40.00 37.00 0.00 0.00 22.8 1 31 40.00 35.00 0.00 0.00 22.8 2 1 39.00 33.00 0.00 0.00 22.8 2 2 41.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 22.8 2 3 45.00 30.00 0.00 0.90 23.7 2 4 43.00 38.00 0.00 0.56 24.3 2 5 49.00 39.00 0.00 3.39 27.6 2 6 60.00 43.00 0.00 10.50 38.1 2 7 66.00 46.00 0.00 15.00 53.1 2 8 57.00 43.00 0.00 9.00 62.1 2 9 53.00 38.00 0.00 5.08 67.2 2 10 63.00 39.00 0.00 10.25 77.5 2 11 54.00 36.00 0.00 5.15 82.6 2 12 60.00 36.00 0.00 7.99 90.6 2 13 58.00 32.00 0.00 6.34 96.9 2 14 62.00 33.00 0.00 8.34 105.3 2 15 58.00 30.00 0.00 6.06 111.3 2 16 55.00 28.00 0.00 4.55 115.9 2 17 57.00 24.00 0.00 5.00 120.9 2 18 55.00 26.00 0.00 4.37 125.3 2 19 58.00 31.00 0.00 6.19 131.5 2 20 61.00 30.00 0.00 7.39 138.9 2 21 55.00 32.00 0.00 5.00 143.8 2 22 50.00 24.00 0.00 2.34 146.2 2 23 50.00 15.00 0.00 1.99 148.2 2 24 55.00 24.00 0.00 4.21 152.4 2 25 56.00 24.00 0.00 4.60 157.0 2 26 58.00 43.00 0.00 9.50 166.5 2 27 57.00 39.00 0.00 7.29 173.8 2 28 53.00 25.00 0.00 3.50 177.3 3 1 53.00 16.00 0.00 3.01 180.3 3 2 50.00 33.00 0.00 2.96 183.2 3 3 49.00 25.00 0.00 2.03 185.3 3 4 56.00 16.00 0.00 4.07 189.3 3 5 57.00 20.00 0.00 4.69 194.0 3 6 65.00 25.00 0.00 8.49 202.5 3 7 67.00 26.00 0.00 9.51 212.0 3 8 68.00 26.00 0.00 9.96 222.0 3 9 73.00 28.00 0.00 12.56 234.6 3 10 71.00 29.00 0.00 11.81 246.4 3 11 68.00 50.00 0.00 18.00 264.4 3 12 71.00 44.00 0.00 16.50 280.9 3 13 67.00 35.00 0.00 11.12 292.0 3 14 73.00 49.00 0.00 20.00 312.0 3 15 59.00 50.00 0.00 13.50 325.5 3 16 61.00 34.00 0.00 8.06 333.5 3 17 61.00 48.00 0.00 13.50 347.0 3 18 65.00 35.00 0.00 10.16 357.2 3 19 66.00 32.00 0.00 10.02 367.2 3 20 63.00 35.00 0.00 9.21 376.4 3 21 64.00 40.00 0.00 11.09 387.5 3 22 61.00 32.00 0.00 7.70 395.2 3 23 60.00 44.00 0.00 11.00 406.2 3 24 62.00 42.00 0.00 11.00 417.2 3 25 60.70 40.00 0.00 9.44 426.7 Hx 3 26 73.00 44.00 0.00 17.50 444.2 3 27 77.00 42.00 0.00 18.50 462.7 3 28 67.00 42.00 0.00 13.50 476.2 3 29 73.00 38.00 0.00 14.88 491.0 3 30 71.00 37.00 0.00 13.59 504.6 3 31 64.00 45.00 0.00 13.50 518.1 4 1 59.00 35.00 0.00 7.31 525.4 4 2 61.00 34.00 0.00 8.06 533.5 4 3 65.00 30.00 0.00 9.21 542.7 4 4 60.00 29.00 0.00 6.81 549.5 4 5 52.00 25.00 0.00 3.12 552.6 4 6 61.00 39.00 0.00 9.26 561.9 4 7 65.00 41.00 0.00 12.00 573.9 4 8 66.00 45.00 0.00 14.50 588.4 4 9 67.00 37.00 0.00 11.63 600.0 4 10 70.00 32.00 0.00 11.91 611.9 4 11 62.00 44.00 0.00 12.00 623.9 4 12 61.00 36.00 0.00 8.47 632.4 4 13 64.00 37.00 0.00 10.16 642.6 4 14 61.00 43.00 0.00 11.00 653.6 4 15 63.00 33.00 0.00 8.80 662.4 4 16 70.00 27.00 0.00 11.01 673.4 4 17 77.00 30.00 0.00 14.82 688.2 4 18 77.00 45.00 0.00 20.00 708.2 4 19 78.00 34.00 0.00 16.20 724.4 4 20 81.00 36.00 0.00 18.21 742.6 4 21 83.00 39.00 0.00 20.18 762.8 4 22 70.00 41.00 0.00 14.50 777.3 4 23 63.00 32.00 0.00 8.62 785.9 4 24 63.00 40.00 0.00 10.59 796.5 4 25 65.00 33.00 0.00 9.74 806.2 4 26 68.00 27.00 0.00 10.11 816.4 4 27 78.00 40.00 0.00 18.07 834.4 4 28 86.00 39.00 0.00 21.68 856.1 peak pheromone trap catch 4 29 71.00 41.00 0.00 15.00 871.1 4 30 74.00 36.00 0.00 14.78 885.9 5 1 85.00 45.00 0.00 24.00 909.9 5 2 75.00 40.00 0.00 16.57 926.4 5 3 79.00 34.00 0.00 16.69 943.1 5 4 85.00 36.00 0.00 20.18 963.3 peak female adult emergence 5 5 71.00 45.00 0.00 17.00 980.3 5 6 68.00 31.00 0.00 10.77 991.1 5 7 76.00 46.00 0.00 20.00 1011.1 peak egg laying 5 8 80.00 44.00 0.00 21.00 1032.1 5 9 82.00 44.00 0.00 22.00 1054.1 5 10 83.00 39.00 0.00 20.18 1074.3 5 11 81.00 50.00 0.00 24.50 1098.8 5 12 67.00 52.00 0.00 18.50 1117.3 5 13 59.00 47.00 0.00 12.00 1129.3 5 14 71.00 40.00 0.00 14.58 1143.9 5 15 79.00 46.00 0.00 21.50 1165.4 5 16 80.00 55.00 0.00 26.50 1191.9 5 17 75.00 49.00 0.00 21.00 1212.9 5 18 81.00 52.00 0.00 25.50 1238.4 5 19 85.00 57.00 0.00 30.00 1268.4 5 20 85.00 58.00 0.00 30.50 1298.9 peak egg hatch 5 21 88.00 56.00 0.00 31.00 1329.9 5 22 85.00 60.00 0.00 31.50 1361.4 5 23 83.00 58.00 0.00 29.50 1390.9 5 24 85.00 55.00 0.00 29.00 1419.9 5 25 80.00 60.00 0.00 29.00 1448.9 5 26 78.00 53.00 0.00 24.50 1473.4 5 27 83.00 56.00 0.00 28.50 1501.9 5 28 89.00 55.00 0.00 31.00 1532.9 5 29 93.00 58.00 0.00 34.50 1567.4 5 30 92.00 67.00 0.00 38.50 1605.9 5 31 90.00 62.00 0.00 35.00 1640.9 6 1 88.00 62.00 0.00 34.00 1674.9 6 2 79.00 60.00 0.00 28.50 1703.4 6 3 77.00 55.00 0.00 25.00 1728.4 6 4 82.30 55.40 0.00 27.85 1756.2 Vx Vn 6 5 88.60 57.80 0.00 32.20 1788.4 Vx Vn 6 6 93.40 60.30 0.00 35.85 1824.3 Vx Vn 6 7 99.90 65.80 0.00 41.85 1866.1 Vx Vn 6 8 101.40 65.80 0.00 42.60 1908.7 Vx Vn 6 9 97.70 68.10 0.00 41.90 1950.6 Vx Vn 6 10 96.10 63.80 0.00 38.95 1989.6 Vx Vn 6 11 94.60 63.70 0.00 38.15 2027.7 Vx Vn 6 12 85.50 62.20 0.00 32.85 2060.6 Vx Vn 6 13 79.20 52.40 0.00 24.80 2085.4 Vx Vn peak in density large larvae 6 14 85.80 50.10 0.00 26.95 2112.3 Vx Vn 6 15 90.50 54.90 0.00 31.70 2144.0 Vx Vn 6 16 94.40 61.00 0.00 36.70 2180.7 Vx Vn 6 17 92.00 61.80 0.00 35.90 2216.6 Vx Vn 6 18 94.00 61.00 0.00 36.50 2253.1 6 19 85.00 59.00 0.00 31.00 2284.1 6 20 86.00 51.00 0.00 27.50 2311.6 6 21 87.00 66.00 0.00 35.50 2347.1 6 22 91.00 57.00 0.00 33.00 2380.1 6 23 91.00 61.00 0.00 35.00 2415.1 6 24 92.00 65.00 0.00 37.50 2452.6 6 25 97.00 61.00 0.00 38.00 2490.6 6 26 105.00 60.00 0.00 41.50 2532.1 6 27 110.00 64.00 0.00 46.00 2578.1 6 28 113.00 71.00 0.00 51.00 2629.1 6 29 101.00 79.00 0.00 49.00 2678.1 6 30 102.00 72.00 0.00 46.00 2724.1 7 1 102.00 72.00 0.00 46.00 2770.1 7 2 105.00 65.00 0.00 44.00 2814.1 7 3 107.00 70.00 0.00 47.50 2861.6 7 4 105.00 73.00 0.00 48.00 2909.6 7 5 101.00 78.00 0.00 48.50 2958.1 7 6 102.00 70.00 0.00 45.00 3003.1 7 7 102.00 66.00 0.00 43.00 3046.1 7 8 103.00 72.00 0.00 46.50 3092.6 7 9 104.00 62.00 0.00 42.00 3134.6 7 10 99.00 75.00 0.00 46.00 3180.6 7 11 91.00 68.00 0.00 38.50 3219.1 7 12 91.00 59.00 0.00 34.00 3253.1 7 13 89.00 62.00 0.00 34.50 3287.6 7 14 92.00 60.00 0.00 35.00 3322.6 7 15 93.00 62.00 0.00 36.50 3359.1 7 16 88.00 61.00 0.00 33.50 3392.6 7 17 91.00 58.00 0.00 33.50 3426.1 7 18 96.00 67.00 0.00 40.50 3466.6 7 19 103.00 59.00 0.00 40.00 3506.6 7 20 102.00 71.00 0.00 45.50 3552.1 7 21 93.00 56.00 0.00 33.50 3585.6 7 22 87.00 55.00 0.00 30.00 3615.6 7 23 91.00 58.00 0.00 33.50 3649.1 7 24 93.00 58.00 0.00 34.50 3683.6 7 25 86.00 63.00 0.00 33.50 3717.1 7 26 81.00 54.00 0.00 26.50 3743.6 7 27 83.00 54.00 0.00 27.50 3771.1 7 28 88.00 50.00 0.00 28.00 3799.1 7 29 96.00 52.00 0.00 33.00 3832.1 7 30 104.00 55.00 0.00 38.50 3870.6 7 31 106.00 57.00 0.00 40.50 3911.1 8 1 105.00 63.00 0.00 43.00 3954.1 8 2 104.00 60.00 0.00 41.00 3995.1 8 3 93.00 71.00 0.00 41.00 4036.1 8 4 96.00 63.00 0.00 38.50 4074.6 8 5 90.00 54.00 0.00 31.00 4105.6 8 6 84.00 52.00 0.00 27.00 4132.6 8 7 91.00 52.00 0.00 30.50 4163.1 8 8 96.00 57.00 0.00 35.50 4198.6 8 9 89.00 63.00 0.00 35.00 4233.6 8 10 91.00 61.00 0.00 35.00 4268.6 8 11 101.00 60.00 0.00 39.50 4308.1 8 12 104.00 66.00 0.00 44.00 4352.1 8 13 103.00 71.00 0.00 46.00 4398.1 8 14 91.00 69.00 0.00 39.00 4437.1 8 15 86.00 55.00 0.00 29.50 4466.6 8 16 86.00 50.00 0.00 27.00 4493.6 8 17 91.00 54.00 0.00 31.50 4525.1 8 18 94.00 54.00 0.00 33.00 4558.1 8 19 98.00 59.00 0.00 37.50 4595.6 8 20 96.00 60.00 0.00 37.00 4632.6 8 21 85.00 58.00 0.00 30.50 4663.1 8 22 84.00 58.00 0.00 30.00 4693.1 8 23 89.00 46.00 0.00 26.50 4719.6 8 24 92.00 55.00 0.00 32.50 4752.1 8 25 90.00 58.00 0.00 33.00 4785.1 8 26 95.00 54.00 0.00 33.50 4818.6 8 27 97.00 61.00 0.00 38.00 4856.6 8 28 88.00 66.00 0.00 36.00 4892.6 8 29 81.90 61.00 0.00 30.45 4923.1 Vx 8 30 78.00 55.00 0.00 25.50 4948.6 8 31 82.00 54.00 0.00 27.00 4975.6 9 1 84.00 56.00 0.00 29.00 5004.6 9 2 79.00 62.00 0.00 29.50 5034.1 9 3 74.00 45.00 0.00 18.50 5052.6 9 4 73.00 42.00 0.00 16.50 5069.1 9 5 76.00 53.00 0.00 23.50 5092.6 9 6 70.00 49.00 0.00 18.50 5111.1 9 7 76.00 46.00 0.00 20.00 5131.1 9 8 82.00 45.00 0.00 22.50 5153.6 9 9 88.00 50.00 0.00 28.00 5181.6 9 10 91.00 48.00 0.00 28.50 5210.1 9 11 93.00 50.00 0.00 30.50 5240.6 9 12 94.00 50.00 0.00 31.00 5271.6 9 13 88.00 55.00 0.00 30.50 5302.1 9 14 69.00 50.00 0.00 18.50 5320.6 9 15 66.00 37.00 0.00 11.14 5331.7 9 16 73.00 40.00 0.00 15.57 5347.3 9 17 72.00 50.00 0.00 20.00 5367.3 9 18 77.00 45.00 0.00 20.00 5387.3 9 19 84.00 42.00 0.00 22.00 5409.3 9 20 90.00 53.00 0.00 30.50 5439.8 9 21 80.00 52.00 0.00 25.00 5464.8 9 22 78.00 44.00 0.00 20.00 5484.8 9 23 79.00 34.00 0.00 16.69 5501.5 9 24 77.00 46.00 0.00 20.50 5522.0 9 25 86.00 41.00 0.00 22.50 5544.5 9 26 76.00 52.00 0.00 23.00 5567.5 9 27 73.00 33.00 0.00 13.55 5581.0 9 28 76.00 31.00 0.00 14.55 5595.6 9 29 80.00 36.00 0.00 17.72 5613.3 9 30 81.00 37.00 0.00 18.52 5631.8 10 1 83.00 45.00 0.00 23.00 5654.8 10 2 83.00 40.00 0.00 20.56 5675.4 10 3 78.00 54.00 0.00 25.00 5700.4 10 4 75.00 48.00 0.00 20.50 5720.9 10 5 79.00 35.00 0.00 16.95 5737.8 10 6 75.00 36.00 0.00 15.27 5753.1 10 7 67.00 56.00 0.00 20.50 5773.6 10 8 70.00 56.00 0.00 22.00 5795.6 10 9 81.00 49.00 0.00 24.00 5819.6 10 10 84.00 57.00 0.00 29.50 5849.1 10 11 74.00 47.00 0.00 19.50 5868.6 10 12 80.00 42.00 0.00 20.00 5888.6 10 13 80.00 43.00 0.00 20.50 5909.1 10 14 74.00 38.00 0.00 15.37 5924.5 10 15 72.00 46.00 0.00 18.00 5942.5 10 16 74.00 37.00 0.00 15.06 5957.5 10 17 75.00 38.00 0.00 15.87 5973.4 10 18 71.00 48.00 0.00 18.50 5991.9 10 19 73.00 42.00 0.00 16.50 6008.4 10 20 73.00 41.00 0.00 16.00 6024.4 10 21 70.00 32.00 0.00 11.91 6036.3 10 22 69.00 40.00 0.00 13.58 6049.9 10 23 62.00 32.00 0.00 8.16 6058.0 10 24 57.00 42.00 0.00 8.50 6066.5 10 25 62.00 36.00 0.00 8.95 6075.5 10 26 63.00 40.00 0.00 10.59 6086.1 10 27 62.00 32.00 0.00 8.16 6094.2 10 28 55.00 36.00 0.00 5.62 6099.8 10 29 68.00 37.00 0.00 12.12 6112.0 10 30 76.00 55.00 0.00 24.50 6136.5 10 31 71.00 53.00 0.00 21.00 6157.5 11 1 63.00 51.00 0.00 16.00 6173.5 11 2 61.00 36.00 0.00 8.47 6181.9 11 3 56.00 33.00 0.00 5.58 6187.5 11 4 55.00 23.00 0.00 4.13 6191.6 11 5 60.00 38.00 0.00 8.48 6200.1 11 6 51.00 28.00 0.00 2.94 6203.1 11 7 58.00 29.00 0.00 5.93 6209.0 11 8 55.00 47.00 0.00 10.00 6219.0 11 9 52.00 35.00 0.00 4.07 6223.1 11 10 51.00 25.00 0.00 2.75 6225.8 11 11 59.00 40.00 0.00 8.60 6234.4 11 12 52.00 24.00 0.00 3.06 6237.5 11 13 66.00 52.00 0.00 18.00 6255.5 11 14 63.00 47.00 0.00 14.00 6269.5 11 15 49.00 33.00 0.00 2.55 6272.0 11 16 50.00 27.00 0.00 2.50 6274.5 11 17 66.00 47.00 0.00 15.50 6290.0 11 18 53.00 38.00 0.00 5.08 6295.1 11 19 43.00 35.00 0.00 0.44 6295.5 11 20 44.00 20.00 0.00 0.46 6296.0 11 21 40.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 6296.0 11 22 28.00 24.00 0.00 0.00 6296.0 11 23 29.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 6296.0 11 24 38.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 6296.0 11 25 41.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 6296.0 11 26 38.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 6296.0 11 27 33.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 6296.0 11 28 22.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 6296.0 11 29 26.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 6296.0 11 30 25.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 6296.0 12 1 30.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 6296.0 12 2 32.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 6296.0 12 3 36.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 6296.0 12 4 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 6298.9 12 5 39.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 6298.9 12 6 57.00 35.00 0.00 6.37 6305.2 12 7 46.00 44.00 0.00 4.00 6309.2 12 8 65.00 37.00 0.00 10.65 6319.9 12 9 62.00 38.00 0.00 9.46 6329.3 12 10 52.00 37.00 0.00 4.40 6333.7 12 11 48.00 34.00 0.00 2.23 6336.0 12 12 47.00 39.00 0.00 2.44 6338.4 12 13 50.00 38.00 0.00 3.65 6342.1 12 14 50.00 31.00 0.00 2.78 6344.8 12 15 42.00 23.00 0.00 0.10 6344.9 12 16 45.00 26.00 0.00 0.80 6345.7 12 17 32.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 6345.7 12 18 42.00 26.00 0.00 0.11 6345.8 12 19 32.00 24.00 0.00 0.00 6345.8 12 20 45.00 30.00 0.00 0.90 6346.7 12 21 42.00 31.00 0.00 0.13 6346.9 12 22 45.00 27.00 0.00 0.82 6347.7 12 23 45.00 33.00 0.00 1.02 6348.7 12 24 46.00 21.00 0.00 0.97 6349.7 12 25 33.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 6349.7 12 26 30.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 6349.7 12 27 30.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 6349.7 12 28 33.80 27.00 0.00 0.00 6349.7 Vx 12 29 34.10 29.20 0.00 0.00 6349.7 Vx Vn 12 30 37.50 26.20 0.00 0.00 6349.7 Hx Hn 12 31 37.60 26.30 0.00 0.00 6349.7 Hx Hn Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg HPROS 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2015 HPROS Prosser Barricade Hanf
DateDDsEvent
 4-28-15 856peak pheromone trap catch
 5-4-15 963peak female adult emergence
 5-7-15 1011peak egg laying
 5-20-15 1299peak egg hatch
 6-13-15 2085peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)