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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Knight 1988
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
No ending date, set to: default date 12 31
Model validation status: partly validated
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch
2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence
3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying
4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch
5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2017 CYXX CANADA Abbotsford: B. C. BC Lat:49.0331 Long:-122.3667 Elev:177
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 33.80 30.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START *
1 2 30.20 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 3 26.60 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 4 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 5 30.20 17.60 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 6 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 7 35.60 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 8 37.40 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 9 42.80 28.40 0.00 0.27 0.3
1 10 30.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.3
1 11 32.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.3
1 12 30.20 15.80 0.00 0.00 0.3
1 13 28.40 17.60 0.00 0.00 0.3
1 14 35.60 19.40 0.00 0.00 0.3
1 15 39.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.3
1 16 39.20 30.20 0.00 0.00 0.3
1 17 50.00 37.00 0.00 3.47 3.7
1 18 55.40 41.00 0.00 7.20 10.9
1 19 46.40 39.00 0.00 2.15 13.1
1 20 48.20 35.60 0.00 2.48 15.6
1 21 48.20 39.00 0.00 3.00 18.6
1 22 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 19.5
1 23 46.40 30.20 0.00 1.37 20.9
1 24 39.20 28.40 0.00 0.00 20.9
1 25 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 20.9
1 26 46.40 33.80 0.00 1.58 22.4
1 27 48.20 33.80 0.00 2.29 24.7
1 28 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 25.7
1 29 48.20 33.80 0.00 2.29 27.9
1 30 44.60 37.40 0.00 1.15 29.1
1 31 42.80 26.60 0.00 0.26 29.3
2 1 41.00 33.80 0.00 0.00 29.3
2 2 42.80 33.80 0.00 0.35 29.7
2 3 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 29.7
2 4 30.20 28.00 0.00 0.00 29.7
2 5 30.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 29.7
2 6 28.40 21.20 0.00 0.00 29.7
2 7 30.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 29.7
2 8 30.20 23.00 0.00 0.00 29.7
2 9 45.00 30.20 0.00 0.91 30.6
2 10 46.40 37.40 0.00 1.91 32.5
2 11 44.60 35.60 0.00 1.01 33.5
2 12 46.40 32.00 0.00 1.46 35.0
2 13 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 37.9
2 14 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 40.7
2 15 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 47.0
2 16 59.00 42.80 0.00 9.90 56.9
2 17 53.60 39.20 0.00 5.67 62.6
2 18 44.60 37.40 0.00 1.15 63.7
2 19 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 65.9
2 20 48.20 37.40 0.00 2.72 68.6
2 21 46.40 33.80 0.00 1.58 70.2
2 22 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 71.1
2 23 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.84 72.0
2 24 46.40 32.00 0.00 1.46 73.4
2 25 41.00 26.60 0.00 0.00 73.4
2 26 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.84 74.3
2 27 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 74.3
2 28 39.20 26.60 0.00 0.00 74.3
3 1 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 76.5
3 2 46.40 37.40 0.00 1.91 78.4
3 3 46.40 35.60 0.00 1.72 80.1
3 4 42.80 30.20 0.00 0.29 80.4
3 5 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 80.4
3 6 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 80.4
3 7 37.40 32.00 0.00 0.00 80.4
3 8 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.84 81.2
3 9 39.20 33.80 0.00 0.00 81.2
3 10 50.00 37.40 0.00 3.54 84.8
3 11 48.20 39.20 0.00 3.05 87.8
3 12 51.80 44.60 0.00 7.20 95.0
3 13 48.20 44.60 0.00 5.40 100.4
3 14 57.20 44.60 0.00 9.90 110.3
3 15 50.00 46.40 0.00 7.20 117.5
3 16 50.00 39.20 0.00 3.92 121.5
3 17 48.20 35.60 0.00 2.48 123.9
3 18 48.20 35.60 0.00 2.48 126.4
3 19 50.00 33.80 0.00 3.04 129.5
3 20 55.40 35.60 0.00 5.73 135.2
3 21 51.80 42.80 0.00 6.30 141.5
3 22 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 149.6
3 23 55.40 41.00 0.00 7.20 156.8
3 24 53.60 42.80 0.00 7.20 164.0
3 25 51.80 42.80 0.00 6.30 170.3
3 26 46.40 41.00 0.00 2.70 173.0
3 27 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 179.3
3 28 46.40 42.80 0.00 3.60 182.9
3 29 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 189.2
3 30 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 195.5
3 31 53.60 35.60 0.00 4.90 200.4
4 1 53.60 44.60 0.00 8.10 208.5
4 2 51.80 41.00 0.00 5.40 213.9
4 3 55.40 33.80 0.00 5.43 219.3
4 4 54.60 37.40 0.00 5.71 225.0 Hx Hn
4 5 50.00 39.30 0.00 3.94 229.0 Hn
4 6 51.80 44.60 0.00 7.20 236.2
4 7 57.20 44.60 0.00 9.90 246.1
4 8 50.00 41.00 0.00 4.50 250.6
4 9 55.40 41.00 0.00 7.20 257.8
4 10 53.60 42.80 0.00 7.20 265.0
4 11 59.00 39.20 0.00 8.33 273.3
4 12 57.20 46.40 0.00 10.80 284.1
4 13 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 292.2
4 14 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 298.5
4 15 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 304.8
4 16 64.40 39.20 0.00 11.01 315.8
4 17 55.40 48.20 0.00 10.80 326.6
4 18 59.00 46.40 0.00 11.70 338.3
4 19 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 346.4
4 20 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 357.2
4 21 68.00 46.40 0.00 16.20 373.4
4 22 60.80 50.00 0.00 14.40 387.8
4 23 55.40 46.40 0.00 9.90 397.7
4 24 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 408.5
4 25 59.00 48.20 0.00 12.60 421.1
4 26 59.00 46.40 0.00 11.70 432.8
4 27 55.40 44.60 0.00 9.00 441.8
4 28 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 452.6
4 29 51.80 41.00 0.00 5.40 458.0
4 30 59.00 42.80 0.00 9.90 467.9
5 1 51.80 44.60 0.00 7.20 475.1
5 2 62.60 41.00 0.00 10.80 485.9
5 3 57.20 51.80 0.00 13.50 499.4
5 4 78.80 50.00 0.00 23.40 522.8
5 5 60.80 46.40 0.00 12.60 535.4
5 6 57.20 42.80 0.00 9.00 544.4
5 7 60.80 41.00 0.00 9.90 554.3
5 8 62.60 44.60 0.00 12.60 566.9
5 9 66.20 42.80 0.00 13.50 580.4
5 10 68.00 48.20 0.00 17.10 597.5
5 11 57.20 50.00 0.00 12.60 610.1
5 12 55.40 44.50 0.00 8.95 619.1 Hn
5 13 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 627.2
5 14 60.80 44.60 0.00 11.70 638.9
5 15 50.00 44.60 0.00 6.30 645.2
5 16 51.80 44.60 0.00 7.20 652.4
5 17 57.20 46.40 0.00 10.80 663.2
5 18 64.40 50.00 0.00 16.20 679.4
5 19 68.00 48.20 0.00 17.10 696.5
5 20 71.60 48.20 0.00 18.90 715.4
5 21 75.20 51.80 0.00 22.50 737.9
5 22 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 763.1
5 23 75.20 51.80 0.00 22.50 785.6
5 24 59.00 50.00 0.00 13.50 799.1
5 25 68.00 46.40 0.00 16.20 815.3
5 26 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 838.7
5 27 80.60 51.80 0.00 25.20 863.9 Peak pheromone trap catch
5 28 84.20 57.20 0.00 29.70 893.6
5 29 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 918.8
5 30 57.20 51.80 0.00 13.50 932.3
5 31 66.20 53.60 0.00 18.90 951.2 Peak female adult emergence
6 1 64.40 55.40 0.00 18.90 970.1
6 2 68.00 53.60 0.00 19.80 989.9
6 3 62.60 51.80 0.00 16.20 1006.1 Peak egg laying
6 4 64.40 50.00 0.00 16.20 1022.3
6 5 73.40 42.80 0.00 17.10 1039.4
6 6 82.40 51.80 0.00 26.10 1065.5
6 7 80.60 55.40 0.00 27.00 1092.5
6 8 62.60 51.80 0.00 16.20 1108.7
6 9 64.40 50.00 0.00 16.20 1124.9
6 10 60.80 51.80 0.00 15.30 1140.2
6 11 68.00 51.80 0.00 18.90 1159.1
6 12 66.20 53.60 0.00 18.90 1178.0
6 13 62.60 51.80 0.00 16.20 1194.2
6 14 60.80 51.80 0.00 15.30 1209.5
6 15 57.20 51.80 0.00 13.50 1223.0
6 16 66.20 51.80 0.00 18.00 1241.0
6 17 60.80 50.00 0.00 14.40 1255.4
6 18 59.00 51.80 0.00 14.40 1269.8
6 19 69.80 53.60 0.00 20.70 1290.5 Peak egg hatch
6 20 69.80 53.60 0.00 20.70 1311.2
6 21 66.20 51.80 0.00 18.00 1329.2
6 22 73.40 46.40 0.00 18.90 1348.1
6 23 80.60 50.00 0.00 24.30 1372.4
6 24 89.60 55.40 0.00 31.50 1403.9
6 25 87.80 64.40 0.00 35.10 1439.0
6 26 75.20 55.40 0.00 24.30 1463.3
6 27 71.60 51.80 0.00 20.70 1484.0
6 28 71.60 53.60 0.00 21.60 1505.6
6 29 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 1530.8
6 30 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 1558.7
7 1 69.80 55.40 0.00 21.60 1580.3
7 2 75.20 53.60 0.00 23.40 1603.7
7 3 73.40 53.60 0.00 22.50 1626.2
7 4 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 1649.6
7 5 84.20 51.80 0.00 27.00 1676.6
7 6 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 1704.5
7 7 71.60 55.40 0.00 22.50 1727.0
7 8 78.80 51.80 0.00 24.30 1751.3
7 9 78.80 57.20 0.00 27.00 1778.3
7 10 73.40 53.60 0.00 22.50 1800.8
7 11 73.40 51.80 0.00 21.60 1822.4
7 12 73.40 53.60 0.00 22.50 1844.9
7 13 71.60 57.20 0.00 23.40 1868.3
7 14 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 1891.7
7 15 75.20 55.40 0.00 24.30 1916.0
7 16 71.60 51.80 0.00 20.70 1936.7
7 17 75.20 50.00 0.00 21.60 1958.3
7 18 80.60 53.60 0.00 26.10 1984.4
7 19 77.00 53.60 0.00 24.30 2008.7
7 20 73.40 59.00 0.00 25.20 2033.9
7 21 69.80 55.40 0.00 21.60 2055.5
7 22 71.60 60.80 0.00 25.20 2080.7 Peak in density large larvae
7 23 77.00 59.00 0.00 27.00 2107.7
7 24 80.60 53.60 0.00 26.10 2133.8
7 25 84.20 55.40 0.00 28.80 2162.6
7 26 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 2187.8
7 27 69.80 55.40 0.00 21.60 2209.4
7 28 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 2232.8
7 29 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 2258.0
7 30 80.60 59.00 0.00 28.80 2286.8
7 31 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 2314.7
8 1 86.00 57.20 0.00 30.60 2345.3
8 2 93.20 59.00 0.00 35.10 2380.4
8 3 87.80 59.00 0.00 32.40 2412.8
8 4 78.80 60.80 0.00 28.80 2441.6
8 5 73.40 55.40 0.00 23.40 2465.0
8 6 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 2492.9
8 7 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 2520.8
8 8 84.20 57.20 0.00 29.70 2550.5
8 9 86.00 59.00 0.00 31.50 2582.0
8 10 87.80 57.20 0.00 31.50 2613.5
8 11 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 2641.4
8 12 77.00 57.20 0.00 26.10 2667.5
8 13 73.40 57.20 0.00 24.30 2691.8
8 14 71.60 55.40 0.00 22.50 2714.3
8 15 75.20 50.00 0.00 21.60 2735.9
8 16 73.40 53.60 0.00 22.50 2758.4
8 17 77.00 59.00 0.00 27.00 2785.4
8 18 73.40 55.40 0.00 23.40 2808.8
8 19 75.20 53.60 0.00 23.40 2832.2
8 20 77.00 53.60 0.00 24.30 2856.5
8 21 82.40 51.80 0.00 26.10 2882.6
8 22 86.00 57.20 0.00 30.60 2913.2
8 23 77.00 59.00 0.00 27.00 2940.2
8 24 71.60 57.20 0.00 23.40 2963.6
8 25 75.20 50.00 0.00 21.60 2985.2
8 26 82.40 51.80 0.00 26.10 3011.3
8 27 86.00 55.40 0.00 29.70 3041.0
8 28 89.60 59.00 0.00 33.30 3074.3
8 29 87.80 60.80 0.00 33.30 3107.6
8 30 73.40 59.00 0.00 25.20 3132.8
8 31 77.00 59.00 0.00 27.00 3159.8
9 1 82.40 53.60 0.00 27.00 3186.8
9 2 89.60 55.40 0.00 31.50 3218.3
9 3 91.40 57.20 0.00 33.30 3251.6
9 4 95.00 57.20 0.00 35.10 3286.7
9 5 86.00 64.40 0.00 34.20 3320.9
9 6 80.60 64.40 0.00 31.50 3352.4
9 7 75.20 59.00 0.00 26.10 3378.5
9 8 69.80 60.80 0.00 24.30 3402.8
9 9 62.60 57.20 0.00 18.90 3421.7
9 10 71.60 51.80 0.00 20.70 3442.4
9 11 80.60 51.80 0.00 25.20 3467.6
9 12 73.40 57.20 0.00 24.30 3491.9
9 13 73.40 50.00 0.00 20.70 3512.6
9 14 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 3537.8
9 15 77.00 42.80 0.00 18.90 3556.7
9 16 75.20 46.40 0.00 19.80 3576.5
9 17 64.40 46.40 0.00 14.40 3590.9
9 18 59.00 46.40 0.00 11.70 3602.6
9 19 55.40 50.00 0.00 11.70 3614.3
9 20 60.80 46.40 0.00 12.60 3626.9
9 21 64.40 48.20 0.00 15.30 3642.2
9 22 68.00 50.00 0.00 18.00 3660.2
9 23 68.00 50.00 0.00 18.00 3678.2
9 24 68.00 46.40 0.00 16.20 3694.4
9 25 66.20 55.40 0.00 19.80 3714.2
9 26 71.60 55.40 0.00 22.50 3736.7
9 27 78.80 51.80 0.00 24.30 3761.0
9 28 84.20 53.60 0.00 27.90 3788.9
9 29 64.40 51.80 0.00 17.10 3806.0
9 30 59.00 48.20 0.00 12.60 3818.6
10 1 60.80 48.20 0.00 13.50 3832.1
10 2 66.20 44.60 0.00 14.40 3846.5
10 3 68.00 46.40 0.00 16.20 3862.7
10 4 68.00 41.00 0.00 13.50 3876.2
10 5 68.00 41.00 0.00 13.50 3889.7
10 6 57.20 39.20 0.00 7.44 3897.1
10 7 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 3905.2
10 8 60.80 44.60 0.00 11.70 3916.9
10 9 60.80 41.00 0.00 9.90 3926.8
10 10 55.40 44.60 0.00 9.00 3935.8
10 11 50.00 42.80 0.00 5.40 3941.2
10 12 50.00 41.00 0.00 4.50 3945.7
10 13 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 3952.0
10 14 51.80 37.40 0.00 4.38 3956.4
10 15 62.60 44.60 0.00 12.60 3969.0
10 16 53.60 50.00 0.00 10.80 3979.8
10 17 57.20 46.40 0.00 10.80 3990.6
10 18 57.20 44.60 0.00 9.90 4000.5
10 19 55.40 46.40 0.00 9.90 4010.4
10 20 51.80 42.80 0.00 6.30 4016.7
10 21 46.40 41.00 0.00 2.70 4019.4
10 22 60.80 46.40 0.00 12.60 4032.0
10 23 59.00 42.80 0.00 9.90 4041.9
10 24 64.40 42.80 0.00 12.60 4054.5
10 25 53.60 42.80 0.00 7.20 4061.7
10 26 60.80 42.80 0.00 10.80 4072.5
10 27 66.20 41.00 0.00 12.60 4085.1
10 28 68.00 42.80 0.00 14.40 4099.5
10 29 68.00 42.80 0.00 14.40 4113.9
10 30 60.80 39.20 0.00 9.22 4123.1
10 31 53.60 35.60 0.00 4.90 4128.0
11 1 50.00 46.40 0.00 7.20 4135.2
11 2 46.40 33.80 0.00 1.58 4136.8
11 3 35.60 32.00 0.00 0.00 4136.8
11 4 33.80 30.20 0.00 0.00 4136.8
11 5 39.20 32.00 0.00 0.00 4136.8
11 6 42.80 30.20 0.00 0.29 4137.1
11 7 42.80 32.00 0.00 0.32 4137.4
11 8 50.00 41.00 0.00 4.50 4141.9
11 9 46.40 41.00 0.00 2.70 4144.6
11 10 51.80 35.60 0.00 4.07 4148.7
11 11 46.40 37.40 0.00 1.91 4150.6
11 12 46.40 44.60 0.00 4.50 4155.1
11 13 53.60 44.60 0.00 8.10 4163.2
11 14 51.80 42.80 0.00 6.30 4169.5
11 15 50.00 42.80 0.00 5.40 4174.9
11 16 48.20 41.00 0.00 3.60 4178.5
11 17 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 4180.7
11 18 51.80 41.00 0.00 5.40 4186.1
11 19 50.00 39.20 0.00 3.92 4190.0
11 20 44.60 37.40 0.00 1.15 4191.1
11 21 44.60 39.20 0.00 1.36 4192.5
11 22 66.20 44.60 0.00 14.40 4206.9
11 23 57.20 46.40 0.00 10.80 4217.7
11 24 50.00 44.60 0.00 6.30 4224.0
11 25 50.00 46.40 0.00 7.20 4231.2
11 26 60.80 41.00 0.00 9.90 4241.1
11 27 48.20 41.00 0.00 3.60 4244.7
11 28 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 4246.9
11 29 48.20 37.40 0.00 2.72 4249.6
11 30 42.80 42.80 0.00 1.80 4251.4
12 1 44.60 35.60 0.00 1.01 4252.4
12 2 41.00 39.20 0.00 0.00 4252.4
12 3 42.80 32.00 0.00 0.32 4252.7
12 4 41.00 30.20 0.00 0.00 4252.7
12 5 42.80 30.20 0.00 0.29 4253.0
12 6 50.00 33.80 0.00 3.04 4256.1
12 7 50.00 33.80 0.00 3.04 4259.1
12 8 46.40 30.20 0.00 1.37 4260.5
12 9 44.60 28.40 0.00 0.74 4261.2
12 10 48.20 32.00 0.00 2.14 4263.4
12 11 48.20 28.40 0.00 1.92 4265.3
12 12 46.40 32.00 0.00 1.46 4266.7
12 13 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 4269.6
12 14 48.20 33.80 0.00 2.29 4271.9
12 15 41.00 35.60 0.00 0.00 4271.9
12 16 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 4272.8
12 17 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 4275.0
12 18 46.40 41.00 0.00 2.70 4277.7
12 19 39.20 32.00 0.00 0.00 4277.7
12 20 37.40 26.60 0.00 0.00 4277.7
12 21 32.00 24.80 0.00 0.00 4277.7
12 22 37.40 30.20 0.00 0.00 4277.7
12 23 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 4277.7
12 24 30.20 26.60 0.00 0.00 4277.7
12 25 30.20 23.00 0.00 0.00 4277.7
12 26 28.40 23.00 0.00 0.00 4277.7
12 27 28.40 23.00 0.00 0.00 4277.7
12 28 32.00 26.60 0.00 0.00 4277.7
12 29 32.00 30.20 0.00 0.00 4277.7
12 30 37.40 24.80 0.00 0.00 4277.7
12 31 33.80 23.00 0.00 0.00 4277.7
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 CYXX PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988Location: 2017 CYXX Abbotsford: B. C. Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME Date | DDs | Event |
5-27-17 | 864 | Peak pheromone trap catch |
5-31-17 | 951 | Peak female adult emergence |
6-3-17 | 1006 | Peak egg laying |
6-19-17 | 1290 | Peak egg hatch |
7-22-17 | 2081 | Peak in density large larvae |