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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Knight 1988
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
No ending date, set to: default date 12 31
Model validation status: partly validated
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch
2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence
3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying
4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch
5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2019 CWZA CANADA Agassiz Auto RePting S BC Lat:49.2500 Long:-121.7667 Elev:49
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 40.30 31.50 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START *
1 2 39.20 31.50 0.61 0.00 0.0
1 3 42.10 33.10 2.57 0.17 0.2
1 4 46.00 36.50 0.19 1.64 1.8
1 5 46.80 40.50 0.03 2.71 4.5
1 6 46.90 37.80 0.18 2.19 6.7
1 7 42.60 31.50 0.23 0.26 7.0
1 8 41.50 35.40 0.42 0.06 7.0
1 9 43.20 37.80 0.48 0.62 7.6
1 10 48.70 38.50 0.06 3.14 10.8
1 11 50.40 43.70 0.01 6.05 16.8
1 12 50.20 43.50 0.01 5.85 22.7
1 13 51.80 42.60 0.00 6.20 28.9
1 14 50.50 43.70 0.00 6.10 35.0
1 15 43.70 38.30 0.01 0.86 35.8
1 16 44.40 36.90 0.02 1.02 36.9
1 17 43.50 39.40 0.14 0.89 37.8
1 18 48.40 38.50 0.59 3.00 40.8
1 19 49.30 40.10 0.59 3.82 44.6
1 20 45.70 36.50 0.00 1.51 46.1
1 21 40.60 30.60 0.00 0.00 46.1
1 22 39.20 32.90 0.56 0.00 46.1
1 23 47.70 36.10 0.63 2.32 48.4
1 24 44.10 38.10 0.00 1.01 49.4
1 25 46.90 38.50 0.02 2.30 51.7
1 26 47.80 33.80 0.00 2.13 53.8
1 27 48.90 31.60 0.00 2.39 56.2
1 28 50.20 43.90 0.00 6.05 62.3
1 29 46.40 38.30 0.01 2.04 64.3
1 30 45.10 36.90 0.02 1.31 65.6
1 31 46.20 36.50 0.00 1.72 67.4
2 1 43.00 40.30 2.13 0.81 68.2
2 2 45.70 34.70 0.08 1.37 69.5
2 3 35.10 14.70 0.00 0.00 69.5
2 4 22.50 13.50 0.00 0.00 69.5
2 5 27.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 69.5
2 6 32.00 20.50 0.00 0.00 69.5
2 7 34.00 22.30 0.00 0.00 69.5
2 8 35.40 20.70 0.00 0.00 69.5
2 9 27.50 21.90 0.00 0.00 69.5
2 10 24.80 16.30 0.01 0.00 69.5
2 11 28.60 20.70 0.02 0.00 69.5
2 12 27.00 22.60 0.10 0.00 69.5
2 13 34.30 22.80 0.10 0.00 69.5
2 14 36.70 28.60 0.00 0.00 69.5
2 15 39.00 31.50 0.00 0.00 69.5
2 16 42.60 30.40 0.00 0.25 69.8
2 17 45.00 35.20 0.01 1.14 70.9
2 18 35.60 28.90 0.00 0.00 70.9
2 19 33.30 28.20 0.41 0.00 70.9
2 20 42.10 31.50 0.03 0.15 71.1
2 21 44.10 30.90 0.00 0.65 71.7
2 22 36.30 28.90 0.24 0.00 71.7
2 23 39.70 31.10 0.11 0.00 71.7
2 24 43.30 31.50 0.00 0.44 72.2
2 25 36.90 29.50 0.00 0.00 72.2
2 26 37.40 26.20 0.00 0.00 72.2
2 27 42.40 33.40 0.00 0.24 72.4
2 28 44.10 30.90 0.02 0.65 73.0
3 1 44.80 30.70 0.00 0.86 73.9
3 2 42.40 34.50 0.00 0.25 74.2
3 3 41.50 30.00 0.00 0.04 74.2
3 4 43.70 29.70 0.00 0.51 74.7
3 5 41.50 30.40 0.00 0.05 74.8
3 6 41.70 31.50 0.16 0.08 74.8
3 7 40.60 28.80 0.03 0.00 74.8
3 8 45.70 28.60 0.00 1.08 75.9
3 9 48.60 28.00 0.00 2.04 78.0
3 10 49.50 33.30 0.00 2.78 80.7
3 11 46.20 30.70 0.40 1.33 82.1
3 12 38.50 31.60 0.48 0.00 82.1
3 13 50.00 32.90 0.17 2.95 85.0
3 14 51.30 34.70 0.00 3.72 88.7
3 15 57.60 39.60 0.00 7.77 96.5
3 16 61.90 41.40 0.00 10.65 107.2
3 17 69.10 42.30 0.00 14.70 121.9
3 18 73.00 50.00 0.00 20.50 142.4
3 19 75.60 50.50 0.00 22.05 164.4
3 20 77.70 53.10 0.00 24.40 188.8
3 21 66.90 45.50 0.00 15.20 204.0
3 22 61.20 38.30 0.00 9.15 213.2
3 23 60.10 45.70 0.02 11.90 225.1
3 24 57.20 41.90 0.00 8.55 233.6
3 25 64.80 45.50 0.00 14.15 247.8
3 26 55.20 41.90 0.39 7.55 255.3
3 27 63.10 42.40 0.00 11.75 267.1
3 28 62.40 42.40 0.00 11.40 278.5
3 29 64.60 44.10 0.00 13.35 291.8
3 30 64.40 43.20 0.00 12.80 304.6
3 31 65.30 42.10 0.00 12.70 317.3
4 1 69.40 47.30 0.00 17.35 334.7
4 2 70.00 50.50 0.00 19.25 353.9
4 3 55.00 47.30 0.57 10.15 364.1
4 4 63.00 46.60 0.08 13.80 377.9
4 5 59.90 44.20 0.42 11.05 388.9
4 6 53.20 43.20 0.20 7.20 396.1
4 7 57.70 41.90 0.00 8.80 404.9
4 8 56.10 42.40 0.12 8.25 413.2
4 9 53.80 43.70 0.14 7.75 420.9
4 10 49.30 43.00 0.52 5.15 426.1
4 11 49.30 41.20 0.16 4.25 430.3
4 12 57.00 42.80 0.00 8.90 439.2
4 13 49.30 43.90 0.50 5.60 444.8
4 14 51.10 43.30 0.00 6.20 451.0
4 15 56.70 38.30 0.00 6.95 458.0
4 16 53.80 34.70 0.18 4.84 462.8
4 17 62.10 45.50 0.36 12.80 475.6
4 18 52.30 49.10 1.72 9.70 485.3
4 19 58.60 50.20 1.10 13.40 498.7
4 20 66.40 46.00 0.00 15.20 513.9
4 21 61.50 43.20 0.00 11.35 525.2
4 22 51.80 47.30 0.24 8.55 533.8
4 23 60.10 48.70 0.31 13.40 547.2
4 24 60.10 41.90 0.00 10.00 557.2
4 25 63.10 43.00 0.00 12.05 569.2
4 26 59.40 38.70 0.00 8.38 577.6
4 27 51.40 36.70 0.29 4.07 581.7
4 28 61.00 36.90 0.00 8.68 590.4
4 29 63.10 43.50 0.00 12.30 602.7
4 30 65.80 43.90 0.00 13.85 616.5
5 1 63.50 41.40 0.00 11.45 628.0
5 2 55.40 47.80 0.00 10.60 638.6
5 3 58.50 47.30 0.00 11.90 650.5
5 4 63.70 42.10 0.00 11.90 662.4
5 5 69.80 45.90 0.00 16.85 679.2
5 6 73.20 46.40 0.00 18.80 698.0
5 7 74.50 47.80 0.00 20.15 718.2
5 8 79.50 47.80 0.00 22.65 740.8
5 9 81.10 56.50 0.00 27.80 768.6
5 10 83.50 57.40 0.00 29.45 798.1
5 11 83.50 54.70 0.00 28.10 826.2
5 12 66.60 50.40 0.00 17.50 843.7
5 13 66.40 43.50 0.00 13.95 857.6 Peak pheromone trap catch
5 14 57.60 47.30 0.29 11.45 869.1
5 15 75.70 52.30 0.01 23.00 892.1
5 16 71.80 52.00 0.03 20.90 913.0
5 17 62.40 52.50 0.54 16.45 929.4
5 18 72.10 49.10 0.00 19.60 949.0
5 19 74.50 56.30 0.00 24.40 973.4 Peak female adult emergence
5 20 59.90 51.40 0.39 14.65 988.1
5 21 66.90 47.30 0.01 16.10 1004.2 Peak egg laying
5 22 75.00 50.90 0.00 21.95 1026.1
5 23 75.20 60.60 0.02 26.90 1053.0
5 24 59.90 54.50 0.17 16.20 1069.2
5 25 57.00 53.40 0.11 14.20 1083.4
5 26 77.00 52.30 0.00 23.65 1107.1
5 27 78.10 55.00 0.00 25.55 1132.6
5 28 67.10 55.40 0.00 20.25 1152.9
5 29 69.60 56.30 0.00 21.95 1174.8
5 30 75.70 56.30 0.00 25.00 1199.8
5 31 79.20 54.70 0.00 25.95 1225.8
6 1 76.50 51.40 0.00 22.95 1248.7
6 2 75.40 52.70 0.00 23.05 1271.8 Peak egg hatch
6 3 68.70 55.00 0.00 20.85 1292.6
6 4 69.10 44.10 0.00 15.60 1308.2
6 5 64.20 51.80 0.67 17.00 1325.2
6 6 64.00 46.00 0.30 14.00 1339.2
6 7 62.10 50.40 0.00 15.25 1354.5
6 8 62.80 51.30 0.02 16.05 1370.5
6 9 69.40 47.30 0.00 17.35 1387.9
6 10 75.20 49.80 0.00 21.50 1409.4
6 11 87.30 56.10 0.00 30.70 1440.1
6 12 90.30 68.40 0.00 38.35 1478.4
6 13 79.90 60.60 0.00 29.25 1507.7
6 14 70.50 52.30 0.00 20.40 1528.1
6 15 75.00 59.00 0.00 26.00 1554.1
6 16 77.40 50.90 0.00 23.15 1577.2
6 17 77.50 54.30 0.00 24.90 1602.1
6 18 73.00 61.50 0.00 26.25 1628.4
6 19 64.90 50.40 0.41 16.65 1645.0
6 20 62.80 49.30 0.34 15.05 1660.1
6 21 70.70 53.20 0.00 20.95 1681.0
6 22 61.20 56.30 0.00 17.75 1698.8
6 23 64.90 56.50 0.00 19.70 1718.5
6 24 68.50 52.90 0.01 19.70 1738.2
6 25 73.60 49.30 0.00 20.45 1758.6
6 26 75.70 56.10 0.09 24.90 1783.5
6 27 64.00 55.80 0.47 18.90 1802.4
6 28 64.00 54.90 0.53 18.45 1820.9
6 29 72.10 55.20 0.00 22.65 1843.5
6 30 78.80 55.00 0.00 25.90 1869.4
7 1 79.00 58.30 0.00 27.65 1897.1
7 2 65.70 58.10 0.00 20.90 1918.0
7 3 67.60 58.10 0.00 21.85 1939.8
7 4 66.20 59.50 0.00 21.85 1961.7
7 5 64.00 58.10 0.07 20.05 1981.7
7 6 68.20 57.70 0.00 21.95 2003.7
7 7 61.90 56.30 0.13 18.10 2021.8
7 8 73.60 56.80 0.00 24.20 2046.0
7 9 79.90 54.30 0.11 26.10 2072.1 Peak in density large larvae
7 10 70.00 58.10 0.48 23.05 2095.1
7 11 72.10 59.90 0.47 25.00 2120.1
7 12 77.70 54.50 0.00 25.10 2145.2
7 13 75.20 56.50 0.00 24.85 2170.1
7 14 76.50 59.40 0.00 26.95 2197.0
7 15 76.60 56.30 0.00 25.45 2222.5
7 16 77.00 55.00 0.00 25.00 2247.5
7 17 65.70 59.90 0.78 21.80 2269.3
7 18 69.80 59.00 0.00 23.40 2292.7
7 19 68.70 54.30 0.07 20.50 2313.2
7 20 79.20 55.60 0.00 26.40 2339.6
7 21 86.50 64.90 0.00 34.70 2374.3
7 22 80.40 58.80 0.00 28.60 2402.9
7 23 76.80 54.70 0.00 24.75 2427.6
7 24 70.30 54.50 0.18 21.40 2449.0
7 25 81.00 53.20 0.00 26.10 2475.1
7 26 84.40 56.80 0.00 29.60 2504.7
7 27 74.50 61.70 0.20 27.10 2531.8
7 28 79.20 56.10 0.00 26.65 2558.5
7 29 78.80 53.20 0.00 25.00 2583.5
7 30 73.90 57.20 0.00 24.55 2608.0
7 31 78.80 61.90 0.00 29.35 2637.4
8 1 79.90 57.60 0.00 27.75 2665.1
8 2 75.40 60.80 1.68 27.10 2692.2
8 3 79.90 54.50 0.00 26.20 2718.4
8 4 89.80 65.30 0.00 36.55 2755.0
8 5 87.30 62.40 0.00 33.85 2788.8
8 6 84.90 56.30 0.00 29.60 2818.4
8 7 82.20 56.30 0.00 28.25 2846.7
8 8 75.00 57.70 0.00 25.35 2872.0
8 9 72.30 61.20 0.00 25.75 2897.8
8 10 71.40 63.00 0.05 26.20 2924.0
8 11 67.60 59.00 0.06 22.30 2946.3
8 12 75.90 59.90 0.03 26.90 2973.2
8 13 80.60 61.20 0.00 29.90 3003.1
8 14 83.10 57.60 0.00 29.35 3032.4
8 15 80.10 56.50 0.00 27.30 3059.7
8 16 70.20 55.40 0.00 21.80 3081.5
8 17 71.20 59.40 0.00 24.30 3105.8
8 18 73.90 59.90 0.00 25.90 3131.7
8 19 73.40 54.10 0.00 22.75 3154.5
8 20 80.20 56.80 0.00 27.50 3182.0
8 21 65.50 57.90 0.25 20.70 3202.7
8 22 72.30 57.60 0.00 23.95 3226.6
8 23 68.20 53.20 0.08 19.70 3246.3
8 24 66.90 54.70 0.00 19.80 3266.1
8 25 71.20 55.60 0.00 22.40 3288.5
8 26 77.40 50.00 0.00 22.70 3311.2
8 27 83.70 59.70 0.00 30.70 3341.9
8 28 86.70 57.40 0.00 31.05 3373.0
8 29 83.30 57.40 0.00 29.35 3402.3
8 30 73.20 63.70 0.01 27.45 3429.8
8 31 77.50 58.10 0.00 26.80 3456.6
9 1 74.30 59.90 0.00 26.10 3482.7
9 2 79.20 52.90 0.00 25.05 3507.7
9 3 77.50 54.30 0.18 24.90 3532.6
9 4 76.30 58.50 0.00 26.40 3559.0
9 5 84.00 60.30 0.00 31.15 3590.2
9 6 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 3618.1
9 7 74.30 55.00 0.02 23.65 3641.7
9 8 65.50 60.10 0.45 21.80 3663.5
9 9 67.50 58.50 0.29 22.00 3685.5
9 10 68.50 57.90 0.00 22.20 3707.7
9 11 68.20 58.10 0.00 22.15 3729.9
9 12 70.50 56.30 0.70 22.40 3752.3
9 13 64.80 56.30 0.41 19.55 3771.8
9 14 64.90 55.40 0.48 19.15 3791.0
9 15 58.60 53.20 1.96 14.90 3805.9
9 16 65.10 52.50 0.09 17.80 3823.7
9 17 59.50 54.10 0.14 15.80 3839.5
9 18 65.70 55.20 0.05 19.45 3858.9
9 19 64.40 53.60 0.00 18.00 3876.9
9 20 67.80 56.30 0.00 21.05 3898.0
9 21 67.50 54.50 0.00 20.00 3918.0
9 22 62.20 57.60 0.30 18.90 3936.9
9 23 59.90 53.10 0.15 15.50 3952.4
9 24 64.40 52.30 0.14 17.35 3969.7
9 25 64.20 50.90 0.00 16.55 3986.3
9 26 62.60 48.60 1.20 14.60 4000.9
9 27 57.60 47.80 0.01 11.70 4012.6
9 28 57.00 45.50 0.11 10.25 4022.8
9 29 54.30 48.70 0.00 10.50 4033.3
9 30 61.00 42.80 0.00 10.90 4044.2
10 1 59.00 41.50 0.00 9.25 4053.5
10 2 60.60 44.20 0.01 11.40 4064.9
10 3 54.10 47.70 0.11 9.90 4074.8
10 4 54.10 46.20 0.12 9.15 4083.9
10 5 58.80 49.10 0.08 12.95 4096.9
10 6 58.80 42.60 0.00 9.70 4106.6
10 7 60.30 50.00 0.58 14.15 4120.7
10 8 52.90 41.20 0.33 6.05 4126.8
10 9 50.90 40.30 0.00 4.68 4131.5
10 10 55.20 38.10 0.00 6.17 4137.6
10 11 60.40 41.90 0.00 10.15 4147.8
10 12 57.40 42.10 0.05 8.75 4156.5
10 13 54.30 44.20 0.01 8.25 4164.8
10 14 59.70 40.10 0.00 8.98 4173.7
10 15 54.30 47.30 0.02 9.80 4183.5
10 16 54.50 49.60 0.95 11.05 4194.6
10 17 53.40 47.10 0.73 9.25 4203.8
10 18 50.50 46.60 0.41 7.55 4211.4
10 19 50.40 45.30 0.21 6.85 4218.2
10 20 50.20 43.70 0.35 5.95 4224.2
10 21 50.50 45.70 0.86 7.10 4231.3
10 22 56.50 43.90 0.06 9.20 4240.5
10 23 57.00 37.20 0.00 6.82 4247.3
10 24 54.30 43.70 0.00 8.00 4255.3
10 25 55.90 45.00 0.95 9.45 4264.8
10 26 55.90 42.60 0.00 8.25 4273.0
10 27 54.70 35.10 0.00 5.32 4278.3
10 28 52.30 36.50 0.00 4.45 4282.8
10 29 49.30 32.00 0.00 2.58 4285.4
10 30 49.10 31.30 0.00 2.44 4287.8
10 31 51.60 31.30 0.00 3.46 4291.3
11 1 55.40 38.30 0.00 6.31 4297.6
11 2 54.30 37.40 0.00 5.57 4303.2
11 3 51.80 33.10 0.00 3.74 4306.9
11 4 52.90 31.50 0.00 4.03 4310.9
11 5 55.80 43.00 0.00 8.40 4319.3
11 6 59.40 44.80 0.00 11.10 4330.4
11 7 52.50 42.30 0.00 6.40 4336.8
11 8 55.60 37.90 0.00 6.31 4343.1
11 9 57.00 43.70 0.04 9.35 4352.5
11 10 59.70 47.70 0.05 12.70 4365.2
11 11 51.60 45.50 0.00 7.55 4372.7
11 12 48.90 42.80 0.37 4.85 4377.6
11 13 54.50 46.40 0.24 9.45 4387.0
11 14 52.20 47.70 0.00 8.95 4396.0
11 15 52.30 40.80 0.44 5.56 4401.5
11 16 50.90 43.70 0.17 6.30 4407.8
11 17 54.00 47.50 1.68 9.75 4417.6
11 18 52.20 43.50 0.27 6.85 4424.4
11 19 56.70 46.00 0.39 10.35 4434.8
11 20 52.20 44.40 0.00 7.30 4442.1
11 21 50.40 35.80 0.00 3.47 4445.6
11 22 46.20 27.90 0.00 1.21 4446.8
11 23 45.30 36.70 0.22 1.37 4448.1
11 24 54.00 41.70 0.04 6.85 4455.0
11 25 44.10 32.90 0.40 0.71 4455.7
11 26 43.90 32.90 0.00 0.65 4456.4
11 27 41.00 34.70 0.00 0.00 4456.4
11 28 38.70 32.90 0.00 0.00 4456.4
11 29 37.00 30.40 0.00 0.00 4456.4
11 30 34.00 29.50 0.00 0.00 4456.4
12 1 37.60 31.60 0.03 0.00 4456.4
12 2 34.20 31.30 0.37 0.00 4456.4
12 3 42.80 32.90 0.97 0.33 4456.7
12 4 46.60 41.90 0.84 3.25 4459.9
12 5 44.10 40.10 0.02 1.29 4461.2
12 6 45.00 38.30 0.06 1.41 4462.6
12 7 43.50 38.30 0.05 0.78 4463.4
12 8 46.90 39.60 0.00 2.52 4465.9
12 9 43.70 35.80 0.00 0.70 4466.6
12 10 39.90 34.90 0.02 0.00 4466.6
12 11 43.90 36.50 0.05 0.81 4467.4
12 12 42.00 38.50 0.67 0.23 4467.7
12 13 41.00 40.10 0.20 0.00 4467.7
12 14 41.40 35.80 0.28 0.05 4467.7
12 15 40.50 35.60 0.27 0.00 4467.7
12 16 39.70 32.90 0.18 0.00 4467.7
12 17 41.40 37.80 0.14 0.06 4467.8
12 18 45.50 41.20 0.05 2.35 4470.1
12 19 43.90 34.70 1.16 0.72 4470.8
12 20 43.50 38.30 2.75 0.78 4471.6
12 21 43.00 37.00 0.15 0.51 4472.1 Mx Mn
12 22 42.80 36.30 0.10 0.41 4472.5
12 23 39.90 35.40 0.00 0.00 4472.5
12 24 39.90 28.80 0.00 0.00 4472.5
12 25 40.60 34.70 0.00 0.00 4472.5
12 26 37.20 30.00 0.01 0.00 4472.5
12 27 37.90 31.50 0.17 0.00 4472.5
12 28 42.10 32.90 0.00 0.16 4472.7
12 29 48.00 38.80 0.02 2.87 4475.6
12 30 43.50 39.60 0.21 0.92 4476.5
12 31 43.16 42.26 2.17 1.71 4478.2
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988Location: 2019 CWZA Agassiz Auto RePting | Date | DDs | Event |
| 5-13-19 | 858 | Peak pheromone trap catch |
| 5-19-19 | 973 | Peak female adult emergence |
| 5-21-19 | 1004 | Peak egg laying |
| 6-2-19 | 1272 | Peak egg hatch |
| 7-9-19 | 2072 | Peak in density large larvae |
![degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988](/cgi-bin/ddplotj.pl?1049448)
