Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight 1988


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 1988 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 No ending date, set to: default date 12 31 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2021 CRVO Agrimet CORVALLIS OR Lat44.6342 Long-123.1897 Elev:230 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 53.10 46.30 0.27 8.70 8.7 * START * 1 2 50.20 46.50 0.76 7.35 16.1 1 3 51.30 41.80 0.73 5.55 21.6 1 4 53.00 42.00 0.71 6.50 28.1 1 5 53.20 40.50 0.00 5.89 34.0 1 6 52.80 44.80 0.80 7.80 41.8 1 7 52.30 37.70 0.01 4.68 46.5 1 8 53.60 34.30 0.41 4.69 51.2 1 9 39.20 33.30 0.01 0.00 51.2 1 10 50.50 37.40 0.18 3.78 54.9 1 11 50.60 38.10 0.18 3.96 58.9 1 12 58.30 51.20 1.43 13.75 72.6 1 13 59.80 43.80 0.14 10.80 83.4 1 14 54.80 36.50 0.00 5.62 89.1 1 15 51.40 44.50 0.10 6.95 96.0 1 16 47.80 44.60 0.00 5.20 101.2 1 17 53.60 40.70 0.01 6.17 107.4 1 18 47.00 36.80 0.00 2.10 109.5 1 19 51.40 34.00 0.01 3.67 113.2 1 20 45.70 28.90 0.00 1.09 114.2 1 21 47.00 39.40 0.02 2.52 116.8 1 22 48.40 37.60 0.01 2.84 119.6 1 23 46.70 28.20 0.00 1.39 121.0 1 24 39.50 34.70 0.36 0.00 121.0 1 25 43.40 30.90 0.03 0.46 121.4 1 26 36.10 31.70 0.37 0.00 121.4 1 27 42.80 31.10 0.60 0.30 121.8 1 28 47.10 38.50 0.09 2.39 124.1 1 29 46.70 38.90 0.16 2.28 126.4 1 30 50.70 41.00 0.19 4.85 131.3 1 31 50.80 45.90 0.38 7.35 138.6 2 1 48.90 45.50 0.71 6.20 144.8 2 2 49.70 41.30 0.43 4.50 149.3 2 3 48.60 35.30 0.69 2.61 151.9 2 4 48.00 33.60 0.00 2.19 154.1 2 5 51.10 36.80 0.02 3.95 158.1 2 6 48.50 31.50 0.09 2.22 160.3 2 7 49.00 33.90 0.01 2.63 162.9 2 8 46.20 34.00 0.00 1.51 164.4 2 9 46.20 30.50 0.00 1.32 165.8 2 10 45.00 26.60 0.02 0.81 166.6 2 11 39.60 31.10 0.36 0.00 166.6 2 12 31.80 29.50 0.00 0.00 166.6 2 13 50.50 31.40 0.33 3.01 169.6 2 14 48.50 37.80 0.26 2.92 172.5 2 15 52.10 45.00 0.24 7.55 180.1 2 16 50.10 41.60 0.01 4.85 184.9 2 17 49.80 32.60 0.00 2.84 187.7 2 18 47.70 38.00 0.41 2.58 190.3 2 19 49.60 41.80 0.50 4.70 195.0 2 20 51.00 38.40 0.16 4.21 199.2 2 21 50.20 43.20 0.01 5.70 204.9 2 22 53.60 44.40 0.22 8.00 212.9 2 23 49.30 34.00 0.01 2.77 215.7 2 24 48.30 31.00 0.00 2.11 217.8 2 25 49.90 34.00 0.21 3.02 220.8 2 26 48.00 40.50 0.28 3.31 224.1 2 27 49.30 39.60 0.03 3.68 227.8 2 28 56.70 34.20 0.00 6.09 233.9 3 1 60.00 35.80 0.00 7.95 241.9 3 2 55.40 34.20 0.00 5.49 247.4 3 3 60.70 32.30 0.00 7.61 255.0 Px 3 4 56.00 39.40 0.00 6.91 261.9 Px Pn 3 5 49.20 38.80 0.38 3.44 265.3 3 6 51.80 39.50 0.05 4.87 270.2 3 7 51.00 38.50 0.09 4.23 274.4 3 8 50.20 35.30 0.05 3.31 277.7 3 9 53.40 35.90 0.38 4.86 282.6 3 10 53.20 33.10 0.02 4.35 286.9 3 11 56.40 30.00 0.01 5.36 292.3 3 12 59.50 30.40 0.00 6.78 299.1 3 13 62.30 29.50 0.00 7.90 307.0 3 14 51.10 39.00 0.18 4.40 311.4 3 15 47.80 29.70 0.06 1.85 313.2 3 16 51.80 27.20 0.01 3.19 316.4 3 17 61.20 29.40 0.00 7.40 323.8 3 18 53.70 37.60 0.16 5.33 329.2 3 19 51.70 43.00 0.23 6.35 335.5 3 20 52.50 40.00 0.13 5.37 340.9 3 21 49.30 37.00 0.05 3.15 344.0 3 22 52.20 35.90 0.18 4.30 348.3 3 23 55.00 30.40 0.00 4.80 353.1 3 24 49.10 37.60 0.05 3.16 356.3 3 25 52.00 35.10 0.15 4.09 360.4 3 26 57.50 29.70 0.00 5.80 366.2 3 27 64.60 35.90 0.00 10.18 376.4 3 28 53.60 36.00 0.11 4.97 381.3 3 29 51.30 31.90 0.08 3.39 384.7 3 30 54.30 27.70 0.00 4.23 389.0 3 31 64.80 34.80 0.00 10.02 399.0 4 1 70.20 35.50 0.00 12.79 411.8 4 2 61.50 35.50 0.00 8.60 420.4 4 3 65.20 36.70 0.00 10.67 431.0 4 4 58.00 39.30 0.00 7.87 438.9 4 5 57.90 28.40 0.00 5.82 444.7 4 6 63.50 33.80 0.00 9.19 453.9 4 7 52.10 33.40 0.00 3.90 457.8 4 8 55.60 38.00 0.02 6.33 464.2 4 9 58.80 30.00 0.00 6.41 470.6 4 10 51.50 34.40 0.11 3.77 474.3 4 11 56.90 31.00 0.00 5.70 480.0 4 12 63.80 41.50 0.00 11.65 491.7 4 13 63.40 44.90 0.00 13.15 504.8 4 14 65.70 44.20 0.00 13.95 518.8 4 15 72.00 33.90 0.00 13.28 532.1 4 16 78.50 43.10 0.00 19.80 551.9 4 17 80.00 38.90 0.00 18.65 570.5 4 18 81.40 39.70 0.00 19.65 590.2 4 19 72.60 37.50 0.00 14.52 604.7 4 20 71.60 45.40 0.01 17.50 622.2 4 21 73.60 43.30 0.00 17.45 639.6 4 22 64.30 37.20 0.00 10.36 650.0 4 23 59.70 36.80 0.00 8.03 658.0 4 24 53.60 46.00 0.22 8.80 666.8 4 25 58.50 42.50 0.05 9.50 676.3 4 26 60.10 41.20 0.01 9.65 686.0 4 27 67.00 35.50 0.01 11.24 697.2 4 28 74.00 36.20 0.00 14.84 712.1 4 29 77.50 42.00 0.00 18.75 730.8 4 30 71.70 43.00 0.12 16.35 747.2 5 1 57.80 50.20 0.29 13.00 760.2 5 2 64.50 45.20 0.01 13.85 774.0 5 3 66.00 41.60 0.00 12.80 786.8 5 4 68.20 49.50 0.01 17.85 804.7 5 5 75.00 46.00 0.00 19.50 824.2 5 6 61.60 44.70 0.06 12.15 836.3 5 7 61.10 38.70 0.04 9.22 845.5 5 8 60.70 32.70 0.01 7.68 853.2 Peak pheromone trap catch 5 9 63.90 47.00 0.00 14.45 867.7 5 10 68.60 43.10 0.00 14.85 882.5 5 11 73.10 44.00 0.00 17.55 900.1 5 12 77.70 43.30 0.00 19.50 919.6 5 13 77.90 46.90 0.00 21.40 941.0 5 14 79.40 49.90 0.00 23.65 964.6 Peak female adult emergence 5 15 78.40 41.30 0.00 18.85 983.5 5 16 80.70 42.60 0.00 20.65 1004.1 Peak egg laying 5 17 67.80 41.70 0.00 13.75 1017.9 5 18 63.00 44.40 0.00 12.70 1030.6 5 19 55.50 37.70 0.05 6.21 1036.8 5 20 59.40 33.30 0.00 7.18 1044.0 5 21 64.30 36.60 0.00 10.21 1054.2 5 22 69.40 37.10 0.00 12.83 1067.0 5 23 62.40 40.10 0.00 10.33 1077.3 5 24 61.90 49.00 0.16 14.45 1091.8 5 25 62.90 52.10 0.02 16.50 1108.3 5 26 73.80 40.50 0.00 16.18 1124.4 5 27 63.40 49.50 0.12 15.45 1139.9 5 28 68.00 45.80 0.00 15.90 1155.8 5 29 79.00 45.70 0.00 21.35 1177.1 5 30 83.60 45.90 0.00 23.75 1200.9 5 31 86.90 49.40 0.00 27.15 1228.0 6 1 93.00 57.60 0.00 34.30 1262.3 6 2 89.30 55.40 0.00 31.35 1293.7 Peak egg hatch 6 3 82.80 50.60 0.00 25.70 1319.4 6 4 77.30 48.80 0.00 22.05 1341.4 6 5 65.60 45.00 0.00 14.30 1355.7 6 6 63.50 38.10 0.00 10.22 1366.0 6 7 61.90 47.80 0.02 13.85 1379.8 6 8 65.40 43.30 0.01 13.35 1393.2 6 9 68.60 36.20 0.00 12.20 1405.4 6 10 67.50 41.10 0.00 13.30 1418.7 6 11 68.40 48.80 0.20 17.60 1436.3 6 12 78.90 52.60 0.76 24.75 1461.0 6 13 65.40 59.80 0.66 21.60 1482.6 6 14 73.10 57.40 0.07 24.25 1506.9 6 15 68.20 47.70 0.09 16.95 1523.8 6 16 77.50 49.60 0.00 22.55 1546.4 6 17 81.90 48.20 0.00 24.05 1570.4 6 18 79.00 47.90 0.00 22.45 1592.9 6 19 81.10 49.00 0.00 24.05 1616.9 6 20 88.60 56.60 0.00 31.60 1648.5 6 21 91.50 58.20 0.00 33.85 1682.4 6 22 85.20 53.30 0.00 28.25 1710.6 6 23 83.10 53.50 0.00 27.30 1737.9 6 24 88.10 50.40 0.00 28.25 1766.2 6 25 91.70 57.30 0.00 33.50 1799.7 6 26 100.80 61.30 0.00 40.05 1839.7 6 27 108.20 64.70 0.00 45.45 1885.2 6 28 108.90 64.10 0.00 45.50 1930.7 6 29 88.40 56.40 0.00 31.40 1962.1 6 30 71.80 60.40 0.00 25.10 1987.2 7 1 77.50 62.00 0.00 28.75 2015.9 7 2 85.00 61.70 0.00 32.35 2048.3 7 3 89.20 55.30 0.00 31.25 2079.5 Peak in density large larvae 7 4 86.90 53.80 0.00 29.35 2108.9 7 5 87.80 51.10 0.00 28.45 2137.3 7 6 91.70 54.70 0.00 32.20 2169.5 7 7 78.40 56.50 0.00 26.45 2196.0 7 8 79.20 51.20 0.00 24.20 2220.2 7 9 90.20 47.60 0.00 27.90 2248.1 7 10 89.80 53.70 0.00 30.75 2278.8 7 11 88.40 51.30 0.00 28.85 2307.7 7 12 86.90 51.70 0.00 28.30 2336.0 7 13 87.40 50.80 0.00 28.10 2364.1 7 14 85.40 49.60 0.00 26.50 2390.6 7 15 79.20 49.60 0.00 23.40 2414.0 7 16 80.10 47.10 0.00 22.60 2436.6 7 17 82.30 49.30 0.00 24.80 2461.4 7 18 86.10 48.80 0.00 26.45 2487.8 7 19 87.00 51.50 0.00 28.25 2516.1 7 20 80.90 50.40 0.00 24.65 2540.7 7 21 75.60 51.50 0.00 22.55 2563.3 7 22 81.60 54.60 0.00 27.10 2590.4 7 23 86.00 50.20 0.00 27.10 2617.5 7 24 92.20 57.50 0.00 33.85 2651.3 7 25 91.10 55.90 0.00 32.50 2683.8 7 26 90.50 55.50 0.00 32.00 2715.8 7 27 88.50 58.00 0.00 32.25 2748.1 7 28 92.80 55.10 0.00 32.95 2781.0 7 29 97.40 58.80 0.00 37.10 2818.1 7 30 92.50 60.40 0.00 35.45 2853.6 7 31 84.60 66.30 0.00 34.45 2888.0 8 1 91.70 56.40 0.00 33.05 2921.1 8 2 93.80 60.60 0.00 36.20 2957.3 8 3 89.20 56.50 0.00 31.85 2989.1 8 4 95.50 59.00 0.00 36.25 3025.4 8 5 78.90 57.70 0.00 27.30 3052.7 8 6 84.90 57.80 0.00 30.35 3083.0 8 7 86.70 56.90 0.00 30.80 3113.8 8 8 77.90 48.60 0.00 22.25 3136.1 8 9 80.50 56.90 0.00 27.70 3163.8 8 10 93.40 59.30 0.00 35.35 3199.1 8 11 100.30 65.90 0.00 42.10 3241.2 8 12 100.30 64.20 0.00 41.25 3282.5 8 13 94.50 63.30 0.00 37.90 3320.4 8 14 94.50 60.20 0.00 36.35 3356.7 8 15 94.30 58.40 0.00 35.35 3392.1 8 16 83.60 53.10 0.00 27.35 3419.4 8 17 71.60 52.60 0.00 21.10 3440.5 8 18 82.90 46.50 0.00 23.70 3464.2 8 19 82.30 48.80 0.00 24.55 3488.8 8 20 74.50 50.60 0.00 21.55 3510.3 8 21 73.50 55.90 0.00 23.70 3534.0 8 22 68.60 52.40 0.00 19.50 3553.5 8 23 74.30 47.90 0.00 20.10 3573.6 8 24 83.10 47.50 0.00 24.30 3597.9 8 25 79.50 48.10 0.00 22.80 3620.7 8 26 78.80 59.70 0.00 28.25 3649.0 8 27 75.40 57.70 0.00 25.55 3674.5 8 28 86.60 50.60 0.00 27.60 3702.1 8 29 88.00 54.50 0.00 30.25 3732.4 8 30 72.90 48.00 0.00 19.45 3751.8 8 31 72.00 49.70 0.00 19.85 3771.7 9 1 76.90 46.20 0.00 20.55 3792.2 9 2 83.20 48.70 0.00 24.95 3817.2 9 3 83.70 46.00 0.00 23.85 3841.0 9 4 88.30 46.10 0.00 26.20 3867.2 9 5 85.60 52.90 0.00 28.25 3895.5 9 6 83.00 54.90 0.00 27.95 3923.4 9 7 84.00 55.80 0.00 28.90 3952.3 9 8 89.10 51.50 0.00 29.30 3981.6 9 9 84.60 52.20 0.00 27.40 4009.0 9 10 72.50 51.60 0.00 21.05 4030.1 9 11 79.90 45.60 0.00 21.75 4051.8 9 12 75.90 52.10 0.00 23.00 4074.8 9 13 74.70 49.00 0.00 20.85 4095.7 9 14 83.40 47.60 0.00 24.50 4120.2 9 15 74.70 49.40 0.00 21.05 4141.2 9 16 73.70 42.90 0.00 17.30 4158.5 9 17 77.10 43.20 0.05 19.15 4177.7 9 18 66.50 55.60 0.79 20.05 4197.7 9 19 66.40 54.10 0.27 19.25 4217.0 9 20 70.00 48.10 0.00 18.05 4235.0 9 21 81.00 52.30 0.00 25.65 4260.7 9 22 71.80 51.40 0.11 20.60 4281.3 9 23 74.60 54.80 0.00 23.70 4305.0 9 24 86.10 52.20 0.00 28.15 4333.1 9 25 81.70 49.10 0.00 24.40 4357.5 9 26 76.00 55.60 0.00 24.80 4382.3 9 27 64.60 49.60 1.36 16.10 4398.4 9 28 64.00 45.50 0.09 13.75 4412.2 9 29 69.50 43.50 0.00 15.50 4427.7 9 30 66.20 52.10 0.01 18.15 4445.8 10 1 65.60 50.40 0.00 17.00 4462.8 10 2 70.20 39.60 0.00 14.03 4476.8 10 3 71.70 41.50 0.01 15.60 4492.4 10 4 62.40 51.50 0.00 15.95 4508.4 10 5 56.40 48.40 0.15 11.40 4519.8 10 6 61.60 46.10 0.00 12.85 4532.6 10 7 60.60 40.60 0.00 9.62 4542.3 10 8 60.30 36.30 0.00 8.20 4550.5 10 9 64.40 39.80 0.00 11.21 4561.7 10 10 59.00 44.00 0.06 10.50 4572.2 10 11 58.80 39.10 0.00 8.20 4580.4 10 12 54.20 33.00 0.23 4.78 4585.2 10 13 52.70 42.00 0.03 6.35 4591.5 10 14 60.60 44.90 0.06 11.75 4603.3 10 15 66.50 41.90 0.01 13.20 4616.5 10 16 67.10 40.60 0.01 12.87 4629.3 10 17 62.90 42.70 0.00 11.80 4641.1 10 18 55.10 43.80 0.01 8.45 4649.6 10 19 54.00 38.80 0.07 5.76 4655.3 10 20 60.90 49.90 0.03 14.40 4669.7 10 21 66.30 44.30 0.63 14.30 4684.0 10 22 57.60 50.50 0.10 13.05 4697.1 10 23 55.80 51.20 0.06 12.50 4709.6 10 24 57.70 50.00 0.22 12.85 4722.4 10 25 55.10 49.70 0.42 11.40 4733.8 10 26 56.70 49.90 0.23 12.30 4746.1 10 27 56.90 49.50 0.12 12.20 4758.3 10 28 68.20 53.50 0.01 19.85 4778.2 10 29 62.40 46.40 0.14 13.40 4791.6 10 30 62.20 46.10 0.00 13.15 4804.7 10 31 61.20 45.20 0.00 12.20 4816.9 11 1 53.40 44.10 0.23 7.75 4824.7 11 2 54.00 49.70 0.02 10.85 4835.5 11 3 59.50 50.00 0.50 13.75 4849.3 11 4 58.00 50.10 0.27 13.05 4862.3 11 5 55.10 46.70 0.23 9.90 4872.2 11 6 51.70 42.50 0.29 6.10 4878.3 11 7 48.70 40.10 0.32 3.52 4881.9 11 8 50.20 33.70 0.06 3.12 4885.0 11 9 54.90 43.40 0.28 8.15 4893.1 11 10 55.30 41.80 0.65 7.55 4900.7 11 11 64.70 51.80 0.64 17.25 4917.9 11 12 63.30 56.50 0.20 18.90 4936.8 11 13 54.70 50.90 0.02 11.80 4948.6 Px 11 14 65.50 57.10 0.00 20.30 4968.9 11 15 58.90 40.60 0.30 8.77 4977.7 11 16 53.10 32.10 0.00 4.18 4981.9 11 17 49.50 37.20 0.00 3.28 4985.2 11 18 51.90 40.00 0.09 5.07 4990.2 11 19 53.60 40.90 0.02 6.25 4996.5 11 20 52.00 31.50 0.00 3.65 5000.1 11 21 38.30 29.90 0.00 0.00 5000.1 11 22 47.80 34.50 0.09 2.19 5002.3 11 23 53.00 34.50 0.07 4.45 5006.8 11 24 40.90 33.30 0.01 0.00 5006.8 11 25 54.40 36.50 0.00 5.43 5012.2 11 26 54.50 45.70 0.25 9.10 5021.3 11 27 61.00 49.50 0.07 14.25 5035.6 11 28 61.80 49.20 0.01 14.50 5050.1 11 29 61.60 44.10 0.05 11.85 5061.9 11 30 58.40 44.10 0.01 10.25 5072.2 12 1 64.00 41.00 0.00 11.50 5083.7 12 2 54.70 40.20 0.01 6.53 5090.2 12 3 47.90 32.70 0.00 2.08 5092.3 12 4 52.50 33.90 0.05 4.14 5096.4 12 5 48.80 30.60 0.00 2.28 5098.7 12 6 48.10 38.40 0.61 2.84 5101.5 12 7 56.80 47.80 0.03 11.30 5112.8 12 8 51.20 35.50 0.05 3.79 5116.6 12 9 43.50 32.50 0.10 0.52 5117.1 12 10 46.20 33.60 0.03 1.49 5118.6 12 11 47.30 43.30 1.25 4.30 5122.9 12 12 46.00 40.00 0.64 2.18 5125.1 12 13 41.40 33.20 0.46 0.04 5125.1 12 14 41.70 29.20 0.02 0.07 5125.2 12 15 44.90 36.30 0.18 1.17 5126.4 12 16 47.10 36.00 0.12 2.05 5128.4 12 17 48.00 39.20 0.04 2.95 5131.4 12 18 51.30 41.00 0.00 5.15 5136.5 12 19 40.80 35.80 1.81 0.00 5136.5 12 20 44.30 39.80 1.42 1.32 5137.9 12 21 43.30 36.10 0.09 0.57 5138.4 12 22 48.90 42.80 0.55 4.85 5143.3 12 23 48.50 39.80 0.24 3.34 5146.6 12 24 41.70 35.50 0.87 0.10 5146.7 12 25 39.90 32.70 0.29 0.00 5146.7 12 26 35.00 30.70 0.24 0.00 5146.7 12 27 32.30 20.40 0.21 0.00 5146.7 12 28 46.10 31.60 0.19 1.33 5148.1 Px 12 29 34.20 29.10 0.00 0.00 5148.1 12 30 42.70 31.20 0.15 0.28 5148.3 12 31 45.60 32.10 0.00 1.18 5149.5 Hx Hn Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 CRVO PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988
Location: 2021 CRVO CORVALLIS OR
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME
DateDDsEvent
 5-8-21 853Peak pheromone trap catch
 5-14-21 965Peak female adult emergence
 5-16-21 1004Peak egg laying
 6-2-21 1294Peak egg hatch
 7-3-21 2080Peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988