Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 No ending date, set to: default date 12 31 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2015 CRVO Agrimet CORVALLIS OR Lat44.6342 Long-123.1897 Elev:230 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 39.30 25.10 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 41.50 22.60 0.00 0.03 0.0 1 3 45.80 34.90 0.01 1.42 1.5 1 4 51.40 38.40 0.03 4.40 5.9 1 5 54.00 41.00 0.00 6.50 12.4 1 6 46.20 38.40 0.01 1.96 14.3 1 7 42.60 37.40 0.01 0.39 14.7 1 8 44.50 33.90 0.00 0.89 15.6 1 9 47.40 34.20 0.01 2.00 17.6 1 10 44.00 36.30 0.01 0.83 18.4 1 11 47.40 42.50 0.06 3.95 22.4 1 12 49.30 45.90 0.35 6.60 29.0 1 13 49.10 36.80 0.00 3.03 32.0 1 14 45.30 30.10 0.01 1.00 33.0 1 15 48.50 30.40 0.55 2.15 35.2 1 16 55.10 40.10 0.07 6.69 41.9 1 17 58.50 40.30 1.45 8.46 50.3 1 18 57.60 45.40 0.18 10.50 60.8 1 19 53.40 41.50 0.09 6.45 67.3 1 20 47.40 33.90 0.01 1.98 69.2 1 21 45.30 34.20 0.00 1.19 70.4 1 22 50.10 39.10 0.01 3.94 74.4 1 23 51.40 42.40 0.08 5.90 80.3 1 24 61.20 41.60 0.00 10.40 90.7 1 25 48.50 41.80 0.02 4.15 94.8 1 26 48.20 40.50 0.01 3.40 98.2 1 27 51.50 41.40 0.00 5.45 103.7 1 28 53.30 44.90 0.00 8.10 111.8 1 29 55.90 38.50 0.00 6.61 118.4 1 30 53.20 33.70 0.00 4.43 122.8 1 31 43.90 33.10 0.01 0.66 123.5 2 1 50.20 38.30 0.19 3.81 127.3 2 2 59.50 41.90 0.36 9.70 137.0 2 3 51.70 41.60 0.29 5.65 142.6 2 4 50.00 45.50 0.03 6.75 149.4 2 5 56.50 47.50 0.42 11.00 160.4 2 6 55.40 51.60 0.77 12.50 172.9 2 7 56.60 49.50 1.05 12.05 184.9 2 8 53.40 45.10 0.32 8.25 193.2 2 9 52.40 49.20 0.67 9.80 203.0 2 10 54.30 48.00 0.06 10.15 213.1 2 11 53.30 39.80 0.00 5.70 218.8 2 12 56.10 42.50 0.01 8.30 227.1 2 13 47.40 41.30 0.01 3.35 230.5 2 14 59.10 41.70 0.01 9.40 239.9 2 15 60.50 42.90 0.00 10.70 250.6 2 16 63.30 47.70 0.00 14.50 265.1 2 17 62.70 37.50 0.00 9.66 274.7 2 18 57.20 36.80 0.00 6.83 281.6 2 19 59.10 42.60 0.00 9.85 291.4 2 20 57.40 39.20 0.00 7.54 299.0 2 21 56.80 41.90 0.00 8.35 307.3 2 22 56.20 36.00 0.00 6.18 313.5 2 23 56.30 34.30 0.00 5.92 319.4 2 24 60.00 26.10 0.00 6.46 325.9 2 25 52.90 31.70 0.00 4.05 329.9 2 26 53.20 45.70 0.07 8.45 338.4 2 27 50.80 44.40 0.28 6.60 345.0 2 28 55.50 36.40 0.00 5.93 350.9 3 1 55.10 29.70 0.00 4.77 355.7 3 2 53.00 37.50 0.07 4.97 360.6 3 3 54.80 28.10 0.00 4.48 365.1 3 4 56.20 27.40 0.00 4.99 370.1 3 5 59.60 28.60 0.00 6.58 376.7 3 6 63.70 31.30 0.00 8.83 385.5 3 7 65.40 31.90 0.00 9.72 395.2 3 8 65.90 32.60 0.00 10.09 405.3 3 9 68.30 32.80 0.00 11.26 416.6 3 10 61.00 35.30 0.00 8.32 424.9 3 11 57.70 48.70 0.08 12.20 437.1 3 12 67.10 43.00 0.01 14.05 451.2 3 13 61.70 45.00 0.00 12.35 463.5 3 14 57.90 52.20 1.01 14.05 477.6 3 15 59.90 43.00 0.65 10.45 488.0 3 16 57.90 37.10 0.00 7.23 495.2 3 17 58.10 37.50 0.05 7.42 502.7 3 18 62.10 37.60 0.00 9.40 512.1 3 19 68.10 36.10 0.00 11.93 524.0 3 20 62.30 40.00 0.37 10.24 534.2 3 21 61.20 44.50 0.04 11.85 546.1 3 22 56.70 44.70 0.24 9.70 555.8 3 23 52.90 44.50 0.77 7.70 563.5 3 24 56.70 44.30 0.06 9.50 573.0 3 25 62.60 49.60 0.09 15.10 588.1 3 26 70.30 41.30 0.00 14.80 602.9 3 27 67.00 43.70 0.01 14.35 617.2 3 28 61.60 45.90 0.01 12.75 630.0 3 29 66.70 37.70 0.00 11.68 641.7 3 30 67.60 38.50 0.00 12.36 654.0 3 31 53.70 43.00 0.24 7.35 661.4 4 1 51.40 39.20 0.09 4.60 666.0 4 2 58.20 37.70 0.01 7.52 673.5 4 3 50.00 33.10 0.15 2.97 676.5 4 4 55.60 35.90 0.01 5.88 682.3 4 5 53.20 34.10 0.02 4.48 686.8 4 6 54.30 37.80 0.11 5.66 692.5 4 7 55.70 41.70 0.00 7.70 700.2 4 8 56.30 45.20 0.50 9.75 709.9 4 9 63.30 39.90 0.01 10.70 720.6 4 10 60.60 36.40 0.00 8.37 729.0 4 11 55.40 38.50 0.10 6.36 735.4 4 12 59.20 32.20 0.00 6.91 742.3 4 13 53.90 37.60 0.14 5.42 747.7 4 14 49.70 36.60 0.19 3.27 751.0 4 15 56.50 32.30 0.01 5.70 756.7 4 16 68.20 36.50 0.00 12.08 768.8 4 17 71.30 37.60 0.00 13.91 782.7 4 18 72.00 41.50 0.00 15.75 798.4 4 19 73.10 44.70 0.00 17.90 816.3 4 20 75.90 38.30 0.00 16.41 832.7 4 21 63.70 40.20 0.00 11.01 843.7 4 22 59.40 33.80 0.01 7.27 851.0 peak pheromone trap catch 4 23 54.90 34.60 0.00 5.33 856.3 4 24 56.00 43.60 0.05 8.80 865.1 4 25 57.50 40.20 0.08 7.92 873.1 4 26 58.60 36.50 0.01 7.43 880.5 4 27 76.00 45.40 0.00 19.70 900.2 4 28 63.10 46.30 0.00 13.70 913.9 4 29 63.00 35.20 0.00 9.25 923.1 4 30 67.50 38.40 0.00 12.28 935.4 5 1 71.80 44.10 0.00 16.95 952.4 peak female adult emergence 5 2 67.90 42.00 0.00 13.95 966.3 5 3 71.00 40.30 0.00 14.69 981.0 5 4 63.60 37.40 0.00 10.07 991.1 5 5 64.10 38.30 0.01 10.57 1001.7 peak egg laying 5 6 62.30 37.20 0.01 9.39 1011.1 5 7 69.80 36.40 0.00 12.83 1023.9 5 8 77.20 43.10 0.00 19.15 1043.0 5 9 79.90 42.00 0.00 19.95 1063.0 5 10 71.30 44.30 0.00 16.80 1079.8 5 11 57.70 48.90 0.15 12.30 1092.1 5 12 55.50 47.70 0.53 10.60 1102.7 5 13 63.80 46.10 0.01 13.95 1116.6 5 14 66.80 45.60 0.00 15.20 1131.8 5 15 60.00 46.40 0.00 12.20 1144.0 5 16 62.40 50.40 0.00 15.40 1159.4 5 17 68.20 49.60 0.00 17.90 1177.3 5 18 72.80 44.50 0.00 17.65 1195.0 5 19 63.40 49.00 0.00 15.20 1210.2 5 20 69.60 54.30 0.01 20.95 1231.1 5 21 71.40 56.00 0.00 22.70 1253.8 5 22 62.80 52.90 0.02 16.85 1270.7 peak egg hatch 5 23 62.30 51.80 0.08 16.05 1286.7 5 24 67.20 51.80 0.00 18.50 1305.2 5 25 69.60 46.60 0.00 17.10 1322.3 5 26 69.10 43.50 0.00 15.30 1337.6 5 27 76.80 46.00 0.00 20.40 1358.0 5 28 82.20 47.50 0.00 23.85 1381.9 5 29 79.60 48.60 0.00 23.10 1405.0 5 30 76.10 47.70 0.00 20.90 1425.9 5 31 82.80 50.40 0.00 25.60 1451.5 6 1 60.70 52.30 0.64 15.50 1467.0 6 2 63.90 53.00 0.06 17.45 1484.4 6 3 65.80 52.00 0.01 17.90 1502.3 6 4 72.60 47.90 0.00 19.25 1521.6 6 5 84.70 50.60 0.00 26.65 1548.2 6 6 87.70 55.00 0.00 30.35 1578.6 6 7 88.90 54.20 0.00 30.55 1609.1 6 8 92.90 58.80 0.00 34.85 1644.0 6 9 89.90 55.40 0.00 31.65 1675.6 6 10 79.30 43.80 0.00 20.55 1696.2 6 11 80.20 44.60 0.00 21.40 1717.6 6 12 74.00 46.10 0.00 19.05 1736.6 6 13 76.10 42.90 0.00 18.50 1755.1 6 14 83.80 43.30 0.00 22.55 1777.7 6 15 77.00 46.10 0.00 20.55 1798.2 6 16 78.10 44.60 0.00 20.35 1818.6 6 17 80.80 45.80 0.00 22.30 1840.9 6 18 80.00 52.80 0.00 25.40 1866.3 6 19 76.60 48.40 0.00 21.50 1887.8 6 20 81.00 54.30 0.00 26.65 1914.4 6 21 79.90 51.40 0.00 24.65 1939.1 6 22 78.30 45.10 0.00 20.70 1959.8 6 23 82.70 44.50 0.00 22.60 1982.4 6 24 85.40 51.40 0.00 27.40 2009.8 6 25 91.30 50.80 0.00 30.05 2039.8 6 26 96.70 60.80 0.00 37.75 2077.6 peak in density large larvae 6 27 93.30 68.40 0.00 39.85 2117.4 Vx 6 28 82.20 62.00 0.00 31.10 2148.5 6 29 89.00 55.90 0.00 31.45 2180.0 6 30 93.10 55.00 0.00 33.05 2213.0 7 1 96.60 59.80 0.00 37.20 2250.2 7 2 97.70 56.90 0.00 36.30 2286.5 7 3 97.60 56.70 0.00 36.15 2322.7 7 4 94.30 52.30 0.00 32.30 2355.0 7 5 91.80 53.20 0.00 31.50 2386.5 7 6 90.00 52.10 0.00 30.05 2416.5 7 7 87.30 51.30 0.00 28.30 2444.8 7 8 90.30 50.90 0.00 29.60 2474.4 7 9 79.10 53.80 0.00 25.45 2499.9 7 10 76.50 58.50 0.00 26.50 2526.4 7 11 71.10 60.60 0.00 24.85 2551.2 7 12 80.30 57.10 0.00 27.70 2578.9 7 13 82.20 54.40 0.00 27.30 2606.2 7 14 84.40 52.90 0.00 27.65 2633.9 7 15 84.20 49.50 0.00 25.85 2659.7 7 16 80.20 50.50 0.00 24.35 2684.1 7 17 85.80 51.50 0.00 27.65 2711.7 7 18 96.70 61.90 0.00 38.30 2750.0 7 19 92.70 56.40 0.00 33.55 2783.6 7 20 88.30 51.70 0.00 29.00 2812.6 7 21 78.20 53.40 0.00 24.80 2837.4 7 22 75.60 48.70 0.00 21.15 2858.5 7 23 81.70 52.80 0.00 26.25 2884.8 7 24 83.20 47.80 0.00 24.50 2909.3 7 25 73.00 54.60 0.00 22.80 2932.1 7 26 72.40 47.30 0.00 18.85 2950.9 7 27 78.40 50.00 0.00 23.20 2974.1 7 28 86.90 54.40 0.00 29.65 3003.8 7 29 97.70 62.20 0.00 38.95 3042.7 7 30 102.70 63.40 0.00 42.05 3084.8 7 31 100.90 56.40 0.00 37.65 3122.4 8 1 98.20 60.70 0.00 38.45 3160.9 8 2 82.30 59.70 0.00 30.00 3190.9 8 3 85.80 60.70 0.00 32.25 3223.1 8 4 83.70 54.40 0.00 28.05 3251.2 8 5 81.20 48.60 0.00 23.90 3275.1 8 6 81.00 51.80 0.00 25.40 3300.5 8 7 86.50 54.10 0.00 29.30 3329.8 8 8 81.20 50.40 0.00 24.80 3354.6 8 9 85.10 61.60 0.00 32.35 3386.9 8 10 82.70 56.60 0.00 28.65 3415.6 8 11 86.90 57.60 0.00 31.25 3446.8 8 12 90.80 58.00 0.00 33.40 3480.2 8 13 84.30 49.80 0.00 26.05 3506.3 8 14 74.70 55.00 0.03 23.85 3530.1 8 15 77.80 60.20 0.00 28.00 3558.1 8 16 84.20 51.80 0.00 27.00 3585.1 8 17 89.60 53.90 0.00 30.75 3615.9 8 18 94.60 57.00 0.00 34.80 3650.7 8 19 97.50 55.40 0.00 35.45 3686.1 8 20 81.40 51.50 0.00 25.45 3711.6 8 21 80.20 51.80 0.00 25.00 3736.6 8 22 86.80 51.60 0.00 28.20 3764.8 8 23 85.90 51.60 0.00 27.75 3792.5 8 24 82.20 47.90 0.00 24.05 3816.6 8 25 84.20 47.00 0.00 24.60 3841.2 8 26 88.80 46.20 0.00 26.50 3867.7 8 27 89.30 47.90 0.00 27.60 3895.3 8 28 79.80 63.30 0.00 30.55 3925.8 8 29 73.60 63.70 0.16 27.65 3953.5 8 30 70.80 54.90 0.18 21.85 3975.3 8 31 74.00 53.20 0.00 22.60 3997.9 9 1 76.60 56.70 0.00 25.65 4023.6 9 2 70.80 53.10 0.19 20.95 4044.5 9 3 66.40 45.50 0.09 14.95 4059.5 9 4 65.40 43.80 0.00 13.60 4073.1 9 5 69.90 41.00 0.00 14.45 4087.5 9 6 70.90 44.10 0.00 16.50 4104.0 9 7 75.80 51.30 0.00 22.55 4126.6 9 8 82.70 52.30 0.00 26.50 4153.1 9 9 85.60 55.30 0.00 29.45 4182.5 9 10 86.50 54.90 0.00 29.70 4212.2 9 11 91.40 51.30 0.00 30.35 4242.6 9 12 88.90 54.00 0.00 30.45 4273.0 9 13 78.80 47.60 0.00 22.20 4295.2 9 14 63.30 44.60 0.00 12.95 4308.2 9 15 63.50 40.00 0.10 10.84 4319.0 9 16 67.00 50.60 0.07 17.80 4336.8 9 17 68.70 52.40 1.00 19.55 4356.4 9 18 73.00 47.90 0.00 19.45 4375.8 9 19 79.20 46.10 0.00 21.65 4397.5 9 20 78.60 50.50 0.00 23.55 4421.0 9 21 72.50 53.00 0.08 21.75 4442.8 9 22 69.60 44.80 0.00 16.20 4459.0 9 23 75.10 39.10 0.00 16.29 4475.3 9 24 77.60 48.80 0.00 22.20 4497.5 9 25 66.00 51.50 0.14 17.75 4515.2 9 26 68.50 49.60 0.01 18.05 4533.3 9 27 69.20 41.10 0.00 14.15 4547.4 9 28 77.90 41.60 0.00 18.75 4566.2 9 29 80.30 39.80 0.00 19.14 4585.3 9 30 72.10 40.30 0.00 15.24 4600.5 10 1 76.90 42.00 0.00 18.45 4619.0 10 2 62.50 42.90 0.00 11.70 4630.7 10 3 68.00 44.40 0.00 15.20 4645.9 10 4 79.80 50.00 0.00 23.90 4669.8 10 5 83.10 46.50 0.00 23.80 4693.6 10 6 74.70 46.80 0.00 19.75 4713.3 10 7 69.40 54.50 0.00 20.95 4734.3 10 8 74.60 52.10 0.00 22.35 4756.6 10 9 77.00 45.10 0.00 20.05 4776.7 10 10 73.30 53.40 0.23 22.35 4799.0 10 11 67.70 47.60 0.00 16.65 4815.7 10 12 73.00 43.90 0.01 17.45 4833.1 10 13 75.70 44.20 0.00 18.95 4852.1 10 14 69.30 48.30 0.00 17.80 4869.9 10 15 78.80 42.20 0.00 19.50 4889.4 10 16 67.50 45.20 0.00 15.35 4904.7 10 17 66.60 54.00 0.09 19.30 4924.0 10 18 71.00 54.00 0.00 21.50 4945.5 10 19 64.20 54.30 0.19 18.25 4963.8 10 20 62.90 49.20 0.01 15.05 4978.8 10 21 65.70 44.90 0.00 14.30 4993.1 10 22 63.30 45.00 0.00 13.15 5006.3 10 23 57.70 39.70 0.00 7.85 5014.1 10 24 67.90 45.70 0.00 15.80 5029.9 10 25 61.80 48.00 0.58 13.90 5043.8 10 26 64.70 47.90 0.08 15.30 5059.1 10 27 54.90 41.50 0.00 7.20 5066.3 10 28 64.70 50.30 0.53 16.50 5082.8 10 29 65.90 51.80 0.01 17.85 5100.7 10 30 60.50 54.40 0.32 16.45 5117.1 10 31 65.20 57.30 1.14 20.25 5137.4 11 1 61.00 51.70 0.14 15.35 5152.7 11 2 56.90 42.90 0.10 8.90 5161.6 11 3 58.50 38.00 0.02 7.74 5169.4 11 4 53.00 34.00 0.00 4.38 5173.8 11 5 53.00 43.50 0.09 7.25 5181.0 11 6 61.80 37.90 0.01 9.33 5190.3 11 7 52.70 38.50 0.36 5.05 5195.4 11 8 52.40 44.00 0.10 7.20 5202.6 11 9 52.80 35.50 0.01 4.51 5207.1 11 10 51.00 34.30 0.00 3.53 5210.6 11 11 55.30 41.50 0.11 7.40 5218.0 11 12 51.20 37.70 0.08 4.16 5222.2 11 13 58.50 49.60 0.07 13.05 5235.3 11 14 59.60 53.10 0.00 15.35 5250.6 11 15 55.30 36.60 0.60 5.88 5256.5 11 16 47.60 34.90 0.45 2.15 5258.6 11 17 57.40 47.40 0.39 11.40 5270.0 11 18 51.90 37.80 0.28 4.51 5274.5 11 19 55.20 43.00 0.66 8.10 5282.6 11 20 49.20 38.20 0.00 3.32 5286.0 11 21 49.80 33.80 0.00 2.96 5288.9 11 22 45.40 28.20 0.00 0.97 5289.9 11 23 43.60 28.30 0.26 0.46 5290.4 11 24 44.50 37.30 0.27 1.10 5291.5 11 25 46.40 33.20 0.00 1.54 5293.0 11 26 48.50 26.80 0.00 1.94 5294.9 11 27 49.30 25.00 0.00 2.14 5297.1 11 28 47.00 23.00 0.00 1.31 5298.4 11 29 42.70 20.30 0.00 0.20 5298.6 11 30 33.90 20.70 0.01 0.00 5298.6 12 1 44.70 29.50 0.00 0.80 5299.4 12 2 44.70 37.10 0.38 1.16 5300.5 12 3 57.30 41.70 0.08 8.50 5309.0 12 4 50.00 40.80 0.64 4.41 5313.4 12 5 52.90 38.90 0.07 5.25 5318.7 12 6 54.90 45.70 0.46 9.30 5328.0 12 7 61.00 49.30 1.28 14.15 5342.1 12 8 61.50 57.80 0.23 18.65 5360.8 12 9 59.00 47.10 0.33 12.05 5372.8 12 10 52.10 43.00 0.66 6.55 5379.4 12 11 50.20 43.00 0.05 5.60 5385.0 12 12 52.40 43.90 0.97 7.15 5392.1 12 13 46.70 39.10 0.60 2.31 5394.5 12 14 41.00 36.40 0.16 0.00 5394.5 12 15 41.60 31.60 0.02 0.06 5394.5 12 16 46.10 39.40 0.31 2.09 5396.6 12 17 53.80 42.20 2.27 7.00 5403.6 12 18 53.00 43.10 0.44 7.05 5410.7 12 19 47.70 40.60 0.12 3.19 5413.9 12 20 47.50 41.90 0.30 3.70 5417.6 12 21 52.50 42.40 0.74 6.45 5424.0 12 22 46.00 40.60 0.34 2.35 5426.4 12 23 42.90 36.60 0.57 0.46 5426.8 12 24 42.40 35.20 0.10 0.27 5427.1 12 25 45.30 31.60 0.00 1.06 5428.1 12 26 36.30 30.50 0.01 0.00 5428.1 12 27 40.70 34.10 0.47 0.00 5428.1 12 28 44.90 37.00 0.05 1.23 5429.4 12 29 43.10 34.70 0.04 0.46 5429.8 12 30 42.20 29.80 0.00 0.16 5430.0 12 31 41.96 30.50 0.00 0.12 5430.1 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg CRVO 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2015 CRVO CORVALLIS OR
DateDDsEvent
 4-22-15 851peak pheromone trap catch
 5-1-15 952peak female adult emergence
 5-5-15 1002peak egg laying
 5-22-15 1271peak egg hatch
 6-26-15 2078peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)