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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Knight 1988
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
Ending date: 9 15
Model validation status: partly validated
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch
2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence
3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying
4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch
5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2017 MWQGV PDTWFO Grandview WA Lat46.2528 Long-119.8939 Elev:833
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 29.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START *
1 2 26.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 3 24.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 4 26.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 5 19.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 6 14.60 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx
1 7 17.00 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 8 25.10 17.10 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 9 30.40 17.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 10 26.40 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 11 23.00 16.50 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 12 17.10 6.10 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 13 12.10 2.10 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 14 13.10 4.70 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 15 14.80 11.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 16 17.30 6.70 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 17 19.90 10.30 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 18 29.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 19 36.20 21.30 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 20 31.00 22.70 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 21 35.70 28.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 22 34.20 29.50 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 23 33.30 30.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 24 30.40 26.30 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 25 28.00 24.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 26 33.10 27.10 0.00 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 27 33.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 28 34.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 29 32.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 30 30.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 31 34.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
2 1 30.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
2 2 29.00 24.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
2 3 26.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
2 4 31.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
2 5 30.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
2 6 44.00 26.00 0.00 0.53 0.5
2 7 28.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.5
2 8 28.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 0.5
2 9 44.00 26.00 0.00 0.53 1.1
2 10 48.00 35.00 0.00 2.33 3.4
2 11 45.00 26.00 0.00 0.80 4.2
2 12 38.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 4.2
2 13 36.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 4.2
2 14 30.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 4.2
2 15 31.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 4.2
2 16 37.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 4.2
2 17 43.00 32.00 0.00 0.37 4.5
2 18 39.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 4.5
2 19 49.00 32.00 0.00 2.46 7.0
2 20 48.00 36.00 0.00 2.44 9.4
2 21 40.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 9.4
2 22 44.00 27.00 0.00 0.54 10.0
2 23 44.00 22.00 0.00 0.48 10.5
2 24 41.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 10.5
2 25 44.00 20.00 0.00 0.46 10.9
2 26 38.00 33.00 0.00 0.00 10.9
2 27 41.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 10.9
2 28 46.00 25.00 0.00 1.06 12.0
3 1 53.00 40.00 0.00 5.62 17.6
3 2 48.00 35.00 0.00 2.33 19.9
3 3 53.00 34.00 0.00 4.38 24.3
3 4 48.00 37.00 0.00 2.57 26.9
3 5 46.00 34.00 0.00 1.44 28.3
3 6 47.00 34.00 0.00 1.83 30.1
3 7 46.00 34.00 0.00 1.44 31.6
3 8 52.00 33.00 0.00 3.81 35.4
3 9 44.00 36.00 0.00 0.81 36.2
3 10 64.00 42.00 0.00 12.00 48.2
3 11 57.00 35.00 0.00 6.37 54.6
3 12 56.00 39.00 0.00 6.79 61.4
3 13 54.00 44.00 0.00 8.00 69.4
3 14 67.00 46.00 0.00 15.50 84.9
3 15 64.00 50.00 0.00 16.00 100.9
3 16 54.00 39.00 0.00 5.81 106.7
3 17 51.00 32.00 0.00 3.28 110.0
3 18 61.00 41.00 0.00 10.00 120.0
3 19 52.00 30.00 0.00 3.50 123.5
3 20 51.00 31.00 0.00 3.18 126.6
3 21 49.00 37.00 0.00 3.02 129.7
3 22 59.00 37.00 0.00 7.74 137.4
3 23 56.00 30.00 0.00 5.19 142.6
3 24 57.00 43.40 0.00 9.20 151.8 Vn
3 25 57.00 42.00 0.00 8.50 160.3
3 26 49.00 38.00 0.00 3.18 163.5
3 27 60.00 39.00 0.00 8.76 172.2
3 28 58.00 38.00 0.00 7.50 179.7
3 29 60.00 44.80 0.00 11.40 191.1 Vn
3 30 60.00 36.00 0.00 7.99 199.1
3 31 62.00 34.00 0.00 8.53 207.6
4 1 66.00 40.00 0.00 12.08 219.7
4 2 58.00 36.00 0.00 7.04 226.8
4 3 56.00 30.00 0.00 5.19 231.9
4 4 60.80 34.00 0.00 7.96 239.9 Hx Hn
4 5 62.00 46.00 0.00 13.00 252.9
4 6 64.00 45.00 0.00 13.50 266.4
4 7 61.00 45.00 0.00 12.00 278.4
4 8 57.00 38.00 0.00 7.01 285.4
4 9 55.00 30.00 0.00 4.76 290.2
4 10 58.00 38.00 0.00 7.50 297.7
4 11 59.00 31.00 0.00 6.64 304.3
4 12 57.00 45.00 0.00 10.00 314.3
4 13 59.00 40.00 0.00 8.60 322.9
4 14 58.00 34.00 0.00 6.66 329.6
4 15 58.00 30.00 0.00 6.06 335.6
4 16 64.00 33.00 0.00 9.27 344.9
4 17 64.00 45.00 0.00 13.50 358.4
4 18 64.00 45.00 0.00 13.50 371.9
4 19 65.00 38.00 0.00 10.93 382.8
4 20 63.00 44.00 0.00 12.50 395.3
4 21 64.00 37.00 0.00 10.16 405.5
4 22 66.00 41.00 0.00 12.50 418.0
4 23 63.00 42.00 0.00 11.50 429.5
4 24 56.00 44.00 0.00 9.00 438.5
4 25 61.00 39.00 0.00 9.26 447.8
4 26 63.00 44.00 0.00 12.50 460.3
4 27 60.00 38.00 0.00 8.48 468.7
4 28 63.00 36.00 0.00 9.43 478.2
4 29 64.00 36.00 0.00 9.91 488.1
4 30 64.00 50.00 0.00 16.00 504.1
5 1 59.00 36.00 0.00 7.51 511.6
5 2 66.00 48.00 0.00 16.00 527.6
5 3 78.00 55.00 0.00 25.50 553.1
5 4 84.00 54.00 0.00 28.00 581.1
5 5 72.00 54.00 0.00 22.00 603.1
5 6 63.00 45.00 0.00 13.00 616.1
5 7 65.00 34.00 0.00 9.95 626.0
5 8 70.00 40.00 0.00 14.08 640.1
5 9 75.00 43.00 0.00 18.00 658.1
5 10 79.00 47.00 0.00 22.00 680.1
5 11 67.00 48.00 0.00 16.50 696.6
5 12 61.00 46.00 0.00 12.50 709.1
5 13 59.00 41.00 0.00 9.00 718.1
5 14 62.00 36.00 0.00 8.95 727.1
5 15 65.00 38.00 0.00 10.93 738.0
5 16 60.00 47.00 0.00 12.50 750.5
5 17 70.00 40.00 0.00 14.08 764.6
5 18 72.00 45.00 0.00 17.50 782.1
5 19 77.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 804.6
5 20 76.00 54.00 0.00 24.00 828.6
5 21 81.00 48.00 0.00 23.50 852.1 Peak pheromone trap catch
5 22 84.00 52.00 0.00 27.00 879.1
5 23 92.00 53.00 0.00 31.50 910.6
5 24 69.00 51.00 0.00 19.00 929.6
5 25 68.00 47.00 0.00 16.50 946.1
5 26 78.00 44.00 0.00 20.00 966.1 Peak female adult emergence
5 27 84.00 50.00 0.00 26.00 992.1
5 28 88.00 52.00 0.00 29.00 1021.1 Peak egg laying
5 29 91.00 56.00 0.00 32.50 1053.6
5 30 90.00 59.00 0.00 33.50 1087.1
5 31 72.00 53.00 0.00 21.50 1108.6
6 1 76.00 54.00 0.00 24.00 1132.6
6 2 80.00 50.00 0.00 24.00 1156.6
6 3 83.00 54.00 0.00 27.50 1184.1
6 4 74.00 55.00 0.00 23.50 1207.6
6 5 75.00 43.00 0.00 18.00 1225.6
6 6 85.00 52.00 0.00 27.50 1253.1
6 7 87.00 58.00 0.00 31.50 1284.6 Peak egg hatch
6 8 75.00 56.00 0.00 24.50 1309.1
6 9 69.00 42.00 0.00 14.50 1323.6
6 10 69.00 42.00 0.00 14.50 1338.1
6 11 74.00 42.00 0.00 17.00 1355.1
6 12 77.00 56.00 0.00 25.50 1380.6
6 13 74.00 46.00 0.00 19.00 1399.6
6 14 71.00 44.00 0.00 16.50 1416.1
6 15 68.00 52.00 0.00 19.00 1435.1
6 16 72.00 58.00 0.00 24.00 1459.1
6 17 77.00 45.00 0.00 20.00 1479.1
6 18 86.00 55.00 0.00 29.50 1508.6
6 19 92.00 60.00 0.00 35.00 1543.6
6 20 88.00 62.00 0.00 34.00 1577.6
6 21 83.00 58.00 0.00 29.50 1607.1
6 22 78.00 50.00 0.00 23.00 1630.1
6 23 86.00 50.00 0.00 27.00 1657.1
6 24 90.00 53.00 0.00 30.50 1687.6
6 25 94.00 54.00 0.00 33.00 1720.6
6 26 96.00 69.00 0.00 41.50 1762.1
6 27 85.00 64.00 0.00 33.50 1795.6
6 28 86.00 61.00 0.00 32.50 1828.1
6 29 84.00 58.00 0.00 30.00 1858.1
6 30 89.00 56.00 0.00 31.50 1889.6
7 1 90.00 59.00 0.00 33.50 1923.1
7 2 91.00 58.00 0.00 33.50 1956.6
7 3 88.00 58.00 0.00 32.00 1988.6
7 4 91.00 57.00 0.00 33.00 2021.6
7 5 96.00 59.00 0.00 36.50 2058.1
7 6 99.00 64.00 0.00 40.50 2098.6 Peak in density large larvae
7 7 99.00 64.00 0.00 40.50 2139.1
7 8 94.00 57.00 0.00 34.50 2173.6
7 9 90.00 60.00 0.00 34.00 2207.6
7 10 86.00 62.00 0.00 33.00 2240.6
7 11 83.00 55.00 0.00 28.00 2268.6
7 12 89.00 56.00 0.00 31.50 2300.1
7 13 89.00 59.00 0.00 33.00 2333.1
7 14 92.00 55.00 0.00 32.50 2365.6
7 15 92.00 62.00 0.00 36.00 2401.6
7 16 80.00 54.00 0.00 26.00 2427.6
7 17 81.00 51.00 0.00 25.00 2452.6
7 18 88.00 53.00 0.00 29.50 2482.1
7 19 90.00 58.00 0.00 33.00 2515.1
7 20 80.00 63.00 0.00 30.50 2545.6
7 21 84.00 52.00 0.00 27.00 2572.6
7 22 90.00 57.00 0.00 32.50 2605.1
7 23 95.00 62.00 0.00 37.50 2642.6
7 24 86.00 63.00 0.00 33.50 2676.1
7 25 91.00 57.00 0.00 33.00 2709.1
7 26 94.00 61.00 0.00 36.50 2745.6
7 27 91.00 60.00 0.00 34.50 2780.1
7 28 90.00 55.00 0.00 31.50 2811.6
7 29 91.00 56.00 0.00 32.50 2844.1
7 30 92.00 59.00 0.00 34.50 2878.6
7 31 91.00 58.00 0.00 33.50 2912.1
8 1 95.00 58.00 0.00 35.50 2947.6
8 2 94.00 63.00 0.00 37.50 2985.1
8 3 94.00 60.00 0.00 36.00 3021.1
8 4 95.00 61.00 0.00 37.00 3058.1
8 5 90.00 62.00 0.00 35.00 3093.1
8 6 92.00 60.00 0.00 35.00 3128.1
8 7 94.00 62.00 0.00 37.00 3165.1
8 8 96.00 61.00 0.00 37.50 3202.6
8 9 94.00 61.00 0.00 36.50 3239.1
8 10 97.00 61.00 0.00 38.00 3277.1
8 11 96.00 62.00 0.00 38.00 3315.1
8 12 92.00 70.00 0.00 40.00 3355.1
8 13 81.00 62.00 0.00 30.50 3385.6
8 14 76.00 51.00 0.00 22.50 3408.1
8 15 81.00 46.90 0.00 22.95 3431.0 Pn
8 16 88.00 53.00 0.00 29.50 3460.5
8 17 86.00 57.00 0.00 30.50 3491.0
8 18 88.00 53.00 0.00 29.50 3520.5
8 19 80.00 54.00 0.00 26.00 3546.5
8 20 81.00 51.00 0.00 25.00 3571.5
8 21 84.00 54.00 0.00 28.00 3599.5
8 22 88.00 54.00 0.00 30.00 3629.5
8 23 85.00 58.00 0.00 30.50 3660.0
8 24 82.00 59.00 0.00 29.50 3689.5
8 25 79.00 47.00 0.00 22.00 3711.5
8 26 83.00 49.00 0.00 25.00 3736.5
8 27 87.00 51.00 0.00 28.00 3764.5
8 28 90.00 58.00 0.00 33.00 3797.5
8 29 93.00 57.00 0.00 34.00 3831.5
8 30 87.00 60.00 0.00 32.50 3864.0
8 31 85.00 58.00 0.00 30.50 3894.5
9 1 90.00 54.00 0.00 31.00 3925.5
9 2 93.00 56.00 0.00 33.50 3959.0
9 3 88.00 57.00 0.00 31.50 3990.5
9 4 85.00 58.00 0.00 30.50 4021.0
9 5 86.00 60.00 0.00 32.00 4053.0
9 6 82.00 56.90 0.00 28.45 4081.5 Pn
9 7 83.50 56.00 0.00 28.75 4110.2 Px Pn
9 8 88.80 59.20 0.00 33.00 4143.2 Px Pn
9 9 86.50 56.00 0.00 30.25 4173.5 Px Pn
9 10 83.00 51.80 0.00 26.40 4199.9 Px Pn
9 11 88.40 47.10 0.00 26.75 4226.6 Px Pn
9 12 91.50 49.20 0.00 29.35 4256.0 Px Pn
9 13 81.50 47.80 0.00 23.65 4279.6 Px Pn
9 14 74.80 45.70 0.00 19.25 4298.9 Px Pn
9 15 73.70 40.50 0.00 16.13 4315.0 Px Pn
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 MWQGV PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988Location: 2017 MWQGV Grandview WA Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME | Date | DDs | Event |
| 5-21-17 | 852 | Peak pheromone trap catch |
| 5-26-17 | 966 | Peak female adult emergence |
| 5-28-17 | 1021 | Peak egg laying |
| 6-7-17 | 1285 | Peak egg hatch |
| 7-6-17 | 2099 | Peak in density large larvae |
![degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988](/cgi-bin/ddplotj.pl?2134327)
