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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Knight 1988
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
Ending date: 9 15
Model validation status: partly validated
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch
2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence
3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying
4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch
5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2018 KVUO METAR Vancouver Pearson Fld WA Lat:45.6203 Long:-122.6564 Elev:26
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 44.60 28.00 0.00 0.73 0.7 * START *
1 2 44.60 26.60 0.00 0.70 1.4
1 3 46.90 30.20 0.00 1.55 3.0
1 4 46.40 33.80 0.09 1.58 4.5
1 5 52.00 39.00 0.25 4.84 9.4
1 6 51.80 35.10 0.28 4.00 13.4
1 7 45.00 37.40 0.16 1.31 14.7
1 8 45.00 35.10 0.37 1.13 15.8
1 9 48.90 39.20 0.17 3.39 19.2
1 10 46.90 41.00 0.08 2.95 22.2
1 11 57.90 44.10 0.74 10.00 32.2
1 12 53.60 48.00 0.08 9.80 42.0
1 13 57.90 37.40 0.00 7.30 49.3
1 14 57.20 33.80 0.00 6.25 55.5
1 15 57.20 35.10 0.09 6.48 62.0
1 16 55.90 39.20 0.04 6.80 68.8
1 17 52.00 39.20 0.56 4.89 73.7
1 18 52.00 42.10 0.11 6.05 79.7
1 19 48.20 41.00 0.04 3.60 83.3
1 20 48.90 42.80 0.01 4.85 88.2
1 21 51.80 43.00 0.17 6.40 94.6
1 22 48.90 42.10 0.19 4.50 99.1
1 23 46.40 41.00 0.86 2.70 101.8
1 24 52.00 42.10 0.47 6.05 107.8
1 25 46.90 39.00 0.29 2.39 110.2
1 26 48.20 41.00 0.31 3.60 113.8
1 27 53.60 42.10 0.11 6.85 120.7
1 28 55.90 48.00 0.23 10.95 131.6
1 29 53.60 46.00 0.41 8.80 140.4
1 30 50.00 35.60 0.07 3.26 143.7
1 31 48.20 37.40 0.00 2.72 146.4
2 1 50.00 41.00 0.12 4.50 150.9
2 2 60.80 44.10 0.02 11.45 162.4
2 3 57.20 42.80 0.20 9.00 171.4
2 4 60.80 46.40 0.00 12.60 184.0
2 5 57.90 37.90 0.00 7.43 191.4
2 6 52.00 35.10 0.00 4.09 195.5
2 7 59.00 35.60 0.00 7.43 202.9
2 8 55.40 37.00 0.00 6.01 208.9
2 9 51.80 37.00 0.00 4.31 213.2
2 10 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 216.1
2 11 48.90 33.80 0.00 2.58 218.7
2 12 48.90 28.00 0.00 2.15 220.8
2 13 51.80 23.00 0.23 2.93 223.7
2 14 46.90 33.10 0.12 1.72 225.5
2 15 48.90 35.60 0.05 2.78 228.2
2 16 50.00 42.10 0.06 5.05 233.3
2 17 55.90 42.10 0.07 8.00 241.3
2 18 43.00 32.00 0.17 0.37 241.7
2 19 39.90 28.00 0.01 0.00 241.7
2 20 34.00 30.20 0.25 0.00 241.7
2 21 36.00 19.40 0.07 0.00 241.7
2 22 39.20 28.40 0.59 0.00 241.7
2 23 39.20 21.20 0.01 0.00 241.7
2 24 48.90 37.00 0.04 2.97 244.6
2 25 46.40 33.10 0.17 1.53 246.2
2 26 44.60 30.20 0.00 0.78 246.9
2 27 46.40 35.10 0.07 1.68 248.6
2 28 45.00 41.00 0.31 2.00 250.6
3 1 48.90 39.00 0.06 3.34 254.0
3 2 50.00 37.00 0.00 3.47 257.4
3 3 51.80 32.00 0.00 3.61 261.1
3 4 51.80 30.20 0.00 3.44 264.5
3 5 51.80 32.00 0.06 3.61 268.1
3 6 59.00 28.00 0.00 6.25 274.4
3 7 54.00 30.20 0.00 4.35 278.7
3 8 57.90 37.40 0.22 7.30 286.0
3 9 54.00 35.10 0.00 5.00 291.0
3 10 64.00 30.00 0.00 8.75 299.8
3 11 66.20 37.00 0.00 11.24 311.0
3 12 70.00 35.60 0.00 12.72 323.7
3 13 62.60 46.00 0.40 13.30 337.0
3 14 54.00 39.00 0.03 5.81 342.8
3 15 55.40 37.00 0.26 6.01 348.8
3 16 53.60 39.00 0.07 5.62 354.5
3 17 52.00 39.20 0.46 4.89 359.3
3 18 53.60 41.00 0.01 6.30 365.6
3 19 57.20 33.10 0.00 6.14 371.8
3 20 62.60 30.20 0.00 8.15 379.9
3 21 53.60 33.80 0.26 4.62 384.6
3 22 50.00 39.20 0.49 3.92 388.5
3 23 46.40 37.40 3.68 1.91 390.4
3 24 45.00 37.00 0.13 1.27 391.7
3 25 53.60 39.20 0.06 5.67 397.3
3 26 50.00 39.20 0.02 3.92 401.2
3 27 57.20 46.40 0.04 10.80 412.0
3 28 57.00 41.00 0.00 8.00 420.0
3 29 61.00 33.80 0.00 8.02 428.1
3 30 57.20 44.60 0.00 9.90 438.0
3 31 64.40 44.10 0.00 13.25 451.2
4 1 48.90 41.00 0.31 3.95 455.2
4 2 53.10 34.00 0.00 4.42 459.6
4 3 53.60 30.20 0.00 4.19 463.8
4 4 59.00 46.00 0.03 11.50 475.3
4 5 54.00 48.20 0.34 10.10 485.4
4 6 66.90 51.10 0.37 18.00 503.4
4 7 62.60 48.20 0.90 14.40 517.8
4 8 55.40 46.90 0.13 10.15 527.9
4 9 66.20 37.40 0.01 11.35 539.3
4 10 62.60 50.00 0.10 15.30 554.6
4 11 57.20 44.10 0.21 9.65 564.2
4 12 51.80 42.10 0.05 5.95 570.2
4 13 55.90 46.40 0.03 10.15 580.3
4 14 59.00 50.00 0.18 13.50 593.8
4 15 50.00 44.60 0.46 6.30 600.1
4 16 50.00 42.10 0.01 5.05 605.2
4 17 55.40 43.00 0.02 8.20 613.4
4 18 64.00 41.00 0.00 11.50 624.9
4 19 68.00 35.60 0.00 11.75 636.6
4 20 66.90 39.00 0.00 12.18 648.8
4 21 62.60 46.90 0.00 13.75 662.5
4 22 64.90 41.00 0.00 11.95 674.5
4 23 73.40 37.40 0.00 14.89 689.4
4 24 81.00 46.00 0.00 22.50 711.9
4 25 84.20 48.00 0.00 25.10 737.0
4 26 84.90 48.00 0.00 25.45 762.4
4 27 57.20 50.00 0.02 12.60 775.0
4 28 61.00 46.40 0.08 12.70 787.7
4 29 60.10 46.40 0.06 12.25 800.0
4 30 59.00 48.00 0.01 12.50 812.5
5 1 59.00 50.00 0.00 13.50 826.0
5 2 73.90 39.20 0.00 15.72 841.7
5 3 78.10 44.60 0.00 20.35 862.1 Peak pheromone trap catch
5 4 68.00 51.80 0.00 18.90 881.0
5 5 73.90 53.10 0.00 22.50 903.5
5 6 72.00 53.10 0.00 21.55 925.0
5 7 75.90 55.00 0.00 24.45 949.5
5 8 79.00 51.80 0.06 24.40 973.9 Peak female adult emergence
5 9 68.00 55.00 0.13 20.50 994.4
5 10 63.00 51.10 0.05 16.05 1010.4 Peak egg laying
5 11 69.80 44.10 0.00 15.95 1026.4
5 12 80.60 48.00 0.00 23.30 1049.7
5 13 90.00 48.20 0.00 28.10 1077.8
5 14 88.00 53.10 0.00 29.55 1107.3
5 15 69.80 55.00 0.00 21.40 1128.7
5 16 64.40 55.00 0.00 18.70 1147.4
5 17 64.90 53.10 0.00 18.00 1165.4
5 18 68.00 53.60 0.00 19.80 1185.2
5 19 71.60 51.10 0.00 20.35 1205.6
5 20 71.10 54.00 0.00 21.55 1227.1
5 21 72.00 44.10 0.00 17.05 1244.2
5 22 84.90 48.20 0.00 25.55 1269.7
5 23 81.00 55.00 0.00 27.00 1296.7 Peak egg hatch
5 24 75.20 57.00 0.00 25.10 1321.8
5 25 72.00 53.10 0.00 21.55 1343.4
5 26 66.90 48.20 0.00 16.55 1359.9
5 27 79.00 51.80 0.00 24.40 1384.3
5 28 72.00 53.10 0.00 21.55 1405.9
5 29 66.90 50.00 0.00 17.45 1423.3
5 30 68.00 39.90 0.00 13.04 1436.4
5 31 64.40 50.00 0.03 16.20 1452.6
6 1 70.00 48.20 0.00 18.10 1470.7
6 2 82.00 48.20 0.00 24.10 1494.8
6 3 71.60 54.00 0.00 21.80 1516.6
6 4 68.00 51.10 0.00 18.55 1535.1
6 5 73.40 42.80 0.00 17.10 1552.2
6 6 78.80 48.00 0.00 22.40 1574.6
6 7 70.00 57.00 0.00 22.50 1597.1
6 8 69.80 55.40 0.25 21.60 1618.7
6 9 63.00 50.00 0.33 15.50 1634.2
6 10 57.20 50.00 0.15 12.60 1646.8
6 11 72.00 44.60 0.00 17.30 1664.1
6 12 79.00 42.80 0.00 19.90 1684.0
6 13 68.00 55.00 0.00 20.50 1704.5
6 14 66.90 53.10 0.00 19.00 1723.5
6 15 72.00 55.00 0.00 22.50 1746.0
6 16 77.00 57.00 0.04 26.00 1772.0
6 17 90.00 52.00 0.06 30.00 1802.0
6 18 82.40 55.00 0.00 27.70 1829.7
6 19 90.00 55.00 0.00 31.50 1861.2
6 20 93.20 62.10 0.00 36.65 1897.9
6 21 71.60 60.80 0.00 25.20 1923.1
6 22 75.90 60.10 0.00 27.00 1950.1
6 23 75.90 55.40 0.00 24.65 1974.7
6 24 90.00 53.10 0.00 30.55 2005.3
6 25 69.80 57.90 0.03 22.85 2028.1
6 26 74.00 48.00 0.00 20.00 2048.1 Px
6 27 75.80 53.10 0.00 23.45 2071.6 Px Pn Peak in density large larvae
6 28 73.70 53.00 0.00 22.35 2093.9 Px Pn
6 29 79.00 64.00 0.00 30.50 2124.4
6 30 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 2149.6
7 1 75.90 57.20 0.02 25.55 2175.2
7 2 71.60 53.60 0.17 21.60 2196.8
7 3 78.80 48.00 0.00 22.40 2219.2
7 4 82.90 57.00 0.00 28.95 2248.1
7 5 87.80 55.00 0.00 30.40 2278.5
7 6 81.00 57.00 0.00 28.00 2306.5
7 7 79.00 62.10 0.00 29.55 2336.1
7 8 86.00 55.00 0.00 29.50 2365.6
7 9 71.60 57.00 0.00 23.30 2388.9
7 10 78.10 59.00 0.00 27.55 2416.4
7 11 88.00 59.00 0.00 32.50 2448.9
7 12 95.00 66.00 0.00 39.50 2488.4
7 13 91.40 62.60 0.00 36.00 2524.4
7 14 91.90 57.00 0.00 33.45 2557.9
7 15 99.00 60.80 0.00 38.90 2596.8
7 16 96.80 62.10 0.00 38.45 2635.2
7 17 90.00 60.10 0.00 34.05 2669.3
7 18 82.40 59.00 0.00 29.70 2699.0
7 19 71.60 57.00 0.00 23.30 2722.3
7 20 78.80 48.00 0.00 22.40 2744.7
7 21 80.60 53.60 0.00 26.10 2770.8
7 22 93.90 55.00 0.00 33.45 2804.2
7 23 93.90 59.00 0.00 35.45 2839.7
7 24 93.90 59.00 0.00 35.45 2875.1
7 25 96.80 59.00 0.00 36.90 2912.0
7 26 95.00 60.10 0.00 36.55 2948.6
7 27 90.00 59.00 0.00 33.50 2982.1
7 28 89.60 59.00 0.00 33.30 3015.4
7 29 98.60 62.10 0.00 39.35 3054.7
7 30 91.40 64.40 0.00 36.90 3091.6
7 31 88.00 62.10 0.00 34.05 3125.7
8 1 84.20 60.80 0.00 31.50 3157.2
8 2 71.60 60.10 0.00 24.85 3182.0
8 3 77.00 62.10 0.00 28.55 3210.6
8 4 84.90 55.40 0.00 29.15 3239.7
8 5 91.40 57.00 0.00 33.20 3272.9
8 6 91.40 62.10 0.00 35.75 3308.7
8 7 93.90 60.10 0.00 36.00 3344.7
8 8 93.90 62.10 0.00 37.00 3381.7
8 9 96.80 62.10 0.00 38.45 3420.1
8 10 91.40 64.00 0.00 36.70 3456.8
8 11 75.00 62.10 0.00 27.55 3484.4
8 12 77.00 60.10 0.00 27.55 3511.9
8 13 90.00 60.10 0.00 34.05 3546.0
8 14 93.90 57.00 0.00 34.45 3580.4
8 15 88.00 62.10 0.00 34.05 3614.5
8 16 82.90 60.80 0.00 30.85 3645.3
8 17 81.00 51.10 0.00 25.05 3670.4
8 18 87.80 55.40 0.00 30.60 3701.0
8 19 87.80 55.90 0.00 30.85 3731.8
8 20 82.90 57.00 0.00 28.95 3760.8
8 21 93.90 60.10 0.00 36.00 3796.8
8 22 91.90 57.00 0.00 33.45 3830.2
8 23 73.90 55.00 0.00 23.45 3853.7
8 24 71.60 51.80 0.00 20.70 3874.4
8 25 70.00 48.00 0.02 18.00 3892.4
8 26 66.90 60.10 0.05 22.50 3914.9
8 27 78.80 57.90 0.02 27.35 3942.2
8 28 88.00 51.80 0.00 28.90 3971.1
8 29 84.90 53.10 0.00 28.00 3999.1
8 30 75.20 57.00 0.00 25.10 4024.2
8 31 75.20 59.00 0.00 26.10 4050.3
9 1 75.20 50.00 0.00 21.60 4071.9
9 2 81.00 48.20 0.00 23.60 4095.5
9 3 78.80 55.00 0.00 25.90 4121.4
9 4 82.90 50.00 0.00 25.45 4146.9
9 5 91.00 51.80 0.00 30.40 4177.3
9 6 87.80 53.10 0.00 29.45 4206.7
9 7 84.20 51.10 0.00 26.65 4233.4
9 8 75.90 60.10 0.00 27.00 4260.4
9 9 79.00 55.00 0.00 26.00 4286.4
9 10 72.00 55.00 0.09 22.50 4308.9
9 11 68.00 53.10 0.18 19.55 4328.4
9 12 70.00 52.00 0.32 20.00 4348.4
9 13 70.00 51.80 0.38 19.90 4368.3
9 14 71.60 54.00 0.00 21.80 4390.1
9 15 66.20 51.80 0.04 18.00 4408.1
Forecast using: 1910 KVUO PRISM_rev1_4km 2008-2017 AVERAGES Lat45.6203 Long-122.6564 DD50
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988Location: 2018 KVUO Vancouver Pearson Fld 1910 KVUO PRISM_rev1_4km 2008-2017 AVERAGES | Date | DDs | Event |
| 5-3-18 | 862 | Peak pheromone trap catch |
| 5-8-18 | 974 | Peak female adult emergence |
| 5-10-18 | 1010 | Peak egg laying |
| 5-23-18 | 1297 | Peak egg hatch |
| 6-27-18 | 2072 | Peak in density large larvae |
![degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988](/cgi-bin/ddplotj.pl?2375805)
