Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight 1988


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 1988 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2023 KMMV METAR McMinnville Muni Apt OR Lat:45.1958 Long:-123.1319 Elev:157 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 48.20 30.20 0.00 2.02 2.0 * START * 1 2 45.00 30.00 0.05 0.90 2.9 1 3 46.40 37.00 0.07 1.86 4.8 1 4 44.60 37.00 0.18 1.11 5.9 1 5 57.20 42.80 0.03 9.00 14.9 1 6 51.10 37.40 0.30 4.06 19.0 1 7 52.00 42.80 0.20 6.40 25.4 1 8 52.00 41.00 0.59 5.50 30.9 1 9 52.00 39.20 0.28 4.89 35.7 1 10 50.00 37.40 0.01 3.54 39.3 1 11 50.00 41.00 0.75 4.50 43.8 1 12 53.60 44.10 0.19 7.85 51.6 1 13 53.60 46.40 0.20 9.00 60.6 1 14 53.60 44.60 0.13 8.10 68.7 1 15 48.90 44.10 0.12 5.50 74.2 1 16 48.90 32.00 0.00 2.42 76.7 1 17 48.90 41.00 0.01 3.95 80.6 1 18 48.90 33.80 0.33 2.58 83.2 1 19 41.00 35.10 0.00 0.00 83.2 1 20 39.20 35.10 0.00 0.00 83.2 1 21 46.90 33.80 0.06 1.77 85.0 1 22 46.40 30.00 0.00 1.36 86.3 1 23 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 89.2 1 24 43.00 32.00 0.00 0.37 89.6 1 25 46.40 30.20 0.00 1.37 90.9 1 26 44.60 39.20 0.00 1.36 92.3 1 27 53.60 37.90 0.00 5.35 97.6 1 28 46.90 36.00 0.14 1.97 99.6 1 29 39.20 26.10 0.00 0.00 99.6 1 30 42.80 24.10 0.00 0.24 99.8 1 31 42.80 23.00 0.00 0.23 100.1 2 1 45.00 24.10 0.00 0.76 100.8 2 2 46.90 24.10 0.00 1.31 102.1 2 3 54.00 30.20 0.10 4.35 106.5 2 4 50.00 42.10 0.04 5.05 111.5 2 5 51.80 37.00 0.18 4.31 115.9 2 6 51.80 37.40 0.01 4.38 120.2 2 7 52.00 39.20 0.28 4.89 125.1 2 8 50.00 32.00 0.19 2.86 128.0 2 9 54.00 30.20 0.02 4.35 132.3 2 10 55.90 41.00 0.03 7.45 139.8 2 11 50.00 28.00 0.00 2.56 142.4 2 12 44.60 28.00 0.00 0.73 143.1 2 13 48.20 33.80 0.35 2.29 145.4 2 14 45.00 28.90 1.27 0.87 146.2 2 15 44.60 24.80 0.00 0.66 146.9 2 16 44.60 26.60 0.00 0.70 147.6 2 17 52.00 35.10 0.00 4.09 151.7 2 18 51.80 35.10 0.00 4.00 155.7 2 19 51.80 30.90 0.00 3.50 159.2 2 20 50.00 44.10 0.00 6.05 165.2 2 21 48.90 35.10 0.33 2.72 168.0 2 22 39.90 33.10 0.16 0.00 168.0 2 23 35.60 23.00 0.06 0.00 168.0 2 24 36.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 168.0 2 25 43.00 17.60 0.08 0.24 168.2 2 26 43.00 33.80 0.10 0.41 168.6 2 27 46.90 33.80 0.06 1.77 170.4 2 28 39.90 28.90 0.23 0.00 170.4 3 1 46.90 24.10 0.00 1.31 171.7 3 2 50.00 33.10 0.08 2.97 174.7 3 3 46.90 33.80 0.14 1.77 176.4 3 4 45.00 35.10 0.16 1.13 177.6 3 5 43.00 30.20 0.05 0.34 177.9 3 6 50.00 35.60 0.13 3.26 181.2 3 7 48.90 32.00 0.13 2.42 183.6 3 8 46.40 32.00 0.11 1.46 185.0 3 9 45.00 39.00 2.94 1.51 186.6 3 10 46.90 33.10 0.19 1.72 188.3 3 11 53.10 33.10 0.00 4.30 192.6 3 12 50.00 30.00 0.38 2.70 195.3 3 13 52.00 35.60 0.48 4.16 199.4 3 14 53.60 33.80 0.00 4.62 204.1 3 15 53.60 33.80 0.00 4.62 208.7 3 16 62.60 33.80 0.00 8.77 217.4 3 17 61.00 32.00 0.00 7.70 225.1 3 18 64.40 33.10 0.00 9.48 234.6 3 19 51.80 42.10 0.35 5.95 240.6 3 20 50.00 35.60 0.05 3.26 243.8 3 21 63.00 33.10 0.00 8.82 252.7 3 22 61.00 33.80 0.01 8.02 260.7 3 23 46.40 36.00 0.48 1.76 262.4 3 24 46.90 33.80 0.40 1.77 264.2 3 25 46.90 32.00 0.10 1.65 265.9 3 26 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 268.7 3 27 50.00 32.00 0.09 2.86 271.6 3 28 46.40 37.90 0.41 1.98 273.6 3 29 55.90 30.20 0.00 5.17 278.7 3 30 55.90 39.00 0.00 6.75 285.5 3 31 48.20 42.80 0.29 4.50 290.0 4 1 50.00 37.00 0.29 3.47 293.5 4 2 46.90 35.10 0.14 1.88 295.3 4 3 51.80 33.80 0.04 3.82 299.2 4 4 50.00 33.80 0.26 3.04 302.2 4 5 48.90 30.20 0.16 2.29 304.5 4 6 54.00 45.00 0.46 8.50 313.0 4 7 55.90 44.10 0.08 9.00 322.0 4 8 55.90 44.10 0.09 9.00 331.0 4 9 55.40 48.00 0.65 10.70 341.7 4 10 51.80 41.00 0.95 5.40 347.1 4 11 53.60 39.00 0.29 5.62 352.7 4 12 51.80 33.80 0.03 3.82 356.5 4 13 53.60 33.80 0.00 4.62 361.1 4 14 59.00 35.10 0.00 7.33 368.5 4 15 55.90 37.40 0.00 6.34 374.8 4 16 52.00 41.00 0.20 5.50 380.3 4 17 51.80 37.90 0.46 4.49 384.8 4 18 48.20 35.60 0.10 2.48 387.3 4 19 50.00 36.00 0.17 3.32 390.6 4 20 48.20 33.10 0.60 2.23 392.8 4 21 57.00 41.00 0.00 8.00 400.8 4 22 66.20 50.00 0.30 17.10 417.9 4 23 55.40 46.00 0.07 9.70 427.6 4 24 57.90 41.00 0.01 8.45 436.1 4 25 66.90 35.60 0.00 11.22 447.3 4 26 75.90 39.90 0.00 16.98 464.3 4 27 79.00 44.60 0.00 20.80 485.1 4 28 89.60 55.40 0.00 31.50 516.6 4 29 78.10 48.00 0.00 22.05 538.6 4 30 62.10 44.10 0.00 12.10 550.7 5 1 62.60 44.60 0.00 12.60 563.3 5 2 64.40 48.00 0.00 15.20 578.5 5 3 70.00 42.80 0.03 15.40 593.9 5 4 55.40 46.00 0.41 9.70 603.6 5 5 60.80 46.40 0.00 12.60 616.2 5 6 63.00 44.10 0.00 12.55 628.8 5 7 64.00 46.00 0.00 14.00 642.8 5 8 63.00 44.60 0.00 12.80 655.6 5 9 64.90 42.80 0.00 12.85 668.4 5 10 73.90 39.20 0.00 15.72 684.1 5 11 77.00 46.00 0.00 20.50 704.6 5 12 86.00 46.40 0.00 25.20 729.8 5 13 91.40 50.00 0.00 29.70 759.5 5 14 90.00 53.60 0.00 30.80 790.3 5 15 84.90 57.00 0.00 29.95 820.3 5 16 84.90 51.10 0.00 27.00 847.3 5 17 91.40 53.10 0.00 31.25 878.5 Peak pheromone trap catch 5 18 75.90 53.10 0.00 23.50 902.0 5 19 82.90 50.00 0.00 25.45 927.5 5 20 80.60 53.10 0.00 25.85 953.3 Peak female adult emergence 5 21 66.90 46.40 0.00 15.65 969.0 5 22 64.40 43.00 0.00 12.70 981.7 5 23 66.20 42.80 0.00 13.50 995.2 5 24 75.20 46.00 0.00 19.60 1014.8 Peak egg laying 5 25 82.00 44.60 0.00 22.30 1037.1 5 26 82.40 48.20 0.00 24.30 1061.4 5 27 73.90 50.00 0.01 20.95 1082.3 5 28 75.20 44.10 0.00 18.65 1101.0 5 29 79.00 42.80 0.00 19.90 1120.9 5 30 68.00 42.80 0.00 14.40 1135.3 5 31 64.90 37.40 0.00 10.71 1146.0 6 1 72.00 35.60 0.00 13.70 1159.7 6 2 75.90 41.00 0.00 17.45 1177.2 6 3 79.00 41.00 0.00 19.00 1196.2 6 4 75.90 39.90 0.00 16.98 1213.1 6 5 82.90 42.80 0.00 21.85 1235.0 6 6 91.90 44.10 0.00 27.00 1262.0 6 7 79.00 51.10 0.00 24.05 1286.0 Peak egg hatch 6 8 70.00 50.00 0.00 19.00 1305.0 6 9 62.60 53.10 0.01 16.85 1321.9 6 10 75.90 53.10 0.00 23.50 1345.4 6 11 82.90 46.40 0.00 23.65 1369.0 6 12 88.00 51.10 0.00 28.55 1397.6 6 13 75.90 48.00 0.00 20.95 1418.5 6 14 70.00 44.10 0.00 16.05 1434.6 6 15 77.00 39.90 0.00 17.53 1452.1 6 16 81.00 46.00 0.00 22.50 1474.6 6 17 68.00 51.10 0.00 18.55 1493.2 6 18 61.00 46.90 0.11 12.95 1506.1 6 19 60.80 44.60 0.24 11.70 1517.8 6 20 66.20 48.20 0.00 16.20 1534.0 6 21 77.00 42.10 0.00 18.55 1552.6 6 22 87.80 55.00 0.00 30.40 1583.0 6 23 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 1606.4 6 24 82.90 44.60 0.00 22.75 1629.1 6 25 84.20 50.00 0.00 26.10 1655.2 6 26 81.00 51.10 0.00 25.05 1680.3 6 27 82.00 48.20 0.00 24.10 1704.4 6 28 87.80 51.80 0.00 28.80 1733.2 6 29 89.60 53.10 0.00 30.35 1763.5 6 30 89.60 53.10 0.00 30.35 1793.9 7 1 86.00 46.00 0.00 25.00 1818.9 7 2 87.80 50.00 0.00 27.90 1846.8 7 3 90.00 48.20 0.00 28.10 1874.9 7 4 95.00 48.20 0.00 30.60 1905.5 7 5 97.00 55.00 0.00 35.00 1940.5 7 6 88.00 55.00 0.00 30.50 1971.0 7 7 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 1994.4 7 8 78.80 53.10 0.00 24.95 2019.3 7 9 82.90 51.80 0.00 26.35 2045.7 7 10 73.40 51.80 0.00 21.60 2067.3 7 11 82.90 53.60 0.00 27.25 2094.5 Peak in density large larvae 7 12 86.00 55.40 0.00 29.70 2124.2 7 13 87.80 55.00 0.00 30.40 2154.6 7 14 93.20 53.10 0.00 32.15 2186.8 7 15 98.60 55.40 0.00 36.00 2222.8 7 16 91.90 55.00 0.00 32.45 2255.2 7 17 79.00 53.60 0.00 25.30 2280.5 7 18 87.80 51.10 0.00 28.45 2309.0 7 19 95.00 55.40 0.00 34.20 2343.2 7 20 86.00 55.40 0.00 29.70 2372.9 7 21 88.00 55.00 0.00 30.50 2403.4 7 22 90.00 55.00 0.00 31.50 2434.9 7 23 88.00 57.00 0.00 31.50 2466.4 7 24 75.90 53.10 0.00 23.50 2489.9 7 25 81.00 60.10 0.00 29.55 2519.4 7 26 84.90 48.90 0.00 25.90 2545.3 7 27 82.90 53.60 0.00 27.25 2572.6 7 28 87.20 54.10 0.00 29.65 2602.2 Hx Hn 7 29 89.50 54.10 0.00 30.80 2633.0 Hx Hn 7 30 92.80 56.40 0.00 33.60 2666.6 Hx Hn 7 31 91.50 56.20 0.00 32.85 2699.5 Hx Hn 8 1 89.60 50.00 0.00 28.80 2728.3 8 2 89.60 51.80 0.00 29.70 2758.0 8 3 88.00 51.10 0.00 28.55 2786.5 8 4 88.00 53.60 0.00 29.80 2816.3 8 5 87.80 60.80 0.03 33.30 2849.6 8 6 84.90 62.60 0.20 32.75 2882.4 8 7 86.00 60.10 0.00 32.05 2914.4 8 8 88.00 53.10 0.00 29.55 2944.0 8 9 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 2971.9 8 10 82.40 59.00 0.00 29.70 3001.6 8 11 87.10 51.80 0.00 28.45 3030.0 8 12 91.40 52.00 0.00 30.70 3060.7 8 13 100.90 57.00 0.00 37.95 3098.7 8 14 107.10 64.00 0.00 44.55 3143.2 8 15 100.90 64.90 0.00 41.90 3185.1 8 16 102.90 64.40 0.00 42.65 3227.8 8 17 93.90 64.00 0.00 37.95 3265.7 8 18 84.20 53.10 0.00 27.65 3293.4 8 19 91.40 44.10 0.00 26.75 3320.1 8 20 89.60 51.10 0.00 29.35 3349.5 8 21 81.00 51.10 0.00 25.05 3374.5 8 22 75.20 51.10 0.00 22.15 3396.7 8 23 79.00 48.90 0.00 22.95 3419.6 8 24 91.90 48.20 0.00 29.05 3448.7 8 25 91.90 62.10 0.05 36.00 3484.7 8 26 89.60 55.40 0.00 31.50 3516.2 8 27 82.50 57.80 0.00 29.15 3545.3 Vx Vn 8 28 70.00 57.20 0.00 22.60 3567.9 8 29 74.00 58.10 0.00 25.05 3593.0 Vx Vn 8 30 80.10 55.00 0.00 26.55 3619.5 8 31 64.40 57.20 0.72 19.80 3639.3 9 1 81.00 60.10 0.00 29.55 3668.9 9 2 89.10 55.40 0.24 31.25 3700.1 9 3 73.90 55.90 0.00 23.90 3724.0 9 4 66.90 53.10 0.01 19.00 3743.0 9 5 73.90 51.10 0.00 21.50 3764.5 9 6 79.00 44.60 0.00 20.80 3785.3 9 7 75.90 54.00 0.00 23.95 3809.3 9 8 80.10 46.00 0.00 22.05 3831.3 9 9 86.00 46.90 0.00 25.45 3856.8 9 10 82.40 51.80 0.00 26.10 3882.9 9 11 80.30 52.10 0.00 25.20 3908.1 Hx Hn 9 12 79.00 48.90 0.00 22.95 3931.0 9 13 82.00 52.00 0.00 26.00 3957.0 9 14 90.00 48.00 0.00 28.00 3985.0 9 15 93.90 48.90 0.00 30.40 4015.4 Forecast using: 1910 KMMV PRISM_rev1_4km 2013-2022 AVERAGES Lat45.1958 Long-123.1319 DD50
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988
Location: 2023 KMMV McMinnville Muni Apt
1910 KMMV PRISM_rev1_4km 2013-2022 AVERAGES
DateDDsEvent
 5-17-23 879Peak pheromone trap catch
 5-20-23 953Peak female adult emergence
 5-24-23 1015Peak egg laying
 6-7-23 1286Peak egg hatch
 7-11-23 2095Peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988