Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight 1988


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 1988 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2023 FOGO Agrimet FOREST GROVE OR Lat45.5531 Long:-123.0833 Elev:180 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 44.30 31.10 0.00 0.72 0.7 * START * 1 2 40.70 29.70 0.05 0.00 0.7 1 3 44.40 36.40 0.06 0.99 1.7 1 4 45.30 35.50 0.18 1.27 3.0 1 5 58.00 43.10 0.02 9.55 12.5 1 6 48.10 37.80 0.17 2.73 15.3 1 7 50.80 38.10 0.22 4.05 19.3 1 8 49.20 40.20 0.71 3.80 23.1 1 9 50.60 38.50 0.40 4.04 27.2 1 10 51.90 34.60 0.04 3.97 31.1 1 11 48.20 42.50 0.50 4.35 35.5 1 12 52.10 43.60 0.52 6.85 42.3 1 13 53.40 46.00 0.27 8.70 51.0 1 14 49.40 44.00 0.29 5.70 56.7 1 15 48.80 44.50 0.46 5.65 62.4 1 16 50.10 39.50 0.06 4.04 66.4 1 17 47.60 42.60 0.00 4.10 70.5 1 18 47.00 38.70 0.29 2.38 72.9 1 19 39.10 35.00 0.00 0.00 72.9 1 20 38.10 35.10 0.00 0.00 72.9 1 21 43.60 33.20 0.09 0.57 73.5 1 22 44.20 30.00 0.00 0.66 74.1 1 23 48.70 35.90 0.00 2.73 76.9 1 24 50.40 31.00 0.00 2.94 79.8 1 25 48.50 33.20 0.00 2.36 82.2 1 26 44.10 35.50 0.00 0.82 83.0 1 27 52.40 36.80 0.02 4.55 87.5 1 28 44.00 35.00 0.08 0.76 88.3 1 29 37.80 27.30 0.00 0.00 88.3 1 30 42.50 20.50 0.00 0.17 88.5 1 31 38.80 25.20 0.00 0.00 88.5 2 1 45.40 25.90 0.00 0.91 89.4 2 2 47.10 24.70 0.00 1.39 90.8 2 3 49.50 32.70 0.27 2.72 93.5 2 4 48.30 41.60 0.11 3.95 97.4 2 5 50.90 38.50 0.27 4.19 101.6 2 6 50.30 38.00 0.06 3.80 105.4 2 7 50.80 40.30 0.18 4.63 110.0 2 8 48.00 31.70 0.03 2.05 112.1 2 9 55.20 33.40 0.02 5.28 117.4 2 10 54.90 42.30 0.01 7.60 125.0 2 11 51.30 33.90 0.00 3.62 128.6 2 12 50.20 28.10 0.00 2.64 131.2 2 13 46.20 34.10 0.24 1.52 132.7 2 14 43.20 29.40 0.14 0.38 133.1 2 15 44.00 25.70 0.00 0.52 133.7 2 16 43.10 28.70 0.00 0.35 134.0 2 17 48.90 36.40 0.01 2.88 136.9 2 18 49.40 38.90 0.00 3.56 140.4 2 19 50.80 37.30 0.00 3.90 144.3 2 20 51.50 44.20 0.00 6.85 151.2 2 21 49.50 34.70 0.25 2.93 154.1 2 22 40.70 28.70 0.15 0.00 154.1 2 23 28.60 21.30 0.00 0.00 154.1 2 24 35.30 12.10 0.06 0.00 154.1 2 25 39.40 10.50 0.01 0.00 154.1 2 26 38.20 30.20 0.37 0.00 154.1 2 27 44.10 33.20 0.15 0.72 154.8 2 28 37.80 32.20 0.40 0.00 154.8 3 1 45.30 26.60 0.01 0.90 155.7 3 2 48.50 32.80 0.10 2.33 158.1 3 3 43.40 30.60 0.23 0.45 158.5 3 4 43.80 35.70 0.54 0.73 159.2 3 5 43.80 33.30 0.01 0.63 159.9 3 6 46.70 36.20 0.21 1.90 161.8 3 7 46.90 35.40 0.22 1.91 163.7 3 8 44.10 33.60 0.09 0.74 164.4 3 9 42.70 38.80 0.58 0.50 164.9 3 10 46.40 34.60 0.08 1.63 166.6 3 11 51.50 35.20 0.01 3.88 170.4 3 12 48.10 30.90 0.25 2.03 172.5 3 13 49.90 37.90 0.50 3.59 176.0 3 14 52.40 37.20 0.00 4.63 180.7 3 15 50.70 32.20 0.00 3.17 183.8 3 16 58.90 33.10 0.00 6.92 190.8 3 17 61.50 32.10 0.00 7.95 198.7 3 18 65.60 34.40 0.00 10.32 209.0 3 19 53.50 42.90 0.17 7.20 216.2 3 20 49.80 42.10 0.03 4.95 221.2 3 21 60.90 37.50 0.00 8.78 230.0 3 22 63.10 38.00 0.09 10.00 240.0 3 23 47.30 38.00 0.10 2.40 242.4 3 24 45.20 32.60 0.48 1.07 243.4 3 25 44.80 31.90 0.20 0.90 244.3 3 26 48.20 31.30 0.22 2.09 246.4 3 27 52.60 34.80 0.01 4.31 250.7 3 28 46.70 41.20 0.61 2.95 253.7 3 29 58.20 33.30 0.01 6.63 260.3 3 30 56.40 39.00 0.00 6.99 267.3 3 31 47.80 41.40 0.08 3.60 270.9 4 1 49.20 38.00 0.01 3.28 274.2 Px Pn 4 2 45.60 35.90 0.24 1.42 275.6 4 3 50.10 30.70 0.05 2.79 278.4 4 4 48.60 34.60 0.10 2.54 280.9 4 5 48.70 33.90 0.06 2.51 283.4 4 6 53.60 44.70 0.52 8.15 291.6 4 7 55.80 46.00 0.21 9.90 301.5 4 8 55.70 43.00 0.00 8.35 309.8 4 9 54.00 47.30 0.72 9.65 319.5 4 10 50.10 41.50 1.40 4.80 324.3 4 11 53.50 40.30 0.02 5.97 330.3 4 12 51.50 33.40 0.33 3.64 333.9 4 13 51.00 31.90 0.00 3.27 337.2 4 14 59.90 32.10 0.00 7.21 344.4 4 15 55.50 38.70 0.00 6.47 350.9 4 16 51.00 41.40 0.25 5.20 356.1 4 17 51.50 36.50 0.23 4.08 360.1 4 18 46.70 36.20 0.42 1.90 362.0 4 19 50.10 36.30 0.10 3.41 365.4 4 20 47.10 31.50 0.43 1.69 367.1 4 21 55.60 39.00 0.00 6.60 373.7 4 22 63.30 48.00 0.33 14.65 388.4 4 23 54.80 46.80 0.07 9.80 398.2 4 24 57.20 43.70 0.04 9.45 407.6 4 25 66.30 39.50 0.00 12.05 419.7 4 26 75.60 42.80 0.00 18.20 437.9 4 27 79.80 49.70 0.00 23.75 461.6 4 28 87.40 49.70 0.00 27.55 489.2 4 29 80.20 49.80 0.00 24.00 513.2 4 30 63.70 48.00 0.00 14.85 528.0 5 1 59.40 46.50 0.00 11.95 540.0 5 2 65.40 51.30 0.00 17.35 557.3 5 3 73.00 43.80 0.00 17.40 574.7 5 4 55.60 47.40 0.62 10.50 585.2 5 5 59.50 47.80 0.00 12.65 597.9 5 6 62.90 46.90 0.00 13.90 611.8 5 7 64.20 46.50 0.00 14.35 626.1 5 8 65.50 42.70 0.02 13.10 639.2 5 9 65.40 40.10 0.00 11.82 651.1 5 10 76.80 43.70 0.00 19.25 670.3 5 11 78.10 46.70 0.00 21.40 691.7 5 12 85.70 51.20 0.00 27.45 719.2 5 13 89.30 53.70 0.00 30.50 749.7 5 14 87.50 57.00 0.00 31.25 780.9 5 15 88.60 57.00 0.00 31.80 812.7 5 16 84.80 57.90 0.00 30.35 843.1 5 17 87.30 56.00 0.00 30.65 873.7 Peak pheromone trap catch 5 18 82.30 58.20 0.00 29.25 903.0 5 19 83.30 52.00 0.00 26.65 929.6 5 20 80.60 57.00 0.00 27.80 957.4 Peak female adult emergence 5 21 64.20 49.20 0.00 15.70 973.1 5 22 63.80 50.40 0.00 16.10 989.2 5 23 64.70 46.10 0.00 14.40 1003.6 Peak egg laying 5 24 74.00 47.30 0.00 19.65 1023.3 5 25 81.10 53.50 0.00 26.30 1049.6 5 26 84.60 55.00 0.00 28.80 1078.4 5 27 74.40 52.00 0.00 22.20 1100.6 5 28 71.80 46.40 0.00 18.10 1118.7 5 29 77.50 46.40 0.00 20.95 1139.6 5 30 64.10 46.90 0.00 14.50 1154.1 5 31 64.10 39.80 0.00 11.06 1165.2 6 1 71.50 39.30 0.00 14.57 1179.7 6 2 76.60 43.20 0.00 18.90 1198.6 6 3 78.80 46.50 0.00 21.65 1220.3 6 4 76.10 47.90 0.00 21.00 1241.3 6 5 81.70 54.90 0.00 27.30 1268.6 6 6 92.50 56.70 0.00 33.60 1302.2 Peak egg hatch 6 7 82.70 56.20 0.00 28.45 1330.6 6 8 69.50 52.40 0.00 19.95 1350.6 6 9 61.00 54.40 0.09 16.70 1367.3 6 10 74.30 50.50 0.00 21.40 1388.7 6 11 80.00 53.40 0.00 25.70 1414.4 6 12 89.70 58.60 0.00 33.15 1447.5 6 13 74.10 50.20 0.00 21.15 1468.7 6 14 68.40 48.50 0.00 17.45 1486.1 6 15 76.50 42.10 0.00 18.30 1504.4 6 16 79.80 49.20 0.00 23.50 1527.9 6 17 66.00 52.70 0.00 18.35 1546.3 6 18 60.60 47.90 0.12 13.25 1559.5 6 19 63.80 44.60 0.05 13.20 1572.7 6 20 64.40 43.20 0.00 12.80 1585.5 6 21 77.00 42.60 0.00 18.80 1604.3 6 22 86.10 52.70 0.00 28.40 1632.7 6 23 82.20 54.90 0.00 27.55 1660.3 6 24 83.20 47.10 0.00 24.15 1684.4 6 25 83.20 50.60 0.00 25.90 1710.3 6 26 81.10 52.30 0.00 25.70 1736.0 6 27 82.20 52.20 0.00 26.20 1762.2 6 28 86.90 52.90 0.00 28.90 1791.1 6 29 88.40 57.20 0.00 31.80 1822.9 6 30 86.80 58.60 0.00 31.70 1854.6 7 1 83.30 51.30 0.00 26.30 1880.9 7 2 84.80 54.40 0.00 28.60 1909.5 7 3 89.10 53.60 0.00 30.35 1939.9 7 4 94.30 56.10 0.00 34.20 1974.1 7 5 96.80 59.40 0.00 37.10 2011.2 7 6 89.90 57.20 0.00 32.55 2043.7 7 7 77.80 53.20 0.00 24.50 2068.2 7 8 76.20 53.30 0.00 23.75 2092.0 Peak in density large larvae 7 9 83.20 52.20 0.00 26.70 2118.7 7 10 70.50 55.70 0.00 22.10 2140.8 7 11 83.10 57.20 0.00 29.15 2169.9 7 12 84.00 57.50 0.00 29.75 2199.7 7 13 86.80 53.50 0.00 29.15 2228.8 7 14 93.20 58.10 0.00 34.65 2263.5 7 15 96.10 60.10 0.00 37.10 2300.6 7 16 91.70 58.30 0.00 34.00 2334.6 7 17 77.10 56.10 0.00 25.60 2360.2 7 18 86.60 54.80 0.00 29.70 2389.9 7 19 96.10 60.20 0.00 37.15 2427.0 7 20 88.50 58.50 0.00 32.50 2459.5 7 21 88.40 57.80 0.00 32.10 2491.6 7 22 88.20 55.40 0.00 30.80 2522.4 7 23 87.20 58.70 0.00 31.95 2554.4 7 24 74.90 51.70 0.01 22.30 2576.7 7 25 78.70 56.90 0.00 26.80 2603.5 7 26 82.60 52.50 0.00 26.55 2630.0 7 27 82.40 54.40 0.00 27.40 2657.4 7 28 86.30 56.00 0.00 30.15 2687.6 Hx Hn 7 29 80.10 55.40 0.00 26.75 2714.3 7 30 80.80 49.60 0.00 24.20 2738.5 7 31 83.90 54.20 0.00 28.05 2766.6 8 1 87.90 53.40 0.00 29.65 2796.2 8 2 89.10 53.20 0.00 30.15 2826.4 8 3 88.30 53.10 0.00 29.70 2856.1 8 4 88.60 54.90 0.00 30.75 2886.8 8 5 84.90 68.10 0.00 35.50 2922.3 8 6 83.60 64.30 0.00 32.95 2955.3 8 7 83.40 61.00 0.00 31.20 2986.5 8 8 85.70 58.50 0.00 31.10 3017.6 8 9 80.50 56.30 0.00 27.40 3045.0 8 10 78.80 56.70 0.00 26.75 3071.7 8 11 86.30 54.00 0.00 29.15 3100.9 8 12 89.50 58.50 0.00 33.00 3133.9 8 13 99.50 65.50 0.00 41.50 3175.4 8 14 105.80 66.90 0.00 45.35 3220.7 8 15 102.30 67.60 0.00 43.95 3264.7 8 16 102.00 64.30 0.00 42.15 3306.8 8 17 93.80 63.00 0.00 37.40 3344.2 8 18 82.10 55.60 0.00 27.85 3372.1 8 19 89.90 50.50 0.00 29.20 3401.3 8 20 87.50 56.10 0.00 30.80 3432.1 8 21 82.10 56.00 0.00 28.05 3460.1 8 22 76.00 47.40 0.00 20.70 3480.8 8 23 78.60 46.60 0.00 21.60 3502.4 8 24 90.10 53.60 0.00 30.85 3533.3 8 25 92.50 64.20 0.01 37.35 3570.6 8 26 92.20 60.00 0.00 35.10 3605.7 8 27 85.70 59.50 0.00 31.60 3637.3 8 28 70.90 62.00 0.00 25.45 3662.8 8 29 76.40 57.30 0.03 25.85 3688.6 8 30 77.90 54.80 0.01 25.35 3714.0 8 31 63.10 58.60 0.79 19.85 3733.8 9 1 77.20 60.00 0.02 27.60 3761.4 9 2 87.70 57.60 0.22 31.65 3793.1 9 3 69.80 60.00 0.20 23.90 3817.0 9 4 65.30 54.30 0.00 18.80 3835.8 9 5 69.60 47.10 0.00 17.35 3853.1 9 6 76.20 46.20 0.00 20.20 3873.3 9 7 75.80 57.10 0.00 25.45 3898.8 9 8 77.30 47.30 0.00 21.30 3920.1 9 9 86.50 49.50 0.00 27.00 3947.1 9 10 81.30 53.10 0.00 26.20 3973.3 9 11 79.50 53.30 0.00 25.40 3998.7 Hx Hn 9 12 76.20 52.70 0.00 23.45 4022.1 Vn 9 13 79.80 51.80 0.00 24.80 4046.9 9 14 90.10 51.50 0.00 29.80 4076.7 9 15 91.90 50.30 0.00 30.10 4106.8 Forecast using: 1910 FOGO PRISM_rev1_4km 2013-2022 AVERAGES Lat45.5531 Long-123.0833 DD50
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988
Location: 2023 FOGO FOREST GROVE OR
1910 FOGO PRISM_rev1_4km 2013-2022 AVERAGES
DateDDsEvent
 5-17-23 874Peak pheromone trap catch
 5-20-23 957Peak female adult emergence
 5-23-23 1004Peak egg laying
 6-6-23 1302Peak egg hatch
 7-8-23 2092Peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988